ComRes Published Voting Intention Figures€¦ · Table 1/2 ONLINE Opinion Poll Q1.€Thinking back to the General Election earlier this year, which party, if any, did you vote for?

ComRes Published Voting Intention Figures

Sunday Mirror /

Independent on

Sunday

Daily Mail

Sunday Mirror /

Independent on

Sunday

Daily Mail

Sunday Mirror /

Independent on

Sunday

Daily Mail

18th October 28th September 20th September 24th August 16th August 26th July

Conservative 42% 39% 42% 42% 40% 40%

Labour 29% 30% 30% 28% 29% 28%

Liberal Democrat 7% 9% 7% 8% 8% 7%

UKIP 13% 12% 13% 9% 13% 10%

Green 3% 4% 3% 6% 4% 5%

SNP 5% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5%

Other 1% 3% 1% 3% 1% 3%

METHODOLOGY NOTE

ComRes interviewed 2,051 GB adults online between 14th and 15th October 2015. Data were weighted to be demographically

representative of all GB adults. Data were also weighted by past vote recall. Voting intention figures are calculated using the

ComRes Voter Turnout Model. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules.

To commission a voting intention poll or a public opinion survey please contact Katharine Peacock:

[email protected]

To register for Pollwatch, a weekly newsletter update on the polls, please email: [email protected]

Table 1/1

ONLINE Opinion PollQ1. Thinking back to the General Election earlier this year, which party, if any, did you vote for? Was it Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP or some other party, or did you not vote?Base: All respondents

GENDER AGE SOCIAL GRADE REGION SUMMARY

Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE England ScotlandEngland& Wales North Midlands South

Unweighted Total 2051 1044 1007 231 324 308 383 307 498 490 615 390 556 1751 188 1863 480 530 741

Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Conservative 667 314 353 51 84 96 112 114 210 226 197 135 109 612 29 638 141 213 25932% 31% 34% 22% 24% 28% 30% 38% 46% 41% 35% 30% 22% 35% 16% 34% 28% 40% 35%

Labour 567 289 278 92 111 109 107 68 80 123 169 123 151 498 34 533 181 126 19128% 29% 26% 39% 32% 32% 29% 23% 17% 23% 30% 27% 31% 28% 19% 28% 36% 24% 26%

Liberal Democrat 144 73 71 18 20 22 18 18 47 55 40 27 22 123 11 133 27 31 647% 7% 7% 8% 6% 7% 5% 6% 10% 10% 7% 6% 4% 7% 6% 7% 6% 6% 9%

UKIP 237 139 98 15 31 29 46 46 70 49 53 55 80 227 1 236 60 83 8512% 14% 9% 6% 9% 9% 13% 15% 15% 9% 9% 12% 16% 13% * 13% 12% 16% 11%

SNP 87 36 51 4 19 14 20 15 16 26 28 17 16 - 87 - - - -4% 4% 5% 2% 5% 4% 5% 5% 3% 5% 5% 4% 3% - 49% - - - -

Some other party 97 51 46 15 18 19 24 12 8 23 22 27 26 81 3 94 16 24 415% 5% 4% 6% 5% 6% 7% 4% 2% 4% 4% 6% 5% 5% 1% 5% 3% 4% 6%

Did not vote 214 82 132 30 55 48 35 23 23 36 51 54 73 194 12 202 67 47 8110% 8% 13% 13% 16% 14% 10% 8% 5% 7% 9% 12% 15% 11% 7% 11% 13% 9% 11%

Don't remember 13 5 7 3 6 1 3 - - 2 4 1 7 11 2 11 2 4 61% 1% 1% 1% 2% * 1% - - * 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1%

Prefer not to say 26 10 16 6 9 3 3 3 1 8 5 8 5 24 2 24 4 4 161% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% * 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%

Fieldwork: 14th - 16th October 2015 Prepared by ComRes

Page 1

Table 1/2


VOTING INTENTION PAST VOTE – GENERAL ELECTION 2015

Total Cons LabLib

Dems UKIP Green SNP Cons LabLib

Dems UKIP

Unweighted Total 2051 591 592 100 323 62 93 569 594 118 323

Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Conservative 667 599 12 10 22 1 - 667 - - -32% 89% 2% 8% 9% 2% - 100% - - -

Labour 567 25 463 11 24 8 1 - 567 - -28% 4% 80% 10% 10% 12% 2% - 100% - -

Liberal Democrat 144 12 26 88 2 4 - - - 144 -7% 2% 5% 74% 1% 6% - - - 100% -

UKIP 237 17 10 1 192 1 - - - - 23712% 3% 2% * 76% 2% - - - - 100%

SNP 87 - 2 - - 1 84 - - - -4% - * - - 1% 97% - - - -

Some other party 97 2 28 6 2 41 - - - - -5% * 5% 5% 1% 65% - - - - -

Did not vote 214 15 37 2 8 6 - - - - -10% 2% 6% 2% 3% 10% - - - - -

Don't remember 13 - - - 1 - - - - - -1% - - - * - - - - - -

Prefer not to say 26 4 1 - 1 1 1 - - - -1% 1% * - 1% 1% 1% - - - -


Page 2

Table 1/3


REGION

Total ScotlandNorthEast

NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands

EastMidlands Wales Eastern London

SouthEast

SouthWest

Unweighted Total 2051 188 81 216 183 182 122 112 226 275 305 161

Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Conservative 667 29 20 56 64 66 65 25 82 80 117 6132% 16% 24% 24% 36% 36% 43% 25% 42% 29% 40% 34%

Labour 567 34 27 97 57 50 40 35 36 93 57 4128% 19% 31% 42% 32% 27% 26% 34% 18% 34% 20% 23%

Liberal Democrat 144 11 6 14 7 11 5 10 15 19 25 217% 6% 7% 6% 4% 6% 3% 10% 8% 7% 9% 12%

UKIP 237 1 17 25 18 27 23 9 33 27 39 1812% * 19% 11% 10% 15% 15% 9% 17% 10% 14% 10%

SNP 87 87 - - - - - - - - - -4% 49% - - - - - - - - - -

Some other party 97 3 1 7 7 6 8 14 9 13 11 175% 1% 1% 3% 4% 3% 6% 14% 5% 5% 4% 10%

Did not vote 214 12 15 31 20 22 9 8 16 32 31 1810% 7% 17% 13% 12% 12% 6% 8% 8% 12% 11% 10%

Don't remember 13 2 - 1 1 1 1 - 2 4 2 -1% 1% - * * * 1% - 1% 1% 1% -

Prefer not to say 26 2 - 2 1 1 1 1 2 4 7 41% 1% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2%


Page 3

Table 2/1

ONLINE Opinion PollQ2. If there were a General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means you are certain NOT to vote and 10 means you are absolutely CERTAIN to vote?Base: All respondents




Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

1 - Certain not to vote (1) 81 28 52 7 15 17 19 14 8 15 21 17 27 75 3 78 28 18 294% 3% 5% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 2% 3% 4% 4% 6% 4% 1% 4% 6% 3% 4%

2 (2) 15 7 8 4 2 2 3 1 2 1 4 5 4 14 1 14 4 8 21% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% * 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% *

3 (3) 10 6 4 2 4 1 1 1 1 2 4 - 4 9 1 9 5 3 1* 1% * 1% 1% * * * * * 1% - 1% * * 1% 1% 1% *

4 (4) 15 7 8 5 5 3 1 - 1 2 7 1 5 15 - 15 9 3 21% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% * - * * 1% * 1% 1% - 1% 2% 1% *

