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March 8, 2016
Commuter Airline Perspective
On-Demand Mobility and Follow Up Workshop
Founded in 1989, Cape Air is now the largest commuter airline in the United States
• Annual revenue over $125M
• Financially stable
• Fleet of 93 aircraft– 83 Cessna 402Cs– 4 Britten-Norman Islanders– 2 Cessna Caravan Amphibians– 2 ATR 42s
• 43 airports served; 20 in EAS1
San Juan
Mayaguez
St. CroixVieques
TortolaSt. Thomas
Virgin GordaCulebra
ProvincetownHyannisNantucket
New BedfordMartha’s Vineyard
Augusta
LebanonRutland
Saranac LakeOgdensburgMassena
White Plains
Albany
Manhattan
Rockland
Bar Harbor
Boston
Cape Air Routes1Q16
Ft. Leonard Wood
Cape Girardeau
QuincyKirksville
St. Louis
OwensboroMarion
Havre GlasgowWolf Point
SidneyGlendive
Billings
Map inset not to scale
Rota
Saipan
Guam
Micronesia
Denotes seasonal service
BiminiMiami Seaplane BaseFt. Lauderdale Intl
(Amphib)
Cape Air seeks a 21st century commuter airlinerto modernize the fleet
• Certified for Part 135 Scheduled Commuter
• Nine passenger seats
• Twin reciprocating engines, burning a fuel other than 100LL
• Payload of at least 9 X (180 lbs/pax + 40 lbs bags/pax) = 1,980 lbs at 200+ nm stage with IFR reserves
• Single pilot certified, but dual controls
• Glass panel
• At least 180 knots true airspeed in cruise
• Certified for flight-into-known-icing option
3
Cape Air specifications
Version of 2010
The active worldwide fleet of 9-seat airliners is greater than 2,000 but more than 11,000 aircraft need to be replaced
Model Built Still airworthy* Present Fleet Pax Use* Commercial FleetBeechcraft King Air 100 Series 3,100 60% 1,860 15% 279Beechcraft King Air 200/300 Series 3,550 72% 2,556 15% 383Beechcraft Queen Air 930 50% 465 10% 47Cessna 208A/B Caravan 2,000 90% 1,800 20% 360Cessna 401/402A/B 854 45% 384 15% 58Cessna 402C 681 50% 341 40% 136Cessna 404 Titan 396 50% 198 10% 20Cessna 414 1,070 50% 535 15% 80Cessna 441 362 50% 181 15% 27Cessna-Reims F406 Caravan II 86 60% 52 15% 8de Havilland DHC-3 Single Otter 466 30% 140 20% 28Pilatus PC12 1,200 90% 1,080 25% 270Piper PA31 Navajo 3,942 50% 1,971 15% 296Piper PA-42 Cheyenne 192 50% 96 10% 10Quest Kodiak 100 95% 95 25% 24Total 18,929 62% 11,753 17% 2,025
* Estimate
4
Worldwide fleet of 9-seat airliners
Build a mile of road, and you can drive one mile. Build a mile of runway, and you can go anywhere.
5
Cape Air’s next-generation commuter aircraft design priorities
• Safety
• Payload of at least 1,980 lbs at a 200+ nm stage with IFR reserves
• Relative to the Cessna 402, increased ownership of a new aircraft offset by: – Lower maintenance– Lower fuel burn– Increased utilization (fewer spare aircraft required)
• Max flight duration 99 minutes (since there is no lavatory on board)– Range becomes a function of speed– Fares for longer flights get prohibitively expensive—DOCs are a function of flight time
• Supply chain (parts, engineering, regulatory support)
• Environmental responsibility
6
67% of Cape Air’s flights are less than 100 miles;98% of Cape Air’s routes not in the Essential Air Service
(EAS) program are less than 100 miles
7
Cape Air Route Distribution by Mileage2016 Scheduled Commuter, Land
1,680
25,781
12,520
21,598
357 817
2,869
12,578
6,434
13,6038,081
4,970 3,5500
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
0-25 25-50 50-75 75-100 100-125 125-150 150-175 175-200 200-225
Depa
rtur
es
Nautical miles
EAS
Non-EAS
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$250
$300
$350
$400
$450
Payroll Maintenance ReservationFees
Facilites Pilot Training
2012 2013 2014 2015
9% Increase 28%
Increase
10% Increase
96% Increase
37% Increase
Operating expenses are an increasing challenge
8
Aircraft expense per flight hour
Offsets from Cessna 402 maintenance costs can pay for the increased ownership cost of a new-generation 9-seat twin
9
Cessna 402 ReplacementMaintenanceUtilization (flight hours/yr) 1,017 1,200Maintenance/Hr (ex. Reserved) $232 $120 Maintenance/Yr $235,944 $144,000
OwnershipPurchase price $550,000 $1,500,000 Rate 6.50% 6.50%Period 7 7Payment $100,282 $273,497
Mx & Ownership Subtotal $336,226 $417,497
Economy cruise speed (kts) 150 160Annual ASMs 1,372,950 1,728,000CASM (Mx & Own only) $0.24 $0.24
The effective range of commuter aircraft is limited to 99 minutes of flight because they don’t have a lavatory; a
faster aircraft flies more miles in 99 minutes, opening new city pair possibilities
10
50 miles
225 miles
Effective range at 150 kts
350 miles
Thank you!
Dan WolfFounder & CEO
Linda Markham President