Commissioning School Places in Essex 2013-2018 Commissioning School Places in Essex 2013 – 2018 Contents Introduction and Context 1 Section A: Information relevant to managing the

Commissioning School Places in Essex 2013-2018

Tables

Commissioning School Places in Essex 2013 – 2018 Contents

Introduction and Context ................................................................................................................................................. 1

Section A: Information relevant to managing the supply of school places......................................................................... 5

The county of Essex ..................................................................................................................................................... 5

Population .................................................................................................................................................................. 7

The number of pupils in Essex schools, 2009 to 2013 ................................................................................................. 8

Number on roll in 2013 by year group ........................................................................................................................ 11

Capacity of Essex schools ......................................................................................................................................... 13

The number of schools in Essex ................................................................................................................................ 13

Academies ................................................................................................................................................................ 16

Single sex schools .................................................................................................................................................... 16

Grammar schools ...................................................................................................................................................... 17

Ethnic groups ............................................................................................................................................................ 18

Cross border pupil movement ................................................................................................................................... 19

Post-16 provision ...................................................................................................................................................... 21

School sixth forms .................................................................................................................................................... 21

Post-16 provision at colleges in the further education and higher education sectors ................................................. 22

Apprenticeships ....................................................................................................................................................... 23

Children with special educational needs (SEN) ......................................................................................................... 23

Tables

Children in care ........................................................................................................................................................ 23

Independent schools ............................................................................................................................................... 24

Births in Essex .......................................................................................................................................................... 25

Housing in Essex ...................................................................................................................................................... 26

Forecasting pupil numbers to 2018 .......................................................................................................................... 29

Section B: Commentary on managing the supply of school places ................................................................................ 32

MID ESSEX QUADRANT ............................................................................................................................................. 32

Braintree Primary Schools ..................................................................................................................................... 32

Braintree Secondary Schools ................................................................................................................................. 33

Chelmsford Primary Schools ................................................................................................................................... 33

Chelmsford Secondary Schools ..............................................................................................................................34

Maldon Primary Schools .........................................................................................................................................34

Maldon Secondary Schools .................................................................................................................................... 35

NORTH EAST ESSEX QUADRANT ................................................................................................................................. 35

Colchester Primary Schools .................................................................................................................................... 35

Colchester Secondary Schools .............................................................................................................................. 36

Tendring Primary Schools ....................................................................................................................................... 37

Tendring Secondary Schools .................................................................................................................................. 37

SOUTH ESSEX QUADRANT ......................................................................................................................................... 38

Basildon Primary Schools ...................................................................................................................................... 38

Basildon Secondary Schools ................................................................................................................................. 38

Brentwood Primary Schools .................................................................................................................................. 39

Brentwood Secondary Schools .............................................................................................................................. 39

Castle Point Primary Schools ................................................................................................................................. 40

Castle Point Secondary Schools ............................................................................................................................ 40

Rochford Primary Schools ...................................................................................................................................... 41

Rochford Secondary Schools .................................................................................................................................. 41

WEST ESSEX QUADRANT ............................................................................................................................................ 41

Tables

Epping Forest Primary Schools ............................................................................................................................... 41

Epping Forest Secondary Schools .......................................................................................................................... 42

Harlow Primary Schools ......................................................................................................................................... 42

Harlow Secondary Schools .....................................................................................................................................43

Uttlesford Primary Schools .....................................................................................................................................43

Uttlesford Secondary Schools ............................................................................................................................... 44

Appendices Appendix 1: Forecasts ....................................................................................................................................................45

Appendix 2: Special Education Data ............................................................................................................................133

Appendix 3: Housing development data ......................................................................................................................136

Appendix 4: Forecasting methodology and forecast accuracy .......................................................................................155

Tables Table 1: Population estimates, Office for National Statistics 2006 to 2012 mid-year estimates ......................................... 7

Table 2: Number of pupils in schools (2009 – 2013) ....................................................................................................... 8

Table 3: Cohort size across Essex primary and secondary schools at January 2013 ......................................................... 11

Table 4: Number of schools as at July 2013 .................................................................................................................... 13

Table 5: Gender balance (January 2013) ......................................................................................................................... 16

Table 6: Single sex schools in Essex (January 2013) ....................................................................................................... 17

Table 7: Black and Minority Ethnic pupil numbers in Essex schools (January 2013) ......................................................... 18

Table 8: Movement into Essex ....................................................................................................................................... 19

Table 9: Movement out of Essex ................................................................................................................................... 20

Table 10: Schools and Academies sixth form number on roll (January 2013) ................................................................... 21

Table 11: 16-18 year old learners 2012/13 ...................................................................................................................... 22

Tables

Table 12: Essex provision of special educational needs ................................................................................................ 23

Table 13: Number of pupils - Essex independent schools, January 2013 ........................................................................ 24

Table 14: Birth statistics for Essex 2003 – 2012 ............................................................................................................. 25

Table 15: Net Dwelling Stock Change (2001 and beyond) ............................................................................................... 27

Table 16: Actual and forecast pupil numbers 2013 – 2018 ............................................................................................. 29

Introduction and Context

Commissioning School Places in Essex 2013 - 2018 1


With the introduction of greater autonomy in the education landscape and the increasing numbers of academies, the role and responsibilities of local authorities in terms of school places has changed. Essex County Council no longer provides school places but instead commissions them from a range of providers including schools, academy trusts and sponsors of academy chains. However, the County Council retains the statutory responsibility to ensure there are sufficient school places available every year, that there is diversity across the school system and that parental preference is maximised.

In its role as Commissioner of school places in Essex, the County Council compiles this document annually. It provides:

• information on the current organisation of school places, and the existing capacities and number of pupils attending those schools;

• information about the size of existing school sites and opportunities that may exist for further expansion where required to meet housing demands; and

• forecasts of future pupil numbers, and how any increases might be accommodated, or how any surpluses could be addressed.

It will help the County Council, schools, promoters, parents and local communities understand the need for school places and establish future demands.

The process of commissioning school places aims to achieve a balance between the number of places available and the number of pupils for whom they are required. In its strategic role, the County Council must ensure there is a response to changes in demand over time by securing the increase or removal of capacity, which can be achieved in a number of ways, including:

• commissioning new schools (the presumption set out in law is that all new schools will be academies or free schools;

• extending existing schools, either by the use of permanent extensions or, in exceptional cases, by temporary buildings;

• reducing places at existing schools, for example by removing or relocating temporary buildings or changing the use of spaces;

• promoting the reorganisation of schools, including amalgamating, federating, relocating or closing schools, changing the age range or the range of special needs of the school; and

• reviewing priority admission areas.



These changes take time to achieve given the need to work with the schools and the community to identify options, undertake consultations about those options, publish statutory proposals where applicable and secure Schools Adjudicator, Council or Secretary of State approvals, then to secure capital resources, plan, design, seek tenders and carry out building works. Therefore, there is likely to be a significant planning period that has to be included in the forward planning process. In addition, short term solutions are sometimes required.

As more academies are created so more decisions about changes to school sizes or organisation will be for those academies to progress and secure through the Education Funding Agency and the Secretary of State with the support of the Local Authority. The County Council works closely with the Church of England and Catholic Dioceses and other stakeholders including academy sponsors and the DfE to ensure that there is a balance of provision between community, voluntary controlled, voluntary aided, Free Schools and academies.

The range of educational provision for children and young people is now both broad and complex in terms of the number of providers involved, and also their roles. Indeed whilst the County Council has moved to be a commissioner of school places, it still has parallel responsibilities as a provider in respect of a number of community and voluntary controlled schools.

This document forms part of the family of plans and policies that relate to Essex. It will also facilitate the development of other plans and strategies for the improvement of standards and outcomes in schools, the delivery of schools and school places, and the replacement and/or refurbishment of existing provision where necessary. It will link to the forward planning of school building in response to likely future house building and the Education Estates Strategy in terms of maximising resources to address future needs.

In a more autonomous school system, local authorities have a clearly stated role to play as champions of children and parents ensuring that the school system works for every family and using their democratic mandate to challenge every school to do the best for their community.

Even in areas where there is not significant demographic growth, local authorities will be expected to focus on supplying enough good places and addressing underperformance, rather than removing surplus places. In some cases structural changes to school organisation may be a solution to underperformance. In such cases the Local Authority will promote and support the transition of failing schools to new governance.

Whilst currently this document focuses on the commissioning of mainstream school places, the Local Authority also has a clearly defined role in the following areas:



Special Educational Needs Provision

The Local Authority has a critical role as champion for vulnerable children and young people in their area. It will ensure that that all Children and Young People with SEND have a full range of support and opportunities available to them and are provided with opportunities to maximise their life chances, goals and aspirations. The following strategic priorities have been identified;

Ensure every child with SEND can go to a good or outstanding school or education setting

Commission/deliver a range of high quality provision for all children and young people with SEND

Ensure a smooth progression to adulthood for all young people with SEND

Improve the assessment and identification of SEND across agencies

Essex continually reviews its portfolio of specialist SEN providers to ensure it meets the needs of current and projected SEN populations. Specialist SEN Provision is a term used to describe discrete school based provision made available to support pupils with statements of special educational needs. In Essex this provision consists of Special Schools and Additionally Resourced (Enhanced) Provisions attached to mainstream schools. Essex is seeking to commission an increased amount and spectrum of specialist provision and to consider possible delivery options, taking account of all potential consequences and risks associated with increasing specialist SEN provision and the availability of capital and revenue resources.

The strategic direction is;

To maintain and develop special school provision in Essex, maximising the expertise available in Essex’s specialist providers to deliver advice and guidance.

To increase specialist provision proportionally across the four quadrants of Essex in response to predicted demand for places.

To establish additional enhanced provision and outreach support for pupils of mainstream ability with low incidence high level needs e.g. those with ASD Autistic Spectrum Disorders.

To ensure Essex has a continuum of alternative educational provision for young people with additional educational needs.



Post-16 Provision

The Education and Skills Act 2008 increases the minimum age at which young people can leave learning, requiring them to participate in education or training until they are 17 by 2013 and 18 by 2015 (unless they already have a Level 3 qualification). This legislation is referred to as the Raising of the Participation Age (RPA). In Essex we are working to develop the breadth of opportunity and access for all young people to remain engaged in some form of learning up to the age of 18 through the county’s Employability & Skills Unit which works with schools, colleges and independent training providers to achieve this. The duty is placed on young people. However, Essex County Council has a duty to:

promote effective participation in education or training to young people for whom we are responsible;

ensure that sufficient places are available to meet the reasonable needs of all young people, and to encourage them to participate; and

make available to young people support that will ‘encourage, enable or assist young people to participate in education or training’.

Early Years Provision

Early Years and Childcare in Essex contributes to the Early Intervention and Prevention Strategy and delivers through a commissioning approach:

children’s centres universal and targeted support for children 0-5 and their parents (including alignment with mainstream health services, access to childcare, parenting support and advice, and sign posting employment advice and adult education);

sufficienct assessment and management of childcare places in the private, voluntary and independent (PVI, including childminders) sectors and nursery schools and classes;

government funded free targeted early education places for vulnerable 2 year olds and free early education entitlement places for all 3 and 4 year olds which are commissioned from the PVI sector; each relevant setting is contracted to deliver the free entitlement under the national code of practice (schools must also have full regard to the code of practice).

http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2008/25/contents

Section A


Section A: Information relevant to managing the supply of school places

The county of Essex

In population terms, Essex is one of the largest UK counties with a population of almost 1.4 million at the time of the 2011 Census. The interim 2011-based subnational population projections suggest that the Essex population will grow to over 1.5 million in the period to 2021. The largest Essex towns are Chelmsford and Colchester. The majority of the population live in smaller urban areas or in the county’s many rural communities. More detailed figures on Essex including its demographics can be found at the Essex Insight website.

A map of Essex is shown below

http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/snpp/sub-national-population-projections/Interim-2011-based/stb-2011-based-snpp.html

http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/snpp/sub-national-population-projections/Interim-2011-based/stb-2011-based-snpp.html

http://www.essexinsight.org.uk/mainmenu.aspx

Section A


Section A


Population

Table 1 shows the 2006 to 2012 mid-year population estimates for Essex and its districts.

Table 1: Population estimates, Office for National Statistics 2006 to 2012 mid-year estimates

Quadrant District 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Mid Essex Braintree 140,900 142,300 143,900 144,600 146,000 147,500 148,400

Chelmsford 163,900 164,400 165,000 166,200 167,400 168,500 169,300

Maldon 61,000 61,400 61,700 61,800 61,800 61,700 61,900

Mid Total 365,800 368,100 370,600 372,600 375,300 377,700 379,600

North East Essex Colchester 163,800 165,700 167,900 169,000 171,700 173,600 176,000

Tendring 140,400 140,500 140,400 139,600 139,100 138,100 138,300

North East Total 304,300 306,200 308,300 308,600 310,700 311,700 314,300

South Essex Basildon 170,000 170,900 172,400 173,100 173,800 175,000 176,500

Brentwood 71,000 71,300 71,900 72,700 73,300 73,800 74,000

Castle Point 87,600 87,800 88,000 88,100 88,100 88,000 88,200

Rochford 81,500 82,300 83,100 83,100 83,400 83,300 83,900

South Total 410,100 412,300 415,400 417,000 418,600 420,100 422,600

West Essex Epping Forest 122,500 122,900 123,400 123,800 124,200 124,900 126,100

Harlow 78,700 79,200 79,900 80,700 81,500 82,200 82,700

Uttlesford 72,900 74,200 75,500 76,800 78,600 80,000 81,300

West Total 274,200 276,300 278,800 281,300 284,300 287,100 290,000 Essex Total 1,354,300 1,362,900 1,373,200 1,379,500 1,388,900 1,396,600 1,406,500

[Source: Mid-year estimates of population, Population Estimates Unit, Office for National Statistics (ONS), revised in the light of the 2011 Census. Mid-year estimates allow for natural change due to births and deaths and then add on net migration. Further information on the population statistics can be found on the website www.ons.gov.uk under the population theme heading. The population estimates for previous years have been revised to take account of the 2011 Census so there may be changes between these figures and those published in earlier versions of this document.]

http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/pop-estimate/population-estimates-for-uk--england-and-wales--scotland-and-northern-ireland/mid-2011-and-mid-2012/stb---mid-2011---mid-2012-uk-population-estimates.html

http://www.ons.gov.uk/

Section A


The number of pupils in Essex schools, 2009 to 2013

Table 2 shows overall numbers of pupils in primary, nursery and secondary schools (including academies) from 2009 to 2013, by district.