5 (5) 52 22 30 7 21 9 9 4 3 8 11 16 17 50 2 50 12 13 263% 2% 3% 3% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 4% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 3%

6 (6) 62 19 43 21 19 12 3 3 5 13 17 17 15 51 4 58 13 10 283% 2% 4% 9% 5% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 4%

7 (7) 94 47 46 24 31 12 17 4 6 26 27 23 19 82 4 90 18 27 375% 5% 4% 10% 9% 4% 5% 1% 1% 5% 5% 5% 4% 5% 2% 5% 4% 5% 5%

8 (8) 125 61 64 14 26 31 23 15 15 43 36 21 24 108 9 116 23 31 546% 6% 6% 6% 7% 9% 6% 5% 3% 8% 6% 5% 5% 6% 5% 6% 5% 6% 7%

9 (9) 237 116 121 32 48 38 38 37 45 82 72 40 42 212 16 221 61 68 8312% 12% 12% 14% 13% 11% 10% 12% 10% 15% 13% 9% 9% 12% 9% 12% 12% 13% 11%

10 - Absolutely certain to vote (10) 1288 655 633 107 168 197 241 213 361 345 349 290 304 1095 130 1158 313 335 44763% 66% 60% 46% 48% 58% 65% 71% 79% 63% 61% 65% 62% 62% 73% 62% 63% 63% 60%

Prefer not to say 11 7 4 2 4 4 1 - - 2 5 1 3 8 2 9 1 4 31% 1% * 1% 1% 1% * - - * 1% * 1% * 1% * * 1% *

Don't know 62 22 40 11 10 13 13 7 8 9 15 16 22 51 7 56 9 12 293% 2% 4% 5% 3% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 3% 4% 3% 2% 2% 4%

Mean score 8.85 9.01 8.70 8.26 8.28 8.68 8.86 9.14 9.49 9.06 8.83 8.85 8.62 8.79 9.35 8.80 8.67 8.88 8.81Standard deviation 2.22 2.03 2.38 2.35 2.42 2.38 2.35 2.11 1.55 1.86 2.21 2.25 2.55 2.28 1.65 2.26 2.51 2.19 2.17Standard error .05 .06 .08 .16 .14 .14 .12 .12 .07 .08 .09 .12 .11 .06 .12 .05 .12 .10 .08


Page 4

Table 2/2



Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

1 - Certain not to vote (1) 81 - - - - - - 3 4 - 14% - - - - - - * 1% - 1%

2 (2) 15 - - - - - - 1 1 2 -1% - - - - - - * * 1% -

3 (3) 10 - - - - - - - 2 - 2* - - - - - - - * - 1%

4 (4) 15 - - - - - - 3 5 - 11% - - - - - - * 1% - *

5 (5) 52 6 16 - 7 3 - 3 9 1 33% 1% 3% - 3% 6% - * 2% 1% 1%

6 (6) 62 15 29 1 7 1 3 11 25 1 83% 2% 5% 1% 3% 2% 3% 2% 4% * 3%

7 (7) 94 29 34 11 7 6 2 25 28 10 65% 4% 6% 9% 3% 9% 2% 4% 5% 7% 3%

8 (8) 125 53 34 7 10 7 6 48 34 5 116% 8% 6% 6% 4% 11% 7% 7% 6% 3% 4%

9 (9) 237 85 72 25 26 13 7 91 69 23 2712% 13% 12% 21% 10% 21% 8% 14% 12% 16% 11%

10 - Absolutely certain to vote (10) 1288 488 394 75 195 32 70 475 378 97 17663% 72% 68% 63% 77% 51% 80% 71% 67% 67% 74%

Prefer not to say 11 - - - - - - - 2 - -1% - - - - - - - * - -

Don't know 62 - - - - - - 6 11 5 33% - - - - - - 1% 2% 4% 1%

Mean score 8.85 9.46 9.24 9.37 9.48 8.92 9.60 9.43 9.19 9.37 9.39Standard deviation 2.22 1.04 1.35 .99 1.19 1.45 .93 1.22 1.57 1.32 1.42Standard error .05 .04 .06 .10 .07 .18 .10 .05 .07 .12 .08


Page 5

Table 2/3


REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

1 - Certain not to vote (1) 81 3 5 10 14 6 4 3 7 19 4 54% 1% 6% 4% 8% 4% 3% 3% 4% 7% 2% 3%

2 (2) 15 1 2 2 - 4 1 - 2 1 1 11% 1% 2% 1% - 2% 1% - 1% * * *

3 (3) 10 1 1 3 1 1 - 1 1 1 - -* * 1% 1% * 1% - 1% 1% 1% - -

4 (4) 15 - 4 4 1 1 - - 2 2 - -1% - 5% 2% 1% * - - 1% 1% - -

5 (5) 52 2 1 9 2 7 4 - 2 10 8 83% 1% 1% 4% 1% 4% 3% - 1% 4% 3% 4%

6 (6) 62 4 2 9 2 2 3 7 4 14 9 53% 2% 3% 4% 1% 1% 2% 7% 2% 5% 3% 3%

7 (7) 94 4 6 8 4 7 8 8 12 15 11 115% 2% 7% 3% 2% 4% 5% 7% 6% 6% 4% 6%

8 (8) 125 9 4 8 12 13 5 7 14 20 18 166% 5% 4% 3% 7% 7% 3% 7% 7% 7% 6% 9%

9 (9) 237 16 7 27 28 19 27 9 22 29 38 1712% 9% 8% 12% 16% 10% 18% 9% 11% 11% 13% 9%

10 - Absolutely certain to vote (10) 1288 130 51 149 113 115 95 63 125 149 188 10963% 73% 59% 64% 64% 62% 63% 61% 64% 55% 65% 60%

Prefer not to say 11 2 - - 1 2 2 1 - 1 2 -1% 1% - - * 1% 1% 1% - * 1% -

Don't know 62 7 3 6 1 6 2 5 4 10 11 93% 4% 4% 2% * 3% 2% 5% 2% 4% 4% 5%

Mean score 8.85 9.35 8.31 8.72 8.79 8.76 9.05 8.93 8.87 8.38 9.18 8.87Standard deviation 2.22 1.65 2.79 2.39 2.51 2.37 1.95 1.95 2.21 2.62 1.66 2.04Standard error .05 .12 .32 .16 .19 .18 .18 .19 .15 .16 .10 .16


Page 6

Table 3/1

ONLINE Opinion PollQ3. If there were a General Election tomorrow to elect MPs to Westminster, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, Plaid Cymru or for some other party?Base: All likely to vote




Weighted Total 1858 921 937 204 312 299 331 277 435 517 513 407 422 1599 165 1692 440 483 675100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Conservative 640 311 329 46 81 90 103 114 205 214 188 128 110 588 26 614 139 200 25034% 34% 35% 23% 26% 30% 31% 41% 47% 41% 37% 32% 26% 37% 16% 36% 31% 41% 37%

Labour 539 287 252 89 109 108 102 61 69 123 157 121 138 478 28 511 178 118 18229% 31% 27% 44% 35% 36% 31% 22% 16% 24% 31% 30% 33% 30% 17% 30% 40% 24% 27%


UKIP 238 137 101 15 28 29 50 45 69 46 45 69 78 226 3 234 52 78 9613% 15% 11% 7% 9% 10% 15% 16% 16% 9% 9% 17% 19% 14% 2% 14% 12% 16% 14%

Green 56 24 33 10 15 11 11 5 4 13 15 14 14 50 3 53 10 18 213% 3% 3% 5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 4% 3%

