Commodity Outlook 02 Nov 2011

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    DAILY COMMODITY OUTLOOK 02nd

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    MCX ZINC NOV Contrac t Technic al Out look & Trading Strat egy

    The price of Zinc faced heavy selling pressure during the previous session. But the

    key observation to be made is that the price of Zinc has registered a head and

    shoulders breakdown during the previous session. This is a bearish formation and

    the measuring implication of the pattern suggests that the price can decline to

    levels of` 93.50 and/or ` 92.50 levels. The momentum indicators have also turned

    into sell mode which displays weakness in the counter.

    Thus, traders can look to sell between ` 94.80--` 95.15 levels with a stop loss

    placed above ` 96.15level for the above mentioned targets.

    MCX COPPER

    NOV.CONTRAC

    OPEN ` 96.5

    HIGH ` 96.

    LOW ` 94.

    CLOSE ` 95.

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    COMMODITIES TO WATCH

    NCDEX Jeera Nov CMP`14309.00

    Technical Out look & Trading Strat egy:-

    The key observation to be made on the daily price chart of Jeera is that the price action of this commodity since

    07th

    Oct, 2011 to till date has take the shape of a bearish head & shoulders pattern with the neckline supportplaces at the`14250 levels. Traders would note that this is an extremely bearish price pattern and a breakdown

    below the neckline support can lead to severe decline in the price of an index/stock/commodity. Some of the other

    technical factors that support the bearish price action are that prices werent able to sustain above the moving

    average clusters on pullbacks and the momentum indicators continue to trade in sell mode.

    We recommend traders to take short positions on a sustained break below `14240 levels with a stop loss placed

    above `14491 levels for downside targets of`13925 /`13760 levels.

    INVENTORY DATA

    LME Warehouse Stocks (Inventory) and Volume01 Nov 2011

    MetalsInventory Volume

    MT +/- MT +/-

    Aluminum 4,548,025 0 7,695,225 3,240,650

    Al Alloy 137,240 0 28,520 -16,500

    NASAAC 154,340 -40 59,900 -3,640

    Copper 424,750 -4,625 4,391,275 460,950

    Lead 387,425 -375 1,115,500 191,725

    Nickel 86,676 168 140,682 -11,352

    Tin 16,120 -325 31,315 10,720Zinc 777,275 -3,600 2,149,700 268,900

    KEY SUPPORT RESISTANCE LEVELS

    Commodity Support 1 Support 2 CLOSE-PRICE Resistance 1 Resistance - 2

    NCDEX Chana(Nov) 3370 3332 3407 3440 3472

    NCDEX Pepper(Nov) 34070 33870 34270 34525 34780

    NCDEX Soya Oil(Nov) 614 611 616.40 620 623

    NCDEX Jeera(Nov) 14226 14144 14309 14420 14532

    NCDEX Guarseed(Nov) 4404 4362 4446 4491 4536

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    MCX Copper 379 373 384.95 391 398

    MCX Nickel 919 906 931.80 954 976

    MCX Lead 98 97 98.80 100 102

    MCX Silver 53813 52312 55313 56877 58440

    MCX Gold 27223 26921 27525 27691 27857

    MCX Crude 4427 4362 4493 4552 4612

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