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Final Report
Used oil management options
study
PART A: Report on the Western
Australian used oil market
Prepared for the Waste Authority
November 2008
© ACIL Tasman Pty Ltd
This work is copyright. The Copyright Act 1968 permits fair dealing for study, research, news reporting, criticism or
review. Selected passages, tables or diagrams may be reproduced for such purposes provided acknowledgment of
the source is included. Permission for any more extensive reproduction must be obtained from ACIL Tasman on
(03) 9600 3144.
Reliance and Disclaimer
The professional analysis and advice in this report has been prepared by ACIL Tasman for the exclusive use of the
party or parties to whom it is addressed (the addressee) and for the purposes specified in it. This report is supplied
in good faith and reflects the knowledge, expertise and experience of the consultants involved. ACIL Tasman
accepts no responsibility whatsoever for any loss occasioned by any person acting or refraining from action as a
result of reliance on the report, other than the addressee.
In conducting the analysis in this report ACIL Tasman has endeavoured to use what it considers is the best
information available at the date of publication, including information supplied by the addressee. Unless stated
otherwise, ACIL Tasman does not warrant the accuracy of any forecast or prediction in the report. Although ACIL
Tasman exercises reasonable care when making forecasts or predictions, factors in the process, such as future market
behaviour, are inherently uncertain and cannot be forecast or predicted reliably.
ACIL Tasman shall not be liable in respect of any claim arising out of the failure of a client investment to perform to
the advantage of the client or to the advantage of the client to the degree suggested or assumed in any advice or
forecast given by ACIL Tasman.
ACIL Tasman Pty Ltd
ABN 68 102 652 148 Internet www.aciltasman.com.au
Melbourne (Head Office) Level 6, 224-236 Queen Street Melbourne VIC 3000
Telephone (+61 3) 9600 3144 Facsimile (+61 3) 9600 3155 Email [email protected]
Darwin Suite G1, Paspalis Centrepoint 48-50 Smith Street Darwin NT 0800 GPO Box 908 Darwin NT 0801
Telephone (+61 8) 8943 0643 Facsimile (+61 8) 8941 0848 Email [email protected]
Brisbane Level 15, 127 Creek Street Brisbane QLD 4000 GPO Box 32 Brisbane QLD 4001
Telephone (+61 7) 3009 8700 Facsimile (+61 7) 3009 8799 Email [email protected]
Perth Centa Building C2, 118 Railway Street West Perth WA 6005
Telephone (+61 8) 9449 9600 Facsimile (+61 8) 9322 3955 Email [email protected]
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Telephone (+61 2) 6103 8200 Facsimile (+61 2) 6103 8233 Email [email protected]
Sydney PO Box 1554 Double Bay NSW 1360
Telephone (+61 2) 9389 7842 Facsimile (+61 2) 8080 8142 Email [email protected]
For information on this report
Please contact:
James Fogarty Telephone (08) 9449 9600 Email [email protected]
iii
Contents
Executive summary vi
Historical overview vi
Current market overview vii
Future market developments viii
Competing fuels ix
Other matters x
Summary x
1 Background and introduction 1
1.1 Terms of Reference 2
2 Peak bodies and key enterprises 3
2.1 Virgin oil suppliers 3
2.1.1 Australian Institute of Petroleum (members) 3
2.2 Used oil producers 4
2.2.1 Institute of Automotive Mechanical Engineers 4
2.2.2 Motor Trades Association 4
2.2.3 Mining industry 4
2.2.4 Local government 5
2.3 Used oil collectors/reprocesses 5
2.3.1 Nationwide Oil Pty Ltd (Nationwide) 8
2.3.2 Romine Holdings Pty Ltd (Wren Oil) 8
2.3.3 Oil Energy Corporation (Tox-Free Solutions) 9
2.4 Key markets overview 9
3 Current supply chain picture 14
3.1 Virgin oil market summary 14
3.2 Virgin oil relates to used oil 16
3.3 Used oil market 19
3.3.1 National market overview 19
3.3.2 Used oil from generation to recycler 21
3.3.3 Domestic mainland used oil market 26
3.3.4 Key non-mainland Australian markets 28
3.3.5 Exports of used oil product from Western Australia 31
3.3.6 Used oil market summary 33
4 Characteristics of the current operating environment 36
4.1 Collection process and infrastructure 36
4.1.1 Used oil collected from the private sector 36
iv
4.1.2 Local government sector collections 39
4.2 Storage and related infrastructure 42
4.3 Reprocessing and technology 43
4.3.1 Current approach to reprocessing used oil 43
4.3.2 Future approach to reprocessing used oil 45
4.4 Institutional and legal controls 48
4.4.1 Waste and Resource Recovery Act 48
4.4.2 Emissions controls 50
4.4.3 Export controls 52
4.4.4 National Product Stewardship for Oil (PSO) programme 53
4.4.5 Transitional funding programme 56
5 Future possible operating environment developments 57
5.1 Local government joint tender 57
5.2 Loss of key storage infrastructure 57
5.3 Development of new export infrastructure at Bunbury Port 58
5.3.1 Emissions trading 58
5.4 Competing products 59
5.4.1 Western Australian natural gas market supply 59
5.4.2 Crude oil market 62
5.5 Bitumen applications 65
6 Summary of findings 67
A Data appendix A-1
B Bibliography B-1
Boxes, charts, figures and tables
Box 1 Matters in respect of which regulations may be made 48
Box 2 Objectives of the PSO review 55
Figure 1 Australian oil refinery production by product type 3
Figure 2 Waste oil aggregation points in Western Australia: 2007-08 6
Figure 3 Waste oil aggregation points in the South West: 2007-08 7
Figure 4 Indicative benchmarking prices for various oil products 11
Figure 5 Consumption of Lubricants and Greases 15
Figure 6 Lubricant and grease production, imports and consumption 16
Figure 7 Volume of used oil products based on benefit 21
Figure 8 Waste oil generation in Western Australia by LGA: average 2005-08 24
Figure 9 Waste oil generation in metropolitan Perth by LGA: average 2005-08 25
Figure 10 Singapore residual fuel oil 180 spot price FOB (US ¢ per litre) 27
Figure 11 Location of key non-mainland markets for burner fuel oil 28
Figure 12 Ownership structure: Christmas Island phosphate mine 29
Figure 13 Sources of used oil in Western Australia 34
v
Figure 14 Used oil final market destination 35
Figure 15 Stylised representation of Nationwide used oil reprocessing approach 44
Figure 16 Stylised representation of Wren Oil used oil reprocessing approach 45
Figure 17 Fuel combustion CO2-e per GJ for select fuel source 59
Figure 18 EIA forecasts for the world oil price in nominal dollars 64
Table 1 Value of petroleum and mineral production in 2007: select LGAs 5
Table 2 US dollar denominated oil price product reference 12
Table 3 Long-run vs. short-run effects: the case of oil demand 14
Table 4 Lube oil comparison of estimate values 16
Table 5 Estimates of collectable proportion in Europe for 2002 17
Table 6 National market overview based on benefit payments 20
Table 7 Top 25 LGA regions for the generation of used oil 22
Table 8 Select specification details for burner fuel type DB50 30
Table 9 Select details from automotive commercial operations that generate used oil 38
Table 10 Respondents to the WALGA used oil survey 39
Table 11 Companies that collect oil from local government in WA 40
Table 12 Frequency of oil collection 40
Table 13 Storage capacity 42
Table 14 Oil collected annually from the general public, internally generated, and industry 42
Table 15 Benefit payment rates 54
Table 16 Indicative implications of expansion of lube-to-lube refining 55
Table A1 Used oil collection summary by LGA boundary A-1
Executive summary vi
Executive summary
Historical overview
The typical life-cycle for lubricant oil in Western Australia has been initial use
in an automotive or other application, aggregation of used oil at automotive
workshops, mining sites etc., collection of used oil by a recycling company,
reprocessing of the used oil into various products -- largely burner fuels of
varying quality -- and resale of used oil as burner fuel products to remote
power stations, smelting operations, and firms producing products such as
cement, limestone, bricks, and recently to overseas markets.
The remote power station market is in long-term decline. The cost of Liquid
Natural Gas (LNG) distribution and Compressed Natural Gas (CNG)
distribution has fallen rapidly in recent years and continues to fall.
Increasingly, remote power generation, even where there is a relatively modest
load, will switch to LNG and CNG based electricity generation. The amount
of kiln based activity in Western Australia has also fallen in recent years. In
particular, the Loongana Lime kiln facility in Kalgoorlie closed in 2006 and this
represented a substantial reduction in the local demand for burner fuels.
There is a substantial and well established market for burner fuels in South
East Asia and from 1999 to 2004 BP (Kwinana) purchased approximately 35M
litres of used lube oil (ULO) from Wren Oil and Nationwide Oil to blend with
decant oil to produce Fuel Oil Component (FOC). The FOC was then
exported to BP Singapore for use in Asian Power Generation. In 2004 the
infrastructure used to export burner fuel oil from Kwinana ceased to be
available for use and exports ceased.
The reduction in the local demand for burner fuel oil, combined with the
increase in the volume of mining activity and the loss of export infrastructure
led to a situation where the supply of some used oil burner fuel products
greatly exceeded demand. Inevitably this led to a significant build-up of used
oil at reprocessing and other storage facilities. Stocks cannot increase
indefinitely, and a crisis point was reached in 2007 when all available storage
was full, and used oil collections ceased.
Industry and local government in Western Australia had no plan for such a
situation. During the period when used oil collections were suspended stock
piles of used oil built-up across the State. In some cases this led to unsafe
storage practices and there was a general increase in the risk of inappropriate
disposal.
The lubricant oil life cycle
Domestic market trends
Export market developments
Supply-demand balance
Issues when collections
ceased
Executive summary vii
Current market overview
There are two main used oil collection companies in Western Australia. Wren
Oil, a family owned company, and Nationwide, part of the ASX listed
Transpacific Industries Group. The Wren Oil reprocessing plant is located in
Picton (Bunbury) and the Nationwide reprocessing plant is located in
Kalgoorlie. Additionally, Toxfree provide some collection services as part of a
wider waste management business, but Toxfree do not operate a dedicated
used oil transport fleet.
Wren Oil use the Thin Film Evaporation Refinery process to reprocess the
used oil they collect. The lightest petroleum material recovered is used for
internal operating purposes. Ultimately the process results in two burner fuel
products, a high grade burner fuel oil and a low grade burner fuel oil.
Currently the heaviest material is blended with unrefined fuel oil so that it can
be pumped. Nationwide use a dehydration process to remove water with some
light ends used for internal operating purposes. The remaining product is a
low grade burner fuel oil.
The economics of used oil collection in Western Australia have improved
substantially since the crisis point was reached in late 2007. Western Australian
used collection companies now generally charge 15 cents for each litre of used
oil they collect and so are in receipt of a substantial additional source of
revenue. As the annual amount of used oil collected in Western Australia is
approximately 42.3M litres, the amount of additional revenue collected is
approximately $6.3M. Collection charges are not the norm elsewhere in
Australia, but do apply in North Queensland.
The collection charge has had little impact on commercial operators. Some
operators have absorbed the charge and others have passed the charge straight
through to customers. Local governments have limited ability to pass on
charges and regional local governments are not able to man depots. While
most local governments have grudgingly paid the charge, at least one local
government initially stopped collecting used oil from residents.
Used oil recyclers have been able to obtain approval for the export of Fuel Oil
Component (FOC) from Western Australia. The infrastructure to export FOC
is currently provided by Shell in North Fremantle, and FOC is sold to Vitol in
Singapore. Additionally, it has been possible to use the export infrastructure to
sell burner fuel oil to the Christmas Island Phosphate Company (CIP) on
Christmas Island.
The ability to export FOC to South East Asia, where there is a large well
established market for this type of fuel oil, and the development of the
Christmas Island Phosphate market, means that in 2008 there is no longer any
Collection companies
Used oil reprocessing
approaches
Additional sources of
revenue
Impact of collection charges
Recent new markets
Used oil stockpiles
Executive summary viii
stockpile issue regarding used oil in Western Australia. Rather, it is a case of
recyclers accumulating product so that they can send shipments of appropriate
size to established markets.
There remains some uncertainty regarding the recovery rate for used oil in
Western Australia but it is possible to develop defensible upper and lower
bound estimates. An appropriate range for the recovery rate in Western
Australia would appear to be between 57 percent and 66 percent, which is
relatively high by world standards.
Future market developments
Although current and medium term market economics appear positive for
burner fuel products there remains uncertainty regarding the long term future
of some burner fuel oil markets. For example, although the market for
phosphate products is buoyant, the current phosphate mining leases on
Christmas Island expire in February 2019, and the most recent applications for
further mining leases are yet to be approved. It is also possible for there to be
localised market disruptions, or substantial changes in demand for product
from one of the current substantial users of burner fuel oil. For example, the
recent large scale Nickel smelter rebuild in Kalgoorlie saw a significant
temporary reduction in demand for burner fuel oil.
Both Shell and Verve Energy have indicated that while they will not withdraw
access to storage and precipitate a crisis, the storage facilities they provide
access to -- which are rented to Wren Oil on full commercial terms -- will not
be available long-term. In the case of the facilities provided by Shell, this also
means that the infrastructure currently used to load burner fuel oil on to
tankers for export or transport to Christmas Island will not be available long-
term.
The amount of used oil collected in Western Australia is such that individually
Wren Oil and Nationwide have difficulty meeting the needs of large off-shore
customers. As such, Wren Oil and Nationwide are progressing a Joint Venture
arrangement for the collection of used oil in Western Australia. The proposed
Joint Venture agreement is at a very advanced stage of development and
agreement on terms between the parties is highly probably sometime in 2008.
The two recyclers are currently working closely together to supply newly
established markets.
Regardless of whether or not a formal Joint Venture is put in place, Wren Oil
and Nationwide have committed to building substantial new storage and
export infrastructure at the Port of Bunbury. A site within the port area has
been identified and negotiations for a lease with the Port Authority are
progressing. Storage tank infrastructure and the associated pumping
Used oil recovery rates
Market risks
Existing storage and export
infrastructure
New commercial
arrangements
New storage and export
infrastructure
Executive summary ix
equipment for loading burner fuel onto tankers is relatively straightforward
infrastructure to install.
The current providers of storage and export infrastructure are aware of the
efforts to develop replacement infrastructure and are unlikely to withdraw
access to their infrastructure prior to the completion of the new infrastructure.
Expectations are that the replacement infrastructure in Bunbury will be
installed and operational within two years, including time taken to obtain all
regulatory approvals. Development of the infrastructure is a priority for both
Nationwide and Wren Oil.
Industry peak bodies are generally supportive of the idea that used oil is not a
waste product and that the establishment of a lube-to-lube re-refining plant in
Western Australia would be the most appropriate medium to long-term goal.
The Joint Venture agreement will mean that the volume of used oil collected
will be sufficient to operate a lube-to-lube recycling plant in WA. Both Wren
Oil and Nationwide are committed to the establishment of a lube-to-lube
recycling plant at the Wren Oil site in Picton. Although the technology
required for a lube-to-lube recycling plant is complicated, the technology is
proven.
The re-refined base lube product produced at other Nationwide sites has been
shown to have no difficulty meeting required technical specification standards.
The re-refined base lube oil produced at Picton by the Joint Venture would be
sold locally, and exported using the infrastructure developed at the Bunbury
Port. Some burner fuel oil products would continue to be exported or sold to
Christmas Island Phosphates using the Bunbury Port infrastructure.
Competing fuels
There is much uncertainty surrounding the future price of natural gas in
Western Australia for large industrial users. It is however almost certain that
long term contract prices will not return to the levels seen in previous decades
of around $2 a gigajoule. It is also relatively certain that large industrial users
are likely to face prices substantially less than $10 a gigajoule. Exactly where
between these two levels depends on a range of factors, including the timing of
up-stream developments, demand competition, and government action.
LNG for remote power station energy generation is generally priced at a
discount to the next use alternative liquid fuel, diesel.
Price movements for crude oil, residual fuel oil, and used lube oil burner fuels
all move together. As such, by considering the prospects for the price of crude
oil it is possible to gain an understanding of the likely price path for products
such as DB50 and FOC, or even re-refined base lube oil. There is considerable
Lube-to-lube refinery
Re-refined base lube market
Gas market summary
Crude oil price summary
Executive summary x
uncertainty about future oil prices. The actual long run price path will depend
on factors such as the possible gains in production in non-OPEC countries,
energy efficiency gains, OPEC cartel stability, and whether or not alternative
forms of energy will emerge to challenge oil. Official forecasts suggest that it is
unlikely that we will see a return to the very low prices for fuel oil products
observed during the 1980s and 1990s. A moderate to high world oil price,
which is thought the most likely scenario, is a positive indicator for those
selling reprocessed used oil products.
Other matters
Local government have called for tenders for the provision of used oil
collection services to all local government in Western Australia. The result of
the tender process is currently unknown, but it is expected that as a result of
the tender process the average price per litre paid for used oil collections by
local government will fall. The local government sector is not the most
important source of used oil in Western Australia and a reduction in collection
charge revenue from this source of used oil is unlikely to threaten the
economic viability of the overall used oil collection system.
The establishment of a Joint Venture will create a monopoly supplier of used
oil collection services in Western Australia. From the generator point of view
the existence of a monopoly supplier of collection services is a concern. It is
however noted that the barriers to entry in the industry are not especially great
and that this will limit the extent of market power the Joint Venture partners
can exert. It should further be noted that individually neither Wren Oil or
Nationwide collect enough used oil to support the establishment of a lube-to-
lube re-refining plant in Western Australia.
The economic viability of a lube-to-lube recycling plant relies on the
continuation of some form of PSO per litre payment. It is noted that a review
of the PSO is currently underway. Should there be a substantial reduction in
the subsidy payment for re-refined base lube oil this would have a material
impact on the profitability of any lube-to-lube refining operation in Western
Australia.
Summary
Since the storage crisis in 2007 the market for used oil derived products has
evolved substantially. New markets for burner fuel oil that are outside
mainland WA have been found, and the stockpile that began accumulating in
2004 has been completely cleared. Wren Oil and Nationwide are in the final
stages of establishing a Joint Venture arrangement, and have committed to
building new storage and export infrastructure in Bunbury.
