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Corporate social responsibility, local seniors, and corporate
dividend policy*
First draft: July 20, 2019
This draft: March 20, 2020
Xiang Dai, [email protected]
College of Business and Economics, Australian National University
Canberra, ACT, Australia
Jin Roc Lv**, [email protected]
College of Business and Economics, Australian National University
Canberra, ACT, Australia
Emma Schultz, [email protected]
College of Business and Economics, Australian National University
Canberra, ACT, Australia
* We would like to thank Tao Chen, Meijun Qian, Michael Weisbach, Qiaoqiao Zhu, and seminar participants at the Australian National University and the 2019 New Zealand Finance Meeting for their helpful comments and suggestions. We also gratefully acknowledge financial support received from the Australian Research Council [DP160103037].
** Corresponding author.
1
Corporate social responsibility, local seniors, and corporate
dividend policy
Abstract
The dividend irrelevance theorem predicts that a firm’s dividend policy is irrelevant to firm value
in a frictionless economy. Dividend clienteles create a friction that induces firms to pay dividends.
Existing literature documents that firms pay dividends in response to local seniors’ dividend
demand. However, the motivation for a firm to meet local seniors’ dividend demand is unclear.
We conjecture that a firm’s goodwill toward local seniors motivates the firm to pay dividends.
Consistent with our conjecture, we find that the response to local seniors’ dividend demand among
high-corporate social responsibility (CSR) firms is 34.0% greater than in low-CSR firms. The
positive relation between a firm’s CSR and its response to local seniors’ dividend demand is robust
to matched sample, instrumental variable, and alternative measurement analyses. Supplement tests
show that lower investor turnovers stemming from local seniors are unlikely to be a motivation for
dividend payment.
JEL Classification: G32; G35; M14; M41
Keywords: Corporate social responsibility (CSR); Local seniors; Dividends; Home bias
2
1. Introduction
Ever since Miller and Modigliani (1961) first showed that a firm’s dividend policy is
irrelevant to firm value in a frictionless economy (dividend irrelevance theorem), financial
economists have puzzled over what frictions induce firms to pay dividends and create the cross-
sectional variations in corporate dividend policy in reality. Previous studies have investigated the
effects of various frictions on dividend policy, such as taxes, agency relationships, and information
asymmetry.1 Compared to other frictions, the investors’ preference of dividends relative to capital
gains is less investigated. A group of investors who share a similar preference for dividends form
a dividend clientele. The dividend demand hypothesis predicts that firms adjust their dividend
policy to satisfy dividend clienteles. To test this hypothesis, Becker et al. (2011) exploit the
demographic variation in the fraction of seniors, namely, the residents who are 65 years old or
older, across counties in the US and use the fraction of local seniors (Local Senior) to measure
dividend preference of local investors in a county. Consistent with the dividend demand hypothesis,
they find that firms headquartered in counties with greater Local Senior are more likely to pay
dividends and pay more dividends. However, the motivation for a firm to meet local seniors’
dividend demand is still unclear.
We conjecture that a firm’s goodwill toward local seniors motivates the firm to respond to
local seniors’ dividend demand. However, it is empirically difficult to measure a firm’s goodwill.
We propose to use a firm’s corporate socially responsibility (CSR) performance as a proxy for its
goodwill towards local seniors and hypothesize that in high-CSR firms, which are more engaged
in CSR activities, the effect of local seniors on dividend payment is stronger than in low-CSR
1 Allen and Michaely (2003), Kalay and Lemmon (2008), and DeAngelo et al. (2009) provide a comprehensive list
of studies in this literature.
3
firms. Empirically, we use the MSCI ESG KLD STATS2 dataset to compute the adjusted CSR
score (CSR Adj) for each firm (e.g., Deng et al. 2013; Servaes and Tamayo 2013; Bereskin et al.
2018; Cao et al. 2019). High Adj = 1 identifies a high-CSR firm whose CSR Adj is in the highest
quartile in a year. Then we regress a firm’s dividend payment on Local Senior and the interaction
between Local Senior and High Adj. A positive coefficient of this interaction term will provide
empirical support for our conjecture that a firm’s goodwill toward local seniors motivates the firm
to pay dividends.
We use a sample of 36,173 firm-year observations in the US during 1991 – 2016 to test our
central hypothesis. In our baseline regression, both coefficients of Local Senior and the interaction
between Local Senior and High Adj are positive (0.456 and 0.155) and statically significant. While
the former confirms the dividend demand theory (Becker et al. 2011), the latter is consistent with
our central hypothesis that in high-CSR firms, the effect of local seniors on dividend payment is
stronger. Economically, the response to local seniors’ dividend demand among firms in the highest
CSR Adj quartile (High Adj = 1) is 34.0% (= 0.155/0.456 * 100%) greater than its counterpart
among firms in the lowest three quartiles (High Adj = 0).
We show that the positive relation between a firm’s CSR and its response to local seniors’
dividend demand is robust to a battery of additional tests. First, we conduct matched sample
analyses to address the selection bias problem. We use two methods to create the matched sample,
propensity score matching (PSM) and firm size and market-to-book ratio (MB) matching. Second,
we conduct instrumental variable (IV) analyses to alleviate the concern of potential endogeneity.
It is possible that some omitted variables of firm characteristics, such as financial constraints, lead
to both worse CSR performance and a lower effect of local seniors on dividend payment. We
2 Formerly KLD. MSCI acquired KLD in 2010.
4
exploit the staggered adoption of universal demand (UD) laws at the state-level in the US to design
an IV for CSR performance. Third, we repeat our baseline regressions with alternative measures
of dividend payment and CSR performance. In all these robustness tests, the relation between a
firm’s CSR and its response to local seniors’ dividend demand remains positive, underscoring our
conjecture that a firm’s goodwill toward local seniors motivates the firm to pay dividends.
In supplemental tests, we first show that when firms have higher CSR performance in the
dimensions concerning stakeholders outside the firms, such as environment, community, human
rights, and corporate governance, the effect of local seniors on dividend payment is stronger. On
the other hand, higher CSR performance in the dimensions concerning stakeholders inside the
firms, such as employees, diversity, and product safety and quality, have a marginal impact on or
even weaken the local dividend clientele effect. This finding is consistent with the notion that local
seniors, as the firm outsiders, have a stronger effect on the firm dividend policy if the firm are
more responsible to outsiders.
Second, we investigate an alternative motivation for a firm’s response to local seniors’
dividend demand. Becker et al. (2011) document that holding periods of local senior investors is
longer than that of the other investors and suggest that one motivation for firms to respond to local
seniors’ demand for dividends is the benefit from lower investor turnovers. We examine two
channels through which firms might benefit from lower investor turnovers: investments in research
and development (R&D) and mergers and acquisitions (M&As). Both investments in R&D and
M&As might cause firms to sacrifice short-term earnings for better performance in a long run. If
the motivation for a firm’s response to local seniors’ dividend demand is the benefit from lower
investor turnovers, we predict that firms that expose to a great dividend demand from local seniors
and meet their demand invest more in R&D and/or M&As. However, our empirical results
5
demonstrate a negative relation between dividend payment among firms that expose to a great
dividend demand and the investments in R&D and M&As, inconsistent with the notion that firms
respond to local seniors’ dividend demand in return for lower investor turnovers. Although we
cannot rule out all the benefits that dividend-paying firms could obtain from lower investor
turnovers, our empirical results on the R&D and M&A investments reinforces our argument that
a firm’s response to local seniors’ dividend demand stems from the firm’s CSR.
Our study contributes to the literature in three important ways. First, we lend support to the
dividend demand hypothesis. The dividend demand hypothesis predicts that firms pay dividends
to meet investors’ demand for dividends. Miller and Modigliani (1961) point out that a group of
investors who share a similar preference for dividends form a dividend clientele. Graham and
Kumar (2006) further conjecture that divided clienteles could affect firms’ financial and
managerial decisions. Becker et al. (2011) exploit the demographic variation in the fraction of local
seniors across counties in the US to test the dividend demand hypothesis and show that firms
headquartered in counties with greater factions of local seniors pay more dividends. We further
identify the goodwill toward local seniors as a motivation for firms to respond to the local seniors’
demand for dividends, providing additional support for the dividend demand hypothesis. More
broadly, our empirical results that support the dividend demand hypothesis also help to explain
why firms pay dividends and the cross-sectional variation in corporate dividend policy among
firms.
