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CONFERENCE PROGRAM
Small Area Estimation
3-5 September, Poznan, Poland
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All the technical talks, the poster session and the Welcome Party will be held in
building A, University of Economics, al. Niepodleglosci 10. The conference
banquet will be held in the Wasowo Palace situated 50 km from Poznan. The
workshop will be held in building B, University of Economics, al. Niepodleglosci
12. Lunches will be held in Collegium Historicum, ul. Święty Marcin 78. Maps
with directions to the conference venues are shown on the last page of the
Conference program.
Please visit the conference website for last minute changes in the conference
program.
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Tuesday September 2, 2014 (building B, room 24) The workshop: Small Area Estimation in R (Li-Chun Zhang)
9.30-11.00 - Small Area Estimation in R (part 1)
11.00-11.30 - Coffee Break
11.30-13.00 - Small Area Estimation in R (part 2)
13.00-14.30 - Lunch (Collegium Historicum, ul. Święty Marcin 78)
14.30-16.00 - Small Area Estimation in R (part 3)
16.00-16.30 - Coffee Break
16.30-18.00 - Small Area Estimation in R (part 4)
Wednesday September 3, 2014 (building A) 8.00-9.00 – Registration/Reception (ground floor)
9.00-9.45 – Welcome Session (Aula - second floor)
Rector of the Poznan Univeristy of Economics, Professor Marian Gorynia
President of the Central Statistical Office, Professor Janusz Witkowski
Head of Department of Statistics, Poznan Univeristy of Economics,
Professor Elżbieta Gołata
Central Statistical Office in Poland, Professor Jan Kordos
Department of Statistics, Poznan University of Economics, Dr Marcin
Szymkowiak
9.45-10.50 - Plenary session (Aula - second floor)
9.45 – 10.40 J.N.K. Rao - Inferential issues in model-based small area
estimation: some new developments
10.40 – 10.50 Discussion
10.50-11.20 - Coffee Break (second floor)
11.20-13.00 Invited session - Small Area Methods for Repeated Surveys (room
311) organized by Partha Lahiri (chairman Wayne Fuller)
11.20-11.50 Partha Lahiri - An Overview of Small Area Estimation with
Repeated Survey Data
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11.50-12.10 Jan A. van den Brakel, Sabine Krieg - Small area estimation
with state-space common factor models for rotating panels
12.10-12.30 Enrico Fabrizi, Maria Rosaria Ferrante, Carlo Trivisano -
Estimation of value added for firms cross-classified by region, industry
and size using repeated survey data
12.30–12.50 Carolina Franco, William R. Bell - Alternative Approaches to
Borrowing Information Over Time in Small Area Estimation with
Application to Data from the Census Bureau’s American Community
Survey
12.50-13.00 Discussion
13.00-14.30 - Lunch (Collegium Historicum, ul. Święty Marcin 78)
14.30-16.10 Invited session - SAE: robust and non-parametric methods (room
311) organized by Raymond Chambers (chairman Graham Kalton)
14.30-15.00 Raymond Chambers - Two Recent Developments in Robust
and Semiparametric Small Area Estimation
15.00-15.20 Beate Weidenhammer, Nikos Tzavidis, Timo Schmid, Nicola Salvati - Domain Prediction for Counts using Microsimulation via Quantiles
15.20-15.40 Payam Mokhtarian - On Outlier Robust Small Area Prediction of the Empirical Distribution Function
15.40–16.00 Forough Karlberg - Small Area Prediction for Skewed Data in the Presence of Zeroes
16.00-16.10 Discussion
16.10-16.40 - Coffee Break (second floor)
16.40-18.20 Invited session - SAE in poverty mapping (room 311) organized by
Isabel Molina (chairman Monica Pratesi)
16.40-17.10 Isabel Molina, J.N.K. Rao - An overview of small area
estimation methods for poverty mapping
17.10-17.30 Gauri Datta, Abhyuday Mandal - Small area estimation with uncertain random effects
