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Council of the European Union General Secretariat
THINK TANK REVIEW NOVEMBER 2020 Council Library
ISSUE 83
This Think Tank Review* covers articles and reports published in October relating to different
political and policy topics (twitter link).
Covid-19 reports analyse the various methods and policies the EU is using to finance and
promote economic recovery, explaining:
that the recovery fund will lead the way out of the crisis and will set the course shaping
European integration, with the European Parliament being more closely involved in the
deployment of the fund; recovery spending is a high-stakes challenge and could be
derailed by fuzzy objectives or overloaded procedures; if grants and loans in the next
generation fund are well targeted, growth and confidence could be boosted in the future;
the impact of the ECB's monetary policies in stopping the pandemic from infecting
European sovereign debt markets;
a possible Europeanisation of health policy and the newly proposed EU4Health
programme, as well as the role of teleworking in bolstering economic activity; and
that the EU is increasingly caught in international crossfire as Covid-19 intensifies global
economic competition, in particular the rivalry between the US and China.
EU INSTITUTIONS AND POLICY AREAS
Jean-Claude Juncker shares his views on different issues, for instance how we can create an
"affectio societatis", a feeling of belonging to this Union; if Europe should assert itself more on the
world stage; how the member states can move forward on the sensitive issue of European
defence; and if it is preferable to seek consensus at all costs.
Thomas Wieser writes about the role for the European Semester in the recovery plan, noting
that questions on governance and implementation of the Recovery and Resilience Facility are
becoming increasingly important as the RRF is the main component of the EUR 750 bn “Next
Generation EU”, and adding that it is obvious that the full reform and recovery impact of the
programmes and the funds can only be achieved against the background of high quality and
precise national plans that have a broad political backing in the respective member state.
Also, on Economic and Financial Affairs, papers analyse the role of asset purchase
programmes in the ECB’s toolkit and the potential associated risks; ask if the relaxation of capital
and liquidity buffers has worked in practice; study the distributive effects of the monetary policy
measures recently applied by the ECB; and raise the issue of whether the euro deserves a
greater international role, justified by the size of the European economy and the importance of its
international trade and financial markets.
On Justice and Home Affairs, publications discuss the ways in which data can currently be
requested, disclosed and exchanged and the challenge of data exploitation in the commercial
and political context through microtargeting; assess the enforcement of the OECD anti-bribery
Convention; and explore how to cement European divisions with regard to migration.
* This collection of abstracts and links was compiled by the Council Library of the General Secretariat of the EU Council for information
purposes only. The content links are the sole responsibility of their authors. Publications linked from this review do not represent the positions, policies or opinions of the Council of the EU or the European Council.
https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=The%20November%20%23EUCOLibraryThink%20Tank%20Review%20has%20just%20been%20published%20-%20Read%20it%20here%20https://www.consilium.europa.eu/media/40375/ttr_2020_83.pdf
On Foreign Affairs, reports advance bold ideas to reimagine the Alliance after the 2020 US
election; wonder how to turn the tide to rescue transatlantic cooperation; and reflect on the
related choices and strategies for 2021 and beyond.
Papers examine how the rivalries between the USA and China structure many areas, in particular
that of the exchange of sensitive technologies, which is a crucial issue for European companies.
Reports comment on China's ambitions to hit peak greenhouse gas emissions before 2030 and
become carbon neutral by 2060, and on the fact that China’s carbon neutrality goal spells
competition for the EU in the market for low-carbon technology.
The TTR can be downloaded from Council's Library blog. TTR articles are available via Eureka,
the resource discovery service of the Council Libraries.
The Council Library is open to staff of the EU institutions and Permanent Representations of the member states. The general public may use the Library for research purposes. It is located in the Justus Lipsius building, at JL 02 GH, Rue de la Loi 175, 1048 Brussels. Contact: [email protected]
http://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/library-blog/https://consilium-eureka.hosted.exlibrisgroup.com/primo-explore/search?vid=32CEU_VU1&lang=en_US&sortby=rankmailto:[email protected]
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
SPECIAL FOCUS 4
SECTION 1 - EU POLITICS AND INSTITUTIONS 11
SECTION 2 - EU POLICIES 12
SECTION 3 - FOREIGN AFFAIRS 22
SECTION 4 - EU MEMBER STATES 32
SPECIAL FOCUS
COVID-19 5
Agriculture and Fisheries 12
Competitiveness (Internal Market, Industry, Research and Space) 12
Economic and Financial Affairs 13
Employment / Social Policy / Health and Consumer Affairs 16
Environmental Issues 16
General Affairs 18
Justice and Home Affairs 18
Transport / Telecommunications / Energy 19
Foreign and Security Policy / Defence 22
Development 25
Trade 26
Africa 26
Asia-Oceania 27
Eastern Partnership 27
Middle East / North Africa (MENA) 28
Western Balkans 28
China 29
Russia 30
Turkey 30
United Kingdom / Brexit 30
United States of America 31
Czechia 32
Germany 32
Ireland 32
Greece 33
Spain 33
France 33
Italy 34
Hungary 34
Finland 34
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SPECIAL FOCUS
COVID-19
EUROPEAN POLICY CENTRE / KONRAD-ADENAUER-STIFTUNG / IFOK
High hopes, low expectations - Brussels’ perspective on the future of Europe after Covid-19
This report presents the results of a study undertaken between July and August 2020 including a survey and personal interviews with high-level Brussels-based stakeholders. The survey and interviews focused on three thematic blocks: the impact of the Covid-19 crisis on the EU; the Brussels community’s expectations for the German Council Presidency; and the Brussels-based stakeholders’ views on the perspectives and content of the Conference on the future of Europe. (18 p.)
STIFTUNG WISSENSCHAFT UND POLITIK
The European Parliament’s involvement in the EU response to the corona pandemic. A spectator in times of crisis
by Nicolai von Ondarza @NvOndarza
The author argues the EU recovery fund will set the course that will shape European integration. Nevertheless, despite its budgetary rights, the European Parliament (EP) has remained an onlooker for most of these decisions. In order to strengthen democratic legitimacy and the European perspective, the EP should be more closely involved in the EU recovery fund in the short term, and in the long term be given a co-
decision role in the EU’s crisis policy instruments. (8 p.)
CENTRUM STOSUNKÓW MIĘDZYNARODOWYCH (CENTRE FOR INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS)
Pandemia 2020. Świat do góry nogami
by Adriana Łukaszewicz
The rapid spread of the virus has become a catalyst for new political, economic and social processes. The low efficacy of counter-measures only enhances the ongoing changes. The report presents five key global challenges in the times of pandemics and suggests a few approaches for possible solutions. (PL - 25 p.)
ΕΛΛΗΝΙΚO IΔΡΥΜΑ ΕΥΡΩΠΑΪΚHΣ ΚΑΙ ΕΞΩΤΕΡΙΚHΣ ΠΟΛΙΤΙΚHΣ (HELLENIC FOUNDATION FOR EUROPEAN FOREIGN POLICY)
Η Ευρωπαϊκή αλληλεγγύη στην εποχή του Covid-19
by Lorenzo Cicchi, Philipp Genschel, Anton Hemerijck et al.
The July European Council reached an historic agreement on the €750 billion recovery fund. This analysis is based on a European survey conducted in 13 European countries and the UK. The survey results demonstrate that support in European solidarity varies by geographical distance, by issue, and by the perceived net-benefit to the own country. Support is also motivated by mutual benefit expectations rather than moral obligation or common identity. (EL - 10 p.)
WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM / MERCER
Resetting the future of work agenda: disruption and renewal in a post-Covid world
The report is intended as a call to action for companies and organizations globally to update and reset their future of work preparedness agendas for a more relevant and inclusive post-pandemic “new” future of work. It brings together key insights and lessons from the Covid-19 crisis response of the World Economic Forum’s broader
https://wms.flexious.be/editor/plugins/imagemanager/content/2140/PDF/2020/Final_report_final.pdfhttps://wms.flexious.be/editor/plugins/imagemanager/content/2140/PDF/2020/Final_report_final.pdfhttps://wms.flexious.be/editor/plugins/imagemanager/content/2140/PDF/2020/Final_report_final.pdfhttps://www.swp-berlin.org/fileadmin/contents/products/comments/2020C45_EuropeanParliament.pdfhttps://www.swp-berlin.org/fileadmin/contents/products/comments/2020C45_EuropeanParliament.pdfhttps://www.swp-berlin.org/fileadmin/contents/products/comments/2020C45_EuropeanParliament.pdfhttps://twitter.com/NvOndarzahttps://csm.org.pl/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Raport-PDF-final.pdfhttps://www.eliamep.gr/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Policy-brief-133-final.pdfhttps://www.eliamep.gr/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Policy-brief-133-final.pdfhttp://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_NES_Resetting_FOW_Agenda_2020.pdfhttp://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_NES_Resetting_FOW_Agenda_2020.pdfhttp://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_NES_Resetting_FOW_Agenda_2020.pdf
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SPECIAL FOCUS
industry community to imagine and set out an updated future of work company action agenda for a post-Covid world. (31 p.)
INSTITUTE FOR GOVERNMENT
Support for business during the coronavirus crisis
by Gemma Tetlow @gemmatetlow and Grant Dalton
This report summarises how national and subnational governments in nine advanced economies have so far supported businesses during the crisis through grants, tax cuts and tax deferrals, loans and equity stakes. (39 p.)
INSTITUT DER DEUTSCHEN WIRTSCHAFT (IW, KÖLN) GERMAN ECONOMIC INSTITUTE
Vertrauen in Mitmenschen lohnt sich Ursachen und Konsequenzen von Vertrauen auf der Individualebene
by Dominik H. Enste @DominikEnste, Lena Suling and Inga Schwarz
Generalized trust in other people is especially important in times of crisis. If there is a lack of trust, more control and sanctions are necessary, which result in transaction costs. As various studies show, higher interpersonal trust ensures, among other things, for more cooperation, more prosperity, more life satisfaction, and better health. (DE - 20 p.)
BERTELSMANN STIFTUNG / FINANZWISSENSCHAFTLICHES FORSCHUNGSINSTITUT AN DER UNIVERSITÄT ZU KÖLN
The rocky road to providing public goods in the European Union
by Katharina Gnath @K_gnath, Michael Thöne and Thomas Wieser
This paper takes stock of the reflection group conclusions on European public goods, and looks beyond to the implications of the EU's first steps at fiscal integration in response to the Covid-19 economic downturn. The reflection group zoomed in on the concept of European public goods as a framework for strengthening the EU by identifying the
“more European” tasks which the Union should focus on. (7 p.)
CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN POLICY STUDIES
Who will really benefit from the Next Generation EU funds?
by Cinzia Alcidi @AlcidiCinzia, Daniel Gros
@DanielGrosCEPS and Francesco Corti
@f_corti1992
Southern and central-eastern European countries will be the biggest beneficiaries of financial support under the new EU recovery and resilience facility and react-EU, as well as of the new Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF). Two main risks might reduce the economic impact of these instruments, however: the traditionally slow absorption rate of European structural investment funds and limits to the capacity of national governments to channel very large amounts of public investment. (7 p.)
KONRAD-ADENAUER-STIFTUNG
Resilience and stability? Setting the course for the banking and financial system during the corona virus pandemic
by Bodo Herzog
The stability of the financial system and access to financial markets was not at risk during the pandemic. Through joint efforts and better bank capitalisation, the financial system is now more resilient than during the financial crisis. Provided that grants and loans in the “next generation EU” fund are well targeted for structural reforms and investments in the future, this should boost confidence and growth. (12 p.)
BRUEGEL
European Union recovery funds: strings attached, but not tied up in knots
by Jean Pisani-Ferry @pisaniferry
Ensuring effective recovery spending is a high-stakes challenge for the EU, with the potential for derailment because of fuzzy objectives and overloaded procedures. The brief suggests the EU should work with
https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/sites/default/files/publications/support-business-coronavirus-crisis.pdfhttps://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/sites/default/files/publications/support-business-coronavirus-crisis.pdfhttps://twitter.com/gemmatetlowhttps://www.iwkoeln.de/fileadmin/user_upload/Studien/Report/PDF/2020/IW-Report_2020__Vertrauen_in_Mitmenschen.pdfhttps://www.iwkoeln.de/fileadmin/user_upload/Studien/Report/PDF/2020/IW-Report_2020__Vertrauen_in_Mitmenschen.pdfhttps://www.iwkoeln.de/fileadmin/user_upload/Studien/Report/PDF/2020/IW-Report_2020__Vertrauen_in_Mitmenschen.pdfhttps://twitter.com/DominikEnstehttps://www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de/fileadmin/files/BSt/Publikationen/GrauePublikationen/Gnath-Wieser-Thoene_Rocky-road_en_v06.pdfhttps://www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de/fileadmin/files/BSt/Publikationen/GrauePublikationen/Gnath-Wieser-Thoene_Rocky-road_en_v06.pdfhttps://twitter.com/K_gnathhttps://www.ceps.eu/download/publication/?id=30497&pdf=PI2020-25_Next-Generation-EU_funds.pdfhttps://www.ceps.eu/download/publication/?id=30497&pdf=PI2020-25_Next-Generation-EU_funds.pdfhttps://www.ceps.eu/ceps-staff/cinzia-alcidi/https://twitter.com/AlcidiCinziahttps://www.ceps.eu/ceps-staff/daniel-gros/https://twitter.com/DanielGrosCEPShttps://www.ceps.eu/ceps-staff/francesco-corti/https://twitter.com/f_corti1992https://www.kas.de/documents/252038/7995358/Resilience+and+Stability+in+the+banking+and+fincancial+system.pdf/99cb6919-4ab2-6617-f8c3-064f13e3b462?version=1.0&t=1603884192913https://www.kas.de/documents/252038/7995358/Resilience+and+Stability+in+the+banking+and+fincancial+system.pdf/99cb6919-4ab2-6617-f8c3-064f13e3b462?version=1.0&t=1603884192913https://www.kas.de/documents/252038/7995358/Resilience+and+Stability+in+the+banking+and+fincancial+system.pdf/99cb6919-4ab2-6617-f8c3-064f13e3b462?version=1.0&t=1603884192913https://www.bruegel.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/PC-19-2020-261020.pdfhttps://www.bruegel.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/PC-19-2020-261020.pdfhttps://www.bruegel.org/author/jean-pisani-ferry/https://twitter.com/pisaniferry
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SPECIAL FOCUS
member states (MS) to identify limited policies that will maximise the impact of EU investment, while accounting for spillovers. (10 p.)
CENTRE D’ÉTUDES PROSPECTIVES ET D'INFORMATIONS INTERNATIONALES
Covid-induced sovereign risk in the euro area: when did the ECB stop the contagion?
by Aymeric Ortmans and Fabien Tripier
This paper examines how the announcement of ECB’s monetary policies has stopped the contagion of the Covid-19 pandemic in the European sovereign debt markets. It shows that up to March 9, the occurence of new cases in euro area countries has a sizeable and persistent effect on 10-years sovereign bond spreads regarding several MS. (55 p.)
E3G
Fire sale: managing the geopolitics of climate-related financial risk in the age of Covid
by Taylor Dimsdale, Claire Healy and Dileimy Orozco
@dile_o
At the annual meetings of the World Bank and IMF, ministers are discussing how much debt relief they can offer developing and middle-income countries as they grapple with the economic and financial fallout of the Covid-19 pandemic. This report argues that the risk climate change poses to the stability of the global financial system threatens to spill over into international affairs and increase geopolitical tensions, if not managed. (44 p.)
WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
Dashboard for a new economy towards a new compass for the post-Covid recovery
This report outlines a general framework for macroeconomic targets beyond GDP growth – a dashboard for a new economy – to serve as a guide for the post-Covid-19 economic recovery and as a starting point for further debate and convergence of targets and approaches among governments and economic policy-makers globally. (22 p.)
CLINGENDAEL - NETHERLANDS INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Europeanising health policy in times of coronationalism
by Louise Van Schaik @LouiseVanSchaik and Remco
van de Pas @Rvandepas
The Covid-19 crisis has prompted the EU to rethink its health policy, or rather those of its policies that influence the health policies of MS. Much is still unclear, however, about how a revised EU health policy should look, particularly as this has traditionally been a field where EU citizens saw little added value in the EU becoming involved. The brief looks into a newly proposed EU4Health programme and reviews the EU’s current engagement in the field of health. (7 p.)
TERRA NOVA
Vaccination policy by zones
by Miquel Oliu-Barton @OliuBarton and Bary Pradelski
@BaryPradelski
Vaccination deployment should be dependent on the prevalence of the virus in a zone (i.e. a predefined geographical area). Red zones should focus on vaccinating people at risk and health workers to reduce fatalities and keep hospitals operational. Green zones should focus on vaccinating inter-zone travellers and highly central individuals to reduce the risk of re-importation. The efficacy of this policy relies on travel restrictions between red and green zones. (14 p.)
STIFTUNG WISSENSCHAFT UND POLITIK (GERMAN INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL AND SECURITY AFFAIRS)
Upholding the World Health Organization. Next steps for the EU
by Susan Bergner @bergner_susan, Remco van de Pas
@Rvandepas, Louise van Schaik
@LouiseVanSchaik et al.
The authors note the pandemic discloses the discrepancy between the EU advocating for global access to a Covid-19 vaccine while at the same time safeguarding its own access to it. Its refusal to alter patent laws that serve
http://www.cepii.fr/PDF_PUB/wp/2020/wp2020-11.pdfhttp://www.cepii.fr/PDF_PUB/wp/2020/wp2020-11.pdfhttp://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/fr/page_perso/page_perso.asp?nom_complet=Fabien+Tripierhttps://www.e3g.org/wp-content/uploads/E3G-Geopolitics-of-Financial-Risk-FINAL-151020.pdfhttps://www.e3g.org/wp-content/uploads/E3G-Geopolitics-of-Financial-Risk-FINAL-151020.pdfhttps://www.e3g.org/wp-content/uploads/E3G-Geopolitics-of-Financial-Risk-FINAL-151020.pdfhttps://twitter.com/dile_ohttp://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Dashboard_for_a_New_Economy_2020.pdfhttp://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Dashboard_for_a_New_Economy_2020.pdfhttps://www.clingendael.org/sites/default/files/2020-11/Policy_brief_Europeanising_health_coronationalism_November_2020.pdfhttps://www.clingendael.org/sites/default/files/2020-11/Policy_brief_Europeanising_health_coronationalism_November_2020.pdfhttps://twitter.com/LouiseVanSchaikhttps://twitter.com/Rvandepashttps://tnova.fr/system/contents/files/000/002/142/original/Terra-Nova_A-vaccination-policy-by-zones_021020.pdf?1601642559https://twitter.com/OliuBartonhttps://twitter.com/BaryPradelskihttps://www.swp-berlin.org/fileadmin/contents/products/comments/2020C47_WorldHealthOrganization.pdfhttps://www.swp-berlin.org/fileadmin/contents/products/comments/2020C47_WorldHealthOrganization.pdfhttps://twitter.com/bergner_susanhttps://twitter.com/Rvandepashttps://twitter.com/LouiseVanSchaik
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SPECIAL FOCUS
to protect the commercial and innovation interests of pharmaceutical companies based in EU countries can equally be questioned on grounds of global solidarity. A revamped global health strategy is needed to overcome such issues and make the EU a reliable and capable partner on global health that gives WHO a central role. (8 p.)
INSTITUTO ESPAÑOL DE ESTUDIOS ESTRATÉGICOS
El teletrabajo en la era Covid
by Joaquín Fournier Guimbao
The author explores the role of teleworking as one of the main reasons why many companies and public institutions were able to keep their economic activity during the spring lockdown caused by the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus pandemic. (ES - 15 p.)
EUROPEAN TRADE UNION INSTITUTE
An overview of the 2020-2021 country-specific recommendations (CSRs) in the social field. The impact of Covid-19
by Silvia Rainone
In 2020, the CSRs presented by the Commission have shifted in favour of strengthening workers' digital skills and providing adequate social protection. This publication provides an overview of the CSRs in the field of employment and social policies in the MS. (109 p.)
MIGRATION POLICY INSTITUTE
Will international migration governance survive the Covid-19 pandemic?
by Kathleen Newland
The toolbox of international migration governance has few instruments for dealing with the migration-related challenges posed by the Covid-19 pandemic. Most international agreements on migration are designed to aid people on the move and to assist states in dealing with this movement, voluntary or forced. The most recent addition to the migration governance toolbox offers states useful guidance in their work to restart international migration safely. (21 p.)
