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Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved.
Chapter 13
The Trade Policy Debate: Export Promotion, Import Substitution, and Economic Integration
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-2
Trade Strategies for Development: Export Promotion versus Import Substitution
Export promotion: looking outward and seeing trade barriers– Primary-commodity export expansion
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-3
Trade Strategies for Development: Export Promotion versus Import Substitution
Export promotion: looking outward and seeing trade barriers– Primary-commodity export expansion– Expanding manufactured good exports
Import substitution: looking inward but still paying outward– Tariffs, infant industries, and protection
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-4
Figure 13.1
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-5
Trade Strategies for Development: Export Promotion versus Import Substitution
The IS industrialization strategy and results
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-6
Tariff Structures and Effective Protection
p
ppt
The nominal tariff rate, t, is
Wherep′ is the tariff-inclusive pricep is the free trade price
(13.1)
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-7
Tariff Structures and Effective Protection
v
vvg
The effective tariff rate, g, is
Wherev′ is the value added per unit of output,inclusive of the tariffv is the value added per unit of outputunder free trade
(13.2)
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-8
Table 13.1
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-9
Trade Strategies for Development: Export Promotion versus Import Substitution
The IS industrialization strategy and results Foreign-exchange rates, exchange controls,
and the devaluation decision
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-10
Figure 13.2
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-11
Summary and Conclusions: Trade Optimists and Trade Pessimists
Trade pessimist arguments Trade optimist arguments The industrialization strategy approach to
export policy
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-12
Reconciling the Arguments: The Data and Consensus
Neither the trade optimists nor the trade pessimists are always right
There are many factors that determine whether trade is good or bad for a country
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-13
South-South Trade and Economic Integration: Looking Outward and Inward
The growth of trade among developing countries
Economic integration: theory and practice Regional trading blocks and the
globalization of trade
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-14
Table 13.2
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-15
Trade Policies of Developed Countries: the Need for Reform
Rich-nation tariff and nontariff trade barriers and the 1995 Uruguay Round (see figure 13.3 for quantitative impact )
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-16
Figure 13.3
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-17
Trade Policies of Developed Countries: the Need for Reform
Rich-nation tariff and nontariff trade barriers and the 1995 Uruguay Round
WTO—1995 Doha Round—2001
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-18
Concepts for Review
Adjustment assistance Autarchy Common market Customs union Depreciation Devaluation Dual exchange rate Doha Development
Agenda
Economic integration Economic Union Effective rate of
protection Exchange control Exchange rate Export promotion Flexible exchange rate
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-19
Concepts for Review (cont’d)
Free-market exchange rate
General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT)
Globalization Import substitution Infant industry International commodity
agreements
Inward-looking development policies
Multi-Fiber Arrangement (MFA)
New protectionism Nominal rate of protection Nontariff trade barriers
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-20
Concepts for Review (cont’d)
Official exchange rate Outward-looking
development policies Overvalued exchange
rate Parallel exchange rate Quotas Regional trading bloc
Rent seeking Synthetic substitutes Tariffs Trade creation Trade diversion Trade liberalization Trade optimists Trade pessimists
Copyright © 2006 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. 13-21
Concepts for Review (cont’d)
Uruguay Round Value added
Wage-price spiral World Trade
Organization (WTO)