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17.30-17.50 Domingo Morales - Partitioned area-level time models for
estimating poverty indicators
17.50–18.10 Roy Van der Weide - Estimation of Normal Mixtures in a
Nested Error Model with an Application to Small Area Estimation of
Poverty and Inequality
18.10-18.20 Discussion
18.30-19.15 Poster session (second floor)
Maria Dolores Esteban, Domingo Morales, Augustín Pérez - Area-level
time models in R
Tomasz Józefowski - Applying indirect estimation to special economic
zones
Anna Małasiewicz - Estimation of education level in 2011 National
Census of Population and Housing in Poland using small area estimation
Magdalena Okupniak - Mincer model in small area statistics
Jan Paradysz, Karolina Paradysz - Indirect estimation of disability on the
base of Polish National Census 2011
Alessandra Petrucci, Stefano Marchetti, Caterina Giusti, Nicola Salvati -
Geographic information in area level models for small area estimation
Alina Szkop - Using small area estimators to estimate the number of
disabled people
Sebastian Warnholz, Timo Schmid, Nikos Tzavidis - Robust Fay Herriot
Estimators in Small Area Estimation
Łukasz Wawrowski - Estimation of poverty headcount ratio at LAU 1 level
in Poland using Fay-Herriot model
Kamil Wilak - Trend Estimation in Labour Force Survey in Poland
19.30-20.00 Concert (Aula - second floor)
20.00-21.30 Welcome Party (room 111 – first floor)
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Thursday September 4, 2014 (building A)
9.00-10.50 Invited session - SAE models: selection and checking (room 311)
organized by Danny Pfeffermann (chairman Elżbieta Gołata)
9.00-9.40 Danny Pfeffermann - Model Selection and Checking for Small Area Estimation (30 minutes), Graham Kalton – discussant (10 minutes)
9.40-10.00 Jay Breidt, Daniel Hernandez-Stumpfhauser, Jean D. Opsomer - Variational Approximations for Selecting Hierarchical Models of Circular Data in a Small Area Estimation Application
10.00-10.20 Jiraphan Suntornchost, Partha Lahiri - Variable selection for Linear Mixed Models with Applications in Small Area Estimation
10.20–10.40 Yahia El Horbaty - A Simple Score Test for Random Effects with Application to Small Area Models
10.40-10.50 Discussion
10.50-11.20 - Coffee Break (second floor)
11.20-13.00 Invited session - SAE in Official Statistics (room 311) organized by
Jan Kordos (Parallel session) (chairman William Bell)
11.20-11.50 Jan Kordos - Small area estimation in official statistics and
statistical thinking
11.50-12.10 Danute Krapavickaite, Tomas Rudys - Application of small area estimation methods for Lithuanian Labour force survey data
12.10-12.30 Jan Paradysz, Karolina Paradysz - Indirect estimation of
disability on the base of Polish National Census 2011
12.30–12.50 Jan Kubacki, Alina Jędrzejczak - Small area estimation under
spatial SAR model
12.50-13.00 Discussion
11.20-13.00 Invited session - Teaching SAE (room 407) organized by Risto
Lehtonen (Parallel session) (chairman Gauri Datta)
11.20-11.50 Risto Lehtonen - Experiences and challenges in teaching small area estimation
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11.50-12.10 Jan Pablo Burgard, Ralf Münnich - SAE teaching using simulations
12.10-12.30 Elżbieta Gołata, Tomasz Klimanek - Challenges facing academics and the NSI in SAE education
12.30–12.50 Esther Lopez Vizcaino Lombardía Cortiña, M. José, Domingo Morales - mme: An R package for small area estimation with multinomial mixed models
12.50-13.00 Discussion
13.00-14.30 - Lunch (Collegium Historicum, ul. Święty Marcin 78)
14.30-15.35 - Plenary session (room 311)
14.30 – 15.25 Malay Ghosh - Benchmarked Empirical Bayes Estimators
for Multiplicative Area Level Models
15.25 – 15.35 Discussion
15.35-16.00 - Coffee Break (second floor)