Local government tender
Market power
The PSO program
Executive summary xi
Generators of used oil broadly report that collection services are operating
well, and the probability of a sudden sustained disruption to collection services
is unlikely.
Provided it remains possible to export used lube oil derived burner fuel
products, markets for burner fuel oil over at least the medium term but
probably much longer are positive. The Joint Venture is however committed
to the development of a lube-to-lube re-refining plant, and the prospects for
products produced from such plants are positive over the long-term. The
viability of a lube-to-lube re-refining plant in Western Australia is however
dependent on the continuation of a PSO payment for re-refined lube oil.
Background and introduction 1
1 Background and introduction
The typical life-cycle for lubricant oil in Western Australia has been initial use
in an automotive or other application, aggregation of used oil at automotive
workshops mining sites etc., collection of oil by a recycling company,
reprocessing of the used oil into various products -- largely burner fuels of
varying quality -- and resale of used oil as burner fuel products to overseas
markets, remote power stations, and firms producing cement, limestone, and
brick products.
The remote power station market is in long-term decline. The cost of Liquid
Natural Gas (LNG) distribution has fallen rapidly in recent years and continues
to fall. Increasingly, remote power generation, even where there is a relatively
modest load, will switch to LNG based electricity generation. Currently
Energy Developments Limited (EDL) provide LNG from a plant in Karratha
to power stations in the Kimberly.
Additional to LNG developments, technology for the transport of
Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) has also evolved and WorleyParsons
currently supply a 6MW power station in Exmouth using CNG technology to
transport the gas.
The amount of kiln based activity in Western Australia has also fallen in recent
years. In particular, the Loongana Lime kiln facility closed in 2006 and this
represented a substantial reduction in the mainland WA demand for burner
fuel.
A final complication for the used oil market in Western Australia was the
withdrawal of access to export infrastructure, and subsequent withdrawal of
BP from the export of Fuel Oil Component (FOC) in 2004.
The reduction in the available markets for burner fuel and FOC, combined
with the increase in the volume of mining activity, lead to a situation where at
existing market prices the supply of some used oil based products greatly
exceeded demand. Inevitably this led to a significant build-up of used oil at
reprocessing and storage facilities. Stocks cannot increase indefinitely and a
crisis point was reached in 2007 when storage tanks were full and used oil
collections ceased.
The economics of used oil collections have improved substantially since the
crisis point was reached in late 2007. Western Australian used oil collection
companies now charge 15¢ for each litre of used oil they collect, and so are in
receipt of a substantial additional source of revenue. Additionally, it has been
Background and introduction 2
possible to resume exports of FOC to Singapore and also sell burner fuel to
the Christmas Island Phosphate Company (CIP) on Christmas Island.
Although current market economics for burner fuel products are positive,
there remains uncertainty regarding the long-term future of some markets. For
example, the official policy at CIP is that the phosphate mine will close in five
years1. Further, access to some of the current used oil storage infrastructure
will not be made available in future years. Should market economics move to a
more unfavourable situation there is a risk that oil collection services may once
again be disrupted. Should collection services cease, this would present a
serious problem for industry in Western Australia. The increased risk of illegal
dumping and inappropriate disposal in such an environment also presents the
wider community with a serious problem.
The following report contains information on the flow of used oil in Western
Australia and represents the first step in a detailed process of understanding
the market for used oil. The report specific terms of reference are outlined
below.
1.1 Terms of Reference
The Department of Environment and Conservation (DEC), under the
direction of the Waste Authority (WA) of Western Australia, commissioned a
study into the state of the used oil collection and reprocessing infrastructure
and operations in Western Australia. The project was to proceed in two
distinct phases. Phase one of the project was to fully document the used oil
market in Western Australia. Phase two of the project was to evaluate the used
oil collection systems that operate in other jurisdictions and make
recommendations. This report deals with phase one of the project only.
The specific phase one terms of reference required:
• Details on the key industry peak bodies and enterprises to be collected
• The flow of virgin oil volumes and used oil volumes to be mapped
• The characteristics of the industry, in terms of infrastructure, technology
and processes, and legal controls to be described, and
• Details on possible future changes to be collated, including details on:
− the likelihood of the change occurring
− the probable timeframe for the change
− any barriers to the change taking place, and
− the likely impact of the change on the used oil supply chain.
1 It is however noted that CIP are actively pursuing new mining leases.
Peak bodies and key enterprises 3
2 Peak bodies and key enterprises
This chapter provides a brief profile of key enterprises and peak bodies
including location and focus of operations.
2.1 Virgin oil suppliers
2.1.1 Australian Institute of Petroleum (members)
The Australian Institute of Petroleum (AIP) is the representative body of the
Australian petroleum industry -- including BP (Australia), Caltex (Australia),
Mobile Oil (Australia) and Shell (Australia) -- and is tasked with ensuring open
channels of communication between the industry, government, and other
stakeholders. In 2006-07 Australian refineries produced approximately 38,800
ML of product, of which approximately 146.5 ML related to lubricating oils.
Figure 1 Australian oil refinery production by product type
Diesel29%Fuel oil
2%
Jet fuel14%
LPG4%
Bitumen and other4.5%
Petrol46%
Lube oils0.5%
Data source: AIP (2007) Downstream Petroleum and ABARE (2008), Energy Statistics
There is one refinery in Western Australia; it is owned by BP, and located at
Kwinana. The other six Australian refineries are located in Brisbane (Bulwer
Island and Lytton), Sydney (Clyde and Kurnell), Melbourne (Altona) and
Geelong.
Given the small role that lubricating oils play in the product mix of Australian
Refineries AIP literature relating to lubricating oils is not extensive. It is
however noted in AIP (2007, p. 22) that “AIP members have adopted a
product stewardship role for their products and are actively supporting the
collection and recycling of waste oil and its packaging.”
Peak bodies and key enterprises 4
2.2 Used oil producers
Automotive applications, in broad terms, are the main source of used lube oil
in Western Australia. In the regions the extent of used oil generation is
positively correlated with the level of mining activity. Many car owners change
the oil in their car themselves and then dispose of the used oil at a local
government collection point. Local government is therefore also a large source
of used oil. The final substantial source of used oil is the heavy shipping and
navel sector.
2.2.1 Institute of Automotive Mechanical Engineers
The Institute of Automotive Mechanical Engineers (IAME) has a branch
office in Belmont, Western Australia. The IAME has a training and general
technical information provision focus. The IAME Operations Manager for
WA was able to provide general information and contact details for many
individual operators that had previously replied to an IAME questionnaire
regarding the level of used oil stored at specific auto mechanical workshops in
WA.
2.2.2 Motor Trades Association
The Motor Trade Association (MTA) has a branch office in Belmont. Many,
but not all the organisations represented by the IAME are also represented by
the MTA. The range of organisations covered by the MTA is however
substantially broader than the range of organisations covered by the IAME and
includes numerous bodies that do not have a direct link to the market for used
oil.
2.2.3 Mining industry
The resources industry in Western Australia is a substantial sector and has been
the main driver of growth in Western Australia in recent years. In 2007 the
value of production from Western Australian mining was estimated at $53.1B.
The most significant minerals in terms of value in 2007 were Iron Ore
($16.1B), Crude Oil and Condensate ($10.6B), Nickel ($7.0B), Alumina ($4.7B),
LNG ($4.4B), and Gold ($4.0B) (DoIR, 2008, p. 4).
Both minerals exploration expenditure and petroleum exploration expenditure
rose sharply in 2006 and again in 2007. Expenditure on mineral and petroleum
exploration in Western Australia in 2007 represented a record high. Growth in
the mining sector in WA is therefore likely to continue over the long term.
(DoIR, 2008, p. 4). Broadly speaking, mining activity will expand in and
around the locations where mining is already concentrated. Details on the
Peak bodies and key enterprises 5
value of mineral and petroleum production in the key local government areas
are shown in Table 1.
Table 1 Value of petroleum and mineral production in 2007: select LGAs
Local Government Area Region ($) M
Roebourne Pilbara 15,724
East Pilbara Pilbara 11,114
Ashburton Pilbara 6,393
Waroona Peel 3,340
Coolgardie Goldfields 2,937
Leonora Goldfields 2,748
Kalgoorlie-Boulder Goldfields 1,842
Laverton Goldfields 1,370
Boddington Peel 1,365
Data source: DoIR (2008, p. 21).
The peak body for the mining industry in Western Australia is the WA
Chamber of Minerals and Energy.
2.2.4 Local government
There are 142 local government areas in Western Australia. There are two
additional local government areas -- Christmas Island and Cocos (Keeling)
Islands -- that are non-self governing external territories. Although these two
locations are not incorporated into Western Australia, Western Australian law
is applied to these external territories by way of Commonwealth Legislation.
The peak representative body for local government in Western Australia is
WALGA.
WALGA provided access to details of a recent member organisation survey
into the state of used oil collections, and the views of member organisations.
2.3 Used oil collectors/reprocesses
There are two used oil reprocessing companies operating in WA, and a third
operator that runs a limited used oil collection service as part of its broader
waste collection services. Details for the main used oil aggregation points in
Western Australia are shown in Figure 2. In the figure the various stars
represent aggregation points for storage and the coloured dots represent
locations where used oil is reprocessed into specified products such as burner
fuels. The volume details in the map relate to volumes captured by the DEC
controlled waste tracking system for the 2007-08 year. Additional details for
the south west of the State are shown in Figure 3.
Peak bodies and key enterprises 6
Figure 2 Waste oil aggregation points in Western Australia: 2007-08
kilometres
0 250 500
PerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerth
Picton
Kalgoorlie
Kwinana
Pinjarra
Kewdale
Welshpool
Henderson
Newman
Tom Price
Dampier
Wedgefield
Narngulu
Waste oil sites 2007-08
1,000,000 to 10,000,000 (2)
100,000 to 1,000,000 (4)
15,000 to 100,000 (5)
0 to 15,000 (5)
Wren Oil
Nationw ide
Note: Green lines on the map represent LGA boundaries for Western Australia.
Data source: DEC controlled waste tracking system. [Database accessed September 2008].
Peak bodies and key enterprises 7
Figure 3 Waste oil aggregation points in the South West: 2007-08
0 15 30
kilometres
PerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerthPerth
Welshpool
Kewdale
Kwinana
Henderson
Pinjarra
Picton
Waste oil sites Perth-Picton 2007-08
1,000,000 to 10,000,000 (2)
100,000 to 1,000,000 (4)
15,000 to 100,000 (5)
0 to 15,000 (5)
Picton
Note: Green lines on the map represent LGA boundaries for Western Australia.
Data source: DEC controlled waste tracking system. [Database accessed September 2008].
Peak bodies and key enterprises 8
2.3.1 Nationwide Oil Pty Ltd (Nationwide)
Nationwide have substantial storage facilities in Welshpool, although the main
reprocessing and storage facilities are located in Kalgoorlie. The relevant site
licence number reference is 7723/5 and the site is licensed to process 40,000
tonnes of waste oil per annum2. Nationwide is part of the ASX listed
Transpacific Industries Group (TPI), and is also a member of the Australian
Oil Recyclers Association Ltd (AORA).
Nationwide collect used oil mainly from commercial operators and only
relatively few local government authorities.
The used oil collected by Nationwide is ultimately brought to the Kalgoorlie
site for reprocessing. The used oil collected contains varying levels of
contaminants and water. Once at the Kalgoorlie site the various loads of used
oil are blended together and filtered. Broadly speaking, a dehydration process
is used by Nationwide to produce two products from the used oil collected; a
high flash point fuel oil (approximately 5-8 percent of usable product) and
dehydrated fuel oil (approximately 92-95 percent of usable product). The high
flash point fuel oil is largely used internally for the operation of the Kalgoorlie
facility. The largest single customer for the dehydrated fuel oil (DFO)
produced by Nationwide is the BHP Billiton owned and operated Kalgoorlie
Nickel Smelter. DFO is also blended with product from Wren Oil before
being either sold as a burner fuel product to the Christmas Island Phosphate
Company or Fuel Oil Component (FOC) to Vitol. Historically DFO was also
sold to the Loongana Lime Kiln in Kalgoorlie.
The BHP Billiton Kalgoorlie Nickel smelter is one of the world’s largest
operations of its kind and produces approximately 100,000 tons of nickel-in-
matte per annum. During the second half of 2008 the smelter was closed for
approximately three months for a substantial rebuild.
2.3.2 Romine Holdings Pty Ltd (Wren Oil)
Wren Oil’s premises are located at Lots 1, 4, and 12 Harris Road, Picton
(Bunbury). The relevant site licence number reference is 6378/10 and the site
is licensed to process 20,000 tonnes of waste oil per annum and 4,000 tonnes
of other oily waste type products such as oil filters, oily rags etc. Additional to
storage at the Picton site Wren Oil has commercial arrangements for storage in
North Fremantle (Shell) and Kwinana (Verve Energy). Wren Oil is a family
owned business and is a member of AORA.
2 The licence conditions allow for a maximum variation above the licence limit of 10 percent.
For any increase in volumes greater than 10 percent the licensee must seek and be granted prior approval in accordance with the Environmental Protection Act 1986.
Peak bodies and key enterprises 9
The used oil collected by Wren Oil is ultimately brought to the Picton site for
reprocessing. Wren Oil use the Thin Film Evaporation Refinery process to
recycle the used oil it collects from industry and local government and
produces a high grade fuel oil product, a heavy fuel oil product, and a very
viscous bottom product which will subsequently be referred to as used lube oil
(ULO). Without heating the ULO is very slow to pump. Current practice is to
blend the ULO with other used oil or DFO from Nationwide to produce
either FOC for export sale to Vitol in Singapore, or burner fuel for sale to
Christmas Island. The burner fuel product produced is sold under the brand
name DB50.
Historically, Wren Oil sold the ULO generated as part of the refinery process
to BP (Kwinana) who then blended decant oil with the ULO and exported the
resulting specified fuel oil product to Singapore. As a specified product an
export licence was not required for the export of FOC by BP (Kwinana).
2.3.3 Oil Energy Corporation (Tox-Free Solutions)
Tox-free is an ASX listed company based in WA that provides waste
management services in Western Australia, including regional areas. Previously
Tox-free manufactured demineralised burner fuel oil for power stations, but
following the conversion of several regional power stations (Broome, Derby,
and Esperance) to natural gas, Tox-free ceased production of burner fuel.
Today Tox-free does not run a dedicated fleet of vehicles to collect used oil,
but does accept oily wastes at facilities in Kwinana, Henderson, Kalgoorlie, and
Port Hedland, and processes oily sludge at its Kwinana site. The company is a
member of AORA.
2.4 Key markets overview
Specific details on end use markets are presented later in the report. Here the
emphasis is on providing an overview of the key features of the market only.
The key domestic markets for used oil products are kiln based activities in
Dongara and Bunbury3, Nickel smelting in Kalgoorlie, and Phosphate drying in
Christmas Island. Additionally, there is a well established and deep market in
South East Asia for FOC.
At this stage it is worth emphasising the importance of the export market for
Western Australian used lube oil products. The used oil storage problem arose
as a direct result of the withdrawal of access to export infrastructure. Provided
used oil recyclers have access to export infrastructure, and federal government
3 The Bunbury market will close at the end of 2008.
Peak bodies and key enterprises 10
approval to export FOC, there is a ready market for all used oil product
collected and reprocessed in Western Australia.
In some domestic applications the relationship between burner fuel oil and
natural gas is one of complements in that the two fuel sources combine to
provide a better overall fuel. In other applications the relationship is one of
substitutes in that as the price of one increases demand switches to the other
product4.
For complementary applications such as Nickel smelting, depending on the
specific raw material inputs that are being processed, the optimal mix between
natural gas and burner fuel oil can vary substantially. This necessarily means
that domestic demand for burner fuel oil products can vary substantially
through time while the underlying output at a given plant remains unchanged.
The export market plays an essential role in smoothing domestic demand
fluctuations. The FOC that is exported from Western Australia is sold to Vitol
in Singapore. Vitol then blend the FOC with refinery derived fuel oil to
produce burner fuel oil for combustion in regional power stations. The
regional market for burner fuel oil is very deep. For example, Vitol blend
approximately 640M litres of product per month for sale as burner fuel to
regional power stations and as bunker fuel oil. To put this volume in context,
note that the total amount of used oil collected in Western Australia in 2007-
08, without adjusting down for water content in collections, was approximately
43M litres.
Pricing approaches in the domestic market vary. In some cases the benchmark
reference price is the price of natural gas, while in other cases the relevant
reference price is the Singapore 180 cst residual fuel oil spot price. For FOC
sold to Singapore and DB50 burner fuel sold to the Christmas Island
Phosphate company, the Singapore 180 cst residual fuel oil spot price is the
relevant reference price benchmark.
The actual pricing formula used is a matter of commercial-in-confidence
between the purchasing customer and the oil recycler. It is however generally
understood that products such as DB50 sold to Christmas Island and FOC
4 The cross-price elasticity of a good measures the percentage change in the quantity of a good
-- say burner fuel oil -- demanded as a result of a one percent change in the price of a different but related good, say the price of natural gas. If the cross-price elasticity of demand for burner fuel oil and natural gas is 0.1, it implies that if the price of natural gas were to increase by one percent, the quantity of burner fuel oil demanded would increase by 0.1 percent. Where the cross-price elasticity is positive, the goods are referred to as substitutes. Where the cross-price elasticity is negative, the goods are referred to as complements.
Peak bodies and key enterprises 11
sold to Vitol are priced at a substantial discount to the Singapore 180 cst
residual fuel oil spot price.
Figure 4 plots recent data for the world price of crude oil, the Singapore 180
cst residual fuel oil spot price, and a price path band for the range of prices
that lie between 20 percent and 40 percent below the Singapore 180 cst
residual fuel oil spot price. Both the Singapore 180 cst residual fuel oil spot
price and the crude oil price are set in US dollars and are highly correlated5. As
the values in the table are expressed in Australian dollars per litre they
necessarily include both a US dollar oil price movement effect and an exchange
rate effect. For completeness the actual US dollar values and exchange rate
values that support the detail in Figure 4 are provided in Table 2.