Table 2: Number of pupils in schools (2009 – 2013)

Quadrant District Phase 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Mid Essex Braintree Primary 11,287 11,263 11,318 11,504 11,663

Chelmsford Nursery 293 299 323 325 305

Chelmsford Primary 12,254 12,320 12,504 12,615 12,865

Maldon Primary 4,250 4,259 4,180 4,103 4,076

Mid Primary and Nursery Total 28,084 28,141 28,325 28,547 28,909

North East Essex Colchester Primary 12,775 12,821 13,039 13,432 13,720

Tendring Primary 9,796 9,640 9,510 9,537 9,633

North East Primary Total 22,571 22,461 22,549 22,969 23,353

South Essex Basildon Primary 14,635 14,639 14,794 15,052 15,417

Brentwood Primary 5,226 5,275 5,314 5,361 5,456

Castle Point Primary 6,677 6,646 6,519 6,500 6,520

Rochford Primary 6,500 6,367 6,344 6,326 6,300

South Primary Total 33,038 32,927 32,971 33,239 33,693

West Essex Epping Forest Primary 8,152 8,129 8,337 8,565 8,729

Harlow Primary 7,089 7,075 7,212 7,545 7,798

Uttlesford Primary 5,736 5,877 6,009 6,144 6,249

West Primary Total 20,977 21,081 21,558 22,254 22,776 Essex Primary and Nursery Total 104,670 104,610 105,403 107,009 108,731

Section A


Quadrant District Phase 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Mid Essex Braintree Secondary 7,819 7,980 8,015 7,977 7,869

Chelmsford Secondary 13,005 12,921 12,735 12,550 12,396

Maldon Secondary 2,673 2,682 2,634 2,609 2,580

Secondary Total 23,497 23,583 23,384 23,136 22,845 North East Essex Colchester Secondary 10,512 10,517 10,370 10,324 10,238

Tendring Secondary 8,868 8,890 8,889 8,667 8,608

Secondary Total 19,380 19,407 19,259 18,991 18,846 South Essex Basildon Secondary 10,882 10,737 10,573 10,338 10,099

Brentwood Secondary 7,608 7,590 7,413 7,187 7,044

Castle Point Secondary 6,300 6,248 6,171 6,044 5,904

Rochford Secondary 5,706 5,732 5,786 5,767 5,775

Secondary Total 30,496 30,307 29,943 29,336 28,822 West Essex Epping Forest Secondary 5,817 5,778 5,807 5,826 5,827

Harlow Secondary 5,161 5,157 5,111 5,038 4,878

Uttlesford Secondary 4,902 4,891 4,881 4,818 4,722

Secondary Total 15,880 15,826 15,799 15,682 15,427 Essex Secondary Total 89,253 89,123 88,385 87,145 85,940

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Table 2

Section A


Quadrant District Phase 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Mid Essex Braintree All 19,106 19,243 19,333 19,481 19,532

Chelmsford All 25,552 25,540 25,562 25,490 25,566

Maldon All 6,923 6,941 6,814 6,712 6,656

Primary, Nursery and Secondary Total 51,581 51,724 51,709 51,683 51,754 North East Essex Colchester All 23,287 23,338 23,409 23,756 23,958

Tendring All 18,664 18,530 18,399 18,204 18,241

Primary and Secondary Total 41,951 41,868 41,808 41,960 42,199 South Essex Basildon All 25,517 25,376 25,367 25,390 25,516

Brentwood All 12,834 12,865 12,727 12,548 12,500

Castle Point All 12,977 12,894 12,690 12,544 12,424

Rochford All 12,206 12,099 12,130 12,093 12,075

Primary and Secondary Total 63,534 63,234 62,914 62,575 62,515 West Essex Epping Forest All 13,969 13,907 14,144 14,391 14,556

Harlow All 12,250 12,232 12,323 12,583 12,676

Uttlesford All 10,638 10,768 10,890 10,962 10,971

Primary and Secondary Total 36,857 36,907 37,357 37,936 38,203 Essex Primary, Nursery and Secondary Total 193,923 193,733 193,788 194,154 194,671

[Source: DfE School Census, January 2013 – all pupils in nursery, primary and secondary schools / academies including pupils in sixth forms, part-time pupils and pupils in designated nursery classes. Pupils in special schools are not included.]

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Table 2

Section A


Number on roll in 2013 by year group

Table 3 shows the January 2013 breakdown of total number on roll by year group, for pupils in primary and secondary schools / academies.

Table 3: Cohort size across Essex primary and secondary schools at January 2013

Quadrant District

Primary schools - year groups based on age

R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Primary

Total Mid Essex Braintree 1,734 1,702 1,611 1,655 1,620 1,579 1,501 11,402

Chelmsford 1,948 1,805 1,866 1,808 1,815 1,780 1,740 12,762

Maldon 563 573 576 646 535 615 568 4,076

Mid Total 4,245 4,080 4,053 4,109 3,970 3,974 3,809 28,240 North East Essex Colchester 2,070 1,974 1,980 1,880 1,900 1,819 1,654 13,277

Tendring 1,362 1,393 1,318 1,239 1,397 1,291 1,325 9,325

North East Total 3,432 3,367 3,298 3,119 3,297 3,110 2,979 22,602 South Essex Basildon 2,294 2,185 2,209 2,069 2,097 2,001 1,951 14,806

Brentwood 804 779 779 793 785 775 741 5,456

Castle Point 942 855 933 883 908 901 847 6,269

Rochford 877 912 892 867 892 888 871 6,199

South Total 4,917 4,731 4,813 4,612 4,682 4,565 4,410 32,730 West Essex Epping Forest 1,285 1,346 1,219 1,204 1,177 1,167 1,111 8,509

Harlow 1,244 1,134 1,064 1,045 1,012 927 924 7,350

Uttlesford 893 946 912 878 899 791 856 6,175

West Total 3,422 3,426 3,195 3,127 3,088 2,885 2,891 22,034 Essex Primary Total Essex Primary Total

16,016 15,604 15,359 14,967 15,037 14,534 14,089 105,606

Section A


Quadrant District

Secondary schools - year groups based on age

7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ Secondary

Total Mid Essex Braintree 1,401 1,404 1,408 1,470 1,495 332 359 7,869

Chelmsford 1,950 1,960 2,030 2,034 2,104 1,174 1,144 12,396

Maldon 412 407 435 411 465 247 203 2,580

Mid Total 3,763 3,771 3,873 3,915 4,064 1,753 1,706 22,845 North East Essex Colchester 1,787 1,793 1,845 1,955 1,896 463 498 10,237

Tendring 1,346 1,415 1,524 1,523 1,493 680 627 8,608

North East Total 3,133 3,208 3,369 3,478 3,389 1,143 1,125 18,845 South Essex Basildon 1,670 1,796 1,902 1,857 1,853 555 466 10,099

Brentwood 1,091 1,085 1,132 1,160 1,146 709 721 7,044

Castle Point 1,053 1,030 1,153 1,124 1,224 175 145 5,904

Rochford 1,030 1,061 1,060 1,055 1,067 261 241 5,775

South Total 4,844 4,972 5,247 5,196 5,290 1,700 1,573 28,822 West Essex Epping Forest 990 1,050 1,025 1,078 1,042 324 318 5,827

Harlow 922 901 940 976 948 89 102 4,878

Uttlesford 738 717 793 753 813 447 461 4,722

West Total 2,650 2,668 2,758 2,807 2,803 860 881 15,427 Essex Secondary Total 14,390 14,619 15,247 15,396 15,546 5,456 5,285 85,939

[Source: School Census, January 2013, for primary schools and secondary schools including academies. Special schools, nursery schools and nursery aged pupils are not included. Year groups are based on date of birth. Totals may not reconcile due to inclusion of pupils whose age puts them out of the usual year groups based on age.]

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Table 3

Section A


Capacity of Essex schools

Capacity information for individual schools and aggregated to planning group and district level is included in Appendix 1a and Appendix 1b. Information on temporary accommodation included in the primary and secondary school net capacity figures is also shown. The capacity figures for primary and secondary schools are calculated using the DfE ‘net capacity assessment method’ of assessing the capacity of mainstream schools to accommodate pupils, which provides the opportunity for capacities to be set at levels to suit reasonable admission arrangements and organisation of schools (including infant class size limits). For primary schools, the net capacity is calculated on the basis of the number and size of spaces designated as ‘class bases’. For secondary schools, the net capacity is based on the number, size and type of teaching spaces and the age range of the school. In both cases, this is checked against the total usable space available, and ensures that there is neither too much nor too little space to support the core teaching activities. For academies, the DFE definition of their capacity has been used, which is that ‘the capacity of an academy denotes the total number of pupil places available as recorded in the academy’s funding agreement’.

The number of schools in Essex

Table 4 shows the number of maintained schools and academies in each quadrant of Essex and overall, classified by type of school. The current pattern of school provision in Essex includes a diversity of schools with a religious foundation and background as well as the non-denominational schools established from public funds. The diocesan authorities and the Local Authority co-operate over planning school places to provide opportunities for parents to express a preference for denominational schools.

Table 4: Number of schools as at July 2013

Mid Quadrant Community Foundation Voluntary

Aided CE & other

Voluntary Aided RC

Voluntary Controlled

Academy Total

Primary phase Nursery 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 Infant 13 1 0 0 0 1 15 Junior 10 1 1 0 1 1 14 Primary 37 6 16 5 25 9 98 Primary phase total 62 8 17 5 26 11 129 Secondary schools 1 0 0 1 0 18 20 Special schools 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 Total 66 8 17 6 26 31 154

Section A


North East Quadrant Community Foundation Voluntary

Aided CE & other

Voluntary Aided RC


Academy Total


South Quadrant Community Foundation Voluntary

Aided CE & other

Voluntary Aided RC


Academy Total


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Table 4

Section A


West Quadrant Community Foundation Voluntary

Aided CE & other

Voluntary Aided RC

Voluntary Controlled*

Academy Total


Essex Community Foundation Voluntary

Aided CE & other

Voluntary Aided RC

Voluntary Controlled*

Academy Total


[Source: January 2013 School Census, with school type from July 2013. *West Essex includes one non-denominational voluntary controlled school. All other voluntary controlled schools have links with the Church of England.]

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Table 4

Section A


Academies

Academies are publicly funded independent schools. Appendix 1a Table 1 and Appendix 1b Table 1 list all Essex schools and academies as at July 2013; academies are denoted by school type “A” in these table. Further information and a list of current academies can be found at

Department for Education website - Academies.

Gender

Table 5 shows the gender balance in Essex schools at January 2013. Overall there are slightly more boys than girls.

Table 5: Gender balance (January 2013)

Type of school Boys % Girls % Primary 51.2 48.8 Secondary 50.4 49.6 Special 72.6 27.4 Essex Total 51.1 48.9

[Source: School Census, January 2013 – Essex total is based on pupils at Essex primary, secondary and special schools excluding pupils of nursery age.]

Single sex schools

There are five secondary schools in Essex which are single sex for year 7 admissions. Some of these schools have mixed sixth forms, as detailed in the table notes. The four grammar schools in Essex are single sex. The Ursuline Convent High School in Brentwood provides Roman Catholic denominational education for girls. The Campion School in the London Borough of Havering complements this for boys. Table 6 shows number on roll for single sex schools in Essex.

http://www.education.gov.uk/schools/leadership/typesofschools/academies

http://www.education.gov.uk/schools/leadership/typesofschools/academies

Section A


Table 6: Single sex schools in Essex (January 2013)

School Gender

Number on Roll ( January 2013)

Boys Girls

Brentwood Ursuline Convent High School - 1,036 1,036 Colchester County High School for Girls - 793 793 Colchester Royal Grammar School* 748 94 842 Chelmsford County High School for Girls - 890 890 King Edward VI Grammar School (Chelmsford)* 793 97 890 Total 1,541 2,910 4,451

[Source: School Census, January 2013. *Girls at Colchester Royal Grammar School and King Edward VI Grammar School are sixth form pupils]

Grammar schools

In Essex there are four grammar schools that select on the basis of ability (shown as part of Table 6); two are located in Colchester and two in Chelmsford. The Chelmsford County High School for Girls and King Edward VI Grammar School (Chelmsford) converted to academy status with effect from 1 January 2011 and 1 April 2011 respectively. Colchester Royal Grammar School and Colchester County High for Girls converted to academy status with effect from 1 January 2012 and 1 October 2011 respectively.

Section A


Ethnic groups

Table 7 provides the percentage of Black and Minority Ethnic (BME) and White British pupils in Essex schools for each Essex district.

Table 7: Black and Minority Ethnic pupil numbers in Essex schools (January 2013)

Quadrant District BME BME% White British White British

% Total NOR

Mid Braintree 1,593 8.2 17,773 91.1 19,503

Chelmsford 3,515 13.7 21,801 85.1 25,616

Maldon 389 5.8 6,178 92.8 6,656

Total 5,497 10.6 45,752 88.4 51,775 North East Colchester 3,471 14.6 20,055 84.4 23,751

Tendring 1,300 7.1 16,623 91.2 18,232

Total 4,771 11.4 36,678 87.4 41,983 South Basildon 3,573 14.2 21,433 85.2 25,167

Brentwood 2,183 17.3 10,235 81.2 12,610

Castle Point 785 6.3 11,488 92.4 12,438

Rochford 743 6.2 11,130 93.0 11,974

Total 7,284 11.7 54,286 87.3 62,189 West Epping Forest 3,157 21.9 11,049 76.5 14,448

Harlow 2,774 22.5 9,367 76.0 12,328

Uttlesford 946 8.7 9,813 90.1 10,897

Total 6,877 18.3 30,229 80.2 37,673 Essex Total 24,429 12.6 166,945 86.2 193,620

[Source: School Census, January 2013. Figures include pupils in primary, secondary and special schools but exclude pupils of nursery age. BME and White British percentages may not total 100 percent since Total NOR also includes pupils where there is no ethnicity classification available – due to information not yet obtained, refused or 'unclassified'.]

Section A


Cross border pupil movement

The number of children who do not reside in Essex but who attend state-funded schools within Essex is shown in Table 8. The number of children who reside in Essex but who attend state-funded schools within other Local Authorities is shown in Table 9.

