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THE CITY OF NEW YORKOFFICE OF THE COMPTROLLER
March 20 2019
COMMON INVESTMENT MEETINGPublic Session
PERFORMANCE REPORTING4th Quarter 2018
3
Market Returns Q4-2018
Source State Street
Average of consultant long-term arithmetic expected market returns as of 2016
Asset Class IndexFourth Quarter Returns 2018
Current Fiscal Year 3 Year 5 Year Expected
Equities - US Russell 3000 -1430 -820 897 791 780
Equities - Developed IntlMSCI World ex USA
IMI Net -1328 -1243 321 059 890
Equities - Emerging IntlMSCI EMERGING
MARKETS -746 -848 925 165 1100
Debt - US Govt Long Duration FTSE Treasury 10+ 417 109 259 605
Debt - US Government NYC TreasAgency +5 369 212 192 369 280Debt - Investment Grade NYC IG Credit 017 105 317 315 340Debt - High Yield FTSE BB amp B -402 -187 661 359 610
4
NYC Retirement Systems AUM ( in millions)
Source State Street
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
$186333(m) Total AUM for all 5 Systems as of December 31 2018
37 69147
33 61679
20 36902
7 12853
3 5752
TRS
NYCERS
POLICE
FIRE
BERS
Assets (in millions)
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Net of fees in public asset classes are recorded on an accrual basisPrivate markets data is reported on a lagged basis
NYC Pension SystemPortfolio Std
Dev - 1 yr 3 Month Fiscal YTD One Year Trailing Three Year Trailing
BERS 790 -669 -430 -298 797
TRS 717 -602 -348 -318 704
POLICE 699 -603 -345 -233 742
NYCERS 696 -592 -327 -270 734
FIRE 693 -603 -357 -247 722
Public Mkt Equiv 6535 -845 -538 -512 537
Median Fund - TUCS -599 -338 -251 683
5
Total NYC Pension Fund Net Performance as of 12312018
Source State StreetOFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
6
Quarter to Date Return as of 12312018 ndash Total Portfolio
(602) (614)
12
(592) (602)
10
(603) (629)
26
(603) (627)
24
(669) (668)
(1)
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
QTD Portfolio QTD Benchmark QTD Excess
bps
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T N p14 F p15 P p16 B p17)
Source State StreetOFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
171 Bps Assumed Rate of Return (7)
7
Quarter to Date as of 12312018 Excess Return ndash Total Portfolio
12 36
(24)
10 32
(22)
26 31
(5)
24 34
(10)(1)
91
(92)
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
QTD Total Excess Return QTD Asset Allocation QTD Manager Value Added
bps
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Source State Street
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T N p15 F p16 P p17 B p18)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
8
Value Added ndash Total Domestic Equity
1 15 289
0
8
-15 -28 -21-22 -39 -15-15 -24
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2694NYCERS 2743POLICE 2926FIRE 2798BERS 3027
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p29 N p30 F p31 P p32 B p33)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
9
Value Added ndash Total World Ex-USA
-131 -152
169
-72 -78
209
-78-120
213
-63-105
232
-184
-330
414
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 1056NYCERS 1141POLICE 828FIRE 765BERS 1111
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p30 N p31 F p33 P B p34)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
10
Value Added ndash Total Emerging Markets
7
-56 -70-43
-78 -75-29
47 27
-26
5832
-88 -86
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 887NYCERS 722POLICE 589FIRE 609BERS 711
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
11
Value Added ndash Total Structured Fixed Income
-90
17
-77-27
-83
27
-102
20
-84-33
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2313NYCERS 2125POLICE 168FIRE 1789BERS 213
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Note The blended benchmark reflects the current asset allocation No Data for the Trailing 3yr
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
12
Value Added ndash High Yield
32 16
-66
19
-6-42-19 -41 -62
20
-60 -70
7116 11
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 495NYCERS 436POLICE 527FIRE 583BERS 465
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
13
Value Added ndash Bank Loans
0 1
-75-17 -13
-53-12 -1
-49-10 0
-70-81-49 -64
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 249NYCERS 182POLICE 173FIRE 158BERS 204
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
14
Value Added ndash Economically Targeted Investments
2859
537
803732
701734 35
142 52
25
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 09NYCERS 134POLICE 108FIRE 079BERS 062
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p34 N B p36 F p38 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
266 289255266
308265
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
POLICE 655
FIRE 584
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
15
bps
Value Added - Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p P p)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
NYC Pension System | Portfolio Std Dev - 1 yr | 3 Month | Fiscal YTD | One Year Trailing | Three Year Trailing | ||||||
BERS | 790 | -669 | -430 | -298 | 797 | ||||||
TRS | 717 | -602 | -348 | -318 | 704 | ||||||
POLICE | 699 | -603 | -345 | -233 | 742 | ||||||
NYCERS | 696 | -592 | -327 | -270 | 734 | ||||||
FIRE | 693 | -603 | -357 | -247 | 722 | ||||||
Public Mkt Equiv 6535 | -845 | -538 | -512 | 537 | |||||||
Median Fund - TUCS | -599 | -338 | -251 | 683 | |||||||
Asset Class | Index | Fourth Quarter Returns 2018 | Current Fiscal Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | Expected | |||||||
Equities - US | Russell 3000 | -1430 | -820 | 897 | 791 | 780 | |||||||
Equities - Developed Intl | MSCI World ex USA IMI Net | -1328 | -1243 | 321 | 059 | 890 | |||||||
Equities - Emerging Intl | MSCI EMERGING MARKETS | -746 | -848 | 925 | 165 | 1100 | |||||||
Debt - US Govt Long Duration | FTSE Treasury 10+ | 417 | 109 | 259 | 605 | ||||||||
Debt - US Government | NYC TreasAgency +5 | 369 | 212 | 192 | 369 | 280 | |||||||
Debt - Investment Grade | NYC IG Credit | 017 | 105 | 317 | 315 | 340 | |||||||
Debt - High Yield | FTSE BB amp B | -402 | -187 | 661 | 359 | 610 |
PERFORMANCE REPORTING4th Quarter 2018
3
Market Returns Q4-2018
Source State Street
Average of consultant long-term arithmetic expected market returns as of 2016
Asset Class IndexFourth Quarter Returns 2018
Current Fiscal Year 3 Year 5 Year Expected
Equities - US Russell 3000 -1430 -820 897 791 780
Equities - Developed IntlMSCI World ex USA
IMI Net -1328 -1243 321 059 890
Equities - Emerging IntlMSCI EMERGING
MARKETS -746 -848 925 165 1100
Debt - US Govt Long Duration FTSE Treasury 10+ 417 109 259 605
Debt - US Government NYC TreasAgency +5 369 212 192 369 280Debt - Investment Grade NYC IG Credit 017 105 317 315 340Debt - High Yield FTSE BB amp B -402 -187 661 359 610
4
NYC Retirement Systems AUM ( in millions)
Source State Street
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
$186333(m) Total AUM for all 5 Systems as of December 31 2018
37 69147
33 61679
20 36902
7 12853
3 5752
TRS
NYCERS
POLICE
FIRE
BERS
Assets (in millions)
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Net of fees in public asset classes are recorded on an accrual basisPrivate markets data is reported on a lagged basis
NYC Pension SystemPortfolio Std
Dev - 1 yr 3 Month Fiscal YTD One Year Trailing Three Year Trailing
BERS 790 -669 -430 -298 797
TRS 717 -602 -348 -318 704
POLICE 699 -603 -345 -233 742
NYCERS 696 -592 -327 -270 734
FIRE 693 -603 -357 -247 722
Public Mkt Equiv 6535 -845 -538 -512 537
Median Fund - TUCS -599 -338 -251 683
5
Total NYC Pension Fund Net Performance as of 12312018
Source State StreetOFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
6
Quarter to Date Return as of 12312018 ndash Total Portfolio
(602) (614)
12
(592) (602)
10
(603) (629)
26
(603) (627)
24
(669) (668)
(1)
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
QTD Portfolio QTD Benchmark QTD Excess
bps
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T N p14 F p15 P p16 B p17)
Source State StreetOFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
171 Bps Assumed Rate of Return (7)
7
Quarter to Date as of 12312018 Excess Return ndash Total Portfolio
12 36
(24)
10 32
(22)
26 31
(5)
24 34
(10)(1)
91
(92)
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
QTD Total Excess Return QTD Asset Allocation QTD Manager Value Added
bps
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Source State Street
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T N p15 F p16 P p17 B p18)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
8
Value Added ndash Total Domestic Equity
1 15 289
0
8
-15 -28 -21-22 -39 -15-15 -24
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2694NYCERS 2743POLICE 2926FIRE 2798BERS 3027
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p29 N p30 F p31 P p32 B p33)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
9
Value Added ndash Total World Ex-USA
-131 -152
169
-72 -78
209
-78-120
213
-63-105
232
-184
-330
414
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 1056NYCERS 1141POLICE 828FIRE 765BERS 1111
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p30 N p31 F p33 P B p34)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
10
Value Added ndash Total Emerging Markets
7
-56 -70-43
-78 -75-29
47 27
-26
5832
-88 -86
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 887NYCERS 722POLICE 589FIRE 609BERS 711
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
11
Value Added ndash Total Structured Fixed Income
-90
17
-77-27
-83
27
-102
20
-84-33
