1
Comparing effects of various types of Comparing effects of various types of geomagnetic disturbances on the winter lower geomagnetic disturbances on the winter lower atmosphere in the Northern Hemisphere atmosphere in the Northern Hemisphere Josef Bochníček and Pavel Hejda Geophysical Institute of the Academy of Sciences, 141 31 Prague, Czech Republic e-mail: [email protected] ESWW-II, 14 – 18 November 2005, ESA-ESTEC 15-Feb 19-Feb 23-Feb 27-Feb 3-Mar 0.1 1 10 Proton Flux > 10 MeV > 30 MeV > 60 MeV -160 -80 0 Dst Index 0 20 40 60 80 Ap Index Deviations of Geopotential Height 17 Feb 1999 - 18 Feb 1999 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude Deviations of Geopotential Height 24 Feb 1999 - 27 Feb 1999 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude Conclusions Prolonged geomagnetic activity as well as isolated strong geomagnetic storms (Ap 60, Dst < -100 nT) used to be associated with tropospheric pressure and temperature field changes. 6 – 9 days after the onset of the strong geomagnetic storm or the beginning of prolonged geomagnetic activity a decrease of atmospheric pressure in the sector 10° - 40° W and the strengthening of zonal flow over Atlantic and western Europe are observed. Such changes result in advection of relatively warm and moist air. If the geomagnetic storm or prolonged geomagnetic activity is accompanied by a strong increase of energetic proton flux (Ep > 60MeV), enhanced cyclonic activity in the sector 10° - 40° W, in agreement with Veretenenko & Thejll (JASTP 66/2004, 393-405), follows one day after this increase. Strong increase of energetic proton flux (Ep > 60 MeV) prolongs duration of tropospheric response on geomagnetic storm about several days. The effects of isolated geomagnetic storms and prolonged high geomagnetic activity on winter lower atmosphere in the Northern Hemisphere are compared. For this purpose geomagnetic storms with parameters Ap 60, Dst -100 nT occurring in the winter periods (January-March) 1994-2002, and geomagnetic activity course in winter period (January-March) 1982 were selected. Pressure, temperature and wind fields between geopotential heights of 1000 mb and 100 mb were investigated. Special attention was paid to analysis of maps of cross-sections along the profile Atlantic-polar region-eastern Asia. Deviations of Geopotential Height at 500 mb Deviations of Geopotential Height at 500 mb Temperature Deviations at 500 mb Temperature Deviations at 500 mb Temperature Deviations 1 Dec 1981 - 20 Jan 1982 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude Temperature Deviations 6 Feb 1982 - 8 Mar 1982 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude Deviations of Geopotential Height 1 Dec 1981 - 20 Jan 1982 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude Deviations of Geopotential Height 6 Feb 1982 - 8 Mar 1982 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude 1-Dec-81 31-Dec-81 30-Jan-82 1-Mar-82 31-Mar-82 960 980 1000 1020 1040 slp (full line) 4800 5000 5200 5400 5600 5800 gph 500 mb(dashed line) Iceland 1-Dec-81 31-Dec-81 30-Jan-82 1-Mar-82 31-Mar-82 940 960 980 1000 1020 1040 slp (full line) 4800 5000 5200 5400 5600 5800 gph 500 mb (dashed line) Aleuts 1-Dec 21-Dec 10-Jan 30-Jan 19-Feb 11-Mar 31-Mar 0.1 1 10 100 1000 Proton Flux > 10 MeV > 30 MeV > 60 MeV -300 -200 -100 0 100 Dst Index 0 40 80 120 Ap Index Prolonged high geomagnetic activity – Winter 1981/1982 low to medium level of geomagnetic activity in December and January was succeeded by a very high level of geomagnetic activity in February and the beginning of March deepening of the Icelandic low warming up in western Europe Strong isolated storms February – March 1994 short change of atmospheric circulation after geomag. storm from 6-7 February and prolonged change after geomag. storm and enhanced Proton Flux from 20-21 Feb. 17-Mar 21-Mar 25-Mar 29-Mar 2-Apr 0.1 1 10 100 1000 Proton Flux > 10 MeV > 30 MeV > 60 MeV -400 -200 0 Dst Index 0 80 160 Ap Index Deviations of Geopotential Height 19 Mar 2001 - 20 Mar 2001 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude Deviations of Geopotential Height 28 Mar 2001 - 30 Mar 2001 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude Deviations of Geopotential Height 1 Apr 2001 - 8 Apr 2001 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude Deviations of Geopotential Height 10 Apr 2001 - 11 Apr 2001 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude March – April 2001 low pressure in the sector 10° - 40° W from 28 March to 8 April caused by two consecutive geomagnetic storms and quick return to the initial state after 10 April. February 2000 February – March 1999 deepening of the Icelandic low 10-Feb 14-Feb 18-Feb 22-Feb 26-Feb 0.1 1 10 100 1000 Proton Flux > 10 MeV > 30 MeV > 60 MeV -160 -80 0 Dst Index 0 20 40 60 Ap Index Deviations of Geopotential Height 20 Feb 2000 - 26 Feb 2000 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude Deviations of Geopotential Height 13 Feb 2000 - 13 Feb 2000 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude Deviations of Geopotential Height 5 Feb 1994 - 6 Feb 1994 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude Deviations of Geopotential Height 10 Feb 1994 - 12 Feb 1994 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude 1-Feb 5-Feb 9-Feb 13-Feb 17-Feb 21-Feb 25-Feb 1-Mar 5-Mar 0.1 1 10 100 1000 Proton Flux > 10 MeV > 30 MeV > 60 MeV -160 -80 0 Dst Index 0 40 80 Ap Index Deviations of Geopotential Height 20 Feb 1994 - 21 Feb 1994 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude Deviations of Geopotential Height 1 Mar 1994 - 15 Mar 1994 Level (mb) 800 600 400 200 40 60 80 80 60 40 Latitude 20 Feb 1994 - 21 Feb 1994 1 Mar 1994 - 15 Mar 1994 Deviations of Geopotential Heights at 500 mb Wind field at 500 mb strengthening of zonal flow over Atlantic and western Europe sectors of the vertical profile Related papers: Bochníček, J. and Hejda, P., 2002. Association between extraterrestrial phenomena and weather changes in the Northern Hemisphere in winter. Surveys in Geophys. 23, 303 – 333. Bochníček, J. and Hejda, P., 2005. The winter NAO pattern changes in association with solar and geomagnetic activity. J. Atmosphere. Solar-Terr. Phys. 67, 17-32.

