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HIGH SPEED RAIL CORRIDOR PUNE- MUMBAI- AHMEDABAD Pre-Feasibility Study Presented by: P. K. Gupta, Group General Manager, T&S Pradeep Tyagi, SDGM, T&S RITES LTD. CONTENTS. Background & Salient Features Traffic Forecast Concept Design Alignment Station Locations Costs Estimates - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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HIGH SPEED RAIL CORRIDOR PUNE- MUMBAI- AHMEDABAD
Pre-Feasibility Study
Presented by: P. K. Gupta, Group General Manager, T&S
Pradeep Tyagi, SDGM, T&S
RITES LTD.
CONTENTS1. Background & Salient Features2. Traffic Forecast3. Concept Design4. Alignment5. Station Locations6. Costs Estimates7. Environment Studies8. Financial and Socio Economic analysis9. Conclusion
Study for
PUNE- MUMBAI- AHMEDABAD
by
RITES, SYSTRA & ITALFER
States: Maharashtra/Dadra-Nagar-Haveli (UT)/ GujaratLength: 640 Km double track Maharashtra: 328 Km Dadra-Nagar-Haveli: (UT) 5.5 Km Gujarat: 306.5 KmLength on Bank: 549 Km Length on Bridges: 72 KmLength in Tunnels: 19 KmNo of Road Over Bridges: 130 NosQuantity of Earthwork 76 millions cu.m
Tunnel between Lonavala and Karjat 18.3 KmMumbai HSR Trans Harbour Link bridge: 17.2 Km 3 Main Terminal Stations at Mumbai, Pune and Ahmedabad3 Intermediate Stations at Navi Mumbai Airport, Surat and Vadodara.2 Depots : Main Depot Geratpur (Ahmedabad) /Auxiliary Depot (Pune)
Salient Features
TRAFFIC FORECAST
PUNE-MUMBAI-AHMEDABAD
26.6 Million passengers per year in 2021
104 Million passengers per year in 2041
24.0 passengers – year 2021
AHMEDABAD
VADODARA
SURAT
PUNE
TRAVEL TIMES
Substantially shorter running times
Saving of 2/3 compared to existing running times
Gauge : 1676mm (Broad Gauge)
Speed : 350km/hr
Ruling Gradient : 3%
Radius of Curvature : 6425m
Axle Load : 17 ton
Track structure : Ballastless
Interoprability : Full with existing railway network
Standards of Construction
Signalling & Telecommunication• Signalling:
ETCS Level 2 with GSMR
• Telecommunications:
GSMR
• Operation Control Centre ( OCC)
One single OCC in Mumbai including Train Traffic Control and Sub-Stations Control
9
OVERHEAD CATENARY SYSTEM (O.C.S.)
O.C.S. 2x25 KV - Either French, German / Chinese Technology- 1 Messenger Bz 116mm²- 1 Contact wire Cu Mg150mm²- 1 Negative feeder Al Ac 288mm²- 1 Aerial earth conductor Al Ac 93mm²- Dropper cable Bz 12mm²- Maximum span 63m- Contact wire height 5.08m- Catenary encumbrance 1.40m- Maximum tension length 1400m- Sub-station every 50 to 70 km
Power Supply – 2 x 25 KV PS – 8 no Sub - Stations
ROLLING STOCK
– 1676 mm gauge Rolling Stock– 3300mm car body– EMU– Fleet size: 38 Trains sets in 2021
(Investment cost Rs 6783 Cr)
Alignment is generally away but within 13 km of existing track
Alignment closer to existing track near major cities No Level crossing 2 m high boundary wall on both sides Viaducts in urban areas along existing trackMinimum disturbances to existing infrastructures and private propertiesIntermediate stations in suburbs of the cities to avoid
costly works to reach city centres which do not provide sufficient traffic.
ALIGNMENT
Section Definition Entire route divided in 3 sections
Mumbai-Pune Section (Shedung to Pune) Mumbai Outer (Shedung to Virar) Mumbai-Ahmedabad (Virar to Ahmedabad)
Mumbai-Pune Section
Mumbai Outer Area
Mumbai-Ahmedabad Section
Mumbai-Pune Section
Mumbai Outer Area
Mumbai-Pune Section
Item DetailsTotal length in km 96.5
No. of tunnels 1
Length of tunnels (km) 18.3
No. of viaducts 1 (35m deep)
Length of viaducts (km) 15.09 (6.78 along existing track)
Relocation of houses/properties (km along alignment)
10
Radius of sharpest curve (m)
6425
Speed restriction No speed restriction
Mumbai Outer Area
Item DetailsTotal length in km 83.75
No. of tunnels 1
Length of tunnels (km) 0.785
No. of viaducts 1Length of viaducts (km) 7.83
Relocation of houses/properties (km along alignment) 1.25
Radius of sharpest curve (m) 5556
Speed restriction At 1 place
Mumbai-Ahmedabad Section
Item DetailsTotal length in km 423
No. of tunnels NIL
Length of tunnels (km) NIL
No. of viaducts 8Length of viaducts (km) 7.88 (2.2 along existing track)
Relocation of houses/properties (km along alignment) 6
Radius of sharpest curve (m) 5000
Speed restriction At 1 place
Mumbai-Pune Section (Khandala Tunnel)
Plan showing 3-alternatives
Perspective view of Khandala Hills
Longitudinal Profile along MP-1
Alt. MP-1
Alt. MP-2
Alt. MP-3
Lonawala Ex. Railway Station
18.3 km long tunnel
680
m o
ver
burd
en
SU-1
SU-2SU-2a
Description SU-1 SU-2 Part of SU2+SU2a
Length (excluding Links) 32.85 24.5 21.68
Length in tunnels (km) NIL 2.425 2.425
Length on viaducts (km) 17.24 17.24 16.57
Relocation of houses/properties (km along alignment)
3 9.8 3.1
Owner ship of Land of proposed Station Port trust Port trust
Indian Railway
Mumbai Connection- options
CONNEXION TO MUMBAI
Mumbai-Ahmedabad Section (Surat)
Plan showing alternatives at Surat
Alt.