16.00-17.40 Contributed session 1 (room 311) (chairman Wojciech Roszka)
16.00-16.15 Charlotte Articus, Jan Pablo Burgard, Ralf Münnich - A Finite Mixture Fay-Herriot Model for the Estimation of Regional Rental Prices
16.15-16.30 Yuki Kawakubo, Tatsuya Kubokawa - Modified conditional AIC in linear mixed models
16.30-16.45 Shonosuke Sugasawa, Tatsuya Kubokawa - Estimation and Prediction Intervals in Transformed Linear Mixed Models
16.45–17.00 Bac Tran, Partha Lahiri - An Evaluation of Design-Based properties of Different Small Area Estimators Using Data from the U.S. Annual Survey of Public Employment and Payroll
17.00-17.15 Imanol Montoya, Aramendi, J., Garmendia, I., Iztueta A. -
Mixed models for longitudinal data with applications to small area
statistics in the Basque Statistical Office
17.15-17.30 Mauno Keto, Erkki Pahkinen - On sample allocation for efficient small area estimation
17.30-17.40 Discussion
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16.00-17.40 Contributed session 2 (room 407) (Isabel Molina)
16.00-16.15 Stephen Haslett - The role of contextual variables in small area estimation of poverty
16.15-16.30 Włodzimierz Okrasa - Spatial Dynamics of Community Well-Being. Patterns of inequality of local deprivation, Poland 2004-2012
16.30-16.45 Marcin Szymkowiak, Łukasz Wawrowski, Andrzej Młodak – Mapping poverty at the level of subregions in Poland using indirect estimation
16.45–17.00 Sumonkanti Das - Back Transformation Bias in Poverty Mapping
17.00-17.15 Enrico Fabrizi, Maria Rosaria Ferrante, Carlo Trivisano -
Hierarchical Beta regression models for the estimation of poverty and
inequality parameters in small areas
17.15–17.30 Trijya Singh - Estimation Of Rates And Proportions For Small Areas When Covariates Are Measured With Error
17.30-17.40 Discussion
16.00-17.40 Contributed session 3 (room 408) (chairman Jan van den Brakel)
16.00-16.15 Harm Jan Boonstra - Hierarchical Bayesian Small Area Estimation with R
16.15-16.30 Claudia Baldermann, Timo Schmid, Nicola Salvati - A robust unit-level model for small area estimation allowing for spatial non-stationarity
16.30-16.45 Tomas Hobza, Domingo Morales - MSM estimation and EBP in unit-level logit mixed models
16.45–17.00 Junni Zhang, John Bryant - Full Bayesian Benchmarking of Small Area Estimation Models
17.00-17.15 Jerzy Wieczorek, Michael Pane, Rebecca C. Steorts -
Struggles in Small Area Estimation: Benchmarking and Weighting
17.15-17.30 Bart Buelens, Jan van den Brakel - Covariate selection for small area estimation in repeated surveys
17.30-17.40 Discussion
17.45 – Bus to Wąsowo
19.30-24.00 Conference Banquet – The Hardt Palace in Wąsowo
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Friday September 5, 2014 (building A)
9.00-10.40 Invited session - SAE applications (room 311) organized by Ralf
Münnich (Parallel session) (chairman Roy van der Weide)
9.00-9.30 Ralf Münnich - Small area applications: some remarks from a design-based view
9.30-9.50 Ugarte, MD, Adín, A., Goicoa, T., Militino, A.F., López‐Abente, G. - Space‐time analysis of young people brain cancer mortality in Spanish provinces
9.50-10.10 Rebecca C. Steorts - Constrained Smooth Bayesian Estimation
10.10–10.30 William R. Bell, Mark Seiss - A Modeling Approach to Estimating the Mean Squared Error of Synthetic Small Area Estimators
10.30-10.40 Discussion
9.00-10.40 Invited session - Benchmarking, design issues and nonresponse in
SAE (room 407) organized by Stefano Falorsi (Parallel session) (chairman
Michel Hidiroglou)
9.00-9.30 Andrea Fasulo, Michele D’Alo’, Lorenzo Di Biagio, Stefano Falorsi, Fabrizio Solari - Benchmark constraints for space and time unit level EBLUP estimators
9.30-9.50 Li-Chun Zhang, Alison Whitworth - Benchmarked synthetic small area estimation
9.50-10.10 Serena Arima, Gauri S. Datta, Brunero Liseo - Multivariate Fay-Herriot model with structural measurement error