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2313NYCERS 2125POLICE 168FIRE 1789BERS 213
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Note The blended benchmark reflects the current asset allocation No Data for the Trailing 3yr
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
12
Value Added ndash High Yield
32 16
-66
19
-6-42-19 -41 -62
20
-60 -70
7116 11
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 495NYCERS 436POLICE 527FIRE 583BERS 465
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
13
Value Added ndash Bank Loans
0 1
-75-17 -13
-53-12 -1
-49-10 0
-70-81-49 -64
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 249NYCERS 182POLICE 173FIRE 158BERS 204
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
14
Value Added ndash Economically Targeted Investments
2859
537
803732
701734 35
142 52
25
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 09NYCERS 134POLICE 108FIRE 079BERS 062
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p34 N B p36 F p38 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
266 289255266
308265
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
POLICE 655
FIRE 584
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
15
bps
Value Added - Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p P p)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
NYC Pension System | Portfolio Std Dev - 1 yr | 3 Month | Fiscal YTD | One Year Trailing | Three Year Trailing | ||||||
BERS | 790 | -669 | -430 | -298 | 797 | ||||||
TRS | 717 | -602 | -348 | -318 | 704 | ||||||
POLICE | 699 | -603 | -345 | -233 | 742 | ||||||
NYCERS | 696 | -592 | -327 | -270 | 734 | ||||||
FIRE | 693 | -603 | -357 | -247 | 722 | ||||||
Public Mkt Equiv 6535 | -845 | -538 | -512 | 537 | |||||||
Median Fund - TUCS | -599 | -338 | -251 | 683 | |||||||
Asset Class | Index | Fourth Quarter Returns 2018 | Current Fiscal Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | Expected | |||||||
Equities - US | Russell 3000 | -1430 | -820 | 897 | 791 | 780 | |||||||
Equities - Developed Intl | MSCI World ex USA IMI Net | -1328 | -1243 | 321 | 059 | 890 | |||||||
Equities - Emerging Intl | MSCI EMERGING MARKETS | -746 | -848 | 925 | 165 | 1100 | |||||||
Debt - US Govt Long Duration | FTSE Treasury 10+ | 417 | 109 | 259 | 605 | ||||||||
Debt - US Government | NYC TreasAgency +5 | 369 | 212 | 192 | 369 | 280 | |||||||
Debt - Investment Grade | NYC IG Credit | 017 | 105 | 317 | 315 | 340 | |||||||
Debt - High Yield | FTSE BB amp B | -402 | -187 | 661 | 359 | 610 |
3
Market Returns Q4-2018
Source State Street
Average of consultant long-term arithmetic expected market returns as of 2016
Asset Class IndexFourth Quarter Returns 2018
Current Fiscal Year 3 Year 5 Year Expected
Equities - US Russell 3000 -1430 -820 897 791 780
Equities - Developed IntlMSCI World ex USA
IMI Net -1328 -1243 321 059 890
Equities - Emerging IntlMSCI EMERGING
MARKETS -746 -848 925 165 1100
Debt - US Govt Long Duration FTSE Treasury 10+ 417 109 259 605
Debt - US Government NYC TreasAgency +5 369 212 192 369 280Debt - Investment Grade NYC IG Credit 017 105 317 315 340Debt - High Yield FTSE BB amp B -402 -187 661 359 610
4
NYC Retirement Systems AUM ( in millions)
Source State Street
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
$186333(m) Total AUM for all 5 Systems as of December 31 2018
37 69147
33 61679
20 36902
7 12853
3 5752
TRS
NYCERS
POLICE
FIRE
BERS
Assets (in millions)
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Net of fees in public asset classes are recorded on an accrual basisPrivate markets data is reported on a lagged basis
NYC Pension SystemPortfolio Std
Dev - 1 yr 3 Month Fiscal YTD One Year Trailing Three Year Trailing
BERS 790 -669 -430 -298 797
TRS 717 -602 -348 -318 704
POLICE 699 -603 -345 -233 742
NYCERS 696 -592 -327 -270 734
FIRE 693 -603 -357 -247 722
Public Mkt Equiv 6535 -845 -538 -512 537
Median Fund - TUCS -599 -338 -251 683
5
Total NYC Pension Fund Net Performance as of 12312018
Source State StreetOFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
6
Quarter to Date Return as of 12312018 ndash Total Portfolio
(602) (614)
12
(592) (602)
10
(603) (629)
26
(603) (627)
24
(669) (668)
(1)
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
QTD Portfolio QTD Benchmark QTD Excess
bps
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T N p14 F p15 P p16 B p17)
Source State StreetOFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
171 Bps Assumed Rate of Return (7)
7
Quarter to Date as of 12312018 Excess Return ndash Total Portfolio
12 36
(24)
10 32
(22)
26 31
(5)
24 34
(10)(1)
91
(92)
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
QTD Total Excess Return QTD Asset Allocation QTD Manager Value Added
bps
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Source State Street
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T N p15 F p16 P p17 B p18)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
8
Value Added ndash Total Domestic Equity
1 15 289
0
8
-15 -28 -21-22 -39 -15-15 -24
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2694NYCERS 2743POLICE 2926FIRE 2798BERS 3027
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p29 N p30 F p31 P p32 B p33)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
9
Value Added ndash Total World Ex-USA
-131 -152
169
-72 -78
209
-78-120
213
-63-105
232
-184
-330
414
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 1056NYCERS 1141POLICE 828FIRE 765BERS 1111
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p30 N p31 F p33 P B p34)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
10
Value Added ndash Total Emerging Markets
7
-56 -70-43
-78 -75-29
47 27
-26
5832
-88 -86
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 887NYCERS 722POLICE 589FIRE 609BERS 711
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
11
Value Added ndash Total Structured Fixed Income
-90
17
-77-27
-83
27
-102
20
-84-33
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2313NYCERS 2125POLICE 168FIRE 1789BERS 213
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Note The blended benchmark reflects the current asset allocation No Data for the Trailing 3yr
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
12
Value Added ndash High Yield
32 16
-66
19
-6-42-19 -41 -62
20
-60 -70
7116 11
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 495NYCERS 436POLICE 527FIRE 583BERS 465
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
13
Value Added ndash Bank Loans
0 1
-75-17 -13
-53-12 -1
-49-10 0
-70-81-49 -64
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 249NYCERS 182POLICE 173FIRE 158BERS 204
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
14
Value Added ndash Economically Targeted Investments
2859
537
803732
701734 35
142 52
25
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 09NYCERS 134POLICE 108FIRE 079BERS 062
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p34 N B p36 F p38 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
266 289255266
308265
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
POLICE 655
FIRE 584
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
15
bps
Value Added - Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p P p)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
NYC Pension System | Portfolio Std Dev - 1 yr | 3 Month | Fiscal YTD | One Year Trailing | Three Year Trailing | ||||||
BERS | 790 | -669 | -430 | -298 | 797 | ||||||
TRS | 717 | -602 | -348 | -318 | 704 | ||||||
POLICE | 699 | -603 | -345 | -233 | 742 | ||||||
NYCERS | 696 | -592 | -327 | -270 | 734 | ||||||
FIRE | 693 | -603 | -357 | -247 | 722 | ||||||
Public Mkt Equiv 6535 | -845 | -538 | -512 | 537 | |||||||
Median Fund - TUCS | -599 | -338 | -251 | 683 | |||||||
Asset Class | Index | Fourth Quarter Returns 2018 | Current Fiscal Year | 3 Year | 5 Year | Expected | |||||||
Equities - US | Russell 3000 | -1430 | -820 | 897 | 791 | 780 | |||||||
Equities - Developed Intl | MSCI World ex USA IMI Net | -1328 | -1243 | 321 | 059 | 890 | |||||||
Equities - Emerging Intl | MSCI EMERGING MARKETS | -746 | -848 | 925 | 165 | 1100 | |||||||
Debt - US Govt Long Duration | FTSE Treasury 10+ | 417 | 109 | 259 | 605 | ||||||||
Debt - US Government | NYC TreasAgency +5 | 369 | 212 | 192 | 369 | 280 | |||||||
Debt - Investment Grade | NYC IG Credit | 017 | 105 | 317 | 315 | 340 | |||||||
Debt - High Yield | FTSE BB amp B | -402 | -187 | 661 | 359 | 610 |
4
NYC Retirement Systems AUM ( in millions)
Source State Street
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
$186333(m) Total AUM for all 5 Systems as of December 31 2018
37 69147
33 61679
20 36902
7 12853
3 5752
TRS
NYCERS
POLICE
FIRE
BERS
Assets (in millions)
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Net of fees in public asset classes are recorded on an accrual basisPrivate markets data is reported on a lagged basis
NYC Pension SystemPortfolio Std
Dev - 1 yr 3 Month Fiscal YTD One Year Trailing Three Year Trailing
BERS 790 -669 -430 -298 797
TRS 717 -602 -348 -318 704
POLICE 699 -603 -345 -233 742
NYCERS 696 -592 -327 -270 734
FIRE 693 -603 -357 -247 722
Public Mkt Equiv 6535 -845 -538 -512 537
Median Fund - TUCS -599 -338 -251 683
5
Total NYC Pension Fund Net Performance as of 12312018
Source State StreetOFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
6
Quarter to Date Return as of 12312018 ndash Total Portfolio
(602) (614)
12
(592) (602)
10
(603) (629)
26
(603) (627)
24
(669) (668)
(1)
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
QTD Portfolio QTD Benchmark QTD Excess
bps
