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Corporate Presentation
May 17, 2013
Donald S. Bubar, President & CEO
2
Safe Harbour Statement
Forward looking information
Certain statements contained in or incorporated by reference into this
presentation constitute forward-looking statements. Such statements reflect
the current views of Avalon Rare Metals Inc. with respect to future events
and are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Many factors
could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Avalon Rare
Metals Inc. that may be expressed or implied by such forward-looking
statements to vary from those described herein should one or more of these
risks or uncertainties materialize. Avalon Rare Metals Inc. does not intend,
and does not assume any obligation, to update these forward-looking
statements.
3
Capital Structure May 13, 2013
Canada - TSX: AVL
United States – NYSE MKT: AVL Frankfurt- OU5
Shares Outstanding 103,796,986
Fully Diluted 112,612,236
Market Capitalization US$110 million (S/O @ $1.06)
Recent Price Range US$1.20 - $0.93
52 Week High / Low US$2.47 - $0.90
Cash Reserves C$15 million (No debt)
Insider Share Position 2.9 million shares (2.8%)
Institutional Investors (22%) Hancock, Van Eck, Global X, Manulife, and others
Analyst coverage CIBC, Mackie Research, Roth, Citigroup, Cowan
4
Rare Metals Applications Rare earths and rare metals can be found in many everyday applications
5
Rare Metals Projects: Avalon is not just about rare earths
All projects 100% owned
Avalon offers
diversified
exposure to a
broad range
of rare metals
6
The China Factor
● China produces >95% of the world’s
rare earths
● China will soon consume 60-70% of
the world’s rare earths
● In the next 5-10 years, China may
import heavy rare earths (HREE)
● China consolidating REE producers
improve environmental practice
● China is limiting exports of rare earths
and now stockpiling
● Created China Rare Earth Industry
Assoc. to regulate industry
● Illegal mining and exports (mainly
HREE) are being curbed
Experts believe that 2-3 HREE projects
outside China will come into the market in
the next 5-6 years and will grow with the
market
7
REE Balance is Key:
The more heavies, the better!
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Mt PassMolycorp
Baiyun Obo Baotou
Mt WeldLynas
NolansArafura
NechalachoAvalon
All deposits contain mostly cerium and lanthanum, which will soon be over-
supplied once Molycorp and Lynas reach full production over the next 2 years
8
Rare Earth Element Prices Source: Metal-Pages.com (US$/kg) Prices are indicative and basis FOB China
Metal Oxide Jan 12, 2012
Prices
May 13, 2013
Current Prices AVL 2016 Forecast
Light Rare Earths
Lanthanum 99% min 50 – 52 7.00 – 8.00 8.75
Cerium 99% min 40 – 45 7.00 – 8.00 6.23
Praseodymium 99% min 160 – 170 70 – 75 75.20
Neodymium 99% min 190 – 200 62 - 65 76.78
Samarium 99% min 77 – 80 15 – 20 6.75
Heavy Rare Earths
Europium 99.9% min 3,780 – 3,800 1,000 – 1,100 1,392.57
Terbium 99% min 2,800 – 2,820 850 – 950 1,055.70
Dysprosium 99% min 1,400 – 1,420 520 – 570 688.08
Gadolinium 99%min 100 – 105 44 – 49 54.99
Yttrium 99.999% min 88 – 93 21 - 25 67.25
9
Five Year Price Chart
10
AVL One Year Price Chart
Diaoyou Islands
Dispute
Molycorp News
11
Forecast for Global Demand and Supply in 2016 (+/- 20%) (tonnes REO)
Demand Supply Shortage / Excess
Based on total REO
demand of 162,950
tonnes and an
adjusted supply of
180,000 tonnes.
