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Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
CONFERENCE CALL 3Q08
Operator – Good morning and thank you for waiting. Welcome to the Grupo
Pão de Açúcar conference call to discuss the Company’s profit figures for the
third quarter of 2008.
This event is also being transmitted in the Internet webcast, and may be
accessed at www.gpari.com.br where you will find the respective presentation.
You, Ladies and Gentlemen, can control the slide selection. The selection’s
replay is available after conclusion.
We inform that the press release on profit figures is also available at the
Investor Relations website www.gpari.com.br. This event is being recorded and
all participants will be only listening to the conference call during the Company’s
presentation, after which we will start the questions and answers session, with
more instructions provided. If any of you should need any assistance during the
conference, please request assistance from an operator by dialing “0”.
Before proceeding, we would like to make it clear that any statements made
during the conference call in connection with the business outlook for Grupo
Pão de Açúcar projections and operating and financial targets are beliefs and
assumptions by the Company’s senior management, and are based on
currently available information. Future estimates cannot be construed as
warranty of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, as
they refer to future events and hence depend on circumstances that may or
may not occur. Investors should understand that general economic and industry
conditions, plus other operating factors, are likely to affect the Company’s future
performance, possibly leading to profit figures materially differently from those
shown in the future performance figures.
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
Right now we would like to introduce Ms. Daniela Sabbag, Investor Relations
Officer, who will begin the presentation on the Company’s performance for the
period. Please, Ms. Sabbag, you may proceed.
Daniela – Good morning to all. Welcome to our conference call for the 3rd
quarter. We have here with us Abilio Diniz, chairman of the Board of Directors,
Claudio Galeazzi, our CEO, and the Group’s executive officers: Enéas Pestana,
José Roberto Tambasco, Caio Mattar, Silvia Leão, Jorge Herzog, and Claudia
Eliza. As usual in our conference calls, we will start with comments by senior
management in the first part, and then we will proceed to the issues raised by
all of you. I would like to invite Abilio Diniz to make the initial comments.
Abílio – Good morning to all. At the turn of the year the Board of Directors
resolved that we had to react against the previous years’ results. The Executive
Board made efforts to strengthen the Company’s foundations and to really
encourage our people’s outlook, advancing firmly in IT and logistics,
restructuring our capital, with a more solid capital structure. In conclusion,
taking care of details that jointly would improve the Company’s profit figures, in
connection with sales as well as with margins and performance.
We are here now, very pleased to show our profit figures for the third quarter,
really meeting our goals, doing the job that we designated for ourselves.
I would like to say a few words to you about this stage of the global crisis, how
we see the situation, and how this has affected or affects us. In fact, we have
been preparing ourselves for times such as these since early this year. It is
obvious that none of us is a fortune teller, none of us has the ability to predict
what was to come. Nobody in this world could imagine the extent of the global
situation, ourselves included. But certainly the 140 years of experience – mine
and Claudio’s together – plus the youth of our executive officers, this has
represented something. In the early days of the crisis, the so-called “black
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
Monday” on September 15, we had a R$ 1.3 billion cash position and from then
on we attempted to increase this a little.
With this cash position and feeling at ease, we avoided large steps, we waited a
little to see what awaited us, what was happening. A lean company, a prepared
company, endowed with a very good operating performance, aggressive in
sales, aggressive in performance. Our sales were not affected, our cash
position is very healthy. We concentrated more on inventories, as decided by
Claudio Galeazzi, in order to really increase our turnover. It is obvious that at
times such as these, it is rational to take advantage of every purchase
opportunity, to prepare ourselves for a great year-end performance. This is what
we are doing.
At this time we are very comfortable in terms of capital, and more so with regard
to our cash position, our net indebtedness is less than 1.0x our EBITDA, which
fact makes us feel very much at ease.
We have no derivatives outstanding, the company’s treasury policy is to avoid
foreign exchange exposure, all our liabilities are denominated in Brazilian reais
(R$), which fact makes us feel enormously at ease.
We did not take on any derivative transactions, we always kept away from the
attractions of increasing earnings through derivative transactions. We enjoy a
very comfortable position in the Company.
This said, let us look forward. What does the future have in store for us? I think
the world will improve, the world will become more realistic. There was a lot of
wind being sold, too many people selling wind and many people buying it at the
other end. In my personal opinion – and I have discussed this with Claudio who
shares my views – we were never very good at selling wind. Well then, I believe
we will do better in this situation by selling concrete things.
We believe that the world will be more selective, investors will be more
selective, and hence our Company will be viewed with more attention and care.
I am totally confident in our Company. And equally, I am totally confident in this
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
country. I have no reason for complaints to date. I think the government has
acted very wisely, very serenely in all of its actions. I am often away from Brazil,
I see what goes on in other countries and I believe our situation is much more
comfortable, and privileged to a point. I have no doubt that investors will be
looking at Brazil in this manner when they really decide to invest with
determination.
I am sure that this country will not lack credit for key activities. Credit will not be
scarce for agriculture, credit will not be scarce for exports, credit will not be
scarce even for civil construction, because Brazilians are very much in need of
housing and of the jobs created by civil construction.
