Community Needs Assessment 2019-accepted

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Community Needs Assessment

2019

District XI Human Resource Council, Inc. Serving Mineral, Missoula and Ravalli Counties – 5/15/19

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Table of Contents

Overview and Methodology ................................................................................................................. 1

Description of the Service Delivery Area ........................................................................................... 2

General Economic Conditions: ........................................................................................................... 3

Overview of Demographic Data: ......................................................................................................... 5

Analysis of Data collected from Low Income Individuals ................................................................ 5

Indicators of Need ................................................................................................................................ 7

Partners for Change ............................................................................................................................. 8

District XI 2019 Key Findings .............................................................................................................. 9

Acceptance of the Community Needs Assessment ......................................................................... 9

Data Sources ...................................................................................................................................... 10

Community Needs Assessment 2019

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Overview and Methodology

• Beginning in January 2017 and continuing through December 2018 community needs data from low-income individuals and families was collected on the 2-1-1 call line at District XI Human Resource Council (HRC). In early 2019 Nth-Degree Analytics LLC performed a statistical analysis of the 2-1-1 telephone logs. Over eleven thousand calls from the three-county area of Mineral, Missoula, and Ravalli Counties were included in the analysis.

• In addition to the data from individuals and families collected, HRC collected and analyzed data on population and poverty from the U.S. Census Bureau and the Bureau of Labor and Statistics, and Needs Assessments conducted by Missoula City/County, Mineral County, and the Bitterroot Affordable Housing Coalition. Stakeholder meetings provided input from local entities on the needs as well as the resources available to meet the need. Additional input was received through participants, each of HRC’s Advisory Councils and the Board Members. Local data was collected from the Missoulian, the Missoula Indian Education reports, University of Montana and Montana State University reports and more.

• The data and analysis keep HRC informed and better able to address the needs of low-income families and individuals in the Service Delivery Area. The Community Needs Assessment is a continual process used to stay abreast of needs as they change. HRC is well-positioned to be aware of changes with the number of calls received on the 2-1-1 call line. Additionally, annual review of data from the Central Database System (CDS) housed at the State of Montana helps HRC look at demand and quality of services from those served. The Community Needs Assessment is utilized in the Strategic Planning and the Community Service Block Grant application where strategies and services align to address the Community Needs.


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Description of the Service Delivery Area:

County Population Percentage of Poverty Mineral 4,316 14.5%

Missoula 118,791 14.3%

Ravalli 43,172 12.5%

Total: 166,279 1

The Population of the Service Delivery area is estimated at 166,279, which is 15.6% of the total population of the state 1,062,305. Statewide the percentage of persons in poverty is 12.5% compared to Mineral County at 14.5% and Missoula and Ravalli Counties at 14.3% and 12.5%. (V2018 US Census Bureau QuickFacts). Missoula County is the most densely populated county in the service delivery area accounting for 71% of the population of the Service Delivery Area.

Figure 1 Source U.S. Census Bureau (V2018)

1 “U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: UNITED STATES.” Census Bureau QuickFacts, www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/US/PST045218.


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General Economic Conditions: Unemployment

Location Labor Force Number of Unemployed Unemployment Rate Mineral County 1,634 169 10.3%

Missoula County 62,816 2,647 4.2%

Ravalli County 19,662 1,070 5.4%

State of Montana 3.7% 2

2018 Annual average rate of unemployment in HRC’s Service Delivery Area is higher than the 3.7% rate found statewide, with rural counties of Mineral and Ravalli showing 10.3% and 5.4% respectively.

While the number of people in the workforce and those unemployed In Missoula County are consistent with the population in each of the counties, the rate of unemployment per capita is much higher in the rural counties of Mineral and Ravalli.

2“U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: UNITED STATES.” Census Bureau QuickFacts, www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/US/PST045218.