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T N p14 F p15 P p16 B p17)
Source State StreetOFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
171 Bps Assumed Rate of Return (7)
7
Quarter to Date as of 12312018 Excess Return ndash Total Portfolio
12 36
(24)
10 32
(22)
26 31
(5)
24 34
(10)(1)
91
(92)
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
QTD Total Excess Return QTD Asset Allocation QTD Manager Value Added
bps
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Source State Street
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T N p15 F p16 P p17 B p18)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
8
Value Added ndash Total Domestic Equity
1 15 289
0
8
-15 -28 -21-22 -39 -15-15 -24
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2694NYCERS 2743POLICE 2926FIRE 2798BERS 3027
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p29 N p30 F p31 P p32 B p33)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
9
Value Added ndash Total World Ex-USA
-131 -152
169
-72 -78
209
-78-120
213
-63-105
232
-184
-330
414
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 1056NYCERS 1141POLICE 828FIRE 765BERS 1111
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p30 N p31 F p33 P B p34)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
10
Value Added ndash Total Emerging Markets
7
-56 -70-43
-78 -75-29
47 27
-26
5832
-88 -86
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 887NYCERS 722POLICE 589FIRE 609BERS 711
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
11
Value Added ndash Total Structured Fixed Income
-90
17
-77-27
-83
27
-102
20
-84-33
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2313NYCERS 2125POLICE 168FIRE 1789BERS 213
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Note The blended benchmark reflects the current asset allocation No Data for the Trailing 3yr
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
12
Value Added ndash High Yield
32 16
-66
19
-6-42-19 -41 -62
20
-60 -70
7116 11
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 495NYCERS 436POLICE 527FIRE 583BERS 465
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
13
Value Added ndash Bank Loans
0 1
-75-17 -13
-53-12 -1
-49-10 0
-70-81-49 -64
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 249NYCERS 182POLICE 173FIRE 158BERS 204
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
14
Value Added ndash Economically Targeted Investments
2859
537
803732
701734 35
142 52
25
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 09NYCERS 134POLICE 108FIRE 079BERS 062
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p34 N B p36 F p38 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
266 289255266
308265
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
POLICE 655
FIRE 584
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
15
bps
Value Added - Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p P p)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
NYC Pension System | Portfolio Std Dev - 1 yr | 3 Month | Fiscal YTD | One Year Trailing | Three Year Trailing | ||||||
BERS | 790 | -669 | -430 | -298 | 797 | ||||||
TRS | 717 | -602 | -348 | -318 | 704 | ||||||
POLICE | 699 | -603 | -345 | -233 | 742 | ||||||
NYCERS | 696 | -592 | -327 | -270 | 734 | ||||||
FIRE | 693 | -603 | -357 | -247 | 722 | ||||||
Public Mkt Equiv 6535 | -845 | -538 | -512 | 537 | |||||||
Median Fund - TUCS | -599 | -338 | -251 | 683 | |||||||
Net of fees in public asset classes are recorded on an accrual basisPrivate markets data is reported on a lagged basis
NYC Pension SystemPortfolio Std
Dev - 1 yr 3 Month Fiscal YTD One Year Trailing Three Year Trailing
BERS 790 -669 -430 -298 797
TRS 717 -602 -348 -318 704
POLICE 699 -603 -345 -233 742
NYCERS 696 -592 -327 -270 734
FIRE 693 -603 -357 -247 722
Public Mkt Equiv 6535 -845 -538 -512 537
Median Fund - TUCS -599 -338 -251 683
5
Total NYC Pension Fund Net Performance as of 12312018
Source State StreetOFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
6
Quarter to Date Return as of 12312018 ndash Total Portfolio
(602) (614)
12
(592) (602)
10
(603) (629)
26
(603) (627)
24
(669) (668)
(1)
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
QTD Portfolio QTD Benchmark QTD Excess
bps
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T N p14 F p15 P p16 B p17)
Source State StreetOFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
171 Bps Assumed Rate of Return (7)
7
Quarter to Date as of 12312018 Excess Return ndash Total Portfolio
12 36
(24)
10 32
(22)
26 31
(5)
24 34
(10)(1)
91
(92)
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
QTD Total Excess Return QTD Asset Allocation QTD Manager Value Added
bps
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Source State Street
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T N p15 F p16 P p17 B p18)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
8
Value Added ndash Total Domestic Equity
1 15 289
0
8
-15 -28 -21-22 -39 -15-15 -24
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2694NYCERS 2743POLICE 2926FIRE 2798BERS 3027
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p29 N p30 F p31 P p32 B p33)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
9
Value Added ndash Total World Ex-USA
-131 -152
169
-72 -78
209
-78-120
213
-63-105
232
-184
-330
414
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 1056NYCERS 1141POLICE 828FIRE 765BERS 1111
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p30 N p31 F p33 P B p34)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
10
Value Added ndash Total Emerging Markets
7
-56 -70-43
-78 -75-29
47 27
-26
5832
-88 -86
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 887NYCERS 722POLICE 589FIRE 609BERS 711
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
11
Value Added ndash Total Structured Fixed Income
-90
17
-77-27
-83
27
-102
20
-84-33
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2313NYCERS 2125POLICE 168FIRE 1789BERS 213
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Note The blended benchmark reflects the current asset allocation No Data for the Trailing 3yr
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
12
Value Added ndash High Yield
32 16
-66
19
-6-42-19 -41 -62
20
-60 -70
7116 11
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 495NYCERS 436POLICE 527FIRE 583BERS 465
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
13
Value Added ndash Bank Loans
0 1
-75-17 -13
-53-12 -1
-49-10 0
-70-81-49 -64
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 249NYCERS 182POLICE 173FIRE 158BERS 204
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
14
Value Added ndash Economically Targeted Investments
2859
537
803732
701734 35
142 52
25
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 09NYCERS 134POLICE 108FIRE 079BERS 062
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p34 N B p36 F p38 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
266 289255266
308265
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
POLICE 655
FIRE 584
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
15
bps
Value Added - Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p P p)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
NYC Pension System | Portfolio Std Dev - 1 yr | 3 Month | Fiscal YTD | One Year Trailing | Three Year Trailing | ||||||
BERS | 790 | -669 | -430 | -298 | 797 | ||||||
TRS | 717 | -602 | -348 | -318 | 704 | ||||||
POLICE | 699 | -603 | -345 | -233 | 742 | ||||||
NYCERS | 696 | -592 | -327 | -270 | 734 | ||||||
FIRE | 693 | -603 | -357 | -247 | 722 | ||||||
Public Mkt Equiv 6535 | -845 | -538 | -512 | 537 | |||||||
Median Fund - TUCS | -599 | -338 | -251 | 683 | |||||||
6
Quarter to Date Return as of 12312018 ndash Total Portfolio
(602) (614)
12
(592) (602)
10
(603) (629)
26
(603) (627)
24
(669) (668)
(1)
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
QTD Portfolio QTD Benchmark QTD Excess
bps
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T N p14 F p15 P p16 B p17)
Source State StreetOFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
171 Bps Assumed Rate of Return (7)
7
Quarter to Date as of 12312018 Excess Return ndash Total Portfolio
12 36
(24)
10 32
(22)
26 31
(5)
24 34
(10)(1)
91
(92)
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
QTD Total Excess Return QTD Asset Allocation QTD Manager Value Added
bps
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Source State Street
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T N p15 F p16 P p17 B p18)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
8
Value Added ndash Total Domestic Equity
1 15 289
0
8
-15 -28 -21-22 -39 -15-15 -24
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2694NYCERS 2743POLICE 2926FIRE 2798BERS 3027
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p29 N p30 F p31 P p32 B p33)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
9
Value Added ndash Total World Ex-USA
-131 -152
169
-72 -78
209
-78-120
213
-63-105
232
-184
-330
414
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 1056NYCERS 1141POLICE 828FIRE 765BERS 1111
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p30 N p31 F p33 P B p34)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
10
Value Added ndash Total Emerging Markets
7
-56 -70-43
-78 -75-29
47 27
-26
5832
-88 -86
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 887NYCERS 722POLICE 589FIRE 609BERS 711
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
11
Value Added ndash Total Structured Fixed Income
-90
17
-77-27
-83
27
-102
20
-84-33