MA
-1
Exi
stin
g R
ailw
ay L
ine
Alt.
MA
-2
DF
C P
ropo
sal
1
21
Surat HSR station2
Mumbai-Ahmedabad Section
Plan showing alternatives at Vadodara
Alt.
MA
-1a
2
3
4
1
Vadodara HSR station4
Exi
stin
g R
ailw
ay L
ine
DFC
Pro
posa
l
Padra
Alt.
MA
-1
Alt.
MA
-2Airport
– Maintenance Head Office in Navi Mumbai
– 3 main Track operational units
– 7 No track Maintenance Bases (80 kms interval)
– 2 Main Signalling/Telecom/OCS/PS Units
– 2 Depots for rolling stock : Main Depot Geratpur (Ahmedabad) /Auxiliary Depot (Pune)
– Approximately 330-340 staff
Infrastructures Maintenance
1 - INVESTMENT COST– Construction – Rs. 49075 Cr
– Rolling Stock - Rs. 6783 Cr for 2021
2 - OPERATION COSTS – Rs. 205 Cr, in year 2021
3 - MAINTENANCE COSTS– Rolling Stock - Rs. 145 Cr, in year 2021
– Infrastructure - Rs. 254 Cr, in year 2021
Cost Estimates
Items Amount (Rs Cr)
1- Civils (including Land and Environment)
27,243
2- Station 890
3- Systemsk 12,3274- Depots 5235- Project Management/ Risks 8,092
TOTAL 49,075
Break up of Construction Cost
44
16
12
25
1
2
Cost Breakup
Civil
Project Mgmt.
Land/ Environment
Systems
Depots
Station
– Does not encroach into wildlife sanctuaries and national parks
– Requires 2560 Ha land• Agriculture – 1926 Ha (75%)• Forest - 116 Ha (5%)• Barren - 262 Ha (10%)• Settlement - 51 Ha (2%)• Water Body - 205 Ha (8%)
– Compensatory reforestation for 97,632 trees
Environment Studies
– Reduction in Air Pollution• Carbon dioxide (CO2) - 257,300 Tonnes/Annum
• Carbon Mono oxide (CO) - 1,320 Tonnes / Annum
• Hydro Carbon (HC) - 154 Tonnes / Annum
• Nitrogen Oxide (NoX) - 354 Tonnes / Annum
• Particulate Matters (PM) - 24 Tonnes / Annum
– Noise Level at 15 m from centre line - 76.2 dBA
(75/70 for industrial, 50/40 for silence zone)
– Vibration - 80-85 VdB (60-65)
Environmental Cost– INR 292.3 Crore
Environment Studies (Contd..)
FARE PolicyFARE in 2021• 7Rs/Km (75% of the seats capacity)• 7 Rs/Km + 30% for 1st Class• 4.5 Rs/Km (25% of the seats capacity)• 25% extra charge for short trips (< 150 Km)
FARE evolution+ 4% /year + 5% every 5 years(over and above)
LAND revenues
Estimated LAND REVENUE Figures (in Rs crore)
Revenues 2021 2026 2031 2036 2040
Mumbai HSR station 267.4 561.1 805.6 1156.5 1544.5
Pune HSR station 36.6 76.8 110.2 158.2 211.3
Ahmedabad HSR station 63.4 133.0 190.9 274.1 366
Total Revenues 367.4 770.9 1106.7 1588.8 2121.8
Financial Analysis.
Key Financial Indicators:
Pre-Tax Project FIRR
11.42%
PPP Project StructuringThe Project Structures proposed under PPP mode are:
OPTION I - Design, Build, Finance, Operate and Transfer (DBFOT) of the entire project by a single Private Developer, who will be responsible for construction , operations and maintenance, thus there will be no interface risk and all revenue risk can be transferred to the private developer.
OPTION II - Unbundling the project into different components, so as to make the project components attractive to private players from the perspective of affordability in terms of size and risk allocation.
PPP Project Structuring (Contd.)
OPTION I
DBFOT of the entire project by a single Developer
key parameters
• Land provided by IR,• VGF - 17% of Project Cost,• Soft Loan - 20% of total Debt. • Equity IRR – 16%
PPP Project Structuring (Contd.)OPTION II
A. Build and Transfer of Civil Works
• VGF - 40 % of project Cost,
• Annual Grant - Rs. 2,700 crore,
• Soft Loan - 20% of total Debt.
• Equity IRR – 16%
B. Build, Operate and Transfer of Systems, Stations, Trains and Depots
• VGF - 17% of Project Cost,
• Revenue share - 53% of fare box collections
• Soft Loan - 20% of total Debt.
• Equity IRR – 16%
Socio Economic Analysis.
Pre-Tax Project EIRR
12.80%
Project is justifed due to following reasons :
Necessary to compete with road and air modes of transport
Stops the decline of the railway on the long distance transport segment
Provides an attractive transport offer in terms of reduced travel times and connectivity with the existing networks.
Despite the high investment cost it is financially and economically sustainable
Conclusion
Thanks