Upload
duongthu
View
214
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
1
1
• Encana today:
– Great portfolio with large inventory
– Strong balance sheet
– Disciplined capital allocation
– Leading growth – cash flow, margin and liquids production
– Culture of innovation and execution
• ~$3 billion of cumulative free cash flowŦ (2018-2022)*
– Additional financial capacity at normalized leverage of 1.5x
– ~$500 million 2019 free cash flowŦ *
• $400 million share repurchase program to be
initiated in Q1 2018(a)
– Funded from cash on hand
ENCANAValue Proposition TOP TIER
RESOURCE
OPERATIONALEXCELLENCE
BALANCE SHEET STRENGTH
MARKETFUNDAMENTALS
CAPITALALLOCATION
* Assumes flat $55 WTI, $3 NYMEX Gas, $1.50 AECOŦ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
(a) Subject to and following TSX approval.
2
FOCUSED ON SHAREHOLDER RETURNS~$3 Billion of Free Cash FlowŦ Over Five Year Plan
*Assumes $55 WTI, $3 NYMEX, $1.50 AECO
$400 million share repurchase program to be initiated in Q1 2018(a)
~$3 billion of cumulative free cash flowŦ (2018-2022F)*
Balance sheet discipline
Creates Options:
SHAREHOLDER RETURNS
Returns to ShareholdersResiliency
Managing volatility
Portfolio Value Creation
Building on a quality portfolio
Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website
(a) Share repurchase program subject to and following TSX approval
.
2
3
FOCUS ON QUALITY CORPORATE RETURNSOur Business Works Today
Assumes flat $55/bbl WTI oil price, flat $3/MMBtu NYMEX natural gas price.Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
• World class portfolio of assets
• Execution excellence
• Market fundamentals
• Disciplined capital allocation
• Unconventionals are all we do
• Track record of delivery
• Culture of innovation both technical and commercial
• Leader in industrial scale development
• Integrated supply chain management
• Managing risk
Return on Capital EmployedŦ grows
over the 5 year plan~25% Cash FlowŦ CAGR
2018F – 2022F~$3.0 Billion Free Cash FlowŦ
2018F – 2022F
Strategy Execution
4
• Updated 5 year plan is better across the board
― Maintaining efficiencies in a busier industry
― Exit-to-exit production growth well ahead of plan
― Major facility milestones achieved in Q4 2017 ahead of
schedule & under budget
• Innovation & discipline delivering value
― Expanding margins
― Enhancing productivity & capital efficiency
― Balance sheet is very strong
• Well positioned for 2018 & beyond
― 2018 growth within cash flowŦ
― Generating strong free cash flowŦ from 2019 onward
― Leading corporate return generation
AN OPERATOR INVESTORS CAN COUNT ONIncreasing Value & Resiliency
2017-2022F Cash FlowŦ ~25% CAGR
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
2017 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F
($M
M)
Capital Cumulative Free Cash Flow
~$3.0B of Cumulative Free Cash FlowŦ
Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
2017 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F
Cash From Operating Activities NCWC & Other Cash Flow (Non-GAAP)
($M
M)
3
5
• Multi-basin portfolio
• Short cycle capital
• Highly focused capital allocation
• Integrated supply chain
• Flexible commercial arrangements
• Diversified market access
• Robust hedge program
• Investment grade credit rating
RESILIENT BUSINESS MODELCapital Discipline & Risk Management
Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDAŦ
Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
3.2x
2.3x
2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F
Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA - Actual
Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA – Analyst Consensus
Net Debt / Adjusted EBITDA – Normalized Mid-Cycle
Target of ~1.5x
Target ~1.5x
Analyst consensus per Bloomberg, February 9, 2018
6
-1%
2%
5%
8%
2016A 2017F 2018F 2019F
ECA per External study US large Caps
US Small Caps Canadian Small Caps
Canadian Large Caps Excl. ECA
• Independent analysis of over 50 North
American E&P’s
― Encana “set to deliver above average ROCEŦ through
2019”*
― Assumptions / Methodology*
• Projected ROCEŦ based on 2018 at US$46/bbl,
2019 at $49/bbl
• Calculated with non-GAAP adjusted net income,
denominator adds back cumulative historical
impairments 2014 forward
FOCUS ON CORPORATE RETURNSDifferentiated ROCE
Independent Analysis*
Return on Capital EmployedŦ
* Source: Macquarie Research: “Making Energy Great Again”, September 2017
.Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
4
7
• Cash flow marginŦ continues to grow
• 2017 cash flow marginŦ up 81% versus 2016
― Liquids mix
― Higher realized pricing
― Lower operating and corporate costs
• 2018 cash flow marginŦ expected to grow ~20% to
~$14/BOE
― Liquids mix
― Efficiency
― Access to markets
MARGIN EXPANSION CONTINUESProfitable Growth
6.49
11.75
~14.00
2016 2017 2018F
Cash Flow MarginŦ Expansion ($/BOE)
Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
8
• Resilient to operational risk
• Focus on high margin production
• Continuous improvement drives quality
corporate returns
• Liquids production CAGR of ~20%
• Leading capital and operating efficiency
sets up free cash flow
5 YEAR PLANProduction Growth Within Cash Flow
Pro
du
cti
on
(M
BO
E/d
)
* Assumes flat $50/bbl WTI and $3/MMBtu NYMEX..
Production Growth Within Cash FlowŦ
Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
250
350
450
550
650
2017 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F
2018F Guidance 360-380 MBOE/d
2017 Total Production = 313 MBOE/d, or 279 MBOE/d excluding A&D assets
5
9
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2016 2017 2018F 2019-2020F
% o
f U
pstr
eam
Reven
ue
Oil and Condy Other NGL All Other Gas AECO Gas
• >70% revenue from liquids
• Oil and condensate priced at ~WTI accounts for
~65% of revenue
– Canadian Condensate ~ at par with WTI
– Eagle Ford production priced at LLS
– Permian volumes priced at Midland, Houston and points
beyond via international shipments
• Gas revenue exposure is highly diversified
• 2018 Canadian gas realized price expected to be
NYMEX less ~US$0.45, including hedges
MARGIN GROWTH DRIVEN BY LIQUIDSPremium Liquids Markets and Diversified Gas Markets
> 70% Revenue from Liquids (2018F – 2020F)
~WTI
Non-
AECO
gas
10
• Capital balanced with expected cash flowŦ
• Total production is 95% from core assets
– Annual production growth of >30% excluding dispositions
• Q4 core asset production to average 400 – 425
MBOE/d (30-37% growth from Q4/17)
• Continued margin expansion driven by liquids
growth
– 55–65 Mbbls/d of liquids in the Montney expected in Q4
• Operating and G&A costs lower
– Benefit of focus on efficiency and scale
• Market diversification benefits
– Margin increase of ~$0.50-$0.75/BOE above additional T&P
cost to access premium markets
2018 GUIDANCECash FlowŦ and Production Growing >30%
2018F Guidance
Capital Investment ($ billion) 1.8 – 1.9
Total Liquids (Mbbls/d) 165 – 175
Natural Gas (MMcf/d) 1,150 – 1,250
Total Production (MBOE/d) 360 – 380
Upstream Operating Expense ($/BOE)* 3.00 – 3.30
Transportation & Processing ($/BOE) 7.40 – 7.75
Administrative Expense ($/BOE)* 1.25 – 1.50
Production, Mineral & Other Taxes
% of Revenue**3.25 – 3.75%
*Excludes long-term incentives;
** Upstream revenue excluding risk management activitiesŦ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures, including reconciliations, see the Company’s website.
6
11
2018 Full Year:
• Capital and cash flow balanced
• > 30% annual production growth on core assets
• Growth profile back half weighted
• Cash Flow margin up another 20% to ~$14/BOE
• Efficiency and innovation offsetting service cost inflation
– Equipment, services and market access secured
Q1/18:
• Overall core production flat from Q4/17
• Permian and Montney performing well
– Permian flat - offsetting strong Q4/17
– Montney – growth continues with new plant capacity from late 2017
• Modest declines in Duvernay and Eagle Ford
– 2017 capital program was weighted to first half (all of Duvernay and 70% of Eagle Ford wells)
GROWING MARGIN & CASH FLOW IN 2018Ahead of Plan on 5 Year Outlook
12
• Core positions in four of North America’s
premier basins
• >23,000 total inventory locations
• ~11,000 premium return locations
– >35% ATRORŦ returns
– Oil or condensate rich wells only
– Primary zones only*
– Industry typical well spacing**
Encana's Resource In Context
Eagle Ford
Permian
Montney
Duvernay
*Includes only Wolfcamp, Spraberry, Jo Mill, Lower Eagle Ford,Duvernay, Upper & Lower Montney; **450-660’ in Permian, 330’ in Eagle Ford, 1000’ in Duvernay, 440-880’
in Montney; Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures, including reconciliations, see the Company’s website.
