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From Novelty to Ubiquity: Challenges & Strategies of
Scaling the LCD Platform
Dr. Peter Bocko CTO – Corning Glass Technologies ARPA-E Workshop on Micro-PV 8 May 2014
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 2
What is an active matrix LCD? What product did
Corning sell?
External Use
Authorized Labels :
Applied Materials Confidential.
Applied Materials Confidential
Restricted/Modifier
Applied Materials
Confidential/Modifier
External Use
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3
TFT-LCD Panel Manufacturing
Liquid
Crystal
Source: Display Search, Applied Materials
Color Filter
PVD
Array PVD
PECVD
Array Tester
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 4
Mid-1980’s – First commercial active matrix LCD devices
• Corning supplies substrates for
company’s first commercial
active matrix LCD product
• 3-inch TV made by Matsushita
(known commercially as
Panasonic) debuts in 1986
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 5
LCDs are ubiquitous today based upon the versatility
of the platform
>100”
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 6
LCD platform success, far from assured in the late 80’s, is
evidenced by 2013 substrate consumption of over 4 B ft²
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
1987 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Millio
n S
qu
are
Feet
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 7
Cumulatively…about 24 billion square feet of high-spec
glass have been consumed by the LCD industry since 1987
This is enough
glass to create a
continuous ring
of 100” LCD TVs
circling the earth
and the moon
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 8
The LCD glass demand developed through three
successive waves of application growth
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
'97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12
TV
Monitor
Mobile PC
Small
Millio
n S
qu
are
Feet
viability
notebook
computer
practicality
desktop
monitor
ubiquity via versatility
TV + everything else
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 9
Glass is just one component in the LCD value chain Our recipe for 20 years of sustained value
Advanced optical melting +
fusion sheet forming process
Fusion
Isopipe
Molten glass
Sheet of glass
Flat Stable
Clean
Innovative aluminosilicate
glass compositions
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 10
LCD commercialization (approx. ‘89-’94) proved viability of the
LCD platform via the notebook application
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
'97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12
TV
Monitor
Mobile PC
Small
Millio
n S
qu
are
Feet
viability
LCD’s key attributes relevant to
NBs: Thin, light, color & high
resolution capable, low voltage
operation (runs on batteries)
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 11
Understanding the core of glass value: What enabled
scale was surface
Ground/Polished As Formed
ca. 1997 competitor
polished glass Corning code 7059 non-
polish glass
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 12
Early learning was that the finest sub-micron scratch
can result in yield loss
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 13
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
'97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12
TV
Monitor
Mobile PC
Small
Millio
n S
qu
are
Feet
From 1995 – 2002 the LCD proved practicality by
displacing CRTs in the computer monitor application
practicality
LCD’s key attributes relevant to
CRT displacement in monitors:
Flat & scalable to larger sizes,
green, non-fatiguing viewing
(crisp digital screen)
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 14
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
'97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12
TV
Monitor
Mobile PC
Small
Millio
n S
qu
are
Feet
LCD Ubiquity: 2003 - Present
ubiquity via versatility
LCD’s key to winning the display space
is based upon the versatility of LCD & its
technology extensions. The “legacy”
performance issues are neutralized at
the same time the platform is scaled.
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 15
Scaling the LCD substrate area: 100X
Year
2009
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2000
1995
1993
Gen 8
Gen 7
Gen 6
Gen 7.5
Gen 10
Gen 5
Gen 4
Gen 3
Gen 2
LCD TV
Information Technology
Substrate Generations
typical size
used in LCD
pilot line in
mid-80’s
3.1meters
2.9 meters
External Use
Authorized Labels :
Applied Materials Confidential.