Table 8: Movement into Essex

Local Authority of pupil residence Number of out of county children

attending Essex schools, January 2013

Primary Secondary Sixth Form Barking and Dagenham 10 82 27

Cambridgeshire 69 37 10

Enfield 16 6 x Hackney x 41 10

Havering 162 662 226

Hertfordshire 183 149 38 Newham x 85 21

Redbridge 264 1,103 255

Southend-on-Sea 287 1,150 148 Suffolk 175 178 78

Thurrock 60 201 35

Tower Hamlets 0 21 x Waltham Forest 44 118 54

Total of all Local Authorities 1,288 3,857 943

Section A


Table 9: Movement out of Essex

Local Authority where school attended

Number of Essex children in out of county schools, January 2013

Primary Secondary Sixth Form

Barking and Dagenham 7 11 14

Barnet 4 24 3 Cambridgeshire x 34 6

Enfield 31 22 12

Havering 84 245 56 Hertfordshire 686 1,769 727

Newham 3 5 x

Redbridge 435 427 258 Southend-on-Sea 257 1,804 853

Suffolk 231 388 84

Thurrock 68 154 11 Tower Hamlets 9 4 x

Waltham Forest 60 46 30

Total of all Local Authorities 1,913 4,946 2,073

[Source: DfE SFR21/2013 - Schools, Pupils and their Characteristics, January 2013. Information on Cross Local Authority border movement of pupils resident in England from tables 12a, 12b, 14a, 14b. Information on sixth forms was provided separately by DfE. Notes: primary figures do not include nursery age pupils; secondary figures include pupils in National Curriculum year groups from Year 7 to Year 11; data does not include information on pupils attending special schools. Totals are for all other local authorities, not just those listed in the table. x: suppressed data (low numbers).]

Section A


Post-16 provision

School sixth forms

The number of schools (including academies) providing post-16 education is shown in Table 10. Information on the post-16 number on roll in each school is included in Appendix 1b Table 1.

Table 10: Schools and Academies sixth form number on roll (January 2013)

Quadrant District

Number of schools/ academies operating

sixth forms

Post 16 number on roll at schools operating

sixth forms Mid Braintree 4 691 Chelmsford 10 2,318 Maldon 2 450 Total 16 3,459 North East Colchester 4 961 Tendring 6 1,307 Total 10 2,268 South Basildon 5 1,021 Brentwood 6 1,430 Castle Point 1 320 Rochford 2 502 Total 14 3,273 West Epping Forest 2 642 Harlow 1 191 Uttlesford 3 908 Total 6 1,741 Essex Total 46 10,741

[Source: School Census, January 2013]

Section A


Post-16 provision at colleges in the further education and higher education sectors

Table 11 details the further and higher education institutions in Essex which provide post-16 provision. Essex students also attend establishments in neighbouring local authorities. Many details of learning opportunities in Essex can be found in the area prospectus iEssex.

Table 11: 16-18 year old learners 2012/13

College Number of 16 – 18 year old students

2012/13

Of which full-time students

Chelmsford College 2,370 1,850 Colchester Institute * 4,240 3,180 Epping Forest College 2,150 1,930 Adult Community Learning, Essex County Council 270 30 Harlow College 2,410 2,200 SEEVIC 2,690 2,510 South Essex College of Further and Higher Education ** 800 90 The Sixth Form College Colchester 3,140 3,090 Writtle College *** 610 410 Essex Total 18,680 15,920

[Source: Individualised Learner Record (R06/S02 returns), Education Funding Agency (EFA), 2013. The table shows the number of 16-18 year old learners funded through the EFA’s Learner Responsive funding stream at General FE Colleges, Sixth Form Colleges and Higher Education Institutions and through Adult Community Learning in Essex. * Colchester Institute provides learning at a number of locations across Essex (including The College at Braintree). The figure shown for Colchester Institute is the total number of students across these locations.

** South Essex College of Further and Higher Education, based in Southend-on-Sea, has a campus in Basildon. The above figures show the number of 16-18 year old learners enrolled with the college and attending the Basildon campus. *** Writtle College is a Higher Education Institution which also delivers Further Education. The numbers given refer to learners on Further Education/ Foundation Learning courses at the College. ]

http://prospectus.i-essex.co.uk/

Section A


Apprenticeships

During 2011/12, 3,670 16-18 year olds living in Essex started an Apprenticeship programme. At April 2013 (quarter 3 of 2012/13), 2,450 16-18 year olds resident in Essex had started an Apprenticeship, compared to 2,950 at the same time in 2011/12. Further information on apprenticeships can be found on the Department for Education website here.

Children with special educational needs (SEN)

The number of pupils within mainstream provision who have special educational needs is shown in Table 12.

Table 12: Essex provision of special educational needs

Groups of pupils Number of pupils % of total pupils in Essex schools

Mainstream pupils on School Action/ School Action Plus 27,381 14.1 Mainstream pupils with statements of special educational need 6,996 3.6 Pupils in mainstream units or resourced provision 282 0. 1

[Source: School Census, January 2013. Percentages calculated out of total pupils in Essex Local Authority mainstream provision. Data includes pupils enrolled at academies.]

The mainstream schools with an SEN unit or resourced provision together with the number of pupils attending each school at January 2013 are listed in Appendix 2 Table 1.

The special schools in Essex with their number on roll at January 2013 and the number of places 2012/13 are listed in Appendix 2 Table 2.

Children in care

There were 1,222 children in care that were the responsibility of Essex Local Authority at 31 August 2013. Of these, 543 were of primary age or younger (including 199 under statutory school age), and 679 were of secondary school age and over. Not all of those of school age will be in Essex schools and there will be some children in Essex schools who are in the care of other authorities. These children may be in foster care, residential care, with parent(s) or person(s) with parental responsibility, placed for adoption or supported to live independently.

[Source: Integrated Children’s System (ICS). For further general information see the Department for Education website section on Children in Care .]

http://www.education.gov.uk/childrenandyoungpeople/youngpeople/qandlearning/apprenticeships/a00212335/apprenticeships

http://www.education.gov.uk/childrenandyoungpeople/families/childrenincare

http://www.education.gov.uk/childrenandyoungpeople/families/childrenincare

Section A


Independent schools

There were 50 independent schools (excluding academies and non-maintained special schools) within Essex, with 11,871 pupils (including nursery aged pupils), as at January 2013. Table 13 shows the number of pupils at independent schools arranged by year group based on age. Further information on independent schools in Essex is available from the Independent Schools Council.

Table 13: Number of pupils - Essex independent schools, January 2013

Local Authority area Primary year groups based on age

R 1 2 3 4 5 6 Primary Total Essex 900 820 880 840 925 905 870 6,140

Local Authority area Secondary year groups based on age

7 8 9 10 11 12 13+ Secondary Total Essex 695 760 750 870 800 560 525 4,960

[Source: DfE: Schools, Pupils and their Characteristics: January 2013, Tables 7a and 7b and the publication’s underlying data for ‘other independent’ and ‘other independent special’ school types as supplied by DfE. Nursery aged pupils are not included.]

http://www.isc.co.uk/schools/england/essex

Section A


Births in Essex

Table 14 shows the number of live births in Essex by district between the calendar years 2003 and 2012.

Table 14: Birth statistics for Essex 2003 – 2012

Quadrant District 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Mid Braintree 1,537 1,589 1,663 1,669 1,808 1,732 1,768 1,826 1,758 1,788

Chelmsford 1,773 1,794 1,850 1,818 1,853 1,938 1,947 1,924 1,997 1,995

Maldon 582 595 587 553 588 586 600 603 566 559

Mid Total 3,892 3,978 4,100 4,040 4,249 4,256 4,315 4,353 4,321 4,342 North East Colchester 1,702 1,863 1,906 1,932 2,068 2,076 2,219 2,204 2,190 2,353

Tendring 1,237 1,201 1,146 1,320 1,275 1,307 1,385 1,406 1,393 1,365

North East Total 2,939 3,064 3,052 3,252 3,343 3,383 3,604 3,610 3,583 3,718 South Basildon 2,213 2,230 2,208 2,293 2,337 2,419 2,336 2,318 2,317 2,493

Brentwood 702 731 712 722 734 761 752 761 764 808

Castle Point 840 844 827 826 800 832 799 879 814 849

Rochford 760 790 746 840 797 776 854 864 804 767

South Total 4,515 4,595 4,493 4,681 4,668 4,788 4,741 4,822 4,699 4,917 West Epping Forest 1,411 1,428 1,400 1,439 1,456 1,500 1,548 1,519 1,591 1,622

Harlow 1,094 1,119 1,109 1,151 1,268 1,270 1,302 1,262 1,281 1,363

Uttlesford 707 697 751 807 785 808 754 917 855 898

West Total 3,212 3,244 3,260 3,397 3,509 3,578 3,604 3,698 3,727 3,883 Essex Total 14,558 14,881 14,905 15,370 15,769 16,005 16,264 16,483 16,330 16,860

[Source: Office for National Statistics, Births summary tables. 2012 taken from Table 2a - Births by area of usual residence of mother, England and Wales- 2012 (as released 18 September 2013).]

http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/vsob1/births-by-area-of-usual-residence-of-mother--england-and-wales/2012/index.html

http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/vsob1/births-by-area-of-usual-residence-of-mother--england-and-wales/2012/index.html

Section A


Housing in Essex

The Localism Act 2011 abolished regional planning guidance, with the identification of local housing targets the responsibility of individual local planning authorities. Following a sustainability appraisal of the decision to abolish regional planning, the East of England Plan May 2008 was revoked by the Secretary of State in January 2013 and is no longer considered part of the Development Plan.

The National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) was published in March 2012 with the aim of significantly boosting the supply of housing by local authorities. Local Plans are expected to use locally generated evidence bases to ensure that they meet in full the ‘objectively assessed needs’ for market and affordable housing in their housing market area. These Local Plans need to identify an annual supply of specific deliverable sites to provide 5 years’ worth of housing against their requirements, with a 5% or 20% buffer depending on past delivery. Recently published National Guidance also requires the 5 year supply to reflect the consequences of past under or over delivery within the 5 year period. The NPPF requires all new Local Plans to be consistent with its policies and Core Strategy documents adopted prior to the NPPF are required to demonstrate their consistency with the policies within the NPPF. Consequently, there is a range of Local Plans currently adopted or emerging within Essex and these are not based on a single published housing requirement for the County. It will be a number of years before all Local Plans have been adopted and are consistent with the NPPF and begin to deliver the uplift in housing required by Central Government. At present the preparation and/or adoption of Local Plans can be summarised as follows:

Core Strategy documents adopted prior to the NPPF, but which have not considered ‘objectively assessed need’ – Braintree, Chelmsford, Colchester and Rochford.

Emerging Local Plan documents being prepared consistent with the NPPF, and which are at Preferred Option stage with an identified housing provision – Brentwood, Maldon and Tendring.

Emerging Local Plans which have not yet identified a future housing provision, and have not been published for Preferred Option consultation – Basildon, Castle Point, Epping Forest, Harlow and Uttlesford.

Consequently, the housing requirements identified in Table 15 should be treated with caution as they will be subject to potential amendment throughout the period of this document. Some housing requirements have been provided for indicative purposes, and have not been subject to consultation or formal adoption by the local planning authority.

Section A


Table 15: Net Dwelling Stock Change (2001 and beyond)

Quadrant District

Requirement Dwellings Of which built Local Plan

Period To be built

Draft RSS March 2010

Adopted Core

Strategy Other 2001 -

2006 Actual

2006- 2007

Actual

2007- 2008 Actual

2008- 2009 Actual

2009 - 2010 Actual

2010 - 2011

Actual

2011 - 2012

Actual

2012 - 2013

Actual

Minimum still to

build in plan

period

Average Build rate

per annum

Mid Braintree N/A 4,800 N/A 3,360 658 628 342 428 448 301 176 2009-26 3,447 265

Chelmsford N/A 16,000 N/A 3,572 518 757 637 200 233 235 274 2001-21 9,574 1,197

Maldon N/A N/A 4,410 749 143 160 161 108 37 91 119 2014-29 4,410 294

20,800 4,410 7,681 1,319 1,545 1,140 736 718 627 569 17,431 1,756

North East Colchester N/A 19,000 N/A 4,635 1,250 1,243 1,037 511 669 1,036 616 2001-23 8,003 800

Tendring N/A N/A 4,000 2,096 556 495 376 319 217 232 244 2011-21 3,524 441

19,000 4,000 6,731 1,806 1,738 1,413 830 886 1,268 860 11,527 1,241

South Basildon 10,700 N/A N/A 1,223 183 315 474 468 182 700 622 2011-31 9,378 521

Brentwood N/A N/A 3,500 916 218 244 251 162 394 132 213 2015-30 3,500 233

Castle Point N/A N/A 4,000 1,008 115 105 114 115 110 56 75 2011-31 3,869 215

Rochford N/A 4,750 N/A 811 449 170 102 85 42 93 43 2006-25 3,766 314

10,700 4,750 7,500 3,958 965 834 941 830 728 981 953 20,513 1,283

West Epping Forest 3,200 N/A N/A 1,242 277 108 157 176 368 304 115 2011-31 2,781 155

Harlow N/A N/A 8,000 808 159 145 256 107 116 384 152 2001-21 5,873 734

Uttlesford N/A N/A 9,940 1,614 325 538 437 522 298 518 545 2011-31 8,877 493

3,200 17,940 3,664 761 791 850 805 782 1,206 812 17,531 1,382

Total 13,900 44,550 33,850 22,034 4,851 4,908 4,344 3,201 3,114 4,082 3,194 67,002 5,661 Adopted Core Strategy Documents Braintree Adopted in September 2011 to cover the plan period 2009 - 2026 to provide 4,800 additional dwellings.

Chelmsford Adopted in February 2008 to cover the plan period 2001-2021, and to provide 16,000 additional dwellings.

Colchester Adopted in December 2008 to cover the plan period 2001-2023, and to provide 19,000 additional dwellings.

Section A


Rochford Adopted in December 2011 to cover the plan period 2006-2025, and to provide 4,750 additional dwellings.

Emerging Local Plans

Basildon Draft East of England Plan (March 2010) annual rate/provision has been used as an interim, with an updated housing provision to be identified through the emerging Core Strategy.

Brentwood The Preferred Option Local Plan (2015-2030), July 2013 identifies a proposed housing provision of 3,500 dwellings. Castle Point The emerging Core Strategy was withdrawn in September 2011 from the examination process, and work has commenced on a new

Local Plan. The emerging housing provision is based on the physical capacity of the district to accommodate growth.

Epping Forest Draft East of England Plan (March 2010) annual rate/provision has been used as an interim, with an updated housing provision to be identified through the emerging Core Strategy.

Harlow The identified provision of 8,000 dwellings is the proportion of the 16,000 in the revoked East of England Plan and is being reviewed as part of the emerging Core Strategy.

Maldon Maldon has identified its ‘objectively assessed need' as 4,410 dwellings, as identified in the Maldon District Draft Local Development Plan, 2014-2029 (September 2013).

Tendring The district has identified a requirement for the period 2011-2021, and will identify areas of search for the remaining 5 years of the Plan.