WORLD CLASS PORTFOLIO
7
13
• Developing the cube
– Critical to creating value at industrial scale
– Reservoir & above-ground benefits
– Natural extension of our experience & capabilities
• Stacked pay & completions upside
– Innovation and technology driving performance
– New benches & advanced completions
– Coring up acreage boosts long lateral inventory
• Managing risk
– Execution efficiency offsetting cost inflation
– Just-in-time water infrastructure ensures availability &
avoids over-capitalization
– Sophisticated supply-chain & logistics
– Market access secured
PERMIAN BASINHighly Efficient Development at Scale
14
• Encana’s Montney is a condensate play
– Receives ~WTI pricing
• Stacked horizontal development
– Over 1,000’ of pay, up to 6 stacked horizons
– Completions design driving productivity higher
• ~35% liquids CAGR through 2022
– Increasing margins through condensate growth
– Additional liquids handling capacity to come on in Q4
2018
– Growing liquids to 55,000-65,000 bbls/d in Q4 2018
• Basin leading operator
– Top well performance
– Most efficient operator with track record of innovation
– Longest laterals with highest completion intensity
MONTNEYDriving Margin Expansion
8
15
• Largely contiguous position in the Karnes
Trough
– Most active and profitable trend in the Eagle Ford
• Completion innovations leading to better wells
• Stacked pay, infill spacing, Austin Chalk offer
additional upside
• High value, high rate wells
– >80% of production is high value liquids
– Oil receives LLS pricing
EAGLE FORDTechnical Innovation Unlocking Value
16
• Large contiguous land base within condensate
window
– WTI pricing for condensate
– Significant future growth opportunity
• Highly efficient operating performance
– Multi-well pads and integrated infrastructure
significantly reduce cost structures
– Consistently delivering industry leading well
performance
• Takeaway solution in place
– Rich Gas Premium agreement with Aux Sable, gas
transport on Alliance
– Condensate transport on Pembina’s Peace Pipeline
DUVERNAYIndustry Leading Well Performance
9
17
TECHNOLOGY & INNOVATION LEADERSHIP AT ENCANAA Competitive Advantage
Drilling & Completions
• Proprietary in-house well
design
• Integrated team with
on-the-fly modeling
capabilities
• Advanced completions
• Fibre-optic real-time
pressure/completions
design analytics
Production Operations
• Real-time production data
capture & analysis
• Automation enables highly
efficient growth
• Remote surveillance and
control boosts well and
facility up-time
Commercial Arrangements
• Creating optionality and
managing risk
• Disrupting the
commercial status quo
Culture of Innovation Structured and driven to
business outcomes
Real time knowledge sharing
across portfolio
Analytics linked with deep
understanding of first principles
Subsurface
• Geo-cellular reservoir
modeling to identify the
best rocks
• Leveraging massive
proprietary analytics
dataset (core, logs,
seismic, micro-seismic,
fracture diagnostics,
production)
18
• Chiefs organizational structure
– Promotes rapid transfer of technology between plays
– Rapidly translated success in tight cluster design from Eagle Ford to
other plays
• Scaling to cube development model
– Applying advanced completions at tighter well densities
• Well results keep getting better
– Type curves updated across the portfolio to reflect productivity
improvements
• Deliberate and disciplined approach driving incremental
value
– Data-driven innovation linked with first principles
– Short cycle times facilitate rapid implementation, learning and
refinement
INNOVATION IN OPERATIONSDriven By Culture
Conceptual Advanced
Completions Design
Advanced
Completions
Tightening
clusters
maximizes
fracture
complexity
10
19
• Advanced completion design is focused on creating
better wells for lower costs
• Applying completions intensity thoughtfully
– Tight clusters and optimized hydraulics maximize fracture surface
area
– Clean fluids improve fracture conductivity
– Fine grain proppant maximizes complexity
• Culture of innovation and company-wide knowledge
sharing
– Structured and driven to business outcomes
– Real time knowledge sharing
– Analytics linked to deep understanding of first principles
• Realizing 25%+ improvement in IP180
INNOVATION IN ACTIONEvolution in Completion Design Fueling Growth
Eagle Ford Innovations Doubling Productivity
Permian High Intensity Design Keeps Frac Energy Closer
High Intensity Design Base Design
0
50
100
150
200
250
0 30 60 90 120 150 180
Cu
mu
lati
ve P
rod
ucti
on
(M
BO
E)*
Days
2015
2016
2017
*Well results normalized to 5000’ lateral.
20
• Highly efficient, agile development
• Multi-well pads
– Higher utilization of services & infrastructure
• Multiple drilling rigs and frac spreads on a pad
– Rapid cycle times
– Accelerated learnings
• Integrated supply chain
– Leveraging economies of scale
– Centralized planning and logistics
CUBE DEVELOPMENT ABOVE-GROUND BENEFITSDevelopment at Industrial Scale
Cube Development
Above Ground Benefits
Multi-well Pads
Multi-rig, Multi-
spread
Integrated Supply Chain
Re-occupied facilities
Reliable market access
Water Manage-
ment
11
21
• Reservoir benefits
– Optimizes resource recovery
– Minimizes inter-wellbore communication
– Less downtime on existing wells
– Eliminates “parent-child” in-fill drilling
– No poor performing “child” wells in depleted
reservoir
– Maximizes corporate returns
CUBE DEVELOPMENTDifferentiated Execution
Maximizing value from multi-zone
stacked development
22
• Higher recovery from stacked pay reservoirs
– Generating effective draw down within cube
• Highly efficient, agile development
– Higher utilization of services & infrastructure
– Rapid cycle times
– Accelerated learnings
• Robust planning and logistics
– Leading industry safety performance year-over-year
– Scope and scale necessitates highly sophisticated planning and logistics
– Relentless pursuit of optimization opportunities
• Cube development approach in 2018
– Data driven innovation
– Testing new benches
– Spacing & stacking trials
– Incorporating advanced completion designs
– Evaluating emerging technologies
CUBE DEVELOPMENTImproved Resource Recovery & Efficiency
Cube Development Maximizing Recovery from the Stack
12
23
• Fully offsetting service cost inflation with sourcing and
efficiency improvements
– Seamless linkage between supply chain and operations
• Actively managing the supply chain
– Self-sourcing commodities (sand, water, OCTG)
– Driving efficiencies with vendors
• Security of supply with commercial flexibility
– Rigs, pressure pumping and D&C services secured
• Challenging industry norms
– Logistics and local mines will drive sand costs lower
– Recycling water, optimizing trucking and fuel
– Increasing pump time per day
COMMERCIAL INNOVATIONDelivering Value in any Environment
ECA 2018 D&C Cost Breakdown
D&C Key Component Cost Breakdown
• 20-30% sand & water
• 10-15% pressure pumping
• 10-15% D&C services
• 6-8% casing
• 5-8% drilling rig
• 4-7% cement and mud
~35% of well cost is drilling
~65% of well cost is completions
24
• 2018 Price sensitivity to a $5 decrease to WTI
is about $120 million to cash flow
• 2018 Price sensitivity to a $0.25 decrease to
NYMEX gas is about $40 million to cash flow
• F/X Risk is managed via US Dollar
denominated currency swaps:
– $650 million notional U.S. dollar denominated
currency swaps at an average exchange rate of
US$0.7597 to C$1, which mature monthly
throughout 2018.
– $0.01 Change to F/X (eg. 0.80 to 0.79) has annual
impact of less than $10 million to cash flow
RISK MANAGEMENT
Adds Greater Certainty to Cash Flow and De-Risks Capital Program
$(0.88)/Mcf±
BENCHMARK HEDGES 2018* 2019
Oil and Condensate
WTI Fixed Price Swap
Swap Price (US$/bbl)
78 Mbbls/d
$54.21/bbl
15 Mbbls/d
$58.30/bbl
WTI 3-Way Option
Short Put (US$/bbl)
Long Put (US$/bbl)
Short Call (US$/bbl)
16 Mbbls/d
$36.88/bbl
$47.17/bbl
$54.49/bbl
WTI Costless Collar
Long Put (US$/bbl)
Short Call (US$/bbl)
10 Mbbls/d
$45.00/bbl
$57.08/bbl
Natural Gas
NYMEX Fixed Price Swap
Swap Price US$/Mcf**
767 MMcf/d
$3.04/Mcf
Risk management positions as at January 31, 2018. * January to December 2018 positions.** Hedged volumes are
converted to Mcf at a 1:1 ratio from MMBtu.
