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Josep Bassaganya-Riera, DVM, PhD Nutritional Immunology & Molecular Medicine Lab Center for Modeling Immunity to Enteric Pathogens Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, Virginia Connecting Data to Models

Connecting Data to Models We welcome the …...LP Simulation Results The objective is to test whether two groups of functional curves are statistically different\爀䘀唀一䌀吀䤀伀一䄀䰀

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Page 1: Connecting Data to Models We welcome the …...LP Simulation Results The objective is to test whether two groups of functional curves are statistically different\爀䘀唀一䌀吀䤀伀一䄀䰀

Josep Bassaganya-Riera, DVM, PhD Nutritional Immunology & Molecular Medicine Lab Center for Modeling Immunity to Enteric Pathogens

Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, Virginia

Connecting Data to Models

Presenter
Presentation Notes
We welcome the opportunity to present to the DARPA team the latest developments and DISCUSS future plans at VBI.
Page 2: Connecting Data to Models We welcome the …...LP Simulation Results The objective is to test whether two groups of functional curves are statistically different\爀䘀唀一䌀吀䤀伀一䄀䰀

McGhee JR, Fujihashi K (2012) Inside the Mucosal Immune System. PLoS Biol 10(9): e1001397. doi:10.1371/journal.pbio.1001397

Mucosal Immune System

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Let me give you some facts and figures; some food for thought The gut associated immune system is the largest immune compartment (70% of the immune system). The mucosal immune system accounts for 300 square meters in humans 10 to the 12 bacteria per cubic centimiter in humans (colon) 1,000 bacterial species
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Microbiome

Diet

Inflammation & Immunity

Genes RNA

Proteins

IKBKE node

IRF4 node

Rab7A

Health vs. Disease

Presenter
Presentation Notes
The research thrust of NIMML represents a Translational Medicine and HUMAN HEALTH thrust The human intestine must peacefully coexist with about 100 trillion commensal organisms while swiftly responding to pathogens that threaten its integrity
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MMI Goals

• Introduce immunologists to the latest methods and tools for using computational modeling

• Present MIEP and MIB work to a wider audience

• Disseminate computational models of the gut mucosal immune system

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What you have learned? • Mucosal immune responses (CD4+ T cells and epithelial

cells) – Inductive and effector sites

• Types of computational models of the MIS and tools • How to build network models from data and theory • Mining immunological datasets using Cytobank or IPA,

signaling-regulatory network modules • Using CellDesigner, COPASI and ENISI for modeling

– Calibration, sensitivity analysis, parameter estimation, simulation, model-driven hypothesis generation & experimental validation

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Recap about progress over the last 4 days.
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MIEP Modeling • Build models that are portable and comply with

standards (i.e., SBML) • Models of the immune system are applicable to

infectious and autoimmune diseases • Models can be recycled for new uses following re-

calibration with new datasets • Combine theoretical and data-driven approaches

to make models predictive • Integrate diverse datasets and explore conflicting

results

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LUMEN

LAMINA PROPRIA

MESENTERIC LYMPH NODES

Model of IBD

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Common Themes

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Can someone tell me a common theme between these two pictures? Both the Chicago Tribune in 1948 and Google in 2009-2014 failed to predict outcomes. FAILURE OF GOOGLE FLU TRENDS. LACK OF THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK. The vast majority of people that think they have the flu do not. BIG DATA IS NOT A SUBSTITUTE FOR BUT A COMPLEMENT TO TRADITIONAL DATA
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Data-driven vs. theoretical WHAT IS BEST?

TIME magazine: “A new study shows that using big data to predict the future isn't as easy as it looks—and that raises questions about how Internet companies gather and use information”

Presenter
Presentation Notes
“Big data hubris” is the often implicit assumption that big data are a substitute for, rather than a supplement to, traditional data collection and analysis.  quantity of data does not mean that one can ignore foundational issues of measurement and construct validity and reliability and dependencies among data
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WHAT IS BEST?

Complementary Strategies

Data driven Theoretical

Data-driven vs. theoretical

Presenter
Presentation Notes
“Big data hubris” is the often implicit assumption that big data are a substitute for, rather than a supplement to, traditional data collection and analysis.  quantity of data does not mean that one can ignore foundational issues of measurement and construct validity and reliability and dependencies among data
Page 11: Connecting Data to Models We welcome the …...LP Simulation Results The objective is to test whether two groups of functional curves are statistically different\爀䘀唀一䌀吀䤀伀一䄀䰀

Computational Immunology

The Network Model

Modeling tools In silico experiments

Hypothesis generation

In vivo hypothesis testing

Literature & data mining

REFINEMENT

ENteric Immunity SImulator

Presenter
Presentation Notes
COPASI - COmplex PAthway SImulator. I will discuss 3 use cases combining theoretical and data-driven approaches (two more theoretical and 1 more data driven).
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Helicobacter pylori

• H. pylori was classified as a type I carcinogen by the WHO... Should it be eradicated?