Second, we add to the research on CSR. Previous studies conduct economic analyses on
the outcomes of a firm’s CSR activities. For example, CSR activities can promote firms’ market
valuations (Clarkson et al. 2004; Servaes and Tamayo 2013; Albuquerque et al. 2018), increase
merger returns (Deng et al. 2013), and reduce the stock price crash risk (Kim et al. 2014).
6
Complementing previous studies on economic outcomes, we document the influence of a firm’s
CSR on its managerial decisions. Specifically, we highlight the effect of CSR toward a particular
stakeholder in the community, local seniors, and through local seniors, a firm’s CSR increases its
dividend payment. Moreover, our empirical findings evidence the costs of CSR activities: firms
that meet local seniors’ dividend demand invest less in R&D and M&As.
Third, we contribute to the growing literature on the local seniors’ investment behaviors
and their impacts. Becker (2007) show that because seniors prefer low-risk investments, the high
fractions of seniors in a county generate higher volumes of bank deposits, which in turn promote
the number of firms in the same county, particularly the numbers of manufacturing firms and new
firms. Lv et al. (2020) argue that lower turnovers caused by local senior investors result in lower
benefits from earnings management, so firms that face higher fractions of local seniors manage
earnings less. Becker et al. (2011) demonstrate that local seniors, due to their preferences for
dividends, increase the likelihood that firms in the local areas pay dividends. We further show that
the same fractions of local seniors may not have the same impacts on local firms. The impacts of
local seniors on local firms vary depending on the local firms’ CSR, i.e., how much local firms
feel goodwill towards seniors in their communities.
The remainder of the paper is organized as follows: Section 2 presents hypothesis
development; Section 3 describes our empirical method; Section 4 explains our baseline results on
the effect of a firm’s CSR on its response to local seniors’ dividend demand; Section 5
demonstrates the robustness of our main finding; Section 6 discusses the results of supplemental
tests; and Section 7 concludes.
7
2. Related literature and hypothesis development
2.1. Dividend irrelevance theorem and dividend clienteles
Miller and Modigliani (1961) show that a firm’s dividend policy is irrelevant to firm value
in a frictionless economy. Firm value is determined by investments, and investments and dividends
are independent and separable. Investors can create “homemade” dividends through appropriate
purchases and sales of equity, so they should have no preference between cash dividends and
capital gains and should not pay a premium for a firm with particular dividend policy. Therefore,
“homemade” dividends should not affect a firm’s investment policy or the firm value. However,
no economy is frictionless. Existing literature has investigated the effects of various frictions on
dividend policy, such as taxes, agency relationships, and information asymmetry.
Compared to other frictions, the investors’ preference of dividends relative to capital gains
is less investigated. In their original paper that develops the dividend irrelevance theorem, Miller
and Modigliani (1961) have also suggested a two-sided matching process between firms, which
set dividend policy, and investors with different preferences for dividends in the imperfect market.
A group of investors who share a similar preference for dividends form a dividend clientele.
Graham and Kumar (2006) provide direct evidence for retail investor dividend clienteles. They
use a panel data of a sample of retail investors to examine the individual retail investors’ portfolio
choices and trading behaviors. They find that cross-sectionally older and low-income investors
prefer dividend paying stocks, suggesting the age- and tax- induced retail investor dividend
clienteles. Moreover, the age-induced clientele is stronger than the tax-induced clientele.
8
2.2. Local senior dividend clientele and corporate dividend policy
In addition to providing evidence for dividend clienteles, Graham and Kumar (2006)
further conjecture that divided clienteles could affect firms’ financial and managerial decisions.
Becker et al. (2011) investigate the effect of dividend clienteles on corporate dividend policy. An
empirical difficulty to identify the dividend clientele effect lies in the measurement of dividend
clienteles in individual firms. The identification strategy in Becker et al. (2011) is based on two
notions. First, seniors prefer dividend paying stocks (Miller and Modigliani 1961; Shefrin and
Thaler 1988; Graham and Kumar 2006). Second, investors prefer equity in local firms within a
domestic market (Coval and Moskowitz 1999, 2001; Grinblatt and Keloharju 2001; Huberman
2001; Ivkovic and Weisbenner 2005; Massa and Simonov 2006). These two notions, taken together,
induce a local dividend clientele that in a county with a higher fraction of senior residents, who
are 65 years old or older, investors overall have a stronger preference for dividends.
Becker et al. (2011) find that firms headquartered in counties with higher fraction of seniors
are more likely to pay dividends and pay higher dividends. This finding provides evidence for the
effect of local senior dividend clientele on corporate dividend policy, which is referred to the
dividend demand hypothesis. Nevertheless, the motivation for a firm to meet local seniors’
dividend demand is still unclear. One of the most straightforward explanations for a firm to satisfy
local seniors is the firm’s goodwill towards local seniors. However, it is empirically difficult to
measure a firm’s goodwill towards local seniors and to investigate the interplay among firms’
goodwill, local seniors, and corporate dividend policy.
9
2.3. Corporate social responsibility, local seniors, and corporate dividend policy
We propose to use a firm’s CSR to proxy for its goodwill towards local seniors and
investigate whether a firm’s CSR affects its response to the local seniors’ demand for dividends.
Previous studies offer two explanations for the firms’ CSR activities: shareholder expense and
shareholder wealth maximization (Deng et al. 2013). According to the shareholder expense
explanation, firms engage in CSR activities at the expense of shareholders, so managers gain
reputation or popularity from other firm stakeholders, such as government, politicians, employees,
and universities (e.g., Garriga and Mele 2004; Pagano and Volpin 2005; Cespa and Cestone 2007;
Surroca and Tribo 2008; Cronqvist et al. 2009; Di Giuli and Kostovetsky 2014). The stakeholder
value maximization explanation suggests that implicit contracts exist between firms and
stakeholders, who supply critical resources or effort for firm development. A firm’s CSR activities
that benefit stakeholders motivate stakeholders to contribute more to the firm and eventually
increase the firm value.3 Previous studies demonstrate that CSR activities not only increase firms’
market valuations (Clarkson et al. 2004; Edmans 2011; Servaes and Tamayo 2013; Albuquerque
et al. 2018) and merger returns (Deng et al. 2013), but also reduce the stock price crash risk (Kim
et al. 2014) and the cost of capital (Dhaliwal et al. 2011; El Ghoul et al. 2011).
The two explanations for CSR activities are not mutually exclusive. It is possible that firms
engage in CSR activities at the expense of shareholders in short terms but enjoy other stakeholders’
contributions in long terms. Moreover, both explanations lead to the firms’ goodwill towards local
seniors, regardless of local seniors’ contribution to firm development. If in a county with a high
fraction of local seniors no firm pays dividends, local seniors have to either search for equity
investment opportunities outside their local areas, which will incur the searching cost (Coval and
3 We remark that the stakeholders who benefit from the CSR activities and the stakeholders who facilitate the firm
value increase are not necessarily the same.
10
Moskowitz 1999, 2001; Ivkovic and Weisbenner 2005), or trade stocks without dividends, which
will induce self-control cost (Thaler and Shefrin 1981; Shefrin and Thaler 1988; Graham and
Kumar 2006). Considering these costs, firms that are more socially responsible and feel more
goodwill toward local seniors, namely, high-CSR firms, will be more responsive to their demand
for dividends. Therefore, we propose our central hypothesis as follows:
Hypothesis: The effect of local seniors on dividend payment is stronger in the high-CSR
firms compared to low-CSR firms.
3. Empirical method
3.1. Research design
To empirically examine how a firm’s CSR affects its response to the dividend demand
from local seniors, we estimate the following regression model.
