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Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradianc as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10 Jul 2013 LYRA the Large-Yield Radiometer onboard PROBA2

Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

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Page 1: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance

as observed by LYRA on PROBA2

Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB

SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10 Jul 2013

LYRAthe Large-Yield Radiometer onboard PROBA2

Page 2: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

PROBA2

ESA’s “PRoject for On-Board Autonomy” Belgian microsatellite in Sun-synchronous orbit 725 km altitude Launched 02 Nov 2009 Nominal operations since March 2010 Technology and science mission 4 innovative instruments and 17 technological

experiments for in-orbit demonstration Among them the EUV imager SWAP and the

radiometer LYRA

Page 3: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

LYRA

“Large-Yield RAdiometer” 3 instrument units (redundancy) 4 spectral channels per head 3 types of detectors, Silicon + 2 types of diamond

detectors (MSM, PIN): radiation resistant, insensitive to visible light as compared to Si detectors

Page 4: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

LYRA Channels

Redundancy with different types of detectors: Channel 1 (Lyman-alpha) 120-123nm Channel 2 (Herzberg) 190-222nm Channel 3 (Aluminium) 17-80nm + <5nm Channel 4 (Zirconium) 6-20nm + <2nm

Page 5: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Instrument Artefacts

Data gaps Satellite rotations Occultations by Earth atmosphere Off-pointings Temperature variations Switch on/off

Page 6: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

GOES vs. LYRA Proxies

Manually select significant minimum per day Calculate proxy with simple linear formula

Page 7: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

3 ½ Years of Solar Development

(initially a by-product of the daily significant minimum)

Page 8: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

… also observed by SWAP and SDO/EVE

Page 9: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10
Page 10: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Another Instrument Artefact

Spectral degradation (drastic above 19nm): Channel 2-3 lost 93% of its initial response Channel 2-4 lost 44% of its initial response

Page 11: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Comparing

LYRA channel 2-3 LYRA channel 2-4 GOES 0.1-0.8nm Daily sunspot number

Page 12: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Comparing

LYRA channel 2-3 LYRA channel 2-4 GOES 0.1-0.8nm Daily sunspot number

Page 13: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Comparing

Another idea: Compare these… LYRA channel 2-3 LYRA channel 2-4 GOES 0.1-0.8nm Daily sunspot number … to flare indices

Page 14: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Comparing

Example: Maximum flare

strength and … LYRA channel 2-3 LYRA channel 2-4 GOES 0.1-0.8nm Daily sunspot number

Page 15: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

…now for Laure’s part…

Page 16: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

DATA

US

ED

GOES F10.7 (Penticton) CaIIK (SFO) Lyra4 Lyra3 TSI (Virgo / PMOD) Facular Area (SFO) Sunspot Area (SFO) Sunspot Numbers (from

SIDC)

Page 17: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Cross Correlations ISSN VS. all

Page 18: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Cross correlation Lyra3 vs. ISSN

Page 19: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Cross correlation Lyra4 vs. ISSN

Page 20: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10
Page 21: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Similarity map

Page 22: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Th

eore

tical te

mp

era

ture

com

pon

en

ts o

f Lyra

ch

an

nels

3 a

nd

4

Page 23: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

WHERE DOES WHAT COME FROM ?

Vernazza et al., 1981

CORONA

CHROMOSPHERE PHOTOSPHERE

Lyra 4 Lyra

3

Page 24: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Now what does this mean ?

GOES F10.7

HeI CaIIK MgII Lyman α

TSI Facular Area Sunspot Area

CORONA

TRANS.

CHROM.

PHOTOS.

Soft X-rays

EUV

Visible

Dudok de Wit, T. (2007)

Lyra 4 ?Lyra 3 ?

Page 25: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10
Page 26: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Shorter timescales (< 81 days)

Page 27: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

TIM

E

2010

2011

2012-2013

Page 28: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Longer timescales (> 81 days)

Page 29: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

Now

wh

at a

bou

t the

lon

g-te

rm e

volu

tion

of th

e in

stru

men

t ?

TIM

E

2010

2011

2012-2013

Page 30: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

THE BEGINNING

Page 31: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10
Page 32: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

TIM

E

2010

2011

2012-2013

Page 33: Correlation between sunspot numbers and EUV irradiance as observed by LYRA on PROBA2 Ingolf. E. Dammasch & Laure Lefevre, ROB SIDC Seminar, Brussels, 10

n : number of variablesm : time length

gives n different axesS gives the amount of variance

F107

Coordinates of F107 on all n axes

Ri

Singular Value Decomposition : How does it work ?