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2313NYCERS 2125POLICE 168FIRE 1789BERS 213
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Note The blended benchmark reflects the current asset allocation No Data for the Trailing 3yr
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
12
Value Added ndash High Yield
32 16
-66
19
-6-42-19 -41 -62
20
-60 -70
7116 11
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 495NYCERS 436POLICE 527FIRE 583BERS 465
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
13
Value Added ndash Bank Loans
0 1
-75-17 -13
-53-12 -1
-49-10 0
-70-81-49 -64
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 249NYCERS 182POLICE 173FIRE 158BERS 204
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
14
Value Added ndash Economically Targeted Investments
2859
537
803732
701734 35
142 52
25
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 09NYCERS 134POLICE 108FIRE 079BERS 062
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p34 N B p36 F p38 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
266 289255266
308265
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
POLICE 655
FIRE 584
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
15
bps
Value Added - Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p P p)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
7
Quarter to Date as of 12312018 Excess Return ndash Total Portfolio
12 36
(24)
10 32
(22)
26 31
(5)
24 34
(10)(1)
91
(92)
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
QTD Total Excess Return QTD Asset Allocation QTD Manager Value Added
bps
TRS
NYCERS
Police
Fire
BERS
Source State Street
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T N p15 F p16 P p17 B p18)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
8
Value Added ndash Total Domestic Equity
1 15 289
0
8
-15 -28 -21-22 -39 -15-15 -24
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2694NYCERS 2743POLICE 2926FIRE 2798BERS 3027
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p29 N p30 F p31 P p32 B p33)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
9
Value Added ndash Total World Ex-USA
-131 -152
169
-72 -78
209
-78-120
213
-63-105
232
-184
-330
414
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 1056NYCERS 1141POLICE 828FIRE 765BERS 1111
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p30 N p31 F p33 P B p34)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
10
Value Added ndash Total Emerging Markets
7
-56 -70-43
-78 -75-29
47 27
-26
5832
-88 -86
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 887NYCERS 722POLICE 589FIRE 609BERS 711
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
11
Value Added ndash Total Structured Fixed Income
-90
17
-77-27
-83
27
-102
20
-84-33
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2313NYCERS 2125POLICE 168FIRE 1789BERS 213
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Note The blended benchmark reflects the current asset allocation No Data for the Trailing 3yr
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
12
Value Added ndash High Yield
32 16
-66
19
-6-42-19 -41 -62
20
-60 -70
7116 11
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 495NYCERS 436POLICE 527FIRE 583BERS 465
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
13
Value Added ndash Bank Loans
0 1
-75-17 -13
-53-12 -1
-49-10 0
-70-81-49 -64
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 249NYCERS 182POLICE 173FIRE 158BERS 204
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
14
Value Added ndash Economically Targeted Investments
2859
537
803732
701734 35
142 52
25
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 09NYCERS 134POLICE 108FIRE 079BERS 062
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p34 N B p36 F p38 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
266 289255266
308265
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
POLICE 655
FIRE 584
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
15
bps
Value Added - Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p P p)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
8
Value Added ndash Total Domestic Equity
1 15 289
0
8
-15 -28 -21-22 -39 -15-15 -24
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2694NYCERS 2743POLICE 2926FIRE 2798BERS 3027
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p29 N p30 F p31 P p32 B p33)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
9
Value Added ndash Total World Ex-USA
-131 -152
169
-72 -78
209
-78-120
213
-63-105
232
-184
-330
414
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 1056NYCERS 1141POLICE 828FIRE 765BERS 1111
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p30 N p31 F p33 P B p34)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
10
Value Added ndash Total Emerging Markets
7
-56 -70-43
-78 -75-29
47 27
-26
5832
-88 -86
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 887NYCERS 722POLICE 589FIRE 609BERS 711
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
11
Value Added ndash Total Structured Fixed Income
-90
17
-77-27
-83
27
-102
20
-84-33
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2313NYCERS 2125POLICE 168FIRE 1789BERS 213
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Note The blended benchmark reflects the current asset allocation No Data for the Trailing 3yr
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
12
Value Added ndash High Yield
32 16
-66
19
-6-42-19 -41 -62
20
-60 -70
7116 11
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 495NYCERS 436POLICE 527FIRE 583BERS 465
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
13
Value Added ndash Bank Loans
0 1
-75-17 -13
-53-12 -1
-49-10 0
-70-81-49 -64
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 249NYCERS 182POLICE 173FIRE 158BERS 204
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
14
Value Added ndash Economically Targeted Investments
2859
537
803732
701734 35
142 52
25
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 09NYCERS 134POLICE 108FIRE 079BERS 062
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p34 N B p36 F p38 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
266 289255266
308265
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
POLICE 655
FIRE 584
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
15
bps
Value Added - Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p P p)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
9
Value Added ndash Total World Ex-USA
-131 -152
169
-72 -78
209
-78-120
213
-63-105
232
-184
-330
414
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 1056NYCERS 1141POLICE 828FIRE 765BERS 1111
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p30 N p31 F p33 P B p34)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
10
Value Added ndash Total Emerging Markets
7
-56 -70-43
-78 -75-29
47 27
-26
5832
-88 -86
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 887NYCERS 722POLICE 589FIRE 609BERS 711
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
11
Value Added ndash Total Structured Fixed Income
-90
17
-77-27
-83
27
-102
20
-84-33
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2313NYCERS 2125POLICE 168FIRE 1789BERS 213
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Note The blended benchmark reflects the current asset allocation No Data for the Trailing 3yr
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
12
Value Added ndash High Yield
32 16
-66
19
-6-42-19 -41 -62
20
-60 -70
7116 11
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 495NYCERS 436POLICE 527FIRE 583BERS 465
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
13
Value Added ndash Bank Loans
0 1
-75-17 -13
-53-12 -1
-49-10 0
-70-81-49 -64
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 249NYCERS 182POLICE 173FIRE 158BERS 204
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
14
Value Added ndash Economically Targeted Investments
2859
537
803732
701734 35
142 52
25
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 09NYCERS 134POLICE 108FIRE 079BERS 062
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p34 N B p36 F p38 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
266 289255266
308265
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
POLICE 655
FIRE 584
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
15
bps
Value Added - Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p P p)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
10
Value Added ndash Total Emerging Markets
7
-56 -70-43
-78 -75-29
47 27
-26
5832
-88 -86
27
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 887NYCERS 722POLICE 589FIRE 609BERS 711
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
11
Value Added ndash Total Structured Fixed Income
-90
17
-77-27
-83
27
-102
20
-84-33
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2313NYCERS 2125POLICE 168FIRE 1789BERS 213
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Note The blended benchmark reflects the current asset allocation No Data for the Trailing 3yr
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
12
Value Added ndash High Yield
32 16
-66
19
-6-42-19 -41 -62
20
-60 -70
7116 11
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 495NYCERS 436POLICE 527FIRE 583BERS 465
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
13
Value Added ndash Bank Loans
0 1
-75-17 -13
-53-12 -1
-49-10 0
-70-81-49 -64
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 249NYCERS 182POLICE 173FIRE 158BERS 204
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
14
Value Added ndash Economically Targeted Investments
2859
537
803732