SNP 84 34 50 6 17 14 20 15 14 25 25 18 17 - 84 - - - -5% 4% 5% 3% 5% 5% 6% 5% 3% 5% 5% 4% 4% - 51% - - - -

Plaid Cymru 9 6 3 - 2 - 4 2 1 2 1 2 4 - - 9 - - -* 1% * - 1% - 1% 1% * * * 1% 1% - - 1% - - -

BNP 4 1 3 1 1 - 1 1 - - 2 1 1 4 - 4 1 1 2* * * * * - * * - - * * * * - * * * *

Some other party 5 3 1 1 2 - - 1 1 - 3 1 1 5 - 5 1 1 3* * * * 1% - - * * - 1% * * * - * * * *

Prefer not to say 17 5 12 4 7 1 3 1 1 5 2 5 4 16 1 16 1 4 101% 1% 1% 2% 2% * 1% * * 1% * 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 2%

Don't know 162 56 106 18 32 30 28 17 36 43 47 30 41 144 10 152 39 45 619% 6% 11% 9% 10% 10% 8% 6% 8% 8% 9% 7% 10% 9% 6% 9% 9% 9% 9%


Page 7

Table 3/2



Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 1858 675 579 118 252 63 86 653 542 137 230100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Conservative 640 640 - - - - - 578 20 10 1534% 95% - - - - - 89% 4% 8% 7%

Labour 539 - 539 - - - - 10 438 23 929% - 93% - - - - 2% 81% 17% 4%

Liberal Democrat 104 - - 104 - - - 7 10 80 -6% - - 88% - - - 1% 2% 59% -

UKIP 238 - - - 238 - - 22 22 2 18213% - - - 94% - - 3% 4% 1% 79%

Green 56 - - - - 56 - 1 6 2 13% - - - - 90% - * 1% 2% 1%

SNP 84 - - - - - 84 - 1 - -5% - - - - - 98% - * - -

Plaid Cymru 9 - - - - - - - - - 2* - - - - - - - - - 1%

BNP 4 - - - - - - - - - 2* - - - - - - - - - 1%

Some other party 5 - - - - - - - 2 - 1* - - - - - - - * - *

Prefer not to say 17 - - - 1 1 - 2 1 - 11% - - - 1% 1% - * * - *

Don't know 162 35 40 14 13 6 2 32 41 19 189% 5% 7% 12% 5% 9% 2% 5% 8% 14% 8%


Page 8

Table 3/3


REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 1858 165 71 210 159 163 142 94 178 238 271 166100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Conservative 640 26 19 56 63 56 64 26 80 80 114 5534% 16% 27% 27% 40% 35% 45% 28% 45% 34% 42% 33%

Labour 539 28 27 97 54 49 34 33 36 87 56 3929% 17% 38% 46% 34% 30% 24% 35% 20% 37% 21% 23%


UKIP 238 3 13 21 18 25 19 9 34 29 49 1713% 2% 18% 10% 11% 15% 13% 10% 19% 12% 18% 11%

Green 56 3 1 7 3 8 7 4 4 10 4 73% 2% 1% 3% 2% 5% 5% 4% 2% 4% 2% 4%

SNP 84 84 - - - - - - - - - -5% 51% - - - - - - - - - -

Plaid Cymru 9 - - - - - - 9 - - - -* - - - - - - 9% - - - -

BNP 4 - - - 1 1 - - - - 1 1* - - - 1% * - - - - * 1%

Some other party 5 - - 1 1 - - - 1 1 1 1* - - * * - - - * * * 1%

Prefer not to say 17 1 - 1 - 1 1 - 2 2 5 31% 1% - * - 1% 1% - 1% 1% 2% 2%

Don't know 162 10 6 19 13 16 11 8 17 18 21 219% 6% 9% 9% 8% 10% 8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 13%


Page 9

Table 4/1

ONLINE Opinion PollQ4. If it were a legal requirement for you to vote, do you think you would probably vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, Plaid Cymru or for some other party?Base: All unlikely to vote or unsure who they would vote for at the General election




Weighted Total 372 140 232 53 80 72 69 41 57 79 105 76 112 331 24 348 96 97 139100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Conservative 42 15 28 6 6 4 3 9 14 14 15 6 8 41 1 42 13 13 1511% 11% 12% 12% 8% 5% 5% 23% 24% 17% 15% 8% 7% 12% 3% 12% 13% 14% 10%

Labour 60 25 34 11 14 16 6 4 8 9 14 15 22 56 1 59 22 10 2416% 18% 15% 20% 18% 23% 9% 10% 14% 11% 13% 20% 19% 17% 3% 17% 23% 11% 17%

Liberal Democrat 16 10 6 2 5 3 2 1 3 3 9 4 - 15 - 16 2 8 54% 7% 2% 4% 7% 4% 3% 3% 5% 3% 8% 5% - 4% - 4% 2% 8% 4%

UKIP 26 13 13 2 2 3 6 9 4 7 3 6 9 24 2 24 6 8 107% 9% 5% 3% 3% 5% 9% 21% 6% 9% 3% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 9% 7%

Green 10 4 6 - 1 2 4 - 2 2 3 - 5 9 - 10 2 5 23% 3% 3% - 2% 3% 6% - 4% 3% 3% - 4% 3% - 3% 2% 5% 2%

SNP 3 2 2 - - 1 1 - 2 - 2 - 2 - 3 - - - -1% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% - 3% - 2% - 1% - 14% - - - -

Plaid Cymru 3 1 2 - 1 1 1 - - 1 - 1 1 - - 3 - - -1% 1% 1% - 1% 2% 1% - - 1% - 1% 1% - - 1% - - -

BNP - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Some other party 4 4 - - - - 1 3 - - 1 1 2 4 - 4 1 1 11% 3% - - - - 2% 7% - - 1% 1% 2% 1% - 1% 2% 1% 1%

Prefer not to say 28 11 17 6 10 3 4 1 4 7 9 6 7 23 4 24 2 6 158% 8% 7% 11% 12% 4% 6% 2% 7% 9% 8% 7% 6% 7% 15% 7% 2% 6% 11%

Don't know 180 55 125 26 40 38 41 14 21 37 49 37 57 159 14 166 48 45 6648% 39% 54% 50% 50% 53% 59% 34% 37% 46% 47% 49% 51% 48% 59% 48% 50% 47% 48%


Page 10

Table 4/2



Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 372 35 40 14 14 6 2 48 67 26 25100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Conservative 42 24 - - - - - 19 4 1 211% 69% - - - - - 39% 6% 5% 8%

Labour 60 - 22 - - - - 1 26 4 216% - 54% - - - - 2% 38% 16% 9%

Liberal Democrat 16 - - 10 - - - 5 2 8 -4% - - 74% - - - 9% 2% 30% -

UKIP 26 - - - 10 - - - 4 2 107% - - - 72% - - - 7% 6% 39%

Green 10 - - - - 5 - - 2 2 -3% - - - - 76% - - 3% 6% -

SNP 3 - - - - - 2 - - - -1% - - - - - 100% - - - -

Plaid Cymru 3 - - - - - - - 1 - -1% - - - - - - - 1% - -

BNP - - - - - - - - - - -- - - - - - - - - - -

Some other party 4 - - - - - - - - - -1% - - - - - - - - - -

Prefer not to say 28 1 - - - 1 - 3 - - 18% 2% - - - 12% - 6% - - 4%

Don't know 180 10 18 4 4 1 - 21 28 9 1048% 29% 46% 26% 28% 12% - 43% 42% 36% 40%


Page 11

Table 4/3


REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 372 24 21 44 30 39 22 17 35 55 45 39100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Conservative 42 1 6 5 1 5 4 1 4 6 4 511% 3% 27% 12% 5% 14% 17% 7% 12% 12% 8% 12%