HANNS-SEIDEL-STIFTUNG (HANNS SEIDEL FOUNDATION)
Die Europäische Union in der Corona-Weltwirtschaftskrise. Perspektiven und Handlungsoptionen im geoökonomischen Wettbewerb zwischen den USA und China The European Union in the corona world economic crisis perspectives and options in the geo-economic competition between the US and China
by Josef Braml @Josef_Braml
The EU is increasingly caught in international crossfire. The Covid-19 pandemic intensifies global economic competition, in particular the hostile rivalry between the US and China. In this conflict, neutrality is no longer an option for Brussels because it shares the partnership of values of the Western world with Washington. Furthermore, numerous EU MS, as well as the US, are members of the North Atlantic Pact. (DE -76 p./ EN - 76 p.)
FONDATION SUISSE POUR LA RECHERCHE EN SCIENCES SOCIALES (FORS)
First results of the Swiss household panel – Covid-19
by Jan-Erik Refle, Marieke Voorpostel, Florence Lebert et al.
This paper presents the main findings of a Covid-19 survey, conducted between May and June, with respect to a wide variety of domains: the occurrence of Covid-19 infections in people’s networks, changes with respect to work, finances, time use, family life, following education from home, health and wellbeing, worries, social networks and social cohesion, and the evaluation of the political measures taken by the federal government. (51 p.)
ISTITUTO AFFARI INTERNATIONALI
Struggling Iraq faces another crisis in Covid-19
by Sajad Jiyad @SajadJiyad
According to this report, Iraq is facing several overlapping crises, spanning the economic, political, security and social spheres, as
http://www.ieee.es/Galerias/fichero/docs_opinion/2020/DIEEEO128_2020JOAFOU_teletrabajo.pdfhttps://www.etui.org/sites/default/files/2020-10/An%20overview%20of%20the%202020-2021%20country-specific%20recommendations%20%28CSRs%29%20in%20the%20social%20field-2020.pdfhttps://www.etui.org/sites/default/files/2020-10/An%20overview%20of%20the%202020-2021%20country-specific%20recommendations%20%28CSRs%29%20in%20the%20social%20field-2020.pdfhttps://www.etui.org/sites/default/files/2020-10/An%20overview%20of%20the%202020-2021%20country-specific%20recommendations%20%28CSRs%29%20in%20the%20social%20field-2020.pdfhttps://www.migrationpolicy.org/sites/default/files/publications/globalcompact-migration-governance-pandemic-final.pdfhttps://www.migrationpolicy.org/sites/default/files/publications/globalcompact-migration-governance-pandemic-final.pdfhttps://www.hss.de/download/publications/AA_80__Corona__deutsch-englisch.pdfhttps://www.hss.de/download/publications/AA_80__Corona__deutsch-englisch.pdfhttps://www.hss.de/download/publications/AA_80__Corona__deutsch-englisch.pdfhttps://www.hss.de/download/publications/AA_80__Corona__deutsch-englisch.pdfhttps://www.hss.de/download/publications/AA_80__Corona__ENGLISCH.pdfhttps://www.hss.de/download/publications/AA_80__Corona__ENGLISCH.pdfhttps://www.hss.de/download/publications/AA_80__Corona__ENGLISCH.pdfhttps://www.hss.de/download/publications/AA_80__Corona__ENGLISCH.pdfhttps://twitter.com/Josef_Bramlhttps://forscenter.ch/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/forspapers_2020-1.pdfhttps://forscenter.ch/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/forspapers_2020-1.pdfhttps://www.iai.it/sites/default/files/iaicom2073.pdfhttps://www.iai.it/sites/default/files/iaicom2073.pdfhttps://twitter.com/SajadJiyad
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authorities struggle to maintain stability in the face of political dysfunction and external challenges posed by US-Iran tensions. (7 p.)
ISTITUTO AFFARI INTERNATIONALI
War and Covid-19 in Yemen
by Afrah Nasser @Afrahnasser
After Yemen’s 2011 uprising broke out, the country went through a series of political upheavals and cycles of violence that tore the country apart, including the start of a full-scale civil war in 2014 and the Saudi and UAE-led intervention in 2015. (6 p.)
UTRIKESPOLITISKA INSTITUTET (SWEDISH INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS)
Tracing intersections of Covid-19: gender, water and armed conflicts
by Alexandra Said, Panchali Saikia and Martina Klimes
This paper highlights the gendered consequences of disease outbreaks in fragile and conflict-affected states globally and explores how armed non-state actors are responding to Covid-19 in the Middle East and North Africa region. (14 p.)
GROUP FOR LEGAL AND POLITICAL STUDIES
Socio-economic impact of Covid-19 in Kosovo
by Marije Luitjens Tol
Prior to the official announcement of the first case of Covid-19 in Kosovo, the government already declared measures to close schools, or ban public gatherings. The government was hailed for taking these quick actions to counter the spread of Covid-19 putting the situation under control. This paper analyses the early measures taken by the government of Kosovo concerning the Covid-19 as well as its socio-economic consequences. (14 p.)
OŚRODEK STUDIÓW WSCHODNICH (CENTRE FOR EASTERN STUDIES)
Rosja w globalnym wyścigu szczepionek
by Jadwiga Rogoża and Iwona Wiśniewska
Russia has already registered two vaccines against Covid-19 despite the controversy and the scepticism of medical experts and Russian population. The vaccines' registration has been for Moscow an important tool of foreign policy and Russian "soft power" as well as the reflection of its ambition to defeat Western countries in this race. The marketing of the vaccine has also the considerable financial significance. (PL - 6 p.)
INSTITUTE FOR PUBLIC POLICY RESEARCH
Research at risk: mitigating the impact of Covid-19 on health R&D investment
by Chris Thomas @cthomashealth and Shreya Nanda
@shreyagnanda
The UK government has recognised that science is integral to delivering a more prosperous and healthy nation. This brief addressee that R&D is essential because it is the key to driving innovation which allows to create more with the same investment of time and money. It is this improvement in productivity that improves living standards, transforms public services and creates real wage growth (23 p.)
RAND EUROPE
Covid-19 and the experiences of populations at greater risk
by Katherine Grace Carman, Anita Chandra, Delia Bugliari et al.
This report describes the first of four surveys conducted as part of the Covid-19 and the experiences of populations at greater risk. The questions focused inter alia on experiences related to the pandemic, how respondents’ views and priorities regarding health actions and investments are changing, and how general values about such issues as freedom and racism may be related to pandemic views and response expectations. (63 p.)
https://www.iai.it/sites/default/files/iaicom2074.pdfhttps://twitter.com/Afrahnasserhttps://ui.se/globalassets/ui.se-eng/publications/ui-publications/2020/ui-paper-no.-7-2020.pdfhttps://ui.se/globalassets/ui.se-eng/publications/ui-publications/2020/ui-paper-no.-7-2020.pdfhttp://www.legalpoliticalstudies.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/PolicyAnalysis_MLT_.pdfhttp://www.legalpoliticalstudies.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/PolicyAnalysis_MLT_.pdfhttps://www.osw.waw.pl/sites/default/files/komentarze_358.pdfhttps://www.ippr.org/files/2020-10/research-at-risk-oct20.pdfhttps://www.ippr.org/files/2020-10/research-at-risk-oct20.pdfhttps://twitter.com/cthomashealthhttps://twitter.com/shreyagnandahttps://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA700/RRA764-1/RAND_RRA764-1.pdfhttps://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RRA700/RRA764-1/RAND_RRA764-1.pdf
10/34
SPECIAL FOCUS
COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS
Improving pandemic preparedness
by Thomas J. Bollyky and Stewart M. Patrick
@StewartMPatrick
This report seeks to distill lessons from the Covid painful experience that must be applied so that the US and the world are better prepared for future waves of this pandemic or a next one. It frames pandemic disease as a stark threat to global and national security that neither the US nor the world can afford to ignore again. It argues that future pandemic threats are inevitable and possibly imminent; policymakers should prepare for them and identify what has gone wrong in the US and multilateral response. (158 p.)
INSTITUT FRANCAIS DES RELATIONS INTERNATIONALES
La politique économique allemande face à la crise du Covid-19. Comment l’Allemagne soutient son économie
by Sandra Parthie @SandraParthie
Compared to other European countries, Germany has effectively managed the Covid-19 crisis. Its health system has met the challenge of the fight against the pandemic, the impact on employees has been mitigated thanks to partial unemployment benefits, business aid was significant and quickly available and the state structures have made proof of positive responsiveness. (FR - 28 p.)
INSTITUT DER DEUTSCHEN WIRTSCHAFT (IW, KÖLN) GERMAN ECONOMIC INSTITUTE
Covid-19 and the growth potential
by Michael Grömling
The lasting economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic will become apparent in the development of the macroeconomic factors of production – labour, capital, human capital as well as the stock of technical knowledge. Changes in behaviour such as a greater acceptance of technology can strengthen potential output permanently. By contrast, negative effects may arise from growing protectionist attitudes or long-lasting
uncertainties and “scarring effects”. In any case, the crisis has induced a technology push. (13 p.)
TERRA NOVA
Coronavirus : regards sur une crise. Convaincre tout le monde plutôt que contraindre certains; un choix politique tacite qu’il est temps de questionner
by Mélanie Heard
The logic of confinement between March and May was striking by its radical novelty in public health. The restrictions of movement weighed on the whole population, universally. The unequal distribution of risk in the population was not taken into account, even though it is the basic framework for public health action. There is no public health manual, no pandemic preparedness plan, that talks about a general restriction of freedom of movement for an entire country. This report seeks to share thoughts, stories and questions raised by the Covid-19 pandemic and its multiple consequences. (FR - 18 p.)