I am sure that the country will continue to be well managed and will continue to
grow. It may be that we may not grow at first at the previous rate, yet we will
continue to grow, I have no doubt about that. We at Pão de Açúcar are
prepared to keep up with this growth.
Of course, we also have a few projected pessimistic scenarios that may be
faced. We are prepared to face any more adverse situation, but I do not believe
this will take place.
We are extremely prepared, including in terms of credit, we have FIC and its
operating losses that we supported for four years, and which is currently solid,
healthy, fully able to meet the demand for credit by our consumers.
We have an extremely structured company, aggressive, prepared to sell and
above all, prepared to grow. It is true that we will grow more carefully, looking
closely at our Capex and the growth of EBITDA. We will invest only when we
are certain that there will be a corresponding growth in EBITDA.
This is the Company we have today and that I expect to continue so, certain
that the executives guiding it are very capable and will continue to keep the
Company on this course.
Thank you very much. I will now ask Enéas, our Chief Financial Officer, to
speak and provide more information on the Company.
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
Enéas – Good morning to all, thank you for participating in our conference call. I
will go into the figures in more detail, into more technical issues, and what we
fail to mention, we will answer your questions. A summary of what we will talk
about is a 50% EBITDA growth and a 138% increase in net income for this
quarter.
To arrive at this performance, starting with sales, the Company displays for the
quarter a 22.4% increase in gross sales and of 26% in net sales. This difference
is a result of a decline in the proxy taxation burden. Same store sales growth
was up 10.3% (gross sales) and 13.6% (net sales). If we look into this by
categories, we will find a 16.1% rise in non-food products and an 8.5% rise in
food products. This is also above the period’s inflation rate for these categories.
What we find important here is that this growth in sales is supported by
increased customer traffic and a rise in the average ticket. In other words, this
does not result from price increases. Pricing efficiency is what gives rise to
increased customer traffic, which also raises the average ticket owing to a
greater value-added mix, higher value-added goods, now a part of this basket
and resulting in this expressive increase in our sales.
As for accrued sales, we can see a 19.4% increase in gross sales and 21.9% in
net sales. For same store accrued sales, we have a 7.7% growth, which
adjusted for inflation will result in a 2.1% real increase. I would like to point to
the fact that our guidance as disclosed in April was for a 2% real growth rate,
i.e.: we are slightly above the year’s guidance and on the path to deliver it by
year-end.
Continuing on sales and with regard to banners, it should be pointed out that
growth by the Extra and Extra Eletro banners, as well as the CompreBem
supermarket banner, and of course the “dot.com” which has displayed a 3-digit
growth, and this quarter increased 185%, now has a 2.2% share in the Group’s
sales.
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
Now then, with regard to margins. This quarter’s consolidated gross margin was
27%, which means 170 basis points (bps) below last year’s third quarter.
However, there have been no price rises, much to the contrary, we have
maintained a strict competitiveness policy since 2006, which has been
intensified based on a clusterizing and pricing strategy, from market to market,
region by region, a successful experience consolidated in the performance turn-
around in Rio de Janeiro. Hence, considering this quarter’s 27% margin, it was
benefited by improved margins by the Sendas and Assai banners. Sendas
Distribuidora displayed a 28.6% margin for the quarter, with 16.4% for Assai.
We will go into Sendas and Assai further on.
If we should explain this 170 bps change in three steps, we would say that the
first is competitiveness, accounting for a 40 bps change in the quarter’s margin.
In addition, consolidating Assai with its 16.4% margin brings performance down,
and the effect is a 80 bps change. And finally, the issue of proxy taxation, which
as I explained for the previous quarter, results in increasing net sales and the
cost of goods sold, by allocating taxation as a cost of goods, which fact creates
a 50 bps effect on the margin. If we add these three items, we will arrive at the
effect on the quarter’s margin, which is consistent with the effect on the accrued
margin and which for early 2007 was of 28.2% and now for the nine months of
2008 rises to 26.4%.
One of the best news has to do with expenses. We will find in expenses a
consistency with declining expenses in the course of the year. We were clear
when disclosing the issue in connection with adapting processes and
organizational structure early this year. On the arrival of Claudio Galeazzi, this
was the first major task undertaken by this management team this year, which
emphasized gains in efficiency. We have been able to gain, now in the third
quarter, now more mature, a 300 bps decline. 300 bps in any retail company is
extremely expressive. Hence, last year’s third quarter expenses of 21.9% of net
sales, have now dropped by 300 bps to 18.9%. The accrued figure was of
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
21.6% and for these nine months resulted in 19%, a 260 bps drop against the
same period last year.
Owing to this decline in margin and the rebate in expenses, the EBITDA margin
was significantly affected in the Assai and Sendas consolidated figures,
meaning an 8.1% margin and R$ 357 million in cash terms. This is the largest
EBITDA seen by this Company for a third quarter, which represents a 50%
increase as compared to last year.