Labour 60 1 4 14 4 2 5 3 3 12 6 716% 3% 19% 31% 14% 5% 24% 16% 9% 21% 13% 17%

Liberal Democrat 16 - - 1 1 5 - 1 2 3 1 14% - - 1% 4% 13% - 4% 7% 5% 3% 3%

UKIP 26 2 1 5 - 6 2 - 1 5 3 27% 7% 7% 10% - 15% 9% - 2% 9% 6% 4%

Green 10 - - 2 - 3 - 2 2 1 1 -3% - - 5% - 7% - 9% 5% 3% 2% -

SNP 3 3 - - - - - - - - - -1% 14% - - - - - - - - - -

Plaid Cymru 3 - - - - - - 3 - - - -1% - - - - - - 16% - - - -

BNP - - - - - - - - - - - -- - - - - - - - - - - -

Some other party 4 - - 1 1 1 - - - - 1 11% - - 2% 2% 3% - - - - 2% 2%

Prefer not to say 28 4 - 1 1 2 1 1 3 2 10 38% 15% - 2% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 4% 22% 8%

Don't know 180 14 10 16 22 15 10 7 20 25 20 2148% 59% 48% 36% 71% 39% 44% 41% 57% 46% 44% 54%


Page 12

Table 5/1

ONLINE Opinion PollQ5. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat, UKIP, SNP, Plaid Cymru or another party?Base: All respondents




Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Conservative 636 309 327 45 73 85 103 120 210 206 187 129 114 584 25 611 130 214 24031% 31% 31% 19% 21% 25% 28% 40% 46% 38% 33% 29% 23% 33% 14% 33% 26% 40% 32%

Labour 624 322 302 97 114 117 116 80 99 136 184 132 172 549 35 589 208 140 20130% 32% 29% 41% 32% 34% 31% 27% 22% 25% 32% 30% 35% 31% 19% 31% 42% 26% 27%


UKIP 184 106 79 15 27 28 39 30 46 39 38 42 65 177 2 182 48 53 779% 11% 7% 6% 8% 8% 11% 10% 10% 7% 7% 9% 13% 10% 1% 10% 10% 10% 10%

Green 51 21 30 8 13 7 13 5 4 12 16 13 10 46 1 50 5 21 192% 2% 3% 4% 4% 2% 4% 2% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% * 3% 1% 4% 3%

SNP 85 35 50 5 18 14 19 14 15 24 26 18 17 - 85 - - - -4% 3% 5% 2% 5% 4% 5% 5% 3% 4% 5% 4% 3% - 47% - - - -

Plaid Cymru 12 9 3 1 5 1 2 2 1 2 2 5 2 - - 12 - - -1% 1% * * 1% * 1% 1% * * * 1% 1% - - 1% - - -

BNP 3 1 3 1 - - 1 1 1 - 2 1 1 3 - 3 - 1 2* * * * - - * * * - * * * * - * - * *

Some other party 13 9 4 1 4 - 2 5 2 5 3 4 1 13 - 13 4 2 71% 1% * * 1% - 1% 2% * 1% 1% 1% * 1% - 1% 1% * 1%

Prefer not to say 38 15 23 7 12 5 9 2 4 9 11 8 10 33 4 33 2 8 232% 1% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% * 1% 3%

Don't know 277 99 178 39 66 63 52 23 34 62 63 76 77 251 17 260 78 62 11213% 10% 17% 17% 19% 18% 14% 8% 7% 11% 11% 17% 16% 14% 9% 14% 16% 12% 15%


Page 13

Table 5/2



Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Conservative 636 578 5 2 32 1 - 559 9 5 3531% 86% 1% 2% 13% 1% - 84% 2% 3% 15%

Labour 624 27 513 11 21 8 2 17 493 24 2030% 4% 89% 9% 8% 13% 3% 3% 87% 16% 8%

Liberal Democrat 129 7 20 89 3 2 - 10 14 88 36% 1% 3% 76% 1% 3% - 1% 3% 61% 1%

UKIP 184 10 2 - 162 - - 16 8 1 1439% 1% * - 64% - - 2% 1% * 60%

Green 51 - 4 - 1 44 - 1 3 - 22% - 1% - * 70% - * 1% - 1%

SNP 85 - 1 - - - 83 - 1 - -4% - * - - - 96% - * - -

Plaid Cymru 12 2 1 - - - - 2 1 - 21% * * - - - - * * - 1%

BNP 3 - - - 1 - - - - - 1* - - - * - - - - - 1%

Some other party 13 2 3 1 1 2 - 2 1 1 -1% * 1% 1% * 3% - * * 1% -

Prefer not to say 38 2 1 - 3 - 1 4 1 1 32% * * - 1% - 1% 1% * 1% 1%

Don't know 277 46 28 15 30 7 1 55 34 25 2813% 7% 5% 12% 12% 11% 1% 8% 6% 17% 12%


Page 14

Table 5/3


REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Conservative 636 25 17 55 59 67 71 26 77 80 109 5031% 14% 19% 23% 33% 36% 47% 26% 39% 30% 38% 28%

Labour 624 35 32 112 64 57 44 40 39 89 65 4730% 19% 37% 48% 36% 31% 29% 39% 20% 33% 22% 26%


UKIP 184 2 13 21 14 19 11 5 23 20 37 209% 1% 15% 9% 8% 10% 7% 5% 12% 7% 13% 11%

Green 51 1 1 2 2 8 7 4 6 6 4 92% * 1% 1% 1% 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 5%

SNP 85 85 - - - - - - - - - -4% 47% - - - - - - - - - -

Plaid Cymru 12 - - - - - - 12 - - - -1% - - - - - - 11% - - - -

BNP 3 - - - - 1 1 - - - 1 1* - - - - * * - - - * 1%

Some other party 13 - - 2 3 1 - - 1 4 3 -1% - - 1% 2% 1% - - 1% 1% 1% -

Prefer not to say 38 4 1 1 - 2 3 1 3 4 13 72% 2% 1% * - 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4% 4%

Don't know 277 17 18 31 29 19 12 9 31 50 32 3013% 9% 21% 13% 16% 10% 8% 9% 16% 18% 11% 17%


Page 15

Table 6/1

ONLINE Opinion PollQ3/Q4/Q5 Voting intention (Turnout weighted)Base: All likely to vote and expressing a voting intention




Weighted Total 1262 621 641 91 142 195 235 232 366 510 403 235 114 1087 115 1147 306 329 452100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Conservative 530 246 284 26 45 69 87 111 192 238 175 81 36 488 22 509 122 164 20242% 40% 44% 28% 32% 35% 37% 48% 52% 47% 43% 35% 31% 45% 19% 44% 40% 50% 45%

Labour 363 183 180 43 55 75 75 51 64 127 124 75 37 323 19 344 124 78 12129% 30% 28% 47% 39% 38% 32% 22% 18% 25% 31% 32% 32% 30% 17% 30% 40% 24% 27%


UKIP 166 98 69 7 11 19 36 38 56 54 42 46 25 159 2 164 37 54 6713% 16% 11% 7% 8% 10% 15% 16% 15% 11% 10% 20% 22% 15% 2% 14% 12% 16% 15%