• H. pylori should be included in the list of most endangered species (M. Blaser)...and preserved as a beneficial commensal

• Inverse correlation between H. pylori prevalence and rate of overweight/obesity (Lender, 2014)

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Host Responses to H. pylori

Current medical treatment will clear up the bacteria, even during chronic infections

Is this the right approach? INFLAMMATORY RESPONSE UNDERNEATH

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We have given evidence supporting the following: - CD4+ T cells are key mediators during H. pylori infection - Cytokines and transcription factors activated in CD4+ T cells are crucial to modulate myeloid cell function - We need to target the immune system and not the bacterium itself if we want to reduce inflammatory processes during chronic infections

HOST-TARGETED THERAPEUTIC APPROACHES

Host Responses to H. pylori

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ENISI LP Simulation Results

Presenter
Presentation Notes
The objective is to test whether two groups of functional curves are statistically different FUNCTIONAL T-test using permutation technique
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i. IL-21 is mostly produced by activated CD4+ T cells (especially Th17) fTh and NKT cells ii. IL-21 helps in the maintenance of Th17 and impairs Treg homoeostasis by IL-2 inhibition iii. IL-21 is increased with H. pylori infection and correlates with levels of gastritis in the mouse model

Interleukin-21

CD4+ T cell differentiation

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CD4+ T cell differentiation

IL-21

Page 18: Connecting Data to Models We welcome the …...LP Simulation Results The objective is to test whether two groups of functional curves are statistically different\爀䘀唀一䌀吀䤀伀一䄀䰀
Page 19: Connecting Data to Models We welcome the …...LP Simulation Results The objective is to test whether two groups of functional curves are statistically different\爀䘀唀一䌀吀䤀伀一䄀䰀

Re-calibration of the CD4+ T cell model with experimental data coming from H. pylori infections

Stomach RT-PCR data

CD4+ T cell differentiation

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IL-21 activation is positively correlated with Th1- and Th17-related molecules and negatively correlated to both FOXP3 and IL-10

Sensitivity Analysis How sensitive are different molecules to the change in concentration of IL-21 following H. pylori infection?

CD4+ T cell differentiation

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As predicted by the computational model, IL-21 regulates Th1 and Th17 expression via STAT1-P and STAT3-P, modulating T-bet and RORƔt expression

In vivo validation

CD4+ T cell differentiation

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IL-21 does not modulate FOXP3 expression during H. pylori infection. However, IL-21 has a significant impact on the IL-10 response by Th17 cells

In silico experimentation

CD4+ T cell differentiation

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As predicted, IL-10 expression was significantly higher in H. pylori-infected IL-21-/- mice and IL-21 does not modulate FOXP3 expression in CD4+ T cells from infected mice

In vivo validation

CD4+ T cell differentiation

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CD4+ T cell differentiation

Page 25: Connecting Data to Models We welcome the …...LP Simulation Results The objective is to test whether two groups of functional curves are statistically different\爀䘀唀一䌀吀䤀伀一䄀䰀

Can we find a better, more targeted approach to reduce the inflammatory response triggered

by H. pylori?

YES

CD4+ T cell differentiation

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IL-21-based Therapeutics IL-21 inhibitor: PF-05230900 Trade Name: ATR-107 Company: Pfizer Biological Target: IL-21 in IBD Mechanism: binds to IL-21 and blocks processes leading to inflammatory activity

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http://www.modelingimmunity.org/models/copasi-helicobacter-pylori-computational-model-archive/

Immune response to H. pylori

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Th1 and Th17 effector responses contribute to gastritis in the chronic phase of infection.

Previous Model predictions

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Results based on sensitivity analysis (SA) after model calibration
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Simulation of PPAR γ deletion

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Epithelial vs Myeloid Cell

Epithelial antimicrobial response

M1 macrophage differentiation

Presenter
Presentation Notes
WT mice have more HP in the lumen and LysM in LP Trafficking from phagosome to phagolysozome *vacA and arginase
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H. pylori Loads and Lesions Uninfected Wild Type

Myeloid cell PPARγ-deficient

STO

MAC

H

WPI

16

Presenter
Presentation Notes
H. pylori loads drop drastically after week 2 in LysMcre mice Lack of PPARγ in macrophages seems to help the clearance of bacteria Myeloid cells are critical regulators of colonization and gastric pathology during H. pylori infection
Page 32: Connecting Data to Models We welcome the …...LP Simulation Results The objective is to test whether two groups of functional curves are statistically different\爀䘀唀一䌀吀䤀伀一䄀䰀