𝐷𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑖 ,𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 ∗ 𝐿𝑜𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑆𝑒𝑛𝑖𝑜𝑟𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽2 ∗ 𝐿𝑜𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑆𝑒𝑛𝑖𝑜𝑟𝑖,𝑡 ∗ 𝐻𝑖𝑔ℎ 𝐶𝑆𝑅𝑖,𝑡
+ ∑ 𝛾𝑗 ∗ 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑜𝑙𝑖,𝑡,𝑗
𝐽
𝑗=1
+ 𝜀𝑖,𝑡
(1)
where Dividend represents dividend payment in a firm. In our baseline regressions, Dividend is
Payer, which is a dummy variable equal to one if a firm pays dividends in a year. In a robustness
test, Dividend is Yield, which is the total dividend paid by a firm in a year, in a percentage of the
market value. The dividend measure is constructed at the end of a fiscal year. Local Senior is the
fraction of residents who are 65 years old or older in the county in which the firm is headquartered.
The interaction term, Local Senior * High CSR, is the variable of interest. High CSR is a dummy
variable equity to one if a firm’s CSR score is in the highest quartile in a year. Our central
hypothesis predicts that 𝛽2 > 0.
11
We follow previous studies (e.g., Deng et al. 2013; Servaes and Tamayo 2013; Bereskin et
al. 2018; Cao et al. 2019) to compute the adjusted CSR score (CSR Adj). MSCI evaluates a firm’s
social performance along seven major dimensions: environment (ENV), community (COM),
human rights (HUM), employee relations (EMP), diversity (DIV), product safety and quality
(PRO), and corporate governance (CGOV). In each dimension, MSCI identifies the firm’s
strengths and concerns. The firm gains (loses) one point for each strength (concern) indicator. In
each demission, the raw (adjusted) CSR score is equal to the raw (adjusted) strength score minus
the raw (adjusted) concerns score. While the raw strength (concern) score is equal to the number
of indicators, the adjusted strength (concern) score is equal to the raw CSR strength (concern)
score divided by the number of strength (concern) indicators. CSR Raw (CSR Adj) is equal to the
sum of raw (adjusted) CSR scores in all seven dimensions. In our baseline regression, we use CSR
Adj. In robustness tests, we also use CSR Raw and the adjusted CSR score in each of the seven
dimensions.
Furthermore, we include such control variables as Ln(Assets), Ln(1 + Age), ROA, Cash,
MB, Leverage, Inst. Holdings, Lagged Return, and Volatility. Most of them, except Inst. Holdings,
have been used to explain dividend payment in Becker et al. (2011). However, the variable
definitions are not exactly the same in our study and in Becker et al. (2011). For example, to
mitigate potential problems caused by autocorrelations, we avoid to use information more than
one years before a fiscal year end when constructing control variables. Therefore, we use the daily
returns within one year before a fiscal year end to construct Lagged Return and Volatility. 4
Institutional investors play a monitoring role in the firm’s operation (Edmans 2009; Edmans and
Manso 2011; McCahery et al. 2016), which will in turn affect the firm’s dividend decision;
4 Becker et al. (2011) construct Lagged Return and Volatility using monthly returns during two years before the
fiscal year end when the dividend measure is constructed.
12
therefore, we include Inst. Holdings as a control variable. More details on the variable definitions
are in Appendix A. In addition, we include the year and industry fixed effects in all regressions,
and the industry fixed effects are based on two-digit Standard Industry Classification (SIC) codes.
3.2. Sample and variables
First, we sample all firms in Compustat from 1991-2016. In this study, we focus on public
firms, so we eliminate firm-year observations when a firm does not appear in the CRSP database.
Second, to construct our key independent variable, Local Senior, we obtain the population data at
the county level from the US Census Bureau. We use the firm zip code in Compustat to identify
the county where the firm is headquartered. Firm-year observations without valid US zip codes
contain missing values of Local Senior and are excluded from our sample. Third, we require
observations to have data available in the MSCI database. Finally, our sample consists 36,173
firm-years in 7,434 county-years.
Table 1 presents statistics for county-level variables. During our sample period of 1991 –
2016, the numbers of counties and firms in a year both demonstrate increasing trends, mainly
because the coverage of MSCI increases over time. In particular, both numbers exhibit jumps in
the years of 2001 and 2003, consistent with Albuquerque et al. (2018).5 The variable of Local
Senior also increases over time because the aging population in the US increases over time (e.g.,
Poterba 2014; Maestas et al. 2016). For the same reason, the mean and median of Local Senior in
this study (0.131 and 0.123) are greater than those (0.116 and 0.115) in Becker et al. (2011).
[Place Table 1 here]
5 In robustness tests (untabulated), we partition our sample into two subsamples of pre-2002 and post-2003
(inclusive) periods and repeat the regressions on dividends. All results based on the two subsamples remain
qualitatively similar to those based on the full sample.
13
Table 2 presents statistics for firm-level variables. The mean and median of Local Senior
(0.121 and 0.122) are greater than their counterparts at the county level, suggesting that on average
firms are more likely to be headquartered in counties with lower Local Senior, consistent with
Maestas et al. (2016) who document a negative relationship between aging population and the
growth rate of gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. The medians of CSR Adj and CSR Raw
are -0.075 and 0.000, comparable to the statistics (-0.083 and 0.000) in Deng et al. (2013). CSR
Dimension, where Dimension = ENV, COM, HUM, EMP, DIV, PRO, or CGOV, is the adjusted
CSR score in a particular dimension. The medians and 75th percentiles of these adjusted CSR
scores in a dimension are equal to zero, suggesting the adjusted CSR scores in a dimension are
equal to zero in at least a quarter of the observations in our sample, consistent with the statistics in
Cao et al. (2019). Nevertheless, CSR Adj, CSR Raw, and the adjusted CSR scores in different
dimensions are highly correlated with each other. Appendix B provides correlations of all CSR
measures used in empirical analyses. The correlations between any two of the CSR measures,
expect the one between CSR HUM and CSR DIV, are positive and statistically significant.
[Place Table 2 here]
4. Baseline results
To test our central hypothesis, we regress Payer on Local Seniors, Local Seniors * High
Adj, and control variables, and Table 3 reports the associated regression results. In Columns (1) –
(3), we estimate ordinary least squares (OLS) models, while in Columns (4) – (6), we estimate
Probit models. The results from the OLS models and from the Probit models are qualitatively
similar. In Columns (1) and (4), we include Local Senior plus control variables. The coefficient of
14
Local Senior is positive and statistically significant, confirming the local dividend clienteles
documented in Becker et al. (2011). In Columns (2) and (5), we include both Local Senior and its
interaction with High Adj. The coefficient of Local Senior is still positive and statistically
significant; however, its magnitude becomes smaller compared to Columns (1) and (4). The
coefficient of Local Senior * High Adj is positive and statistically significant, suggesting that a
firm’s CSR increases its response to the dividend demand from local seniors. Economically, the
coefficient of 0.155 in Column (2) means the response to local seniors’ dividend demand among
firms in the highest CSR Adj quartile (High Adj = 1) is 34.0% (= 0.155/0.456 * 100%) greater than
its counterpart among firms in the lowest three quartiles (High Adj = 0). In Columns (3) and
Column (6), we further add CSR Adj to the regressions. The coefficient of CSR Adj is positive but
statistically insignificant. By construction, CSR Adj and Local Seniors * High Adj are highly
correlated, so the coefficient of Local Seniors * High Adj in Columns (3) and (6) becomes smaller
compared to Columns (2) and Column (5). Nevertheless, the coefficient of Local Seniors * High
Adj is still positive and statistically significant. Therefore, we conclude that the firms’ CSR is a
main reason for a firm’s response to the dividend demand from local seniors.
[Place Table 3 here]
The coefficients of all other variables in Table 3 are consistent with the intuition and
previous studies. For example, the coefficients of Ln(Assets) and Ln(1 + Age) are significantly
positively, suggesting that larger and more mature firms are more likely to pay dividends. The
coefficient of ROA is significantly positive, consistent with Jensen et al. (1992) who document a
positive relation between profitability and dividend payout. Firms that hold more cash are less
likely to pay dividends, so the coefficient of Cash is negative. The coefficient of MB is significantly
15
negative in the Probit models, suggesting that firms with higher growth opportunities are less likely
to pay dividends (Fama and French 2001; Becker et al. 2011). The coefficient of Inst. Holding is
significantly negative, consistent with Rubin and Smith (2009) and Chang et al. (2016). Finally,
the coefficients of Lagged Return and Volatility are both significantly negative. Lagged Return
proxies for the growth rate in the past, and the negative relationship between growth and dividend
payment agrees with previous studies (e.g., Rozeff 1982; Holder et al. 1998; Becker et al. 2011).