Data source: IMCOA, (Dudley Kingsnorth) , November 2012
Lights
Heavies
12
Comparison of Anticipated Production for Major REE Deposits
Nechalacho Mt Weld Mountain Pass
REE Oxide
Avalon FS
(9,287 tpa)
Lynas
(11,000 tpa)
Molycorp
(20,000 tpa)
Europium Eu 48 48 24
Gadolinium Gd 353 107 34
Terbium Tb 59 8 -
Dysprosium Dy 324 13 -
Holmium Ho 60 - -
Erbium Er 161 - -
Thulium Tm 22 - -
Ytterbium Yb 130 - -
Yttrium Y 1,454 41 20
Lutetium Lu 18 - -
Total Heavies 28.3% 1.98% 0.39%
Lanthanum La 1,381 2,805 6,640
Cerium Ce 3,024 5,141 9,820
Praseodymium Pr 381 585 868
Neodymium Nd 1,529 2,035 2,400
Samarium Sm 343 250 160
Total Lights 71.7% 98.33% 99.44%
13
Rare Earth Elements Supply Chain
Mining Milling Hydro- metallurgy
Separation Refining Products
From the
ground to
crushed
ore
Grinding and
beneficiation of
REE minerals
Cracking the REE
minerals to produce
mixed REE oxides
concentrate
Separating and
purifying the
individual REE
oxides
To meet specific
downstream
technology
applications
Permanent
magnets, LED’s,
consumer
electronics
Avalon’s contribution to REE supply chain Value added
14
Thor Lake Area and Regional Infrastructure
(Hydromet plant)
(Nechalacho Mine
and Concentrator)
15
Proposed HREE Refinery Location in Geismar, Louisiana
16
Proposed MineSite Layout
Flotation Plant Airstrip
Exploration
Camp Thor Lake
Tailings Pond
T-Zone
Deposit
Long Lake
Road / Proposed
Tailings Pipeline
Basal Zone priority
development area
17
West Long Lake Area
Tardiff Lakes Area
18
Nechalacho General Geology (Section 416200E Looking West)
Looking west at 416200E
Upper Zone
Basal Zone
High Grade “Basin”
S N
Long Lake
19
Plan view of High Grade “Basin” in Basal Zone Deposit
West Long Lake High Grade “Basin”
East Long Lake
20
Definition Drill Hole Pattern (416200E Looking West)
25m window
21
Basal Zone Mineral Resources at Base Case $320/tonne NMR Cut-Off (Including High Grade Basin)
Category Tonnes
(millions)
TREO
(%)
HREO
(%)
HREO/TREO
(%)
ZrO2
(%)
Nb2O5
(%)
Ta2O5
(%)
Measured 10.88 1.67 0.38 22.91 3.13 0.41 0.04
Indicated 54.95 1.54 0.33 21.63 3.01 0.40 0.04
Measured
and Indicated 65.83 1.57 0.34 21.86 3.03 0.40 0.04
Inferred 59.89 1.28 0.25 19.59 2.70 0.36 0.03 Notes:
1. CIM definitions were followed for Mineral Resources.
2. The Qualified Person for this Mineral Resource estimate is Tudorel Ciuculescu, M.Sc., P.Geo., RPA Senior Geologist.
3. HREO (Heavy Rare Earth Oxides) is the total concentration of: Y2O3, Eu2O3, Gd2O3, Tb2O3, Dy2O3, Ho2O3, Er2O3, Tm2O3, Yb2O3 and Lu2O3.
4. TREO (Total Rare Earth Oxides) is HREO plus: La2O3, Ce2O3, Pr2O3, Nd2O3 and Sm2O3.
5. Rare earths were valued at an average net price of US$41/kg, ZrO2 at US$3.77/kg, Nb2O5 at US$56/kg, and Ta2O5 at US$256/kg. Average REO
price is net of metallurgical recovery and payable assumptions for a mixed rare earth concentrate, and will vary according to the proportions of
individual rare earth elements present. This average price is based on the price set used in the Updated Pre-Feasibility Study, applied to the
Measured & Indicated Basal Zone resources.
6. An exchange rate of US$1.00 = C$1.05 was used.
7. A cut-off NMR value of C$260 per tonne was used. NMR is defined as "Net Metal Return" or the in situ value of all payable metals, net of estimated
metallurgical recoveries and off-site processing costs.
8. ZrO2 refers to Zirconium Oxide, Nb2O5 refers to Niobium Oxide, Ta2O5 refers to Tantalum Oxide.
22
Measured and Indicated Resources in the Basal Zone at various NMR cut-offs (Nov. 2012)
Basal Zone Tonnes
(millions)
%
TREO
%
HREO
%
HREO/
TREO
%
ZrO2
%
Nb₂O₅ %
Ta₂O₅
$320 NMR Cut-Off (Reflects entire Basal Zone)
Measured 10.88 1.67 0.38 22.91 3.13 0.41 0.04
Indicated 54.95 1.54 0.33 21.63 3.01 0.40 0.04
$800 NMR Cut-Off (Approximately Reflects High Grade “Basin”)
Measured 4.00 2.23 0.59 26.51 4.31 0.54 0.06
Indicated 14.57 2.18 0.56 25.57 4.21 0.53 0.06
$1000 NMR Cut-Off (Selected parts of High Grade “Basin”)
Measured 1.99 2.52 0.70 27.67 4.90 0.61 0.06
Indicated 5.72 2.52 0.67 26.58 4.79 0.60 0.06
23
Nechalacho REE Deposit Development Concept
● Mining underground drift and
fill/long-hole stoping
● 2,000 tonnes per day (tpd),
(730,000 tonnes per year)
● Flotation processing to produce
mineral concentrate at minesite
● Hydrometallurgical treatment of
mineral concentrate in plant south
of Great Slave Lake (Pine Point)
● Rail shipment to separation plant/
cracking facility in southern U.S.