Figure 4 Indicative benchmarking prices for various oil products
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
Ja
n-0
7
Fe
b-0
7
Ma
r-0
7
Ap
r-0
7
Ma
y-0
7
Ju
n-0
7
Ju
l-0
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Au
g-0
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Se
p-0
7
Oct-
07
No
v-0
7
De
c-0
7
Ja
n-0
8
Fe
b-0
8
Ma
r-0
8
Ap
r-0
8
Ma
y-0
8
Ju
n-0
8
Ju
l-0
8
Au
g-0
8
Se
p-0
8
Crude oil
180 cst fuel oil
==== Indicative price band for exports
AUD cents/litre
Note: The monthly price for crude oil is the arithmetic mean of the weekly export volume weighted all countries price,
and the monthly price for 180 cst is the arithmetic mean of the daily spot price. The exchange rate conversion is the
RBA published US dollar exchange rate for the first trading day of each month.
Data source: Exchange rates: www.rba.gov.au/Statistics/HistoricalExchangeRates/index.html; Crude Oil and 180 cst
prices: www.eia.doe.gov/oil_gas/petroleum/info_glance/petroleum.html [accessed 20 October 2008].
5 A formal measure of linear correlation between two variables is the correlation coefficient.
The correlation coefficient is found as the covariance of two random variables divided by the product of the standard deviation of the two random variables, and the measure is bounded by minus one (perfect negative correlation) and one (perfect positive correlation). On consideration of a randomly selected period of three years worth of weekly data the correlation coefficient for the world US dollar crude oil spot price and the US dollar 180 cst Singapore spot price was found to be .97.
Peak bodies and key enterprises 12
Table 2 US dollar denominated oil price product reference
Date
Average
crude oil
Singapore
180 cst
20 percent
discount
40 percent
discount
Exchange
rate
US$/barrel US¢/litre US¢/litre US¢/litre US per AUD
January 2007 50.77 31.09 24.87 18.66 .79
February 2007 53.65 33.86 27.08 20.31 .78
March 2007 58.70 35.35 28.28 21.21 .79
April 2007 63.67 39.55 31.64 23.73 .81
May 2007 63.91 39.58 31.66 23.75 .83
June 2007 66.89 41.14 32.91 24.68 .83
July 2007 72.87 44.24 35.39 26.54 .85
August 2007 69.48 43.19 34.55 25.91 .85
September 2007 73.88 45.29 36.23 27.17 .82
October 2007 78.16 50.86 40.69 30.52 .89
November 2007 88.86 57.57 46.06 34.54 .93
December 2007 87.62 54.66 43.73 32.79 .88
January 2008 89.87 54.43 43.54 32.66 .88
February 2008 90.82 54.20 43.36 32.52 .90
March 2008 100.48 57.46 45.97 34.48 .93
April 2008 104.98 62.35 49.88 37.41 .91
May 2008 118.93 69.77 55.82 41.86 .94
June 2008 128.06 73.91 59.13 44.35 .95
July 2008 133.52 83.40 66.72 50.04 .96
August 2008 113.97 76.82 61.46 46.09 .94
September 2008 98.52 68.92 55.14 41.35 .85
Note: The monthly price for crude oil is the arithmetic mean of the weekly export volume weighted all countries price,
and the monthly price for Singapore 180 cst is the arithmetic mean of the US dollar daily spot price. The exchange
rate is the RBA published US dollar exchange rate for the first trading day of each month.
Data source: Exchange rates: www.rba.gov.au/Statistics/HistoricalExchangeRates/index.html; Crude Oil and 180 cst
prices: www.eia.doe.gov/oil_gas/petroleum/info_glance/petroleum.html [accessed 20 October 2008].
For natural gas, the actual price a large use customer pays depends on the cost
of product, the transmission charge, and the load factor. The load factor is
calculated as the ratio of average gas demand to peak gas demand. For
example, consider the Alinta Gas Network (AGN). Across the AGN
southwest distribution network average annual residential gas consumption is
20GJ, or 1.67GJ per month. Peak demand occurs in July where actual demand
is 11.2 percent of total demand, or 20GJ × 0.112 = 2.24GJ. The load factor
for AGN is therefore 1.67GJ ÷ 2.24GJ = 0.74.
When bidding for gas supply as a large use customer it is necessary to pay for
the maximum monthly amount of gas required rather than the actual amount
that will be used in any given month. The actual cost of product is therefore
found as the per GJ cost of natural gas plus the per GJ transmission cost all
divided by the load factor. For a large industrial user the load factor could be
Peak bodies and key enterprises 13
expected to be close to unity but will necessarily be something less than unity.
The cost of product for natural gas in the current interim Office of Energy
audited cost stack for the southwest regulated area is $6.50 per GJ.
Transmission charges vary with pipeline and transmission distance. To fund
the expansion of capacity on the pipeline the current full haulage tariff on the
Dampier to Bunbury Pipeline is higher than the Economic Regulation
Authority determined price and is thought to be approximately $1.30 per GJ.
Transmission tariffs are expected to fall overtime once the pipeline capacity
expansion project has been completed.
Current supply chain picture 14
3 Current supply chain picture
This chapter describes the used oil supply chain in Western Australia in terms
of volumes sold, collected, processed, and resold as specified products.
3.1 Virgin oil market summary
From the mid 1990s through to 2004-05 the volume of lubricant oil and
greases consumed, both nationally and in Western Australia, had been rising.
Since 2004-05 official figures indicate that there has been a substantial decrease
in lubricant oil and grease consumption. The substantial reduction in the last
two years coincides with a substantial increase in the world oil price. In general
when price increases it is expected that, holding all other things constant, the
quantity consumed will fall. In some instances it is not possible for an
adjustment to a price increase to take place instantaneously, but over time the
adjustment does take place. Details on the short-run own-price elasticity of
demand and the long-run own-price elasticity of demand for oil more
generally, in select countries, are shown in Table 36.
Table 3 Long-run vs. short-run effects: the case of oil demand
Country Price Elasticity
Short-run Long-run
United States -.06 -.45
Japan -.07 -.36
Germany -.02 -.28
United Kingdom -.07 -.18
France -.07 -.57
Italy -.04 -.21
Data source: Cooper (2003).
There are many possible explanations for the reported reduction in lubricating
oil consumption but one possible reason is that the relevance of the traditional
oil change cycle is increasingly been questioned by customers when they have
their car serviced7. Information collected at large automotive car servicing
6 The formal economic measure of the change in consumer behaviour following a price change
is referred to as the own-price elasticity of demand for the good. The own-price elasticity of demand for oil is defined as the percentage change in the quantity of oil demanded as a result of a one percent change in the price of oil. Thus, if the own-price elasticity of demand for oil is minus 0.1, this means that if the price of oil were to increase by one percent, the quantity demanded would decrease by 0.1 percent.
7 The Strategic Waste Initiative Scheme: Project No. 4014 report notes that given the quality of the oil used in engines today, the 10,000 km oil change reflects tradition rather than need.
Current supply chain picture 15
chain stores regarding oil change frequency was however inconclusive. Both
10,000 km and 5,000 km appear to be used as default settings for oil changes.
The 5,000 km frequency was indicated as appropriate where the majority of
driving trips were very short trips.
Official ABARE data for lubricating oil consumption in both WA and
Australia as a whole are shown in Figure 58.
Figure 5 Consumption of Lubricants and Greases
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
19
96
-97
19
97
-98
19
98
-99
19
99
-00
20
00
-01
20
01
-02
20
02
-03
20
03
-04
20
04
-05
20
05
-06
20
06
-07
ML
AUS WA
Data source: ABARE (2008) Energy Statistics
Australia has always imported some grease and lubricant products, but prior to
2003-04 Australia was a net exporter of lubricant oil and grease products.
Domestic production has however fallen substantially in recent years, and since
2003-04 Australia has been a net importer of lubricant oil and grease products.
In 2006-07 domestic consumption was 419M L, domestic production was
146M L, and imports were 365M L. In 2006-07 Australia therefore imported
around 2.5 times more lubricants and greases than it produced. Details on
production, consumption, and imports for lubricating oils and greases are
shown in Figure 6.
8 Further investigation revealed that ABARE allocates the national consumption information
to States on a formula basis rather than aggregating up State data to arrive at a national consumption figure. ABARE were unable to provide any insight into the reported consumption spike in 2004-05.
Current supply chain picture 16
Figure 6 Lubricant and grease production, imports and consumption
0
200
400
600
800
1000
19
96
-97
19
97
-98
19
98
-99
19
99
-00
20
00
-01
20
01
-02
20
02
-03
20
03
-04
20
04
-05
20
05
-06
20
06
-07
ML Imports Production Consumption
Data source: ABARE (2008) Energy Statistics
Regarding the price of lubricating oil, it is noted in SWB, (2008, p. 26) that the
price of virgin lubricating oil in Australia has not increased in price at the same
rate as that observed for crude oil. It is suggested that the reason prices have
not risen is due to the establishment of new lubricating oil refineries in Korea
and Malaysia that resulted in an increase in overall supply in the region.
Using excise and customs data provided by the Department of Environment
Water, Heritage, and the Arts (DEWHA), PWC (2008) arrive at different
values for the domestic sales of lubricating oils in Australia. It is possible to
compare PWC derived estimates with the ABARE estimates only for select
years, and in some cases the difference between the two estimates is
substantial. It has not been possible to establish the reasons for the different
estimates.
Table 4 Lube oil comparison of estimate values
Year Excise data ABARE Data Difference Difference
ML ML ML (%)
2006-07 461.5 449.7 11.8 2.6
2004-05 473.6 700.3 226.7 38.6
2002-03 521.7 582.1 60.4 10.9
2001-02 459.0 557.0 98 19.3
Data source: ABARE (2008) Energy Statistics and PWC (2008)
3.2 Virgin oil relates to used oil
EEA (2002) cited in Fitzsimons (2005) suggest that the amount of used oil that
is recoverable, expressed as a percent of total virgin oil used, is between 50
Current supply chain picture 17
percent and 60 percent. The actual recovery rates for different usage types do
however vary substantially. In some applications, such as with marine oils, no
waste oil is generated. In other applications, such as with aviation oil, a very
high proportion of the oil used is recoverable. Estimates of the amount of oil
recoverable for different European countries are shown in Table 5. The
estimated recoverable share for oil varies substantially across European
countries, but as can be seen from the last row in the table, the oil
consumption share-weighted average recoverable oil estimate is 46 percent.
Table 5 Estimates of collectable proportion in Europe for 2002
Country
Oil
Consumption
Estimated
recoverable
Recovered share
of recoverable
Tonnes (%) (%)
Austria 109,000 49.19 62.47
Belgium 173,100 36.46 95.08
Denmark 71,718 65.41 74.61
Finland 88,809 55.85 80.00
France 841,356 50.18 57.44
Germany 1,032,361 44.88 99.29
Greece 87,800 45.74 54.78
Ireland 39,800 44.71 86.00
Italy 617,594 31.86 96.37
Luxembourg 10,170 45.74 98.11
Netherlands 152,694 43.53 90.27
Portugal 102,000 51.81 74.98
Spain 510,980 49.95 62.69
Sweden 142,814 54.08 80.00
U.K. 840,834 47.75 87.80
Consumption share-weighted average 45.88 81.74
Note: The unweighted arithmetic mean estimated recoverable rate is 47.81.
Data source: www.geir-regeneration.org cited in Fitzsimons (2005, p. 53)
For Australia, AATSE (2004) provide a detailed breakdown of oil use by
category, and using 2002 data the implied used oil recovery rate is estimated to
be 53 percent. Should the current consumption mix in Western Australia vary
from the national consumption pattern in 2002, it is possible the actual
potential recoverable oil rate will differ from 53 percent. It is further possible
that the specified recovery rates for different applications that underpin the
AATSE (2004) calculations may not apply in Western Australia.
The AATSE (2004) report specifies the recoverable rate from both petrol and
diesel engines to be 60 percent. As these values are published by the
Australian Academy of Technological Sciences and Engineering one must be
extremely cautious in questioning the applicability of the published reference
Current supply chain picture 18
recovery rates for Western Australia, but it is worth at least considering the
possibility that they might vary. As will be discussed later in the report the
mining sector accounts for a significant proportion of the total volume of used
oil that is recovered in Western Australia. Should the general level of
maintenance and overall control of equipment used in mining applications be
such that the amount of recoverable oil from mining equipment is greater than
the AATSE reference rate, it is possible that the potential recoverable rate for
Western Australia may be higher than 53 percent.
A further complication in estimating the volume of used oil recovered relates
to the water content in used oil product entered into the hazardous waste
tracking system. AATSC (2004, p. 47) report the water content in collected
used oil as between ten percent and 12 percent. In the case of ship bilge oil
the water content may be as high as 20 percent as measured by weight
(Fitzsimons, 2005, p. 52).
Although detailed information is available for used oil collections, to relate
used oil collections data to virgin oil consumption data it is still necessary to
make numerous assumptions. With respect to collections data it is necessary
to estimate the average water content of the material collected. With respect to
consumption data, at the national level there is divergence between official
consumption statistics and the allocation to State level consumption appears to
be made using a formula rather than based on ground up estimates. A final
complication arise in that the virgin oil consumed in one period turns up as
used oil collected in subsequent periods so that the there is a certain time
varying component that impacts upon estimates.
With these limitations in mind care must be taken when estimating the amount
of used oil recovered in Western Australia. Rather than provide a point
estimate of the recovery rate, the approach taken has been to estimate what is
thought to be a reasonable maximum boundary range using data for 2006-07.
The specific approach used to calculate the lower bound recovery rate estimate
was as follows:
− Take the maximum oil and lubricant consumption estimate for 2006-07,
which in this case was the excise data estimate, and allocate to WA the
ABARE estimate of WA consumption, which is 14.11 percent of
national oil and lubricant consumption.
− Next, take the used oil collected total from the DEC Controlled Waste
Tracking System and allow for a water content in collected material of
12 percent, which is a reasonable upper bound estimate of the average
water content in oil collections.
− These values represent the maximum reasonable estimate for virgin oil
and lubricant consumption in WA and the minimum reasonable
Current supply chain picture 19
estimate for used oil collected and so will provide an estimate of the
minimum recovery rate.
The specific approach used to calculate the upper bound recovery rate estimate
was as follows:
− Take the minimum WA virgin oil and lubricant consumption estimate
for 2006-07, which in this case was the ABARE estimate.
− Next, take the used oil collected total from the DEC Controlled Waste
Tracking System and allow for a water content in collected material of 8
percent, which is a reasonable lower bound estimate of the average
water content in oil collections.
− These values represent the minimum reasonable estimate for virgin oil
and lubricant consumption in WA and the maximum reasonable
estimate for used oil collected and so will provide an estimate of the
maximum recovery rate.
Using this approach the minimum recovery rate for Western Australia is 57
percent and the maximum recovery rate is 66 percent.
3.3 Used oil market
Used oil collection services are generally operating well in Western Australia,
although there are some issues with collections in remote locations where local
governments currently do not want to pay a per litre charge for used oil
collections. In October 2008 there was no stockpile issue with respect to used
oil in Western Australia.
3.3.1 National market overview
Indicative information on the volume of recycled products produced from
used oil can be obtained by considering the PSO benefit payment information.
As there can be changes in the inventory level of used oil in storage, the
information provided by benefit payment details is indicative of used oil flows
in any given year only. The well documented rise and subsequent fall in
inventory levels in Western Australia is a relevant example of the substantial
inventory changes that can from time to time take place.
Table 6 contains details on both the volume of used oil derived product sold,
and the proportion of the total recycled product sold through time for the
categories: low grade burner fuels, high grade burner fuels, diesel fuels, and
base oils. By reading across the low grade burner fuel row of the table and
down the 2001-02 column it can be seen that in 2001-02 benefits were claimed
for 104M litres of low grade burner fuel, and that measured by volume of
product, low grade burner fuel represented 53 percent of all used oil product
for which a benefit was claimed. Both the absolute amount and relative
Current supply chain picture 20
amount of product sold as low grade burner fuel has however been falling
through time. By reading down the 2006-07 column of the table to the low
grade burner fuel row it can be seen that in 2006-07 the amount of low grade
burner fuel oil for which the benefit was claimed had fallen to 77M litres and
that this amount represented 35 percent of the total amount of product for
which the levy was paid.
Table 6 National market overview based on benefit payments
Category 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07
M L (%) M L (%) M L (%) M L (%) M L (%) M L (%)
LG burner fuel 103.5 53.2 96.3 49.6 106.4 45.6 93.2 42.3 73.4 34.9 77.3 35.2
HG burner fuel 65.8 33.8 68.3 35.2 98.2 42.1 100.2 45.5 107.2 50.9 131.4 59.8
Diesel fuels 25.2 13.0 26.1 13.5 23.1 9.9 17.2 7.8 19.9 9.5 2.9 1.3
Base oil 0.1 0.0 3.2 1.7 5.5 2.4 9.8 4.4 10.1 4.8 7.9 3.6
Totals 194.6 100.0 193.9 100.0 233.3 100.0 220.4 100.0 210.6 100.0 219.5 100.0
Note: The amount claimed for material sold as re-refined base oil in 2006-07 would appear to be significantly less than the known base oil re-refining production
capacity in Australia. There are several possible explanations for this but the most likely explanation is that it is a timing issue regarding claims. If this
assumption is correct, the amount claimed in the 2007-08 year for base oils should be substantially (say three times) higher than the amount recorded in 2006-
07.
Data source: SWB (2004, p. 26)
The change in use can perhaps be more easily seen by considering the detail in
Figure 7. In the figure the fall in the volume of low grade burner fuel oil sold
and the growth in the sale of high grade burner fuel oil can be seen. The
dramatic reduction in the sale of diesel fuel oil (25M litres in 2001-02 but only
2.9 M litres in 2006-07) can also be seen in the figure. It is understood that the
fall in diesel sales relates to changes in the Fuel Quality Standards Regulations
2001.
Current supply chain picture 21
Figure 7 Volume of used oil products based on benefit
0
50
100
150
200
250
2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07
Base oil Diesel fuels HG burner fuel LG burner fuel
M litres
Data source: SWB (2004, p. 26)
Base oil production has risen during the sample period, but total production
for which a benefit payment has been claimed remains very low. It has also
been argued that there are substantial barriers to re-refined base lube oil
gaining acceptance as a quality substitute product to virgin base oils. For
example, in SWB (2008, p. 26) it is argued that re-refined oils have difficulty
meeting technical specifications, and that as globally branded products are sold
internationally, international agreements must be reached regarding standards
for re-refined oils before the products will be deemed of a standard that does
not void equipment warrantees. It is further suggested in SWB (2008) that
until such agreements are in place, substantial expansion in the production and
use of re-refined oils will not take place.