13
25
• Western Canada
– Realized price including hedge expected to
be ~$0.45 below NYMEX in 2018
– AECO US$0.25 fluctuation equals less
than US$15MM cash flow in 2018 after
hedge
• Permian
– Permian volumes priced at Midland,
Houston and points beyond via
international shipments
BASIS RISK MANAGEMENT PROGRAMMarket Access & Price Risk Management
Western Canada 2018 2019 - 2020
AECO Basis Hedges
Swap Price US$/Mcf**475 MMcf/d
$(0.87)/Mcf
500 MMcf/d
$(0.88)/Mcf
Transport to Dawn 316 MMcf/d 316 MMcf/d
Transport to Sumas/Malin 124 MMcf/d 134 MMcf/d
Transport to Chicago 52 MMcf/d 100 MMcf/d
Permian 2018 2019 - 2020
WTI/Midland Differential Hedges
Swap Price (US$/bbl)
34 Mbbls/d
$(0.78)/bbl
10 Mbbls/d
$(1.09)/bbl
Transport to Houston
(EPD Midland to Houston*)19 Mbbls/d 39 Mbbls/d
Positions as at January 31, 2018. Hedged and transport volumes are converted to Mcf at a 1:1 ratio from MMBtu. **Price stated is the
differential versus NYMEX pricing.
Positions as at January 31, 2018. *Enterprise Products Partners L.P
ASSET OVERVIEW
Permian drilling in Midland County
14
27
ENCANA’S POTENTIAL PREMIUM RETURN INVENTORYOnly Premium Inventory Consumed in Growth Plan
Permian Basin Montney
DuvernayEagle Ford
12,000 well inventory
3,450 premium locations
<1,000 wells drilled in 5 year plan
Premium assumption
450-660’ spacing on average of 2.5 zones
across basin
*Premium locations are >35% ATRORŦ at $50 WTI & $3.00 NYMEX; Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures, including reconciliations, see
Company’s website.
9,600 well inventory
6,900 premium locations
<800 wells drilled in 5 year plan
Premium assumption
440’ spacing in very rich gas condensate & volatile oil
660’ spacing in rich gas condensate
990’ spacing in wet gas
1,000 well inventory
500 premium locations
<200 wells drilled in 5 year plan
Premium assumption
1,000’ spacing
800 well inventory
220 premium locations
~200 wells drilled in 5 year plan
Premium assumption
330’ spacing
Remaining Inventory
Premium Inventory
Premium
Inventory
28
PERMIAN2018 Program
FY 2018 PlanAcreage (net acres) 118,000
Average Working Interest (%) 94%
Average Royalty Rate (%) 25%
Development Capital (net) ($MM) $750-800
Gross Rig Count 4 - 5
HZ Wells Drilled (net) 100 – 115
HZ Wells On-stream (net) 100 – 115
D&C Cost* ($MM/well) ~$5.6
Average Lateral Length (ft) 7,500 – 10,000
Production Split
Oil/condensate** % 66%
NGLs % 17%
Natural gas %*** 17%
*Normalized to 7,500' lateral length **Includes plant and field condensate *** Natural gas % varies based on mix of wells dri lled and has ranged between 16-19%
2018 Program
• 30% growth from FY2017 to FY2018
• 70% program focused in Midland/Martin
• Cube development continues to add significant
value through operational efficiencies, shared
infrastructure and services and improved resource
recovery
15
29
• Finished 2017 ahead of plan with Q4 production of >82MBOE/d
• Innovation continues to drive well productivity improvements
and operational efficiencies
– Improved targeting of reservoir compartments
– Completion design enhancing near well complexity
• Well performance on track with expectations and validates type
curve assumptions
– Cube development continuing
• 70% of 2018 program to target Midland/Martin/Upton Counties
• Services secured for 2018
– Service cost inflation will be offset by self-sourced commodities and
operational efficiencies to hold well costs flat year-over-year
– Local sand expected to make up >90% of 2018 program
• Firm transport on Enterprise Midland-Sealy pipeline
– Provides additional transport and market diversity
PERMIAN CONTINUES STRONG EXECUTIONTargeting 30% Annual Growth
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
0 30 60 90 120 150 180
Cu
mu
lati
ve P
rod
ucti
on
(M
BO
E)*
Days
Abbie Laine Q1 2017
RAB 2 Q2 2017
Davidson 02 E Q2 2017
Davidson 02 W Q2 2017
Cowden 30 Q3 2017
Davidson 38 Q4 2017
Permian Cube Performance
Midland
Type
Curve
IP180
*3-stream production, normalized to 7500’ lateral. 0
20
40
60
80
100
2016 2017 2018F
(MB
OE
/d)
Targeting 30% Annual Growth
30
• Improves capital efficiency and de-risks supply
– 3 frac spreads per hub
– Simple and effective catch basin design
– Water hubs pay out in less than 12 months
– Mitigates risk of water supply restrictions
• County-by-County solution
– Howard County water infrastructure transaction minimizes
infrastructure investment
– Water provider can service broader market for a lower fee
• Reducing all-in water costs by ~$1/bbl
– D&C cost savings up to $300k/well
– LOE savings up to ~$0.80/BOE
CUBE DEVELOPMENT ABOVE-GROUND BENEFITSEffective Water Management
Martin County – Central Water Resource Hub
16
31
-
40
80
120
160
200
240
2017 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022FM
BO
E/d
PERMIAN5 Year Growth Profile
• ~50% of Encana’s capital directed to the
Permian in 2018
• Permian production expected to grow 3x
– 5 year CAGR 25%
• Quality inventory with scale
• No infrastructure or midstream limitations
• Minimal vertical program
Five Year Production Profile
32
MIDSTREAM AND MARKETING OVERVIEWPermian
Gathering system links production to
pipeline hubs
Permian
• Majority of oil production gathered via
pipeline with access to multiple physical
markets
• Firm gas gathering and NGL processing
with access to Waha and Mt. Bellvieu
markets
• Secured firm, low-cost pipeline capacity
to Gulf Coast refining/export markets
(Enterprise Midland-Sealy Pipeline 2018)
• No take or pay commitments
Colorado
City
Midland
Crane
Pipelines connect to
Cushing and Gulf Coast
Permian: Proximity to market and environment
of responsive infrastructure development
Secured capacity on Enterprise (Echo
Pipeline) adds market diversity and reduces physical risk
(2018)
17
33
Past & Future Pipeline Capacity Expansions Align with Growth
Source: Wells Fargo Securities, Encana
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Q1
'12A
Q3
'12A
Q1
'13A
Q3
'13A
Q1
'14A
Q3
'14A
Q1
'15A
Q3
'15A
Q1
'16A
Q3
'16A
Q1
'17
E
Q3
'17
E
Q1
'18
E
Q3
'18
E
Q1
'19
E
Q3
'19
E
Q1
'20
E
Q3
'20
E
Q1
'21E
Q3
'21
E
Q1
'22
E
Q3
'22
E
Cru
de
Oil
Pro
du
ctio
n /
Tak
eaw
ay C
apac
ity
(Mb
bls
/d)
Local Refineries Existing Pipelines
Pipelines Under Construction Identified Pipeline Projects
Permian Supply
• Current oil export infrastructure ~3
MMbbls/d
• ~300 Mbbls/d additional capacity put in
place in 2017
• Enterprise Midland-Sealy pipeline
expected to be in full service April 1,
2018
• Subsequent projects targeting 2H 2019
in-service dates
• Strong production growth increases
potential for temporary Midland
differential weakness prior to the next
set of expansions
Periods of temporary dramatic
weakness in local price
Potential price risk (timing of
future projects)
PERMIAN BASIN FUNDAMENTALS
34
PERMIAN RESERVOIRMassive Potential with Stacked Benches
Zone MartinMidland/
UptonGlasscock Howard
Clear Fork ✓ ✓
M. SPBY ✓ ✓
Jo Mill ✓ ✓
L. SPBY ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
L. SPBY- 2nd✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
WCMP A ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
WCMP A- 2nd✓ ✓
WCMP B ✓ ✓ ✓
WCMP C ✓ ✓
WCMP D / Cline ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓
Deep Targets ✓ ✓ Total
Total Inventory 2,200 5,200 1,300 3,600 ~12,000
Premium 750 1,450 350 900 3,450
18
35
PREMIUM INCREASE OUTPACING DRILLINGGross Premium Return Inventory
CountyMidland/
UptonMartin Howard Glasscock
IP30 (BOE/d) 985 950 825 800
IP180 (BOE/d) 700 650 600 550
EUR/Well (Mbbls) 610 675 550 530
EUR/Well (MBOE) 1,020 1,000 875 765
GOR (scf/bbl) 2,800 2,000 2,450 1,960
Gross Premium Return Inventory
1,450 750 900 350
Estimated inventory based on 450-660 ft spacing, 7,500’ lateral length, Permian type curves are stated on a three stream basis.