As for guidance, as I had explained to you, sales would rise by 2% in real terms,
which is what the year tends to show. With regard to margin, we had
announced between 26.5% and 27% of net sales. Guidance regarding
expenses was of 19%. We now see here 19% for this nine-month period, within
our guidance, and as for EBITDA, we had announced an EBITDA margin
between 7.5% and 8%. We have achieved a pro-forma EBITDA of 7.5% for the
nine-month period, and for this quarter we arrived at 8.1%, within our guidance.
The accrued increase in EBITDA was of 37%. If we remove the non-recurring
effect of restructuring early this year, this growth rises to 45%. This is in fact an
excellent performance for the third quarter.
This quarter’s financial performance figures also deserve special mention for
the quarter, also based on Abilio’s comments on our capital structure.
Performance was R$ 81.5 million in the red, slightly above what we expected,
from R$ 75 to R$ 76 million. This is the level we expect for the fourth quarter,
net of the seasonal issues for December. We are going to take action with
regard to interest-free installment payments. The idea is to achieve a better mix
of interest-free and interest bearing installment payments, thereby reducing our
financial costs without causing any impact on sales or on our customers, much
to the contrary. As highlighted by Abilio, FIC is very well prepared and we are
absolutely certain that it is in a much better relative position than the general
market average, and ready to respond aggressively to any need for a reaction
to supply credit and to maintain the sales growth we have obtained.
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
Continuing on financial performance, when compared to last year the greater
effect arose from increasing interest rates on our net indebtedness, currently of
R$ 1.3 billion, and also had an important effect on our contingencies. At a
reasonable level, it should stand between R$ 75 and R$ 80 million, and we are
managing all this bearing in mind the interest-free installment payments, the
management of which we undertake jointly with Company pricing.
This presentation’s page 8 shows total indebtedness of R$ 2.7 billion for the
third quarter. It should be pointed out that 86% of this debt is long term with an
800-day average tenor, very different from last year’s third quarter, when we
had 31% as long term, and now we have 86%. Our indebtedness position is
comfortable enough, with a coverage ratio in excess of 4x. This results in Net
Debt/EBITDA below 1x, as Abilio pointed out, we ended September with R$ 1.4
billion in our cash position. We have no debt exposure in foreign exchange, all
our debts are denominated in Brazilian reais and indexed to the CDI (local inter-
bank rate). As Abilio mentioned, our policy is very strict and we have an internal
control area, also because of Sox, that looks at this issue very carefully. This
policy is very strict in terms of treasury, not only with regard to contracting
perfect hedges, but also in not permitting derivative transactions intended for
some kind of gain or increased profits, as Abilio has already made reference, so
that the Company runs no risks of losses in connection with derivative
transactions.
In connection with the preparation mentioned by Abilio, after Claudio’s arrival
and the Board of Directors’ decision to exploit the Company’s foundations, one
of these being the capital structure, we tried to raise the Company’s minimum
cash position, to stretch out this indebtedness. Relevant funding will only take
place again in mid 2010, when we roll over the PAFIDIC. We worked hard to
reduce the need for working capital, and we still have very aggressive goals for
this year with regard to inventories. We already disclosed the decrease in
Capex early this year. All this puts us in a very strong position to face any less
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
favorable scenario likely to appear owing to the global crisis. We have worked in
simulating a number of scenarios, and we have action plans for each one of
these, ready to be implemented if required. But in any case the Company is
very strong and very confident, and we are able to assert that this year’s
guidance will be complied with.
We have FIC in the equity income accounting method. This quarter we decided
to invest in the sale of private label and co-branded cards, and when you do
this, you anticipate expenses a little, so that the profit figures remained
practically at break-even for this quarter. Nonetheless, card sales were 85%
greater than for the same period in the previous year, which led to our customer
portfolio rising to 5.9 million customers and a receivables portfolio of R$ 1.4
billion. FIC’s share in Company sales rose to 14.2%.
This quarter, Sendas managed to obtain an improved gross margin, as I already
mentioned to you, rising to 28.6% or 190 bps above the same quarter of last
year, and represents R$ 200 million in gross profit. Expenses continue under
control, we can see the consistency of the efforts to reduce expenses in Rio de
Janeiro - also based on a review of processes – and thus Sendas Distribuidora,
albeit showing a slight loss owing to the adverse financial performance figures
and indebtedness, displayed a very good EBITDA with an 8% margin, as
compared to a 3.5% EBITDA margin for 2007. And going back to the third
quarter of 2006, the margin was of 0.9%. As for the improved margin this
quarter, I repeat what we stated in the latest conference calls, Rio de Janeiro is
an extremely nervous and aggressive market as far as competition is
concerned, it is ve ry verticalized. This really applies and will continue to do so.
For the first quarter, our margin rose to 27.6%, 25.5% for the second quarter,
and now 28.6%, which means that depending on the campaign, on the time we
discontinue a campaign, promotions and competitive work that takes place in
Rio, we may obtain higher or lower margins. For the future, we recommend you
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
to bear in mind an accrued margin between 27% and 27.5%, which is what
should be shown at year-end. For the nine months, we have achieved 27.2%.