Green 38 14 24 4 8 7 10 4 4 14 13 6 5 32 2 36 7 12 133% 2% 4% 5% 6% 4% 4% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 2% 4% 3%

SNP 62 23 39 3 8 10 14 12 15 26 20 11 5 - 62 - - - -5% 4% 6% 3% 6% 5% 6% 5% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% - 54% - - - -

Plaid Cymru 6 3 3 - 1 - 3 1 1 2 1 2 1 - - 6 - - -* * * - 1% - 1% * * * * 1% 1% - - * - - -

BNP 2 1 2 * 1 - 1 * - - 2 * * 2 - 2 1 * 1* * * * * - * * - - * * * * - * * * *

Other 3 3 * * 1 - - 1 1 - 2 1 * 3 - 3 * 1 2* * * * 1% - - * * - * * * * - * * * *


Page 16

Table 6/2



Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 1262 530 363 92 166 38 62 508 335 106 152100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Conservative 530 530 - - - - - 473 19 9 1442% 100% - - - - - 93% 6% 9% 9%

Labour 363 - 363 - - - - 8 291 21 729% - 100% - - - - 2% 87% 20% 4%

Liberal Democrat 92 - - 92 - - - 9 7 70 *7% - - 100% - - - 2% 2% 67% *

UKIP 166 - - - 166 - - 17 14 2 12713% - - - 100% - - 3% 4% 2% 83%

Green 38 - - - - 38 - 1 3 3 13% - - - - 100% - * 1% 3% 1%

SNP 62 - - - - - 62 - 1 - -5% - - - - - 100% - * - -

Plaid Cymru 6 - - - - - - - * - 2* - - - - - - - * - 1%

BNP 2 - - - - - - - - - 1* - - - - - - - - - 1%

Other 3 - - - - - - - 1 - 1* - - - - - - - * - *


Page 17

Table 6/3


REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 1262 115 48 147 112 101 103 59 126 160 185 107100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Conservative 530 22 18 50 54 43 53 21 69 61 95 4542% 19% 37% 34% 48% 42% 51% 35% 54% 38% 52% 42%

Labour 363 19 17 70 37 27 25 21 26 61 34 2729% 17% 36% 48% 33% 27% 24% 35% 21% 38% 18% 25%


UKIP 166 2 9 15 13 18 15 5 21 22 35 1113% 2% 18% 10% 12% 18% 14% 8% 17% 14% 19% 10%

Green 38 2 1 4 2 6 4 3 3 5 3 53% 2% 2% 2% 2% 6% 4% 6% 2% 3% 1% 5%

SNP 62 62 - - - - - - - - - -5% 54% - - - - - - - - - -

Plaid Cymru 6 - - - - - - 6 - - - -* - - - - - - 9% - - - -

BNP 2 - - - 1 * - - - - * 1* - - - * * - - - - * 1%

Other 3 - - * * - - - 1 1 1 1* - - * * - - - * * * 1%


Page 18

Table 7/1

ONLINE Opinion PollQ6_1. For each of the following pairs of statements, which comes closest to your view?Base: All respondents




Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

I trust Jeremy Corbyn and JohnMcDonnell more than DavidCameron and George Osborne torun the country's economy 602 306 295 89 132 119 118 69 74 141 155 142 164 503 62 540 192 117 193

29% 31% 28% 38% 38% 35% 32% 23% 16% 26% 27% 32% 34% 28% 35% 29% 39% 22% 26%

I trust David Cameron and GeorgeOsborne more than Jeremy Corbynand John McDonnell to run thecountry's economy 985 502 483 79 121 140 171 171 303 304 287 201 192 881 59 926 200 300 380

48% 50% 46% 34% 34% 41% 46% 57% 66% 56% 51% 45% 39% 50% 33% 49% 40% 56% 51%

Don't know 465 191 274 65 99 81 80 59 79 102 126 104 132 386 58 407 104 114 16923% 19% 26% 28% 28% 24% 22% 20% 17% 19% 22% 23% 27% 22% 32% 22% 21% 22% 23%


Page 19

Table 7/2



Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

I trust Jeremy Corbyn and John McDonnellmore than David Cameron and GeorgeOsborne to run the country's economy 602 24 396 22 43 30 38 23 333 40 46

29% 3% 68% 19% 17% 49% 44% 3% 59% 28% 20%

I trust David Cameron and George Osbornemore than Jeremy Corbyn and JohnMcDonnell to run the country's economy 985 619 64 70 135 9 17 584 92 79 134

48% 92% 11% 60% 54% 14% 20% 88% 16% 55% 57%

Don't know 465 32 119 26 74 23 31 60 142 24 5623% 5% 21% 22% 29% 37% 36% 9% 25% 17% 24%


Page 20

Table 7/3


REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

I trust Jeremy Corbyn and John McDonnellmore than David Cameron and GeorgeOsborne to run the country's economy 602 62 35 92 65 52 30 37 35 81 65 47

29% 35% 41% 40% 37% 28% 20% 36% 18% 30% 23% 26%

I trust David Cameron and George Osbornemore than Jeremy Corbyn and JohnMcDonnell to run the country's economy 985 59 32 87 82 93 94 45 114 126 169 85

48% 33% 37% 37% 46% 50% 62% 44% 58% 46% 58% 47%

Don't know 465 58 19 54 30 40 28 21 46 66 55 4823% 32% 22% 23% 17% 22% 19% 20% 23% 24% 19% 27%


Page 21

Table 8/1





Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

I expect that if Labour were ingovernment they would borrow moremoney than the Conservatives 1145 598 547 110 136 149 212 199 339 344 335 229 237 1001 85 1059 272 320 410

56% 60% 52% 47% 39% 44% 57% 66% 74% 63% 59% 51% 48% 57% 48% 57% 55% 60% 55%

I expect the Conservatives to borrowmore money than Labour would ifLabour were in government 426 204 222 65 110 87 66 38 59 89 102 112 123 353 45 381 109 93 152

21% 20% 21% 28% 31% 26% 18% 13% 13% 16% 18% 25% 25% 20% 25% 20% 22% 18% 20%

Don't know 481 197 284 59 106 105 91 62 57 114 131 107 129 415 48 432 116 118 18123% 20% 27% 25% 30% 31% 25% 21% 13% 21% 23% 24% 26% 23% 27% 23% 23% 22% 24%


Page 22

Table 8/2



Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

I expect that if Labour were in governmentthey would borrow more money than theConservatives 1145 554 207 81 163 25 38 542 221 85 152

56% 82% 36% 68% 65% 40% 44% 81% 39% 59% 64%

I expect the Conservatives to borrow moremoney than Labour would if Labour were ingovernment 426 54 237 14 37 16 25 55 205 22 40

21% 8% 41% 12% 15% 25% 29% 8% 36% 15% 17%

Don't know 481 66 135 24 52 22 24 70 141 37 4523% 10% 23% 20% 21% 35% 28% 10% 25% 26% 19%


Page 23

Table 8/3


REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

I expect that if Labour were in governmentthey would borrow more money than theConservatives 1145 85 48 121 103 112 92 58 116 139 170 101

56% 48% 56% 52% 58% 61% 61% 57% 59% 51% 59% 56%

I expect the Conservatives to borrow moremoney than Labour would if Labour were ingovernment 426 45 22 50 37 31 32 28 30 60 59 33

21% 25% 25% 21% 21% 17% 21% 27% 15% 22% 20% 18%

Don't know 481 48 17 63 36 41 28 17 49 74 60 4723% 27% 19% 27% 21% 22% 18% 17% 25% 27% 21% 26%