36
MONTNEY2018 Program
FY 2018 PlanAcreage (net acres) 379,000
British Columbia (CRP) 289,000
Alberta (Pipestone) 90,000
Working Interest (%) 63% (includes Pipestone)
Average Royalty Rate (%) 5 – 10%
Development Capital (net) $MM $400 – $450
Gross Rig Count (average) 8
Net Wells Drilled (CRP) 85 – 95
Net Wells Drilled (Pipestone) 25 – 30
Net Wells On-stream (CRP) 110 – 120
Net Wells On-stream (Pipestone) 22 – 25
D&C Cost* ($MM/well) $3.1 - $5.1
Average Lateral Length (ft) 7,200 - 9,000
Production Split
Oil/condensate** % 16%
NGLs (C2 – C4) % 6%
Natural gas % 78%
*Normalized to 7,200’ lateral length for CRP and 9,000' lateral length for Pipestone **Includes plant and field condensate
2018 Program
• 2018 significant production growth while generating
free cash flow
• Targeting Q4 2018 liquids production of 55-65Mbbls/d
– double Q4 2017 rates
• Tower and Pipestone Liquids hubs on track for Q4
2018 start-up
• Improved liquids mix and efficient operations at scale
driving margin expansion
• Drilling activity weighted to first half of year
– Expect rig count to drop to ~half by YE
19
37
DIVERSIFIED MARKET EXPOSURE IN WESTERN CANADAPortfolio Approach to Price Risk Management
To US Northwest
~115 MMcf/d
To Dawn
316 MMcf/d
To Chicago
~88 MMcf/d
Condensate
Imports
• ~500MMcf/d AECO basis hedged at
($0.88/Mcf) to Henry Hub
• ~500 MMcf/d firm transportation out of
the basin
• 100% firm capacity secured on NGTL for
expected production growth – limited
curtailment risk
• Condensate sold into local market at
~WTI prices
Natural Gas Export Pipeline
Condensate Import Pipeline
100% firm
capacity on
Nova Gas
Transmission
System
(NGTL)
Condensate
sold into
premium
local
market
38
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Q4 16 Q4 17 Q4 18F
(Mb
bls
/d)
Condensate Other NGLs
MONTNEY DELIVERING CONDENSATE GROWTHSignificant Margin Expansion
Margin Expansion Driving Cash FlowŦ Growth
Montney Liquids Production Set to Double Again in Q4 2018
• Margin expansion driven by liquids growth
– Liquids more than doubled from Q4/16 to Q4/17 and are
set to double again in Q4/18 to 55-65Mbbls/d
• Cube development and advanced completions are
delivering strong productivity and efficient growth
– New bench tests in Tower and Dawson South delivering
initial CGR of 100-300 bbls/MMcf
– Completions innovation and operating efficiencies reduced
Pipestone completions cycle times by >30%
• New plants realized ~98% runtime in December
– Ramp into facilities will continue in first half of 2018
– South CLH Phase II on-stream in Q4 2017
• Currently operating at peak 2018 rig count
• Tower and Pipestone liquids hubs on track for Q4
2018 start-up
$0.00
$2.00
$4.00
$6.00
$8.00
$10.00
$12.00
Q4 16 Q4 17 Q4 18F
Op
era
tin
g M
arg
in (
$/B
OE
)
14
29
55-65
Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
20
39
• Montney growth has been self-funded
• Transition to liquids and increase in scale driving
margin expansion
• 2018 significant production growth while generating
free cash flowŦ
• Additional growth in free cashŦ expected in 2019
• Competes with the best plays in North America
MONTNEY CASH FLOW GROWTH High Quality Condensate Play
-
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2017 2018F 2019F
($M
M)
Capital Upstream Operating CF
Montney Free Operating Cash FlowŦ in 2018 & 2019
Liquids-Rich
MontneyPermian
D&C Cost ($MM) 4.0–5.5 5.6
Oil/C5 IP180 (bbls/d) 250-800 500
Royalty Rate 5-10% 25%
Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
40
• Tower, Sunrise and Saturn plants on-stream Q4 2017
– Facilities came on ahead of schedule and under budget
• Encana designed, built and operates the facilities
• Innovative risk-sharing arrangement
– No up-front capital spend by Encana
– No traditional take-or-pay
– Competitive fee structure
• Canadian margins continue to increase in 2018
– Driven by condensate growth
– New plant fees lower than average Canadian per unit T&P expense
AGREEMENT WITH VERESEN MIDSTREAM Fee-for-Service Structure
All 3 Montney Plants On-Stream
21
41
Commissioning of Tower, Sunrise and Saturn in 2017 added approximately 450
MMcf/d of gas, 19 Mbbls/d of condensate, and 10 Mbbls/d of NGL to existing
capacity
MONTNEY INFRASTRUCTURE PLANLiquids Handling Capacity Supports Growth & Flexibility
*Condensate and NGL capacities assume a 30% cut on C3+ facility capacities. Capacities are net ECA, and stated after shrink
and before royalties.
**Pipestone facilities part of the recently announced Keyera Partnership agreement.
***In the process of finalizing the liquids recovery design.
Net Encana Capacity
Icon NameAnticipated
TimingGas*
(MMcf/d)Condensate*
(bbls/d)NGLs*
(bbls/d)
Existing Facilities 1,150 42,000 15,500
Tower NCLH Q4 2018 0 9,000 0
Pipestone CLH** Q4 2018 0 10,500 0
Total Net Capacity Year End 2018 1,150 61,500 15,500
Pipestone Expansion**
2021 150 17,000 TBD***
40mi / 65km
Dawson South
Pipestone
Tower
BC
Alb
erta
1
Key Montney Infrastructure Additions
2
1
2
3 3
42
-
500
1,000
1,500
2017 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F
MM
cf/
d
ENCANA MONTNEY5 Year Growth Profile
• Development focused in condensate rich areas
• 2018 program to fill new liquids capacity
‒ Additional capacity comes online late 2018
• Operating margin expected to increase >40% by
2022
• Liquids production of 55-65 Mbbls/d Q4 2018
• Expect liquids production of >70 Mbbls/d by 2019
‒ Liquid weighting grows to >25% of total by 2019
• Liquids handling expansions support growth
plans
-
30
60
90
2017 2018F 2019F 2020F 2021F 2022F
Mb
bls
/d
Gas Growth Profile
Liquids Growth Profile
Volumes quoted are net to Encana.
22
43
• Partnership with a subsidiary of Mitsubishi
– Encana: 60% interest
– Mitsubishi: 40% interest
• Investment structure (C$2.9B)
– C$1.45 billion upfront in 2012
– Further investment of C$1.45 billion during the
commitment period
• Third party capital expected to extend into 2019
– 2018 third party capital ~C$300 million
– 2019 third party capital ~C$135 million
• Post commitment period, Mitsubishi funds its
40% of the Partnership's future capital
investment
MONTNEYCutbank Ridge Partnership (CRP)
44
Region Tower Dawson South Pipestone
Type Wet GasGas
Condensate
Rich Gas
CondensateWet Gas
Gas
Condensate
Gas
Condensate
Rich Gas
Condensate
Very Rich Gas
CondensateVolatile Oil
IP30 (BOE/d) 1,800 – 1,900 1,200 – 1,400 1,450 – 1,550 2,000 – 2,200 2,400 – 2,600 1,500 – 1,600 1,850 – 1,900 1,750 – 1,800 800 – 1,200
IP180 (BOE/d) 1,700 – 1,800 1,150 – 1,350 1,250 – 1,350 1,600 – 2,000 1,900 – 2,100 1,250 – 1,350 1,600 – 1,700 1,750 – 1,800 1,000 – 1,300
EUR/Well (MBOE) 1,850 – 1,950 1,350 – 1,450 1,300 – 1,400 1,750 – 1,850 1,500 – 1,650 950 – 1,000 1,100 – 1,200 1,300 – 1,350 900 – 1,200
Condensate Yield (bbls/MMcf)
<20 20 - 50 50 - 150 <20 20 - 50 20 - 50 50 – 150 150 – 250 >250
Gross Premium Return Inventory
1,230 950 860 690 460 740 840 150 980
MONTNEYGross Premium Return Inventory
Estimated inventory based on 440 - 990 ft. spacing, 8,200 - 9,800’ lateral length. Volumes are stated on a shrunk condensate and a raw gas basis.