DEUTSCHE GESELLSCHAFT FÜR AUSWÄRTIGE POLITIK (GERMAN COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS)
Die Pandemie treibt Spaltung an. Macron antwortet mit neuen Prioritäten
by Julie Hamann @jul_hamann
The paper notes that Covid-19 has forced President Emmanuel Macron to realign his political program and to respond to deep divisions which became stronger by the health crisis. France is threatening to be more preoccupied with itself in the next few years. This can also put a strain on the cooperation with Germany, especially if Macron’s European political ambitions conflict with the growing doubts of his compatriots about the successes of globalization. (DE - 9 p.)
https://www.cfr.org/report/pandemic-preparedness-lessons-COVID-19/pdf/TFR_Pandemic_Preparedness.pdfhttps://www.cfr.org/expert/thomas-j-bollykyhttps://www.cfr.org/expert/stewart-m-patrickhttps://twitter.com/StewartMPatrickhttps://www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/ndc_154_s._parthie_politique_economique_allemande_covid19_oct_2020.pdfhttps://www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/ndc_154_s._parthie_politique_economique_allemande_covid19_oct_2020.pdfhttps://www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/ndc_154_s._parthie_politique_economique_allemande_covid19_oct_2020.pdfhttps://twitter.com/SandraParthiehttps://www.iwkoeln.de/fileadmin/user_upload/Studien/Report/PDF/2020/IW-Report-2020_LongTermEffectsCorona.pdfhttps://tnova.fr/system/contents/files/000/002/147/original/Terra-Nova_Cycle-covid_Convaincre-tout-le-monde-plutot-que-contraindre-certains_161020.pdf?1602783331https://tnova.fr/system/contents/files/000/002/147/original/Terra-Nova_Cycle-covid_Convaincre-tout-le-monde-plutot-que-contraindre-certains_161020.pdf?1602783331https://tnova.fr/system/contents/files/000/002/147/original/Terra-Nova_Cycle-covid_Convaincre-tout-le-monde-plutot-que-contraindre-certains_161020.pdf?1602783331https://tnova.fr/system/contents/files/000/002/147/original/Terra-Nova_Cycle-covid_Convaincre-tout-le-monde-plutot-que-contraindre-certains_161020.pdf?1602783331https://dgap.org/sites/default/files/article_pdfs/dgap-policy_brief-2020-25-de.pdfhttps://dgap.org/sites/default/files/article_pdfs/dgap-policy_brief-2020-25-de.pdfhttps://twitter.com/jul_hamann
11/34
SECTION 1 - EU POLITICS AND INSTITUTIONS
SECTION 1 - EU POLITICS AND INSTITUTIONS
FONDATION ROBERT SCHUMAN
Exclusive interview with Jean-Claude Juncker: "Europe is a world power and unaware of it"
by Isabelle Marchais @IMarchais
Jean-Claude Juncker expresses his views on several questions inter alia: how we can create an "affectio societatis", a feeling of belonging to this Union; if Europe should assert itself more on the world stage; how the member states can move forward on the sensitive issue of European defence; and if it is preferable to seek consensus at all costs. (6 p.)
INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AND EUROPEAN AFFAIRS
From fragile continent to vital Union
by Alexander Conway @Conway_ALX
This brief examines the major issues Commission President von der Leyen outlined in her inaugural State of the Union address to the EP on 16 September 2020. It also analyses the options arising from her speech and their potential implications for the EU and for Ireland. (11 p.)
EUROPEAN COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS
Crisis presidency: how Portuguese leadership can guide the EU into the post-Covid era
by Lívia Franco and Susi Dennison @sd270
This brief discusses Portugal’s plans for the EU presidency in the first half of 2021 and analyses how current thinking across the EU should guide the Portuguese presidency following the onset of the Covid-19 crisis. It draws on surveys of policymakers, interviews and public opinion poll, arguing that Lisbon will need to adapt the priorities it originally envisaged to the new reality that confronts European voters. (15 p.)
https://www.robert-schuman.eu/en/doc/entretiens-d-europe/ee-100-en.pdfhttps://www.robert-schuman.eu/en/doc/entretiens-d-europe/ee-100-en.pdfhttps://www.robert-schuman.eu/en/doc/entretiens-d-europe/ee-100-en.pdfhttps://twitter.com/IMarchaishttps://www.iiea.com/publication/from-fragile-continent-to-vital-union/https://twitter.com/Conway_ALXhttps://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/Crisis-presidency-How-Portuguese-leadership-can-guide-the-EU-into-the-post-covid-era.pdfhttps://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/Crisis-presidency-How-Portuguese-leadership-can-guide-the-EU-into-the-post-covid-era.pdfhttps://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/Crisis-presidency-How-Portuguese-leadership-can-guide-the-EU-into-the-post-covid-era.pdfhttps://twitter.com/sd270
12/34
SECTION 2 - EU POLICIES
SECTION 2 - EU POLICIES
AGRICULTURE AND FISHERIES
KONRAD-ADENAUER-STIFTUNG
Landwirtschaft in der EU: Wie viel Klima- und Umweltschutz verträgt die Gemeinsame Agrarpolitik (GAP)?
by André Algermißen
The negotiations on the EU's MFF 2021-2027 are in full swing, and the design of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) is also being scrutinized. Agreement on this large item within the EU budget is likely within the next few weeks. However, the reformed CAP will not start in 2021, as planned, but probably only in 2023. This analysis goes into the lines of conflict. (DE - 8 p.)
COMPETITIVENESS (INTERNAL MARKET, INDUSTRY,
RESEARCH AND SPACE)
EUROPEAN POLICY CENTRE
Europe as a global standard-setter: the strategic importance of European standardisation
by Johan Bjerkem @johanbjerkem and Malcolm Harbour
EU standards are a pillar of the European single market and fundamental to reach the objectives set through the European Green Deal, digital strategy and new industrial strategy. The adoption of EU standards has been in decline since 2018. The paper recommends a new trusted partnership
between the EU, industry and the European standardisation organisations to strengthen the system. (20 p.)
GLOBSEC POLICY INSTITUTE
The future of tech startups in Central & Eastern Europe
by Zuzana Pisoň
The pandemic is expected to have a significant impact on deals in the ecosystem and flows of US capital into European tech companies. This paper zooms into the CEE region, asking what are the most promising opportunities for tech entrepreneurs arising from the current market situation? What should be the current priorities of the EU and national governments in supporting tech startups to help them thrive? (8 p.)
EKONOMSKI INSTITUT, ZAGREB (INSTITUTE OF ECONOMICS, ZAGREB)
Theoretical concepts of consumer resilience to online privacy violation
by Jelena Budak, Edo Rajh, Sunčana Slijepčević et al.
This work aims to elaborate the theoretical concepts that might be applied in the research of consumer resilience to online privacy violation, a new and unexplored aspect of consumer behaviour in the digital environment. It contributes to the privacy resilience debate and lays the groundwork for developing a conceptual model of online consumer resilience that would explore how individual behaviour is affected after online privacy violation occurrence. (49 p.)
MAX-PLANCK-INSTITUT FÜR GESELLSCHAFTSFORSCHUNG (MAX PLANCK INSTITUTE FOR THE STUDY OF SOCIETIES)
The political economy of industrial policy in the European Union
by Fabio Bulfone @FabioBulfone
The great recession renewed calls for a
return of state activism in support of the
European economy. This paper shows how
state intervention never ceased to be a
crucial engine of growth across the EU. It
https://www.kas.de/documents/252038/7995358/Landwirtschaft+in+der+EU.pdf/454b1b00-941a-22ea-c7b6-a1ce25622723?version=1.0&t=1602743854043https://www.kas.de/documents/252038/7995358/Landwirtschaft+in+der+EU.pdf/454b1b00-941a-22ea-c7b6-a1ce25622723?version=1.0&t=1602743854043https://www.kas.de/documents/252038/7995358/Landwirtschaft+in+der+EU.pdf/454b1b00-941a-22ea-c7b6-a1ce25622723?version=1.0&t=1602743854043https://wms.flexious.be/editor/plugins/imagemanager/content/2140/PDF/2020/EPE_JB_Europe_as_a_global_standard-setter.pdfhttps://wms.flexious.be/editor/plugins/imagemanager/content/2140/PDF/2020/EPE_JB_Europe_as_a_global_standard-setter.pdfhttps://wms.flexious.be/editor/plugins/imagemanager/content/2140/PDF/2020/EPE_JB_Europe_as_a_global_standard-setter.pdfhttps://twitter.com/johanbjerkemhttps://www.globsec.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/The-Future-of-Tech-Startups-in-Central-Eastern-Europe.pdfhttps://www.globsec.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/The-Future-of-Tech-Startups-in-Central-Eastern-Europe.pdfhttps://hrcak.srce.hr/245205https://hrcak.srce.hr/245205http://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0007-3FFE-6http://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0007-3FFE-6https://twitter.com/FabioBulfone
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SECTION 2 - EU POLICIES
argues that the decline of the Fordist wage-
led production regime marked a turning point
in the political economy of industrial policy
with the transition from inward-looking to
open-market forms of state intervention.
(31 p.)
ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL AFFAIRS
EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT THINK TANK
What role for the European Semester in the recovery plan?
by Thomas Wieser
The author looks at the implications arising
from the focus of the recovery and resilience
plans (RRPs) in the context of the European
Semester. He suggests that there are risks
to the implementation of the RRPs, and/or to
an objective evaluation of their progress.
While the Treaty specifies that the execution
of economic policy coordination shall be
done by the MS within the Council, the
involvement of the EP would potentially
increase transparency and accountability for
national policy makers (as well as the
Commission and Council), which could
improve project delivery and thus benefit the
recovery. (28 p.)
EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT THINK TANK
What role for the European Semester in the recovery plan?
by Jacob Funk Kirkegaard
The paper argues that the political imperative
to ensure that the economic stimulus from
the EU’s new commonly funded facilities is
provided expeditiously will prevail against
desires to create a robust governance
framework for these funds within the
European Semester process. Moreover, the
pandemic-related suspension of the Stability
and Growth Pact creates a need to reform it
and to incorporate more of the Semester’s
agenda. (32 p.)
FOUNDATION FOR EUROPEAN PROGRESSIVE STUDIES
Inequalities in the European Semester
by Lorenza Antonucci @SocialLore and Francesco Corti
@f_corti1992
In the last decade, the economic architecture of the EU has faced major challenges and had to adapt fast to provide sound responses and remedies to several crises that undercut the income and the security of many Europeans. This paper addresses this and analyses the European Semester process, that after its creation became the pivotal tool for economic coordination in Europe and, in essence, it epitomizes the way to steer an economic doctrine across the EU, from the Commission and the Council to national governments and budgets. (58 p.)
KONRAD-ADENAUER-STIFTUNG
Is the European Semester waking from its long slumber? A call for increased convergence and competitiveness
by Oliver Morwinsky
According to the paper, the coronavirus crisis and its economic repercussions have further undermined economic harmonisation within the EU and revealed its inadequacies. Using the European Semester to distribute the majority of the funds from the next generation EU package is sensible but still in need of some clarification. Conditionality will be necessary here, coupled with the greater involvement of the EP. (10 p.)