Page 24

Table 9/1





Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

George Osborne would make abetter Prime Minister than BorisJohnson 668 343 325 76 94 90 103 111 194 214 190 133 131 578 57 611 170 172 236

33% 34% 31% 32% 27% 27% 28% 37% 43% 39% 33% 30% 27% 33% 32% 33% 34% 32% 32%

Boris Johnson would make a betterPrime Minister than George Osborne 790 394 396 83 142 146 149 123 147 192 220 183 195 683 60 730 184 210 289

39% 39% 38% 35% 40% 43% 40% 41% 32% 35% 39% 41% 40% 39% 34% 39% 37% 39% 39%

Don't know 593 261 331 75 116 104 117 65 115 142 158 131 162 509 61 532 142 150 21829% 26% 31% 32% 33% 31% 32% 22% 25% 26% 28% 29% 33% 29% 34% 28% 29% 28% 29%


Page 25

Table 9/2



Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

George Osborne would make a better PrimeMinister than Boris Johnson 668 326 154 37 71 13 21 306 159 48 68

33% 48% 27% 32% 28% 20% 25% 46% 28% 33% 29%

Boris Johnson would make a better PrimeMinister than George Osborne 790 231 253 54 115 23 35 227 241 65 109

39% 34% 44% 46% 46% 37% 40% 34% 42% 45% 46%

Don't know 593 117 172 27 66 27 30 134 167 31 6129% 17% 30% 23% 26% 43% 35% 20% 29% 22% 26%


Page 26

Table 9/3


REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

George Osborne would make a better PrimeMinister than Boris Johnson 668 57 24 84 62 60 58 33 54 86 89 61

33% 32% 28% 36% 35% 33% 38% 32% 28% 31% 31% 34%

Boris Johnson would make a better PrimeMinister than George Osborne 790 60 29 86 69 75 52 47 83 99 123 67

39% 34% 34% 37% 39% 40% 34% 46% 43% 36% 43% 37%

Don't know 593 61 33 64 45 50 42 22 58 88 78 5229% 34% 38% 27% 26% 27% 28% 22% 30% 32% 27% 29%


Page 27

Table 10/1





Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party isunited 320 172 148 54 81 67 50 34 33 75 89 69 87 275 26 293 95 70 110

16% 17% 14% 23% 23% 20% 14% 11% 7% 14% 16% 15% 18% 16% 15% 16% 19% 13% 15%

Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party isdivided 1307 666 641 106 175 194 241 222 369 375 365 279 289 1125 114 1193 300 351 474

64% 67% 61% 45% 50% 57% 65% 74% 81% 68% 64% 62% 59% 64% 64% 64% 60% 66% 64%

Don't know 424 161 263 73 97 79 79 43 53 97 115 100 113 370 38 386 101 110 15821% 16% 25% 31% 28% 23% 21% 14% 12% 18% 20% 22% 23% 21% 21% 21% 20% 21% 21%


Page 28

Table 10/2



Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party is united 320 43 200 10 16 11 15 44 169 14 2116% 6% 35% 9% 6% 18% 17% 7% 30% 10% 9%

Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party is divided 1307 555 273 90 188 35 55 537 287 106 17864% 82% 47% 76% 74% 56% 63% 81% 51% 74% 75%

Don't know 424 77 106 18 48 16 17 85 111 24 3921% 11% 18% 15% 19% 26% 19% 13% 20% 17% 16%


Page 29

Table 10/3


REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party is united 320 26 20 39 36 32 18 18 20 52 41 1716% 15% 23% 17% 21% 17% 12% 18% 10% 19% 14% 9%

Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party is divided 1307 114 52 146 101 119 100 68 132 151 193 13164% 64% 61% 63% 57% 64% 66% 66% 68% 55% 67% 72%

Don't know 424 38 14 48 39 34 34 17 43 70 56 3321% 21% 16% 21% 22% 18% 22% 16% 22% 26% 19% 18%


Page 30

Table 11/1





Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

David Cameron's Conservative Partyis united 879 462 418 82 140 146 151 129 232 274 246 202 157 772 60 819 198 251 324

43% 46% 40% 35% 40% 43% 41% 43% 51% 50% 43% 45% 32% 44% 34% 44% 40% 47% 44%

David Cameron's Conservative Partyis divided 725 369 356 77 121 113 140 111 163 175 192 148 211 600 82 643 178 178 243

35% 37% 34% 33% 34% 33% 38% 37% 36% 32% 34% 33% 43% 34% 46% 34% 36% 34% 33%

Don't know 446 168 278 74 92 82 79 59 60 99 130 97 120 397 36 410 120 102 17522% 17% 26% 32% 26% 24% 21% 20% 13% 18% 23% 22% 24% 22% 20% 22% 24% 19% 24%


Page 31

Table 11/2



Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

David Cameron's Conservative Party isunited 879 492 165 52 85 13 20 486 167 57 81

43% 73% 28% 44% 34% 21% 23% 73% 29% 39% 34%

David Cameron's Conservative Party isdivided 725 101 295 51 119 30 50 95 278 58 112

35% 15% 51% 43% 47% 48% 58% 14% 49% 41% 47%

Don't know 446 82 119 15 48 20 16 85 121 29 4422% 12% 21% 12% 19% 31% 19% 13% 21% 20% 19%


Page 32

Table 11/3


REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

David Cameron's Conservative Party is united 879 60 32 93 73 80 80 47 90 110 145 6943% 34% 37% 40% 42% 43% 53% 46% 46% 40% 50% 38%

David Cameron's Conservative Party isdivided 725 82 37 80 61 67 48 43 63 89 85 69

35% 46% 42% 34% 35% 36% 32% 42% 32% 33% 30% 38%

Don't know 446 36 18 61 42 37 23 13 42 73 59 4322% 20% 21% 26% 24% 20% 15% 13% 21% 27% 20% 24%


Page 33

Table 12/1





Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

I expect most people to vote for theUK to leave the EU at the referendum 756 402 354 58 113 113 137 120 216 179 197 167 213 664 54 703 185 222 256

37% 40% 34% 25% 32% 33% 37% 40% 47% 33% 35% 37% 44% 37% 30% 38% 37% 42% 35%

I expect most people to vote to stayin the EU at the referendum 829 422 407 116 145 148 147 113 160 259 236 173 161 693 84 745 196 185 312

40% 42% 39% 50% 41% 43% 40% 38% 35% 47% 42% 39% 33% 39% 47% 40% 39% 35% 42%

Don't know 465 175 291 60 95 79 86 66 80 110 135 106 114 413 40 425 116 124 17423% 17% 28% 26% 27% 23% 23% 22% 17% 20% 24% 24% 23% 23% 23% 23% 23% 23% 23%


Page 34

Table 12/2



Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

I expect most people to vote for the UK toleave the EU at the referendum 756 271 174 22 173 18 26 280 170 33 153

37% 40% 30% 19% 69% 28% 30% 42% 30% 23% 65%

I expect most people to vote to stay in theEU at the referendum 829 282 298 74 43 24 41 261 286 85 47

40% 42% 51% 63% 17% 39% 48% 39% 50% 59% 20%

Don't know 465 122 107 22 36 21 20 126 111 25 3723% 18% 19% 18% 14% 33% 23% 19% 20% 18% 15%


Page 35

Table 12/3


REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

I expect most people to vote for the UK toleave the EU at the referendum 756 54 28 82 76 79 63 39 81 85 111 60

37% 30% 32% 35% 43% 43% 41% 38% 41% 31% 38% 33%

I expect most people to vote to stay in theEU at the referendum 829 84 34 103 60 72 53 52 60 115 115 83

40% 47% 39% 44% 34% 39% 35% 51% 31% 42% 40% 46%

Don't know 465 40 25 49 41 34 36 12 54 73 63 3823% 23% 29% 21% 23% 18% 23% 11% 28% 27% 22% 21%


Page 36

Table 13/1

ONLINE Opinion PollQ7_SUM. Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?