Transpacific Industries Group have however indicated that the re-refined base
lubricating oil they currently produce has no problem meeting technical
requirements (pers. comm. Gary Watson). Both used oil recyclers operating in
Western Australia expressed confidence in the marketability of re-refined base
lube oil.
3.3.2 Used oil from generation to recycler
The DEC controlled waste tracking system provides data on used oil
collections across Western Australia. Details are shown in Table 7 for the
volume of used oil collected from the top 25 local government areas. As can
be seen from the detail in the table the largest volumes of used oil were
collected from local government areas that also have a high level of mining
activity, followed by areas with a substantial light industry component.
Current supply chain picture 22
Table 7 Top 25 LGA regions for the generation of used oil
LGA 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 average
L L L L
East Pilbara (S) 3,242,500 3,847,775 3,590,158 3,560,144
Kalgoorlie/Boulder (C) 2,594,458 2,509,238 2,572,921 2,558,872
Port Hedland (T) 1,526,499 2,920,295 2,439,207 2,295,334
Ashburton (S) 1,370,570 2,171,855 1,424,900 1,655,775
Swan (C) 1,462,216 1,610,289 1,750,979 1,607,828
Leonora (S) 1,335,300 1,412,110 1,540,400 1,429,270
Belmont (C) 1,190,204 1,133,820 1,277,840 1,200,621
Stirling (C) 1,201,410 1,189,372 1,158,557 1,183,113
Canning (C) 1,104,132 1,121,382 1,243,196 1,156,237
Gosnells (C) 1,132,210 1,038,556 1,127,800 1,099,522
Bunbury (C) 931,080 897,022 767,465 865,189
Cockburn (C) 773,055 887,960 750,359 803,791
Collie (S) 790,950 775,767 823,770 796,829
Wanneroo (C) 781,590 738,625 809,325 776,513
Roebourne (S) 916,798 444,771 897,256 752,942
Rockingham (C) 736,657 713,106 785,204 744,989
Vincent (T) 680,305 607,108 599,827 629,080
Kalamunda (S) 586,036 598,075 675,855 619,989
Bayswater (C) 559,445 534,995 552,854 549,098
Kwinana (T) 404,180 531,865 620,260 518,768
Coolgardie (S) 399,648 506,231 547,787 484,555
Yilgarn (S) 430,050 526,756 475,850 477,552
Fremantle (C) 602,395 436,900 361,815 467,037
Laverton (S) 359,000 423,000 563,850 448,617
Note: The error rate for the data was approximately 10 percent and so the volumes reported in the table represent a
modest under reporting of the volume of waste oil collected.
Data source: DEC Hazardous Waste Tracking System. Waste type 6.04 only.
Presenting information in a table format allows for a very precise
representation of the volume of used oil material generated in each LGA.
However, by defining appropriate bands for used oil generation, it is possible
to map used oil generation information for Western Australia using a colour
coded map that includes local government boundaries. Although some detail
regarding volumes is lost when it is translated into a map, the ability to
represent all used oil generation data for Western Australian in a single map is
valuable.
In Figure 8 white is used to represent local government areas where the annual
average amount of waste oil collected from all sources for the period 2005-08
was less than 10,000L; light blue is used to represent LGAs where between
10,000L and 50,000L was collected; medium blue is used to represent LGAs
where between 50,000L and 250,000L was collected; dark blue is used to
represent LGAs where between 250,000L and 1ML was collected; and black is
Current supply chain picture 23
used to represent LGAs where more than 1ML was collected. In the figure the
ten LGAs where on average more than 1ML of used oil were collected, plus
Perth city, are labelled. The map clearly shows the importance of the mining
regions in terms of generating used lube oil.
The details for the metropolitan area are difficult to see in Figure 8 and so a
separate metropolitan only map has also been prepared. Detail for the average
volume of used oil collected from metropolitan LGAs is shown in Figure 9,
where the colour coding uses the same key as that used in Figure 8. The detail
in the metropolitan map is useful as it shows areas where there is substantial
light industry, such as: Belmont, Canning, Gosnells, Stirling, and Swan are also
important locations for the generation of used oil.
Current supply chain picture 24
Figure 8 Waste oil generation in Western Australia by LGA: average 2005-08
0 250 500
kilometres
Leonora (S)
Kalgoorlie/Boulder (C)
Ashburton (S)
East Pilbara (S)
Swan (C)
Stirling (C)
Gosnells (C)
Belmont (C)Perth (C)
Canning (C)
Port Hedland (T)
Waste oil by LGA average 2005-08
1,000,000 and > (10)
250,000 < 1,000000 (25)
50,000 < 250,000 (26)
10,000 < 50,000 (26)
0 < 10,000 (57)
Note: LGA- Local Government Area. Default count includes the Shire of Christmas Island and the Shire of Cocos Island as Western Australian local
government areas even though they are non-self governing external territories.
Data source: DEC controlled waste tracking system.
Current supply chain picture 25
Figure 9 Waste oil generation in metropolitan Perth by LGA: average 2005-08
0 10 20
kilometres
Nedlands (C)
Claremont (T)
Subiaco (C)
Perth (C)
Cambridge (T)Vincent (T)
Victoria Park (T)
Cottes loe (T)
South Perth (C)
Peppermint Grove (S)
Mosman Park (T)
Bayswater (C)
Bassendean (T)Stirling (C)
Chittering (S)
Belmont (C)
Fremantle (C)
Melville (C) Canning (C)
Cockburn (C)
Serpentine-Jarrahdale (S)
Rockingham (C)
Gosnells (C)
Wanneroo (C)
Joondalup (C)
Mundaring (S)
Kalamunda (S)
Kwinana (T)
Armadale (C)
Swan (C)
Waste oil by LGA average 2005-08
1,000,000 and > (10)
250,000 < 1,000000 (25)
50,000 < 250,000 (26)
10,000 < 50,000 (26)
0 < 10,000 (57)
Note: Rottnest Island part of Cockburn (C), Garden Island part of Rockingham (C)
Data source: DEC controlled waste tracking system
Current supply chain picture 26
From the information contained in the DEC tracking system it is also possible
to identify aggregation points along the used oil supply chain and these were
previously identified and shown in Figure 2 and Figure 3.
In collating the data for mapping purposes it has been possible to allocate
approximately 90 percent of the entries in the system. The total volumes
recorded in the system for used oil collections, including those volumes that
were not matched for mapping purposes, were: 37.2M litres in 2005-06, 42.3M
litres in 2006-07, and 42.7M litres in 2007-08. The growth in the volume of
material collected over this period has therefore been 5.5M litres, which
represents an increase in the volume of used oil collected of 14.7 percent
between 2005-06 and 2007-08.
It is worth relating the volume of used oil to Western Australian economic
output. Information on Gross State Product (GSP) is only published annually
by the ABS and details for the 2007-08 year are as yet unavailable. Where GSP
information is unavailable, State Final Demand (SFD) information provides a
reasonable alternative measure. State final demand is the sum of household
and government final consumption expenditure, and private, general
government and public corporation gross fixed capital formation. There are
two measures of SFD, a current dollars measure and a constant dollars or
chain volume index measure. In the current application the most appropriate
measure is the chain volume measure.
The chain volume measure of SFD for Western Australia in 2005-06 was
$106,810M, in 2006-07 it was $116,199M, and in 2007-08 it was $126,995M.
So, over a period that saw the volume of used oil collected grow by 14.7
percent, Western Australian SFD grew by 18.9 percent. For the Western
Australian economy it seems reasonable to suggest that economic expansion is
associated with growth in the volume of used oil generation.
3.3.3 Domestic mainland used oil market
Changes in energy generation technology have meant that over the past ten
years domestic mainland markets for burner fuel oil products have shrunk.
The notable reductions in demand occurred following the conversion of a
number of Kimberly power stations to LNG, the extension of a natural gas
pipeline to Esperance, and the closure of the Loongana Lime Kiln
(Kalgoorlie).
The remaining large volume consumers of burner fuels in Western Australia
are understood to be Austral bricks in Picton, Cockburn Cement in Dongara,
and the BHP Billiton owned Nickel Smelter in Kalgoorlie.
Current supply chain picture 27
On 29 October 2008 Austral Bricks advised Wren Oil that they will
permanently cease operations on 19th December 2008. This represents a
significant further reduction in mainland WA demand for used oil burner fuel
products.
The Cockburn Cement Lime Kiln located at Munster (near Kwinana) is four
times the size of the Dongara plant, but due to the concern of nearby residents
the kiln does not make use of used oil burner fuel oil products.
Pricing for mainland Western Australian customers varies, although the most
appropriate reference point is the Singapore 180 cst residual fuel oil and 380
cst residual fuel oil spot price9. In Figure 4 details were shown for recent price
movements in the Singapore 180 cst residual fuel oil spot price in Australian
dollars per litre. In Figure 10, details are shown for a much longer time series,
and are shown in US dollars per litre. In Figure 10 the substantial increase in
the US dollar price of residual burner fuel oil products since 2004, and recent
price fall, can be seen clearly.
The detail also suggests that the profitability of selling FOC into the South
East Asian market is likely to be substantially better than it was when BP
(Kwinana) undertook such activities.
Figure 10 Singapore residual fuel oil 180 spot price FOB (US ¢ per litre)
74.95
0
15
30
45
60
75
90
Jun-
86
Jun-
87
Jun-
88
Jun-
89
Jun-
90
Jun-
91
Jun-
92
Jun-
93
Jun-
94
Jun-
95
Jun-
96
Jun-
97
Jun-
98
Jun-
99
Jun-
00
Jun-
01
Jun-
02
Jun-
03
Jun-
04
Jun-
05
Jun-
06
Jun-
07
Jun-
08
Cents per litre
Data source: Energy Information Administration, tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/hist/rfo180sin5d.htm, [accessed 22
September 2008].
9 The Singapore 380 cst residual fuel oil spot prices appear to be similar to the Singapore 180
cst residual fuel oil spot prices, except that they appear to be about five percent lower.
Current supply chain picture 28
3.3.4 Key non-mainland Australian markets
For Western Australia the key non-WA markets lie to the North in Asia and
Christmas Island rather than to the East Coast mainland States.
Figure 11 Location of key non-mainland markets for burner fuel oil
Data source: Shire of Christmas Island
Christmas Island Phosphates
A substantial new customer for burner fuel (DB50) is the Christmas Island
Phosphate Company (CIP), located on Christmas Island. Christmas Island is
an Australian non-self governing external territory located in the Indian Ocean
approximately 360 km south of Java and 2,600 km northwest of Perth. The
island has an area of 135 km2 with approximately 80 km of coastline. Through
a series of complex arrangements Western Australian law generally, but not
exclusively, applies on Christmas Island. The territory is not incorporated into
Western Australia and GST does not apply on Christmas Island.
The economic history of Christmas Island is largely the history of phosphate
mining. The island was originally annexed by the British and subsequently
settled for the purpose of mining phosphate. Were it not for phosphate
Current supply chain picture 29
deposits, and assuming only economic assessment criteria were used, the island
would in all probability not have been settled.
With respect to phosphate mining, apart from relatively brief periods during
the Second World War and a period of closure between 1988 and 1991,
phosphate has been mined on the island since 1889. In-line with higher
phosphate prices, the CIP mining operation has seen substantial expansion in
recent years. The current mining leases do however expire in February 2019.
There remain substantial reserves of phosphate on Christmas Island, but there
are concerns about the environmental impact of granting additional mining
leases, and in 2007 the former Commonwealth government rejected an
application by CIP for additional mining leases on environmental grounds. In
October 2008 CIP’s legal challenge to the decision of the then environment
minister Malcolm Turnbull to deny further mining leases on environmental
grounds was successful. While this does not mean that new mining leases will
necessarily be granted in the near future, public statements by the company
about the prospects of mining on the island since the decision have been
positive10.
In addition to its direct phosphate mining operations, CIP has several wholly
owned subsidiaries involved in various activities. Some subsidiaries are
concerned with on island activities and others are concerned with off island
activities. Details of the various subsidiaries are shown in Figure 12. The
Indian Ocean Oil Company (IOOC) is responsible for the provision of fuel oil
for the burners that dry the phosphate and the diesel used by the mine fleet of
vehicles.
10 It is also notable that the Commonwealth Attorney-General’s Department has
commissioned a full economic impact study into the implications of mine closure on Christmas Island. The study is the first attempt to put hard numbers around the economic importance of the mine to the local economy and the number of direct and indirect jobs that depend on the mine.
Figure 12 Ownership structure: Christmas Island phosphate mine
Phosphate Resources Limited (PRL) Trading as
Christmas Island Phosphates
Phosphates Resources (Singapore) Pty Ltd (PRS)
Phosphates Resources Properties Pty Ltd (PRP)
Indian Ocean Oil Company Pty Ltd (IOOC)
C.I. Maintenance Services Pty Ltd (CIMS)
Phosphate Resources China (PRC)
Indian Ocean Stevedores Pty Ltd (IOS)
Current supply chain picture 30
The IOOC is responsible for the provision of the burner fuel required for the
operation of the phosphate driers. The substitute product for the DB50 fuel
oil they currently purchase from Western Australia is 180 cst residual fuel oil
purchased from Singapore.
The frequency and size of the exports to CIP are determined by their fuel
needs and the size of their storage tanks on the island. The current process for
supplying DB50 to CIP is for IOOC to purchase DB50 fuel oil from Wren Oil
in lots of three to four million litres, have the product loaded onto an IOOC
provided tanker in Fremantle, which then transports the product to Christmas
Island. The type of costs incurred by IOOC when purchasing product are
therefore broadly the same as those with a product purchased FOB from
Singapore, although actual shipping costs from Singapore would be lower as
Christmas Island is approximately 1,300 km from Singapore and 2,600 km
from Perth.
The DB50 burner fuel oil is a product that contains the ULO that had been
accumulating since 2004 when exports ceased.
Table 8 Select specification details for burner fuel type DB50
Test Method of Analysis Units Specification Typical analysis
Viscosity at 90ºC cst 40-50 42
Viscosity at 60ºC cst 70-90 80
Viscosity at 40ºC cst 160-220 190
Flash Point (Pensky Martin) ºC greater than 61 greater than 61
Gross Specific Energy MJ/kg 42-43 42
Data source: Wren Oil Product Statement for WREN DB50
To balance CIP’s needs against local demand requires both the used oil
collected by Wren and used oil collected by Nationwide. More generally,
supplying this market with oil collected by both collection companies can
smooth any local disruptions that might take place, such as that observed
during the recent closure of the Kalgoorlie Nickel Smelter for a period of
extended maintenance.
Since October 2006 CIP has purchased significant volumes of burner fuel. A
further substantial shipment will depart for Christmas Island prior to the end
of November 2008.
Other interstate markets
For large volumes of material the only means of transport is via shipping
tanker. The coastal shipping industry in Australia is however not large, and
generally operates with employment conditions that are substantially different
to those that operate on international shipping fleets. Additionally, in the case
Current supply chain picture 31
of transport from Western Australia to South-East Asia, there is the potential
for back loading on ships which can result in very competitive pricing. Such
opportunities do not generally exist for interstate shipping.
As shipping rates for exports are priced in US dollars it is difficult to make
precise comparisons between the cost of shipping fuel oil products
internationally versus the cost of interstate transport. Indicative spot prices for
the cost of transporting oil products interstate suggests a price of around 32
cents per litre for transport between Fremantle and Melbourne, although it is
possible to imagine that for a long term transport contract it would be possible
to negotiate a substantially lower per litre charge for interstate shipping. For
shipping between Fremantle and Christmas Island it is understood transport
costs are around 10 cents per litre, and for shipping between Fremantle and
Singapore it is understood transport costs are around 6 cents per litre11.
There are additional handling fees and charges for interstate shipments, but the
transport cost difference on a 4M litre load sent to Christmas Island versus a
load sent to Melbourne, using the spot transport rate, is around $880,000, and
for the same load sent to Singapore more than $1M. Notwithstanding a
fundamental change to transport costs, the difference between the shipping
rates for interstate shipping and international shipping means that Western
Australian oil recyclers will export product rather than send it to interstate
markets.
3.3.5 Exports of used oil product from Western Australia
Exports of used oil products from Western Australia have been a key feature
of the market for some time.
Export history 1999 to 2003
Prior to 2004 it was possible for BP (Kwinana) to export Fuel Oil Component
(FOC) -- a blend of Used Lube Oil (ULO) and decant oil -- from Western
Australia using infrastructure in Kwinana. Correspondence from the
Australian Oil Recyclers Association (AORA) indicates that between 1999 and
2003 approximately 35M litres (or 7M litres per year) of ULO was purchased
by BP from Wren Oil and Nationwide Oil, blended with decant oil internally
available to BP (Kwinana), and export to BP Singapore as FOC for sale into
the Asian power generation market.
The physical layout of infrastructure at the Kwinana site was well suited to
supporting the export of FOC. Storage tanks were available at Kwinana and
ULO could then be pumped via a pipeline from the storage tanks directly to
11 Transport cost details were provided by Wren Oil.
Current supply chain picture 32
the BP (Kwinana) Refinery where it was blended with decant oil and then
exported from the Refinery related port infrastructure to Singapore, where it
could be sold into a well established and deep market.
During this period the export of product to Singapore by BP (Kwinana) took
place on an opportunistic basis only and was not a significant activity for BP
(Kwinana). It required a number of things to align -- currency value,
appropriate transport ship access, ULO availability, and market price -- for the
export of FOC to be profitable. Exports took place only when the trade could
be undertaken profitably and BP (Kwinana) report that it was possible for a
period of 12-18 months to pass between the periods when burner fuel oil was
exported.
As noted earlier the current market for exports is more favourable than it was
during this period. A discussion on the future possible price path for oil, and
hence burner fuel oil products sold into the international market is presented
later in the report.
When access to the required pipeline infrastructure was no longer available BP
(Kwinana) were initially interested in developing new pipeline infrastructure
but ultimately new infrastructure was not developed.