A greater Volatility suggests a higher uncertainty on the future earnings, leading to the lower
propensity that a firm pays dividends (Becker et al. 2011; Chang et al. 2016).
[Insert Table 3 here]
5. Robustness tests
5.1. Matched sample analyses
Our conclusion regarding the effect of a firm’s CSR on its response to local seniors’
dividend demand and its dividend policy suffers from potential selection biases. The dummy
variable High CSR Adj splits the sample into treatment and control groups, with High CSR Adj =
1 representing the treatment group. By construction, the number of firms with adjusted CSR scores
in the highest quartile is much smaller than that in the lowest three quartiles. We compare the effect
of Local Senior on Payer in these two groups of firms to identify the positive relation between a
firm’s CSR and its response to the dividend demand. However, any conclusion based on the
comparison of two groups with unbalanced sample sizes is very sensitive to the outliers in the
smaller group. To mitigate the effect of this section bias, we conduct matched sample analyses to
evaluate the effect of a firm’s CSR on its response to the dividend demand.
16
We use two methods to create the matched sample. First, we employ PSM and calculate
propensity scores with the following Logit model:
𝐻𝑖𝑔ℎ 𝐴𝑑𝑗 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 ∗ 𝐿𝑜𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑆𝑒𝑛𝑖𝑜𝑟 + ∑ 𝛾𝑗 ∗ 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑜𝑙𝑗
𝐽
𝑗=1
+ 𝜀 (2)
where we include the same set of control variables used in Table 3. The sample used to estimate
the Logit model consists of firms with the adjusted CSR scores in the highest (treatment group)
and the lowest two (control group) quartiles. The Logit model produces a propensity score for each
observation in the sample. Based on propensity scores, we create a one-to-one match for each
observation in the treatment group without replacement. As a result, the sample based on PSM
consists of 16,612 observations.
Second, we create a matched sample based on the firm size and MB. For each observation
in the treatment group, we search for its matching candidates in the same year and in the same
industry from the control group. We require matching candidates’ sizes (the book value of total
assets) to be within the range of 75 – 125% of the treatment observation. Next, we choose the firm
that has the closest MB with the treatment observation that meets the size requirement (one-to-one
match). Due to the positive relation between firm size and CSR scores (e.g., Dhaliwal et al. 2011;
Benlemlih and Bitar 2018; Bae et al. 2019), we cannot find matches for some large firms in the
treatment group. As a result, the sample based on such a size-MB matching process consists of
11,454 observations.6 Table 4 reports the regression results on the matched sample analysis.
Regardless of the matching method, the coefficient of Local Senior * High Adj is always positive
6 In robustness tests (untabulated), we change the matching process by searching for candidates whose MBs are within
the range of 75 – 125% of the treatment observation first. Such a MB-size matching process generates a greater sample
size (15,402 observations) than the size-MB matching process. However, the regression results are qualitatively similar
regardless of the matching process.
17
and statistically significant, highlighting the effect of a firm’s CSR on its response to local seniors’
dividend demand after controlling for the potential selection bias.
[Place Table 4 here]
5.2. Instrumental variable analysis
In addition to selection biases, endogeneity is another concern that might affect the
conclusion regarding the effect of a firm’s CSR on its response to local seniors’ dividend demand.
The difference in the response to local seniors’ dividend demand between high CSR firms and low
CSR firms could stem from omitted variables of firm characteristics. For example, financially
constrained firms have significantly lower payout ratios (e.g., Fazzari et al. 1988; Almeida et al.
2004; Whited and Wu 2006; Almeida and Campello 2010), exhibiting a lower response to local
seniors’ dividend demand; meanwhile, a firm’s financial constraints reduce its investment in CSR
activities (Goetz 2018). These two effects of financial constraints generate the difference in the
response to local seniors’ dividend demand between high CSR and low CSR firms, which,
however, does not reflect the effect of a firm’s CSR on its dividend response.
To alleviate the endogeneity concern, we exploit the staggered adoption of UD laws at the
state-level in the US to design IV regressions. In the US, derivation actions allow shareholders to
initiate lawsuits against managers on behalf of a corporation. UD laws impose obstacles against
shareholders filing such derivative lawsuits and accordingly reduce firms’ litigation risk. Since
1989, 23 states and the District of Columbia have adopted UD laws (e.g., see Boone et al. 2018;
Bourveau et al. 2018; Li et al. 2018; Nguyen et al. 2018; Lin et al. 2019). Previous studies
document the effect of UD laws on various corporate operations, such as corporate disclosure
(Boone et al. 2018; Bourveau et al. 2018), corporate cash policy (Nguyen et al. 2018), R&D
18
expense (Lin et al. 2019), and selling, general, and administrative expense (Li et al. 2018). In
addition, Koh et al. (2014) suggest that firms use CSR activities as an insurance mechanism against
litigation risk. Taken together, we predict that under UD laws, firms face lower litigation risk and
are less engaged in CSR activities. On the other hand, the adoption of UD laws is unlikely to
directly affect a firm’s response to local seniors’ dividend demand. Therefore, we use the adoption
of UD laws as an IV for CSR scores and estimate the following IV regression model:
𝐶𝑆𝑅 𝐴𝑑𝑗𝑖,𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 ∗ 𝑈𝐷 𝐿𝑎𝑤𝑖,𝑡 + ∑ 𝑆𝑡𝑎𝑡𝑒𝑘
𝐾
𝑘=1
+ ∑ 𝛾𝑗 ∗ 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑜𝑙𝑖,𝑡,𝑗 +
𝐽
𝑗=1
𝜀𝑖,𝑡 (3)
𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑑[𝐻𝑖𝑔ℎ 𝐴𝑑𝑗𝑖,𝑡] = {10
𝑖𝑓 𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑑[𝐶𝑆𝑅 𝐴𝑑𝑗𝑖,𝑡] > 𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑑[𝑃75]𝑡
𝑂𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑤𝑖𝑠𝑒 (4)
𝐷𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑖,𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 ∗ 𝐿𝑜𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑆𝑒𝑛𝑖𝑜𝑟𝑖,𝑡 + 𝛽2 ∗ 𝐿𝑜𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑆𝑒𝑛𝑖𝑜𝑟𝑖,𝑡
∗ 𝑃𝑟𝑒𝑑[𝐻𝑖𝑔ℎ 𝐴𝑑𝑗𝑖,𝑡] + ∑ 𝛾𝑗 ∗ 𝐶𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑜𝑙𝑖,𝑡,𝑗
𝐽
𝑗=1
+ 𝜀𝑖,𝑡
(5)
In the first-stage regression (Equation (3)), we employ a difference-in-differences method
to predict a firm’s adjusted CSR scores. UD Lawi,t is a dummy variable equal to one if a firm i is
incorporate in a state where a UD law is effective in year t. Statek controls for the fixed effect of
the state of incorporation. In addition, we include the same set of control variables used in Table
3. Column (1) in Table 5 reports the associated regression results. The coefficient of UD Law is
statistically negative at the significance level of 1%. This negative coefficient is consistent with
the notion that firms use CSR activities as an insurance mechanism against litigation risk,
suggesting that UD Law is a valid IV for CSR scores.