701734 35
142 52
25
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 09NYCERS 134POLICE 108FIRE 079BERS 062
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p34 N B p36 F p38 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
266 289255266
308265
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
POLICE 655
FIRE 584
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
15
bps
Value Added - Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p P p)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
11
Value Added ndash Total Structured Fixed Income
-90
17
-77-27
-83
27
-102
20
-84-33
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 2313NYCERS 2125POLICE 168FIRE 1789BERS 213
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Note The blended benchmark reflects the current asset allocation No Data for the Trailing 3yr
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
12
Value Added ndash High Yield
32 16
-66
19
-6-42-19 -41 -62
20
-60 -70
7116 11
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 495NYCERS 436POLICE 527FIRE 583BERS 465
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
13
Value Added ndash Bank Loans
0 1
-75-17 -13
-53-12 -1
-49-10 0
-70-81-49 -64
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 249NYCERS 182POLICE 173FIRE 158BERS 204
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
14
Value Added ndash Economically Targeted Investments
2859
537
803732
701734 35
142 52
25
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 09NYCERS 134POLICE 108FIRE 079BERS 062
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p34 N B p36 F p38 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
266 289255266
308265
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
POLICE 655
FIRE 584
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
15
bps
Value Added - Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p P p)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
12
Value Added ndash High Yield
32 16
-66
19
-6-42-19 -41 -62
20
-60 -70
7116 11
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 495NYCERS 436POLICE 527FIRE 583BERS 465
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p38)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
13
Value Added ndash Bank Loans
0 1
-75-17 -13
-53-12 -1
-49-10 0
-70-81-49 -64
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 249NYCERS 182POLICE 173FIRE 158BERS 204
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
14
Value Added ndash Economically Targeted Investments
2859
537
803732
701734 35
142 52
25
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 09NYCERS 134POLICE 108FIRE 079BERS 062
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p34 N B p36 F p38 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
266 289255266
308265
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
POLICE 655
FIRE 584
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
15
bps
Value Added - Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p P p)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
13
Value Added ndash Bank Loans
0 1
-75-17 -13
-53-12 -1
-49-10 0
-70-81-49 -64
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 249NYCERS 182POLICE 173FIRE 158BERS 204
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p33 N p35 B p36 F p37 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
14
Value Added ndash Economically Targeted Investments
2859
537
803732
701734 35
142 52
25
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 09NYCERS 134POLICE 108FIRE 079BERS 062
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p34 N B p36 F p38 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
266 289255266
308265
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
POLICE 655
FIRE 584
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
15
bps
Value Added - Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p P p)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
14
Value Added ndash Economically Targeted Investments
2859
537
803732
701734 35
142 52
25
-500
-400
-300
-200
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
TRS 09NYCERS 134POLICE 108FIRE 079BERS 062
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
bps
Basis Points of Excess Return (SSB T p34 N B p36 F p38 P p39)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
266 289255266
308265
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
POLICE 655
FIRE 584
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
15
bps
Value Added - Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p P p)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
Value Added- Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return
266 289255266
308265
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
QTD FYTD 3 Year Trailing
POLICE 655
FIRE 584
Source State Street
Weights as of12312018
15
bps
Value Added - Hedge FundsBasis Points of Excess Return (SSB F p P p)
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
16
Hedge Fund Performance Less Tactical Trade
Q4 2018 FYTD 3 Year
FIRE -17 -05 51
POLICE -17 -07 50
HFRI+100 -46 -37 23
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
17
Tactical Trade Performance
Q4 2018POLICE amp FIRE FYTD
Tactical Hedge Fund Trade -44 -58RUSSELL 3000 -143 -82Outperformance 99 24
Source Aksia
Performance is shown net of fees
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
PRIVATE MARKET DATA
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
19
Value Added - Opportunistic Fixed Income (OFI)
152 157200
156
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception PME Benchmark 50 JP Morgan Global High Yield 50 CS Leveraged Loans as of 123118
TRS - 10242007
NYCERS - 10242007
Police - 10242007
Fire - 10242007
BERS - NA
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
20
Value Added - Private Equity
(43) (71)
38 78
43
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception The PE Benchmark is the Russell 3000 + 300 bps as of 093018
TRS - 070899
NYCERS - 032999
Police - 032999
Fire - 032999
BERS - 072006
Inception Date
300bps Target
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalent
bps
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
21
Private Equity Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
-20
-10
00
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 TRS - PME Spread -13 27 27 40 09 37 26 25 NYCERS - PME Spread -13 25 19 42 10 44 -05 25 Police - PME Spread -02 32 23 56 07 47 -05 25 Fire - PME Spread 02 34 23 61 07 51 -03 24 BERS - PME Spread -01 34 60 06 51 03 25
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group amp Hamilton Lane
NA
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
22
Value Added - Private Real Estate - Core
88
-69
22 14
315
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
Excess Return Since Inception Core PME = 40 Equities Russell 3000 amp 60 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 9282006
NYCERS - 9282006
Police - 9282006
Fire - 9282006
BERS - 12132010
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
23
Value Added - Private Real Estate ndash Non-Core
425
227138
5
715
-900
-700
-500
-300
-100
100
300
500
700
900
Excess Return Since Inception Non-core PME = 60 Equities Russell 3000 amp 40 Barclay Agg as of 093018
TRS - 1262002
NYCERS - 1262002
Police - 1262002
Fire - 1262002
BERS - 04112011
Inception Date
Source State Street
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the Non-core PME Return
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
24
Private Real Estate (Non-Core) Value Added - PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
-80-60-40-200020406080
100120140
PRE-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Pre-2011 2011-2016 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
TRS - PME Spread 28 66 91 77 60 59 01 52 NYCERS - PME Spread -04 83 91 95 71 72 49 52 Police - PME Spread -30 94 90 109 69 123 49 51 Fire - PME Spread -61 102 93 107 77 134 48 51 BERS - PME Spread 73 111 138 49 46 41 76
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
Perc
enta
ge
Source State Street
NA
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
25
Value Added - Infrastructure
672600
675 623706
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
800
1000
Excess Return Since Inception PME 50 R3000 amp 50 Barclays Agg as of 093018
TRS - 11192013
NYCERS - 11192013
Police - 11192013
Fire - 11192013
BERS - 11192013
Inception Date
Source StepStone Group
Basis Points of Cumulative IRR above Public Market Equivalentbp
s
The PME Spread is the difference between the IRR and the PME
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
26
Infrastructure Value Added ndash PME Spread By Vintage Year as of 093018
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
00102030405060708090
100
VINTAGE - 2013 VINTAGE - 2014 VINTAGE - 2015 VINTAGE - 2016
Vintage - 2013 Vintage - 2014 Vintage - 2015 Vintage - 2016 TRS - PME Spread 52 82 22 NYCERS - PME Spread 49 74 20 Police - PME Spread 49 91 20 Fire - PME Spread 49 85 19 BERS - PME Spread 49 84 16
TRS - PME Spread NYCERS - PME Spread Police - PME Spread Fire - PME Spread BERS - PME Spread
NA
NANA
NANA
Perc
enta
ge
Source StepStone Group
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
QUESTIONS
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
RISK UPDATE1st Quarter 2019
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
29
Quarterly Risk Reporting - Update
bull Holdings data on alternative assets (Private Equity Private Real Estate Infrastructure Hedge Funds and OFI) has been loaded into the MSCIrsquos Barra1 application - and will be periodically updated