15min H. pylori co-culture

Macrophage-Hp co-cultures

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HUMAN & ANIMAL STUDIES

Publicly available data

(GEO)

In-house generated NGS

data

ANALYSIS with GALAXY pipeline

Sequencing RESULTS (gene reads)

Data TREATMENT

Read Averages, Read Trimming, and Calculations of FCs and Log2

Integration of data into Ingenuity Pathway Analysis

Core analysis Identification of Canonical

Pathways Differences in expression

Network inference

Extraction of data and construction of SBML-

compliant network

GENERATION of NEW HYPOTHESES

Importation into COPASI and ENISI for Model Calibration, Simulation,

and Analysis

Presenter
Presentation Notes
You have seen this slide before and it is a work in progress. In this case I want to remind you about the process in the context of H. pylori infection
Page 34: Connecting Data to Models We welcome the …...LP Simulation Results The objective is to test whether two groups of functional curves are statistically different\爀䘀唀一䌀吀䤀伀一䄀䰀

360 min

Response to H. pylori

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Innate Responses to H. pylori

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Modeling Innate Responses to H. pylori

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Modeling Innate Responses to H. pylori

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NLRX1 Sensitivity Analysis • Local sensitivity analysis portrays

relationship between NLRX1 and viral signaling cascades during intracellular H. pylori infection

• NLRX1 and IFN signaling

demonstrate intimate link within our model; could translate biologically

• Sensitivities suggest there may be a

role for NLRX1 in MHC class I signaling as well

Presenter
Presentation Notes
the role of NLRX1 in IFN & MHC signaling is novel and unreported the darker the red, the more impact a change in NLRX1 will exert on the corresponding molecule
Page 39: Connecting Data to Models We welcome the …...LP Simulation Results The objective is to test whether two groups of functional curves are statistically different\爀䘀唀一䌀吀䤀伀一䄀䰀

NLRX1 Expression Validation in Macrophages

Wild type PPARγ-deficient

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Validation in NLRX1 ko

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CD8+ T cell responses

Control/ H. pylori J99/SS1

0 7 14 21 28 35 42 49 56

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Next Steps • Run local and global sensitivity analyses by using

COPASI – Sensitivities across scales to link molecular changes with

tissue-level lesion formation – Sensitivities of the model to changes in NLRP3, NLRC5,

NOD1 • Generation of in silico KOs

– Calibration, sensitivity analysis, parameter estimation, simulation, model-driven hypothesis generation, stochastic simulations of sensitive nodes

– Integrate this gene expression model with tissue level

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Recap about progress over the last 4 days.
Page 43: Connecting Data to Models We welcome the …...LP Simulation Results The objective is to test whether two groups of functional curves are statistically different\爀䘀唀一䌀吀䤀伀一䄀䰀

MIEP Team Virginia Bioinformatics Institute Josep Bassaganya-Riera - Principal Investigator and

Center Director Jim Walke – Project Manager

Raquel Hontecillas - Immunology Lead

Barbara Kronsteiner-Dobramysl – Immunology Researcher Xiaoying Zhang – Immunology Pinyi Lu - Bioinformatics and Modeling Adria Carbo - Immunology and Modeling Kristin Eden- Immunology and Modeling Monica Viladomiu – Immunology

Irving C. Allen - Immunology Ken Oestreich - Immunology

Casandra Philipson – Immunology and Modeling

Eric Schiff, Patrick Heizer, Nathan Palmer, Mark Langowski, Chase Hetzel, Emily Fung – Interns

David Bevan- Education Lead

Virginia Bioinformatics Institute (continued) Madhav Marathe - Modeling Lead

Keith Bisset - Modeling Expert Stephen Eubank - Modeling Expert Tricity Andrew- Modeling GRA Maksudul Alam - Modeling GRA

Stefan Hoops/Yongguo Mei - Bioinformatics Leads Pinyi Lu – Bioinformatics GRA Pawel Michalak – Genomics Tools Nathan Liles - Bioinformatician Xinwei Deng – Statistical Analysis University of Virginia Richard Guerrant - Infectious Disease Expert

Cirle A. Warren - Infectious Disease Expert David Bolick - Sr. Laboratory and Research Specialist

Funding: Supported by NIAID Contract No. HHSN272201000056C

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MMI Acknowledgements

• Adria Carbo • Kimberly Borkowski • David Bevan • Jim Walke • Kathy O’hara

• Rachel Robinson • Traci Roberts • Tiffany Trent • Kristopher Monger • Ivan Morozov • Josh Dunbar

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Enteroaggregative E. coli

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a leading cause of enteritis & persistent diarrhea worldwide