19
[Place Table 5 here]
In the second-stage regression (Equation (5)), we replace High Adj in our baseline
regressions with the predicted High Adj from the first-stage regression (Pred[High Adj]). Equation
(4) presents a nonlinear relation between Pred[CSR Adj] from the first stage and Pred[High Adj]
used in the second stage. Pred[High Adj] = 1 when a firm’s Pred[CSR Adj] is greater than the 75th
percentile of Pred[CSR Adj] of all firms. Due to this nonlinear relation, we estimate the first-stage
and second-stage regressions separately. To correct the standard errors in the second-stage
regressions, we bootstrap observations 200 times and estimate bootstrap standard errors. Columns
(2) and (3) in Table 5 report the associated regression results.7 In both the OLS and Probit models,
the coefficient of Local Senior * High Adj is positive and statistically significant. Moreover, the
relative difference between the two coefficients of Local Senior * High Adj and Local Senior is
even greater in IV regressions than in baseline regressions, suggesting that omitted variables affect
a firm’s CSR score and its response to the dividend demand in opposite ways. Endogeneity creates
biases against us finding a positive relation between the two. To sum up, our conclusion regarding
the effect of a firm’s CSR on its response to local seniors’ dividend demand is robust to the control
for potential endogeneity.
5.3. Alternative measurements of dividends and CSR
We have used Payer and CSR Adj to establish the effect of a firm’s CSR on its response to
local seniors’ dividend demand. In this subsection, we use alternative measures of Payer and CSR
7 In robustness tests (untabulated), we estimate the OLS and Probit models without bootstrapping, and the coefficients
of all independent variables are almost the same to the reported coefficients. However, both the standard errors and
the associated p-values are much smaller.
20
Adj to evaluate this effect. First, we follow Becker et al. (2011) and use Yield, the total dividend
in the percentage of the market value, as an alternative for Payer. Table 6 reports the regression
results with Yield as the dependent variable. Due to the large number of firms that do not pay
dividends, we estimate Tobit models (Columns (2) and (4)) in addition to OLS models (Columns
1 and 3). In all four columns, the coefficients of Local Seniors and Local Seniors * High Adj are
positive, confirming both local dividend clienteles and the effect of a firm’s CSR on the dividend
response. However, these coefficients are not as significant as its counterparts in Table 3 and Table
4 based on the associated p-values, suggesting that local seniors affect the firm’s decision on
whether to pay dividends more than the dividend level (Becker et al. 2011). In addition, the
coefficient of Local Seniors * High Adj in the regressions using the full sample has smaller
magnitudes and greater p-values that that using the PSM sample. In the PSM sample, we exclude
firms with adjusted CSR scores in the second highest quartile. As a result, the difference in CSR
between firms with High Adj = 0 and High Adj = 1 becomes greater, and the regression analyses
are more likely to identify the difference in firms’ responses to local seniors’ dividend demand
between these two groups of firms.
[Place Table 6 here]
Second, we follow Deng et al. (2013) and use CSR Raw, the raw CSR scores, as an
alternative for CSR Adj. Table 7 reports the associated regression results. A potential drawback in
the CSR Raw measure is lack of comparability across years and dimensions. The numbers of
strengthen and concern indicators vary significantly over time even in a dimension (Manescu
2011). However, this drawback should have a much smaller impact on the empirical results in our
study than others (e.g., Manescu 2011; Deng et al. 2013; Cao et al. 2019), due to our research
21
design that requires only a dummy variable indicating whether a firm have a high CSR score.
Indeed, we find in both columns of Table 7 that the coefficient of Local Seniors * High Raw is
positive and statistically significant, and its magnitudes and p-values are very close to those of the
coefficient of Local Seniors * High Adj in Table 3. The regression results in Table 6 and Table 7,
taken together, demonstrate that our conclusion regarding the effect of a firm’s CSR on its response
to local seniors’ dividend demand is robust to the alternative measures for both dividend and CSR.
[Place Table 7 here]
6. Supplemental tests
6.1. CSR dimensions
We further explore the relation between adjusted CSR scores in seven individual
dimensions and firms’ responses to local seniors’ divided demand. The seven dimensions reflect
a firm’s CSR toward different stakeholders. We approximately classify these stakeholders into
outsiders and insiders of a firm. CSR activities in the dimensions of environment, community,
human rights, and corporate governance demonstrate a firm’s CSR toward outsiders, while CSR
activities in employees, diversity, and product safety and quality reflect a firm’s CSR toward
insiders.8
We conjecture that firms that demonstrate higher CSR toward outsiders are more likely to
feel goodwill toward local seniors and pay dividends to meet the local seniors’ need. To this end,
we predict that when a firm has a higher adjusted CSR score in the dimensions concerning
outsiders, the effect of Local Seniors on Payer is stronger. To test this prediction, we replace High
8 We acknowledge that such a classification is not accurate. For example, the CSR activities in the corporate
governance dimension could be perceived as a mechanism for mitigating the principal-agent conflict (Shleifer and
Vishny 1997; Cao et al. 2019). At the same time, the CSR activities in the corporate governance dimension include
controversial investments that cause negative social and environmental impacts.
22
Adj in our baseline regression in Column (2) of Table 3 with the adjusted CSR score in each of the
seven dimensions, High Dimension. Table 8 reports the associated regression results. Consistent
with our prediction, when High Dimension is constructed in the dimensions concerning outsiders
(i.e., environment, community, human rights, and corporate governance), the coefficient of Local
Seniors * High Dimension is positive and statistically significant. On the other hand, when High
Dimension is constructed in the dimensions concerning insiders (i.e., employees, diversity, and
product safety and quality), the coefficient of Local Seniors * High Dimension is insignificant or
even significantly negative. The different results using High Dimension based on outsider-
concerning and insider-concerning dimensions suggest a substitutive relationship between a firm’s
CSR toward outsiders and insiders. Such a substitutive relationship could be due to the firm’s
budget constraints on the CSR expense or the firm’s preference. In summary, the results in Table
8 demonstrate that when a firm exhibits higher CSR toward outsiders, its response to local seniors’
dividend demand is greater.
[Place Table 8 here]
6.2. Alternative motivation for a firm’s response to local seniors’ dividend demand
Becker et al. (2011) document that holding periods of local senior investors is longer than
that of the other investors and suggest that one motivation for firms to respond to local seniors’
demand for dividends is the benefit from lower investor turnovers. In this subsection, we
investigate two channels through which firms might benefit from lower investor turnovers. The
first channel is R&D expense. Previous studies (e.g., Baber et al. 1991; Bushee 1998; Asker et al.
2014; Edmans et al. 2017) show that firms cut R&D expense to boost the short-term earnings/stock
prices. Firms with lower investor turnovers bear lower pressures to meet short-term earnings goals
23
and are engaged in more R&D activities. Indeed, Bushee (1998) and Harford et al. (2018)
document that lower investor turnovers lead to higher R&D expense and corporate innovations.
When firms that expose to a great dividend demand from local seniors and meet their demand
attract more local senior investors and enjoy lower turnovers, we predict that these firms invest
more in R&D. To test this prediction, we regress R&D expense on the dividend payment in a
sample of firms that expose to a great dividend demand from local seniors.
We construct the sample of firms that expose to a great local dividend demand in two ways.
First, we conjecture that firms with Local Senior in the highest quartile have pressure to pay
dividends to local seniors, and these firms form a high Local Senior sample. Second, we regress
Payer on Local Senior along with control variables and use the predicted Payer to identify whether
a firm is expected to meet local seniors’ dividend demand. The firms with predicted Payer equal
to one form the predicted Payer sample. We regress R&D expense on Payer in these two samples,
respectively. Table 9 reports the associated regression results. In all four columns, the coefficient
of Payer is negative and statistically significant, inconsistent with our prediction that firms that
meet local seniors’ demand for dividends invest more in R&D. Moreover, the negative relation
between Payer and R&D expense suggests that firms that meet local seniors’ demand for dividends
are subject to greater financial constraints and reduce R&D expense.
[Place Table 9 here]
In addition to the channel of R&D expense, we investigate whether firms benefit from
lower investor turnovers through M&As. M&As are among the largest investments in a firm
(Betton et al. 2008). M&As provide firm with a unique opportunity for fast and inorganic growth
(e.g., Alexandridis et al. 2017; Renneboog and Vansteenkiste 2018). However, compared to
24
organic growth, inorganic growth adds greater risk to firms and might upset a firm’s short-term
earnings. Accordingly, short-term shareholders are more tolerant toward inorganic growth and
growth risk than long-term (low-turnover) shareholder. Therefore, we predict that firms that (1)
expose to a great dividend demand from local seniors and meet the demand are more likely to
conduct M&As, and (2) the uncertainty of their M&A performance is greater.