bull Reports detailing the risk of each systems Public market and Private market assets as of year end 2018 have been generated and uploaded to Convene
The reports now include a section detailing the systems exposure to 6 ldquomacrordquo factors (the highest levelleast granular set of factors in MSCIrsquos factor hierarchy)
bull Reports detailing return attribution for each system at the total plan asset class sub asset class and manager level are also being generated
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
30
Total Plan Risk
BarraOne Total Plan Summary
Risk Summary
Statistic Value
Total Risk 667
Benchmark Risk 709
Active Risk 098
Portfolio Beta 093
Effective Duration 224
Asset Class Contribution to Risk
Asset Class MktValue Weight () Total Risk Risk Contribution CR toTR
Total 34955931095 10000 667 667 10000PublicEquity 16227689381 4642 1136 517 7753
FixedIncome 12208445529 3493 288 040 596
PrivateEquity 2430070329 695 1423 082 1235
HedgeFunds 2255116962 645 387 006 095
Private RealEstate 1507883721 431 701 017 249
Infrastructure 326725172 093 933 005 072
Asset Class Allocation
0
20
10
40
30
50
Public Equity Fixed Income PrivateEquity HedgeFunds Private Real Estate Infrastructure0
40
20
80
60
100
Weight () CR to TotalRisk
Weights ()CR to TotalRisk
Risk Factor Breakdown
Risk Decomposition
Risk Source Risk Contribution Correlation
TotalRisk 667 100Local MarketRisk 636 099
Common FactorRisk 633 094
Equity 581 047
FixedIncome 028 034
HedgeFund 000 010
Private RealEstate 017 -009
PrivateEquity 007 068
Selection Risk 003 030
CurrencyRisk 032
Portfolio Active
Risk Correlation Risk Contribution Risk
10000 100 098 100009527 099 095 97429483 099 087 88348701 097 030 3086423 028 013 1369003 002 001 092256 057 -003 -267098 010 045 4562044 007 009 908473 044 003 258 016
Active Risk from Risk Factors
-20
0
20
40
60
Private Equity
Equity Fixed Income
Hedge Unassigned Private Selection Fund Factors Real Risk
Estate
Currency Risk
C
R to
Activ
e To
talR
isk
Total Risk lt Benchmark Risk reflecting Equity and long duration UST ldquotiltsrdquo
Portfolio Beta lt 1 which is ldquodefensiverdquo
Private Market assets are now included
Private Equity is 695 of NAV but 1235 of Total Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
31
EXPOSURE TO macro factors CUT ACROSS ASSET CLASSES
At the highest level we use just six factors to represent the primary drivers of total risk and return for a global multi-asset class portfolio
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
Daily Performance Please select Return column to displayPortfolio Base Return
Daily PerformanceMacro Factor Return Attribution
Factor Risk Contribution Factor ReturnsEquity 8402 -1319Pure Alts 083 -590Real Assets 329 -606Credit 630 -010Inflation 054 020Rates -148 162
Please note that the above factor returns are estimates derived from observing the return of ldquoproxiesrdquo
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
Factor | Risk Contribution | Factor Returns | |||||||||||||||||
Equity | 8402 | -1319 | |||||||||||||||||
Pure Alts | 083 | -590 | |||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 329 | -606 | |||||||||||||||||
Credit | 630 | -010 | |||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 054 | 020 | |||||||||||||||||
Rates | -148 | 162 | |||||||||||||||||
Residual | 045 | ||||||||||||||||||
Residual CR | 605 | ||||||||||||||||||
33
Total Plan Risk (Macro Factors)
BarraOne Total Plan Macro SummaryMacro factor models attribute the risk of the Barra Integrated Model to a far smaller set of factors At the highest level we use just six factors representing the primary drivers of total riskand return for a global multi-asset class portfolio that reduces the number of factors in an integrated factor model by aggregating selected groups of factors into single factors Tier I is thehighlest level of the Macro Factor Scheme which has 6 factors
Macro Factor Exposures
-1
0
1
2
3
4
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets
Exposure BenchmarkExposure Active Exposure
Macro Factor Risk Contribution
-2
0
2
4
6
Equity Credit Pure Alternatives Interest Rates Inflation RealAssets-01
0
01
02
03
Portfolio RiskContribution Active Portfolio Risk Contribution
PortRiskActive PortRisk
Risk Decomposi ti on
Exposure Contribution
Risk Source Exposure Benchmark Exposure
Active Exposure
Portfolio Risk Portfolio Active PortfolioRisk Contribution Risk Contribution
ActiveRisk
Total Risk - - - 667 10000 098 10000Local MarketRisk - - - 635 9527 096 9753
Common FactorRisk - - - 632 9482 087 8852
Equity 055 061 -006 559 8385 025 2544
Credit 289 314 -026 042 637 001 133
PureAlternatives 010 006 004 006 085 015 1549
Interest Rates 226 297 -071 -010 -149 003 336
Inflation 036 043 -007 004 054 000 023
RealAssets 004 000 004 022 326 -006 -655
Factor ResidualRisk - - - 010 144 048 4921
Selection Risk - - - 003 044 009 902
CurrencyRisk - - - 032 473 002 247
Tier 1 Macro Factor Scheme has s ix factorsFactor Exposure Type DescriptionEquity CreditPureAlternatives
Interest Rates InflationReal Assets
Membership (weights) Global Public and Private Equity Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global credit spreadsMembership (weights) Investment strategy return of Private Equityand
Hedge Funds net of public factor returns Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to global interest rates Sensitivities (durations) Sensitivity to breakeven inflation Membership (weights) Real Estate andCommodities
Factor Res idual Risk
Risk Source PortfolioRisk Contribution
PortfolioRisk
Active PortfolioRiskContribution
ActiveRisk
Commodities 000 000 000 000
Equity 021 313 006 585
FixedIncome -008 -119 008 856
HedgeFund -002 -028 010 971
PrivateEquity 003 045 021 2101
Private RealEstate -005 -070 004 390
UnassignedFactors 000 003 000
018
Underweight to the Equity Credit and Rates Macro factors
Equity Factor risk contribution 559
Equity Factor Active Risk contribution 25
Equity Factor Risk contribution as a of total risk 8385
Total Risk is 667
Equity Factor Active Risk is 2544 of Total Active Risk
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
34
Breaking Down Portfolio Risk By Asset Allocation and Factor Risk Contribution
What investors control
Portfolio characteristics Factor models Risk amp return What really
matters
Asset allocation Risk allocation
Mkt Value Weight ()
Portfolio Risk Equity Pure Alts Real
Assets Credit Inflation Rates Residual Residual CR
34814266262 10000 10000 8402 083 329 630 054 -148 045 605
EQUITY 22757203527 6537 9467 8278 083 329 036 000 -004 044 700
Alternative 6520082739 1873 1641 1185 083 329 036 000 -004 012 000
Hedge Funds 2255116963 648 096 101 031 000 008 000 000 010 -053
Infrastructure 326725173 094 072 086 004 000 011 000 -002 000 -027
Private Equity 2430077456 698 1244 1021 046 000 010 000 -001 001 167
Private Real Estate 1508163148 433 229 -023 002 329 007 000 000 001 -086
Public 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
Public Equity 16237120788 4664 7825 7093 000 000 000 000 000 032 700
FIXED INCOME 12057062735 3463 533 124 000 000 594 054 -144 001 -096
Alternative 123318330 035 021 003 000 000 017 000 -001 000 001
Public 11933744405 3428 513 122 000 000 576 054 -143 001 -097
Alternative Credit 3287792342 944 525 121 000 000 428 000 -018 001 -007
Fixed Income 8645952063 2483 -012 000 000 000 148 054 -125 000 -090
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
35
QUARTERLY CHANGE IN TOTAL FUND RISK
Risk SourcePortfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31)
Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30)
Portfolio Risk Change
Portfolio Exposure Change
Contribution
Portfolio Correlation
Change Contribution
Factor Volatility Change
Contribution
Total Risk 645 612 032 -020 -004 056Common Factor 608 574 034 -020 -002 056
Macro Factors 596 549 047 -013 005 055Credit 045 031 013 016 000 -003
Equity 558 525 033 -028 004 057
Inflation 004 004 000 000 000 000
Interest Rates -010 -011 001 -001 002 000
Pure Alternatives 000 000 000 000 000 000
Real Assets 000 000 000 000 000 000
Residual Risk 012 025 -013 -007 -007 001
Selection Risk 004 004 000 000 000 000
Currency Risk 032 034 -002 000 -001 000
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
The risk of the of the public markets investments increased by 32 in the 4th quarter and can be attributed to changes in exposure correlation and volatility as follows