(Geismar, Louisiana)
● Planned initial production of 7,000
tpa separated rare earth oxides
● Operating Costs:
CAN$362/mined tonne of ore
inclusive mine, concentrator,
hydromet plant, refinery G&A and
infrastructure
● Revenues: C$884.65/ mined
tonne of ore
● Employment:
● NWT Operations: 318
● LA Refinery: 133
24
Nechalacho REE Deposit Conceptual Mine Plan
25
Proposed Mine Plan Layout
Access decline
U/G Crusher
DECLINE
• 1.6 km long
• 5m wide x 5m high
• Grade: 15%
• 243 m deep
26
Metallurgical Testwork Progress
● Concentrator (flotation)
1. Main Pilot plant (40 tonne) – completed (SGS). 6 tonnes con produced
2. Follow up mini-pilot plant work at XPS completed
3. Benchscale optimization work continuing
● Hydrometallurgy (Sulphuric Acid Bake Process)
1. Pilot plant trial and process optimization completed (SGS)
2. Produces mixed rare earth concentrate with zircon residue
3. Zircon residues contain REE & require caustic or alkali cracking. Presently being marketed as an REE-enriched zirconium product
● Separation & Refining (HCl Solvent Extraction)
1. Prefeasibility completed in April 2012 by SNC-Lavalin
2. Site for Refinery defined in Geismar, Louisiana, USA
3. Testwork underway at MinTek. Identifying potential partners.
27
Proposed Geismar HREE Refinery: Local Infrastructure
28
Nechalacho Feasibility Study Capital Cost Estimates
● Based on Diluted Proven
and Probable Mineral
Reserves of 14.6 million
tonnes of 1.70% TREO,
(0.46% HREO) 3.34%
(ZrO₂), 0.42% (Nb₂O₅)
and 0.045% (Ta₂O₅).
● The Reserves are
sufficient for an initial 20
years of operations
● The Louisiana Refinery
costs total C$423.28m or
USD$440.92 @ 0.96
Activity
Capital Cost Estimates,
Life of Mine Total
(CAD $ Millions)
Nechalacho Mine & Surface 81.58
Processing Plants 543.75
Infrastructure 229.50
Indirect Constr. & Owners Costs 258.52
Contingency 165.81
EPCM 157.84
Closing Costs/Bond 16.16
Upfront CAPEX 1,453.16
Sustaining Capital 121.84
Total CAPEX 1,575.00
Payback Period 4.3 Years
29
2013 Feasibility Study: Summary of Financial Analysis
Financial Analysis Pre-Tax
(CAD$)
After-Tax
(CAD$)
Internal Rate of Return 22.5% 19.6%
Net Present Value @ 8% $1,833 million $1,262 million
Net Present Value @ 10% $1,351 million $900 million
Net Present Value @ 12% $981 million $620 million
● Revenues average $645.8 million per year ($456.5 million from separated rare
earth oxides and $189.3 million from the sale of zirconium concentrate (“EZC”))
● Operating Costs average $264.5 million per year
● Revenues from HREE exceed 50% of total revenues. La and Ce sales account for
<4.5% of revenue. Critical 5 (Nd, Eu,Tb, Dy,Y) represent >82% of REE revenue.
30
Nechalacho Feasibility Study: Key Considerations
● Major Milestone achieved on schedule and on budget
● Allows for serious discussions around off-take and project
financing to begin with consumers
● Many opportunities to optimize project in NWT to reduce both
capital and operating costs
● Potential to partner on Refinery or toll-process through third
party owned facility
● Strategic implications around security of supply of critical raw
materials attracting interest and support from public policy
makers in government
31
Project Financing Plans
● Working with HCF International Advisers to complete the
process of identifying and securing a strategic partner
● Intend the strategic partner to cover the $30-60 million in
Project pre-construction expenditures planned for 2013
● Assuming minimum 50:50 debt:equity ratio
● Recently engaged investment bank to working on equity
component of Project Financing by end of CY 2013
● Preliminary discussions with Export Credit Agencies and
EX-IM Banks on the debt component of Project Financing.
32
Project Timeline as at April 17, 2013
33
Social Licence
● Leaders in Aboriginal Community Outreach
● Accommodation Agreements
● Signed with Deninu K’ue First Nation
● Negotiations completed with
Lutsel K’e Dene
● Negotiations progressing with
Yellowknives Dene
● Issued first Sustainability Report
compliant with GRI standards
● Implemented industry standard risk management program
● Environmental Assessment process in final stages, no major concerns
34
Environmental Concerns: Uranium & Thorium
● All rare earth deposits contain some Uranium (U) and Thorium (Th) but there are no other hazardous materials in the ore.