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

12%

0

10000

20000

30000

40000

50000

60000

70000

Mineral County Missoula County Ravalli County State of Montana

General Economic Conditions: Unemployment

Labor Force Unemployed Unemployment Rate


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General Economic Conditions, continued

Income

Location Median Household

Income Per Capital

Income Percentage of

Poverty Mineral County $40,117 $22,894 14.5%

Missoula County $49,412 $29,681 14.3%

Ravalli County $44,733 $25,151 12.5%

State of Montana $50,801 $28,706 12.5% 3

The Median Household Income for families in HRC’s Service Delivery Area falls below the State of Montana Median Household Income in each of the three counties served. The Per Capita Income is also lower in all but Missoula County. The rate of poverty is higher in both Mineral and Missoula County, with Ravalli consistent with the State rate.

3 NACo analysis of U.S. Census Bureau – American Community Survey (ACS) 5-year estimates

11.5%

12.0%

12.5%

13.0%

13.5%

14.0%

14.5%

15.0%

$-

$10,000.00

$20,000.00

$30,000.00

$40,000.00

$50,000.00

$60,000.00

Mineral County Missoula County Ravalli County State of Montana

General Economic Condition: Income

Median Household Income Per Capita Income Percentage of Poverty


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Overview of Demographic Data:

Demographic Mineral County

Missoula County

Ravalli County Montana

Persons under 5 years, percent 4.8% 5.3% 4.8% 6.0% Persons under 18 years, percent 18.4% 19.1% 19.4% 21.8% Persons 65 years and over, percent 28.3% 15.0% 25.0% 18.1% Female persons, percent 48.9% 49.8% 50.4% 49.6% Median age 50.1 35.2 44.9 38.8 Veterans 10.1% 6.3% 11.8% 8.0%

Race White 94.1% 95.9% 92.1% 89.1% Black or African American 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% American Indian and Alaska Native 2.0% 1.2% 2.6% 6.7% Asian 0.6% 0.6% 1.7% 0.8% Native Hawaiian 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% Two or More Races 2.7% 1.8% 3.0% 2.8% Hispanic or Latino 2.9% 3.6% 3.2% 3.8%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau Quickfacts4

Both Ravalli County and Mineral County have an aging population compared to Missoula and the Statewide median age of residents. Sex of residents is evenly divided. HRC’s Service Delivery area includes less than 10% of non-white residents.

Analysis of Data collected from Low Income Individuals HRC used 2-1-1 database of callers presenting their needs to collect data from low-income individuals. The key results of the 2-1-1 call line5 are:

• There were 5,727 calls in 2017 and 6,025 calls in 2018. The majority of calls are from Missoula County.

• 69% of the calls are from female callers, 31% from male. • 79% of calls are from adults ages 25 to 60. Calls are increasingly coming from an older

population. In 2013, seniors accounted for 6% of calls. That figure has steadily risen, and as of 2018, seniors accounted for 13% of calls.

• The share of calls from Native Americans jumps in odd years and falls in even years. Going back to previous reports, the proportion of calls from Native Americans is as follows: 2013

4 “U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: UNITED STATES.” Census Bureau QuickFacts, www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/US/PST045218. 5 Adams, Greg D. “HRC First Call for Help, A Statistical Analysis of First Call for Help Telephone Logs: January 2017 - December 2018.” Nth-Degree Analytics, www.nth-degree.com


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(19%), 2014 (12%), 2015 (18%), 2016 (11%), 2017 (14%), 2018 (11%). More than 80% of the calls are from white callers.

• Callers typically call for Information (45% in 2018), Referral (48%), or Advocacy (6%). • The reason (type of issue/need) for calls been consistent in recent years. In 2013, for instance,

"Income Security" accounted for 23% of callers' recorded needs. In 2017-2018, the figure was again 23%. However, a longer perspective shows notable change. In 2005-2007, income security accounted for 35% of needs, and as recently as 2009-2010, income security accounted for 36% of needs recorded.

• "Basic Needs," which accounted for 43% of the needs recorded in 2005, now account for 54% of recorded client needs in 2018.

• “Basic Needs” included 1184 calls in 2018 for Housing/Shelter (the highest need expressed), where 67% of the callers were female.

• The next highest need in demand was Income Security with 1,020 callers in 2018.