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 645 | 612 | 032 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 100 | 100 | -000 | -004 | 645 | 612 | 032 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 608 | 574 | 034 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -020 | 099 | 099 | 000 | -002 | 614 | 580 | 034 | 056 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 596 | 549 | 047 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -013 | 097 | 096 | 001 | 005 | 617 | 572 | 045 | 055 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 045 | 031 | 013 | 302 | 196 | 106 | 016 | 066 | 066 | 000 | 000 | 022 | 024 | -002 | -003 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 558 | 525 | 033 | 055 | 058 | -003 | -028 | 095 | 095 | 001 | 004 | 1070 | 963 | 108 | 057 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 004 | 004 | 000 | 042 | 039 | 003 | 000 | 029 | 029 | -001 | -000 | 035 | 035 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -010 | -011 | 001 | 252 | 225 | 027 | -001 | -013 | -016 | 002 | 002 | 031 | 031 | -001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | -000 | 728 | 650 | 077 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 042 | 046 | -004 | 000 | 1287 | 1276 | 011 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 012 | 025 | -013 | -200 | -200 | 000 | -007 | -049 | -048 | -001 | -007 | -095 | -087 | -008 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 004 | 004 | -000 | 100 | 100 | 000 | 000 | 008 | 008 | -000 | -000 | 050 | 049 | 001 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 032 | 034 | -002 | 100 | 100 | 000 | -000 | 044 | 044 | 000 | -001 | 073 | 078 | -005 | 000 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 645 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905962249 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 032 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 604 | 088 | 007 | 000 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219625002 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | 020 | (002) | 002 | - 0 | 001 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 008 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -001 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 597 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226720349 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | 020 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 041 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 013 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 040 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2048 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 010 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alts Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3040557246216 | 10000 | 10000 | 055 | 004 | 000 | 302 | 042 | 252 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | -334348716033 | -000 | 000 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 106 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 1847175143034 | 6075 | 9371 | 054 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | -265044481967 | -183 | -173 | (003) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 742 | 117 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | 087 | -015 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 5333 | 9255 | 053 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269563273572 | -270 | -158 | (003) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3925 | 629 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 298 | 042 | 251 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | 183 | 173 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 105 | 003 | 027 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 1081 | 623 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 221 | 000 | 032 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 242 | 134 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 087 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2844 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 077 | 042 | 220 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -059 | 039 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 018 | 003 | 016 |
Risk Source | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Risk Contribution (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Risk Change | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Residual Exposure (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Exposure Change | Portfolio Exposure Change Contribution | Portfolio Correlation (2018-12-31) | Portfolio Correlation (2018-09-30) | Portfolio Correlation Change | Portfolio Correlation Change Contribution | Factor Volatility (2018-12-31) | Factor Volatility (2018-09-30) | Factor Volatility Change | Factor Volatility Change Contribution | ||||||||||||||||
Total Risk | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00431 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00339 | 66035 | 61240 | 04794 | 05565 | ||||||||||||||||
Common Factor | 62623 | 57411 | 05212 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00330 | 09925 | 09894 | 00031 | -00067 | 63098 | 58026 | 05072 | 05609 | ||||||||||||||||
Macro Factors | 62219 | 54930 | 07289 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 01286 | 09659 | 09609 | 00050 | 00534 | 64414 | 57166 | 07248 | 05470 | ||||||||||||||||
Credit | 05022 | 03123 | 01899 | 34019 | 19638 | 14380 | 02205 | 06609 | 06609 | -00000 | -00000 | 02234 | 02406 | -00173 | -00306 | ||||||||||||||||
Equity | 55170 | 52504 | 02666 | 05420 | 05761 | -00341 | -03292 | 09512 | 09469 | 00043 | 00244 | 107022 | 96253 | 10769 | 05713 | ||||||||||||||||
Inflation | 00355 | 00398 | -00043 | 03552 | 03885 | -00333 | -00034 | 02841 | 02932 | -00091 | -00012 | 03519 | 03495 | 00024 | 00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | -01014 | -01101 | 00087 | 22859 | 22526 | 00333 | -00016 | -01453 | -01556 | 00102 | 00072 | 03053 | 03143 | -00090 | 00031 | ||||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 00548 | 00005 | 00543 | 00953 | 00307 | 00646 | 00191 | 00790 | 00026 | 00764 | 00332 | 72756 | 65008 | 07748 | 00020 | ||||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 02138 | 00000 | 02138 | 00395 | 00000 | 00395 | 02231 | 04208 | 04613 | -00405 | -00102 | 128704 | 127590 | 01114 | 00010 | ||||||||||||||||
Residual Risk | 00404 | 02482 | -02077 | -20000 | -20000 | 00000 | -01615 | -04638 | -04793 | 00154 | -00601 | -09973 | -08688 | -01285 | 00139 | ||||||||||||||||
Selection Risk | 00288 | 00396 | -00108 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | 00000 | 00661 | 00804 | -00143 | -00067 | 04362 | 04923 | -00562 | -00041 | ||||||||||||||||
Currency Risk | 03124 | 03433 | -00310 | 10000 | 10000 | 00000 | -00101 | 04319 | 04380 | -00061 | -00205 | 07233 | 07839 | -00606 | -00003 | ||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 Macro Factors | Tier 1 Macro Factor Correlation Matrix | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Factor Name | Factor Volatility | Factor Exposure | MCTR | Portfolio Correlation | Residual Contribution | Factor Name | Equity | Real Assets | Credit | Pure Alternatives | Inflation | Interest Rates | ||||||||||||||
Equity | 1070 | 054 | 010 | 095 | 55170 | Equity | 100 | 040 | 067 | 000 | 028 | -030 | ||||||||||||||
Real Assets | 1287 | 004 | 005 | 042 | 02138 | Real Assets | 040 | 100 | 049 | 000 | 035 | -024 | ||||||||||||||
Credit | 022 | 340 | 000 | 066 | 05022 | Credit | 067 | 049 | 100 | 000 | 046 | -040 | ||||||||||||||
Pure Alternatives | 728 | 010 | 001 | 008 | 00548 | Pure Alternatives | 000 | 000 | 000 | 100 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||
Inflation | 035 | 036 | 000 | 028 | 00355 | Inflation | 028 | 035 | 046 | 000 | 100 | -017 | ||||||||||||||
Interest Rates | 031 | 229 | -000 | -015 | (01014) | Interest Rates | -030 | -024 | -040 | 000 | -017 | 100 |
123118 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | 93018 | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Delta | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 612 | 058 | 003 | - 0 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 048 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6508 | 613 | 083 | 015 | 006 | 025 | 000 | 009 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 585 | 090 | 005 | - 0 | 006 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 028 | (008) | 010 | 006 | 019 | 000 | 008 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 106 | 041 | 051 | 022 | 087 | 000 | 032 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 098 | 028 | 004 | 022 | 033 | 000 | 023 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 006 | 010 | 055 | 000 | 052 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 008 | 014 | 047 | - 0 | 054 | 000 | 009 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -002 | (004) | 008 | - 0 | -002 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | 000 | 538 | 000 | 407 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 005 | 060 | 050 | - 0 | 538 | 000 | 407 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | 000 | 067 | 000 | 014 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 081 | 096 | 075 | - 0 | 067 | 000 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | -003 | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 015 | (003) | 005 | 093 | 073 | 000 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4644 | 507 | 099 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 576 | 099 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -070 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3492 | 047 | 004 | 001 | 000 | 894 | 098 | 614 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 020 | 001 | 001 | - 0 | 378 | -006 | 013 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | 000 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 014 | 025 | 008 | - 0 | 2463 | 002 | 298 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3413 | 033 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 760 | 106 | 641 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 028 | 003 | - 0 | - 0 | 515 | 104 | 600 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 005 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 245 | 002 | 040 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 2049 | 000 | 292 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 030 | 012 | - 0 | - 0 | 1599 | 000 | 246 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 004 | (004) | - 0 | - 0 | 450 | 000 | 046 