Export history 2004 to 2007
The pipeline that linked the Kwinana storage tanks to the BP (Kwinana)
Refinery passed through a site owned by mining company Rio Tinto where
HIsmelt® technology is used to produce basic pig iron products. The pipeline
was not within an easement and in 2004 permission to use the pipeline for
transporting ULO from the storage tanks to the refinery was withdrawn. In
2004 Western Power constructed a replacement pipeline but refused
permission for Wren Oil to use the pipeline.
Exports therefore ceased not because it became uneconomic to export FOC or
because of changes to regulations that limited exports, but because access to
part of the required export infrastructure was no longer available.
Following the withdrawal of permission to use the pipeline Wren Oil and BP
(Kwinana) spent considerable time investigating alternatives that would allow
exports to resume. For example, in 2005 BP (Kwinana) began investigating a
plan to upgrade a tank and a truck unloading gantry so that Wren Oil could
deliver direct into the BP (Kwinana) Refinery complex, but in about September
2006 decided not to proceed with the option. During this period used oil
began to accumulate. Although material was accumulating in storage at this
time, as initial indications were that BP (Kwinana) intended to ultimately re-
Current supply chain picture 33
establish exports it was not thought the accumulating material would be a long
term problem.
Ultimately BP (Kwinana) decided that it would not in fact resume purchases of
ULO to produce FOC for export. Unfortunately by the time BP (Kwinana)
made this decision existing storage facilities were approaching capacity.
Export market 2008 onwards
Exports of ULO from both Wren Oil and Nationwide Oil have resumed using
infrastructure owned by Shell. Current practice is to export product to Vitol in
Singapore. As noted earlier in the report, Vitol blend approximately 600,000
tonnes of material a month for use in power generation and bunker fuel
applications and so could easily absorb the entire flow of used oil generated in
Western Australia if required.
Since December 2007 substantial volumes of material have been exported to
Vitol. The volume of product exported is the residual after subtracting
mainland Western Australian sales and sales to Christmas Island. If domestic
sales or sales to Christmas Island fall, the amount exported will increase. If
domestic mainland sales or sales to Christmas Island increase, the amount of
time between export shipments to Vitol will be longer, but export shipments
will continue. As noted previously it is understood that the pricing formula for
shipments to Vitol involves applying a discount to the Singapore 180 cst
residual fuel oil spot price.
3.3.6 Used oil market summary
While difficult to establish hard estimates for virgin oil consumption in
Western Australia the actual level of consumption is thought to lie somewhere
between 59M litres and 65M litres. The range for used oil recovery rates
implied by these estimates is between 57 percent and 66 percent.
The waste generation maps produced (Figure 8 and Figure 9) show that the
local government areas that have a high level of mining activity or a high
concentration of light industrial activity are the areas where most of the used
oil collected is generated. It is difficult to define hard boundaries for the share
of used oil generated from different industries, but reasonable estimates appear
to be: between 37 and 41 percent for the mining sector; between 35 and 38
percent for the metropolitan industrial sector; between 18 and 20 percent for
the regional industrial sector; between 3 and 5 percent for the marine sector;
and approximately 2 percent for the local government sector.
Current supply chain picture 34
Figure 13 Sources of used oil in Western Australia
Mining (37 to 41 percent)
Metro industrial (35 to 38 percent)
Regional industrial (18 to 20 percent)
Marine (3 to 5 percent)
Local government (approx. 2 percent)
Note: Industrial includes the automotive sector. Actual shares represent midpoints of indicated range.
Data source: Based on Information provided by collection companies.
The final destination for used oil products today is somewhat different to that
which existed prior to the closure of the export infrastructure in 2004. Again it
is difficult to be precise in allocating the volumes of used oil to different
markets, but relative to the late 1990s there is a clear difference between the
amount of used oil destined for use in applications in mainland WA and the
amount sent to offshore markets.
In Figure 14 the label (H) is used to indicate the historical share and the label
(C) is used to indicate the current time period share. In the figure end use for
used oil collected is separated into four categories: water and waste, internal
use by recyclers, mainland WA markets, and non-mainland WA markets. As
can be seen in Figure 14, the key difference between the historical market
situation and the current market situation is the rise in the importance of the
non-mainland WA market and the corresponding fall in the importance of the
domestic mainland market. The relatively large range of values for the non-
mainland market reflects the flexible nature of export supply contracts.
Figure 14 illustrates an important feature of the market for used oil products
and also serves to highlight a critical risk area. The offshore market has been
an important historical market for used lube oil products and the importance
of this market is greater today. Any disruption to the ability of oil recycling
companies to ship product to non-mainland WA markets would therefore
cause a significant disruption to what is currently a well functioning and orderly
used oil collection system.
Current supply chain picture 35
Figure 14 Used oil final market destination
0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 70.0
Water and waste (H)
Water and waste (C)
Internal use (H)
Internal use (C)
Mainland markets (H)
Mainland markets (C)
Non-mainland WA (H)
Non-mainland WA (C)
Percent
Fall in mainland WA market share
Rise in non-mainlandmarketshare
Note: Approximate market shares only. The data and includes volumes sold to Austral Bricks which will cease at the
end of 2008.
Data source: Based on information provided during the consultation process.
Characteristics of the current operating environment 36
4 Characteristics of the current operating environment
This chapter describes, in general terms, the used oil collection process, the
current storage available, and the reprocessing technology used by the two
reprocessing companies.
4.1 Collection process and infrastructure
The key industries that generate used oil indicated that since collection
restarted with the collection levy in place, collections are generally working
well. Once on-site storage is full, generators of used oil report that they call
their service provider and the used oil is collected. In remote regions there is
in some cases an understandable delay in collections as collections can only
take place once the volume of material to be collected in the region reaches a
reasonable level. Regional locations are generally happy with such
arrangements. In the metropolitan region collections are generally very quick.
The key aggregation and refinery locations were identified in Figure 2 and
Figure 3.
4.1.1 Used oil collected from the private sector
Larger automotive chain stores and mining companies, generally speaking,
have more complete processes for ensuring used oil is not contaminated and
also generate a greater volume of used oil for collection. These companies are
therefore the most profitable companies to collect used oil from. They are also
the companies with the greatest capacity to put in place additional temporary
storage in the event of a disruption to collection services. As such, when
selecting a sample of companies to investigate current collection services it was
thought a selection of small independent firms spread across the metropolitan
region and in representative regional areas would be a sample of the least
profitable collection sites. If these least profitable locations report no
difficulties with collections it implies the entire collection system is working
well.
In 2007 the IAME surveyed member firms regarding the current state of used
oil storage at their premises. The survey responses were made available by
IAME for this project, and the firms that responded to the survey formed the
basis of the companies sampled. Additionally, contact details were provided
for IAME member firms in Albany, Kalgoorlie, and Narrogin and these firms
were also contacted for details on used oil collections. The companies sampled
were therefore largely from the automotive sector.
Characteristics of the current operating environment 37
All of the large operators contacted indicted that current collection services
were operating well and that there was no back log of uncollected product.
Small operators generally reported that collection services are currently
working well, but some operators did indicate that they were having some
trouble with collection of contaminated oily waste products.
Regarding the volume of used oil generated, business operators indicted that
volumes were generally either stable or increasing slightly. This has been
attributed to better economic times, which has allowed a greater proportion of
the population to service their cars, and a general increase in the number of
cars on the road. Mining industry volumes are largely a function of production
which is generally increasing.
Large car service operators have noticed a modest increase in the demand for
semi-synthetic or synthetic oils. Demand for such products is a function of the
requirements of car manufacturers.
The nature of the charge operators reported for collections varied slightly from
business to business but most reported a charge of 15 cents per litre plus a
minor administration fee. The collection charge was in general passed on to
consumers, although some operators indicated that they had absorbed the cost.
Some operators expressed frustration at the collection charge, especially in
light of the PSO levy on virgin oil products, which they thought was meant to
cover the cost of appropriate disposal of used oil.
Operators generally report having limited storage options should collections
suddenly stop. All small operators contacted indicated that they had no
capacity to cope should collections stop. Larger operators indicated that they
would purchase additional storage drums until collections started once more.
A small number of operators reported purchasing equipment such as heaters
or parts cleaning equipment that use oil as a fuel. Such equipment uses only a
very small fraction of the total waste oil generated at a given site.
In general, regional collections have also resumed and stockpiles are no longer
an issue. Some operators did however note that collections were contingent
on there being sufficient product in the region for the service provider to make
a trip and that this occurred approximately every 10 months or so.
An outline of some of the information collected from commercial operators is
provided in Table 9.
38
Ch
ara
cte
ristics o
f the
cu
rren
t op
era
ting
en
viro
nm
en
t
Table 9 Select details from automotive commercial operations that generate used oil
Company Purchased Oil
(L pa)
Storage
(L)
Used oil generated
(L pa)
On site storage
capacity
Collection
charge
Impact of
charges
Past volume
trends
Future volume
trends
Contingency
plan
Small metro 1,140 1,050 1,140 1,000l approx. $10/month Absorb Stable Stable None
Small metro 450 450 450 200l Drums confidential Pass on Stable Stable None
Small metro 4,800 3,300 4,800 200l Drums $450/200l Pass on Stable Stable None
Small metro 3,600 2,000 3,200 1,000l confidential Absorb Stable Stable None
Small metro 2,400 3,000 2,400 200l Drums .75c/l Pass on Stable Stable None
Small metro varies 600 3,600 500l 22c/l + admin charge Pass on Stable Stable None
Small metro 40,000 3,500 40,000 5,000l 15c/l Pass on Stable no comment None
Small metro 2,400 1,600 2,000 200l Drums 15c/l Pass on Stable Stable None
Small metro 12,000 2,500 12,000 1,000l 15c/l Pass on Stable Stable None
Small metro 7,200 8,150 7,200 450l confidential Pass on Stable Stable None
Small metro 3,600 2,000 3,600 2,000l 15c/l Pass on Increase Stable None
Small metro 4,000 1,000 4,000 200l Drums confidential Absorb Stable Stable None
Small metro 7,200 2,500 7,200 1,000l 15c/l Pass on Stable Stable None
Small metro 7,200 2,400 7,200 1,800l 15c/l Pass on Increase Increase None
Small metro 3,600 2,000 3,600 1,000l tank + drums 15c/l Pass on Stable Stable None
Small metro 1,200 1,500 1,200 1,000l tank + drums fixed fee + per litre Absorb Stable Stable None
Small metro 4,800 2,800 4,800 1,000l tank + drums 15c/l Pass on Stable Stable None
Small metro 1,800 1,000 1,800 200l Drums 15c/l Pass on no comment no comment None
Small regional 7,200 not sure 7,200 3,000l 19.5c/l Pass on Stable no comment None
Small regional 6,000 not sure 6,000 5,000l 18c/l Pass on Stable Stable None
Small regional 7,200 not sure 7,200 200l Drums confidential Pass on Stable Stable None
Small regional 21,600 not sure 21,600 10,000l 1c/l Pass on Stable Stable None
Small regional 4,800 not sure 4,800 1,400l confidential Pass on Increase Stable None
Small regional 9,000 not sure 9,000 5,000l confidential Pass on Stable Stable None
Large metro 300,000 21,600 300,000 28,800l confidential Pass on Increase Increase Drums
Large metro 12,000 18,000 24,000 2,200l $7,200pa Pass on Increase Increase Drums
Characteristics of the current operating environment 39
4.1.2 Local government sector collections
The Western Australian Local Government Association (WALGA) recently
surveyed member organisations regarding the current state of used oil
collection services. In total there were 55 responses to the survey, of which 34
percent were from organisations located in the metropolitan area. In some
cases the response was from the one of the cross LGA bodies, such as the East
metropolitan regional council, and in other cases the response was a joint
response from several LGAs. Multiple responses also appear to have been
received from some LGAs. Details for the organisations that returned
questionnaires are provided in Table 10.
Table 10 Respondents to the WALGA used oil survey
Respondent Respondent Respondent
City of Armadale Shire of East Pilbara City of Melville
Shire of Augusta-Margaret River East. Metro. Regional Council Shire of Menzies
Town of Bassendean Shire of Esperance Town of Mosman Park
City of Bayswater Shire of Exmouth Shire of Mt Marshall
City of Belmont City of Fremantle Shire of Mundaring
Shire of Boddington Shire of Goomalling Shire of Murray
Shire of Broome Shire of Halls Creek Shire of Northam
City of Bunbury Shire of Harvey Shire of Northampton
Bunbury-Harvey Reg. Council Shire of Irwin Shire of Plantagenet
Shire of Busselton Shire of Jerramungup Shire of Quairading
City of Canning City of Joondalup City of Rockingham
Shire of Capel Shire of Kalamunda Shire of Roebourne
Shire of Chittering City of Kalgoorlie-Boulder City of South Perth
City of Cockburn Shire of Koorda City of Stirling
Shire of Collie Shire of Kwinana City of Swan
Shire of Dalwallinu Shire of Laverton Shire of Trayning
Shire of Dandaragan Shire of Leonora Town of Vincent
Shire of Dardanup Shire of Manjimup City of Wanneroo
Shire of Donnybrook - Balingup City of Mandurah Shire of Wongan-Ballidu
Town of East Fremantle Shire of Meekatharra Shire of Wyalkatchem
Note: As some responses were a joint response from several LGAs the total number of respondents listed in the table
(60) is greater than the number of competed survey forms (55).
Data source: Pers. Comm. WALGA
Used oil collection service providers
In the survey, details were sought regarding the used oil collection service
provider for each LGA. As the sample is not complete it is necessary to
interpret the information with caution. Although, assuming the sample of
respondents is representative of the entire local government sector, it appears
Characteristics of the current operating environment 40
Wren Oil is the most significant player in terms of local government
collections. A summary of the responses to the question regarding the supplier
of used oil services to LGAs is shown in Table 11. Additional detail obtained
during interviews suggests that Wren Oil is the major service provider to Local
Government.
Table 11 Companies that collect oil from local government in WA
Company Number of respondents
using company
Percentage of respondents
using company
Wren Oil 37 67
Nationwide Oil 10 18
Unanswered 8 15
Note: The figure for Nationwide Oil includes one respondent that indicated TPI (the owner of Nationwide Oil) and one
respondent that indicated Environmental Recovery Services who use Nationwide Oil equipment.
Data source: Pers. Comm. WALGA
Collection frequency and satisfaction with service
The WALGA survey also sought information on the frequency of collections.
Used oil is collected every four to eight weeks for 13 percent of respondents,
every three to six months for 44 percent of respondents, yearly for five percent
of respondents, and as required for 22 percent of respondents. As 83 percent
of respondents indicated they were satisfied with the service provided, it seems
reasonable to suggest that frequency of service is generally appropriate12.
Table 12 Frequency of oil collection
Frequency Number of respondents Percentage of respondents
3 to 8 weeks 7 13
3 to 6 months 24 44
Yearly 3 5
As required 12 22
N/A or unknown 4 7
Unanswered 5 9
Data source: Pers. Comm. WALGA
Preferred supplier arrangements
Many local governments have indicated that they are dissatisfied with paying
the current 15¢ per litre charge for used oil collections. One possible strategy
in negotiating better terms for collections of used oil from the local
government sector is for WALGA to instigate a preferred supplier
12 Unfortunately, from the data provided it was not possible to disaggregate responses into
metropolitan and regional LGA groupings. It is however reasonable to assume that it is regional LGAs that face longer times between collections.
Characteristics of the current operating environment 41
arrangement across the sector. All but two respondents to the survey indicated
that they would be willing to participate in a preferred supplier type
arrangement.
As the thrust of a preferred supplier arrangement would be to lower the cost of
used oil collection services, it may seem surprising that not all respondents
indicated their willingness to participate. Further consultation revealed that
some LGAs have entered into contracts that last several years and so are not in
a position to join a preferred supplier arrangement in the immediate future.
Over the longer term, providing the paper work and administrative burden
requirement to participate in the scheme is low, and the savings substantial,
these LGAs would presumably join the scheme when their existing contracts
expired.
Used oil stock piles at LGAs
At the time the survey was conducted, five respondents indicated that they had
a backlog of used oil that required collection, and one respondent indicated in
the comments that although they did not have a stock pile at the moment a
build up of used oil was a regular occurrence.
A further interesting comment was made by one respondent that unless the
depositor paid a 25¢ per litre deposit they would not accept the used oil at the
depot. It is not clear from the information available, but the respondent is
presumably from a location where it is feasible to man and fence the material
receiving facility. One respondent indicated that the stock pile of used oil
awaiting collection was approximately 21,000 litres. From the information
collected it was not possible to determine if the existence of the stock pile was
because the LGA in question could not get the used oil collected, or was
because they were unwilling to pay to have the material collected.
In September 2008 the Shire of Merredin was not currently accepting used oil
from Shire residents at its facilities. The reason for not accepting material is
however not because the two oil storage locations in the Shire are full, but
because the Shire is currently unwilling to pay for used oil collections. Shire
policy regarding used oil is however under review.
Used oil storage capacity at LGAs
As the amount of used oil generated within different local government areas
varies substantially, the extant of storage capacity across the local government
sector also necessarily varies substantially. Details are shown in Table 13 for
storage capacity of the local governments that responded to the survey. It is
noted in SWB (2008, p. 18) that collection and storage facilities across the State
have improved as a result of the Transitional Grant funding programme.
Characteristics of the current operating environment 42
Table 13 Storage capacity
Storage capacity (litres) Number of respondents
Less than 3,000 9
3,000 to 5,999 19
6,000 to 11,999 12
12,000 plus 4
Unanswered 11
Data source: Pers. Comm. WALGA
Source of material
The oil collected from local government is either used oil brought to the depot
by residents, used oil generated internally by LGA activities, or in some cases
used oil brought to the depot by local industry. Approximate amounts of oil
collected annually from the general public, internally generated, and from
industry are presented in Table 14.
Table 14 Oil collected annually from the general public, internally generated, and industry
Oil Collected From the general public Internally generated From industry
Litres Number of LGAs Number of LGAs Number of LGAs
Less than 1,000 3 9 13
1,000 to 9,999 17 15 7
10,000 to 30,999 9 1 3
31,000 to 74,999 2 1 0
80,000 plus 4 0 0
Unanswered 22 30 31
Data source: Pers. Comm. WALGA
Other survey comments
A range of additional feedback was collected as part of the survey and some of
the points raised by respondents are detailed below.
Paying for a service is difficult for some LGAs that are already under financial
pressure. There were multiple suggestions regarding who should pay for the
service, including: the Commonwealth, the oil companies, and the PSO levy.