LUISS SCHOOL OF EUROPEAN POLITICAL ECONOMY
Theory, evidence, and risks of the ECB’s asset purchase programme
by Pierpaolo Benigno, Paolo Canofari, Giovanni Di Bartolomeo et al.
In response to the Covid-19 crisis, the ECB has relaunched a massive asset purchase programme within its combined-arms monetary strategy. This paper presents and discusses the theory and the evidence of the central bank’s asset purchases, mainly in the euro area. It analyses the role of asset purchase programmes in the ECB’s toolkit
https://www.bruegel.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/IPOL_IDA2020651368_EN.pdfhttps://www.bruegel.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/IPOL_IDA2020651368_EN.pdfhttps://www.bruegel.org/author/thomas-wieser/https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/IDAN/2020/651370/IPOL_IDA(2020)651370_EN.pdfhttps://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/IDAN/2020/651370/IPOL_IDA(2020)651370_EN.pdfhttps://www.feps-europe.eu/attachments/publications/inequalities_in_the_european_semester%20online.pdfhttps://twitter.com/SocialLorehttps://twitter.com/f_corti1992https://www.kas.de/documents/252038/7995358/European+Semester.pdf/0c307f94-5537-5923-49e6-a8f5faf1fa3d?version=1.0&t=1602241251237https://www.kas.de/documents/252038/7995358/European+Semester.pdf/0c307f94-5537-5923-49e6-a8f5faf1fa3d?version=1.0&t=1602241251237https://www.kas.de/documents/252038/7995358/European+Semester.pdf/0c307f94-5537-5923-49e6-a8f5faf1fa3d?version=1.0&t=1602241251237https://sep.luiss.it/sites/sep.luiss.it/files/Theory,%20Evidence,%20and%20Risks%20of%20the%20ECB%20Asset%20Purchase%20Programme%20.pdfhttps://sep.luiss.it/sites/sep.luiss.it/files/Theory,%20Evidence,%20and%20Risks%20of%20the%20ECB%20Asset%20Purchase%20Programme%20.pdf
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SECTION 2 - EU POLICIES
and the potential associated risks, focusing specifically on the problems of the programmes’ unwinding. (37 p.)
EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT THINK TANK
Has the relaxation of capital and liquidity buffers worked in practice?
by Alexandra Matyunina and Steven Ongena
The authors explore the recent policy
decisions made by the ECB and the national
authorities related to capital, liquidity, and
shareholders’ remuneration aimed at
promoting credit supply from the banking
sector to the coronavirus-afflicted economy.
(29 p.)
SVENSKA INSTITUTET FÖR EUROPAPOLITISKA STUDIER (SWEDISH INSTITUTE FOR EUROPEAN POLICY STUDIES)
Är återhämtningsplanen början på överstatlig finanspolitik i EU?
by Harry Flam
In the wake of the pandemic, the EU
proposes that Union spending be financed
through joint borrowing. The plan does not
involve a full-fledged supranational fiscal
policy, but may in the long run reduce
opposition to more supranationalism, claims
the author. (SE -7 p.)
FUNDACIÓN ALTERNATIVAS
Un análisis integral de los efectos distributivos de la política monetaria no convencional en la Eurozona
by Juan Francisco Albert Moreno, Nerea Mª Gómez Fernández and Mehdi el Herradi
This paper studies the distributive effects of
the monetary policies measures recently
applied by the ECB. The authors also
propose some ideas to orientate this policies
in the near future to recover its effectiveness
in a context of extreme uncertainties. (ES -
70 p.)
LUISS SCHOOL OF EUROPEAN POLITICAL ECONOMY
Sovereign debt management in the euro area as a common action problem
by Stefano Micossi
This brief focuses on sovereign debt management in the euro area following the large increase in those debts due to the pandemic crisis; it reaches two main conclusions: sovereign debt externalities remain important in the euro area even in the new environment of permanently lowered interest rates; these externalities justify common euro area policies to deal with excessive sovereign debt accumulation and the attendant risks to the euro area’s financial stability. (19 p.)
LUISS SCHOOL OF EUROPEAN POLITICAL ECONOMY
An international role for the euro?
by Stefano Micossi
According to this paper, one proposition that
commands universal agreement is that the
euro deserves a greater international role,
justified by the size of the European
economy and the importance of its
international trade and financial markets. But
nothing of the sort has been happening: after
twenty years of existence, the euro’s use as
an international currency is more or less
comparable, in its various dimensions of
currency use, to the combined role of the
French franc and Deutsche mark before the
euro’s inception. (11 p.)
DEUTSCHES INSTITUT FÜR WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNG (GERMAN INSTITUTE FOR ECONOMIC RESEARCH)
Better off without the euro? A structural VAR assessment of European monetary policy
by Jan Philipp Fritsche and Patrick Christian Harms
Modern optimum currency area theory has developed different conclusions on when forming a currency union is beneficial. The authors put forward a pragmatic question in this context: did delegating monetary policy
https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/IDAN/2020/651374/IPOL_IDA(2020)651374_EN.pdfhttps://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/IDAN/2020/651374/IPOL_IDA(2020)651374_EN.pdfhttps://sieps.se/publikationer/2020/ar-aterhamtningsplanen-borjan-pa-overstatlig-finanspolitik-i-eu/https://sieps.se/publikationer/2020/ar-aterhamtningsplanen-borjan-pa-overstatlig-finanspolitik-i-eu/https://www.fundacionalternativas.org/public/storage/estudios_documentos_archivos/5deb8e5ce79cca2848f90b79433afe22.pdfhttps://www.fundacionalternativas.org/public/storage/estudios_documentos_archivos/5deb8e5ce79cca2848f90b79433afe22.pdfhttps://www.fundacionalternativas.org/public/storage/estudios_documentos_archivos/5deb8e5ce79cca2848f90b79433afe22.pdfhttps://sep.luiss.it/sites/sep.luiss.it/files/Sovereign%20debt%20management%20in%20the%20euro%20area%20as%20a%20common%20action%20problem.SM_.pdfhttps://sep.luiss.it/sites/sep.luiss.it/files/Sovereign%20debt%20management%20in%20the%20euro%20area%20as%20a%20common%20action%20problem.SM_.pdfhttps://sep.luiss.it/sites/sep.luiss.it/files/An%20international%20role%20of%20the%20euro%20.pdfhttps://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/diw_01.c.801225.de/dp1907.pdfhttps://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/diw_01.c.801225.de/dp1907.pdfhttps://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/diw_01.c.801225.de/dp1907.pdfhttps://www.diw.de/documents/publikationen/73/diw_01.c.801225.de/dp1907.pdfhttps://www.diw.de/sixcms/detail.php?id=diw_01.c.545898.en
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SECTION 2 - EU POLICIES
to the ECB increase stress in the individual euro area countries? A structural value at risk (VAR) analysis reveals that monetary stress has declined more in the euro area than in the euro areas’ doppelganger. The synthetic doppelganger is composed of other OECD countries. (59 p.)
BRUEGEL
New life for an old framework: redesigning the European Union’s expenditure and golden fiscal rules
by Zsolt Darvas @ZsoltDarvas and Julia Anderson
@juliaVanderson
This paper focuses on two aspects of the EU fiscal framework: whether an expenditure rule would be more reliable than a structural budget balance rule and the possible benefits and drawbacks of introducing a golden rule to exclude certain types of investment from the operational fiscal rule. (48 p.)
BRUEGEL
The economic growth and income distribution implications of public spending and tax decisions
by Zsolt Darvas @ZsoltDarvas
EU countries can reduce inequality of opportunity through public spending and tax decisions. According to the author, the most effective approach includes progressive taxes and inheritance taxes, spending on education, health and public infrastructure, and better government effectiveness. Better fiscal rules and institutions also increase resilience against crises. (16 p.)
EUROPEAN CREDIT RESEARCH INSTITUTE /CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN POLICY STUDIES
Key findings from the ECRI statistical package 2020
by Roberto Musmeci, Nagesh Kommuri and Xinyi Li
The European Credit Research Institute statistical package 2020 provides data on outstanding credit granted by monetary-financial institutions to households and non-
financial corporations for the period from 1995 to 2019. The publication comprises 45 countries including the EU MS, UK, EU candidate and EFTA countries as well as the US, Canada, Japan, Australia, Russia, Mexico and Saudi Arabia. (11 p.)
ΕΛΛΗΝΙΚO IΔΡΥΜΑ ΕΥΡΩΠΑΪΚHΣ ΚΑΙ ΕΞΩΤΕΡΙΚHΣ ΠΟΛΙΤΙΚHΣ (HELLENIC FOUNDATION FOR EUROPEAN FOREIGN POLICY)
In advocation of a European Minister of Economy and Finance
by Spyros Blavoukos and Dimitra Tsigkou
The idea of creating a European Minister of Economy and Finance is not new as it can be traced at least back to 2011 when the eurozone crisis started to deepen. This brief argues that this is an opportune time to reconsider the establishment of a High Representative for Economy and Finance, initially for the eurozone. (7 p.)