Applied Materials Confidential
Restricted/Modifier
Applied Materials
Confidential/Modifier
External Use
R 255
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B 204
R 202
G 222
B 233
Light
Background Palette
R 255
G 121
B 1
R 0
G 153
B 0
R 208
G 0
B 30
Bingo
Color Palette
Main
Color Palette
R 102
G 102
B 255
R 75
G 75
B 75
R 192
G 192
B 192
R 255
G 255
B 41
R 124
G 0
B 0
R 72
G 2
B 94
R 173
G 217
B 0
Secondary
Color Palette
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cost per area
LCD
Source: Display Search, Nikkei BP, Applied Materials
1999 2008
0.62 x 0.75m ~3 x 3m
$10,000/m2 $1,190/m2
1 million m2 84 million m2
cost per watt
SOLAR
Source: SIA, In-Stat, IC Insights
IC
cost per transistor
Above data for DRAM
16
Exponential Growth Industries Where Technology enables Demand
1980 1994
3µm 0.35µm
~$330/Mb ~$3/Mb
~3X1012 bits ~7X1015 bits
2008 ?
c-Si c-Si/TF/Other
~$4/Wp module $1-2/Wp module
~5GW >50GW
Source: Applied Materials
AKT PECVD System Family for Flat Panel Display Manufacturing
AKT-1600B CVD
< 400 x 500 mm
AKT-3500 CVD, AKT-4300 CVD
< 620 x 750 mm
1000x1000㎟Class
“Gen 5”
External Use
Authorized Labels :
Applied Materials Confidential.
Applied Materials Confidential
Restricted/Modifier
Applied Materials
Confidential/Modifier
External Use
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Light
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R 255
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Bingo
Color Palette
Main
Color Palette
R 102
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B 255
R 75
G 75
B 75
R 192
G 192
B 192
R 255
G 255
B 41
R 124
G 0
B 0
R 72
G 2
B 94
R 173
G 217
B 0
Secondary
Color Palette
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18
AKT-90K PECVD (Gen 10) System Overview
Triple Slot Load Lock
Transfer Chamber w/ Dual-arm
Vacuum Robot
AKT-APX™
Process Chamber (x5)
Foot print: ~14m x 14m | Weight: 273 metric tons
External Use / FID 2006 19
Equipment Cost Per Glass Area ($/m2)
Dramatic Improvement with Larger Substrates
External Use
Authorized Labels :
Applied Materials Confidential.
Applied Materials Confidential
Restricted/Modifier
Applied Materials
Confidential/Modifier
External Use
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Light
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Color Palette
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R 75
G 75
B 75
R 192
G 192
B 192
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B 0
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20
0
4
8
12
1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011F F
Su
bs
tra
te A
rea
(M
2)
$100
$10
$1
Co
st p
er A
rea
($
Th
ou
sa
nd/m
2)
Glass Size Migration – Driving Cost Reduction
Gen 2 Gen 3 Gen 4
Gen 5
Gen 6
Gen 7
Gen 8 Gen 8.5
Gen 10
Generation Scaling and Cost Reduction Key to Growth
Cost Reduction
Demand
Scale + Technology
Gen 2 Gen 5 Gen 8.5
Substrate 400 x 500mm 1.1 x 1.3m 2.2 x 2.5m
Application Notebook PC PC Monitor LCD TV
# of panels 10.4” x 4 22” x 8 46” x 8
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 21
Rendering is of Sharp’s Manufacturing Complex for the 21st Century, located in Sakai City, Japan.