To test these predictions, we develop three dependent variables on M&As for regression
analyses. First, M&A Dummy, which is equal to one if a firm conducts an M&A during a year,
captures the likelihood of M&As. The second (third) measure, Low CAR (High CAR), is a dummy
variable equal to one if a firm conducts an M&A whose three-day announcement return is smaller
(greater) than the 10th (90th) percentile of all M&A announcement returns in a year.9 Low CAR
and High CAR together capture the M&A performance uncertainty. We regress these three
variables on dividend payment in a sample of firms that expose to a great dividend demand from
local seniors. A positive relation between dividend payment and M&A Dummy (Low CAR or High
CAR) will provide empirical evidence for our first (second) prediction on M&As.
We use the Thomson Financial Securities Data Corporation (SDC) Mergers and
Acquisitions database to identify an initial sample of M&As. We follow the M&A literature (e.g.,
Dhaliwal et al. 2016; Eckbo et al. 2018) and require a minimum deal size (relative size) of $10
million (1% of the acquirer’s total book assets).10 Table 10 reports the regression results of Probit
models on M&As. Similar to Table 9, we estimate all the regression models on M&As using both
the high Local Senior sample (Columns (1) – (3)) and the predicted Payer sample (Columns (4) –
9 It is possible that a firm conducts multiple M&As during a year. As long as one of them has an announcement return
smaller (greater) than the 10th (90th) of all M&A announcement returns in the same year, Low CAR (High CAR) is
assigned a value of one. 10 The final sample consists of 19,952 M&As from 1991 – 2016. The number of M&As divided by the total number
of firm-year observations (36,173) in our baseline regressions is greater than the mean of M&A Dummy (0.157) for
two reasons. First, not all acquirers have CSR scores available. Second, a firm could conduct multiple M&As during
a year.
25
(6)). In all columns, the coefficient of Payer is negative, inconsistent with our predictions that
firms that meet local seniors’ demand for dividends conduct more M&As and that their M&A
performance uncertainty is greater. Moreover, in Columns (1), (4), and (2), the coefficient of Payer
is statistically negative at the significance level of 1%, 1%, and 5%, suggesting that firms that meet
local seniors’ demand for dividends are subject to greater financial constraints and are less likely
to conduct M&As and risky M&As particularly.
[Place Table 10 here]
Taken together, the results in Table 9 and Table 10 show that firms that pay dividends
cannot benefit from lower turnovers through the channel of R&D expense or M&As, which
reinforces our argument that a firm’s response to local seniors’ dividend demand stems from the
firm’s CSR. Moreover, as a CSR activity, a firm’s dividend payment in response to local seniors’
demand is costly and results in a lower investment in R&D and M&As.
7. Conclusion
Becker et al. (2011) demonstrate that a firm headquartered in a county with a higher
fraction of senior residents is more likely to pay dividends. However, the motivation for firms to
respond to local seniors’ dividend demand remains a puzzle. We conjecture that one motivation
stems from the firm’s CSR and hypothesize that in the high-CSR firms, the effect of local seniors
on dividend payment is stronger. We test our hypothesis in a sample of 36,173 firm-year
observations from 1991 – 2016. Our regression analyses provide empirical support for our
hypothesis. Economically, the response to local seniors’ dividend demand among firms in the
highest CSR quartile is 34.0% greater than its counterpart among firms in the lowest three quartiles.
26
The positive relation between a firm’s CSR and its response to local seniors’ dividend demand is
robust to a battery of additional tests, such as matched sample, IV, and alternative measurement
analyses.
In supplemental tests, we first show that when a firm has higher CSR for stakeholders
outside the firm (firm outsiders), the effect of local seniors on dividend payment is stronger. On
the other hand, higher CSR for stakeholders inside the firm (firm insiders) has a marginal effect
on or even weaken the firm’s response to local seniors’ dividend demand. This finding is consistent
with the notion that local seniors, as firm outsiders, have a stronger effect on a firm’s dividend
policy if the firm are more concerned with firm outsiders. Second, we show that firms that meet
local seniors’ demand for dividends do not benefit from lower investor turnovers. Our results
suggest that a firm’s dividend payment in response to local seniors’ demand is a CSR activity,
which is costly and results in a lower investment in R&D and M&As. The failure to identify
empirical evidence for a dividend payer’s benefits from lower turnovers, however, underscores
our argument that a firm’s response to local seniors’ dividend demand stems from the firm’s CSR.
Our study contributes to the literature in three important ways. First, we lend support to
the dividend demand hypothesis by identifying the goodwill toward local seniors as a motivation
for firms to respond to local seniors’ demand for dividends. Second, we add to the research on
CSR by highlighting a firm’s CSR toward a particular stakeholder in the community, local seniors.
Third, we extend the literature on local seniors’ investment behaviors and their impacts. However,
many issuers on local dividend clienteles remain open. For example, when high-CSR firms meet
local seniors’ demand for dividends, the cost for local seniors to search for dividend-paying stocks
is reduced. It will be interesting for future research to examine whether the variation in firms’ CSR
and the associated stock-searching costs for investors could create arbitrage opportunities.
27
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Economy 89, 392-406.
Whited, T.M., Wu, G., 2006. Financial Constraints Risk. The Review of Financial Studies 19,
531-559.
32
Table 1: County-level variables
This table reports statistics of key county-level variables during 1991-2016. Local Senior is the fraction of residents who are 65 years old or older in a county. Number of Firms is the number of firms in a county. The sample consists 36,173 firm-years in 7,434 county-years.
Year Number of counties Local Senior Number of Firms
mean median mean median total
1991 121 0.122 0.124 2.322 1 281
1992 125 0.122 0.124 2.320 1 290
1993 131 0.122 0.124 2.290 1 300
1994 130 0.122 0.124 2.292 1 298
1995 130 0.122 0.123 2.346 1 305
1996 133 0.122 0.122 2.444 1 325
1997 137 0.121 0.121 2.504 1 343
1998 143 0.121 0.119 2.441 1 349
1999 154 0.120 0.118 2.435 1 375
2000 153 0.119 0.117 2.595 1 397
2001 211 0.122 0.119 3.483 2 735
2002 217 0.121 0.119 3.571 2 775
2003 422 0.126 0.123 4.841 1 2043
2004 403 0.124 0.123 5.288 2 2131
2005 402 0.125 0.123 5.361 2 2155
2006 403 0.125 0.123 5.449 2 2196
2007 392 0.125 0.124 5.594 2 2193
2008 430 0.130 0.128 5.451 2 2344
2009 430 0.131 0.128 5.553 2 2388
2010 436 0.133 0.130 5.679 1 2476
2011 423 0.135 0.132 5.681 2 2403
2012 424 0.140 0.137 5.762 1 2443
2013 368 0.142 0.139 5.924 2 2180
2014 358 0.146 0.143 5.696 2 2039
2015 374 0.150 0.147 5.893 2 2204
2016 384 0.154 0.151 5.742 2 2205
Full sample 7434 0.131 0.128 4.866 1 36173
33
Table 2: Descriptive statistics
This table reports statistics of firm-level variables. The sample consists 36,173 firm-years during 1991-
2016. Variable definitions are provided in Appendix A. Continuous variables are winsorized at the 1st
and 99th percentiles. “sd”, “p25”, and “p75” stands for standard deviation, 25th percentile, and 75th
percentile, respectively.