23
45
• Completions design continues to drive productivity
improvements and expand inventory
– Eagle Ford and Austin Chalk ahead of type curve
– Duvernay advanced completions driving 25% uplift in first 90
days
• Continued margin expansion
– Highly efficient operations reducing OPEX
– Eagle Ford sales into premium Houston & LLS markets
– >40% of Duvernay production is condensate that receives
~WTI pricing
• 2018 program will focus on developing best inventory
– Assets generating combined ~$300MM annual free operating
cash flowŦ
EAGLE FORD & DUVERNAY Quality Assets Generating Free Operating Cash Flow
Eagle Ford & Duvernay Maintaining ~65 MBOE/d Combined
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
0 30 60 90 120 150 180
Cu
mu
lati
ve P
rod
ucti
on
(M
BO
E)*
Days
Simonette South Base Design Simonette South High Intensity Design
Duvernay Completions Innovation Leads to 25% Uplift in IP90
Simonette South VRGC
Type Curve IP180
0
20
40
60
80
2016 2017 2018F
An
nu
al
Pro
du
cti
on
(M
BO
E/d
)
Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
*Normalized to 8,900’ lateral.
46
EAGLE FORD 2018 Program
FY 2018 PlanAcreage (net acres) 42,000
Average Working Interest (%) 92%
Average Royalty Rate (%) 20 – 25%
Development Capital (net) $MM $270 - 310
Gross Rig Count (average) 2
Wells Drilled (net) 45 – 50
Wells on Stream (net) 45 – 50
D&C Cost* ($MM/well) ~$4.8
Average Lateral Length (ft) 5,000
Production Split
Oil/condensate** % 70%
NGLs % 13%
Natural gas % 17%
*Normalized to 5,000' lateral length **Includes plant and field condensate
2018 Program
• Maximize free operating cash flow
• Program weighted ~2/3 Eagle Ford and ~1/3
Austin Chalk
• Completion design innovations continue to add
upside to the play
• Strong pricing realizations at Houston and LLS
24
47
MIDSTREAM AND MARKETING OVERVIEWEagle Ford
• Firm gas gathering and NGL processing
aligned with asset development program
• Infield gathering and extensive market
assets in place to ensure flow and
downstream connectivity
• Diverse physical marketing portfolio with
access to Gulf Coast refining markets
• Proximity to market minimizes
transportation cost and related
commitments while maximizing margins
Houston
Corpus Christi
Three Rivers
Close proximity to market and
well-developed infrastructure
Eagle Ford
48
Type Curve Eagle Ford Austin Chalk
IP30 (BOE/d) 1200 1400
IP180 (BOE/d) 950 1040
EUR/Well (Mbbls) 490 590
EUR/Well (MBOE) 650 770
GOR (scf/bbl) 2,000 1,500
Gross Premium Return Inventory 155 65
EAGLE FORDGross Premium Return Inventory
• 220 premium return
inventory locations
• Testing additional
opportunity in both the
Graben area of the Eagle
Ford and in the Austin Chalk
Estimated Eagle Ford inventory based on 330 ft spacing, 5,000’ lateral length. Type curves are stated on a three stream basis.
25
49
DUVERNAY2018 Program
FY 2018 PlanSimonette Acreage (net acres) 91,000
Average Working Interest (%) 50%
Average Royalty Rate (%) 5 – 10%
Development Capital (net) $MM $100 – 130
Gross Rig Count (average) 1
Wells Drilled (net) 7 – 9
Wells on Stream (net) 7 – 9
D&C Cost* ($MM/well) ~$9.7
Average Lateral Length (ft) 9,000
Production Split
Oil/condensate** % 40%
NGLs (C2 – C4) % 8%
Natural gas % 52%
*Normalized to 9,000' lateral length **Includes plant and field condensate.
2018 Program
• Maximize free operating cash flow
• Strong margin driven by ~50% liquids and ~WTI
realizations for condensate
• Advanced completions contributing to 25%
productivity improvement
• Activity weighted to first half of 2018
50
MIDSTREAM AND MARKETING OVERVIEWDuvernay
• Condensate sales via pipeline to premium
Edmonton market center
• Firm market access aligned with
development program
• Achieved liquids price upgrade while
minimizing midstream capex via Alliance
pipeline
• Diversified pricing exposure for liquids and
natural gas in Chicago market
Duvernay
Alliance Pipeline to U.S. Midwest
(Chicago)
Condensate to Edmonton market
center
26
51
DUVERNAYGross Premium Return Inventory
Region Simonette South Simonette North
Type Rich Gas CondensateVery Rich Gas Condensate
Rich Gas CondensateVery Rich Gas Condensate
IP30 (BOE/d) 1,550 – 1,650 1,600 - 1,700 1,200 – 1,300 1,200 – 1,300
IP180 (BOE/d) 1,100 – 1,200 1,150 – 1,250 850 - 950 850 - 950
EUR/Well (MBOE) 1,350 - 1450 1,300 – 1,400 1,000 – 1,100 950 – 1,050
Condensate Yield (bbls/MMcf) 50 - 150 150 - 250 50 – 150 150 – 250
Gross Premium Return Inventory
150 120 60 170
Gas heat content of 1,200 Btu/scf.
Estimated inventory based on 1,000 ft. spacing, Simonette North at 8,200’ lateral length, Simonette South at 8,900' lateral length . Volumes are stated on a shrunk condensate and a raw gas basis
52
SAN JUAN BASINEvaluating Liquids Growth Potential
• Strong 2017 well results
– 5 Tocito wells exceeding type curve
expectations
– Targeted best rock with transverse orientation
and advanced completion design to generate
more frac complexity
– Evaluated secondary El Vado zone
• 2018 objectives
– 6 well program in H2 2018
– Evaluating commerciality (access to services,
commodities, mid-stream, etc.)
27
SUPPLEMENTAL
54
• Benefit of scale driving lower per unit BOE costs
– Reducing costs & growing production volumes
• Interest on debt expected to be ~$70MM/quarter
– Consolidated interest expense $90-$95MM/quarter
• Administrative expense, ex. LTI’s, expected to be
~$45MM/quarter for 2018
• Market optimization segment includes T&P costs of
$30-$35MM/quarter for 2018
– Segment operating loss expected to be $16-$20MM/quarter
MAXIMIZING MARGINCost Control of Corporate Items Enhances Per Unit Margin
-
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
-
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2017 2018F
$/B
OE
$M
M
Interest Expense G&A Excluding LTI
Market Optimization Combined Cost $/BOE
Corporate Items Cost Control
28
55
PRODUCT VALUE CHAINProjected Composition of Total Production
*2018F based on company guidance as at February 15, 2018, excluding impact of hedges; production ranges are not additive; **I ncludes plant condensate
Canada US
2018F*
(Mbbls/d)
2018F Pricing
(%WTI)
2018F*
(Mbbls/d)
2018F Pricing
(%WTI)
Oil 0 – 1 98% 87 – 90 100%
Condensate** 38 – 40 98% 3 – 4 88%
Butane 6 – 8 63% 4 – 5 61%
Propane 7 – 9 45% 8 – 9 54%
Ethane 0 – 1 20% 9 – 10 13%
Canada US
2018F*
(MMcf/d)
2018F Pricing
(%NYMEX)
2018F*
(MMcf/d)
2018F Pricing
(%NYMEX)
Natural Gas 1,000 – 1,100 73% 140 – 160 85%
56
WESTERN CANADIAN CONDENSATE FUNDAMENTALSPremium Condensate Market
Source: RBC Capital Markets and Government Data
Condensate demand in
western Canada is
expected to outstrip
domestic supply –
with imports bridging
the gap
29
57
36%
30%28%
23% 22%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
YE 2013 YE 2014 YE 2015 YE 2016 YE 2017
• $4.5B fully committed, unsecured, revolving credit
facilities
– $4.5B available at December 31, 2017
– Committed to July 2020
– No use of credit facility to back-stop long term commitments
– Single financial covenant
• Debt cannot exceed 60% of adjusted capitalization
• Adjusted capitalizationŦ = debt + equity + $7.7B equity adjustment
• 22% as at December 31, 2017
• Debt to adjusted capitalization ratio has improved since 2013
DISCIPLINED FINANCIAL MANAGEMENTAccess to Ample Liquidity Through 2020
ECA Ratio Well Within Covenant ThresholdDebt to Adjusted CapitalizationŦ Ratio
60% Threshold
Ŧ Non-GAAP measures defined in advisories. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures see the Company’s website.