Assai was able to obtain a 16.4% gross margin, higher than that shown for the
1st and 2nd quarters, which rose on average to 13.5%. In this regard, we also
invested a great deal during the first and second quarters in price image, while
readapting processes and adapting the Company to CBD processes and
standards, including Sox. During the third quarter, we were able to review this
margin mix, take advantage of opportunities for discussing bonuses, adapt
Assai’s contracts to the same profitability levels as the Grupo Pão de Açúcar,
which made it possible to obtain a 16.4% margin. Expenses were limited to
11.5%, which led the EBITDA margin to rise to 4.9% and the nine-month margin
to 3.1% now in September. Assai’s gross margin, also thinking of the future,
should not remain at this 16.4% level, it should be lower, in the region of 15.5%
to 16%.
And now we come to income before income tax. I would like to highlight income
before income tax because during last year’s third quarter the Company took
advantage of a R$ 34 million deferred income tax credit in Sendas Distribuidora,
which converted the income tax item into a credit balance, and evidently this
year we were not benefited by this credit. But there is a better picture in the
income before income tax line, whereby in last year’s third quarter we profited
R$ 27 million and for this year’s third quarter we obtained R$ 124 million in
income before income tax, a 353% increase, which is expressive enough.
Despite the income tax credit that I mentioned, regarding net income, the
Company obtained a 1.9% net margin which represents R$ 82.5 million in net
income, and last year with the income tax credit these profits rose to R$ 34
million, a net margin of 1%. An analysis of adjusted net income results in R$
107 million for the third quarter and R$ 270 million for the nine months.
In conclusion, let me speak a little on our investments. Capex during the third
quarter rose to R$ 107 million, and totaled R$ 331 million for the nine-month
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
period. Seven new stores were inaugurated during this last quarter, of which
three convenience stores with the Extra Facil banner, two Extra stores, one of
which a hyper and the other a compact, and two additional Assai stores. We
plan to open a further 12 stores during the fourth quarter and to make five
conversions to Assai. Total investments for the year should be in the region of
R$ 500 million, yet below what we disclosed early this year, which totaled R$
730 million. I would like to explain that this has nothing to do with changes in
strategy. This initial plan included sums for the acquisition of land, intended to
accelerate even more Extra Facil and Assai. In Assai’s case, as we mentioned
to you, we made the decision to invest more intensely in adapting processes
and therefore we delayed a little the opening and conversion of stores. We are
now going back to speeding things up. In the case of Extra Facil, we should
accelerate things as of next year, and there are no strategic changes with
regard to these stores. And as for the issue on the land, there have been no
changes in strategy, except that we are currently stricter in decision making and
feasibility studies in connection with our investments, with a very strong focus
on profits and returns, so that in addition to a very well located site, we should
have increased consistency in the feasibility of any venture we may initiate.
This may lead to a more selective process and may slow things down a little,
but there is nothing to prevent us from accelerating in the coming months and
restoring these investments. I will now give the floor to Claudio, before going to
questions and answers. Thank you very much.
Claudio – Good morning, it is a pleasure to be here with you, and I will try to be
as objective as possible, and brief as well. It is obvious that the “back to basics”
policy is what Juliana - currently with Itaú Unibanco – mentioned, our constant
mantra of attacking sales pillars, viewing sales and profits as a consequence of
all the dedicated work is providing a very expressive result.
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
It is important to know that we prepared ourselves in the course of this last year
to be able to expand, obviously, before this crisis. An aggressive enough
expansion program, but common sense will prevail, and as Enéas said, we
have a number of triggers to speed up or slow down as common sense and
convenience may dictate.
The important thing is that we control the accelerator and the brake. Owing to
our cash position and indebtedness, to our position as a whole, including our
bargaining power with suppliers and our ability to provide improved conditions,
we currently have a really competitive edge.
I would not like to go on excessively, because we spoke a great deal during this
year of our entire team’s project approved by the Board of Directors, the “back
to basics” project: returning to basics, not being overly creative, also being
mindful of the retail trade’s arid aspects. Normally, retailers will stay within the
choreography, it is much more interesting, much more dynamic, with a lot more
adrenaline. But being mindful of the arid side, the financial aspect, with working
capital, having increased our indebtedness early this year within absolutely
consistent limits – and a reduction in Capex – owing to caution and also to
enable us to review all of our models, in the end left us much more prepared
this year-end for any of the scenarios simulated by us and which we are able to
adapt to very easily.
So now I would like to answer any questions you all may have.
Operator – Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the questions
and answers session. In order to ask a question, please press *1. To remove
the question from the list, please press *2.
Our first question comes from Ms. Cristina Sarian, from Neo Investimentos.
Cristina Sarian , Neo – Good morning to all, congratulations for the excellent
profit figures. I have three quick questions. The first has to do with margin
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
guidance. In the light of Sendas' 8% margin in such a competitive market, and
the Group's accrued nine-month margin at 7.5%, with the 4th quarter being the
strongest, greater dilution of overheads, etc., it seems to me that guidance fell a
little short. I would like to know if you are going to review margin guidance
upwards. The 2nd question has to do with the 2009 expansion plan, I don’t know
whether you are able to disclose anything on this. And the last one regards
discussions with the Sendas family. Thank you very much.