ELINKEINOELÄMÄN TUTKIMUSLAITOS (RESEARCH INSTITUTE OF THE FINNISH ECONOMY)
Markkinataloudesta ratkaisu ilmastonmuutokseen
by Aki Kangasharju @AkiKangasharju, Sami Pakarinen
@SaPakarinen and Mikko Spolander
@MikkoSpolander
The Covid-19 crisis shows that ending economic growth is not a viable response to the climate challenge, though it temporally reduces emissions. This report suggests that rather than abandoning the free markets, we should improve its prerequisites of operation, make sustainable consumption decisions, and speed up technological progress and productivity growth. (FI - 14 p.)
https://www.bruegel.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/IPOL_STU2020645733_EN.pdfhttps://www.bruegel.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/IPOL_STU2020645733_EN.pdfhttps://www.bruegel.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/IPOL_STU2020645733_EN.pdfhttps://www.bruegel.org/author/zsolt-darvas/https://twitter.com/ZsoltDarvashttps://www.bruegel.org/author/julia-anderson/https://twitter.com/juliaVandersonhttps://www.bruegel.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/WP-2020-05-FINAL1.pdfhttps://www.bruegel.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/WP-2020-05-FINAL1.pdfhttps://www.bruegel.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/WP-2020-05-FINAL1.pdfhttps://www.bruegel.org/author/zsolt-darvas/https://twitter.com/ZsoltDarvashttps://www.ceps.eu/download/publication/?id=30475&pdf=KeyFindingsECRI2020.pdfhttps://www.ceps.eu/download/publication/?id=30475&pdf=KeyFindingsECRI2020.pdfhttps://www.ceps.eu/ceps-staff/roberto-musmeci/https://www.eliamep.gr/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Policy-brief-136-final.pdfhttps://www.eliamep.gr/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Policy-brief-136-final.pdfhttps://www.etla.fi/wp-content/uploads/ETLA-Muistio-Brief-91.pdfhttps://www.etla.fi/wp-content/uploads/ETLA-Muistio-Brief-91.pdfhttps://twitter.com/AkiKangasharjuhttps://twitter.com/SaPakarinenhttps://twitter.com/MikkoSpolander
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SECTION 2 - EU POLICIES
EUROPEAN COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS
Defending Europe's economic sovereignty: new ways to resist economic coercion
by Jonathan Hackenbroich @j_hackenbroich, Janka
Oertel @oertel_janka,, Philipp Sandner et al.
The EU and its MS are biggest advocates and beneficiaries of a rules-based, open economic order. However, there is a real danger that Europeans will be squeezed in the middle of the Sino-American competition. These papers present several tools which the EU might adopt to combat the economic coercion from great powers and to protect and enhance European sovereignty in the geo-economic sphere. (50 p.)
MAX-PLANCK-INSTITUT FÜR GESELLSCHAFTSFORSCHUNG (MAX PLANCK INSTITUTE FOR THE STUDY OF SOCIETIES)
Rival views of economic competition
by Timur Ergen and Sebastian Kohl
This article serves as a mapping groundwork for reviving the systematic ethical debate on economic competition. The author's map of rival views lends itself to use as a structuring tool in empirical research on the moral economy and ideational embeddedness of capitalist societies, markets and firms. (29 p.)
EMPLOYMENT / SOCIAL POLICY / HEALTH AND
CONSUMER AFFAIRS
EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT THINK TANK
EU4Health programme
by Nicole Scholz
This brief analyses the EU4Health programme, part of the next generation EU recovery instrument, which is intended to boost the EU's preparedness for major cross-border health threats and improve health systems resilience across Europe. (9 p.)
WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
The future of jobs report 2020
The future of jobs report maps the jobs and skills of the future, tracking the pace of change. It aims to shed light on the pandemic-related disruptions in 2020, contextualized within a longer history of economic cycles and the expected outlook for technology adoption, jobs and skills in the next five years. (163 p.)
ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES
EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT THINK TANK
European climate pact pre-legislative. Synthesis of national, regional and local positions on the European Commission's initiative
by Claudio Collovà, Vera Vikolainen, Elise Habib et al.
This briefing summarises the state of affairs in the European climate pact field, examines how existing policy is working on the ground, and identifies best practices and ideas for the future on the part of governmental organisations at all levels of European system of multi-level governance. (12 p.)
INSTITUT FRANCAIS DES RELATIONS INTERNATIONALES
The renovation wave: a make or break for the European Green Deal
by Thibaud Voïta
Energy efficiency is a pillar of the European Green Deal and it is undoubtedly one of the biggest challenges. This paper argues that the renovation of buildings in European countries is insufficiently advanced and most buildings are inefficient, to the point that the targets set for 2030 are not expected to be achieved. (46 p.)
https://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/defending_europe_economic_sovereignty_new_ways_to_resist_economic_coercion.pdfhttps://ecfr.eu/wp-content/uploads/defending_europe_economic_sovereignty_new_ways_to_resist_economic_coercion.pdfhttps://twitter.com/j_hackenbroichhttps://twitter.com/oertel_jankahttps://pure.mpg.de/rest/items/item_3261646_1/component/file_3261647/contenthttps://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2020/659258/EPRS_BRI(2020)659258_EN.pdfhttp://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs_2020.pdfhttp://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Future_of_Jobs_2020.pdfhttps://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2020/659303/EPRS_BRI(2020)659303_EN.pdfhttps://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2020/659303/EPRS_BRI(2020)659303_EN.pdfhttps://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2020/659303/EPRS_BRI(2020)659303_EN.pdfhttps://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2020/659303/EPRS_BRI(2020)659303_EN.pdfhttps://www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/voita_renovation_wave_2020.pdfhttps://www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/voita_renovation_wave_2020.pdf
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SECTION 2 - EU POLICIES
HERTIE SCHOOL / JACQUES DELORS CENTRE
Building EU green bonds that deserve their name
by Lucas Guttenberg @lucasguttenberg and Sebastian
Mack @SebastianMack_
According to this brief, the EU should issue parts of the recovery instrument debt as green bonds and thereby boost that burgeoning market. This will depend on the criteria for climate-friendly spending in the legal texts governing the recovery instrument. If these are not strengthened, the Commission should scale back its ambition and should only issue green bonds for measures that fully match the criteria set out in the EU taxonomy regulation. (4 p.)
ISTITUTO AFFARI INTERNATIONALI
Green Deal Watch
by Luca Franza @Lufranza, Margherita Bianchi
@marghebianchi and Lorenzo Colantoni
This publication aims at monitoring and analysing the initiatives launched by the Commission and discussed by the EU institutions and MS under the umbrella of the Green Deal. (32 p.)
NOTRE EUROPE - INSTITUT JACQUES DELORS
European green transparency: lessons from France and further room improvement
by Jean-François Pons and Camille Le Ho
@Camille_LeHo
Using an example from France via article 173 of the energy transition for green growth act, this paper demonstrates how the non-financial reporting directive is currently insufficient to achieve the environmental objectives set by the EU. It proposes concrete recommendations for better involvement of financial and non-financial companies in the energy transition. (11 p.)
KONRAD-ADENAUER-STIFTUNG
CO2 -Grenzausgleich: Steuer oder Zoll für das Klima? Optionen für die EU
by Jan Cernicky and Armin Hartlieb
The EU is planning to introduce a CO2 border adjustment mechanism. But how should one design a CO2 border adjustment mechanism? This report presents three possibilities and discusses the respective advantages and disadvantages of these instruments. (DE - 8 p.)
FRIEDRICH-EBERT-STIFTUNG (FRIEDRICH EBERT FOUNDATION)
Climate action. Socially. Just : a manual of arguments for a fair and ecological society
by Sonja Schirmbeck, Victoria Stoiciu, Ivana Vuchkova et al.
The key message of this paper is that by changing our way of life, making it more compatible with our environment, we can prevent those dramatic changes for the worse, those consequences of a deteriorating climate that will affect each and every one of us. As our reaction to the Covid-19 pandemic illustrates, we are able to adjust and change our way of life, making it more sustainable, as well as our efforts to tackle the climate crisis. (77 p.)
ZENTRUM FÜR EUROPÄISCHE WIRTSCHAFTSFORSCHUNG (CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN ECONOMIC RESEARCH)
Short-term impacts of carbon offsetting on emissions trading schemes: empirical insights from the EU experience
by Claire Gavard and Djamel Kirat
The Paris agreement established a new
mechanism by which a country can offset
some of its emissions reductions in other
countries. This study analyses the short-term
impacts of these credits on the standard
carbon markets, using the EU experience
with accepting credits for compliance in the
second phase of its scheme. It also analyses
the structural relationship between the prices
of allowances and credits. (37 p.)
https://hertieschool-f4e6.kxcdn.com/fileadmin/2_Research/1_About_our_research/2_Research_centres/6_Jacques_Delors_Centre/Publications/20201016_Green_Bonds_Guttenberg_Mack.pdfhttps://hertieschool-f4e6.kxcdn.com/fileadmin/2_Research/1_About_our_research/2_Research_centres/6_Jacques_Delors_Centre/Publications/20201016_Green_Bonds_Guttenberg_Mack.pdfhttps://twitter.com/lucasguttenberghttps://twitter.com/SebastianMack_https://www.iai.it/sites/default/files/gdw_2.pdfhttps://twitter.com/Lufranzahttps://twitter.com/marghebianchihttps://institutdelors.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/PP_201027_GreenTransparency_Pons-LeHo_EN.pdfhttps://institutdelors.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/PP_201027_GreenTransparency_Pons-LeHo_EN.pdfhttps://twitter.com/Camille_LeHohttps://www.kas.de/documents/252038/7995358/CO2-Grenzausgleich+-+Steuer+oder+Zoll+f%C3%BCr+das+Klima.pdf/4158c8f0-f374-660c-45a9-688860e30e2a?version=1.0&t=1603884319710https://www.kas.de/documents/252038/7995358/CO2-Grenzausgleich+-+Steuer+oder+Zoll+f%C3%BCr+das+Klima.pdf/4158c8f0-f374-660c-45a9-688860e30e2a?version=1.0&t=1603884319710http://www.fes.de/cgi-bin/gbv.cgi?id=16561&ty=pdfhttp://www.fes.de/cgi-bin/gbv.cgi?id=16561&ty=pdfhttp://www.fes.de/cgi-bin/gbv.cgi?id=16561&ty=pdfhttp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp20058.pdfhttp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp20058.pdfhttp://ftp.zew.de/pub/zew-docs/dp/dp20058.pdf
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SECTION 2 - EU POLICIES
GENERAL AFFAIRS
NOTRE EUROPE - INSTITUT JACQUES DELORS
Rule of law conditionality: what could an acceptable compromise look like?
by Eulalia Rubio @eulaliarubio
According to this paper, the rule of law
conditionality is one of the thorniest issues in
the negotiations of the EU’s €1.8 trillion
budget and coronavirus recovery package.
When the EU leaders accepted in July the
principle of tying the EU funds to the respect
of the rule of law, the compromise was
written in ambiguous terms to have all 27
governments on board. (5 p.)
SVENSKA INSTITUTET FÖR EUROPAPOLITISKA STUDIER (SWEDISH INSTITUTE FOR EUROPEAN POLICY STUDIES)
Protecting the rule of law in EU member states and candidate countries
by Marko Kmezić @markokmezic and Florian Bieber
@fbieber
The rule of law is defined in the Treaty on European Union (TEU) as a shared value on which the Union is rooted. Despite already advanced EU policies to promote the rule of law, within as well as beyond EU borders, not only EU aspirants but also several EU MS are currently confronted with grave threats to the functioning of the rule of law. This text highlights a double challenge to the EU’s role in ensuring the rule of law within the Union and promoting it in future MS. (16 p.)