Uttlesford The district is progressing its Core Strategy, and has recently decided to review its future housing requirement following advice against the adoption of an employment based housing requirement. National Planning advice recommends using the 2010 sub-national population projections as a base requirement. Planned development rate 2011 - 2030 of 523 per annum. ]

Section A


Forecasting pupil numbers to 2018

Table 16 shows the actual number of pupils on roll in primary and secondary schools (including academies) for academic year 2012/13 and the forecast for academic year 2017/18 by district and for all Essex. Pupil number forecasts make use of information about historic births, current GP registrations, historic admissions, current numbers on roll and new housing trajectories. For forecasts by school and by forecast planning group see Appendix 1a for primary school forecasts and Appendix 1b for secondary school forecasts. Information on forecast methodology and an analysis of forecast accuracy is given in Appendix 4.

Table 16: Actual and forecast pupil numbers 2013 – 2018

District / Quadrant

Type of school NOR 2012/13 Forecast 2017/18

Forecast 2017/18 with new housing adj

% change 5 years ahead without housing with housing

Braintree Primary 11,411 12,035 12,359 5.5 8.3 Secondary Years 7-11 7,178 7,115 Secondary Sixth Form 691 648 Secondary Total 7,869 7,763 7,950 -1.3 1.0 Chelmsford Primary 12,820 13,649 14,687 6.5 14.6 Secondary Years 7-11 10,078 10,295 Secondary Sixth Form 2,318 2,276 Secondary Total 12,396 12,571 13,055 1.4 5.3 Maldon Primary 4,088 4,026 4,078 -1.5 -0.2 Secondary Years 7-11 2,130 2,004 Secondary Sixth Form 450 448 Secondary Total 2,580 2,452 2,484 -5.0 -3.7 Mid Essex Primary 28,319 29,710 31,124 4.9 9.9 Quadrant Secondary Years 7-11 19,386 19,414 Total Secondary Sixth Form 3,459 3,372 Secondary Total 22,845 22,786 23,489 -0.3 2.8 Colchester Primary 13,286 14,928 16,008 12.4 20.5 Secondary Years 7-11 9,276 9,489 Secondary Sixth Form 961 932 Secondary Total 10,237 10,421 11,037 1.8 7.8 Tendring Primary 9,318 9,928 10,570 6.5 13.4

Section A


District / Quadrant




Tendring Secondary Years 7-11 7,301 6,750 Secondary Sixth Form 1,307 1,250 Secondary Total 8,608 8,000 8,395 -7.1 -2.5 North East Essex Primary 22,604 24,856 26,578 10.0 17.6 Quadrant Secondary Years 7-11 16,577 16,239 Total Secondary Sixth Form 2,268 2,182 Secondary Total 18,845 18,421 19,432 -2.2 3.1 Basildon Primary 14,776 15,918 16,400 7.7 11.0 Secondary Years 7-11 9,078 9,189 Secondary Sixth Form 1,021 914 Secondary Total 10,099 10,103 10,429 0.0 3.3 Brentwood Primary 5,484 5,630 5,752 2.7 4.9 Secondary Years 7-11 5,614 5,668 Secondary Sixth Form 1,430 1,375 Secondary Total 7,044 7,043 7,121 0.0 1.1 Castle Point Primary 6,296 6,262 6,437 -0.5 2.2 Secondary Years 7-11 5,584 5,068 Secondary Sixth Form 320 420 Secondary Total 5,904 5,488 5,588 -7.0 -5.4 Rochford Primary 6,202 6,360 6,689 2.5 7.9 Secondary Years 7-11 5,273 4,927 Secondary Sixth Form 502 494 Secondary Total 5,775 5,421 5,692 -6.1 -1.4 South Essex Primary 32,758 34,170 35,278 4.3 7.7 Quadrant Secondary Years 7-11 25,549 24,852 Total Secondary Sixth Form 3,273 3,203

Secondary Total 28,822 28,055 28,830 -2.7 0.0

Epping Forest Primary 8,494 9,396 9,575 10.6 12.7 Secondary Years 7-11 5,185 5,389

andrew.heynes

Typewritten Text

Table 16

Section A


District / Quadrant




Epping Forest Secondary Sixth Form 642 645 Secondary Total 5,827 6,034 6,130 3.6 5.2 Harlow Primary 7,350 8,557 8,923 16.4 21.4 Secondary Years 7-11 4,687 4,923 Secondary Sixth Form 191 213 Secondary Total 4,878 5,136 5,347 5.3 9.6 Uttlesford Primary 6,216 6,551 7,175 5.4 15.4 Secondary Years 7-11 3,814 3,854 Secondary Sixth Form 908 900 Secondary Total 4,722 4,754 5,126 0.7 8.6 West Essex Primary 22,060 24,504 25,673 11.1 16.4 Quadrant Secondary Years 7-11 13,686 14,166 Total Secondary Sixth Form 1,741 1,758 Secondary Total 15,427 15,924 16,603 3.2 7.6 Essex Total Primary 105,741 113,240 118,653 7.1 12.2 Secondary Years 7-11 75,198 74,671 Secondary Sixth Form 10,741 10,515 Secondary Total 85,939 85,186 88,354 -0.9 2.8

andrew.heynes

Typewritten Text

Table 16

Section B


Section B: Commentary on managing the supply of school places

Judgements about how best to manage school places across the county are not only concerned with ensuring that there are sufficient places available, but also about enhancing the quality of provision where surplus places are considered for removal and promoting the highest possible standards where additional places are required.

The commentary below makes reference to summaries of actual and forecast number on roll and capacity for each quadrant and district of Essex. The actual numbers on roll are from May 2013 for primary schools and January 2013 for secondary schools. Figures can be viewed in Appendix 1a for primary schools and Appendix 1b for secondary schools.

MID ESSEX QUADRANT

Braintree Primary Schools

See Braintree Primary Forecast Planning Group Summary

In Witham, there is a clear indication that the demand for reception places will continue at a higher level than in previous years. Powers Hall Infant School increased its intake from 75 to 90 in reception from September 2012 and Elm Hall Primary School from 15 to 30 from 2013 with additional permanent provision. Powers Hall Junior School will admit up to 90 pupils per year group as higher numbers feed through from the Infant School. A Statutory Notice proposing the expansion of Chipping Hill School from 210 to 420 places, with an increase in the PAN from 30 to 60 places from 2015, was published in December 2013. A decision will be taken in the spring term 2014. Pupil numbers in the Halstead area fluctuate and, as such, although latest forecasts do not indicate sustained growth, this will be kept under review. A larger reception cohort is predicted in 2015 only and discussions are taking place with the local schools to agree how a “bulge year” can be accommodated. Across Braintree town, the latest forecast data clearly indicates an increase in demand for primary school places. In 2012/13, additional permanent provision was provided at John Bunyan Infant School and the school has increased its intake from 70 to 90. John Ray Infant admitted 15 additional reception pupils in 2012 and 2013 and will admit 30 additional reception pupils in 2014. Plans are currently underway to rebuild the Infant School that was destroyed by fire in September 2013 and consultation commenced in December to permanently increase provision by 1fe at the school and John Ray Junior School. Lyons Hall will admit 30 additional reception pupils in 2014 only.

Section B


In the Cressing / Silver End planning group, forecast pupil numbers for the locality indicate sustained growth year on year. A Statutory Notice proposing the expansion of Silver End Primary School from 315 to 420 places, with an increase in the PAN from 45 to 60 from 2015, was published in December 2013. A decision will be taken in the spring term 2014.

Braintree Secondary Schools

See Braintree Secondary Forecast Planning Group Summary

The level of demand for secondary school places in Year 7 across the three schools in Braintree is predicted to rise from a low point in 2013/14. Year 7 intakes at the Witham academies have reduced and based on the latest forecast data will not increase again until 2015/16 at the earliest. Pupil numbers in the Halstead / Hedingham area are forecast to remain relatively stable over the next 5 years when the pupils that are likely to be generated by new housing are included within the forecasts.

Chelmsford Primary Schools

See Chelmsford Primary Forecast Planning Group Summary

Cohort numbers in the Leighs / Waltham / Ford End planning group locality historically fluctuate and a local solution will be agreed with schools to accommodate minor shortfalls in the short term. Some of the forecast deficit in places is due to proposed housing in North West Chelmsford and options are being developed with local schools to accommodate the additional demand for places in the medium to longer term. In the Rettendon / West Hanningfield planning group, the forecast deficit of places from 2015/16 is due to proposed housing development on the Runwell Hospital site where a site has been reserved for a new school. The development is in the catchment area of Rettendon Primary and discussions are on-going with Rettendon Primary School to plan for this growth. In Springfield, a major housing development is planned on the Greater Beaulieu Park development on the north-eastern edge of the city that will generate the need for new primary schools. A new 2FE (Forms of Entry) primary provision on one of the sites on this development is likely to be required from September 2016. However, the Section 106 agreement that will allow this major housing development to proceed is awaiting completion.

Section B


Not all of the forecast growth is as a result of new housing on the Greater Beaulieu Park development. Solutions are being developed with local schools to increase provision where there is pressure on places close to the city centre as a result of increased births, inward migration and other new housing development. A significant deficit in Reception places is forecast from the school year 2015/16 within the Baddow / Moulsham / Galleywood planning group. Plans are being developed with local schools to increase provision in the locality from 2015 and consultation on proposals will commence shortly. In the Broomfield / Melbourne planning group, four proposed sites for housing development in North West Chelmsford will generate the potential need for 30 additional places each year. A strategic review of provision in the local area has been carried out and options are being developed with local schools to accommodate the predicted demand from additional housing.

Across individual planning groups, a strategic solution to support growth across the urban area due to the increased pressure on school places close to the city centre resulting from rising births and new housing is being considered for inclusion alongside the other proposals being consulted upon during the spring term 2014 to increase provision in Chelmsford.

Chelmsford Secondary Schools

See Chelmsford Secondary Forecast Planning Group Summary

The demand for Year 7 places is forecast to increase from 2013/14 onwards in Chelmsford City. From September 2015 onwards there is predicted to be a potential deficit of Year 7 places, subject to the phasing of new housing in North East and North West Chelmsford (Greater Beaulieu Park development) that is not yet confirmed. Proposals to accommodate the predicted growth in pupil numbers from new housing are being developed with schools.

Pupil numbers in South Woodham Ferrers are forecast to decline slightly over the next 5 years.

Maldon Primary Schools

See Maldon Primary Forecast Planning Group Summary

There are currently sufficient primary school places to meet the demand within the Maldon / Heybridge planning group. However, the District Council is currently consulting on its Local Plan that would, if current proposals are confirmed, see a very significant level of new house building

Section B


in the Maldon/ Heybridge area over the course of the next 15 years. Discussions are taking place with the District Council, the housing developers, and local schools as to how best to meet the increased level of demand that is likely to arise from new housing.

There is currently a significant level of surplus places across the Burnham / Southminster planning group. However, if the proposals for the new housing allocation for Burnham are confirmed, then it is anticipated that much of the current surplus will be required to accommodate pupils generated by the proposed housing.

Maldon Secondary Schools

See Maldon Secondary Forecast Planning Group Summary

Forecasts indicate there will be sufficient school places to meet local demand in Maldon whilst pupil numbers are forecast to drop over the course of the next 5 years.

Maldon District Council is in the process of finalising its Local Plan and discussions are taking place with The Plume School and the District Council concerning the School’s potential to expand if, as anticipated, significant numbers of new dwellings are allocated to the Maldon/ Heybridge area in the adopted Local Plan.

NORTH EAST ESSEX QUADRANT

Colchester Primary Schools

See Colchester Primary Forecast Planning Group Summary

There will be considerable housing development in the Colchester area over the period of this Plan and beyond, and officers are working closely with Colchester Borough Council and developers to ensure that educational priorities can be met. Contributions are being sought from housing developers towards the cost of providing the additional places required for the pupils that will be generated by this new housing. Pressure on school places from rising birth rates and new housing continue across the Colchester North planning group. Funding has been secured through the Government Targeted Basic Need (TBN) programme for a 2fe primary academy in Braiswick from 2015. Some of the forecast deficit in places is due to proposed housing on the Severalls development where a site has been reserved for a new 420 place primary school. The timing of the specification inviting proposals to sponsor this new primary provision on the Severalls site will be determined during the course of the current school year subject to consultation with the local community, which is currently underway.

Section B


In the Stanway area there should be sufficient capacity overall to meet demand in the next three years. However as the new housing developments planned progress there is likely to be pressure on school places and plans will be developed with the local schools to increase provision in the locality. ECC will have access to a new school site on commencement of phase three of the Lakelands development, if required.

The significant increase in pupil numbers within the Colchester South and Southeast planning group is forecast to continue for the next 5 years. A consultation has commenced on proposals to increase provision at Monkwick Infant and Junior Schools, Montgomery Infant and Junior Schools and a further expansion of St John’s Green Primary School. St George’s New Town Junior School will increase its intake to 90 from 2014 as larger cohorts move through from the partner infant school.

Tiptree

In the Tiptree planning group there were 22% surplus places with two of the schools having more than 50% surplus places in school year 2012/13. There is limited new housing planned for this area over the next 5 years and this is only forecast to maintain pupil numbers at their current level. The situation will be kept under review.

Colchester Secondary Schools

See Colchester Secondary Forecast Planning Group Summary

Alderman Blaxill School will close on the 31 August 2014. A broad strategic plan for the expansion of secondary provision in Colchester was adopted in 2013 for the period 2015-2019 following a consultation exercise. The expansion of The Gilberd School, using Section 106 funding, will enable it to admit an additional 30 pupils per year from September 2015 to relieve some of the pressure generated by population growth in the north of the town. Year 7 intakes in Colchester are forecast to rise significantly from September 2017 onwards and two options will be explored to provide the additional places required: to expand an existing and high performing and popular school/ academy through the use of the Alderman Blaxill site, or to develop new provision such as a Free School or Academy on this site.

Section B


Tendring Primary Schools

See Tendring Primary Forecast Planning Group Summary

In Clacton, pupil numbers are forecast to increase over the course of the next 5 years due to rising births and new housing. An additional two forms of entry are forecast to be required from September 2015 to accommodate this growth. Plans will be developed with local schools to increase provision in the locality. Walton-on-the-Naze Primary School admitted 15 additional pupils in reception in 2013 and will do so again in 2014 to accommodate larger reception cohorts. Pupil numbers remain slightly volatile in the Frinton / Walton planning group and discussions will be held with the schools to develop local solutions if there proves to be insufficient places to accommodate pupil numbers from 2015.

Tendring Secondary Schools

See Tendring Secondary Forecast Planning Group Summary

Overall pupil numbers across the Clacton secondary schools are predicted to decline over the next 5 years. However, the level of demand for Year 7 places is forecast to increase from 2017/18 onwards once pupils anticipated from new housing are included within the forecasts. Pupil numbers across the other secondary schools/ academies in the district are forecast to remain relatively stable over the course of the next 5 years. The impact of new housing in the locality of these schools will be closely monitored to ensure that there are sufficient school places available to meet any increase in demand. Tendring Enterprise Studio School (TESS) opened in September 2012, sponsored by Academies Enterprise Trust. This Studio School has capacity for up to 340 students aged between 14 and 19 years old and is expected to admit some pupils from each of the five surrounding secondary schools in Tendring district.