Table Source: “HRC First Call for Help”6

6 Adams, Greg D. “HRC First Call for Help, A Statistical Analysis of First Call for Help Telephone Logs: January 2017 - December 2018.” Nth-Degree Analytics, www.nth-degree.com


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Indicators of Need The following are the indicators of need in HRC’s 3 County Area:

1. High rates of cost burdened housing in all three counties7:

Housing Affordability in Mineral County, MT

Housing Affordability in Missoula County, MT

Housing Affordability in Ravalli County, MT

Population 4,255 Population 117,441 Population 42,563 Total Housing Units 2,448 Total Housing Units 51,463 Total Housing Units 19,542 Percent Occupied Housing Units 66.1%

Percent Occupied Housing Units 91.6%

Percent Occupied Housing Units 85.7%

Median Household Income $37,143



Homeowners Homeowners Homeowners

Owner-Occupied Housing Units 1,139



Percent Moderately-Burdened Owners 10.6%



Percent Severely-Burdened Owners 15.8%



Total Percent Cost-Burdened Owners 26.4%



Renters Renters Renters

Renter-Occupied Housing Units 479

Renter-Occupied Housing Units 19,514

Renter-Occupied Housing Units 4,646

Percent Moderately-Burdened Renters 26.6%



Percent Severely-Burdened Renters 21.6%



Total Percent Cost-Burdened Renters 48.2%



2. Median incomes lag the State of Montana incomes with higher poverty rates as well (see General

Economic Conditions-Income page 5.) 3. Childhood Poverty Rates were at 23%, 15%, and 18% for Mineral County, Missoula County and Ravalli

County according to a Robert Wood Johnson Foundation program: County Health Rankings and Roadmaps.8

4. Higher rates of unemployment than the State average for Mineral 10.3%, Missoula 4.2% and Ravalli County 5.4% (See General Economic Conditions Unemployment table pg 4.)

5. The percentage of poverty is higher than the State’s average for Mineral 14.5%, and Missoula County 14.3% (see Description of Service Delivery Area table page 3.)

7 “Housing Affordability in Your County” County Explorer, ce.naco.org/.

8 “Rankings.” County Health Rankings & Roadmaps, www.countyhealthrankings.org/app/montana/2019/measure/factors/24/data.


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Partners for Change Community change occurs when entities partner for specific change. Each entity brings their particular resources to the project and the project is stronger for the contributions each member makes. HRC has strong partnerships that work for changes to help solve the critical issue of housing for low-income families. The following partnerships are anticipated to result in additional housing units in Ravalli County during 2020-2021:

• Hamilton Housing Tax Credit Project: HRC partners with Echo Enterprises on a tax credit application to the Montana Board of Housing for a 30-unit housing project in Hamilton.

• Nicole Court, Stevensville Tax Credit Project: HRC partners with Housing Solutions on a tax credit application to the Montana Board of Housing for a 16-unit 2 bedroom, bath and 1/2 project in Stevensville. Additional partners include the Missoula Housing Authority, donating land and Federal Home Loan Bank providing a $575,000 award. 60% of the units will serve elderly, disabled, and those fleeing domestic assault, and Supporters of Abuse Free Environments (SAFE) will partner to place tenants from their shelter.

Other Important Partnership Opportunities provide Qualitative Data:

• Mineral County Commissioners’ annual Public Meeting of Community Needs, where workforce housing, transitional housing for domestic violence victims, teacher housing, HRC’s CSBG housing rehab program, were a major component of the agenda.

• Invest Health is a Collaboration of HRC, the Missoula City/County Health Dept, Partnership Community Health Center, the Montana Chapter of the American Lung Association, Neighborworks Montana, Climate Smart Missoula, St. Patrick’s Hospital, and Home Resources. This collaboration is modernizing the provision of health care to include the targeting of in-home services including energy conservation/weatherization services.

• University of Montana Community Needs Assessment Survey City of Missoula City & Missoula County, where 31% of those surveyed considered the top priority for the City of Missoula was to “Increase housing that is affordable to all income levels”.

• Missoula Interfaith Collaborative Voices 4 Housing meetings, where the top solutions were to reduce Renter Barriers, establish a Missoula Housing Trust Fund and to increase housing affordability across the community through regulatory changes.

• Missoula Home Coalition made up of local housing developers including HRC, the faith community, private landlords, Homeword, NeighborWorks Montana, Missoula Housing Authority, and interested citizens meets to discuss the need to provide input to local elected officials on the creation of local affordable housing.