58
• Total debt reduced by ~$3 billion since Y/E 2014
• Significant financial flexibility with no debt maturities until 2019
• ~75% of fixed rate long-term debt not due until 2030 and beyond
• Investment grade credit rating
• $4.5B fully committed, unsecured, revolving credit facilities
DISCIPLINED FINANCIAL MANAGEMENTDebt Portfolio as at December 31, 2017
0
250
500
750
1,000
20
18
20
19
20
20
20
21
20
22
20
23
20
24
20
25
20
26
20
27
20
28
20
29
20
30
20
31
20
32
20
33
20
34
20
35
20
36
20
37
20
38
20
39
20
40
20
41
(US$
MM
)
Fixed Debt Maturity Schedule
30
59
• expectation of meeting or exceeding targets in corporate guidance and five-year plan
• anticipated capital program, including focus of development and allocation thereof, number of wells on stream,
level of capital productivity, expected return and source of funding
• well performance, completions intensity, location of acreage and costs relative to peers and within assets
• anticipated production, including growth from core assets, cash flow, free cash flow, capital coverage, payout,
profit, net present value, rates of return, recovery, return on capital employed, production and execution
efficiency, operating, income and cash flow margin, and margin expansion, including expected timeframes
• number of potential drilling locations (including premium return inventory and ability to add to or consume such
inventory), well spacing, number of wells per pad, decline rate, rig count, rig release metrics, focus and timing
of drilling, anticipated vertical and horizontal drilling, cycle times, commodity composition, gas-oil ratios and
operating performance compared to type curves
• running room and scale of assets, including its competitiveness and pace of growth against peers
• pacesetting metrics being indicative of future well performance and costs, and sustainability thereof
• timing, success and benefits from innovation, cube development approach, advanced completions design,
scale of development, high-intensity completions and precision targeting, and transferability of ideas
• expected transportation and processing capacity, commitments, curtailments and restrictions, including
flexibility of commercial arrangements and costs and timing of certain infrastructure being operational
• anticipated reserves and resources, including product types and stacked resource potential
• anticipated third-party incremental and joint venture carry capital
• ability to manage costs and efficiencies, including drilling and completion, operating, corporate, transportation
and processing, staffing, services and materials secured and supply chain management
• expected net debt, net debt to adjusted EBITDA, target leverage, financial capacity and other debt metrics
• growth in long-term shareholder value, options to maximize shareholder returns and timing thereof
• commodity price outlook
• outcomes of risk management program, including exposure to commodity prices and foreign exchange,
amount of hedged production, market access and physical sales locations
• management of balance sheet and credit rating, including access to sources of liquidity and available cash
• execution of strategy and future outlook in five-year plan, including expected growth, returns, free cash flow,
projections based on commodity prices and use of cash therefrom
• environmental, health and safety performance
• advantages of Encana’s multi-basin portfolio
• anticipated dividends or changes thereto
• impact of changes in laws and regulations, including recent U.S. tax reform
• anticipated share repurchase program, including amount and number of shares, anticipated timeframe,
regulatory filings and approval thereof, method and location of purchases and benefits of program
This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements or information (collectively, “FLS”) within the meaning of applicable securities legislation, including the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. FLS include:
Readers are cautioned against unduly relying on FLS which, by their nature, involve numerous assumptions, risks and uncertainties that may cause such statements not to occur, or results to differ materially from those expressed or
implied. These assumptions include: future commodity prices and differentials; foreign exchange rates; ability to access credit facilities and shelf prospectuses; assumptions contained in the Company’s corporate guidance, five-year
plan and as specified herein; data contained in key modeling statistics; availability of attractive hedges and enforceability of risk management program; effectiveness of Encana's drive to productivity and efficiencies; results from
innovations; expectation that counterparties will fulfill their obligations under the gathering, midstream and marketing agreements; access to transportation and processing facilities where Encana operates; assumed tax, royalty and
regulatory regimes; enforceability of transaction agreements; and expectations and projections made in light of, and generally consistent with, Encana's historical experience and its perception of historical trends, including with
respect to the pace of technological development, benefits achieved and general industry expectations. Risks and uncertainties that may affect these business outcomes include: ability to generate sufficient cash flow to meet
obligations; commodity price volatility; ability to secure adequate transportation and potential pipeline curtailments; variability and discretion of Encana's board of directors to declare and pay dividends, if any; variability in the amount,number of shares, method, location and timing of purchases, if any, pursuant to the share repurchase program, including regulatory filings and approvals thereof; timing and costs of well, facilities and pipeline construction; business
interruption, property and casualty losses or unexpected technical difficulties, including impact of weather; counterparty and credit risk; impact of a downgrade in credit rating and its impact on access to sources of liquidity;
fluctuations in currency and interest rates; risks inherent in Encana's corporate guidance; failure to achieve cost and efficiency initiatives; risks inherent in marketing operations; risks associated with technology; changes in or
interpretation of royalty, tax, environmental, greenhouse gas, carbon, accounting and other laws or regulations; risks associated with existing and potential lawsuits and regulatory actions made against Encana; impact of disputes
arising with its partners, including suspension of certain obligations and inability to dispose of assets or interests in certain arrangements; Encana's ability to acquire or find additional reserves; imprecision of reserves estimates and
estimates of recoverable quantities of liquids and natural gas from plays and other sources not currently classified as proved, probable or possible reserves or economic contingent resources, including future net revenue estimates;
risks associated with past and future acquisitions or divestitures of certain assets or other transactions or receipt of amounts contemplated under the transaction agreements (such transactions may include third-party capital
investments, farm-outs or partnerships, which Encana may refer to from time to time as “partnerships” or “joint ventures” and the funds received in respect thereof which Encana may refer to from time to time as “proceeds”, “deferred
purchase price” and/or “carry capital”, regardless of the legal form) as a result of various conditions not being met; and other risks and uncertainties impacting Encana's business, as described in its most recent Annual Report on
Form 10-K and as described from time to time in Encana’s other periodic filings as filed on SEDAR and EDGAR.
Although Encana believes the expectations represented by FLS are reasonable, there can be no assurance FLS will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the above assumptions, risks and uncertainties are not exhaustive.
FLS are made as of the date hereof and, except as required by law, Encana undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any FLS. The FLS contained herein are expressly qualified by these cautionary statements.
Certain future oriented financial information or financial outlook information is included in this presentation to communicate current expectations as to Encana’s performance. Readers are cautioned that it may not be appropriate for
other purposes. Rates of return for a particular asset or well are on a before-tax basis and are based on specified commodity prices with local pricing offsets, capital costs associated with drilling, completing and equipping a well, field
operating expenses and certain type curve assumptions. Pacesetter well costs for a particular asset are a composite of the best drilling performance and best completions performance wells in the current quarter in such asset and
are presented for comparison purposes. Drilling and completions costs have been normalized as specified in this presentation based on certain lateral lengths for a particular asset. Premium well locations are locations with expected
after tax returns greater than 35% at $50/bbl WTI and $3/MMBtu NYMEX. For convenience, references in this presentation to “Encana”, the “Company”, “we”, “us” and “our” may, where applicable, refer only to or include any relevant
direct and indirect subsidiary corporations and partnerships (“Subsidiaries”) of Encana Corporation, and the assets, activities and initiatives of such Subsidiaries.