SUMMARY TABLEBase: All respondents

Total Agree Disagree Don't know

A Labour government would lead to economicchaos 2051 919 668 464

100% 45% 33% 23%

Jeremy Corbyn is a danger to national security 2051 780 721 551100% 38% 35% 27%

Jeremy Corbyn is turning out to be a strong leader 2051 606 815 630100% 30% 40% 31%

Cutting tax credits for people who are in work isnecessary to get the public finances in order 2051 688 875 488

100% 34% 43% 24%

The planned high-speed rail link from London toBirmingham and the north would be expensive butworth it 2051 688 802 561

100% 34% 39% 27%

David Cameron was justified in saying that JeremyCorbyn is a terrorist sympathiser 2051 612 849 590

100% 30% 41% 29%

Labour is right to oppose austerity 2051 830 665 555100% 40% 32% 27%


Page 37

Table 14/1

ONLINE Opinion PollQ7_1. Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?

A Labour government would lead to economic chaosBase: All respondents




Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 919 460 459 63 114 129 151 155 307 287 251 197 183 818 60 859 193 281 34445% 46% 44% 27% 32% 38% 41% 52% 67% 52% 44% 44% 37% 46% 33% 46% 39% 53% 46%

Disagree 668 348 320 105 133 132 122 79 96 166 190 136 176 554 68 600 193 148 21333% 35% 30% 45% 38% 39% 33% 26% 21% 30% 34% 30% 36% 31% 38% 32% 39% 28% 29%

Don't know 464 191 273 65 105 79 97 66 52 95 126 114 130 398 51 414 111 103 18523% 19% 26% 28% 30% 23% 26% 22% 11% 17% 22% 25% 27% 23% 28% 22% 22% 19% 25%


Page 38

Table 14/2




Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 919 570 36 64 159 13 23 545 67 66 14845% 84% 6% 55% 63% 21% 27% 82% 12% 46% 62%

Disagree 668 35 435 33 42 26 35 38 379 50 4333% 5% 75% 28% 17% 41% 40% 6% 67% 35% 18%

Don't know 464 70 108 20 51 24 28 83 121 28 4623% 10% 19% 17% 20% 38% 33% 12% 21% 19% 20%


Page 39

Table 14/3



REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 919 60 34 84 75 88 89 41 104 107 159 7945% 33% 39% 36% 43% 48% 58% 40% 53% 39% 55% 44%

Disagree 668 68 33 91 68 55 45 46 47 95 70 4833% 38% 39% 39% 39% 30% 30% 45% 24% 35% 24% 27%

Don't know 464 51 19 59 33 42 18 15 43 71 60 5323% 28% 22% 25% 19% 23% 12% 15% 22% 26% 21% 30%


Page 40

Table 15/1


Jeremy Corbyn is a danger to national securityBase: All respondents




Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 780 406 374 42 97 117 136 137 251 240 205 161 173 682 56 724 176 249 25738% 41% 36% 18% 28% 34% 37% 46% 55% 44% 36% 36% 35% 39% 31% 39% 35% 47% 35%

Disagree 721 390 331 111 142 129 132 100 107 180 209 156 176 601 75 646 191 152 25835% 39% 31% 47% 40% 38% 36% 33% 24% 33% 37% 35% 36% 34% 42% 34% 38% 29% 35%

Don't know 551 203 347 82 113 94 101 63 97 128 154 130 139 487 47 503 130 130 22727% 20% 33% 35% 32% 28% 27% 21% 21% 23% 27% 29% 28% 28% 27% 27% 26% 25% 31%


Page 41

Table 15/2




Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 780 450 61 53 130 12 17 442 94 51 11738% 67% 10% 45% 51% 19% 20% 66% 17% 35% 49%

Disagree 721 71 407 48 48 35 47 72 351 66 5235% 11% 70% 41% 19% 56% 54% 11% 62% 46% 22%

Don't know 551 153 111 17 75 16 23 153 121 27 6927% 23% 19% 14% 30% 25% 26% 23% 21% 19% 29%


Page 42

Table 15/3



REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 780 56 36 72 68 77 81 42 91 77 124 5638% 31% 42% 31% 39% 42% 54% 41% 47% 28% 43% 31%

Disagree 721 75 23 102 66 60 42 45 50 100 94 6435% 42% 27% 43% 37% 32% 28% 44% 26% 37% 33% 35%

Don't know 551 47 27 60 43 48 28 16 54 95 71 6127% 27% 31% 26% 24% 26% 19% 16% 28% 35% 24% 34%


Page 43

Table 16/1


Jeremy Corbyn is turning out to be a strong leaderBase: All respondents




Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 606 320 286 92 132 121 115 73 73 153 171 132 151 515 57 549 169 134 21230% 32% 27% 39% 37% 36% 31% 24% 16% 28% 30% 29% 31% 29% 32% 29% 34% 25% 29%

Disagree 815 410 405 58 82 111 145 148 270 246 228 176 166 707 61 754 168 231 30740% 41% 39% 25% 23% 33% 39% 50% 59% 45% 40% 39% 34% 40% 34% 40% 34% 44% 41%

Don't know 630 269 361 84 139 108 109 78 111 149 169 140 172 548 61 569 159 166 22431% 27% 34% 36% 39% 32% 30% 26% 24% 27% 30% 31% 35% 31% 34% 30% 32% 31% 30%


Page 44

Table 16/2




Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 606 77 348 26 51 22 30 76 292 42 5630% 11% 60% 22% 20% 35% 35% 11% 51% 29% 24%

Disagree 815 447 73 62 130 18 24 441 110 58 11640% 66% 13% 52% 52% 29% 28% 66% 19% 40% 49%

Don't know 630 151 158 30 71 23 32 150 165 44 6531% 22% 27% 25% 28% 37% 37% 23% 29% 31% 28%


Page 45

Table 16/3



REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 606 57 31 80 58 52 41 34 41 85 76 5130% 32% 36% 34% 33% 28% 27% 33% 21% 31% 26% 28%

Disagree 815 61 29 73 66 73 70 47 88 98 136 7340% 34% 33% 31% 38% 40% 46% 46% 45% 36% 47% 41%

Don't know 630 61 27 81 52 59 41 21 65 89 78 5631% 34% 31% 34% 29% 32% 27% 20% 33% 33% 27% 31%


Page 46

Table 17/1


Cutting tax credits for people who are in work is necessary to get the public finances in orderBase: All respondents




Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 688 368 320 55 80 94 104 121 234 224 188 138 138 620 44 644 157 211 25234% 37% 30% 24% 23% 28% 28% 40% 51% 41% 33% 31% 28% 35% 24% 34% 32% 40% 34%

Disagree 875 432 444 109 163 163 183 120 138 193 230 203 249 732 85 790 230 202 30043% 43% 42% 46% 46% 48% 50% 40% 30% 35% 40% 45% 51% 41% 48% 42% 46% 38% 40%

Don't know 488 199 289 70 109 83 82 59 84 131 150 106 101 418 49 439 109 119 19024% 20% 27% 30% 31% 24% 22% 20% 18% 24% 26% 24% 21% 24% 28% 23% 22% 22% 26%