Comparing effects of various types of geomagnetic ... › TECEES › spweather › workshops › ...Josef Bochníček and Pavel Hejda Geophysical Institute of the Academy of Sciences,

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    0

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • Comparing effects of various types of Comparing effects of various types of geomagnetic disturbances on the winter lower geomagnetic disturbances on the winter lower

    atmosphere in the Northern Hemisphereatmosphere in the Northern HemisphereJosef Bochníček and Pavel Hejda

    Geophysical Institute of the Academy of Sciences,141 31 Prague, Czech Republic

    e-mail: [email protected], 14 – 18 November 2005, ESA-ESTEC

    15-Feb 19-Feb 23-Feb 27-Feb 3-Mar

    0.1

    1

    10

    Prot

    on F

    lux > 10 MeV

    > 30 MeV > 60 MeV

    -160

    -80

    0

    Dst

    Inde

    x

    020406080

    Ap

    Inde

    x

    Deviations of Geopotential Height17 Feb 1999 - 18 Feb 1999

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    Deviations of Geopotential Height24 Feb 1999 - 27 Feb 1999

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    ConclusionsProlonged geomagnetic activity as well as isolated strong geomagnetic storms (Ap ≥ 60, Dst < -100 nT) used to be associated with tropospheric pressure and temperature field changes.

    6 – 9 days after the onset of the strong geomagnetic storm or the beginning of prolonged geomagnetic activity a decrease of atmospheric pressure in the sector 10° - 40° W and the strengthening of zonal flow over Atlantic and western Europe are observed. Such changes result in advection of relatively warm and moist air.

    If the geomagnetic storm or prolonged geomagnetic activity is accompanied by a strong increase of energetic proton flux (Ep > 60MeV), enhanced cyclonic activity in the sector 10° - 40° W, in agreement with Veretenenko & Thejll (JASTP 66/2004, 393-405), follows one day after this increase.

    Strong increase of energetic proton flux (Ep > 60 MeV) prolongs duration of tropospheric response on geomagnetic storm about several days.

    The effects of isolated geomagnetic storms and prolonged high geomagnetic activity on winter lower atmosphere in the Northern Hemisphere are compared. For this purpose geomagnetic storms with parameters Ap ≥ 60, Dst ≤ -100 nT occurring in the winter periods (January-March) 1994-2002, and geomagnetic activity course in winter period (January-March) 1982 were selected. Pressure, temperature and wind fields between geopotential heights of 1000 mb and 100 mb were investigated. Special attention was paid to analysis of maps of cross-sections along the profile Atlantic-polar region-eastern Asia.