Regarding the level of service provision, a diverse range of comments were
made ranging from very positive comments through to other comments that
collections took place only with a substantial delay.
4.2 Storage and related infrastructure
Nationwide Oil have storage capacity in Welshpool (1ML) and Kalgoorlie
(2.5ML) and currently have only a very limited amount of used oil in storage.
Characteristics of the current operating environment 43
In addition to storage at their Picton site (2.3ML) Wren Oil currently lease
storage tanks in North Fremantle (Shell) and Kwinana (Verve Energy) and so
have access to additional storage facilities (22ML). Currently Wren Oil has
only a very small amount of used oil in storage across all of the facilities they
have access to.
In the case of both the Verve Energy storage tanks and the Shell storage tanks
these facilities will not be available to store used oil in the medium term. The
owners of these storage facilities expect that they will be able to use the storage
they currently provide for internal purposes within two years. The Shell
facilities are especially important as without the infrastructure provided by
Shell it would not be possible to export or sell burner fuel oil to the Christmas
Island Phosphate company.
As the storage facilities provided by Shell and Verve Energy will not be
available in the medium term, Wren Oil and Nationwide have committed to
building new storage and export infrastructure on a site located within the
Bunbury Port. As there is a strong economic incentive for the infrastructure to
be built, it is extremely probable that the planned infrastructure will be
complete and operational within two years, which includes the time required
for all regulatory approvals. Three 4,000 tonne storage tanks are to be built on
the Bunbury site. The total storage capacity available to Nationwide Oil and
Wren Oil will therefore for be approximately 20M litres. Based on the current
volumes of used oil that are generated in Western Australia storage capacity in
the future will be approximately 7-8 months worth of supply.
4.3 Reprocessing and technology
The current approach taken to reprocessing used oil by Wren Oil and
Nationwide Oil and the proposed future approach is outlined below.
4.3.1 Current approach to reprocessing used oil
Current practice at Nationwide is to reprocess used oil using a dehydration
type approach. A stylised representation of the approach used is presented in
Figure 15.
Characteristics of the current operating environment 44
Figure 15 Stylised representation of Nationwide used oil reprocessing approach
Untreated used oil storage
Waste water for treatment
De-watered and filtered oil storage
Low grade burner fuel (90-95 percent)
Light fuel for internal use (5-10 percent)
De-water and filter process
Water vapour
Gas vapour
Distillation process
Used oil arrives
Current practice at Wren Oil is to reprocess used oil using a Thin Film
Evaporation Refinery approach. A stylised representation of the approach
used by Wren Oil is shown below in Figure 16. It is worth noting with respect
to future possible market developments that the Thin Film Evaporation
approach used by Wren Oil can produce the feedstock for a Hydrotreatment
lube-to-lube re-refining plant.
Characteristics of the current operating environment 45
Figure 16 Stylised representation of Wren Oil used oil reprocessing approach
Used Oil Composition
Used oil arrives
Filters
Storage tanks
Primary process dehydration and centrifuge
Sludge for class II disposal
Filtered oil to brick works, kilns
Fuel oil storage
Processed oil for TFE
Waste water for treatment Front End Distillation
Skid
Gas oil Diesel
TFE Distillation Skid
Heavy bottoms
Light lube cut
Heavy lube cut
Gas oil and diesel fuel for internal use
High grade burner oil
Bottoms
Oil
Distillate
Light Ends
Water
Gas Oil
FRONT
END
TFE
5- 10%
<5%
2%
10-20%
70-80%
10-20%
DB50 Burner Oil/ FOC
4.3.2 Future approach to reprocessing used oil
Substantial progress has been made by Wren Oil and Nationwide on a Joint
Venture agreement. Should the agreement be formalised, and there is every
reason to believe that an agreement will be formalised in the very near term,
the volume of used oil collected by the Joint Venture would be sufficient to
support the establishment of a lube-to-lube recycling plant in Western
Australia.
Provided the PSO payment remains at the current level of 50 cents per litre,
both Joint Venture partners have indicated that they are committed to the
establishment of a lube-to-lube recycling plant in Western Australia. The first
priority regarding the construction of new infrastructure for the Joint Venture
is the installation of new storage tanks at the Bunbury Port site and
construction of pumping and pipeline infrastructure to allow the loading of
burner fuel oil on to tankers.
The construction of a lube-to-lube plant on the existing Wren Oil Picton site is
the next proposed activity. Wren Oil has identified an appropriate area for
construction of a lube-to-lube plant within their existing Picton footprint.
Characteristics of the current operating environment 46
Nationwide, as operator of a hydrogenation lube-to-lube facility in NSW, has
experience with the operation of lube-to-lube facilities.
Nationwide have indicated that the re-refined base lubricating oil currently
produced at the existing plant in NSW has no trouble meeting the required
technical specifications for base lubricating oil. Re-refined base lubricating oil
produced in Western Australia would be predominantly exported via the
Bunbury port infrastructure.
For a lube-to-lube plant to be operational in Western Australia within 2-4 years
requires both the economics to stack up and that the Joint Venture operate
smoothly.
For the economics to stack up requires the return on the additional capital
invested to be greater than the return available from continuing to supply
burner fuel oil products.
Both Wren Oil and Nationwide have indicated that they expect to complete
negotiations over the Joint Venture during 2008. Notwithstanding the
intentions of the parties and their existing close collaboration to service
offshore markets, it is worth commenting on some of the detail that requires
negotiation and agreement in any joint venture arrangement. This serves to
highlight the range of points where agreement must be reached, and illustrates
why such negotiations can be lengthy. It could be noted that a substantial
investment of time at the initial stages of a Joint Venture means that
disagreements later in the process are less likely.
General legal and establishment considerations of joint venture
For any joint venture there are General Legal considerations such as the legal
name of the venture, business registration, name of the venture partners etc.,
that must be met. If one of the joint venture partners is likely to seek grants or
other assistance from government agencies then there may be further specific
general legal requirements.
The Reason for establishing the joint venture needs to be clearly set out and
agreed by both parties in the agreement. Additionally, the overall Objectives of
the joint venture and the Terms and Scope of the operation must be articulated.
The Roles, Responsibilities, and Obligations of each party to the agreement need to
be set out in detail. And while it is hoped that the joint venture operates
smoothly, the consequences of failing to meet the obligations and
responsibilities, including the Grounds for Termination of the agreement, and the
processes to be used for Dispute and Conflict resolution must also be clearly spelt
out at the outset.
Characteristics of the current operating environment 47
The role of the Board, including: authority, voting power, process for replacing
directors etc., needs to be set out. The Management Structure, including the
extent of managers’ authority must be defined, and the general Reporting
requirements for management to the board and the venture partners must be
established.
Financial specific considerations for a joint venture
Both the Percentage Interest and the details of the Contributions to the joint venture
must be documented. In addition to the assets contributed, the ownership of
the assets, details for disposal and transfer of the assets and how the assets are
to be used and maintained needs to be specified.
The time required to complete such a task should not be underestimated.
Wren Oil and Nationwide are proposing to combine the assets of existing
operations. So that the percentage interest in the ownership of the Joint
Venture can be worked out, it is therefore necessary to undertake a
comprehensive valuation exercise of the assets of both operations. As the
respective company assets are spread all over the State, such an exercise is an
onerous undertaking. It is further complicated in that it is also necessary for a
valuer to assess each specific vehicle that is part of a currently operating
collection fleet.
The Establishment Cost of the joint venture and how each venturer is to
contribute to these costs must be determined.
Regarding Equity contributions, not only do the required initial amounts need
to be established, but the process for how/whether additional equity can be
brought in to the venture must be agreed. The framework setting out how
equity can be transferred between partners and possible new partners, and the
restrictions placed on transfers must also be established.
The required Return on Capital contributions should be established at the outset.
How the On-going Costs of the venture are to be allocated to the venture
partners must be specified in the agreement. The allocation of Profits and Losses
must also be determined.
Summary comments
Although the detail that must be specified in a Joint Venture agreement is
substantial, the long-term viability and operational success of any venture
requires an investment in a comprehensive agreement document. Without
underestimating the time required for such an undertaking, it should be noted
that joint venture agreements are common and that a variety of essentially off-
the-shelf standard low cost joint venture agreement products exist.
Characteristics of the current operating environment 48
4.4 Institutional and legal controls
4.4.1 Waste and Resource Recovery Act
If current arrangements (or extensions to current arrangements) fall short of
achieving the desired standard of management for used oil in Western
Australia, the Waste Avoidance and Resource Recovery Act 2007 (WARR Act)
provides head powers for a unilateral response to improve the management of
used oil in Western Australia, particularly through the making of regulations as
allowed by Schedule 3 of the WARR Act. Details in relation to the matters in
respect of which regulations may be made are shown in Box 1.
Box 1 Matters in respect of which regulations may be made
Division 1 — General
1. Providing for the form and content of any notice.
2. Providing for the keeping, inspection and production of reports, records, returns,
registers and other information.
3. Providing for the imposition of fees and charges.
4. Providing for the recovery of expenses incurred by the CEO or a local government.
5. Prescribing offences under the regulations and penalties for the commission of
those offences not exceeding $10 000, with or without a daily penalty of not more
than $1 000.
6. Providing for review by the State Administrative Tribunal of decisions made under
the regulations.
Division 2 — Waste collection and facilities
7. Regulating the operation of waste facilities, and the treatment, storage, processing,
recycling or disposal of waste at waste facilities.
8. Regulating the use of receptacles for waste.
9. Regulating waste services.
10. Regulating the transportation of waste.
11. Regulating the creation, collection, storage, handling, processing, recycling and
disposal of waste.
12. Providing for waste collection permits.
13. Regulating the issue by local governments of approvals to collect local
government waste.
14. Providing for the provision of information relating to the operation of waste
facilities and the transportation of waste.
15. Prohibiting the disposal to landfill or other waste facilities of specified waste or
classes of waste (including any products that are or have been included in an
Characteristics of the current operating environment 49
extended producer responsibility scheme).
Division 3 — Product stewardship
16. Making provision in relation to assisting in the negotiation of, and assessing the
implementation and operation of, product stewardship plans.
17. Regulating the implementation, operation and enforcement of extended
producer responsibility schemes.
18. Without limiting the Interpretation Act 1984 section 43(8)(d), exempting persons or
products, or classes of person or product, from all or any of the provisions of the
regulations applying to extended producer responsibility schemes, and specifying
circumstances in which and conditions subject to which an exemption applies.
19. Without limiting item 17, requiring a person who manufactures, distributes or sells a
product to do all or any of the following —
(a) provide consumer information on the use and disposal of the product and its by-
products;
(b) operate collection facilities for the product and its by-products;
(c) collect or accept the product and its by-products for disposal from a consumer of
the product;
(d) dispose of the product in accordance with the regulations.
20. Without limiting item 17, prescribing products for which a fee, deposit or bond for
the collection, recycling or disposal of the product must be paid and —
(a) regulating the collection of the fee, deposit or bond; and
(b) regulating the circumstances in which the fee, deposit or bond and a refund of
the fee, deposit or bond will apply; and
(c) providing for the amount of the fee, deposit or bond or refund; and
(d) providing for the time at which the fee, deposit, bond or refund must be paid.
21. Concerning the control and management of fees, deposits or bonds paid under
the regulations including —
(a) requiring the person who collects the fee, deposit or bond to forward the fee,
deposit or bond to a person specified in the regulations; and
(b) making provision as to who is empowered to hold the fee, deposit or bond and
where the fee, deposit or bond must be held; and
(c) providing for the application of the fee, deposit or bond and interest from the fee,
deposit or bond.
22. Providing for the establishment of, and regulating the operation of, collection
facilities for products and their by-products.
23. Requiring a producer of a product to formulate and implement a management
plan with respect to the product, specifying the matters to be dealt with in the
management plan, providing for approval of the management plan and requiring
compliance with the management plan.
24. Providing for proof of payment of fees, deposits or bonds under the regulations
Characteristics of the current operating environment 50
and its evidential status.
Data source: Waste Avoidance and Resource Recovery Act 2007
As can be seen, the range of areas in which regulations could be made are
extensive, can be applied at the collection point or to the recycler, and could
include such matters as: notification relating to storage capacity through time;
requiring recyclers to have available at any point in time a certain storage
capacity margin; and the establishment of appropriate fees and charges as
required, where the concept of a bond would not appear to be excluded.
For a number of reasons, a cautious approach to setting regulation is, however,
warranted. First, regulation can be costly to administer and costly to comply
with for business. Second, it is possible for regulation that is not well thought
out and discussed with industry to have unintended consequences. Third,
unilateral action by any one Australian jurisdiction can be open to challenge
due to issues associated with Australian law and policies. Examples of laws
and policies that need to be considered include the Commonwealth of Australian
Constitution Act (especially section 92), the Mutual Recognition Act 1992, the Trade
Practices Act 1974 and National Competition Policy.
The unencumbered flow of goods and services between Australian
jurisdictions is an area previously highlighted by stakeholders and government
as an important consideration. Any new unilateral measure needs to be formed
in such a way as to be compatible with Australian legislation and policies that
relate to unencumbered inter-jurisdictional trade.
4.4.2 Emissions controls
It is notable that the current remaining substantial domestic users of recycled
fuel oil product are located in areas that are currently sparsely populated, and
that these areas are likely to remain sparely populated into the future.
Standards for emissions do however vary across the world and the emission
standards that apply across the European Union are of particular interest. The
Waste Incineration Directive (WID) agreed by the European Parliament and the
Council of the European Union in 2000 set new standards for the incineration
of waste that gradually came into force. Used oil based burner fuels are
covered by the directive.
The purpose of the directive is noted in DEFRA (2008, p. 5) as limiting the
environmental impact and human health risk associated with the incineration
of waste. The directive came into full force in the UK in January 2006. As a
practical matter the directive reduced the number of compliant large users of
recycled oil based burner fuel to only those operations, such as cement and
lime kilns, where operating temperatures are very high. Other historical large
users of recycled fuel oil in the UK, such as power stations and the like, would
Characteristics of the current operating environment 51
need to retrofit plant with emissions abatement technology if they wished to
continue to use recycled fuel oil.
The market demand curve for a product is found as the horizontal sum of the
individual firm demand curves. As such, a reduction in the number of
individual firms with a demand for a product results in a fall in the industry
demand curve. Holding everything else constant, a fall in the market demand
curve will result in a fall in the market price of the good. The extent of the fall
depends on the slope of the supply curve, the slope of the demand curve, and
the reduction in the number of individual firms that demand the good.
Markets, it should be noted, are dynamic and constantly evolving. In relation
to the WID, the view expressed in ODH (2003, p. 32) is worth noting as it
appears to have very accurately predicted the future developments that took
place in the UK.
New regulations can lead to unintended consequences as businesses find ways of
delaying or defeating the objectives sought by the regulators. In the case of WID it is
likely that those benefiting from the existing market for the use of waste oil as a fuel
substitute will give considerable thought to how to preserve the status quo. It may be
possible for example to treat waste oil in such a way that it could be considered to be
a product and not a waste. A simple atmospheric distillation process may be sufficient
to achieve this transformation, possibly something even simpler such as neutralisation
with other physical/chemical treatments. Such elegant solutions may make
commercial sense yet could be frustrated by legal objections.
In response to the WID the UK based OSS Group developed a product they
refer to as Clean Fuel Oil (CFO) that is produced to British Standard BS 2869;
2006 Fuel oils for agricultural, domestic and industrial engines and boilers. As such, the
OSS Group put forward the case that CFO was not a waste but a specified
product. The UK Environmental Agency initially disagreed that CFO was a
product, and in 2007 the Court of Appeal -- OSS Group Ltd v Environment
Agency -- considered the question of whether or not used lube oil can be
transformed so that it is no longer a waste but a product. The court found
that:
…it should be enough that the holder has converted the waste material into a distinct,
marketable product, which can be used in exactly the same way as an ordinary fuel,
and with no worse environmental effects…
As such, the UK Court of Appeal has set a clear principle regarding what is
required before used lube oil ceases to be a waste and becomes a specified
product. Since the ruling considerable effort has been invested in establishing
a Quality Protocol for burner fuel derived from used lube oil. As of November
2008 discussion was proceeding between industry and the UK Environmental
Authority by way of a Technical Advisory Group to establish the specific
details of the Protocol. The approach taken, as outlined in Regulation of Waste
Characteristics of the current operating environment 52
Oil: Interim Arrangements 1 August, has been to specify the same standards
required of virgin heavy fuel oil products. The remaining area to be resolved
relates to the appropriate testing regime for the measurement of the Ash
content of the product13.
In the face of tighter emission controls it appears that the UK oil recycling
industry has been able to respond by applying new technology to the recycling
process to generate a product that is no longer a waste but legally recognized as
a new burner fuel product. The recognition of the burner fuel as a product
rather than a waste relies on the principle that the product be, in practical
terms, indistinguishable from the substitute virgin product. This being said, it
is possible the UK court decision could be challenged by other European
states, who are concerned with chlorine levels in used oil and the impact this
could have on dioxin emissions (see Part B report for further details on this
matter).
4.4.3 Export controls
Australia signed the Basel Convention on the Control of the Transboundary Movements
of Hazardous Waste and their Disposal (Convention) in 1989, and it came into
force in May 1992.
Under the terms of the Convention, Australia is required to:
− minimise the generation of hazardous waste
− ensure adequate disposal facilities are available
− control and reduce international movements of hazardous waste
− ensure environmentally sound management of wastes and
− prevent and punish illegal traffic14.
Paragraph 1(a) of Article 1 to the Convention defines waste to include those
items listed in Annex I to the Convention that additionally contain one of the
properties listed in Annex III to the Convention. Annex I includes:
• Waste mineral oils unfit for their originally intended use
• Waste oils/water, hydrocarbons/water mixtures, emulsions,
which meet the further test of also having a property from Annex III, the list
of Hazardous Characteristics, namely flammability.
13 Environment Agency website www.environment-
agency.gov.uk/business/444304/1765106/1765136/1782311/1862147/1862167/# [accessed 27 November 2008] and OSS Group website www.ossgroupltd.com/index.php [accessed 27 November 2008]
14 DEWHA website www.environment.gov.au/settlements/chemicals/hazardous-waste/conventions.html [accessed 6 November 2008]
Characteristics of the current operating environment 53
The legislation Australia operates under to meet the requirements of the
convention is the Hazardous Waste (Regulation of Exports and Imports) Act 1989.