10.10–10.30 Janusz Wywiał - On sampling design proportional to function of auxiliary variable order statistics
10.30-10.40 Discussion
10.40-11.10 - Coffee Break (second floor)
11.10-12.50 Invited session - Population census and SAE (room 311) organized
by Li-Chun Zhang (Parallel session) (chairman Stephen Haslett)
11.10-11.40 Li-Chun Zhang - Census and SAE: Population size estimation
11.40-12.00 Ralf Münnich - Small area estimation in the German Census 2011
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12.00-12.20 Paul Williamson, Karyn Morrissey, Ferran Espuny-Pujol - Survey reweighting as a means to SAE
12.20–12.40 Angela Luna-Hernandez, Li-Chun Zhang - Multivariate Generalized Structure Preserving Estimation
12.40-12.50 Discussion
11.10-12.50 Invited session - Other topics related to SAE (room 407) organized
by Domingo Morales (Parallel session) (chairman María Dolores Ugarte)
11.10-11.40 Wayne Fuller, Andreea Erciulescu - Small Area Prediction under Alternative Model Specifications
11.40-12.00 Domingo Morales, Miguel Boubeta, María José Lombardía - Empirical best prediction in Poisson mixed models
12.00-12.20 M.A. Hidiroglou, Victor Estevao - A comparison of small area and direct estimators via simulation
12.20–12.40 Monica Pratesi, Fosca Giannotti, Caterina Giusti, Stefano Marchetti, Dino Pedreschi, Nicola Salvati - Area level SAE models with measurement errors in covariates: an application to sample surveys and Big data sources
12.40-12.50 Discussion
13.00-14.30 - Lunch (Collegium Historicum, ul. Święty Marcin 78)
14.30-15.30 – Panel discussion (Aula – second floor) - The Newest
Achievements in SAE both in the Theoretical and Practical Field
Organizer and Chair: Elżbieta Gołata
Panelists:
Raymond Chambers
Jan Kordos
Partha Lahiri
Risto Lehtonen
Isabel Molina
Domingo Morales
Ralf Münnich
Danny Pfeffermann
LiChun Zhang
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15.30-16.00 - Coffee Break (second floor)
16.00-17.10 Contributed session 4 (room 311) (chairman Jan Kubacki)
16.00-16.15 Renato Salvatore, Maria Chiara Pagliarella - Spatio-temporal time-varying effects models and state-space models with spatial structure: an assessment of their efficiency in small area estimation
16.15-16.30 Tomasz Klimanek - Spatial Approach In Indirect Estimation Of Some Labor Market Characteristics On Rural Areas
16.30–16.45 Tomasz Żądło - On measuring prediction accuracy in small area estimation in the multivariate case
16.45-17.00 Wojciech Roszka - Creating small area spatial microdata for
multidimensional labor market analysis
17.00-17.10 Discussion
16.00-17.10 Contributed session 5 (room 407) (chairman Marcin Szymkowiak)
16.00-16.15 Alina Potrykowska - New pattern of migration in Poland. A migration policy perspective
16.15-16.30 Grażyna Dehnel, Jacek Kowalewski - The tax register and the social security register in estimation methodology of short-term business statistics in Poland
16.30-16.45 Mossamet Nesa, Robert G.Clark, Carole L.Birrell - Adults Health Status and Behaviors in New Zealand: An Application of Multivariate Fay-Herriot Model
16.45-17.00 Andrius Čiginas - On a concept of similarity
17.00-17.10 Discussion
16.00-16.55 Contributed session 6 (room 408) (chairman Tomasz Józefowski)
16.00-16.15 Enes Ertad Eslu - Small Area Estimation With Data Mining Techniques: A Case Study For Turkey
16.15–16.30 Maciej Beręsewicz - Big Data for Small Area Estimation or Small Area Estimation for Big Data?
16.30-16.45 Hanna Gruchociak - Computational problems in the selection of variables for multilevel models using stepwise regression
16.45-16.55 Discussion
17.15-17.45 Closing ceremony (room 311)
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MAPS
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