CLINGENDAEL - NETHERLANDS INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
The EU enlargement package. Can one bad apple spoil the whole barrel?
by Nienke van Heukelingen @nvanheukelingen and
Wouter Zweers @Wouter_Zweers
Turkey is a candidate country that, since 2016, has structurally moved away from the democratisation reforms expected by the EU. The article argues that if the EU wants to remain credible, it should start by formally
suspending the accession process with Turkey. Such a step is needed to send a clear signal to all candidate countries that discarding the spirit of European integration has clear consequences. (4 p.)
THE GERMAN MARSHALL FUND OF THE UNITED STATES
Civil society in Central Europe: threats and ways forward
by Nataliya Novakova
According to the author, the sustainability of NGOs in Central Europe has been negatively affected by a number of factors in recent years. One is the decrease of funding and the overly complex rules for access to the majority of the available streams. Another possibly more impactful challenge is the rise of populist governments that question democratic pluralism and persecute NGOs whose opinions do not correspond with the views of mainstream politicians. (19 p.)
JUSTICE AND HOME AFFAIRS
ΕΛΛΗΝΙΚO IΔΡΥΜΑ ΕΥΡΩΠΑΪΚHΣ ΚΑΙ ΕΞΩΤΕΡΙΚHΣ ΠΟΛΙΤΙΚHΣ (HELLENIC FOUNDATION FOR EUROPEAN FOREIGN POLICY)
Protecting data, ruling over the algorithm: the regulation challenge for the European Union
by George Pagoulatos @gpagoulatos and Vasiliki Poula
@VasilikiPoula
This brief explores the persistent challenge
of the exploitation of data in the commercial
and political context through microtargeting.
It draws the attention to the limits of
regulation in an era of constantly evolving
technology: finding ways to live with
technological evolution should also be an EU
priority. (10 p.)
https://institutdelors.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/PB_20101_Lawconditionality_Rubio_EN-1.pdfhttps://institutdelors.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/PB_20101_Lawconditionality_Rubio_EN-1.pdfhttps://twitter.com/eulaliarubiohttps://www.sieps.se/globalassets/publikationer/2020/2020_12epa.pdf?https://www.sieps.se/globalassets/publikationer/2020/2020_12epa.pdf?https://twitter.com/markokmezichttps://twitter.com/fbieberhttps://www.clingendael.org/sites/default/files/2020-10/Alert_The_EU_enlargement_package_Turkey_October_2020.pdfhttps://www.clingendael.org/sites/default/files/2020-10/Alert_The_EU_enlargement_package_Turkey_October_2020.pdfhttps://twitter.com/nvanheukelingenhttps://twitter.com/Wouter_Zweersfile:///C:/Users/liaskev/Downloads/Novakova%20-%20Civil%20Society%20Central%20Europe%20-%2012%20October_Final.pdffile:///C:/Users/liaskev/Downloads/Novakova%20-%20Civil%20Society%20Central%20Europe%20-%2012%20October_Final.pdfhttps://www.eliamep.gr/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Policy-paper-40-Pagoulatos-and-Poula-final.pdfhttps://www.eliamep.gr/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Policy-paper-40-Pagoulatos-and-Poula-final.pdfhttps://www.eliamep.gr/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Policy-paper-40-Pagoulatos-and-Poula-final.pdfhttps://www.eliamep.gr/en/members/english-george-pagoulatos/https://twitter.com/gpagoulatoshttps://twitter.com/VasilikiPoula
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SECTION 2 - EU POLICIES
INSTITUT DER DEUTSCHEN WIRTSCHAFT (IW, KÖLN) GERMAN ECONOMIC INSTITUTE
An economic analysis: open data and data sharing
by Alevtina Krotova, Armin Mertens and Marc Scheufen
This analysis shows that government data is a public good, while company data can be seen as a club or private good. The authors find that promoting legal certainty and the economic impact present important policy steps for fostering data sharing. (31 p.)
CENTRE FOR EUROPEAN POLICY STUDIES / QMUL TASK FORCE
Cross-border data access in criminal proceedings and the future of digital justice: navigating the current legal framework and exploring ways forward within the EU and across the Atlantic
by Sergio Carrera, Marco Stefan and Valsamis Mitsilegas
This report examines the ways in which data can currently be requested, disclosed and exchanged, under the EU legally binding criminal justice, privacy and human-rights standards, and in cooperation with third countries. It also looks at initiatives promoted by third countries and at the international level to establish various forms of cross-border public-private cooperation, before examining the e-evidence proposals currently discussed at the EU level. (99 p.)
TRANSPARENCY INTERNATIONAL
Exporting corruption. Progress report 2020: assessing enforcement of the OECD anti-bribery Convention
by Gillian Dell, Guilherme France, Jane Ellis et al.
The report rates the performance of 47 leading global exporters, including 43 countries that are signatories to the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) anti-bribery Convention, in cracking down on bribery of foreign public officials by companies operating abroad. The report shows how well – or poorly – countries are following the rules. (189 p.)
FRIEDRICH-EBERT-STIFTUNG (FRIEDRICH EBERT FOUNDATION)
Cementing European divisions: mapping of European attitudes towards migration
by Vera Messing and Bence Ságvári
The report asks whether the more positive attitudes towards immigrants, recorded in 2016/17, were ad hoc responses to an unexpected and singular event (or series of events) during the summer and autumn 2015, or part of a longer term trend. Another question is whether the previously recorded East - West divide in the attitude map of Europe remains valid also if we include a wider selection of countries from Eastern Europe. (15 p.)
EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT THINK TANK
Reforming asylum and migration management: a shift towards greater solidarity?
by Anja Radjenovic
This paper examines the new asylum and migration management proposal submitted by the Commission. It finds that, while the proposal 'essentially preserves' the current criteria for determining responsibility, it would also make changes and additions to the current regulation, especially on solidarity and responsibility-sharing for asylum-seekers among MS. (8 p.)
TRANSPORT / TELECOMMUNICATIONS /
ENERGY
INSTITUT FRANCAIS DES RELATIONS INTERNATIONALES
Le pari de la mobilité routière propre en Europe: état des lieux, stratégies et perspectives post Covid-19
by Marc-Antoine Eyl-Mazzega, Carole Mathieu and Eloïse Couffon
If the 2010s allowed the establishment of milestones for the decarbonisation of the electricity sector in the EU, the 2020s are those of the accelerated decarbonisation of the road transport sector. This report affirms
https://www.iwkoeln.de/fileadmin/user_upload/Studien/policy_papers/PDF/2020/IW-Policy-Paper_2020_Open_data.pdfhttps://www.iwkoeln.de/fileadmin/user_upload/Studien/policy_papers/PDF/2020/IW-Policy-Paper_2020_Open_data.pdfhttps://www.ceps.eu/download/publication/?id=30689&pdf=TFR-Cross-Border-Data-Access.pdfhttps://www.ceps.eu/download/publication/?id=30689&pdf=TFR-Cross-Border-Data-Access.pdfhttps://www.ceps.eu/download/publication/?id=30689&pdf=TFR-Cross-Border-Data-Access.pdfhttps://www.ceps.eu/download/publication/?id=30689&pdf=TFR-Cross-Border-Data-Access.pdfhttps://www.ceps.eu/download/publication/?id=30689&pdf=TFR-Cross-Border-Data-Access.pdfhttps://www.ceps.eu/ceps-staff/sergio-carrera/https://www.ceps.eu/ceps-staff/marco-stefan/https://images.transparencycdn.org/images/2020_Report_ExportingCorruptionFull_English.pdfhttps://images.transparencycdn.org/images/2020_Report_ExportingCorruptionFull_English.pdfhttps://images.transparencycdn.org/images/2020_Report_ExportingCorruptionFull_English.pdfhttp://www.fes.de/cgi-bin/gbv.cgi?id=16566&ty=pdfhttp://www.fes.de/cgi-bin/gbv.cgi?id=16566&ty=pdfhttps://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2020/659316/EPRS_BRI(2020)659316_EN.pdfhttps://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2020/659316/EPRS_BRI(2020)659316_EN.pdfhttps://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2020/659316/EPRS_BRI(2020)659316_EN.pdfhttps://www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/eylmazzega_mathieu_couffon_mobilite_routiere_propre_europe_2020.pdfhttps://www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/eylmazzega_mathieu_couffon_mobilite_routiere_propre_europe_2020.pdfhttps://www.ifri.org/sites/default/files/atoms/files/eylmazzega_mathieu_couffon_mobilite_routiere_propre_europe_2020.pdfhttps://www.ifri.org/fr/a-propos/equipe/marc-antoine-eyl-mazzegahttps://www.ifri.org/fr/a-propos/equipe/carole-mathieu
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SECTION 2 - EU POLICIES
that the transition to clean road mobility causes or accompanies major societal, technological and geo-economic upheavals. (FR - 68 p.)
CLINGENDAEL - NETHERLANDS INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
Europe’s digital decade? Navigating the global battle for digital supremacy
by Brigitte Dekker @BrigitteDekker_ and Maaike Okano-
Heijmans @MaaikeOh
Ursula von der Leyen set a clear goal for the EU by saying that "Europe must now lead the way on digital". This report aims to contribute to a sustainable approach to the digital field, as well as improved European policy-making, by discussing best practices of digital powers in Asia and the US and offering clues for a EU policy agenda. (45 p.)
PROGRESSIVE POLICY INSTITUTE
The third wave: how 5G will drive job growth over the next fifteen years
by Michael Mandel @MichaelMandel and Elliott Long
@elliott_h_long
According to this paper, 5G, because of its low latency and high throughput, won’t just be an evolution in technology, but a revolution. It will open the door to incredible innovation in both the private sector and the government – including augmented and virtual reality, precision agriculture, smart ports, transportation and logistics, autonomous vehicles, connected construction and so much more. (47 p.)
BERTELSMANN STIFTUNG/ ALGORITHM WATCH
Automating society report 2020
by Fabio Chiusi @fabiochiusi, Sarah Fischer, Nicolas
Kayser-Bril @nicolaskb et al. (eds)
The report shows that even though algorithmic systems are increasingly being used by public administration and private companies, there is still a lack of transparency, oversight and competence. It contains four more countries (Estonia,
Greece, Portugal, and Switzerland) to the 12 already analysed in its previous edition. It provides a broader picture of the automated decision-making (ADM) scenario in Europe. (297 p.)