The legislation defines hazardous waste to include anything classified as
hazardous waste under the Convention. As such, a lay reading of the
legislation would suggest used lube oil is defined as a hazardous waste.
As noted in ACG (2001), the intention of the Convention is that hazardous
wastes not be transported overseas, even for reprocessing where that
reprocessing takes place in a non-OECD country. While it is possible to apply
for a permit to export hazardous waste from Australia the process is long, and
there is considerable doubt as to whether an export permit would be granted.
To date it is understood that no permits have been granted to export used lube
oil from Western Australia.
So that an export permit is not required it is necessary to blend the used oil to
a specified fuel product standard before it is sold overseas. However, a lay
understanding of the attributes of the FOC previously exported by BP
(Kwinana) and the DB50 product currently exported by Wren Oil could lead
one to view these products as not especially dissimilar to used lube oil. As
such, regardless of the view taken about whether it is appropriate or not to
include used lube oil as a hazardous waste that should not be exported, it is
possible to imagine that current practice regarding exports may at some point
in the future be questioned.
With current recycling approaches and technology any restriction on the ability
export used lube oil derived burner fuel oil products would represent a
significant market disruption that would put the functioning of the current
collection system under considerable strain.
4.4.4 National Product Stewardship for Oil (PSO) programme
Oil sold in Australia is subject to the Product Stewardship (Oil) Act 2000. The
objective of the Act are:
(a) to develop a product stewardship arrangement for used oils; and
b) to ensure the environmentally sustainable management, re-refining and reuse of
used oil; and
(c) to support economic recycling options for used oil.
In broad terms the program operates with oil producers paying a 5.449¢ per
litre levy on oil and synthetic oil products and used oil recyclers receiving a per
litre benefit depending on the specific product they produce.
The full range of supporting legislative arrangements for the PSO are outlined
in PWC (2008, p. 18) and are:
• Product Stewardship (Oil) Act 2000
Characteristics of the current operating environment 54
• Product Stewardship (Oil) Regulations 2000
• Excise Tariff Amendment (Product Stewardship for Waste Oil) Act 2000
• Customs Tariff Amendment (Product Stewardship for Waste Oil) Act 2000 and
associated regulations
• Product Stewardship (Oil) (Consequential Amendments) Act 2000
• Product Grants and Benefits Administration Act 2000
• Appropriation (Supplementary Measures) Act (No. 2) 1999.
Benefit rates
The value of the benefit received by used oil recyclers depends on the type of
product produced. Details on the specific benefit payments by product type
are shown in Table 15. Almost all the used oil collected in Western Australia is
ultimately sold as a product eligible for the low grade industrial burner fuel
benefit payment.
Table 15 Benefit payment rates
Category Benefit ¢ per L
Re-refined base oil (for use as lubricant, hydraulic, transformer oil) 50
Other re-refined base-oils 10
Fuel standard compliant diesel fuels 7
Diesel fuel extender (filtered, de-watered and de-mineralised) 5
High grade industrial burning oil (filtered, de-watered and de-mineralised) 5
Low grade industrial burning oil (filtered and de-watered) 3
Data source: www.oilrecycling.gov.au/benefits.html [accessed 21 October 2008]
Sustainability of the PSO
As can be seen by considering the benefit payment rates in Table 15, as the
proportion of used lube oil that is re-refined into base lube oil increases, the
financial viability of the PSO system comes under threat. To illustrate the
potential problem Table 16 shows indicative details for the volume of money
collected under the scheme and the amount that would be required to be paid
out if TPI proceed with all planned lube-to-lube plants, including the proposed
joint venture in Western Australia with Wren Oil. The figures in the table are
indicative only, but are robust enough to show that the PSO scheme is not
sustainable with even a modest increase in the volume of re-refined base oil
produced in Australia.
Characteristics of the current operating environment 55
Table 16 Indicative implications of expansion of lube-to-lube refining
Details 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
($M) ($M) ($M) ($M) ($M) ($M)
Indicative PSO Levies Collected 25+ 25+ 27.5 29 30.5 32
Less
Indicative Current PSO payments 20 18 16 14 12 12
NSW Hydro lube-to-lube 0 13.5 18 18 18 18
Vic. Hydro lube-to-lube 0 0 13.5 18 18 18
Qld Hydro lube-to-lube 0 0 0 13.5 18 18
WA Hydro lube-to-lube 0 0 0 0 13.5 18
Balance 5 -6.5 -20 -34.5 -49 -52
Data source: PWC (2008) and Pers. Comm. Gary Watson.
Future of the PSO
The Product Stewardship (Oil) Act 2000 requires the Department of the
Environment, Heritage and the Arts (DEWHA) to review the operation of the
Act every four years. PriceWaterhouseCoopers (PwC) are currently
undertaking the second review of the Act. The objectives of the review are
reproduced in Box 2, and as shown, the sustainability of the system is
something that will be addressed as part of the review.
Box 2 Objectives of the PSO review
The legislative review of the Act will determine the following:
• The effectiveness and appropriateness [of] the Act, regulations made under the
Act, and associated provisions of customs and excise legislation, including an
assessment of:
– the adequacy, efficiency, and equity of the existing levy-benefit arrangements;
– the adequacy and appropriateness of existing benefit categories and rates
• Where the review identifies any deficiencies in the operation of the Act, the review
will identify:
– feasible alternatives to the current legislative provisions, including:
-- more appropriate categories and definitions, and
-- the level(s) at which the levy and benefit payments could be
appropriately set
– the different stakeholders likely to be affected, and how they may be affected
by the alternatives
– analyse, and as far as practicable, quantify the benefits, costs and overall
effects of the alternatives
– recommend a preferred course of action.
Data source: PwC (2008, pp. 81-2)
Submissions to the review can be provided up until Friday November 7th.
Characteristics of the current operating environment 56
4.4.5 Transitional funding programme
Between July 2000 and June 2007 an oil recycling transitional funding
programme was in operation. Total funding for the programme was $34.5M
and the objectives for the programme were as follows:
− ensure a sustainable used oil recycling industry
− accelerate the uptake of used oil from urban and rural Australia
− facilitate industry and community involvement to achieve the objectives
of the PSO, and
− to the extent possible, address special difficulties that remote Australia
has in the recovery and management of used oil for recycling15.
In the 2005-06 round of funding two WA projects were funded. Specifically,
funding of:
− $400,000 was provided to a project investigating using used oil residue
product in road bitumen (Wren Oil involved in project). This project
has been delayed for a number of reasons, particularly related to gaining
Part V licence approvals for the bitumen blowing plant. Whilst these
approvals have been granted, they have imposed a higher cost on the
project than originally anticipated. The project partners are currently
assessing how and when to proceed with this study.
− $70,000 for a project to develop the infrastructure needed for the
collection of marine oil in the Abrolhos Islands (WA Department of
Fisheries).
In the 2006-07 round of funding one WA project was funded. Specifically, the
Shire of Mundaring received a grant of $7,700 so that it could install a waste oil
collection unit at a Shire transfer station.
15 Objectives reproduced from www.oilrecycling.gov.au/assistance.html [accessed 1 September
2008].
Future possible operating environment developments 57
5 Future possible operating environment developments
This section discusses possible changes to the future operating environment
including the probability of the change occurring, the timeframe involved, any
barriers to the change taking place, and the impact of the change.
5.1 Local government joint tender
WALGA have called for tender responses for the provision of used oil
collection services to all of local government so this no longer represents a
possibility but a reality. Wren Oil is the major collector of used oil from the
local government sector and so is the operator that would be most impacted by
the loss of used oil collected from the sector if a third party was to be awarded
the contract. The local government sector as a whole is however only a
relatively minor source of used oil. Although the tender process is not
complete, the intent is that on average local government will pay less for used
oil collection services in the future.
5.2 Loss of key storage infrastructure
Within two to three years 22M litres of storage infrastructure currently leased
from Verve Energy and Shell is not likely to be available. Both Shell and
Verve Energy have indicated that they are not in the business of providing
used oil storage facilities long term and that their preference is for used oil not
to be stored in the tanks they currently lease for this purpose. In the case of
Shell, access to storage was provided on the explicit understanding that storage
would be required only on a temporary basis. In the case of Verve Energy,
terms are such that Verve must provide only three months notice before the
storage is withdrawn.
The minimum economic size for the transport of fuel oil products to
Singapore and Christmas Island is in the order of three to four million litres
per load. To service these markets it is therefore necessary to have access to
substantial storage infrastructure. It is also necessary to have access to
equipment to pump the burner fuel oil onto a tanker. Should access to storage
tanks and pumping equipment be withdrawn prior to the installation of new
infrastructure in Bunbury, regular used oil collection services may be
jeopardised.
The used oil collection companies and the current providers of storage have
open lines of communication and the most probable outcome is an orderly
Future possible operating environment developments 58
transition from the current arrangements to one where used oil is largely stored
in appropriate tanks and exported from a site within the Port of Bunbury.
5.3 Development of new export infrastructure at
Bunbury Port
Notwithstanding some radical unforeseen circumstance, new storage and
export infrastructure at Bunbury Port is expected to be operational within one
to two years. An appropriate site has been identified within the land identified
for development in the Bunbury Port Master plan, and negotiations regarding
terms for a lease are progressing.
There is a strong economic case for the development of export infrastructure
at Bunbury. As it is in the economic interest of the providers of used oil
collection services to develop new infrastructure at the Bunbury Port it is
difficult to foresee the circumstances that would cause the infrastructure to be
not built.
It can also be noted that the provision of storage by Shell was conditional on
Shell management being satisfied that the storage provided would not be
required long term. The used oil collection companies must therefore have
been able to present Shell management with a plausible plan to develop
alternative storage and export infrastructure.
The development of the infrastructure will improve the economics of used oil
recycling in Western Australia and also mean that access to infrastructure for
servicing non-mainland WA markets is secure. The overall security of the used
oil collection service in Western Australia will be significantly enhanced by this
development.
Further, the development of an ability to export is a precondition for the
development of a lube-to-lube reprocessing plant in Western Australia.
5.3.1 Emissions trading
Details on the emissions intensity of used oil based burner fuels are not
available. Details are however available for refinery fuel oil used in stationary
energy generation and these figures represent a good approximation to the
emissions footprint of used oil derived burner fuel. Details are shown in
Figure 17 for the CO2 emissions from different fuel sources per GJ of energy.
As can be seen from the figure the level of emissions per unit of energy is
higher for fuel oil than for natural gas, but not dramatically so.
Future possible operating environment developments 59
Figure 17 Fuel combustion CO2-e per GJ for select fuel source
93.1
69.2
60.7
69.0
69.5
73.1
59.9
0 20 40 60 80 100
Black Coal (electricity WA)
Crude Oil
Natural Gas Liquids
Heating Oil
Automotive Diesel
Fuel Oil
Liquid Petrolem Gas
Kilograms of emmisions per GJ of energy
Data source: DoCG (2008) National Greenhouse Accounts (NGA) Factors
The actual impact this would have on relative prices depends on the actual per
tonne carbon permit price, but it does suggest that once a price is established
for emissions there will be a small change in relative prices that favours natural
gas over fuel oil.
5.4 Competing products
The international market for burner fuel oil is well established and deep. The
price of heavy refined burner fuel is highly positively correlated with the price
of virgin crude oil. While the calorific content and other technical properties
of used oil based burner fuel is similar to that of virgin oil burner fuels, current
practice is for products such as DB50 to be sold at a discount to the prevailing
refined burner fuel oil spot price.
The price for natural gas paid by large industrial customers in Western
Australia is typically set via long term contracts. Historically the price of
natural gas in Western Australia has been substantially lower than the
international price, but this is something that has changed recently and prices
are moving closer to the international price.
5.4.1 Western Australian natural gas market supply
Historically large industrial users of gas located in Western Australia have been
able to secure supply for prices between $2.60 and $3.70 per gigajoule. Over
the last 18 months the Western Australian market has witnessed some high
priced domestic gas contracts being written relative to historical price levels.
These contracts were for relatively small volumes and short terms to mining
Future possible operating environment developments 60
customers which faced liquid fuel alternatives and as such, cannot be
considered to be a good indicator of prices to long term major users.16
ACIL Tasman’s view of the potential range for future ex-field prices has
however widened considerably over the last 12 months. We now see the
potential range of ex-fields prices extending from around $4/GJ at the low
end, up to as high as $10/GJ.
We see there being five main drivers for wholesale gas prices going forward:
• Upstream developments and level of supply competition
• Cost factors influencing upstream developments
• Export parity linkages
• Demand competition
• Potential for government intervention.
Upstream developments
The timing and development of new sources of supply will be a key driver for
growth in gas consumption and pricing dynamics. Large developments such as
Gorgon and Wheatstone require significant volumes to underpin project
viability. The need to secure volumes for such projects has the potential to
reverse the recent upward price trends in gas prices. The Gorgon project,
which has faced multi-billion dollar capital cost blowouts17, has expanded in
planned size by 50 percent since initial planning in part to offset the massive
capital cost.
To the extent that domestic gas prices have risen, and continue to rise, it opens
up opportunities for other sources of supply currently considered not
economically viable. ACIL Tasman expects to see a significant supply-side
response should price levels rise considerably. Sources such as deep tight
Perth Basin resources, Whitcher Range, the Canning Basin and even coal seam
methane all become possible development options for suppliers if prices rise
substantially18.
16 The impact of the Apache Energy gas disruption is considered a transitory event and so is
not considered as part of the analysis of gas prices.
17 The original construction cost estimate in 2003 was $11B and is now thought to be closer to $30B.
18 In June 2008 Alcoa and Latent Petroleum announced a joint venture to develop the Warra tight gas field in the Mid West.
Future possible operating environment developments 61
Export parity linkages
For a number of the supply sources in WA, directing gas into LNG
manufacture is not an option. For example, there is presently no means by
which gas from John Brookes or Perth Basin can access the international LNG
market. For these sources, despite the assertions to the contrary by producers,
LNG is not an alternative use, and so the international LNG price is not an
appropriate benchmark for pricing.
Two developments could potentially change this situation:
• If the viability of small-scale liquefaction technology was proven to be
successful (a number of proposals have emerged – including four proposals
for plants in Gladstone based on coal seam gas). This would potentially
unlock fields which are currently too small to service world-scale LNG
facilities – not just in WA, but right across the globe. While this may
increase exposure to global prices for small fields, the increase in LNG
supply sources world-wide may place downward pressure on LNG prices.
• Whether Woodside proceeds with plans to develop a second Pluto train
with the intention of creating a tolling facility for surrounding fields.
Again, this would create a path to export markets for producers who
currently appear to be constrained to domestic gas sales. Fields which
provide suitable candidates for LNG tolling include Chevron’s
Wheatstone19 and Santos/Apache’s Julimar/Brunelo fields.
Demand competition
Western Australian and East coast domestic gas prices have historically
demonstrated a significant level of price divergence, depending on market
sector, load characteristics, customer’s capacity to pay, and alternative energy
options.
As a result of the commodity cycle and resultant mining boom in Western
Australia, there is an unprecedented level of demand for energy associated with
mining projects. However, a one-step move to prices of $10/GJ both in the
market and politically, would be hard to sustain. It is therefore more probable
that a move toward this level (and perhaps even higher) will occur in a series of
steps over the next five to ten years, particularly if substantial new domestic gas
sources are slow to emerge. Just how far prices rise, and how quickly, will
depend on a range of factors: what happens with oil prices (and therefore to a
large extent LNG prices), how the prospects for new domestic gas supply
develop (including Gorgon and Pluto), what directions environmental policy
takes, and so forth.
19 ACIL Tasman notes that recent media releases by Chevron indicate plans to construct a
wholly owned LNG development based on the Wheatstone field.
Future possible operating environment developments 62
Government intervention/environmental policy
Clearly a push for higher gas prices across the board is likely to result in a low
uptake of gas for power generation, and a consequent return to coal as the fuel
of choice for base and intermediate load power generation. Burner fuel oil will
necessarily also look more attractive as a fuel source, although the view of
recyclers is that regional power stations are unlikely to return to using burner
fuel oil.
An outcome that sees a major reversion to coal for power generation following
the introduction of emissions trading would be politically difficult and there
may well be a push to intervene to restrict new coal entry. If this happens, and
if gas prices are allowed to move toward the next available fuel/technology
alternative for base load generation (liquid petroleum fuels) there will be a level
of increase in electricity prices that is likely to be politically unacceptable.
Gas price summary
There is much uncertainty surrounding the future price of gas in Western
Australia for large industrial users. It is relatively certain that long term
contract prices will no longer be struck at rates approaching $2 a gigajoule, and
also relatively certain that many long term contracts will be struck at rates
substantially less than $10 a gigajoule, however, exactly where between these
two levels is unclear.
5.4.2 Crude oil market
Natural gas is one key substitute product, virgin residual fuel oil is another. As
the price of residual fuel oil is directly related to the price of crude oil, and the
price of used lube oil burner fuel sold offshore is directly related to the price of
residual fuel oil, the long term price path for crude oil also informs on the long
term price path for used lube oil burner fuel type products. Forecasting short
term movements in the price of oil is not likely to be an especially productive
exercise. Insights can however be gained by considering some long term
official forecasts and discussing the underlying drivers of oil prices and the
assumptions that support the official forecasts.
Perhaps a natural starting point for discussion is to recall the experience
following the oil price spike experienced in the 1970s. Following a period of
stable low oil prices throughout the 1950 and 1960s the price of oil rose
substantially during the 1970s, much the same way, and to the same level in
real terms, as it has risen over the past five years. Following the oil price
increase in the 1970s the price of oil then fell throughout the 1980s and
remained low throughout the 1990s. History therefore suggests that it would
be reasonable to expect lower oil prices going forward.
Future possible operating environment developments 63
Using year 2000 constant US dollars, the US Energy Information
Administration (EIA) and the International Energy Agency (IEA) both
forecast the real price of a barrel of oil to move within a band of between $40
and $50 a barrel out to 2030. Official forecasts would therefore seem to
support the view that longer term, the price of oil should be substantially lower
than the average price experienced during 2008, but will not be as low as that
observed during the 1990s.