FUTURE ORIENTES INFORMATION
60
All estimates in this news release are effective as of December 31, 2017, prepared by qualified reserves evaluators in accordance with procedures and standards contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation ("COGE") Handbook,
National Instrument 51-101 (NI 51-101) and SEC regulations, as applicable. On August 14, 2017, Encana was granted an exemption by the Canadian Securities Administrators from the requirements under NI 51-101 that each qualified
reserves evaluator or qualified reserves auditor appointed under section 3.2 of NI 51-101 and who execute the report under Item 2 of Section 2 of NI 51-101 be independent of Encana. Notwithstanding this exemption, for year-ended
December 31, 2017, Encana involved independent qualified reserves auditors to audit a portion of the Company’s reserves and economic contingent resources estimates. Detailed Canadian and U.S. protocol disclosure will be contained in
the Form 51-101F1 and Annual Report on Form 10-K, respectively, as described in Note 2. Additional detail regarding Encana's economic contingent resources disclosure will be available in the Supplemental Disclosure Document filed
concurrently with the Form 51-101F1. Information on the forecast prices and costs used in preparing the Canadian protocol estimates will be contained in the Form 51-101F1. For additional information relating to risks associated with the
estimates of reserves and resources, see "Item 1A. Risk Factors" of the Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Reserves are the estimated remaining quantities of oil and natural gas and related substances anticipated to be recoverable from known accumulations, from a given date forward, based on: analysis of drilling, geological, geophysical and
engineering data, the use of established technology, and specified economic conditions, which are generally accepted as being reasonable. Proved reserves are those reserves which can be estimated with a high degree of certainty to be
recoverable. It is likely that the actual remaining quantities recovered will exceed the estimated proved reserves. Probable reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than proved reserves. It is equally likely
that the actual remaining quantities recovered will be greater or less than the sum of the estimated proved plus probable reserves. Contingent resources do not constitute, and should not be confused with, reserves. Contingent resources
are defined as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to
be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. There is uncertainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources. All of the resources classified as contingent are considered to be discovered,
and as such have been assigned a 100% chance of discovery, but have however been risked for the chance of development. The chance of development is defined as the likelihood of a project being commercially viable and development
proceeding in a timely fashion. Determining the chance of development requires taking into consideration each contingency and quantifying the risks into an overall development risk factor at a project level. Contingent resources are defined
as “economic contingent resources” if they are currently economically recoverable and are categorized as economic if those contingent resources have a positive net present value under currently forecasted prices and costs. In examining
economic viability, the same fiscal conditions have been applied as in the estimation of Encana’s reserves. Contingencies include factors such as required corporate or third party (such as joint venture partners) approvals, legal,
environmental, political and regulatory matters or a lack of infrastructure or markets. None of Encana’s estimated contingent resources are subject to technical contingencies.
Encana uses the terms play, resource play, total petroleum initially-in-place (“PIIP”), natural gas-in-place (“NGIP”), and crude oil-in-place (“COIP”). Play encompasses resource plays, geological formations and conventional plays. Resource
play describes an accumulation of hydrocarbons known to exist over a large areal expanse and/or thick vertical section, which when compared to a conventional play, typically has a lower geological and/or commercial development risk and
lower average decline rate. PIIP is defined by the Society of Petroleum Engineers - Petroleum Resources Management System (“SPE-PRMS”) as that quantity of petroleum that is estimated to exist originally in naturally occurring
accumulations. It includes that quantity of petroleum that is estimated, as of a given date, to be contained in known accumulations prior to production plus those estimated quantities in accumulations yet to be discovered (equivalent to “total
resource potential”). NGIP and COIP are defined in the same manner, with the substitution of “natural gas” and “crude oil” where appropriate for the word “petroleum”. As used by Encana, estimated ultimate recovery (“EUR”), which
Encana may refer to as recoverable resource potential, has the meaning set out jointly by the Society of Petroleum Engineers and World Petroleum Congress in the year 2000, being those quantities of petroleum which are estimated, on a
given date, to be potentially recoverable from an accumulation, plus those quantities already produced therefrom.
Encana has provided information with respect to its assets which are “analogous information” as defined in NI 51-101, including estimates of PIIP, NGIP, COIP, EUR and production type curves. This analogous information is presented on
a basin, sub-basin or area basis utilizing data derived from Encana's internal sources, as well as from a variety of publicly available information sources which are predominantly independent in nature. Production type curves are based on a
methodology of analog, empirical and theoretical assessments and workflow with consideration of the specific asset, and as depicted in this presentation, is representative of Encana’s current program, including relative to current
performance, but are not necessarily indicative of ultimate recovery. Some of this data may not have been prepared by qualified reserves evaluators, may have been prepared based on internal estimates, and the preparation of any
estimates may not be in strict accordance with COGEH. Estimates by engineering and geo-technical practitioners may vary and the differences may be significant. Encana believes that the provision of this analogous information is relevant
to Encana's oil and gas activities, given its acreage position and operations (either ongoing or planned) in the areas in question, and such information has been updated as of the date hereof unless otherwise specified. Due to the early life
nature of the various emerging plays discussed in this presentation, PIIP is the most relevant specific assignable category of estimated resources. There is no certainty that any portion of the resources will be discovered. There is no
certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the estimated PIIP, NGIP, COIP or EUR. Estimates of drilling locations and premium return well inventory include proved, probable, contingent and unbooked locations.
These estimates are prepared internally based on Encana's prospective acreage and are based on an assumption as to the number of wells that can be drilled per section based on industry practice and internal review. Approximately 40
percent of all locations specified in our core assets are booked as either reserves or resources, as prepared by internal qualified reserves evaluators using forecast prices and costs as of December 31, 2017. Unbooked locations do not
have attributed reserves or resources and have been identified by management as an estimation of Encana's multi-year drilling activities based on evaluation of applicable geologic, seismic, engineering, production and reserves
information. There is no certainty that Encana will drill all unbooked locations and if drilled there is no certainty that such locations will result in additional oil and gas reserves, resources or production. The locations on which Encana will
actually drill wells, including the number and timing thereof is ultimately dependent upon the availability of capital, regulatory and partner approvals, seasonal restrictions, equipment and personnel, oil and natural gas prices, costs, actual
drilling results, additional reservoir information that is obtained, production rate recovery, transportation constraints and other factors. While certain of the unbooked locations have been de-risked by drilling existing wells in relative close
proximity to such locations, many of other unbooked locations are farther away from existing wells where management has less information about the characteristics of the reservoir and therefore there is more uncertainty whether wells will
be drilled in such locations and if drilled there is more uncertainty that such wells will result in additional proved or probable reserves, resources or production.
30-day IP and other short-term rates are not necessarily indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery. The conversion of natural gas volumes to barrels of oil equivalent (“BOE”) is on the basis of six thousand cubic feet to one
barrel. BOE is based on a generic energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent economic value equivalency at the wellhead. Readers are cautioned that BOE may be misleading,
particularly if used in isolation.
ADVISORY REGARDING OIL & GAS INFORMATION
31
61
Certain measures in this presentation do not have any standardized meaning as prescribed by U.S. GAAP and, therefore, are considered non-GAAP measures. These
measures may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. These measures have been provided for meaningful comparisons between current
results and other periods and should not be viewed as a substitute for measures reported under U.S. GAAP. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures, see the
Company’s website and/or the advisories at the back of this presentation. Non-GAAP measures include:
NON-GAAP MEASURES
• Non-GAAP Cash Flow, Free Cash Flow and Cash Flow Margin – Non-GAAP Cash Flow (or
Cash Flow) is defined as cash from operating activities excluding net change in other assets and
liabilities, net change in non-cash working capital and current tax on sale of assets. Cash Flow
Margin is Non-GAAP Cash Flow per BOE of production. Free Cash Flow is defined as Non-GAAP
Cash Flow in excess of capital investment, excluding net acquisitions and divestitures. Management
believes these measures are useful to the company and its investors as a measure of operating and
financial performance across periods and against other companies in the industry, and are an
indication of the company’s ability to generate cash to finance capital programs, to service debt and
to meet other financial obligations. These measures may be used, along with other measures, in the
calculation of certain performance targets for the company’s management and employees.
• Forward looking Non-GAAP Cash Flow, Free Cash Flow and Cash Flow Margin:
$3 Billion Cumulative Free Cash Flow (2018 – 2022)
• In total, 2018 through 2022 Cash From Operating Activities is expected to be $13.4B
with $500M in net change in non-cash working capital and net change in other assets
and liabilities added back, resulting in estimated cumulative Non-GAAP Cash Flow of
$13.9B. Cumulative capital expenditures for 2018 through 2022 is expected to be
$10.9B, resulting in cumulative Free Cash Flow of $3B.
• Net change in non-cash working capital is assumed to be zero for 2018 through 2022.
Net change in other assets and liabilities is assumed to be about $100M per year for
2018 through 2022.
~$14.00/BOE Cash Flow Margin (2018)
• 2018 Cash From Operating Activities is expected to be approximately $1.8B with
approximately $100M net change in non-cash working capital and net change in other
assets and liabilities added back, resulting in an estimated Non-GAAP Cash Flow of
$1.9B. This amount divided by the mid-point of the 2018 production guidance of 370
MBOE/d equals the expected Cash Flow Margin of ~$14.00/BOE.
~$500 million Free Cash Flow (2019)
• 2019 Cash From Operating Activities is expected to be approximately $2.2B with
approximately $100M net change in non-cash working capital and net change in other
assets and liabilities added back, resulting in an estimated Non-GAAP Cash Flow of
about $2.3B. Capital expenditures are expected to be about 1.8 billion resulting in non-
GAAP free cash flow of $500 million
• Corporate Return – is defined as the After-Tax Rate of Return (ATROR) including the impact of
non-well capital costs and overhead costs, such as administrative and interest expenses.