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ECONOMY
Open RAN: the technology, its politics and Europe’s response
by Hosuk Lee-Makiyama @leemakiyama and Florian Forsthuber
This brief explores the implications of Open RAN concept and its technical and political developments in the mobile network industry. Open RAN is not necessarily a new technology in itself, but represents a combination of existing technologies, e.g. virtualisation, AI, commercial off-the-shelf parts and open interfaces. The question is whether Europe should try to sustain one common global umbrella of standards – or see the world balkanise into national or regional standards from 6G and onward. (16 p.)
WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
Cyber information sharing: building collective security
Cybersecurity is one of the most systemically important issues facing the world today. Information sharing is critical for empowering the global ecosystem to move from individual to collective cyber resilience. (26 p.)
INSTITUTE FOR GOVERNMENT
Policy making in a digital world: how data and new technologies can help government make better policy
by Lewis Lloyd @lewisalloyd
This report offers an overview of recent technological developments and where the main opportunities lie, highlighting the key challenges that need to be addressed and setting out how government might do so. (52 p.)
https://www.clingendael.org/sites/default/files/2020-10/Report_Europes_digital_decade_October_2020.pdfhttps://www.clingendael.org/sites/default/files/2020-10/Report_Europes_digital_decade_October_2020.pdfhttps://twitter.com/BrigitteDekker_https://twitter.com/MaaikeOhhttps://www.progressivepolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/PPI_The-Third-Wave-5G.pdfhttps://www.progressivepolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/PPI_The-Third-Wave-5G.pdfhttps://www.progressivepolicy.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/PPI_The-Third-Wave-5G.pdfhttps://twitter.com/MichaelMandelhttps://twitter.com/elliott_h_longhttps://www.bertelsmann-stiftung.de/fileadmin/files/user_upload/AutomatingSocietyReport20201028.pdfhttps://twitter.com/fabiochiusihttps://twitter.com/nicolaskbhttps://ecipe.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ECI_20_PolicyBrief_08_2020_LY03.pdfhttps://ecipe.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ECI_20_PolicyBrief_08_2020_LY03.pdfhttps://twitter.com/leemakiyamahttp://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Cyber_Information_Sharing_2020.pdfhttp://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_Cyber_Information_Sharing_2020.pdfhttps://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/sites/default/files/publications/policy-making-digital-world.pdfhttps://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/sites/default/files/publications/policy-making-digital-world.pdfhttps://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/sites/default/files/publications/policy-making-digital-world.pdfhttps://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/sites/default/files/publications/policy-making-digital-world.pdfhttps://twitter.com/lewisalloyd
21/34
SECTION 2 - EU POLICIES
EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ECONOMY
Economic costs of ex ante regulations
by Badri Narayanan and Hosuk Lee-Makiyama
@leemakiyama
The study highlights the economic impacts of shifting from ex post to ex ante in the online services sector as stipulated by the proposals for the digital services act. It estimates a loss of about 85 billion EUR in GDP and 101 billion EUR in lost consumer welfare, due to a reduction in productivity, after accounting for other control variables. (16 p.)
OŚRODEK STUDIÓW WSCHODNICH (CENTRE FOR EASTERN STUDIES)
Więcej Unii, mniej Rosji. Transformacja zasad przesyłu gazu w Europie Środkowej i Południowo-Wschodniej
by Agata Łoskot-Strachota @agata_loskot
The brief explores the current situation regarding the transformation of gas supply rules in the Central and South-Eastern Europe, noting that with the expiry of several long-term contracts with Russia, it is possible to regulate the transit pursuant to EU legislation and network codes to a greater extent. As a result, transparency, competitiveness and access to the EU infrastructure are on the rise. (PL - 9 p.)
EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT THINK TANK
Offshore wind energy in Europe
by Alex Benjamin Wilson
This briefing analyses the current situation in Europe of the offshore wind, a highly promising renewable energy source that could make a major contribution to global and European efforts to decarbonise the economy by 2050, and the EU´s position towards a common strategy. (12 p.)
WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
Joint policy proposal to accelerate the deployment of sustainable aviation fuels in Europe: A clean skies for tomorrow
This industry-backed policy package provides a clearly defined strategy to scaling sustainable aviation fuels in Europe, focused on measures that collectively increase both supply and demand signals for creating a balanced market. (25 p.)
https://ecipe.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ECI_20_OccPaper_07_2020_Ex-ante_Regulations_LY06.pdfhttps://twitter.com/leemakiyamahttps://www.osw.waw.pl/sites/default/files/komentarze_354.pdfhttps://www.osw.waw.pl/sites/default/files/komentarze_354.pdfhttps://www.osw.waw.pl/sites/default/files/komentarze_354.pdfhttps://twitter.com/agata_loskothttps://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2020/659313/EPRS_BRI(2020)659313_EN.pdfhttp://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_CST_Policy_European_Commission_SAF_2020.pdfhttp://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_CST_Policy_European_Commission_SAF_2020.pdfhttp://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_CST_Policy_European_Commission_SAF_2020.pdf
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SECTION 3 - FOREIGN AFFAIRS
SECTION 3 - FOREIGN AFFAIRS
FOREIGN AND SECURITY POLICY / DEFENCE
ULKOPOLIITTINEN INSTITUUTTI (FINNISH INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS)
EU peace mediation in the 2020s: from intervention to investment
by Tyyne Karjalainen @TyyneKarjalain
The EU is renewing its concept on strengthening EU mediation and dialogue capacities after more than a decade. The new concept is being launched at a time when international peace mediation is at risk of lagging behind in the face of accelerating power politics. This paper suggests that the EU has special abilities to build on in peace mediation, including exceptional resources for capacity-building and mediation support. (16 p.)
DEUTSCHE GESELLSCHAFT FÜR AUSWÄRTIGE POLITIK (GERMAN COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS)
Europäische Ostpolitik mit Augenmaß Warum derzeit personengebundene Sanktionen gegen Russland und Belarus besser sind als ein Strategiewechsel; warum derzeit gezielte personengebundene Sanktionen gegen Russland und Belarus besser sind als ein Strategiewechsel
by Rolf Nikel @NikelRolf
The poisoning of the Russian opposition Alexei Navalny and the massive electoral fraud in Belarus require a common European response that combines European values
and interests. The primary objective is to encourage the leadership in Russia and Belarus to cooperate and to discourage further attacks on democracy and human rights. (DE - 10 p.)
ULKOPOLIITTINEN INSTITUUTTI (FINNISH INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS)
EU strategic autonomy: a reality check for Europe’s global agenda
by Niklas Helwig @NHelwig
This paper analyses the current debate on EU strategic autonomy among European policymakers and think-tankers and evaluates it against the backdrop of the EU’s progress as a global actor in recent years. To bring more clarity to the debate, the paper distinguishes between a conventional and a global perspective on strategic autonomy. (13 p.)
FONDATION POUR LA RECHERCHE STRATÉGIQUE (FRS)
Europe, Germany and defence: priorities and challenges of the German EU presidency and the way ahead for European defence. An ambitious agenda meets Covid-19
by Claudia Major @ClaudMajor and Christian Mölling
@Ce_Moll
As the Covid crisis unfolded, most European states recognized the necessity of managing it together. For instance, with the adoption of the €750bn recovery plan, the EU seems to benefit from a new dynamism. According to the authors, the spillover of this dynamic into security and defence policy seems to be limited. A common understanding among Europeans is the precondition for joint European action. This is exactly where a key project of the German presidency comes in: the strategic compass aims to forge a European strategic culture. (15 p.)
https://www.fiia.fi/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/wp118_eu-peace-mediation-in-the-2020s.pdfhttps://www.fiia.fi/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/wp118_eu-peace-mediation-in-the-2020s.pdfhttps://twitter.com/TyyneKarjalainhttps://twitter.com/TyyneKarjalainhttps://dgap.org/sites/default/files/article_pdfs/dgap-policy_brief-2020-24-de.pdfhttps://dgap.org/sites/default/files/article_pdfs/dgap-policy_brief-2020-24-de.pdfhttps://dgap.org/sites/default/files/article_pdfs/dgap-policy_brief-2020-24-de.pdfhttps://dgap.org/sites/default/files/article_pdfs/dgap-policy_brief-2020-24-de.pdfhttps://dgap.org/sites/default/files/article_pdfs/dgap-policy_brief-2020-24-de.pdfhttps://dgap.org/sites/default/files/article_pdfs/dgap-policy_brief-2020-24-de.pdfhttps://dgap.org/sites/default/files/article_pdfs/dgap-policy_brief-2020-24-de.pdfhttps://dgap.org/de/user/15333/rolf-nikelhttps://twitter.com/NikelRolfhttps://www.fiia.fi/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/wp119_strategic_autonomy-2.pdfhttps://www.fiia.fi/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/wp119_strategic_autonomy-2.pdfhttps://twitter.com/NHelwighttps://www.frstrategie.org/sites/default/files/documents/publications/notes/2020/202063.pdfhttps://www.frstrategie.org/sites/default/files/documents/publications/notes/2020/202063.pdfhttps://www.frstrategie.org/sites/default/files/documents/publications/notes/2020/202063.pdfhttps://www.frstrategie.org/sites/default/files/documents/publications/notes/2020/202063.pdfhttps://twitter.com/ClaudMajorhttps://twitter.com/Ce_Moll
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SECTION 3 - FOREIGN AFFAIRS
KONRAD-ADENAUER-STIFTUNG / EUROPEAN POLICY CENTRE
Fostering Europe's strategic autonomy. Security and defence policy: time to deliver
by Giovanni Grevi and Paul Ivan @paul2ivan
In an increasingly competitive and uncertain international context, Europe's strategic autonomy becomes more necessary. The paper proposes various approaches to advance towards this goal and highlights the initiative launched by EU defence ministers in June 2020 to develop a 'strategic compass' to guide EU efforts in security and defence. A broad vision, including trade and investment policies, single market, technology and innovation, is needed. (20 p.)
GLOBSEC POLICY INSTITUTE
Third country participation in EU defence integration initiatives: how it works and how it is viewed by EU member states
by Kinga Brudzińska @KingaBrudzinska, Marcin
Zabo