Sharp
Corning
The terminal Gen Platform: Sharp’s Gen 10 “Green
Front Sakai” brought LCD to 3 meter scale
Original concept of fully built out complex
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 22
The terminal Gen Platform: Sharp’s Gen 10 “Green Front
Sakai”
• Facility is the first of its kind in the display industry
– Corning is on of 19 companies on site: mutual benefits in logistics, inventory and quality
• Complex is 314 acres, the equivalent of 240 football fields
• Environmentally advanced production
• Panel production capacity:
– At full capacity, capable of over
1 million 40” LCD panels/month
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 23
Gen 10 efficiently produces wide range of panel sizes
Six Panels
70–inch class
Eight Panels
60–inch class
Panel Size Gen 10 Gen 8
Panel Number Panel Number
70–inch class 6 2
60–inch class 8 3
40–inch class 18 8
Comparison of Panelization: Gen 10 vs. Gen 8
Eighteen
Panels
40–inch class
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 24
Corning moves Gen 10 glass directly into Sharp’s process
Sharp’s inter-building transport system moves Gen 10 substrates directly to production floor, eliminating traditional delivery systems. Previously, transportation infrastructure has limited glass substrate size
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 25
Is there a Moore’s Law for Display? Kind of…
Pixel Structure in Large Screen LCD-TV
Pixel Structure in High Resolution
Smart Phone
Large mother glass used for
multiplicity of display panels Higher resolution in small &
intermediate mobile devices
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 26
Resolution trend: Moore’s Law for LCD manufacture
10
100
1000
10000
100000
1000000
1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015
Pix
els
/Su
bs
tra
te x
10
³
Year
Gen 8 LCD- TV
fabs used for
mobile devices ...
Almost 1 Billion
Pixels per Mother
Glass!
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 27
This brings us up to the present…
LCD platform is continuing to grow…abundant opportunities for
extending display functionality & performance…so the scaling of the
LCD platform is a great success story, right?
WRONG! (for the participants…great for the consumer)
• LCD platform looks like a 25 year suicide pack for
display manufacturers characterized by hyper-
competition, over investment, periodic non-profitability
but requiring sustained investment for product
differentiation with poor return.
• The glass manufacturer remains the last material
component supplier standing in terms of sustained
value capture…but the pressure is ratcheted up
continually.
28 © Corning Incorporated 2014 Corning Incorporated
One of the negative aspects of the economics of
scaling LCD has been nationalism
1 1990
2
1995
3 1997
4 2000
29 © Corning Incorporated 2014 Corning Incorporated
Flexible glass is an enabling technology that supports
key trends in display devices & future breakthroughs
30 © Corning Incorporated 2014 Corning Incorporated
Glass Technologies © Corning Incorporated 2014 31
Thin and flexible glass substrates for ultra-slim displays with
promise for ultra-low-cost manufacture
• Corning® Willow ® Glass is thin enough to be
flexible while retaining its superior glass
attributes
• Combines inherent benefits of glass with a
mechanically bendable form factor, enabling
continuous and cost-efficient processing
• Enables thinner, lighter, and potentially
conformable electronic devices that deliver
high performance at a lower cost
• Eventually, displays will be printed on a
flexible web…but years of development are
required to make this practical.
32 © Corning Incorporated 2014 Corning Incorporated
Flexible glass applications roadmap – optimistically
viewed in 2011 – delayed largely by lack of ecosystem Next-generation technologies
E-Paper Flexible display
Organic PV OLED lighting
Roll-to-roll displays
2010 2011 2012 2014 2015 2013
Initial commercial products
OLED or LCD Color Filter
ProCap Touch Sensor
Flexible CIGS PV panels
Lab-scale device demos
University of Stuttgart TFT-LCD
ITRI-DTC Ch-LC display
HP Oxide TFTs
WMU / CAMM Organic PV
33 © Corning Incorporated 2014 Corning Incorporated
My conclusions
• The scaling of LCD technology was effected through waves of application growth.
• Two of the key technologies that enabled this scaling were engineered glass substrates and PECVD/PVD platforms.
• Despite a successful technological scaling & innovation that neutralized LCD’s legacy performance issues, it has been a poor economic venture for panel makers and some brands.
– Nationalism and tardy rationalization of manufacturing capacity has led to periodic over-supply and a pathological market dynamics.
– Good for consumer…bad for many in the LCD value chain.
• The emergence of R2R manufacture, initially for display & lighting components, may be attractive for new applications such as micro PV.