High risk populations: – Travelers – HIV infected – Malnourished children

EAEC

Diarrheagenic Isolate Frequency Distribution

EAEC

EPEC

EHEC

ETEC

EIEC

41.1%

41.1%

AAF fimbria: primary virulence

factor attributed to mucosal adherence

Fli-C flagellin: responsible for IL-8 secretion

Dispersin: Allows dissociation from biofilm and

spread of colonization

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EAEC

• Our in vivo murine model data suggested a beneficial role for Th17 cells and IL17A

• We used computational modeling to predict the effects of enhancing effector T cell populations during EAEC infection

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Targeting PPARγ as an inflammatory mediator

Treg Th17

PPAR γ

• Gene expression: Upregulation of proinflammatory markers in CD4Cre+ • Histopathology: High leukocytic infiltration early during infection in CD4Cre+

followed by amelioration of colonic inflammation by day 14

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EAEC T cell Model

Parameter estimation Calibration

0 1 3 5 7 10 14

Presenter
Presentation Notes
we used time course flow cytometry and gene expression (mRNA for cytokines) data to calibrate our model used malnourished EAEC infected colonic LPL data
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Pharmacological blockade

GW9662 a potent PPARγ

antagonist Administration of GW9662 promoted the

upregulation of proinflammatory cytokines that correlated to significantly lower levels of EAEC in

feces early during infection

Wild Type systemCD4+ T cells during EAEC infection

0 5 10 15 200

30000

60000

90000Treg

Th1

Th17

time (days)

parti

cle

conc

entr

atio

n

Wild Type systemCytokines during EAEC infection

0 5 10 15 200.0000

0.0002

0.0004

0.0006

0.0008IL-10

TNF-α

IFN-γIL-6

IL-17

TGF-β

time (days)

parti

cle

conc

entra

tion

Colonic TNF-α Expression

0

5.0×10- 7

1.0×10- 6

1.5×10- 6

*

TNF

- α:

: β-A

ctin

[pg

cDN

A/u

g R

NA

]

Colonic IL-6 Expression

0

5.0×10- 7

1.0×10- 6

1.5×10- 6

2.0×10- 6

*

IL-6

-Act

in [p

g cD

NA

/ug

RN

A]

Colonic MCP-1 Expression

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

0.10 *

MC

P-1

: â-

Act

in [p

g cD

NA

/ug

RN

A]

PPARγ deficient systemCD4+ T cells during EAEC infection

0 5 10 15 200

100000

200000

300000

400000

Treg

Th1

Th17

time (days)

parti

cle

conc

entra

tion

PPARγ deficient simulationCytokines during EAEC infection

0 5 10 15 200.000

0.001

0.002

0.003TNF-α

IFN-γ

IL-6

IL-17

time (days)

part

icle

con

cent

ratio

n

Colonic IL-1β Expression

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

*

IL-1β

-Act

in [p

g cD

NA

/ug

RN

A]

Colonic IL-17 Expression

0

2.0×10- 7

4.0×10- 7

6.0×10- 7

8.0×10- 7

*

IL-1

7 : β

-Act

in [p

g cD

NA

/ug

RN

A]

malnourished 5 days post infection

malnourished 5 days post infection

A B

C D E

F G

H I

UninfectedInfected wildtypeInfected PPARγdeficient

malnourished 14 dpi

Bacterial Clearance in silico

0 5 10 15 200

5.0×100 9

1.0×101 0

1.5×101 0

2.0×101 0

EAEC: PPARγ deficientEAEC: Wild Type system

time (days)

part

icle

con

cent

ratio

n

3 4 50

1×100 4

2×100 4

3×100 4

Bacterial Load in Feces

*

Infected non-treatedInfected GW9662 treated

day post infection

CF

U/m

g fe

ces

A B

Presenter
Presentation Notes
PPAR g deficient system had enhanced effector responses
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Antimicrobial Peptides

naïve T cell

RORγt Th17

TGFβ IL-6

IL-17 IL-21 Pharmacological blockade

of PPARγ beneficial Late during infection GW9662 treated mice expressed

cytokines responsible for potentiating Th17 differentiation in addition to significantly higher

levels of anti-microbial peptides.

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IL-17A Neutralization abrogates benefits of PPARγ Blockade

Anti-IL-17A neutralizing antibody abrogates the beneficial effects of GW9662 in ameliorating disease based on weight loss and bacterial shedding

Presenter
Presentation Notes
Bacterial loads are significantly elevated in untreated and anti-IL17 + GW9662 groups early during infection Significant %body weight differences beginning on day 3 post infection coincide with an increased bacterial burden in untreated and anti-IL17 + GW9662-treated mice