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2473 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 270 | 146 | 773 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -002 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 202 | 134 | 703 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 068 | 013 | 070 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | Market Value Driven | Duration Driven | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Exp | Pure Alternatives Exp | Real Assets Exp | Credit Exp | Inflation Exp | Interest Rates Exp | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3496574937985 | 10000 | 10000 | 054 | 010 | 004 | 340 | 036 | 229 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3374905549201 | 10000 | 10000 | 058 | 003 | 000 | 196 | 039 | 225 | by distinct+distinct+distinct | 193797737614 | 000 | 4795 | (003) | 006 | 004 | 144 | -003 | 003 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2275720352736 | 6508 | 9282 | 054 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | EQUITY | 2112219211953 | 6259 | 9545 | 057 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | EQUITY | 161452508741 | 250 | 2844 | (005) | 006 | 004 | 013 | 000 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1865 | 1610 | 008 | 009 | 004 | 016 | 000 | 006 | Alternative | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Alternative | 431015369265 | 1210 | 9827 | 005 | 001 | 004 | 006 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 645 | 094 | 001 | 004 | 000 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 220992904653 | 655 | 132 | 001 | 003 | 000 | 004 | 000 | 001 | Hedge Funds | 4518791605 | -010 | -185 | (000) | 001 | - 0 | -000 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 071 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 004 | Infrastructure | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 093 | 467 | 001 | 000 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 1221 | 007 | 005 | 000 | 005 | 000 | 001 | Private Equity | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Equity | 243007745623 | 695 | 8063 | 007 | 005 | - 0 | 005 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 225 | -000 | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | Private Real Estate | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 431 | 1483 | (000) | 000 | 004 | 003 | 000 | 001 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1623712078818 | 4644 | 7672 | 046 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | 1891226307300 | 5604 | 9413 | 056 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Public Equity | -269562860524 | -960 | -6983 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 000 | 000 | 000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1220854585249 | 3492 | 718 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 312 | 034 | 214 | FIXED INCOME | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | FIXED INCOME | 32345228873 | -250 | 1951 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 132 | -002 | 005 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Alternative | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Alternative | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 27480144788 | 079 | 217 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 019 | 000 | 002 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 079 | 1430 | 000 | 000 | - 0 | 019 | 000 | 002 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Public | 1193374440461 | 3413 | 501 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 259 | 036 | 219 | Public | 1262686337248 | 3741 | 455 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 039 | 225 | Public | -69304234066 | -328 | 521 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 083 | 001 | 014 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 940 | 517 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 193 | 000 | 027 | Alternative Credit | 283128193941 | 839 | 489 | 001 | 000 | 000 | 134 | 000 | 021 | Alternative Credit | 45651040228 | 101 | 418 | (000) | - 0 | - 0 | 042 | 000 | 004 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864595206292 | 2473 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 067 | 036 | 191 | Fixed Income | 979558143307 | 2902 | -034 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 059 | 039 | 204 | Fixed Income | -114955274294 | -430 | 103 | 000 | - 0 | - 0 | 017 | 003 | 017 |
Source of Factor Risk by Asset Class | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR Gonzalez Blanco Arturo Gonzalez Blanco ArturoCurrency Risk + Factor Residual Risk | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 660 | 552 | 005 | 021 | 050 | 004 | -010 | 003 | 035 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 613 | 537 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 003 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 106 | 077 | 005 | 021 | 002 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 006 | 007 | 002 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 005 | 006 | 000 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 081 | 066 | 003 | 000 | 001 | 000 | -000 | 000 | 011 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 015 | -001 | 000 | 021 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 507 | 460 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 002 | 045 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 047 | 015 | 000 | 000 | 048 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -009 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 014 | 007 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -000 | 000 | -003 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 033 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 038 | 004 | -010 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 034 | 008 | 000 | 000 | 028 | 000 | -001 | 000 | -000 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -001 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 010 | 004 | -008 | 000 | -006 | ||||||||||||
Grouping Level 1+Level 2+Level 3 | Mkt Value | Weight () | Portfolio Risk Contribution | Equity Contrib | Pure Alternatives Contrib | Real Assets Contrib | Credit Contrib | Inflation Contrib | Interest Rates Contrib | Specific Residual Contribution | Residual CR | ||||||||||||
by distinct+distinct+distinct | 3568703286815 | 10000 | 10000 | 8355 | 083 | 324 | 761 | 054 | -154 | 044 | 534 | ||||||||||||
EQUITY | 2273671720694 | 6371 | 9282 | 8125 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 043 | 678 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 652008273918 | 1827 | 1610 | 1165 | 081 | 324 | 036 | 000 | -004 | 011 | -002 | ||||||||||||
Hedge Funds | 225511696258 | 632 | 094 | 099 | 030 | 000 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 010 | -052 | ||||||||||||
Infrastructure | 32672517250 | 092 | 071 | 085 | 004 | 000 | 011 | 000 | -003 | 000 | -027 | ||||||||||||
Private Equity | 243007745623 | 681 | 1221 | 1003 | 045 | 000 | 010 | 000 | -001 | 001 | 163 | ||||||||||||
Private Real Estate | 150816314786 | 423 | 225 | -023 | 002 | 324 | 007 | 000 | -000 | 001 | -086 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
Public Equity | 1621663446776 | 4544 | 7672 | 6961 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 000 | -000 | 031 | 680 | ||||||||||||
FIXED INCOME | 1295031566121 | 3629 | 718 | 229 | 002 | 000 | 725 | 054 | -150 | 001 | -144 | ||||||||||||
Alternative | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Opportunistic Fixed Income | 101649462939 | 285 | 217 | 110 | 002 | 000 | 157 | 000 | -006 | 000 | -047 | ||||||||||||
Public | 1193382103182 | 3344 | 501 | 120 | 000 | 000 | 568 | 054 | -144 | 001 | -097 | ||||||||||||
Alternative Credit | 328779234169 | 921 | 517 | 119 | 000 | 000 | 422 | 000 | -018 | 001 | -007 | ||||||||||||
Fixed Income | 864602869013 | 2423 | -016 | 000 | 000 | 000 | 146 | 054 | -126 | 000 | -090 |
36
WHY IS THE EQUITY FACTOR SO DOMINANT
bull Total portfolio exposure to the equity factor is high (54)
bull The correlation between the Equity Factor and the portfolio is high (095)ndash Note that the Credit Factor
and the Real Asset Factor are also highly correlated with the total portfolio ndash and with the Equity Factor
bull Equity Factor volatility is high (1070)
Correlations between Macro factors
Factor volatilities and their contribution to portfolio risk
Factor Name Factor Volatility
Factor Exposure MCTR Portfolio
CorrelationResidual
ContributionEquity 1070 054 010 095 55170 Real Assets 1287 004 005 042 02138 Credit 022 340 000 066 05022 Pure Alternatives 728 010 001 008 00548 Inflation 035 036 000 028 00355 Interest Rates 031 229 000 -015 (01014)
Factor Name Equity Real Assets Credit Pure Alternatives Inflation Interest
RatesEquity 100 040 067 000 028 -030
Real Assets 100 049 000 035 -024
Credit 100 000 046 -040
Pure Alternatives 100 000 000
Inflation 100 -017
Interest Rates 100
119877119877119877119877119877119877119877119877 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 = 119864119864119864119864119864119864119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862119864119864 times 119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119864119864119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119862119862 times 119881119881119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119862119877119877119862119862119877119877119862119862119881119881
OFFICE OF NEW YORK CITY COMPTROLLER SCOTT M STRINGER | Bureau of Asset Management
QUESTIONS
QUESTIONS