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Comparison of South African growth and development in terms of international benchmarks; highlight the North/South divide.• The demand-side approach• The supply-side approach• Evaluation of the approaches used in South
Africa• The North/South divide
ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT
2 closely linked topics – you can’t have one without the other.
Economic growth: increase in capacity of economy to produce goods and services.
Economic development: sustained actions of policy makers that promote the standard of living and economic health of a country.
What’s the difference???
• Economic growth is about increasing production.
• Economic development is about improving the standard of living.
The HDI
GDP is an objective measure, but development is harder to measure.
A method that countries use to measure economic development is the Human Development Index (HDI).
HDI: measure of a country’s life expectancy, literacy, education, per capita GNI, poverty and environmental sustainability.
Classified as very high, high, medium and low.
WHO DO YOU THINK MADE THE TOP 5?
OUT OF 187 COUNTRIES, WHERE DO YOU THINK SA ARE PLACED?
WHO DO YOU THINK MADE THE BOTTOM 5?
Factors influencing developmental policies
• State of government finances
• Politics: balance needs to be found between the two policies.
• Resources: countries must take into account which they have, and decide on how best to use them.
Factors that promote economic growth (pollev.com/mrsmith1001)
• A greater quality or quantity of resources.• Greater productivity of labour • Improvement of infrastructure• Greater use of technology• Investment in new and existing businesses• Increasing entrepreneurship and establishing
more SME’s• Less government corruption and beaurocracy
Factors that promote economic development(pollev.com/mrsmith1001)
• Policies to reduce poverty• Sufficient gov. finances for welfare payments• ↓ waste & corruption in welfare system• ↓ unemployment• Improvements to education and healthcare• Improved housing, sanitation, water and power
to poor communities• Inspire people to improve their own standard of
living
The demand side approach
Demand side = fiscal & monetary policy.
Attempts to stimulate C,I,G,(X-M) – Keynesian policies
Fiscal policy: the use of government revenue collection and expenditure to influence AD and thus the economy.
Monetary policy: central bank policy focussing on the quantity of money in economy and level of interest rates.
Changing Demand using fiscal policy
Can also increase gov. exp
BUT…Budget deficit shouldn’t exceed 3% of GDP
Fiscal policy can improve economic development through…
(pollev.com/mrsmith1001)
• Welfare grants• Progressive tax system• Reducing taxes• Use tax revenue from taxes on dividends, capital gains and
estate duty to finance development.• Housing subsidy schemes• Providing state education, health and physical infrastructure
for all• Means tested benifits• Stimulate employment
Fiscal policy can improve economic growth through… (pollev.com/mrsmith1001)
• Infrastructure• Financial support and advice for new
businesses• Increasing foreign trade increasing (X-M)• Education and training to improve value
added goods/services
Focusses on factors that affect the production capacity of economy.
Done by increasing quality/quantity of factors of production…– Natural resources– Labour– Capital– Entrepreneurial skills
Natural resources (Land)
What does SA have a lot of???Limited supply of minerals – max. value must be derived when they are mined. Must not negatively affect LT growth potential of region. • E.g. mining vs tourism (ST gain, but LT decline)
Management of renewable resources.• E.g. water and arable land
Labour
Quality of labour force affects economic growth.
Education and training vital to boost supply side of economy.
Capital
No investment in physical production equipment = no production process = no economic growth (increase in capacity/LRAS)
Well organised financial system NB for investment.
Quality of capital is NB for productivity.
Infrastructure
Entrepreneurs
Rules and regulations to start a business can limit economic growth.
Copied from Facebook last week…To register a new company takes over 5.5months! GDP could probably go up a whole 1% if they just streamlined the process!(2 months to register via CIPC, 2 weeks to open bank account, 6 weeks for income tax registration, 6 weeks for VAT registration).
Reconstruction and Development Programme (RDP)
• Set up in 1994• Goal - reform social and economic
environment • Main strategy: alleviate poverty and address
the inequalities in social services
Growth, Employment and Redistribution Programme (GEAR)
Macroeconomic strategy from Department of Finance from 1996 – 2001. Aims…• strengthening economic development• increasing employment• redistributing income• creating socioeconomic opportunities for the
poor.
Key elements of GEAR
A faster fiscal deficit reduction programme
Budget reform to redistribute gov exp to poor
A reduction in tariffs
Consistent monetary policy
Speeding up privatisation
Tax incentives to stimulate new investment in labour intensive business
Accelerated and Shared Growth Initiative for South Africa (AsgiSA)
Launched in 2006.
Objective: to co-ordinate government initiatives to create economic development.
Aims: • halving unemployment and poverty by 2014• Accelerating economic growth to average at least 4,5%
(2005 – 2009) & 6% average annual rate between 2010 and 2014.
• More value added to products/services, costs of production reduced.
The New Growth Path (NGP)
Government’s latest economic policy (Oct 2010)
Targets:• 5 million jobs in ten years• Reducing unemployment from 25% -15%.
Achieved through:• monetary policy interventions• More competitive exchange rate and lower cost of capital• reprioritisation of public spending to ensure fiscal
sustainability.