Variables count mean sd p25 p50 p75
Variables of dividends and population
Payer 36173 0.582 0.493 0.000 1.000 1.000
Yield 36173 1.632 2.451 0.000 0.679 2.423
Local Senior 36173 0.123 0.027 0.105 0.122 0.138 Variables of CSR
CSR Adj 36173 -0.050 0.651 -0.417 -0.075 0.167
CSR Raw 36173 -0.240 2.114 -1.000 0.000 0.000
CSR ENV 36173 0.024 0.139 0.000 0.000 0.000
CSR COM 36173 0.022 0.165 0.000 0.000 0.000
CSR HUM 36173 -0.004 0.077 0.000 0.000 0.000
CSR EMP 36173 0.005 0.169 0.000 0.000 0.000
CSR DIV 36173 -0.073 0.309 -0.333 0.000 0.000
CSR PRO 36173 0.005 0.208 0.000 0.000 0.000
CSR CGOV 36173 -0.021 0.228 -0.143 0.000 0.000 Variables of firm characteristics
Ln(Assets) 36173 7.508 1.738 6.232 7.440 8.629
Ln(1 + Age) 36173 2.663 0.895 2.079 2.833 3.401
ROA 36173 0.021 0.129 0.007 0.036 0.076
Cash 36173 0.110 0.134 0.018 0.058 0.151
MB 36173 1.983 1.364 1.134 1.495 2.246
Leverage 36173 0.231 0.210 0.046 0.196 0.353
Inst. Holdings 36173 68.963 25.777 53.489 73.612 88.541
Lagged Return 36173 0.070 0.159 -0.013 0.067 0.149
Volatility 36173 2.610 1.341 1.648 2.271 3.189
Instrumental variable
UD Law 35767 0.140 0.347 0.000 0.000 0.000
Supplemental test variables
R&D Dummy 36173 0.412 0.492 0.000 0.000 1.000
R&D (%AT) 36173 3.445 7.557 0.000 0.000 3.154
M&A Dummy 36173 0.157 0.364 0.000 0.000 0.000
Low CAR 5688 0.095 0.293 0.000 0.000 0.000
High CAR 5688 0.107 0.309 0.000 0.000 0.000
34
Table 3: CSR, local seniors, and dividend policy
This table reports regression results of ordinary least squares (OLS) and Probit models on dividends. The dependent variable is the Payer, indicating whether a firm pays dividends. Variable definitions are provided in Appendix A. Continuous variables are winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentiles. Standard errors are clustered at the county-year level, and the associated p-values are reported in parentheses. ***, **, and * represent significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
Variables OLS Probit
Local Senior 0.485*** 0.456*** 0.463*** 1.478*** 1.364*** 1.388***
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.001) (0.003) (0.002)
Local Senior 0.155*** 0.100* 0.709*** 0.511**
* High Adj (0.000) (0.066) (0.000) (0.027)
CSR Adj 0.007 0.025
(0.155) (0.227)
Ln(Assets) 0.046*** 0.045*** 0.045*** 0.166*** 0.160*** 0.160***
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Ln(1 + Age) 0.105*** 0.104*** 0.104*** 0.378*** 0.377*** 0.377***
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
ROA 0.225*** 0.224*** 0.224*** 1.064*** 1.064*** 1.064***
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Cash -0.262*** -0.263*** -0.262*** -0.918*** -0.922*** -0.922***
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
MB -0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.017** -0.019** -0.020**
(0.922) (0.724) (0.689) (0.038) (0.018) (0.016)
Leverage -0.025* -0.023 -0.023 -0.066 -0.059 -0.057
(0.094) (0.117) (0.124) (0.233) (0.291) (0.303)
Inst. Holdings -0.002*** -0.002*** -0.002*** -0.008*** -0.008*** -0.008***
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Lagged Return -0.048*** -0.047*** -0.047*** -0.185*** -0.177*** -0.177***
(0.004) (0.005) (0.005) (0.005) (0.007) (0.007)
Volatility -0.076*** -0.076*** -0.076*** -0.272*** -0.271*** -0.271***
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Year FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Industry FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
N 36173 36173 36173 36083 36083 36083
Adj. R-squared 0.394 0.394 0.394
Pseudo R-squared 0.351 0.352 0.352
35
Table 4: Matched sample analyses
This table reports the regression results of OLS and Probit models on dividends. All models include the same set of control variables used in Table 3. The dependent variable is the Payer, indicating whether a firm pays dividends. While Columns (1) and (2) use a sample of 16,612 firm-years based on propensity score matching (PSM), Columns (3) and (4) use a sample of 11,454 firm-years based on size-MB matching. Variable definitions are provided in Appendix A. Continuous variables are winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentiles. Standard errors are clustered at the county-year level, and the associated p-values are reported
in parentheses. ***, **, and * represent significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4)
PSM Size-MB Matching
Variables OLS Probit OLS Probit
Local Senior 0.504*** 1.548** 0.466** 1.316
(0.001) (0.020) (0.039) (0.170)
Local Senior * High Adj 0.132*** 0.706*** 0.150** 0.795***
(0.005) (0.001) (0.032) (0.009)
Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes
Year FE Yes Yes Yes Yes
Industry FE Yes Yes Yes Yes
N 16612 16576 11462 11454
Adj. R-squared 0.403 0.411
Pseudo R-squared 0.375 0.374
36
Table 5: Instrumental variable analyses
This table reports the regression results of instrumental variable analyses. All models include the same set of control variables used in Table 3. In the first stage, an OLS model is estimated with CSR Adj as the dependent variable. In the second stage, both an OLS and a Probit model are estimated with Payer as the dependent variable. Variable definitions are provided in Appendix A. Continuous variables are winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentiles. While in the first stage, standard errors are clustered at the county-year level, in the second stage, bootstrap standard errors are estimated. The associated p-values are reported in
parentheses. ***, **, and * represent significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3)
Variables CSR Adj Payer
OLS Probit
UD Law -0.079***
(0.007)
Local Senior 0.383*** 1.130**
(0.003) (0.027)
Local Senior * High Adj 0.191*** 0.812***
(0.001) (0.001)
Controls Yes Yes Yes
Year FE Yes Yes Yes
Industry FE Yes Yes Yes
State FE Yes No No
N 35767 35767 35767
Adj. R-squared 0.245 0.395
Pseudo R-squared 0.353
37
Table 6: Alternative dividend measure
This table reports regression results of OLS and Tobit models on dividends. All models include the same set of control variables used in Table 3. The dependent variable is the Yield, the dividends in a percentage of the firm’s market value. Columns (1) and (2) use the full sample of firm-year observations, while Columns (3) and (4) use the subsample based on propensity score matching (PSM). Variable definitions are provided in Appendix A. Continuous variables are winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentiles. Standard errors are clustered at the county-year level, and the associated p-values are reported in parentheses. ***,
**, and * represent significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4)
Full Sample PSM Sample
Variables OLS Tobit OLS Tobit
Local Seniors 1.497*** 3.269*** 1.508** 2.931***
(0.010) (0.000) (0.036) (0.006)
Local Seniors * High Adj 0.287 0.658** 0.717*** 0.997***
(0.190) (0.039) (0.005) (0.006)
Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes
Year FE Yes Yes Yes Yes
Industry FE Yes Yes Yes Yes
N 36173 36173 16612 16612
Adj. R-squared 0.349 0.337
Pseudo R-squared 0.131 0.126
38
Table 7: Alternative CSR measure
This table reports the regression results of OLS and Probit models on dividends. All models include the same set of control variables used in Table 3. The dependent variable is the Payer, indicating whether a firm pays dividends. Variable definitions are provided in Appendix A. Continuous variables are winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentiles. Standard errors are clustered at the county-year level, and the associated p-values are reported in parentheses. ***, **, and * represent significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2)
Variables OLS Probit
Local Seniors 0.464*** 1.406***
(0.000) (0.002)
Local Seniors * High Raw 0.163*** 0.658***
(0.000) (0.000)
Controls Yes Yes
Year FE Yes Yes
Industry FE Yes Yes
N 36173 36083
Adj. R-squared 0.394
Pseudo R-squared 0.351
39
Table 8: CSR dimensions
This table reports regression results of Probit models on dividends. All models include the same set of control variables used in Table 3. The dependent variable is the Payer, indicating whether a firm pays dividends. Variable definitions are provided in Appendix A. Continuous variables are winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentiles. Standard errors are clustered at the county-year level, and the associated p-values are reported in parentheses. ***, **, and * represent significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)
Variables ENV COM HUM EMP DIV PRO CGOV
Local Seniors 1.342*** 1.399*** 1.474*** 1.486*** 1.449*** 1.501*** 1.399***
(0.003) (0.002) (0.001) (0.001) (0.002) (0.001) (0.002)
Local Seniors * High Dimension 1.330*** 1.339*** 1.987*** -0.076 0.328 -0.788*** 0.687***
(0.000) (0.000) (0.007) (0.694) (0.115) (0.001) (0.001)
Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Year FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Industry FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
N 36083 36083 36083 36083 36083 36083 36083
Pseudo R-squared 0.352 0.352 0.351 0.351 0.351 0.351 0.351
40
Table 9: Dividend payer and R&D expense
This table reports the regression results of OLS and Probit models on R&D expense. All models include the same set of control variables used in Table 3. The dependent variable is R&D (%AT) in Columns (1) and (3) and R&D Dummy in Columns (2) and (4). Columns (1) and (2) use the subsample of firms in which Local Senior is in the highest quartile during a year, while Columns (3) and (4) use the subsample of firms that are predicted to be dividend payers. Variable definitions are provided in Appendix A. Continuous variables are winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentiles. Standard errors are clustered at the county-year
level, and associated p-values are reported in parentheses. ***, **, and * represent significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4)
High Local Senior Sample Predicted Payer Sample
Variables OLS Probit OLS Probit
Payer -1.094*** -0.357*** -0.958*** -0.487***
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes
Year FE Yes Yes Yes Yes
Industry FE Yes Yes Yes Yes
N 8290 5513 21487 18545
Adj. R-squared 0.591 0.472
Pseudo R-squared 0.491 0.601
41
Table 10: Dividend payer and M&As
This table reports the regression results of Probit models on M&As. All models include the same set of control variables used in Table 3. Columns (1) – (3) use the subsample of firms in which Local Senior is in the highest quartile during a year, while Columns (4) – (6) use the subsample of firms that are predicted to be dividend payers. Variable definitions are provided in Appendix A. Continuous variables are winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentiles. Standard errors are clustered at the county-year level, and associated p-values are reported in parentheses. ***, **, and * represent significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels,
respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
High Local Senior Sample Predicted Payer Sample
Variables M&A Dummy Low CAR High CAR M&A Dummy Low CAR High CAR
Payer -0.164*** -0.311** -0.127 -0.198*** -0.103 -0.037
(0.000) (0.035) (0.359) (0.000) (0.297) (0.681)
Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Year FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
Industry FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
N 8218 1231 1137 21486 3373 3302 Pseudo
R-squared 0.073 0.223 0.129 0.063 0.196 0.078
42
Appendix A: Variable definitions
Variables Definitions
Dividends and population
Payer A dummy variable equal to 1 if a firm pays dividends in a year.
Yield Dividend, in the percentage of the market value.
Local Seniors The fraction of residents who are 65 years old or older in the county in which a firm is headquarter.
Corporate social responsibility
CSR Adj Adjusted CSR score, which is equal to the sum of the adjusted CSR score in seven dimensions.
CSR Raw Raw CSR score, which is equal to the sum of the raw CSR score in seven dimensions. The raw CSR score in a dimension is equal to the sum of strength
indicators minus the sum of concern indicators.
CSR ENV Adjusted CSR score in the dimension of environment, which is equal to the adjusted strength score minus the adjusted concern score. The adjusted strength (concern) score is equal to the sum of strength (concern) indicators divided by the number of strength (concern) indicators.
CSR COM Adjusted CSR score in the dimension of community, which is equal to the
adjusted strength score minus the adjusted concern score. The adjusted strength (concern) score is equal to the sum of strength (concern) indicators divided by the number of strength (concern) indicators.
CSR HUM Adjusted CSR score in the dimension of human rights, which is equal to the adjusted strength score minus the adjusted concern score. The adjusted strength (concern) score is equal to the sum of strength (concern) indicators divided by
the number of strength (concern) indicators.
CSR EMP Adjusted CSR score in the dimension of employee relation, which is equal to the adjusted strength score minus the adjusted concern score. The adjusted strength (concern) score is equal to the sum of strength (concern) indicators divided by the number of strength (concern) indicators.
CSR DIV Adjusted CSR score in the dimension of diversity, which is equal to the adjusted
strength score minus the adjusted concern score. The adjusted strength (concern) score is equal to the sum of strength (concern) indicators divided by the number of strength (concern) indicators.
CSR PRO Adjusted CSR score in the dimension of product quality, which is equal to the adjusted strength score minus the adjusted concern score. The adjusted strength
43
(concern) score is equal to the sum of strength (concern) indicators divided by the number of strength (concern) indicators.
CSR CGOV Adjusted CSR score in the dimension of corporate governance, which is equal
to the adjusted strength score minus the adjusted concern score. The adjusted strength (concern) score is equal to the sum of strength (concern) indicators divided by the number of strength (concern) indicators.
High Adj A dummy variable equal to 1 if CSR Adj in a firm is in the highest quartile (greater than the 75th percentile) in a year.
High Raw A dummy variable equal to 1 if CSR Raw in a firm is in the highest quartile
(greater than the 75th percentile) in a year.
High Dimension A dummy variable equal to 1 if the adjusted CSR score in a dimension in a firm is in the highest quartile (greater than the 75th percentile) in a year.
Firm characteristics
Ln(Assets) The natural log of total assets (book value).
Ln(1 + Age) The natural log of 1 + age. Age is in the number of years from the time when a firm appears in the CRSP database.
ROA Return on assets, which is equal to net income divided by total assets (book value).
Cash Cash, normalized by total assets (book value).
MB Market-to-book ratio, which is equal to the market value of the firm’s equity
plus the difference between the book value of the firm’s assets and the book value of the firm’s equity, divided by total assets (book value).
Leverage The ratio of total debt (short-term and long-term debt) to total assets (book value).
Inst. Holdings Institutional shareholdings, in the percentage of total shares outstanding in a firm.
Stock Return The mean of daily returns in the past year. The daily return is in a percent change compared to the stock price in the previous day.
Volatility The standard deviation of daily returns in the past year. The minimum number
of 100 observations is required to compute the standard deviation.
Instrumental variable
UD Law A dummy variable equal to 1 if a firm is incorporated in a state that has adopted the universal demand law.
44
Supplemental test variables
R&D Dummy A dummy variable equal to 1 if there is any research and development expense in a firm during a year.
R&D (%AT) Research and development expense, in the percentage of total assets (book value).
M&A Dummy A dummy variable equal to 1 if a firm conducts an M&A during a year.
Low CAR A dummy variable equal to 1 if a firm conducts an M&A whose three-day
announcement return is smaller than the 10th percentile of all M&A announcement returns in a year. An announcement return is equal to the three-day cumulative returns of the acquirer minus the three-day cumulative return of the CRSP value-weighted portfolio.
High CAR A dummy variable equal to 1 if a firm conducts an M&A whose three-day announcement return is greater than the 90th percentile of all M&A announcement returns in a year. An announcement return is equal to the three-day cumulative returns of the acquirer minus the three-day cumulative return of the CRSP value-weighted portfolio.
45
Appendix B: Correlations of CSR measures
This table reports the correlations of CSR measures. Variable definitions are provided in Appendix A. Continuous variables are winsorized at the 1st and 99th percentiles. Pearson correlation coefficients are reported, and ***, **, and * represent significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
CSR Adj CSR Raw CSR ENV CSR COM CSR HUM CSR EMP CSR DIV CSR PRO CSR CGOV
CSR Adj 1.000
CSR Raw 0.786*** 1.000
CSR ENV 0.512*** 0.466*** 1.000
CSR COM 0.466*** 0.418*** 0.217*** 1.000
CSR HUM 0.265*** 0.156*** 0.118*** 0.073*** 1.000
CSR EMP 0.498*** 0.481*** 0.224*** 0.162*** 0.075*** 1.000
CSR DIV 0.603*** 0.536*** 0.157*** 0.190*** -0.027*** 0.150*** 1.000
CSR PRO 0.477*** 0.282*** 0.196*** 0.085*** 0.088*** 0.160*** 0.013* 1.000
CSR CGOV 0.502*** 0.294*** 0.129*** 0.050*** 0.142*** 0.078*** 0.083*** 0.136*** 1.000