Commodity Outlook 07.10.11

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    DAILY COMMODITY OUTLOOK 07th

    Oct, 11

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    MCX ZINC OCT Contract Technic al Out look & Trading Strat egy

    The price of Zinc has been trading in a narrow range of`90 to `93.80 levels since it witnessed a

    sharp correction from the highs of `105.15 levels as on 13th Sep, 2011. But the most important

    observation to be made on the charts of Zinc is the positive divergence displayed by the RSI

    indicator. It signals that the downward movement of the price could have lost force and in all

    likelihood this can lead to some kind of an advance.

    Hence, the current technical setup suggests that a sustained break above the 8 day moving

    average placed at the `93 levels will see the price of zinc testing levels of `95.60 and/or`97.50

    levels on the upside.

    We recommend traders to buy on a break above `93 levels with a stop loss placed below `91.45

    levels for upside targets of`95.60 /`97.50 levels expected to be achieved over the upcoming 3-

    4 sessions of trade.

    MCX ZINC

    OCT.CONTRAC

    OPEN ` 92.40

    HIGH ` 92.75

    LOW ` 90.75

    CLOSE ` 92.50

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    COMMODITIES TO WATCH

    MCX Pepper Oct CMP`35840.00

    Technical Out look & Trading Strat egy:-

    We reiterate our bullish bias on the price of pepper. As mentioned in our previous note the price of pepper was

    consolidating in a narrow trading range over the past few sessions of trade, since it corrected from its all time highs. The key moving average clusters have been providing good support for the price of pepper. The

    momentum indicators continue to trade in buy mode despite the recent correction.

    We recommend day / positional traders to take Long positions on a break above `36200 levels with a stop loss

    placed below `35620 levels for upside targets of`36780 /`370000 levels.

    INVENTORY DATA

    LME Warehouse Stocks (Inventory) and Volume06 Oct 2011

    METALSInventory Volume

    MT +/- MT +/-

    Aluminum 4,551,750 -4,850 6,107,400 1,935,625

    Al Alloy 135,920 0 92,400 23,440

    NASAAC 151,460 60 62,900 6,480

    Copper 471,725 -3,200 3,762,700 1,079,350

    Lead 380,875 1,175 1,703,575 826,550

    Nickel 94,884 -498 147,582 -6,624

    Tin 20,705 180 20,405 25

    Zinc 810,725 -3,800 2,126,225 228,775

    KEY SUPPORT RESISTANCE LEVELS

    Commodity Support 1 Support 2 CLOSE-PRICE Resistance 1 Resistance - 2

    NCDEX Chana 2984 2937 3030 3123 3215

    NCDEX Pepper 35523 35207 35840 36173 36507

    NCDEX Soya Oil 595 588 602.15 608 614

    NCDEX Jeera 13996 13755 14237 14560 14883

    NCDEX Guarseed 4127 4006 4247 4395 4542

    MCX Copper 348 338 357.35 363 369

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    MCX Nickel 926 915 936.40 945 953

    MCX Lead 96 95 96.35 97 98

    MCX Silver 51993 50748 53237 53985 54732

    MCX Gold 26327 26143 26510 26647 26783

    MCX Crude 3941 3843 4038 4103 4167

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