Enéas – Cristina, thank you for your questions. Regarding guidance and our
disclosed margin, first, Sendas did in fact provide a 28.6% gross margin this
quarter, or an 8% EBITDA margin, but we have to remember that our accrued
figures are 27.2% for gross margin and 6.4% for EBITDA margin. The 4th
quarter is very competitive in Rio de Janeiro, greater than in Brazil. No,
guidance did not fall short, we are maintaining this figure between 26.5% and
27% despite the effect of proxy taxation. If the latter has a 50 bps effect on
margin, and we maintain guidance between 26.5% and 27%, we will require a
one-half point in margin in order to deliver the same guidance we disclosed. We
already had in our budget Sendas with an EBITDA margin of roughly 6% to
6.5%, as a part of total guidance. I can say very assertively: guidance is not low.
As for the Sendas family, we had an extremely sad event with the decease of
our partner Artur Sendas, who was also Chairman of the Board in our joint
venture Sendas Distribuidora in Rio de Janeiro. This has no direct impact or
prevents ongoing discussions, but evidently this has caused a certain delay.
There is nothing new, following arbitration we once again discussed exit with
our partners – because exit is confirmed – they gave us notice in January 2007.
This put notice is irrevocable and irreversible, so what is left to do is discuss
price and manner of exit, albeit there is a contractual deadline for this, which I
imagine we may be able to resume very shortly, and see a solution in the
coming months, this is the exit we expect. Evidently, in case of disagreement,
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
the contract again provides for arbitration, we will do everything possible to
avoid this, everything points to our reaching an agreement for this exit.
For 2009, whether with regard to investments, expansion, or even to mention
income figures, we are in the process of concluding our 2009 investment plan
for approval by our Board of Directors by late November and early December,
so that we are unable to make any comments on 2009, but we plan to hold a
GPA Day in late February and early March, during which we will disclose a
structured and official notice on our 2009 guidance.
Cristina Sarian , Neo – Very good. Thank you very much.
Operator – Our next question will be by Mr. Marcel Moraes, from Credit Suisse.
Marcel Moraes, CS – Good morning to all, congratulations for the profit figures.
Enéas, my first question has to do with sales, year-end sales performance, and
maybe some feeling and not guidance for 2009, in connection with non-food
products. We have seen interest rates rising, as well as of prices of imports or
those goods with imported components. What is the trend here, what is the
feeling by the Company’s management regarding such sales?
Enéas – I‘ll start and then transfer to Tambasco, who will talk briefly on feeling.
He is the executive officer in charge of all the commercial and operating area,
and certainly his feeling is better than that of the rest of us. Replying on 2009,
unfortunately we are unable to say anything, neither feeling or plans for 2009.
As for the query on non-food, there is one thing I can say, from the financial
angle and regarding the crisis, we really don’t know how this will develop. We
even joke around here that anyone who says he knows is misinformed, we
need a little more time to find out how things will develop. Considering more
difficult scenarios, non-food products in the light of the lack of credit, we have
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
discussed this a lot, among other scenarios. What I am able to say is that FIC is
currently very healthy as far as defaults are concerned, we have the lowest
market indicators owing to a simple issue of being very strict in granting credit, a
very conservative credit scoring arising from the policies put in place by Itaú
itself. So that we have room and stamina to become fairly aggressive in a
restrictive credit scenario, and to be in a better relative position than the
competition, not losing sales more than anyone else in a scenario in which we
don’t know how difficult it will be owing to this impending crisis.
Tambasco – Enéas in fact mentioned all this briefly, we are unable to guess
what awaits us ahead, but to date our expectations are to keep up this
performance which we have been currently showing. And for everything that
has been covered by Abilio, Claudio, and Enéas. Internally, the Company is
currently much more prepared for the fray in this competitive market. These
data point to a great gain in market share, including in non-food. Last year and
early this year we had a poor performance and we are now recovering our
share, and our expectations are that we will continue to move forward in the
market during this year-end. Externally, it is true that a crisis such as this one
will have some effects, but the economy in general also enjoys more stable
foundations. During recent months, we have witnessed increased purchasing
power, in particular by class C, and therefore we believe that the impact was
less severe with regard to food products and semi-durables, including the entire
non-food category, and the fact that we are able to grant credit. This card basis
mentioned to you by Enéas means to us a very large availability of credit to the
benefit of our customers, which allows us to be aggressive in terms of payment
terms and interest rates vis-à-vis the market, and to rely on keeping this up until
the end of the year.
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
Marcel Moraes, CS – Perfect. Have there been any adjustments to the
Company’s sales policy since September owing to the lack of credit, any sort of
adjustments likely to have affected payment terms for certain categories of
goods, or prices? And how are dealings with suppliers, I imagine a scenario of
increasing prices for imports, is there any sort of discussions with suppliers for
more favorable terms?