● Nechalacho U & Th content is exceptionally low averaging 23ppm U (background levels) and 114ppm Th (mildly elevated) in high grade ore
● Levels are safe for mining and processing activities and no water issues due to insolubility
● Th is concentrated with the rare earths and does not go to mine tailings
● Levels do not invoke additional permitting requirements from Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission or special transport regulations
● Proposed Hydromet facility is on a brownfields mining site and will use historic open pits for waste disposal. Th will be diluted to safe levels
● Mixed Concentrate shipped to U.S. will contain <500ppm U+Th
35
Thorium and Uranium Content Comparison in Various REE Deposits
Nechalacho Avg.
114 ppm ThO2
Uranium data
not available if
not shown on
graph
36
Corporate Sustainability Report
● Report on how you will achieve sustainability goals & performance
● Sustainability:
● Development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs (Brundtland Report, 1987)
● Published Corporate Social Responsibility Roadmap in January 2011
● Published first full Sustainability Report in April 2012 to GRI Version 3.1 and MAC TSM indicators
37
2013 Milestones and Value Drivers for Avalon
● Completing agreements with off-take / strategic partners
● Securing next stage Project Financing
● Completion of Environmental Assessment & Permitting
Process along with project optimization work
● Finalizing remaining Aboriginal Participation Agreements
● Advance the East Kemptville Tin-Indium Project through the
PEA Stage with confirmation drilling program
● Conduct pilot plant work for new market interest in Lithium
minerals products from Separation Rapids Project
38
REE Company Comparison
Company Market cap US$
Millions
Million tonnes
TREO* Stage
Molycorp $950 2.07 Production /
expansion
Lynas Corporation $1,010 1.19 Production Start
Avalon Rare Metals $105 1.80 Feasibility
Alkane Resources $200 0.55 Feasibility
Rare Element Resources $90 1.25 Prefeasibility
Quest Rare Minerals $30 0.29 Prefeasibility
(Market data and FX as of April 15, 2013)
* Based on published information/reports
39
Competitive Advantages with Other Potential REE Producers
● World Class Heavy Rare Earths Deposit
● Very Large with relatively high grades for HREE rich deposits
● Relatively Advanced: at Feasibility Study Stage
● Allows company to enter into off take discussions
● First Mover Advantage is Key
● First to market will capture available market share
● Only room for a handful of new producers “first come, first served”
● Very Low Uranium and Thorium
40
Nechalacho Operating Margin compared to Peer Companies
● C1 is cash cost per kg REO, net of by
products
● Basket price as quoted by each
company
● M1 is the difference between basket
price and C1
41
Board of Directors
● Donald S. Bubar, P.Geo.
President, CEO & Director
● Alan Ferry, CFA
Past Chairman
● Phil Fontaine, B.A., LL.D.
Sustainability Advisory Committee Member
● Brian D. MacEachen, C.A.
Chairman and Audit Committee Chair
● Peter McCarter, B.A., LL.B., M.B.A.
Governance/Compensation Committee Chair
● Richard Morland, B. Eng. (Mining)
Technical Advisory Committee Member
42
Management Team
● Donald S. Bubar, P.Geo. President, CEO & Director
● Jim Andersen, CA, CPA V.P. Finance & CFO
● David Marsh, FAusIMM (CP)
Senior V.P. Metallurgy
● Bill Mercer, Ph.D., P.Geo. V.P. Exploration
● Richard Pratt, B.Comm (Hons), LL.B. V.P. General Counsel and Corporate
Secretary
● Pierre Neatby, BA Econ
V.P. Sales and Marketing
● Mark Wiseman, B.Sc., MBA V.P. Sustainability
● Cindy Hu, CA, CPA, CGA Controller
● Gerry Liepert , B.Sc., P.Eng. Senior Project Manager
● Ron Malashewski, P.Eng (AB) Manager, Investor Relations
43
Senior Staff and Technical Consultants
● Ian M. London, P. Eng., MBA, Energy and Market Development Consultant
● Henrietta Notzl, P.Eng. Metallurgical Consultant
● John Goode, P.Eng. Senior Metallurgical Consultant
● Ben Webb, B.Sc., Senior Resource Geologist
● Chris Pedersen, P.Geo, Senior Geologist, Camp Manager
● Martin Heiligmann, Ph.D., Project Geologist
● Kelly Cumming, B.A. Northern Relations Manager
● Randy O’Keefe, Camp Logistics Manager
● Ian Taylor, B.A., Human Resources Co-ordinator
● Stanley Chan, Eng, EIT. Mine Engineer
● David Trueman, Ph.D., P.Geo, Rare Metals Consulting Geologist
● David Connelly, CStJ, CD, MBA, B.Comm, Strategic Advisor
44