• Missoula Housing Report, from the Missoulian, where “Housing prices set another record” with the price of Missoula homes increasing 8.1% from 2011 to 2018 resulting in a $290,000 median sales price.


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District XI 2019 Key Findings Based on the data collected, HRC resources should focus on Housing and Income Security issues.

In Housing, the issue is both a family and a community level need. For families the unaffordability of housing creates a barrier, and in the community, there is an insufficient supply of affordable housing. HRC’s programs in Energy Conservation and Assistance continue to reduce barriers for low-income individuals and families by reducing energy burden and home heating costs. HRC’s Homebuyer Assistance program assists participants in the affordability of purchasing their own home. CDBG Home Rehab funds assist families in making necessary repairs and addressing health and safety measures. This preserves the housing stock for the community and allows seniors to age in place. HRC’s rental assistance programs help homeless individuals get housed, or those at risk of homeless preserve their housing. HRC partners with many entities on the issue of Housing, which results in the development of additional units, and community solutions for renters and the homeless.

For Income Security, the needs assessment indicates continued work on the family level outcomes. HRC’s Youth Program works to provide recruitment, counseling, referral, supportive services, training, job placement and follow-up to Workforce Innovations and Opportunity Act (WIOA) eligible individuals in Montana. The end goal for WIOA Youth is for participants to achieve economic self-sufficiency through entry into unsubsidized employment. Similarly, HRC works with Pathways clients who participate in family Stability activities, address barriers to employment, and work in subsidized and unsubsidized employment. The goal for Pathways is to provide families with family stability, employment, and financial security to become self-sufficient.

Acceptance of the Community Needs Assessment The Community Needs Assessment was presented and formally accepted by the Board of Directors at the June 13, 2019 Board meeting.


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Data Sources • Community Needs Assessment Survey City ... - Ci.missoula.mt.us.

www.ci.missoula.mt.us/DocumentCenter/View/48399/2019-Missoula-Community-Needs-Assessment-Report-PDF.

• “How Much Do You Know about Your County?” County Explorer, ce.naco.org/. • “Housing Affordability in Your County” County Explorer, ce.naco.org/. • “Local Area Unemployment Statistics Home Page.” U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Bureau of Labor

Statistics, www.bls.gov/lau/. • NACo analysis of U.S. Census Bureau – American Community Survey (ACS) 5-year estimates • Missoula Organization of Realtors. “2019 Missoula Housing Report.” Homestead 2019, pp. 8–17. • “U.S. Census Bureau QuickFacts: UNITED STATES.” Census Bureau QuickFacts,

www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/US/PST045218. • “Out of Reach: Montana.” National Low Income Housing Coalition, 12 Mar. 2019, reports.nlihc.org/oor/montana. • “Rankings.” County Health Rankings & Roadmaps,

www.countyhealthrankings.org/app/montana/2019/measure/factors/24/data. • Data Access and Dissemination Systems (DADS). “American FactFinder - Results.” American FactFinder -

Results, 5 Oct. 2010, factfinder.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?src=CF. • “Students Participating in Free/Reduced-Price Lunch Program, by County | KIDS COUNT Data Center.” KIDS

COUNT Data Center: A Project of the Annie E. Casey Foundation, datacenter.kidscount.org/data/map/5452-students-participating-in-free-reduced-price-lunch-program-by-county?loc=28&loct=2#5/any/false/false/1654/any/12021/Orange/.

• “Students Participating in Free/Reduced-Price Lunch Program, by County | KIDS COUNT Data Center.” KIDS COUNT Data Center: A Project of the Annie E. Casey Foundation, datacenter.kidscount.org/data/tables/5452-students-participating-in-free-reduced-price-lunch-program-by-county#detailed/2/any/false/1686,1654,1601,1526,1069,952,824,750,466,465/any/12021.

• Adams, Greg D. “HRC First Call for Help, A Statistical Analysis of First Call for Help Telephone Logs: January 2017 - December 2018.” Nth-Degree Analytics, www.nth-degree.com.

Documents

Community Needs Assessment 2019-accepted