    Deviations of Geopotential Height at 500 mb Deviations of Geopotential Height at 500 mb Temperature Deviations at 500 mb Temperature Deviations at 500 mb

    Temperature Deviations1 Dec 1981 - 20 Jan 1982

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    Temperature Deviations6 Feb 1982 - 8 Mar 1982

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    Deviations of Geopotential Height1 Dec 1981 - 20 Jan 1982

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    Deviations of Geopotential Height6 Feb 1982 - 8 Mar 1982

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    1-Dec-81 31-Dec-81 30-Jan-82 1-Mar-82 31-Mar-82

    960

    980

    1000

    1020

    1040

    slp

    (full

    line)

    4800

    5000

    5200

    5400

    5600

    5800

    gph

    500

    mb(

    dash

    ed li

    ne)

    Iceland

    1-Dec-81 31-Dec-81 30-Jan-82 1-Mar-82 31-Mar-82

    940

    960

    980

    1000

    1020

    1040

    slp

    (full

    line)

    4800

    5000

    5200

    5400

    5600

    5800

    gph

    500

    mb

    (das

    hed

    line)Aleuts

    1-Dec 21-Dec 10-Jan 30-Jan 19-Feb 11-Mar 31-Mar

    0.1

    1

    10

    100

    1000

    Prot

    on F

    lux > 10 MeV

    > 30 MeV > 60 MeV

    -300-200-100

    0100

    Dst

    Inde

    x0

    40

    80

    120

    Ap

    Inde

    x

    Prolonged high geomagnetic activity – Winter 1981/1982low to medium level of geomagnetic activity in December and January was succeeded by a very high level of

    geomagnetic activity in February and the beginning of March

    deepening of the Icelandic low warming up in western Europe

    Strong isolated stormsFebruary – March 1994

    short change of atmospheric circulation after geomag. storm from 6-7 February and prolonged change after

    geomag. storm and enhanced Proton Flux from 20-21 Feb.

    17-Mar 21-Mar 25-Mar 29-Mar 2-Apr

    0.1

    1

    10

    100

    1000

    Prot

    on F

    lux > 10 MeV

    > 30 MeV > 60 MeV

    -400

    -200

    0

    Dst

    Inde

    x

    0

    80

    160

    Ap

    Inde

    x

    Deviations of Geopotential Height19 Mar 2001 - 20 Mar 2001

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    Deviations of Geopotential Height28 Mar 2001 - 30 Mar 2001

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    Deviations of Geopotential Height1 Apr 2001 - 8 Apr 2001

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    Deviations of Geopotential Height10 Apr 2001 - 11 Apr 2001

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    March – April 2001low pressure in the sector 10° - 40° W from 28 March to 8 April caused by two consecutive geomagnetic storms and quick return to the initial state after 10 April.

    February 2000

    February – March 1999deepening of the Icelandic low

    10-Feb 14-Feb 18-Feb 22-Feb 26-Feb

    0.1

    1

    10

    100

    1000

    Prot

    on F

    lux > 10 MeV

    > 30 MeV > 60 MeV

    -160

    -80

    0

    Dst

    Inde

    x

    0

    20

    40

    60

    Ap

    Inde

    x

    Deviations of Geopotential Height20 Feb 2000 - 26 Feb 2000

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    Deviations of Geopotential Height13 Feb 2000 - 13 Feb 2000

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    Deviations of Geopotential Height5 Feb 1994 - 6 Feb 1994

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    Deviations of Geopotential Height10 Feb 1994 - 12 Feb 1994

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    1-Feb 5-Feb 9-Feb 13-Feb 17-Feb 21-Feb 25-Feb 1-Mar 5-Mar

    0.1

    1

    10

    100

    1000

    Prot

    on F

    lux > 10 MeV

    > 30 MeV> 60 MeV

    -160

    -80

    0

    Dst

    Inde

    x

    0

    40

    80

    Ap

    Inde

    x

    Deviations of Geopotential Height20 Feb 1994 - 21 Feb 1994

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    Deviations of Geopotential Height1 Mar 1994 - 15 Mar 1994

    Leve

    l (m

    b)

    800

    600

    400

    200

    40 60 80 80 60 40Latitude

    20 Feb 1994 - 21 Feb 1994 1 Mar 1994 - 15 Mar 1994

    Deviations of GeopotentialHeights at 500 mb

    Wind field at 500 mb

    strengthening of zonal flow over Atlantic and western Europe

    sectors of the vertical profile

    Related papers:

    Bochníček, J. and Hejda, P., 2002. Association between extraterrestrial phenomena and weather changes in the Northern Hemisphere in winter. Surveys in Geophys. 23, 303 – 333.

    Bochníček, J. and Hejda, P., 2005. The winter NAO pattern changes in association with solar and geomagnetic activity. J. Atmosphere. Solar-Terr. Phys. 67, 17-32.