Tambasco – From the consumers’ viewpoint, nothing has changed in
connection with our payment terms, in particular regarding non-food. We have
kept up our same aggressive policy. If you look at what Extra is doing, we even
increased disclosure of the more aggressive plans in terms of interest rates and
installment payments. Nothing has changed. What is happening is an opening
for us to adopt a more aggressive position in the market. When considering
discussions with our suppliers, it is obvious that at first there is a standstill, until
everybody comes to realize better what to do with their goods, so discussions
do become a little more difficult. At no time did we accept that this changing
market as a whole could affect our acquisition prices. We have been very
inflexible in our discussions, and we have been almost entirely successful.
We did not stop buying, except for a brief period until our suppliers came to a
better understanding, and we are following our plans to purchase regularly, to
enable ourselves to celebrate Extra’s anniversary, which we will hold this
month. We had no problems with the lack of goods, discussions are proceeding
almost normally. You may even think this is strange, but it is obvious that when
there is a crisis going on, discussions are difficult to begin with, but they tend to
bring a greater balance to everyone, whether in terms of costs, price positioning
by suppliers vis-à-vis the market, because it is obvious that nobody is willing to
raise prices without being sure that these prices will be accepted by consumers.
And the market is not paying, the market is very competitive, which fact helps
us to come to an agreement with suppliers on price levels very close to those
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
we had been practicing. Guessing what awaits us ahead is no easy task, but we
have been very successful and you can see in the newspapers that even the
greatest pessimists have begun speaking of a balance, a new adjustment with
suppliers to make not only discussions possible but also consumer sales. It is of
no use to agree on a sale price now and then to be unable to transfer it. As for
payment terms with our suppliers, nothing has changed, we have maintained
our policy of working with inventory levels at a closer adjustment with sales
demand, and we are seeking to maintain a balance between payment terms
and inventories in order not to jeopardize, or even to improve our cash position.
Marcel Moraes, CS – Perfect. Thank you Tambasco and Enéas.
Operator – Excuse me. Our next question comes from Ms. Daniela Bretthauer,
from Goldman Sachs.
Daniela – Good morning to all. Congratulations on the income figures. It seems
that 2008, to use an expression, is “in the bag”, and the question is: what now?
What can we expect from the Company for 2009? Will we have positive
surprises with regard to margins and cost reductions? What can Claudio tell us
on the 4th quarter and on 2009?
Claudio – Daniela, about what Enéas mentioned, we are still in the process, not
of preparing our budget which is already concluded, but we are examining the
different alternatives according to each scenario. But we are not yet prepared to
disclose any information, as this has not been approved yet by our Board of
Directors, which will take place in early November, and we will inform on
guidance early in the new year. What I can assure you of, is that we are
preparing a number of mantras to serve as our guide for 2009. And as far as
possible they will be aggressive, obviously with common sense prevailing, but
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
we are very well prepared, in terms of cash position as well as working capital,
inventories, and planning. In conclusion, prepared not only for this year-end,
which deserves our full attention right now, but as for 2009 we will come back to
this topic early in the year.
Daniela Bretthauer, GS – Let me ask the question in a different manner. Do
you still see chances by the Company for reducing costs and for margin gains?
Claudio – In principle, no company should ever abstain from seeking out
improved margins and greater cost reductions. When it does so - obviously you
don’t have this in the same proportions, it becomes ever more difficult to reduce
costs and seek out margins, but this is a permanent effort. Also, don’t forget my
nickname.
Daniela Bretthauer, GS – Claudio ‘scissors hands’. All right then. One last
question regarding the competitive environment, did you detect any changes in
September, more specifically in October, on whether the market slowed down.
Was it normal, did sales proceed well?
Tambasco – Daniela, what we have seen in the market is that our performance
is above the market’s. When you look at data disclosed by the supermarket
association, you will see that we were sometimes a little below the market in
general, and today we can show an expressive enough difference in connection
with projections disclosed by the Brazilian Supermarket Association (ABRAS)
itself. From the angle of competition, what we feel is that it is difficult for us to
say what is causing this impact. Whether it is the change in the proxy taxation
system, the invoices that supermarkets now have to issue, or the incentives
provided by government. All of this may cause a market impact and we have
seen a slight change in our competitiveness, chiefly when you see the
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
CompreBem banner, which operates amidst what we can describe as a more
informal competition, we detect a gain in competitiveness of roughly 150 to 200
bps, without any change in strategy by us. Our strategy with CompreBem has
been to maintain a stable pricing policy, very competitive. But this movement
towards gains in competitiveness has a share of the impact from the
competition’s price adjustments. In this competitive environment, and owing to
everything it did to date, Pão de Açucar has the ability to achieve and to keep
up this performance, of seeking out gains in the market, with all its banners.
Claudio – Let me add a few words to that. Imagine that at this moment we are
in a favorable negotiating position. The question is: if they raise prices and we
don’t buy, what are we going to do with the inventories? We may have gains in
margins, but we may transfer this advantage we have to the market. That is a
question on our policy at the time, of circumstances. I refer to this coming year-
end
Daniela Bretthauer, GS – All right. Thank you very much, congratulations, and
good luck.