Kaufman, et al., (2008) have however suggested that the assumptions that
support the EIA and IEA forecasts for the reference case understate the
potential for prices to remain high. The specific assumptions they challenge
relate to:
• Possibly gains in production in non-OPEC countries
• Energy efficiency gains
• The internal stability of the OPEC cartel, and
• Whether alternative forms of energy will emerge to challenge oil.
The thrust of the arguments advanced, and supported with evidence, in
Kaufman, et al., (2008) are that the EIA and IEA have overestimated:
− the capacity of non-OPEC countries to expand output
− the prospects for alternative fuel sources, and
− the potential of energy efficiency gains,
while at the same time underestimated:
− demand growth, especially in Asia as the car fleet grows, and
− the ability of the OPEC cartel to remain disciplined.
The sharp slowdown in economic activity in the second half of 2008 and the
likely continued slower world growth in 2009 mean there is considerable
uncertainty about the oil price in the short term. Over the longer term world
economic growth will pick up again, and the issues Kaufman, et al. have raised
concerning the assumptions that underpin the official long run forecasts may
re-emerge. This suggest that additional to the reference case it is worth
considering what the upper bound official estimates for the world oil price
look like.
Figure 18 provides details on the EIA nominal US dollar estimates of the
world oil price. In the figure the solid blue line represents the realised annual
average world oil price. The dashed blue line starts in 2009 and plots the EIA
reference case forecast for the price of a barrel of oil. As can be seen in the
figure, under the reference case assumptions the nominal price of oil falls
substantially over the next five years before once more starting an upward
Future possible operating environment developments 64
climb. Under the reference case assumptions the nominal price of a barrel of
oil in US dollars in 2030 is $113.
Figure 18 EIA forecasts for the world oil price in nominal dollars
69
186
171
113
0
40
80
120
160
200
19
80
19
90
20
00
20
10
20
20
20
30
$US per barrelUpper estimate
Inflation price trend
Lower estimateActual price history
Reference estimate
Data source: EIA (2008) International Energy Outlook 2008
Nominal dollar prices will however rise with inflation, and over long periods of
time the inflation effect can be substantial. To assist with making comparisons
between real and nominal dollars the green dashed line plots a reasonable
nominal price path such that the price of oil stays at around the average 2008
price level in real terms. For the 2030 US dollar price of oil to be at a level
comparable to the 2008 price in real terms, a barrel of oil would need to cost
around $171. The reference case therefore assumes that the real price of oil in
2030 will be substantially less than the 2008 average price.
As with the other estimates, the upper bound price series estimates see prices
falling over the next few years before starting to rise once more. In broad
terms the upper estimates for the price of oil foreshadows real prices returning
to the average 2008 price by around 2020 and then moving slightly higher.
The arguments of Kaufman, et al., (2008) suggest prices between the reference
case estimates and the upper bound estimates.
The lower bound estimate is worth including in the projection plots as it
provides an indication of just how uncertain forecasting oil prices over the
long-term is. The EIA range of estimates for the price of a barrel of oil in
nominal US dollars in 2030 is $186 - $69 = $117.
Future possible operating environment developments 65
Crude oil price summary
Price movements for crude oil, residual fuel oil, and used lube oil burner fuels
all move together. As such, by considering the prospects for the price of crude
oil it is possible to gain an understanding of the likely price path for products
such as DB50 and FOC, or even re-refined base lube oil. There is considerable
uncertainty about future oil prices but it seems unlikely that we will see a return
to the very low prices for fuel oil products observed during the 1980s and
1990s. A moderate to high world oil price, which is thought the most likely
scenario, is a positive indicator for those selling reprocessed used oil products.
5.5 Bitumen applications
In 2005-06 funding of $400,000 was provided from the used oil Transitional
Funding pool for a project to investigate using ULO in road bitumen.
Wren Oil and road maker RNR Contractors Pty Ltd of North Fremantle have
a project in Western Australia for the manufacture of valuable bitumen
substitutes from vacuum tower bottoms (VTB). The VTB is the used oil
residue that remains after entrained water, petrol, diesel and lubricating oil
fractions are distilled from used oil in Wren’s Thin Film Evaporator.
The Bitumen Blowing Process
The bitumen blowing process is an oxidation process that takes place when
controlled amounts of diffused air are blown through hot bitumen held at set
temperatures over specified periods of time. The air contact causes a reaction
in bitumen allowing acceptance of the VTB, and the manufacture of a new
product called Asphalt Rich Binder (ARB).
Pilot trials
Progress on the project has not been as fast as initially hoped. In August 2006
a pilot bitumen blowing unit manufactured by E-Asphalt™ was installed at
Wren Oil to perform trials by blowing VTB into bitumen of various grades.
Beginning 19 September 2006, engineer and bitumen expert Gustavo Bachetta
from E-Asphalt spent 19 days testing 38 blends of Wren Oil VTBs and new
bitumen supplied by RNR. The testing involved blowing the blends in the
pilot bitumen blower at the Wren Oil Refinery in Picton WA.
The E-Asphalt lab tests indicate that ARB can meet Australian Standards for
bitumen and can be used as a substitute for bitumen or a modifier to bitumen.
It can be further processed by emulsifying it or adding polymer to it.
Future possible operating environment developments 66
New milestones
As the project was delayed it has been necessary to negotiate new project
milestones. Negotiations have progressed, and new milestones have been set
that involve the commissioning of the bitumen blowing plant at RNR
Contractors Pty Ltd North Fremantle site around March 2010.
DEWHA has indicated that a WA steering committee for the project will
include a Main Roads WA representative.
Market Access
Since approximately 8,000 tonnes of VTB will be generated by a lube-to-lube
refinery each year, it is important that the Main Roads WA and local
government market is open to the use of ARB for road making. Without a use
for this product, either in bitumen, as heavy fuel oil, or as exports, the viability
of a lube-to-lube refinery in Western Australia will be threatened.
Regarding market acceptability of new road products, it is worth noting the
experience of the C&D recycling industry in having recycled crushed concrete
accepted as a road base or sub-base aggregate.
While Main Roads WA created a technical standard for the use of recycled
material as road base and sub-base, and C&D recyclers are capable of
delivering cost effective product, almost all individual local government road
tender documents have continued to call exclusively for virgin aggregate only.
The market for recycled aggregate as road base has therefore remained very
small despite recycled aggregate being both technically proven and cost
competitive.
Summary of findings 67
6 Summary of findings
Since the storage crisis in 2007 when used oil collections temporarily ceased,
the market for used oil derived products has evolved substantially. New
markets for burner fuel oil that are outside mainland WA have been found, and
the stockpile that began accumulating in 2004 has been completely cleared.
Generators of used oil broadly report that collection services are operating
well, and the probability of a sudden sustained disruption to collection services
is unlikely. An analysis of consumption and collection data indicated that the
recovery rate for used oil in Western Australia is relatively high by international
standards.
The storage facilities currently provided by Shell and Verve Energy will not be
available in the medium term, and so Wren Oil and Nationwide Oil have
committed to building new storage and export infrastructure on a site located
within the Bunbury Port. Consultant engineers to design the storage and
export infrastructure have already been engaged. As there is a strong
economic incentive for the infrastructure to be built, it is extremely probable
that the planned infrastructure will be complete and operational within two
years. Specifically, three 4,000 tonne storage tanks are to be built on the
Bunbury site and the total storage capacity available to Nationwide Oil and
Wren Oil will then be approximately 20M litres. Based on the current volumes
of used oil that are generated in Western Australia storage capacity in the
future will be approximately 7-8 months worth of supply.
Provided it remains possible to export used lube oil derived burner fuel
products, markets for burner fuel oil over at least the medium term, but
probably much longer, are positive. The ability to export burner fuel products
long term is however not certain. Australia is a signatory to the Basel Convention
on the Control of the Transboundary Movements of Hazardous Waste and their Disposal,
which means a permit is required to export used lube oil. So that an export
permit is not required it is necessary to blend used lube oil to a specified fuel
product standard before it is sold overseas. It is possible to imagine a future in
which the current practice regarding blending used lube oil prior to export as
burner fuel was questioned.
With current recycling approaches and technology any restriction on the ability
to export used lube oil derived burner fuel products would represent a
significant market disruption that would put the functioning of the current
collection system under considerable strain. The cost of transport means that
interstate transport of used lube oil is significantly more expensive than
shipping to South East Asia.
Summary of findings 68
Nationwide Oil and Wren Oil are however progressing negotiation of a joint
venture agreement and the joint venture has indicated that it is committed to
the development of a lube-to-lube re-refining plant in WA. The prospects for
products produced from such plants are positive over the long term. The
viability of a lube-to-lube re-refining plant in Western Australia is however
dependent on the continuation of a PSO payment for re-refined lube oil.
A-1
A Data appendix
The supply chain overview developed was based on the following raw data
files.
Table A1 Used oil collection summary by LGA boundary
LGA 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 Average
Albany (C) 295,241 301,675 361,020 399,475 1,062,170
Armadale (C) 378,530 306,535 229,880 801,251 1,337,666
Ashburton (S) 1,249,800 1,370,570 2,171,855 1,424,900 4,967,325
Augusta-Margaret River (S) 42,700 56,860 72,225 32,530 161,615
Bassendean (T) 131,710 124,300 108,410 120,990 353,700
Bayswater (C) 655,910 559,445 534,995 552,854 1,647,294
Belmont (C) 1,032,247 1,190,204 1,133,820 1,277,840 3,601,864
Beverley (S) - - - - -
Boddington (S) 151,450 191,650 329,450 433,520 954,620
Boyup Brook (S) - - - 3,000 3,000
Bridgetown-Greenbushes (S) 86,500 123,950 33,800 44,705 202,455
Brookton (S) 14,400 4,900 12,100 21,400 38,400
Broome (S) 93,820 10,175 83,615 137,300 231,090
Broomehill (S) 21,700 - - - -
Bruce Rock (S) - 1,100 2,200 6,500 9,800
Bunbury (C) 674,709 931,080 897,022 767,465 2,595,567
Busselton (S) 378,655 192,050 229,320 253,316 674,686
Cambridge (T) 16,200 17,650 12,050 13,150 42,850
Canning (C) 1,075,111 1,104,132 1,121,382 1,243,196 3,468,710
Capel (S) 89,900 64,400 100,200 133,400 298,000
Carnamah (S) 215,550 292,150 311,450 278,850 882,450
Carnarvon (S) - - - - -
Chapman Valley (S) - - - - -
Chittering (S) 75,205 107,613 98,885 119,440 325,938
Claremont (T) - - - - -
Cockburn (C) 854,561 773,055 887,960 750,359 2,411,374
Collie (S) 589,770 790,950 775,767 823,770 2,390,487
Coolgardie (S) 494,350 399,648 506,231 547,787 1,453,666
Coorow (S) 7,500 9,000 5,700 7,850 22,550
Corrigin (S) 11,400 4,300 10,400 - 14,700
Cottesloe (T) 8,600 10,450 7,950 7,080 25,480
Cranbrook (S) - - - 4,900 4,900
Cuballing (S) 3,000 - - - -
Cue (S) 37,745 25,800 - 14,150 39,950
A-2
LGA 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 Average
Cunderdin (S) 12,400 12,920 9,445 8,225 30,590
Dalwallinu (S) 12,400 12,920 9,445 8,225 30,590
Dandaragan (S) 189,965 176,200 141,500 138,720 456,420
Dardanup (S) 7,250 9,100 19,400 13,775 42,275
Denmark (S) 5,000 1,200 12,005 12,670 25,875
Derby-West Kimberley (S) 1,640 10,865 84,000 52,200 147,065
Donnybrook-Balingup (S) 16,400 24,100 19,300 26,000 69,400
Dowerin (S) 3,800 11,000 3,025 7,675 21,700
Dumbleyung (S) 2,700 1,500 800 4,000 6,300
Dundas (S) 96,700 128,579 112,761 199,757 441,097
East Fremantle (T) 3,600 1,500 1,950 2,050 5,500
East Pilbara (S) 1,842,150 3,242,500 3,847,775 3,590,158 10,680,433
Esperance (S) 182,805 176,305 180,910 242,960 600,175
Exmouth (S) 25,625 44,810 63,625 73,925 182,360
Fremantle (C) 479,560 602,395 436,900 361,815 1,401,110
Geraldton (C) 1,300 6,100 1,200 - 7,300
Gingin (S) 65,350 110,450 112,100 158,850 381,400
Gnowangerup (S) 20,500 9,910 6,820 7,000 23,730
Goomalling (S) 15,250 12,900 3,200 15,660 31,760
Gosnells (C) 1,069,528 1,132,210 1,038,556 1,127,800 3,298,566
Greenough (S) 300,020 334,800 356,313 410,220 1,101,333
Halls Creek (S) 7,050 7,470 - - 7,470
Harvey (S) 92,400 128,395 127,080 158,335 413,810
Irwin (S) 46,400 50,250 27,350 30,350 107,950
Jerramungup (S) - - 7,000 - 7,000
Joondalup (C) 164,210 199,248 180,970 205,890 586,108
Kalamunda (S) 595,430 586,036 598,075 675,855 1,859,966
Kalgoorlie/Boulder (C) 2,220,753 2,594,458 2,509,238 2,572,921 7,676,617
Katanning (S) 39,950 35,885 24,305 41,160 101,350
Kellerberrin (S) 6,100 25 5,000 - 5,025
Kent (S) - 4,000 - 3,000 7,000
Kojonup (S) 13,600 10,300 7,700 10,200 28,200
Kondinin (S) 21,500 10,500 29,015 93,500 133,015
Koorda (S) 3,100 - 410 6,615 7,025
Kulin (S) 3,400 - 7,900 6,600 14,500
Kwinana (T) 589,718 404,180 531,865 620,260 1,556,305
Lake Grace (S) 31,800 16,700 17,600 25,550 59,850
Laverton (S) 379,000 359,000 423,000 563,850 1,345,850
Leonora (S) 840,600 1,335,300 1,412,110 1,540,400 4,287,810
Mandurah (C) 289,130 312,255 366,695 390,635 1,069,585
Manjimup (S) 57,200 100,100 60,600 91,935 252,635
A-3
LGA 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 Average
Meekatharra (S) - - - - -
Melville (C) 429,140 453,605 428,655 420,345 1,302,605
Menzies (S) - - - - -
Merredin (S) 48,515 51,275 49,940 81,625 182,840
Mingenew (S) 12,000 - 7,550 - 7,550
Moora (S) 29,750 34,450 28,100 22,650 85,200
Morawa (S) 2,000 3,500 - - 3,500
Mosman Park (T) 8,450 11,850 12,405 6,550 30,805
Mount Magnet (S) - - - - -
Mount Marshall (S) 7,500 - - 19,500 19,500
Mukinbudin (S) 3,000 26,600 5,000 600 32,200
Mullewa (S) - - - - -
Mundaring (S) 72,715 91,230 63,820 64,465 219,515
Murchison (S) 173,675 242,600 230,300 300,850 773,750
Murray (S) 67,704 94,990 219,075 382,370 696,435
Nannup (S) 6,400 6,400 6,400 6,400 19,200
Narembeen (S) - - - - -
Narrogin (S) 35,855 31,650 47,850 33,570 113,070
Narrogin (T) - - - - -
Nedlands (C) 37,205 36,820 50,422 35,845 123,087
Ngaanyatjarraku (S) 494,300 453,040 257,105 236,605 946,750
Northam (S) 155,070 265,280 144,130 126,755 536,165
Northam (T) - - - - -
Northampton (S) 9,600 13,200 5,000 21,900 40,100
Nungarin (S) - - - - -
Peppermint Grove (S) - - - - -
Perenjori (S) - - - - -
Perth (C) - - - - -
Pingelly (S) - - - - -
Plantagenet (S) 37,400 25,150 42,650 55,350 123,150
Port Hedland (T) 1,366,886 1,526,499 2,920,295 2,439,207 6,886,001
Quairading (S) 6,500 - - - -
Ravensthorpe (S) 24,640 10,600 22,760 26,855 60,215
Rockingham (C) 493,735 736,657 713,106 785,204 2,234,967
Roebourne (S) 718,576 916,798 444,771 897,256 2,258,825
Sandstone (S) 207,400 124,650 100,500 92,550 317,700
Serpentine-Jarrahdale (S) 58,800 60,550 69,434 55,840 185,824
Shark Bay (S) 7,600 7,600 7,600 7,600 22,800
South Perth (C) 40,900 37,300 24,610 25,425 87,335
Stirling (C) 1,092,940 1,201,410 1,189,372 1,158,557 3,549,339
Subiaco (C) 141,100 130,740 130,215 151,975 412,930
A-4
LGA 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 Average
Swan (C) 1,353,727 1,462,216 1,610,289 1,750,979 4,823,484
Tambellup (S) - 200 - 205 405
Tammin (S) 2,000 4,400 - - 4,400
Three Springs (S) 4,000 800 - 6,000 6,800
Toodyay (S) 11,000 16,225 9,950 8,750 34,925
Trayning (S) 4,000 800 - 6,000 6,800
Upper Gascoyne (S) 244,540 64,250 179,500 69,500 313,250
Victoria Park (T) 301,530 322,340 329,335 407,480 1,059,155
Victoria Plains (S) 18,000 4,300 1,700 2,300 8,300
Vincent (T) 834,987 680,305 607,108 599,827 1,887,240
Wagin (S) 15,100 21,650 12,500 16,800 50,950
Wandering (S) 101,440 101,440 77,740 73,640 252,820
Wanneroo (C) 696,135 781,590 738,625 809,325 2,329,540
Waroona (S) 144,200 138,376 140,040 153,220 431,636
West Arthur (S) - - - - -
Westonia (S) - - - - -
Wickepin (S) - - - - -
Williams (S) 600 2,600 24,500 - 27,100
Wiluna (S) 340,015 339,600 342,600 278,105 960,305
Wongan-Ballidu (S) 20,250 34,875 22,320 37,625 94,820
Woodanilling (S) - 2,500 - - 2,500
Wyalkatchem (S) 5,200 10,400 4,800 1,950 17,150
Wyndham-East Kimberley (S) 14,580 53,562 86,120 37,865 177,547
Yalgoo (S) - - - - -
Yilgarn (S) 330,050 430,050 526,756 475,850 1,432,656
York (S) 13,400 15,500 12,200 12,300 40,000
Data source: DEC Hazardous Waste Tracking system
B-1
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