COMPLEX SYSTEM FOR IMPLEMENTATION MATURITY AND COMMERCIAL POTENTIAL ASSESSMENT

OF INNOVATIVE TECHNOLOGIES

ASTANA (KAZAKHSTAN), 28.09.2012

Authors: Adam Mazurkiewicz, Beata Belina, Beata PoteralskaPresenter: Ludmiła Łopacińska

INSTITUTE FOR SUSTAINABLE TECHNOLOGIES – NATIONAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE (ITeE-PIB)

Presentation plan

• Complex technology assessment system – assumptions

• Method of the assessment of implementation maturity level

• Method of the assessment of commercial potential

• Practical application of the assessment methods

Level 6

Product operation

IDENTIFICATION

Level 2

Level 6

SOLUTION CONCEPTION

CONFIRMATION OF THE SOLUTION

MODEL – laboratory environment

MODEL – simulation of operating environment

PROTOTYPE – conditions resembling real operating

environment

PROTOYPE – real environment

FINAL PRODUCT

TRIAL VERSION

Manufacture preparation Level 10

Level 9

Level 2

Complex system of technology assessment

Level 10

ASSESSMENT OF COMMERCIAL

POTENTIAL

[t]

Start of solution development

End of solution development

Changes of assessment levels

INNOVATIVENESS ASSESSMENT

[t]

Start of solution development

End of solution development

ASSESSMENT OF IMPLEMENTATION MATURITY LEVEL

[t]

Start of solution development

End of solution development

Assessment of implementation maturity level

Qualification for detailed assessment according to given criteria

Categories:machines and devices, software and computer systems, manufacturing technologies, materials and chemical agents

GENERAL ALGORITHM of implementation maturity assessment

DETAILED ALGORITHMof implementation maturity assessment

Stage Product

Stage Product

 

General assessment

algorithm

Detailed assessment

algorithmProducts

 

 

 Qualification for detailed assessment according to given criteria

Levels and milestones in the development process of innovative solution

Basic principles identified and described

Technology concept formulated2

Analytical and experimental critical function and characteristicproof-of-concept3

Prototype demonstration and validation in relevant environment6

Component and model validation in laboratory environment4

Model validation in relevant environment5

Prototype demonstration and verification in an operational environment7

Final product version made8

Product samples produced and certified9

Final product preparation to commercialisation10

1

Idea

Prototype

Verification

Transfer

Stag

e II

Prototype demonstration and validation in relevant environment

Detailed maturity level assessment – qualification criteria for Level 6

Level 6Prototype demonstration and validation in relevant environment

•Design and production of the prototype •Prototype tested in relevant environment

No. Criterion Criterion coefficient

Criterionfulfillment

1 All project costs identified

2 Final completion plan of the project developed

3 Quality and reliability levels for components determined

4 Program of final tests and evaluation developed

5 Technology management program developed

6 Conditions of contract for technology transfer and implementation aproved by client

30 Software in „alfa” version developed

31 Functionality requirements of application in full scale for developed software fulfilled

. . .13 Prototype of full functional parameters made

14 Prototype tested in revelant enviroment. . .

Example – assessment of implementation maturity level of a solution developed within R&D project

System for quality control of metal products by means of the optical inspection method, for the use in a production line

Bearing roller

Examples of faults of bearing rollers

System implemented in a factory manufacturing roller bearings

•High advancement level of solution development at the stage of idea

•Validation of laboratory model

•Validation of experimental model•Building and initial validation of product prototype

•Validation of product prototype•Making the final version of the product

•Final product preparation to commercialisation

Innovative solution obtained level 10 of development advancement - Level of Transfer

Example – assessment of implementation maturity level of an innovative solution developed within the Strategic Programme „Innovative Systems of Technical

Support for Sustainable Development of Economy”

Technological line for implementation of RFID inlets

Innovative solution obtained level 7 of development advancement - Level of Prototype

•Validation of laboratory model

•Achieved level of Prototype

•High advancement level of solution development at the stage of idea

•Final product in the course of preparation

Stages of the technology assessment system

Assessment of commercial potential

 Detailed

assessment algorithm

Products

General assessment

algorithmProducts  

 

Assessment of technologies

competitiveness

Economic assessment

…

General assessment

algorithm

Detailed assessment

algorithm

assessment of potential market

demand

geographical scope

market-legal requirements

scale of the market

types of consumers

AREAS OF THE ASSESSMENT OF COMMERCIAL POTENTIAL

Technological area Economic area Market area

Legal-organisational

area

 • Uniqueness on a national scale• Innovativeness level• Functionality level• Technological level• Level of ecological threat…

• Cost-effectiveness of production• Maintenance costs•Costs of intelectual property protection• Costs of maintaining the market…

• Level of market demand• Potential beneficiaries• Scale of applications in economy…

• Level of intellectual property rights protection• Possibility of imitation by others• Dependence of implementation on changes in legal regulations• Strategy of introducing solutions on the market

Dependences between technological assessments

NoImplementation maturity

Innovativeness

Commercial potential

Possibility of sale

Comments

1 H H H High There is interest in the solution that is innovative and ready for implementation

2 H H L Low Changes of legal rules

3 H H L High Unitary solution developed for a definite enterprise

4 H L L Low Lack of interest in a solution on the market

5 H L L High Unitary solution developed for a definite enterprise

6 H L H High Demand for a solution even if it is not innovative

7 L H H High Demand for a solution on the market

8 L L L Low Lack of interest in a solution on the market

9 L L H Low Demand for a solution, even if it is not ready for implementation

10 L H L Low Lack of interest in a solution on the market

Stand for testing sleeping surfaces

Test chambers for volatile organic compounds emission testing

Conclusions

• The proposed system can be used for complex assessement of technological solutions in the aspect of implementation maturity, commercial potential and innovativeness level

• The system can be used for complex assessment of a particular technological solution or assessment of a selected aspect (by means of a selected method)

• The assessment can be carried out at all stages of technological solutions development starting from the idea creation to technology trasfer