• After-Tax Rate of Return (ATROR) – is defined as the discount rate at which the net present value
of the after-tax cash flows is equal to zero. Encana uses nine percent as the discount rate for its
standard investment decisions, which is intended to represent the Company’s long term cost of
capital. For project evaluation, cost of capital includes land, drilling and completion costs (D&C),
seismic, facilities and gathering. D&C costs include all capital outlay for activities related to drilling
and completing the well in addition to permanent production equipment such as site compressors,
separation equipment and liquid storage tanks.
• Cash Costs – are defined as the summation of production, mineral and other taxes, transportation
and processing expense, operating expense, administrative expense and interest expense.
• Development Capital – Includes drilling, completion and facility costs, but excludes land and lease,
seismic, appraisal and capitalized internal costs. Capitalized internal costs include salaries, benefits
and other costs directly identifiable with acquisition, exploration and development activities.
• Debt to Adjusted Capitalization – Debt to Adjusted Capitalization is a proxy for Encana’s financial
covenant under the Company’s credit facilities which require debt to adjusted capitalization to be
less than 60 percent. Adjusted Capitalization includes debt, total shareholders’ equity and an equity
adjustment for cumulative historical ceiling test impairments recorded as at December 31, 2011 in
conjunction with the Company’s January 1, 2012 adoption of U.S. GAAP.
62
Certain measures in this presentation do not have any standardized meaning as prescribed by U.S. GAAP and, therefore, are considered non-GAAP measures. These
measures may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. These measures have been provided for meaningful comparisons between current
results and other periods and should not be viewed as a substitute for measures reported under U.S. GAAP. For additional information regarding non-GAAP measures, see the
Company’s website and Encana’s most recent Annual Report as filed on SEDAR and EDGAR. Non-GAAP measures include:
NON-GAAP MEASURES
• Operating Margin/Operating Cash Flow/Operating Netback – Product
revenues less costs associated with delivering the product to market, including
production, mineral and other taxes, transportation and processing and operating
expenses. When presented on a per BOE basis, Operating Netback is defined as
indicated divided by average barrels of oil equivalent sales volumes. Operating
Margin/Operating Cash Flow/Operating Netback is used by management as an
internal measure of the profitability of a play(s).
• Free Operating Cash Flow – Operating Cash Flow in excess of capital
investment, excluding net acquisitions and divestitures.• Return on Capital Employed (ROCE) – Adjusted Operating Earnings divided by
Capital Employed. Adjusted Operating Earnings is defined as Non-GAAP
Operating Earnings (Loss) plus after-tax interest expense. Capital Employed is
defined as average debt plus average shareholders’ equity.
• Non-GAAP Operating Earnings (Loss) – is defined as Net Earnings (Loss)
excluding non-recurring or non-cash items that management believes reduces the
comparability of the company’s financial performance between periods. These
items may include, but are not limited to, unrealized gains/losses on risk
management, impairments, restructuring charges, non-operating foreign exchange
gains/losses, gains/losses on divestitures and gains on debt retirement. Income
taxes may include valuation allowances and the provision related to the pre-tax
items listed, as well as income taxes related to divestitures and adjustments to
normalize the effect of income taxes calculated using the estimated annual
effective income tax rate.
• Net Debt, Adjusted EBITDA and Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA – Net Debt is
defined as long-term debt, including the current portion, less cash and cash
equivalents. Management uses this measure as a substitute for total long-term
debt in certain internal debt metrics as a measure of the company’s ability to
service debt obligations and as an indicator of the company’s overall financial
strength. Adjusted EBITDA is defined as trailing 12-month net earnings (loss)
before income taxes, DD&A, impairments, accretion of asset retirement obligation,
interest, unrealized gains/losses on risk management, foreign exchange
gains/losses, gains/losses on divestitures and other gains/losses. Net Debt to
Adjusted EBITDA is monitored by management as an indicator of the company’s
overall financial strength and as a measure considered comparable to peers in the
industry.
2018F ENCANA CORPORATE GUIDANCE
US$, U.S. GAAP
February 15, 20182018F
Capital Investment ($ billions)
Total Capital Investment 1.8 – 1.9
Production (after royalties)
Liquids (Mbbls/d) 165 – 175
Natural Gas (MMcf/d) 1,150 – 1,250
Total Production (MBOE/d) 360 – 380
Operating Costs ($/BOE at 6:1 ratio)
Upstream Operating Expense (1) 3.00 – 3.30
Transportation and Processing 7.40 – 7.75
Administrative Expense (1) 1.25 – 1.50
Production, Mineral & Other Taxes (% of Revenue (2)) 3.25 – 3.75%
1. Excludes long-term incentives.
2. Upstream revenue excluding risk management activities.
ADVISORY: This document contains certain forward-looking statements or information (collectively, “FLS”) within the meaning of applicable securities legislation, including the United States Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. FLS include: capital investment, liquids, natural gas and total production; and operating costs.
Readers are cautioned against unduly relying on FLS which, by their nature, involve numerous assumptions, risks and uncertainties that may cause such statements not to occur, or results to differ
materially from those expressed or implied. These assumptions include: future commodity prices and differentials; foreign exchange rates; ability to access credit facilities and shelf prospectuses;
assumptions contained in the Company’s five-year plan and as specified herein; data contained in key modeling statistics; availability of attractive hedges and enforceability of risk management program;
effectiveness of Encana's drive to productivity and efficiencies; results from innovations; expectation that counterparties will fulfill their obligations under the gathering, midstream and marketing
agreements; access to transportation and processing facilities where Encana operates; assumed tax, royalty and regulatory regimes; enforceability of transaction agreements; and expectations and
projections made in light of, and generally consistent with, Encana's historical experience and its perception of historical trends, including with respect to the pace of technological development, benefits
achieved and general industry expectations.
Risks and uncertainties that may affect these business outcomes include: ability to generate sufficient cash flow to meet obligations; commodity price volatility; ability to secure adequate transportation and
potential pipeline curtailments; variability and discretion of Encana's board of directors to declare and pay dividends, if any; variability in the amount, number of shares, method, location and timing of
purchases, if any, pursuant to the share repurchase program, including regulatory filings and approvals thereof; timing and costs of well, facilities and pipeline construction; business interruption, property
and casualty losses or unexpected technical difficulties, including impact of weather; counterparty and credit risk; impact of a downgrade in credit rating and its impact on access to sources of liquidity;
fluctuations in currency and interest rates; risks inherent in Encana's corporate guidance; failure to achieve cost and efficiency initiatives; risks inherent in marketing operations; risks associated with
technology; changes in or interpretation of royalty, tax, environmental, greenhouse gas, carbon, accounting and other laws or regulations; risks associated with existing and potential lawsuits and regulatory
actions made against Encana; impact of disputes arising with its partners, including suspension of certain obligations and inability to dispose of assets or interests in certain arrangements; Encana's ability
to acquire or find additional reserves; imprecision of reserves estimates and estimates of recoverable quantities of liquids and natural gas from plays and other sources not currently classified as proved,
probable or possible reserves or economic contingent resources, including future net revenue estimates; risks associated with past and future acquisitions or divestitures of certain assets or other
transactions or receipt of amounts contemplated under the transaction agreements (such transactions may include third-party capital investments, farm-outs or partnerships, which Encana may refer to from
time to time as “partnerships” or “joint ventures” and the funds received in respect thereof which Encana may refer to from time to time as “proceeds”, “deferred purchase price” and/or “carry capital”,
regardless of the legal form) as a result of various conditions not being met; and other risks and uncertainties impacting Encana's business, as described in its most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and
as described from time to time in Encana’s other periodic filings as filed on SEDAR and EDGAR.
Although Encana believes the expectations represented by such FLS are reasonable, there can be no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned that the
assumptions, risks and uncertainties referenced above are not exhaustive. FLS are made as of the date of this document and, except as required by law, Encana undertakes no obligation to update
publicly or revise any FLS. FLS contained in this document are expressly qualified by these cautionary statements. FLS included in the 2018F Encana Corporate Guidance dated prior to the date hereof
are revoked in their entirety and should not be relied upon.
Certain future oriented financial information or financial outlook information is included in this document to communicate Encana’s current expectations as to its performance in 2018. Readers are cautioned
that it may not be appropriate for other purposes. The conversion of natural gas volumes to barrels of oil equivalent (“BOE”) is on the basis of six thousand cubic feet to one barrel. BOE is based on a
generic energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent economic value equivalency at the wellhead. Readers are cautioned that BOE may be
misleading, particularly if used in isolation.