Page 47

Table 17/2




Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 688 408 77 34 95 12 14 386 101 43 9434% 60% 13% 29% 37% 19% 16% 58% 18% 30% 40%

Disagree 875 114 399 58 106 42 57 118 359 74 9543% 17% 69% 49% 42% 67% 66% 18% 63% 52% 40%

Don't know 488 153 103 26 52 8 15 162 107 26 4824% 23% 18% 22% 21% 14% 18% 24% 19% 18% 20%


Page 48

Table 17/3



REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 688 44 22 72 63 55 79 25 77 97 101 5434% 24% 25% 31% 36% 30% 52% 24% 39% 35% 35% 30%

Disagree 875 85 47 117 67 80 50 58 72 107 117 7743% 48% 54% 50% 38% 43% 33% 56% 37% 39% 40% 43%

Don't know 488 49 18 45 46 50 23 20 46 69 71 5024% 28% 20% 19% 26% 27% 15% 20% 23% 25% 25% 28%


Page 49

Table 18/1


The planned high-speed rail link from London to Birmingham and the north would be expensive but worth itBase: All respondents




Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 688 358 330 85 130 118 109 104 141 201 193 150 143 621 42 645 166 181 27434% 36% 31% 37% 37% 35% 30% 35% 31% 37% 34% 33% 29% 35% 24% 34% 33% 34% 37%

Disagree 802 419 383 79 113 113 152 132 213 213 211 178 200 669 82 720 198 215 25639% 42% 36% 34% 32% 33% 41% 44% 47% 39% 37% 40% 41% 38% 46% 38% 40% 40% 34%

Don't know 561 222 340 69 110 110 108 63 102 133 164 120 145 480 54 507 132 135 21327% 22% 32% 30% 31% 32% 29% 21% 22% 24% 29% 27% 30% 27% 30% 27% 27% 25% 29%


Page 50

Table 18/2




Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 688 285 191 57 64 16 12 275 196 60 6034% 42% 33% 49% 25% 26% 14% 41% 35% 42% 25%

Disagree 802 218 242 35 145 28 48 211 228 52 13839% 32% 42% 30% 58% 44% 56% 32% 40% 36% 58%

Don't know 561 171 146 25 43 19 26 181 143 32 3927% 25% 25% 22% 17% 30% 30% 27% 25% 22% 16%


Page 51

Table 18/3



REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 688 42 30 80 56 64 61 24 57 110 106 5834% 24% 35% 34% 32% 35% 40% 24% 29% 40% 36% 32%

Disagree 802 82 41 81 76 76 66 51 73 85 106 6439% 46% 47% 35% 43% 41% 43% 50% 37% 31% 37% 36%

Don't know 561 54 15 73 44 45 25 27 65 77 78 5827% 30% 18% 31% 25% 24% 16% 26% 33% 28% 27% 32%


Page 52

Table 19/1


David Cameron was justified in saying that Jeremy Corbyn is a terrorist sympathiserBase: All respondents




Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 612 327 286 44 66 90 96 100 217 179 167 137 129 540 42 571 141 189 21030% 33% 27% 19% 19% 26% 26% 33% 48% 33% 29% 31% 26% 30% 23% 30% 28% 36% 28%

Disagree 849 457 392 113 167 148 163 129 129 224 241 181 203 704 92 757 222 191 29141% 46% 37% 48% 47% 43% 44% 43% 28% 41% 42% 41% 42% 40% 51% 40% 45% 36% 39%

Don't know 590 215 375 77 119 103 111 70 109 145 160 128 156 526 45 545 134 151 24229% 22% 36% 33% 34% 30% 30% 24% 24% 26% 28% 29% 32% 30% 25% 29% 27% 28% 33%


Page 53

Table 19/2




Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 612 374 38 35 112 9 12 368 58 33 10730% 55% 7% 30% 44% 15% 14% 55% 10% 23% 45%

Disagree 849 114 452 49 64 38 58 102 403 72 6741% 17% 78% 42% 26% 60% 67% 15% 71% 50% 28%

Don't know 590 187 89 34 76 16 17 197 105 39 6429% 28% 15% 29% 30% 25% 19% 30% 19% 27% 27%


Page 54

Table 19/3



REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 612 42 25 57 58 64 56 31 70 68 105 3630% 23% 30% 24% 33% 34% 37% 30% 36% 25% 36% 20%

Disagree 849 92 38 116 68 66 59 53 66 109 108 7441% 51% 44% 49% 39% 36% 39% 52% 34% 40% 37% 41%

Don't know 590 45 23 61 50 55 37 19 59 95 76 7129% 25% 26% 26% 28% 30% 24% 18% 30% 35% 26% 39%


Page 55

Table 20/1


Labour is right to oppose austerityBase: All respondents




Weighted Total 2051 999 1052 234 353 340 369 299 455 548 568 447 488 1770 178 1873 496 531 742100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 830 436 394 112 141 133 164 135 146 207 224 173 226 686 91 739 214 179 29340% 44% 37% 48% 40% 39% 44% 45% 32% 38% 39% 39% 46% 39% 51% 39% 43% 34% 39%

Disagree 665 359 306 40 75 91 101 118 242 221 186 140 119 589 43 622 150 209 23032% 36% 29% 17% 21% 27% 27% 39% 53% 40% 33% 31% 24% 33% 24% 33% 30% 39% 31%

Don't know 555 203 352 82 137 117 105 47 67 119 158 134 143 495 44 511 132 143 22027% 20% 33% 35% 39% 34% 28% 16% 15% 22% 28% 30% 29% 28% 25% 27% 27% 27% 30%


Page 56

Table 20/2




Total Cons LabLib


Dems UKIP


Weighted Total 2051 675 579 118 252 63 86 667 567 144 237100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 830 91 437 43 91 40 52 92 400 61 8540% 13% 76% 36% 36% 63% 60% 14% 71% 42% 36%

Disagree 665 444 38 46 85 8 11 419 48 50 9332% 66% 7% 39% 34% 13% 13% 63% 8% 35% 39%

Don't know 555 141 103 29 76 15 24 155 119 33 6027% 21% 18% 25% 30% 24% 28% 23% 21% 23% 25%


Page 57

Table 20/3



REGION


NorthWest

Yorks &Humber

WestMidlands


SouthEast

SouthWest


Weighted Total 2051 178 86 234 176 185 152 103 195 273 289 180100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

Agree 830 91 39 110 66 64 51 53 64 111 98 8340% 51% 45% 47% 38% 35% 33% 52% 33% 41% 34% 46%

Disagree 665 43 24 65 62 59 75 33 75 73 102 5432% 24% 27% 28% 35% 32% 49% 33% 38% 27% 35% 30%

Don't know 555 44 24 59 48 61 26 16 56 88 88 4327% 25% 28% 25% 27% 33% 17% 16% 29% 32% 31% 24%


Page 58

Table 21/1


Unweighted Weighted

Unweighted Total 2051 2051

Weighted Total 2051 2051100% 100%

Conservative 569 66728% 32%

Labour 594 56729% 28%

Liberal Democrat 118 1446% 7%

UKIP 323 23716% 12%

SNP 93 875% 4%

Some other party 97 975% 5%

Did not vote 219 21411% 10%

Don't remember 14 131% 1%

Prefer not to say 24 261% 1%


Page 59

Documents

ComRes Published Voting Intention Figures€¦ · Table 1/2 ONLINE Opinion Poll Q1.€Thinking back to the General Election earlier this year, which party, if any, did you vote for?