Operator – Our next question comes from Mr. Ricardo Fernandez, from Banco
Itaú.
Ricardo Fernandez , Itaú – Good morning to all. I would like to go on a little
more regarding the changes in banners that you showed in the 3rd quarter’s
press release. How does this work…. which informs that Extra Perto has 10
less stores than allocated to Extra, Sendas here gained 14 stores from
CompreBem ABC. I would like to understand how this works, did they in fact
change banners or is this covered by… what is the logic behind this change?
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
Tambasco – Ricardo. Nothing has changed. In the case of Sendas, ABC
CompreBem is a banner still maintained in Rio, in the Lake and the Mountain
regions under the brand name of ABC CompreBem, there was no change, none
of these stores migrated to the Sendas banner. But all of them are a part of
Sendas Distribuidora. Here at Extra Perto, there was indeed a change in store
concept. We had separated these stores, Extra Perto, stores from 1500 to 4000
sq. mt. What we did was: all the stores above 2700 sq. mt. in sales area, we
simply renamed them Extra, with the “Perto” surname. Because the latter is a
hypermarket with the complete hypermarket product line, of course, with slight
changes in assortment, without eliminating a category or a session, not likely to
describe it as a hypermarket. That is why you will hear us speak a lot more on
Extra and compact Extra, but all under the same policy, the same strategy. No
changes as far as customers are concerned. When they go to a compact Extra
or to an Extra hypermarket, it is as if they were in the same store.
Ricardo Fernandez, Itaú – Does this mean that the Extra Perto format is being
discontinued?
Tambasco – No. We are keeping the Extra Perto stores, those stores with
areas below 2700 sq. mt., of which I spoke, they have more of a supermarket
nature, but with an assortment that complements supermarket purchases, such
as general merchandise and household appliances, larger than a conventional
supermarket. It is not a hypermarket, but a more complete supermarket. But
they don’t have textiles, heavy home appliances, so that this Extra Perto banner
will remain with this concept.
Ricardo Fernandez, Itaú – Looking at revenues per format, you will see
Sendas in the 3rd quarter with a 36% increase in revenues. A part of this comes
from stores previously under CompreBem and which you placed under Sendas,
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
and CompreBem grew a mere 1.8% because you took a number of stores and
placed them under Sendas, is that right?
Tambasco – That is correct. I don’t have the numbers right here, but there was
no change, it simply is a part of Sendas Distribuidora. And when we speak of
Sendas as a market, we look at the Rio de Janeiro region as a whole.
Ricardo Fernandez, Itaú – All right, but the CompreBem stores in Rio were
already a part of Sendas Distribuidora, correct?
Tambasco – Yes.
Ricardo Fernandez, Itaú – A second question refers to the taxation issue,
invoices, proxy taxation, etc. Do you have an idea of the extent of proxy
taxation, how many goods per annum or what percentage of goods sold are
covered by this system, to have an idea on whether on 1, 2, 5, or 10 years
ICMS tax will disappear.
Enéas – This issue of the migration of goods to the proxy taxation basket is not
such a recent procedure, the state of São Paulo was late in adopting it. Other
states in the country – Rio, for example – already have a basket of goods under
the proxy taxation system, much larger than São Paulo’s. The former governor
himself, Geraldo Alckmin, dedicated a lot of effort to strengthen this system.
And this year, as we have found, an extensive migration is occurring. It is
evident that the government or the tax authorities are behind this, as under the
proxy taxation system there is a much higher level of tax efficiency. Hence, with
regard to tax collections and costs of inspections, this system is much more
efficient. As for us, we have no reservations in this regard. In the case of formal
companies such as ours, this is very good as there is a trend to reduce
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
informality, creating a much fairer competition in the market by companies
under the same rules and that pay their taxes.
We often end up discussing the size of the tax basis, the margin attributed for
the purpose of calculating ICMS tax under this system. This is good for formal
companies, for the state, and for the country, in particular when it is combined
with other measures such electronic invoices and now with SPED. We are a
partner of the tax authorities and the state, and pioneers in this pilot project
involving electronic invoices and recently also SPED. I don’t have here any
information on the number of goods already subject to this system, which I
would have to separate according to each state, as there are different baskets
for each state. Yet I can assure you that São Paulo and also other states are
advancing steadily in this direction and we expect that by the end of the year
there will be a larger number of liquid goods included in this basket. Any
questions?
Ricardo Fernandez, Itaú – Liquids such as detergents and beer?
Enéas – Not detergents. Beverages in general.
Ricardo Fernandez, Itaú – Your understanding is that the state governments
are focusing on, with time, the great majority of goods in the retail market, if not
all of such goods, to be placed under this proxy taxation system at the
manufacturing stage and not in the retail stage.
Enéas – Exactly. It is evident that there are other systems, for example the
basic retail basket, in summary, other taxation systems, in our view everything
that can possibly migrate to a proxy taxation system, governments should go
ahead, and it is easy and evident to confirm that is what has been done in the
course of the recent months and years.
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
Ricardo Fernandez, Itaú – Under this scenario, do you think of paying more
attention to gaining a market share in the same stores – same store sales, as it
seems to be the case – or are you more inclined to buy out smaller chains, the
margins of which have declined progressively as they have to pay more taxes?
Or both?
Tambasco – With regard to sales, our expectations are to keep on gaining
market share, the data which Enéas referred to currently exist, this gain is
spread out in gains owing to the average ticket and gains owing to the number
of customers. Before, total growth was due to an increasing average ticket, and
now we can clearly see gains in the number of customers. This is the result of
this competitiveness we have placed in all our banners. In connection with
expansion, I will ask Caio to speak a little more to you on this subject.
Caio – Good morning. Our expansion efforts still include the opening of 12 new
stores by year-end. As for the smaller chains mentioned by you, we are keeping
an eye on every opportunity and studying anything likely to give us some
benefit, using a lot of caution. Some studies have taken place, yet we have
nothing concrete. We are considering, which does not mean we have
something for right away.
Ricardo Fernandez , Itaú – Very well.
Operator – Ladies and gentlemen, may I remind you that to ask a question,
please press *1. Our next question is by Ms. Juliana Rosenbaum, from
Unibanco.
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
Juliana Rosenbaum , Unibanco – Hello, good morning. I would like to
congratulate the Group for all it has achieved to date. First, I would like to
understand a little better the margin’s volatility by Sendas.
Operator – Excuse me. The line used by Ms. Rosenbaum has disconnected.
Our next question is by Mr. Marco di Tulio, from UBS Pactual.
Marco di Tulio, UBS – Good afternoon. Congratulations for the income figures.
I would like you to give us an idea of a comparison between the food and non-
food margins.
Tambasco – This can vary from one banner to another, and from category to
category. You have textiles operating with margins slightly above the
Company‘s average, and electric and electronic appliances slightly below. We
don’t disclose these figures, but what has happened is the following: We have
had a margin performance that I am able to say is uniform. There is no one area
that contributes to an improved competitiveness and that reflects on margins
differently from other categories. This is a stable enough position. Even in our
planning all the sales growth guidance that we disclosed for food and non-food,
they have remained fairly balanced. There are no data likely to present new
facts to us, worthwhile talking about.
But there is an expectation, our guidance and that of all the strategic planning
points this out to us, on the need for the Company to seek out an increasing
share in non-food. And despite the crisis, we are still under the expectation that
this gain will materialize through market gains, which is already happening.
Marco – Let me end with another question. Has this gain in margin taken place
in other categories, was there no category that performed better than others, is
that right?
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
Tambasco – We have looked for competitiveness in all of these categories.
The margin’s impact is not any larger or smaller in any category likely to bring
about a meaningful difference.
Marco – Thank you.
Operator – Our last question is by Mr. Marcel Moraes, from Credit Suisse.
Marcel Moraes, CS – During the presentation by Enéas, you remarked that
margins for the 3rd quarter, by Assai as well as Sendas, were slightly above
what we could expect as recurring. I would only like to make it clearer as to
what would these margins be for both companies. And whether the fact that
they were above what we should expect is a result of the fact that there were
less expenses with promotions during the 3rd quarter.
Enéas – Our expectations for Sendas are that the gross margin should return to
a 27% to 27.5% level for the year. As for Assai, we are speaking of 15.5% to
16%. These would be adequate levels, without the effects of encouraging
results and margins through mix, competition, and pricing opportunities as seen
in the 3rd quarter. I’ll ask Tambasco to say a few words on the commercial
feeling for this topic.
Tambasco – Guidance will not change. We should see no changes. We should
look more closely at this margin regarding the nine-month period than that for
the 3rd quarter. In Sendas’ case, what you see is a very competitive market in
Rio, but this is a quarter in which there is less concentration than what the retail
trade normally shows, which are anniversary campaigns. These campaigns are
very aggressive and force you to reduce your margins somewhat, to maintain
Conference Call Transcript
3Q08 Results
Grupo Pão de Açúcar
November 5, 2008
your presence in the market. And during this last quarter there were very few
actions in this direction. But this is not so for the last quarter. You have more
anniversary actions, including Sendas’ own anniversary, which took place last
month. This is a gain arising much more from a seasonal event than from a
change in strategy. If you should consider a comparison with last year, there
was in fact a decline in the margin, owing to this pursuit of greater
competitiveness under all the banners.
Marcel – Very good.
Operator – We will now end the questions and answers session. I would like to
go back to the Company, for the final considerations.
Daniela Sabbag – Thank you for everybody’s attendance. Should you have any
queries, please get in touch with the Investor Relations department. Thank you
very much and good afternoon.
Operator – The Grupo Pão de Açúcar conference call on profit figures is now
over. The Group’s Investor Relations department is available to reply to any
other queries or issues. We thank you all for your attendance and have a good
day. Thank you.