Section B


SOUTH ESSEX QUADRANT

Basildon Primary Schools

See Basildon Primary Forecast Planning Group Summary

Pupil numbers are forecast to increase in Basildon from 2016 as a result of increased births in some years and pupils arising from planned housing developments. This may put pressure on some schools and will be monitored. Discussions will commence with headteachers to formulate a strategic plan to meet increased demand for places.

Pupil numbers in central Basildon, Pitsea/ Bowers Gifford and the Langdon/Laindon Hills areas are forecast to continue to increase over the course of the next 5 years. Lee Chapel Primary Academy will expand permanently by 1 FE from September 2014 through the acquisition of the adjacent Knares building. A site for a potential primary school has been agreed, subject to and planning permission and a Section 106 agreement, to serve the new housing development (724 houses) on Dry Street. Relevant statutory and ECC processes to establish the new provision will be undertaken when phasing of housing is clear and the Section 106 finalised.

Pupil numbers in Billericay are expected to remain relatively constant over the next five years. Action has been taken in the past to remove surplus places and there are currently no planned housing developments of any significant size in the area. There is predicted to be potential pressure on places in some existing year groups and discussions have taken place with the schools about how best to meet any potential additional need. Pressure for primary school places continues in Wickford and the strategic plan for primary provision will be kept under review. Pupil numbers are forecast to increase in the area as a result of increased births and pupils arising from housing developments. It is likely that some additional reception places will be needed from September 2015 onwards and plans are being developed with local schools.

Basildon Secondary Schools

See Basildon Secondary Forecast Planning Group Summary

The Basildon Lower Academy (11-14) and the Basildon Upper Academy (14-19) continue to have high levels of surplus places. The numbers of Year 7 pupils forecast to be admitted to the Lower Academy show a significant increase from 2015/16 onwards. However, pupil numbers at the Upper Academy are forecast to decline over the course of the next 4 years. Pupil numbers are forecast to increase at The James Hornsby School over the course of the next 5 years, whilst numbers at the remaining two schools in Basildon town are likely to remain stable.

Section B


Overall there are sufficient places to meet the demand from local children in the two Billericay academies. This situation will be kept under review over the next five years. Both academies are continually oversubscribed with applications from outside of the area served by them. The Mayflower School has been granted permission to expand its existing sixth form provision. Pupil numbers are forecast to remain relatively stable in the two Wickford academies, but when pupils arising from new housing are considered they may rise slightly. Housing developments will be taken into account when considering whether there is a need for any further additional places in the medium to long term. Both schools are regularly oversubscribed with applications from outside of the Wickford area.

The New Campus Basildon Studio School opened in September 2013, sponsored by Seevic College and supported by Anglia Ruskin University. The Studio School has capacity for up to 340 students aged between 14 and 19 years old.

Brentwood Primary Schools

See Brentwood Primary Forecast Planning Group Summary

The number of surplus places in Brentwood district overall is forecast to decrease over the next five years once forecasts are adjusted to take account of new housing. However, there is predicted to be pressure on school places in the Brentwood town area and discussions are on-going with schools to explore options to increase provision in the town. Decisions will be finalised and consultation carried out during the spring term 2014.

Brentwood Secondary Schools

See Brentwood Secondary Forecast Planning Group Summary

With the closure of Sawyers Hall College in August 2012 and the opening of Becket Keys Church of England Free School in September 2012 there is a plentiful supply of secondary school places in the Brentwood/ Shenfield area. Year 7 intakes to the schools in this area are forecast to increase year on year over the next 5 years, although this will still leave a relatively high level of surplus places in the area.

Pupil numbers at the Anglo-European School are forecast to remain relatively stable over the next 5 years.

Section B


Castle Point Primary Schools

See Castle Point Primary Forecast Planning Group Summary

Pupil numbers on Canvey Island are set to remain at a fairly constant level over the next five years, with a small number of the schools being full.

Some of the schools in the Benfleet, Hadleigh and Thundersley areas are popular and oversubscribed each year whilst the number of surplus places at others is relatively high. Admissions and pupil movements between schools continue to be monitored, to ensure that there are sufficient places to cater for additional pupils who may move into the area and those generated by new housing.

Castle Point Secondary Schools

See Castle Point Secondary Forecast Planning Group Summary

Declining pupil numbers at The Deanes School has resulted in ECC taking a decision to close this School with effect from 31 August 2016. Fmuctcp* rfc Qafmmjq ?bhsbga_rmp bcagbcb gl Dc`ps_pw 0./2 rm snfmjb rfc emtcplgle `mbw¤q _nnc_j _e_glqr rfc bcagqgml rm bgqamlrglsc rfc qafmmj, CAA gq bgqasqqgle rfc gknjga_rgmlq md rfgq bcagqgml ugrf Rfc Bc_lcq Qafmmj* Rfc ?nnjcrml Qafmmj _lb Igle Hmfl Qafmmj, The Appleton School will be opening sixth form provision in September 2014 with an intake of up to 150 pupils into Year 12. King John School has been granted permission to expand its existing sixth form provision.

Pupil numbers are forecast to decline on Canvey Island over the course of the next 5 years and can be comfortably accommodated at the two 11-16 schools serving this community. A vocational centre providing courses for the 14-19 age range has recently been opened on the Island.

Section B


Rochford Primary Schools

In Rayleigh, pupil numbers are forecast to increase over the next 3 years but then stabilise. There will still be sufficient capacity for local children in Rayleigh. There will be a larger reception intake in September 2014 only and a solution to accommodate the additional pupils is being developed with local schools. In Rochford pupil numbers are forecast to increase as a result of higher births and pupils arising from planned housing developments. A site for a new primary school has been secured to cater for children from additional housing in Rochford.

Overall pupil numbers are expected to decline across Hockley even when additional housing is taken into consideration. Surplus places are not expected to be evenly spread across this group of schools.

Rochford Secondary Schools

See Rochford Secondary Forecast Planning Group Summary

The two academies serving Rayleigh are full at present and forecast to remain so over the course of the next 5 years. These schools will come under pressure if pupil numbers increase due to new housing planned for the area. A similar situation exists in Rochford where the impact of new housing will be monitored closely. Plans to increase provision to address potential growth will be developed with the schools, as necessary. Sweyne Park will be opening sixth form provision in September 2014 with an intake of up to 140 pupils into Year 12.

Pupil numbers are forecast to drop in Hockley over the course of the next 5 years even when new housing is taken into account in the forecast.

WEST ESSEX QUADRANT

Epping Forest Primary Schools

See Epping Forest Primary Forecast Planning Group Summary

Pupil numbers are forecast to increase considerably over the next five years as a result of increased births and pupils arising from planned housing developments, and plans are being developed with the schools across the district to meet this demand. Pupil numbers are forecast to increase in Epping town and plans are being developed with local schools to increase provision from 2015.

Section B


In Waltham Abbey, the numbers of places available and forecast pupil numbers are finely balanced over the next 5 years. Hillhouse Primary will increase its reception intake from 40 to 45 each year from 2015 and pupil numbers will be monitored closely to ensure that there are sufficient places to meet demand. Both Buckhurst Hill Primary School and St John’s CE Primary School have been expanded to their maximum extent to accommodate the growing demand for places in the Buckhurst Hill / Loughton South planning group area. Pupil numbers are being closely monitored and permanent solutions at other schools in the area may also be needed if the pupil population increases further in the medium to longer term.

In Loughton, pupil numbers are forecast to continue to increase over the next 5 years. An additional 105 places (1/2 form of entry) have been provided at The Hereward Primary School through a building expansion project and the reception intake increased from 45 to 60 from September 2013. Consultation on proposals to expand Alderton Infant and Junior Schools by 1 form of entry and Staples Road Primary by ½ form of entry has commenced.

Epping Forest Secondary Schools

See Epping Forest Secondary Forecast Planning Group Summary

Demand for places at the four schools/ academies serving the Loughton / Chigwell area is forecast to increase over the next 4 years and discussions will be held with these schools to determine how best to meet the shortfall in Year 7 places forecast from 2016/17 onwards. Demand from London boroughs remains high at both Roding Valley High School and West Hatch High School. Information on pupil numbers is exchanged regularly with the local authorities bordering the district to aid strategic planning. Pupil numbers at St John’s, Epping are forecast to increase steadily over the course of the next 5 years. The impact of new housing on pupil numbers at this school will be monitored carefully. Pupil numbers are forecast to remain stable at King Harold Academy in Waltham Abbey, although numbers may increase slightly due to new housing planned in the area. Harlow Primary Schools

See Harlow Primary Forecast Planning Group Summary

Section B


For the Potter Street / Old Harlow / Church Langley planning group, further housing developments on the north-eastern edge of Harlow at New Hall Farm and Gilden Way will continue to put pressure on school places in this area. Sites for new primary schools have been negotiated on these developments and plans will be developed for new school provision on these sites at the appropriate time to meet the demand for places from the new developments. Plans will be developed with local schools to manage increasing pupil numbers until such time as these new schools can be opened.

For other areas of Harlow, pupil numbers are forecast to increase across the town as a result of rising births, in-migration and new housing. In order to meet this increasing demand for places consultation on proposals to expand The Downs Primary School, Longwood Primary School and Holy Cross Catholic Primary Academy by an additional form of entry each with effect from September 2014 took place during the autumn term 2013. A decision will be made during the spring term 2014. In addition the Department for Education has provided funding through its Targeted Basic Need Programme to establish a new 210-place primary academy in buildings on the Rivermill site in the north-west of the town. The new academy will open in September 2015.

Harlow Secondary Schools

See Harlow Secondary Forecast Planning Group Summary

There is currently a relatively high level of surplus places within Harlow. However, Year 7 will come under pressure from 2015/16 onwards as higher numbers start to feed through from primary schools and the new housing planned for the town. Discussions have commenced with the schools in the town to assess the best way of managing pupil numbers that are set to increase year on year from 2015/16 onwards. The new Sir Charles Kao UTC, catering for pupils in the 14-19 age range, will open in September 2014 with intake of up to 125 pupils in both Year 10 and Year 12.

Uttlesford Primary Schools

See Uttlesford Primary Forecast Planning Group Summary

Across the Debden/ Radwinter/ Sampford/ Wimbish areas, pupil numbers are forecast to remain relatively stable over the next 5 years once pupils anticipated from new housing are included. In Saffron Walden, new housing developments in the town will result in increasing pupil numbers over the course of the next 5 years. Discussions are currently underway with local schools to determine how best to manage increasing pupil numbers. A request has been

Section B


submitted to Uttlesford District Council for the provision of a site for a new primary school to accommodate pupils that will be generated from the new housing developments. For Stansted, pupil numbers are forecast to continue to increase over the next 5 years. Consideration is currently being given as how best to provide the additional places that will be required in this planning group and plans will be developed with local schools to increase provision in the locality. Provision at St Mary’s will be increased from 300 to 330 places and the intake in reception from 40 to 45 in 2015. For Dunmow, pupil numbers are forecast to continue to increase over the next 5 years and sites for new schools are currently being negotiated to meet the increased demand for places generated by new housing in the area. Discussions are on-going with the local schools to plan for growth. In the Felsted area, increased pupil numbers in the academic year 2014/15 will be accommodated by The Flitch Green Academy.

Takeley (Foundation) Primary School relocated to a reserved site on the Priors Green development in September 2012 and expanded from 210 to 330 places to accommodate additional children from the new housing development. Pupil numbers are being closely monitored and discussions are on-going with the school about the timing for implementation of phase 2 of buildings works to increase the number of pupil places at the schools to 420 as a result of further housing. The school will admit 60 reception pupils in 2014/15.

Uttlesford Secondary Schools

See Uttlesford Secondary Forecast Planning Group Summary

Pupil numbers in Uttlesford are forecast to increase over the next five years once pupils anticipated from new housing are taken into account. The two schools to the north, Newport Free Grammar and Saffron Walden County High, are both heavily oversubscribed. The overall total number of pupils in the district is set to rise further as a result of the housing developments at Great Dunmow, Little Dunmow, Stansted, Elsenham, Takeley and Saffron Walden. Demand for secondary school places will be monitored and proposals will be developed with the four Uttlesford secondary schools about a way forward to address the level of growth expected from around 2017/18 onwards. The County Council is also liaising closely with Hertfordshire County Council in respect of a major new urban extension planned for Bishops Stortford that could have a significant impact on pupil place planning in the Stansted area.

Appendix 1a - Table 1: Primary school number on roll and forecasts

Primary School by Forecast Planning Group

School Type** at end

of 2012/13

Designated Nursery

Class

Net*** Capacity 2012/13

Temporary places

included within net capacity

Number on Roll

May 2013

Surplus / Deficit 2012/13

Future Net

Capacity

Forecast Number on Roll

2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including

adjustment for new housing

Forecast Surplus / Deficit inc

adj for new housing

Mid Essex Quadrant - Braintree District

Braintree Group 01 ( Witham / Rivenhall ) Forecast Planning Group:

2330 - Chipping Hill Primary School * C N 210 0 187 23 210 221 -11 269 -592757 - Elm Hall Primary School C N 105 0 107 -2 210 181 29 181 293813 - Holy Family Catholic Primary School, Witham VA RC N 210 0 202 8 210 210 0 210 03204 - Howbridge Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Junior School, Witham VC CE N 384 0 351 33 384 362 22 385 -15276 - The Howbridge Infant School F N 270 0 256 14 270 275 -5 292 -222679 - Powers Hall Infant School C Y 243 0 226 17 270 270 0 271 -12699 - Powers Hall Junior School * A N 296 0 245 51 326 326 0 327 -13205 - Rivenhall Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 120 0 98 22 120 120 0 121 -12900 - Templars Primary & Nursery School C Y 420 0 328 92 420 410 10 417 3Braintree Group 01 ( Witham / Rivenhall ) Total 2,258 0 2,000 258 2420 2375 45 2473 -53Braintree Group 02 ( Kelvedon / Feering ) Forecast Planning Group:

3207 - Feering Church of England (Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 174 0 166 8 174 155 19 155 193211 - Kelvedon St Mary's Church of England Primary School A CE N 406 58 400 6 406 389 17 392 143209 - St Peter's Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School, Coggeshall VC CE N 315 3 322 -7 315 323 -8 327 -12Braintree Group 02 ( Kelvedon / Feering ) Total 895 61 888 7 895 867 28 874 21Braintree Group 03 ( Halstead / Gosfield ) Forecast Planning Group:

2036 - Gosfield Community Primary School C N 140 0 136 4 140 133 7 135 53006 - Holy Trinity Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School, Halstead VC CE N 261 0 259 2 261 259 2 263 -22083 - Richard de Clare Community Primary School C N 420 70 408 12 420 424 -4 435 -153303 - St Andrew's Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, Halstead VA CE N 245 0 236 9 245 218 27 228 17Braintree Group 03 ( Halstead / Gosfield ) Total 1,066 70 1,039 27 1,066 1,034 32 1,061 5Braintree Group 04 ( Hedingham ) Forecast Planning Group:

2034 - de Vere Primary School C N 140 0 127 13 140 123 17 123 173009 - St Giles' Church of England Primary School VC CE N 90 0 78 12 90 84 6 85 53013 - St Peter's Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School, Sible Hedingham VC CE N 210 0 202 8 210 199 11 244 -34Braintree Group 04 ( Hedingham ) Total 440 0 407 33 440 406 34 452 -12Braintree Group 05 ( Finchingfield / Bardfield / Wethersfield ) Forecast Planning Group:

3208 - Finchingfield Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 70 0 56 14 70 51 19 51 192380 - Great Bardfield Primary School C N 168 80 119 49 168 109 59 112 563212 - Wethersfield Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 88 0 82 6 90 90 0 92 -2Braintree Group 05 ( Finchingfield / Bardfield / Wethersfield ) Total 326 80 257 69 328 250 78 255 73Braintree Group 06 ( Braintree town and surrounds ) Forecast Planning Group:

2134 - Beckers Green Primary School C N 372 12 310 62 380 360 20 360 202250 - Bocking Church Street Primary School C N 193 0 203 -10 193 209 -16 216 -232769 - Great Bradfords Infant and Nursery School C Y 270 0 268 2 270 270 0 271 -12759 - Great Bradfords Junior School C N 351 0 341 10 351 381 -30 383 -322300 - John Bunyan Infant School and Nursery C Y 243 0 224 19 270 265 5 271 -12810 - John Bunyan Junior School * C N 300 0 227 73 360 349 11 357 32669 - John Ray Infant School * C N 285 0 270 15 270 276 -6 304 -342880 - John Ray Junior School * C N 383 0 373 10 383 409 -26 446 -632080 - Lyons Hall Primary School A N 432 12 419 13 432 420 12 420 122000 - Notley Green Primary School A N 420 60 406 14 420 406 14 407 13

Appendices





of 2012/13

Designated Nursery

Class


Temporary places


Number on Roll

May 2013


Future Net

Capacity


2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including



adj for new housing

2410 - Rayne Primary School C Y 259 0 258 1 259 263 -4 266 -72420 - Shalford Primary School C N 105 0 84 21 105 98 7 102 33790 - St Francis Catholic Primary School, Braintree VA RC N 210 0 206 4 210 208 2 208 23440 - St Michael's Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, Braintree VA CE N 404 30 420 -16 404 416 -12 430 -263460 - Stisted Church of England Primary Academy A CE N 105 0 100 5 105 106 -1 107 -22767 - White Court School C N 585 54 588 -3 585 581 4 583 23213 - White Notley Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 105 0 103 2 105 105 0 106 -1Braintree Group 06 ( Braintree town and surrounds ) Total 5,022 168 4,800 222 5,102 5,122 -20 5,237 -135Braintree Group 07 ( Earls Colne / Colne Engaine ) Forecast Planning Group:

3305 - Colne Engaine Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 112 0 107 5 112 112 0 115 -35272 - Earls Colne Primary School and Nursery F N 409 60 301 108 409 273 136 275 134Braintree Group 07 ( Earls Colne / Colne Engaine ) Total 521 60 408 113 521 385 136 390 131Braintree Group 08 ( Braintree rural north ) Forecast Planning Group:

3304 - Belchamp St Paul's Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 84 0 76 8 84 80 4 81 33008 - Bulmer St Andrew's Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 140 20 54 86 140 32 108 34 1063319 - Ridgewell Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 105 0 65 40 105 70 35 71 343010 - St Andrew's Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School, Great Yeldham VC CE N 143 0 138 5 143 118 25 121 223308 - St John The Baptist Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School Pebmarsh VA CE N 77 0 75 2 77 49 28 50 273015 - St Margaret's Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School Toppesfield VC CE N 98 29 75 23 98 66 32 67 312037 - Stanley Drapkin Primary School, Steeple Bumpstead C N 210 0 200 10 210 169 41 174 36Braintree Group 08 ( Braintree rural north ) Total 857 49 683 174 857 584 273 598 259Braintree Group 09 ( Cressing / Silver End ) Forecast Planning Group:

2370 - Cressing Primary School C N 151 0 143 8 151 142 9 145 62350 - Silver End Primary School * C N 315 0 279 36 315 367 -52 369 -54Braintree Group 09 ( Cressing / Silver End ) Total 466 0 422 44 466 509 -43 514 -48Braintree Group 10 ( Hatfield Peverel / Terling ) Forecast Planning Group:

2737 - Hatfield Peverel Infant School C N 180 0 176 4 180 167 13 167 135279 - Hatfield Peverel St Andrew's Junior School F CE N 240 0 225 15 240 240 0 241 -13470 - Terling Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 105 0 106 -1 105 96 9 97 8Braintree Group 10 ( Hatfield Peverel / Terling ) Total 525 0 507 18 525 503 22 505 20

Braintree Total 12,376 488 11,411 965 12,620 12,035 585 12,359 261

Appendices





of 2012/13

Designated Nursery

Class


Temporary places


Number on Roll

May 2013


Future Net

Capacity


2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including



adj for new housing

Mid Essex Quadrant - Chelmsford District

Chelmsford Group 01 ( Leighs / Waltham / Ford End ) Forecast Planning Group:

3218 - Ford End Church of England Primary School VC CE N 70 0 71 -1 70 67 3 67 32450 - Great Leighs Primary School C N 245 0 220 25 245 222 23 222 233217 - Great Waltham Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 158 0 161 -3 158 150 8 152 63530 - Little Waltham Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 147 0 141 6 147 141 6 222 -75Chelmsford Group 01 ( Leighs / Waltham / Ford End ) Total 620 0 593 27 620 580 40 663 -43Chelmsford Group 02 ( Rettendon / West Hanningfield ) Forecast Planning Group:

2460 - Rettendon Primary School C N 126 0 107 19 126 112 14 253 -1273820 - St Peter's Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, West Hanningfield VA CE N 105 0 101 4 105 104 1 108 -3Chelmsford Group 02 ( Rettendon / West Hanningfield ) Total 231 0 208 23 231 216 15 361 -130Chelmsford Group 03 ( Springfield ) Forecast Planning Group:

2928 - Barnes Farm Infant School C N 270 109 269 1 270 270 0 270 02839 - Barnes Farm Junior School C N 352 86 338 14 352 360 -8 360 -83823 - The Bishops' Church of England and Catholic Primary School VA M N 420 4 339 81 420 418 2 418 25249 - The Cathedral Church of England (Aided) Primary School, Chelmsford VA CE N 315 0 315 0 315 316 -1 316 -13826 - Chancellor Park Primary School, Chelmsford C N 240 30 235 5 210 238 -28 239 -292629 - Perryfields Infant School C N 180 0 180 0 180 180 0 181 -12589 - Perryfields Junior School C N 270 30 270 0 270 270 0 271 -12020 - Springfield Primary School C N 420 21 395 25 420 465 -45 673 -2532210 - Trinity Road Primary School C N 325 0 258 67 325 377 -52 437 -1122850 - Tyrrells Primary Academy A N 420 0 420 0 420 420 0 420 0Chelmsford Group 03 ( Springfield ) Total 3,212 280 3,019 193 3,182 3,314 -132 3,585 -403Chelmsford Group 04 ( Baddow / Moulsham / Galleywood ) Forecast Planning Group:

2579 - Baddow Hall Infant School C N 210 0 207 3 189 180 9 183 62609 - Baddow Hall Junior School C N 240 0 239 1 270 267 3 271 -12789 - Beehive Lane Community Primary School C N 210 0 206 4 210 207 3 208 22549 - Galleywood Infant School C N 180 0 167 13 180 180 0 180 02899 - Larkrise Primary School C N 210 0 193 17 210 207 3 208 22889 - Meadgate Primary School C N 210 0 167 43 210 204 6 204 62569 - Mildmay Infant and Nursery School C Y 240 90 241 -1 240 270 -30 270 -302559 - Mildmay Junior School C N 360 0 290 70 360 321 39 321 392200 - Moulsham Infant School A N 270 0 270 0 270 291 -21 308 -382180 - Moulsham Junior School A N 560 0 558 2 560 560 0 585 -252529 - Oaklands Infant School C N 150 0 150 0 150 204 -54 206 -565250 - Our Lady Immaculate Catholic Primary School A RC N 218 0 218 0 218 218 0 218 03810 - St Michael's Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Junior School, Galleywood VA CE N 240 30 171 69 240 231 9 231 92879 - Westlands Community Primary School C N 449 0 395 54 630 590 40 692 -62Chelmsford Group 04 ( Baddow / Moulsham / Galleywood ) Total 3,747 120 3,472 275 3,937 3,930 7 4,085 -148Chelmsford Group 05 ( Broomfield / Melbourne ) Forecast Planning Group:

5252 - Broomfield Primary School F N 315 0 314 1 315 323 -8 429 -1142018 - Kings Road Primary School C N 401 0 399 2 401 424 -23 503 -1022790 - Lawford Mead Infant and Nursery School C Y 180 30 143 37 180 180 0 182 -22800 - Lawford Mead Junior School C N 240 30 166 74 240 218 22 220 20

Appendices





of 2012/13

Designated Nursery

Class


Temporary places


Number on Roll

May 2013


Future Net

Capacity


2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including



adj for new housing

2869 - Melbourne Park Primary and Nursery School C Y 262 0 168 94 262 192 70 194 685201 - Newlands Spring Primary School A N 406 60 409 -3 406 406 0 478 -723770 - St Pius X Catholic Primary School VA RC N 210 0 207 3 210 209 1 209 1Chelmsford Group 05 ( Broomfield / Melbourne ) Total 2,014 120 1,806 208 2,014 1,952 62 2,215 -201Chelmsford Group 06 ( Danbury / Bicknacre / East Hanningfield ) Forecast Planning Group:

2779 - Danbury Park Community Primary School C N 259 0 262 -3 259 259 0 271 -123215 - East Hanningfield Church of England Primary School VC CE N 119 0 107 12 119 101 18 104 152799 - Priory Primary School, Bicknacre C N 210 0 189 21 210 132 78 132 783214 - St John's Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School, Danbury VC CE N 230 0 223 7 230 165 65 165 65Chelmsford Group 06 ( Danbury / Bicknacre / East Hanningfield ) Total 818 0 781 37 818 657 161 672 146Chelmsford Group 07 ( South Woodham ) Forecast Planning Group:

5265 - Collingwood Primary School F N 315 0 262 53 315 250 65 250 655200 - Elmwood Primary School F N 420 0 322 98 420 369 51 369 513815 - St Joseph's Catholic Primary School, SWF VA RC N 208 30 197 11 208 195 13 195 133560 - St Mary's Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School Woodham Ferrers VA CE N 105 0 81 24 105 84 21 84 213814 - Trinity St Mary's Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, South Woodham Ferrers VA CE N 206 30 205 1 206 197 9 197 95213 - Woodville Primary School F N 420 0 418 2 420 420 0 420 0Chelmsford Group 07 ( South Woodham ) Total 1,674 60 1,485 189 1,674 1,515 159 1,515 159Chelmsford Group 08 ( Writtle / Roxwell / Highwood ) Forecast Planning Group:

2500 - Highwood Primary School C N 70 47 41 29 70 51 19 55 153222 - Roxwell Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 105 0 78 27 105 81 24 81 242619 - Writtle Infant School C N 180 0 165 15 180 180 0 181 -12950 - Writtle Junior School C N 240 30 203 37 240 237 3 239 1Chelmsford Group 08 ( Writtle / Roxwell / Highwood ) Total 595 77 487 108 595 549 46 556 39Chelmsford Group 09 ( Margaretting / Stock ) Forecast Planning Group:

3220 - Margaretting Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 68 0 63 5 68 56 12 56 123225 - Stock Church of England Primary School VC CE N 210 60 203 7 210 200 10 202 8Chelmsford Group 09 ( Margaretting / Stock ) Total 278 60 266 12 278 256 22 258 20Other - not grouped

2659 - Boreham Primary School C N 210 4 214 -4 210 209 1 212 -23224 - Downham Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 252 0 264 -12 252 236 16 236 16Other New Housing Potential Pupils - Chelmsford 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 50 -50

Chelmsford Total 13,651 721 12,595 1,056 13,811 13,414 397 14,408 -597

Appendices





of 2012/13

Designated Nursery

Class


Temporary places


Number on Roll

May 2013


Future Net

Capacity


2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including



adj for new housing

Mid Essex Quadrant - Maldon District

Maldon Group 01 ( Tollesbury / Tolleshunt D'Arcy ) Forecast Planning Group:

2630 - Tollesbury School C N 210 0 204 6 210 205 5 208 23660 - Tolleshunt D'Arcy St Nicholas Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 210 0 109 101 210 96 114 97 113Maldon Group 01 ( Tollesbury / Tolleshunt D'Arcy ) Total 420 0 313 107 420 301 119 305 115Maldon Group 02 ( Maldon / Heybridge ) Forecast Planning Group:

3201 - All Saints Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School, Maldon VC CE N 323 0 317 6 323 329 -6 334 -112030 - Heybridge Primary School A N 367 0 238 129 367 262 105 272 952230 - Maldon Primary School C N 405 30 352 53 405 301 104 308 973811 - St Francis Catholic Primary School, Maldon VA RC N 210 0 218 -8 210 210 0 210 02649 - Wentworth Primary School C N 420 0 414 6 420 412 8 417 33235 - Woodham Walter Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 105 45 101 4 105 103 2 103 2Maldon Group 02 ( Maldon / Heybridge ) Total 1,830 75 1,640 190 1,830 1,617 213 1,644 186Maldon Group 03 ( Burnham / Southminster ) Forecast Planning Group:

2310 - Burnham-on-Crouch Primary School C N 417 0 333 84 417 305 112 309 1083836 - Southminster Church of England (VC) Primary School [2095 - (Academy) in 2013/14] VC CE N 315 0 195 120 315 204 111 206 1093450 - St Mary's Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, Burnham-on-Crouch VA CE N 210 30 174 36 210 204 6 204 6Maldon Group 03 ( Burnham / Southminster ) Total 942 30 702 240 942 713 229 719 223Maldon Group 04 ( Maylandsea / Purleigh / Latchingdon / Cold Norton ) Forecast Planning Group:

2590 - Cold Norton Primary School C N 147 27 155 -8 147 151 -4 154 -73230 - Latchingdon Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 175 0 99 76 175 102 73 104 712994 - Maylandsea Primary School C N 315 0 267 48 315 240 75 246 692620 - Purleigh Community Primary School C N 205 0 210 -5 205 204 1 205 0Maldon Group 04 ( Maylandsea / Purleigh / Latchingdon / Cold Norton ) Total 842 27 731 111 842 697 145 709 133Maldon Group 05 ( Bradwell / Tillingham ) Forecast Planning Group:

3630 - St Cedd's Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, Bradwell VA CE N 195 0 166 29 195 179 16 180 153232 - St Nicholas Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School, Tillingham VC CE N 133 0 110 23 133 88 45 89 44Maldon Group 05 ( Bradwell / Tillingham ) Total 328 0 276 52 328 267 61 269 59Other - not grouped

5204 - Great Totham Primary School F N 436 16 426 10 436 431 5 432 4Maldon Total 4,798 148 4,088 710 4,798 4,026 772 4,078 720

Mid Essex Quadrant Total 30,825 1,357 28,094 2,731 31,229 29,475 1,754 30,845 384

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adj for new housing

North East Essex Quadrant - Colchester District

Colchester Group 01 ( Colchester north and rural northeast ) Forecast Planning Group: *

3324 - The Bishop William Ward Church of England Primary School VA CE N 180 0 173 7 210 203 7 214 -43018 - Boxted St Peter’s Church of England Primary School VC CE N 210 0 141 69 210 197 13 197 135280 - Brinkley Grove Primary School F N 419 0 405 14 419 444 -25 444 -253022 - Dedham Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 209 30 201 8 209 197 12 198 112075 - Friars Grove Primary School C N 420 0 390 30 420 418 2 418 23029 - Heathlands Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School, West Bergholt VC CE N 410 0 378 32 410 417 -7 418 -82424 - Highwoods Community Primary School A N 420 8 416 4 420 449 -29 449 -292039 - Langham Primary School C N 105 0 100 5 112 109 3 109 32007 - Myland Community Primary School C N 315 0 318 -3 325 372 -47 525 -2002008 - North Primary School and Nursery C Y 417 0 336 81 417 492 -75 517 -1003839 - Queen Boudica Primary School C N 330 0 258 72 420 439 -19 493 -733003 - St John's Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School, Colchester VC CE N 210 0 212 -2 210 212 -2 228 -18Colchester Group 01 ( Colchester north and rural northeast ) Total 3,645 38 3,328 317 3,782 3,949 -167 4,210 -428Colchester Group 02 ( Stanway / rural northwest ) Forecast Planning Group:

3019 - Chappel Church of England (Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 105 16 80 25 105 93 12 94 113020 - Copford Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 207 117 210 -3 207 210 -3 213 -63024 - Fordham All Saints Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 110 0 124 -14 122 124 -2 124 -23025 - Great Tey Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 84 0 44 40 84 26 58 26 583021 - Holy Trinity Church of England Primary School, Eight Ash Green and Aldham VC CE N 140 0 109 31 140 85 55 86 543027 - St Andrew's Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School, Marks Tey VC CE N 210 0 180 30 210 169 41 176 342081 - Stanway Fiveways Primary School C N 315 0 309 6 315 283 32 401 -862041 - Stanway Primary School C N 280 110 281 -1 280 277 3 378 -98Colchester Group 02 ( Stanway / rural northwest ) Total 1,451 243 1,337 114 1,463 1,267 196 1,498 -35Colchester Group 03 ( Tiptree ) Forecast Planning Group:

2088 - Baynards Primary School C N 210 0 101 109 210 99 111 131 792040 - Messing-Cum-Inworth Primary School [2032 - (Academy) in 2013/14] C N 70 0 33 37 70 38 32 38 322074 - Milldene Primary School C N 210 0 191 19 210 142 68 147 632042 - Tiptree Heath Primary School C N 210 0 165 45 210 122 88 165 453028 - Tiptree, St Luke's Church of England (Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 315 77 298 17 315 308 7 308 7Colchester Group 03 ( Tiptree ) Total 1,015 77 788 227 1,015 709 306 789 226Colchester Group 04 ( Colchester rural southwest ) Forecast Planning Group:

3309 - Birch Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 150 0 139 11 150 140 10 142 83026 - Layer-De-La-Haye Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 210 0 206 4 210 209 1 210 0Colchester Group 04 ( Colchester rural southwest ) Total 360 0 345 15 360 349 11 352 8Colchester Group 05 ( Colchester southwest ) Forecast Planning Group:

2054 - Gosbecks Primary School C N 315 0 301 14 315 307 8 308 72003 - Hamilton Primary School C N 379 0 422 -43 379 421 -42 461 -822064 - Home Farm Primary School C N 210 0 210 0 210 210 0 211 -12006 - Lexden Primary School with Unit for Hearing Impaired Pupils and Nursery C Y 199 0 206 -7 199 210 -11 223 -242056 - Prettygate Infant School C N 180 0 179 1 180 180 0 180 02055 - Prettygate Junior School C N 240 0 256 -16 240 255 -15 255 -153321 - St Teresa's Catholic Primary School, Colchester A RC N 218 0 218 0 218 218 0 218 0

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Colchester Group 05 ( Colchester southwest ) Total 1,741 0 1,792 -51 1,741 1,801 -60 1,856 -115Colchester Group 06 ( Colchester east ) Forecast Planning Group:

2066 - Greenstead, St Andrew's Nursery and Infant School C Y 185 35 169 16 185 189 -4 189 -42058 - Hazelmere Infant School and Nursery C Y 180 0 157 23 180 198 -18 198 -182057 - Hazelmere Junior School C N 240 0 149 91 240 222 18 222 183040 - Parsons Heath Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 210 0 203 7 210 210 0 210 02317 - Roach Vale Primary School C N 210 6 176 34 210 207 3 207 32077 - St Andrews Junior School C N 243 0 169 74 243 236 7 236 73830 - Willow Brook Primary and Nursery C Y 210 0 193 17 210 223 -13 223 -13Colchester Group 06 ( Colchester east ) Total 1,478 41 1,216 262 1,478 1,485 -7 1,485 -7Colchester Group 07 ( Wivenhoe ) Forecast Planning Group:

2069 - Broomgrove Infant School C N 180 0 175 5 180 154 26 166 142073 - Broomgrove Junior School C N 233 0 232 1 233 229 4 245 -125221 - Millfields Primary School F N 210 0 206 4 210 199 11 204 6Colchester Group 07 ( Wivenhoe ) Total 623 0 613 10 623 582 41 615 8Colchester Group 08 ( Colchester south and southeast ) Forecast Planning Group:

2284 - Cherry Tree Primary School and Speech and Language Unit C N 206 0 134 72 206 188 18 191 153001 - Kendall Church of England Primary School VC CE N 210 0 180 30 210 242 -32 297 -872017 - King's Ford Infant School and Nursery C Y 180 30 157 23 180 180 0 181 -12016 - King's Ford Junior School C N 180 0 129 51 180 221 -41 222 -422053 - Monkwick Infant School and Nursery * C Y 189 0 161 28 216 178 38 179 372052 - Monkwick Junior School * C N 300 90 191 109 300 239 61 241 592063 - Montgomery Infant School and Nursery, Colchester * C Y 180 30 174 6 180 270 -90 273 -932062 - Montgomery Junior School, Colchester * C N 240 0 212 28 240 266 -26 270 -302010 - Old Heath Community Primary School C N 199 0 206 -7 199 209 -10 212 -132002 - St George's Infant School and Nursery C Y 264 60 251 13 264 304 -40 305 -412001 - St George's New Town Junior School C N 296 0 302 -6 360 373 -13 374 -143301 - St James' Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, Colchester VA CE N 360 30 354 6 420 444 -24 468 -482011 - St John's Green Primary School * C N 267 0 241 26 525 390 135 663 -1382297 - St Michael's Primary School and Nursery, Colchester C Y 210 30 164 46 210 207 3 214 -43824 - St Thomas More's Catholic Primary School, Colchester A RC N 210 0 210 0 210 211 -1 211 -1Colchester Group 08 ( Colchester south and southeast ) Total 3,491 270 3,066 425 3,900 3,922 -22 4,301 -401Colchester Group 09 ( Colchester rural south ) Forecast Planning Group:

3310 - Fingringhoe Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 93 0 78 15 101 100 1 100 12038 - Langenhoe Community Primary and Pre School C N 142 0 139 3 142 153 -11 156 -145271 - Mersea Island School F N 425 0 436 -11 435 421 14 425 103023 - St Lawrence Church of England Primary School, Rowhedge VC CE N 174 0 148 26 210 190 20 221 -11Colchester Group 09 ( Colchester rural south ) Total 834 0 801 33 888 864 24 902 -14

Colchester Total 14,638 669 13,286 1,352 15,250 14,928 322 16,008 -758

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adj for new housing

North East Essex Quadrant - Tendring District

Tendring Group 01 ( Little Clacton / Tendring / Thorpe / Weeley ) Forecast Planning Group:

5274 - Engaines Primary School F N 266 0 270 -4 266 271 -5 275 -95208 - Rolph Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 196 22 204 -8 196 200 -4 211 -155207 - St Andrew's Church of England (VA) Primary School, Weeley [2096 - (Academy) in 2013/14] VA CE N 206 0 203 3 206 209 -3 217 -112050 - Tendring Primary School C N 140 0 141 -1 140 140 0 142 -2Tendring Group 01 ( Little Clacton / Tendring / Thorpe / Weeley ) Total 808 22 818 -10 808 820 -12 845 -37Tendring Group 02 ( Clacton ) Forecast Planning Group:

2026 - Alton Park Junior School C N 460 48 408 52 460 477 -17 482 -222061 - Burrsville Community Infant School [2085 - Burrsville Infant Academy in 2013/14] C N 180 0 177 3 180 180 0 199 -192025 - Cann Hall Primary School A N 420 0 419 1 420 451 -31 506 -862071 - Frobisher Primary and Nursery School C Y 299 60 248 51 299 282 17 342 -433831 - Great Clacton Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Junior School VA CE N 240 0 239 1 240 239 1 265 -255216 - Holland Haven Primary School F N 327 0 316 11 327 314 13 315 125215 - Holland Park Primary School F N 420 73 419 1 420 442 -22 466 -462027 - The Oakwood Infant School C Y 360 0 351 9 360 397 -37 401 -412087 - Ravenscroft Primary School [2067 - Ravens Academy in 2013/14] C Y 248 0 165 83 248 198 50 201 475219 - St Clare's Catholic Primary School [2060 - (Academy) in 2013/14] VA RC N 315 0 302 13 315 313 2 313 22022 - White Hall Academy A Y 630 0 496 134 630 665 -35 704 -74Tendring Group 02 ( Clacton ) Total 3,899 181 3,540 359 3,899 3,958 -59 4,194 -295Tendring Group 03 ( Brightlingsea / Elmstead ) Forecast Planning Group:

2043 - Alresford Primary School C N 119 0 108 11 119 112 7 123 -42068 - Brightlingsea Infant School C N 270 0 244 26 270 255 15 276 -62072 - Brightlingsea Junior School C N 360 30 300 60 360 337 23 365 -55220 - Elmstead Primary School F N 208 0 211 -3 208 216 -8 226 -182045 - Great Bentley Primary School C N 210 0 203 7 210 211 -1 227 -173032 - St George's Church of England Primary School, Great Bromley VC CE N 119 0 120 -1 119 120 -1 123 -4Tendring Group 03 ( Brightlingsea / Elmstead ) Total 1,286 30 1,186 100 1,286 1,251 35 1,340 -54Tendring Group 04 ( Frinton / Walton ) Forecast Planning Group:

2028 - Frinton-on-Sea Primary School C N 210 0 209 1 210 211 -1 239 -292012 - Hamford Primary Academy A N 280 0 285 -5 280 286 -6 295 -152029 - Kirby Primary School [2084 - (Academy) in 2013/14] C N 209 60 196 13 209 213 -4 222 -135260 - Walton-on-the-Naze Primary School F N 226 0 225 1 241 235 6 270 -29Tendring Group 04 ( Frinton / Walton ) Total 925 60 915 10 940 945 -5 1,026 -86Tendring Group 05 ( Harwich and surrounds ) Forecast Planning Group:

3822 - All Saints' Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, Dovercourt VA CE N 204 0 196 8 204 201 3 201 33314 - All Saints Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, Great Oakley VA CE N 102 0 111 -9 102 94 8 98 45261 - Chase Lane Primary School and Nursery C Y 390 0 385 5 390 401 -11 427 -372414 - Harwich Community Primary School and Nursery C Y 238 0 216 22 238 209 29 215 232059 - The Mayflower Primary School C N 350 0 291 59 350 326 24 351 -12374 - Spring Meadow Primary School C N 350 0 219 131 350 215 135 222 1283302 - St Joseph's Catholic Primary School, Harwich VA RC N 119 0 115 4 119 118 1 118 13251 - Two Village Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 210 0 200 10 210 188 22 231 -212051 - Wix and Wrabness Primary School C N 119 0 86 33 119 73 46 76 43

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Tendring Group 05 ( Harwich and surrounds ) Total 2,082 0 1,819 263 2,082 1,825 257 1,939 143Tendring Group 06 ( Manningtree and surrounds ) Forecast Planning Group:

3030 - Ardleigh St Mary's Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 105 19 112 -7 105 100 5 105 02044 - Bradfield Primary School C N 120 0 90 30 120 101 19 106 142090 - Highfields Primary School C N 315 0 270 45 315 311 4 338 -235257 - Lawford Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 210 0 211 -1 210 212 -2 228 -183037 - Mistley Norman Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 105 0 56 49 105 84 21 88 17Tendring Group 06 ( Manningtree and surrounds ) Total 855 19 739 116 855 808 47 865 -10Other - not grouped

5217 - St Osyth Church of England Primary School F CE N 315 0 301 14 315 321 -6 354 -39Other New Housing Potential Pupils - Tendring 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 -7

Tendring Total 10,170 312 9,318 852 10,185 9,928 257 10,570 -385

North East Essex Quadrant Total 24,808 981 22,604 2,204 25,435 24,856 579 26,578 -1,143

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South Essex Quadrant - Basildon District

Basildon Group 01 ( Billericay ) Forecast Planning Group:

2015 - Brightside Primary School C N 420 60 388 32 450 415 35 417 335236 - Buttsbury Infant School F N 360 90 360 0 360 341 19 341 195238 - Buttsbury Junior School A N 496 46 492 4 496 480 16 480 162541 - Quilters Infant School F N 174 0 179 -5 174 162 12 168 62181 - Quilters Junior School F N 256 0 252 4 256 252 4 260 -42911 - South Green Infant School F Y 180 0 181 -1 180 169 11 175 52681 - South Green Junior School F N 240 0 213 27 240 241 -1 249 -93471 - St Peter's Catholic Primary School VA RC N 420 0 419 1 420 423 -3 423 -32671 - Sunnymede Infant School F N 210 0 200 10 189 166 23 166 232601 - Sunnymede Junior School F N 256 0 210 46 278 242 36 242 36Basildon Group 01 ( Billericay ) Total 3,012 196 2,894 118 3,043 2,891 152 2,921 122Basildon Group 02 ( Wickford / Runwell ) Forecast Planning Group:

3257 - Abacus Primary School C N 315 0 285 30 315 323 -8 362 -472005 - Grange Primary School C N 315 0 310 5 315 308 7 308 72548 - Hilltop Infant School C N 225 0 225 0 225 225 0 231 -62891 - Hilltop Junior School A N 360 30 273 87 360 319 41 327 335202 - North Crescent Primary School F N 262 0 203 59 262 216 46 236 262004 - Oakfield Primary School C N 420 0 413 7 420 420 0 459 -392901 - Runwell Community Primary School A N 210 0 225 -15 210 235 -25 279 -693101 - The Wickford Church of England School A CE N 135 0 135 0 135 135 0 135 02281 - The Wickford Infant School C N 180 0 180 0 180 180 0 187 -72271 - Wickford Junior School C N 384 0 367 17 384 384 0 394 -10Basildon Group 02 ( Wickford / Runwell ) Total 2,806 30 2,616 190 2,806 2,745 61 2,918 -112Basildon Group 03 ( Basildon central ) Forecast Planning Group:

3255 - Bardfield Primary and Nursery School C Y 361 0 321 40 402 370 32 371 313253 - Cherry Tree Primary School, Basildon C Y 420 0 275 145 420 378 42 378 422591 - Fairhouse Community Infant School C N 180 0 179 1 180 200 -20 202 -222581 - Fairhouse Community Junior School C N 240 0 221 19 240 239 1 241 -12621 - Ghyllgrove Community Infant School C Y 168 0 166 2 168 180 -12 180 -122611 - Ghyllgrove Community Junior School C N 210 0 199 11 224 224 0 224 02481 - Greensted Infant School and Nursery C Y 180 30 176 4 180 191 -11 191 -112023 - Greensted Junior School A N 240 0 231 9 240 240 0 240 05227 - Kingswood Infant and Nursery School F Y 180 30 179 1 180 184 -4 199 -195228 - The Kingswood Junior School F N 243 3 240 3 243 239 4 259 -162686 - Ryedene Community Primary School C Y 210 30 217 -7 210 216 -6 216 -63421 - St Teresa's Catholic Primary School, Basildon [2091 - (Academy) in 2013/14] VA RC N 210 0 177 33 210 188 22 188 222261 - Vange Primary School and Nursery C Y 105 0 89 16 105 106 -1 108 -32301 - Whitmore Primary School C Y 456 0 398 58 525 512 13 663 -1382014 - The Willows Primary School C Y 525 0 439 86 525 519 6 565 -40Basildon Group 03 ( Basildon central ) Total 3,928 93 3,507 421 4,052 3,986 66 4,225 -173Basildon Group 04 ( Laindon / Langdon Hills ) Forecast Planning Group:

2598 - Great Berry Primary School A N 420 0 435 -15 420 422 -2 428 -8

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2781 - Janet Duke Primary School C N 630 0 580 50 630 624 6 642 -122191 - Laindon Park Primary School C Y 140 0 139 1 140 143 -3 143 -32578 - Lee Chapel Primary School A N 452 0 478 -26 630 620 10 620 103781 - Lincewood Primary School C N 420 30 417 3 420 419 1 420 03252 - Merrylands Primary School C N 473 60 460 13 473 474 -1 483 -102616 - Millhouse Infant School and Nursery C Y 270 0 266 4 270 270 0 273 -32606 - Millhouse Junior School C N 320 0 257 63 320 359 -39 362 -422568 - Noak Bridge Primary School C N 210 10 206 4 210 210 0 213 -33782 - The Phoenix Primary School C Y 420 0 258 162 420 326 94 351 693451 - St Anne Line Catholic Infant School VA RC N 180 0 180 0 180 180 0 180 03431 - St Anne Line Catholic Junior School VA RC N 240 0 264 -24 240 256 -16 256 -16Basildon Group 04 ( Laindon / Langdon Hills ) Total 4,175 100 3,940 235 4,353 4,303 50 4,371 -18Basildon Group 05 ( Pitsea / Bowers Gifford ) Forecast Planning Group:

2024 - Briscoe Primary Academy A Y 315 0 191 124 315 258 57 260 552798 - Eversley Primary School C N 420 24 403 17 420 419 1 419 13825 - Felmore Primary School C N 420 0 432 -12 420 432 -12 433 -132241 - The Len Wastell Infant School C N 135 0 135 0 135 135 0 140 -52786 - Northlands Infant School and Nursery C Y 216 0 191 25 225 238 -13 238 -135203 - Northlands Junior School F N 278 0 243 35 278 282 -4 282 -42231 - Pitsea Junior School C N 180 11 152 28 180 177 3 184 -43401 - St Margaret's Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, Bowers Gifford VA CE N 315 105 227 88 315 200 115 200 115Basildon Group 05 ( Pitsea / Bowers Gifford ) Total 2,279 140 1,974 305 2,288 2,141 147 2,156 132Other - not grouped

2251 - Crays Hill Primary School C N 105 0 70 35 105 87 18 88 17Basildon Total 16,305 559 15,001 1,304 16,647 16,153 494 16,679 -32

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South Essex Quadrant - Brentwood District

Brentwood Group 01 ( Brentwood Town ) Forecast Planning Group:

3402 - Bentley St Paul's Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 210 0 210 0 210 210 0 210 02838 - Hogarth Primary School C N 240 0 212 28 240 224 16 229 112013 - Holly Trees Primary School C N 420 0 387 33 420 508 -88 533 -1135218 - Hutton All Saints' Church of England Primary School A CE N 231 0 228 3 231 227 4 227 42009 - Larchwood Primary School C N 210 0 179 31 210 207 3 241 -312588 - Long Ridings Primary School C N 420 0 407 13 420 428 -8 431 -115253 - St Helen’s Catholic Junior School Academy A RC N 369 0 344 25 369 367 2 367 25267 - St Helen's Catholic Infant School VA RC N 270 0 270 0 270 270 0 270 03612 - St Joseph the Worker Catholic Primary School VA RC N 210 0 206 4 210 207 3 207 33452 - St Mary's Church of England (Voluntary Aided )Primary School, Shenfield A CE N 392 14 392 0 392 392 0 392 03462 - St Peter's Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, South Weald VA CE N 315 46 317 -2 315 317 -2 318 -33622 - St Thomas of Canterbury Church of England (Aided) Infant School, Brentwood VA CE N 225 0 224 1 225 225 0 225 03592 - St Thomas of Canterbury Church of England (Aided) Junior School, Brentwood VA CE N 300 0 309 -9 300 303 -3 303 -32919 - Warley Primary School C N 210 0 172 38 210 204 6 204 62918 - Willowbrook Primary School C N 210 0 198 12 210 208 2 251 -41Brentwood Group 01 ( Brentwood Town ) Total 4,232 60 4,055 177 4,232 4,297 -65 4,408 -176Brentwood Group 02 ( Ingatestone / Mountnessing ) Forecast Planning Group:

3780 - Ingatestone and Fryerning Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Junior School VA CE N 192 0 188 4 192 183 9 187 52599 - Ingatestone Infant School C N 135 0 115 20 135 97 38 100 353221 - Mountnessing Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 105 15 87 18 105 72 33 72 33Brentwood Group 02 ( Ingatestone / Mountnessing ) Total 432 15 390 42 432 352 80 359 73Brentwood Group 03 ( Doddinghurst / Kelvedon Hatch ) Forecast Planning Group:

2640 - Blackmore Primary School C N 175 25 158 17 175 167 8 168 73237 - Doddinghurst Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Junior School VC CE N 240 0 230 10 240 197 43 197 432729 - Doddinghurst Infant School C N 188 0 156 32 188 156 32 156 322680 - Kelvedon Hatch Community Primary School C N 210 0 166 44 210 154 56 155 55Brentwood Group 03 ( Doddinghurst / Kelvedon Hatch ) Total 813 25 710 103 813 674 139 676 137Other - not grouped

3422 - Ingrave Johnstone Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 218 18 219 -1 218 203 15 204 142624 - West Horndon Primary School C N 105 0 110 -5 105 104 1 105 0

Brentwood Total 5,800 118 5,484 316 5,800 5,630 170 5,752 48

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South Essex Quadrant - Castle Point District

Castle Point Group 01 ( Canvey Island ) Forecast Planning Group:

2751 - Canvey Island Infant School C N 180 0 180 0 180 179 1 181 -12311 - Canvey Junior School C N 256 0 230 26 256 240 16 243 132321 - Leigh Beck Infant School and Nursery C Y 270 0 263 7 270 270 0 271 -12981 - Leigh Beck Junior School C N 360 0 363 -3 360 357 3 358 22557 - Lubbins Park Community Primary School C Y 210 30 155 55 210 186 24 192 183834 - Northwick Park Primary School F Y 432 0 401 31 432 398 34 398 343411 - St Joseph's Catholic Primary School, Canvey Island VA RC N 210 0 202 8 210 210 0 210 05224 - St Katherine's Church of England Primary School F CE Y 210 0 208 2 210 210 0 210 02998 - William Read Primary School C N 420 48 394 26 420 367 53 389 313838 - Winter Gardens Primary School C N 420 0 407 13 420 421 -1 421 -1Castle Point Group 01 ( Canvey Island ) Total 2,968 78 2,803 165 2,968 2,838 130 2,873 95Castle Point Group 02 ( Thundersley ) Forecast Planning Group:

2696 - Kingston Primary School A N 210 0 211 -1 210 207 3 207 32896 - Montgomerie Primary School C N 350 0 203 147 350 213 137 213 1375243 - The Robert Drake Primary School A N 315 0 314 1 315 307 8 307 83835 - Thundersley Primary School C N 420 0 365 55 420 334 86 356 642136 - Woodham Ley Primary School C N 210 0 148 62 210 158 52 159 51Castle Point Group 02 ( Thundersley ) Total 1,505 0 1,241 264 1,505 1,219 286 1,242 263Castle Point Group 03 ( Hadleigh ) Forecast Planning Group:

5254 - Hadleigh Infant and Nursery School A Y 270 0 254 16 270 253 17 268 25251 - Hadleigh Junior School A N 360 0 298 62 360 327 33 347 132915 - Westwood Academy A N 262 0 205 57 262 159 103 197 65Castle Point Group 03 ( Hadleigh ) Total 892 0 757 135 892 739 153 812 80Castle Point Group 04 ( Benfleet ) Forecast Planning Group:

3441 - Holy Family Catholic Primary School, Benfleet VA RC N 210 0 207 3 210 208 2 208 25211 - Jotmans Hall Primary School A N 288 0 271 17 288 247 41 265 232971 - Kents Hill Infant Academy A N 270 0 261 9 270 258 12 264 62811 - Kents Hill Junior School A N 360 0 345 15 360 342 18 350 105222 - South Benfleet Primary School A N 420 0 411 9 420 411 9 423 -3Castle Point Group 04 ( Benfleet ) Total 1,548 0 1,495 53 1,548 1,466 82 1,510 38

Castle Point Total 6,913 78 6,296 617 6,913 6,262 651 6,437 476

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South Essex Quadrant - Rochford District

Rochford Group 01 ( Rayleigh ) Forecast Planning Group:

2656 - Down Hall Primary School C N 315 0 291 24 315 288 27 290 252821 - Edward Francis Primary School C N 420 0 417 3 420 413 7 436 -162551 - Glebe Infant School and Unit for Hearing Impaired C Y 210 0 185 25 210 184 26 196 142731 - Glebe Junior School and Unit for Hearing Impaired C N 270 0 224 46 270 259 11 276 -63833 - Grove Wood Primary School F U N 630 0 604 26 630 622 8 624 63461 - Our Lady of Ransom Catholic Primary School VA RC N 420 0 414 6 420 418 2 418 22999 - Rayleigh Primary School A Y 420 0 415 5 420 419 1 430 -103102 - St Nicholas' Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School, Rayleigh VC CE N 119 0 124 -5 140 114 26 115 255262 - Wyburns Primary School F N 240 0 211 29 240 239 1 243 -3Rochford Group 01 ( Rayleigh ) Total 3,044 0 2,885 159 3,065 2,956 109 3,028 37Rochford Group 02 ( Rochford ) Forecast Planning Group:

2521 - Holt Farm Infant School C N 270 0 219 51 270 262 8 291 -212701 - Holt Farm Junior School C N 360 60 267 93 360 312 48 351 95275 - Rochford Primary & Nursery School F Y 189 0 200 -11 210 211 -1 343 -1333467 - St Teresa's Catholic Primary School, Hawkwell VA RC N 210 0 198 12 210 209 1 209 12431 - Stambridge Primary School C N 84 0 68 16 84 77 7 85 -12666 - Waterman Primary School C N 90 0 71 19 105 103 2 104 1Rochford Group 02 ( Rochford ) Total 1,203 60 1,023 180 1,239 1,174 65 1,383 -144Rochford Group 03 ( Hockley ) Forecast Planning Group:

5235 - Ashingdon Primary Academy A N 200 0 211 -11 200 203 -3 205 -55247 - Hockley Primary School F N 306 0 284 22 306 288 18 302 45233 - Plumberow Primary School A N 650 30 649 1 650 610 40 613 375232 - Westerings Primary Academy A N 224 0 202 22 224 172 52 180 44Rochford Group 03 ( Hockley ) Total 1,380 30 1,346 34 1,380 1,273 107 1,300 80Rochford Group 04 ( Barling / Gt Wakering ) Forecast Planning Group:

2361 - Barling Magna Community Primary School C N 175 0 156 19 175 157 18 157 182130 - Great Wakering Primary School C N 420 8 385 35 420 395 25 412 8Rochford Group 04 ( Barling / Gt Wakering ) Total 595 8 541 54 595 552 43 569 26Other - not grouped

3103 - Canewdon Endowed Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 157 0 116 41 157 94 63 95 623840 - Riverside Primary School C N 454 0 291 163 454 311 143 314 140

Rochford Total 6,833 98 6,202 631 6,890 6,360 530 6,689 201

South Essex Quadrant Total 35,851 853 32,983 2,868 36,250 34,405 1,845 35,557 693

Appendices





of 2012/13

Designated Nursery

Class


Temporary places


Number on Roll

May 2013


Future Net

Capacity


2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including



adj for new housing

West Essex Quadrant - Epping Forest District

Epping Forest Group 01 ( Ongar ) Forecast Planning Group:

2685 - Chipping Ongar Primary School C N 210 0 160 50 210 178 32 183 273238 - Dr Walker's Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School, Fyfield VC CE N 161 41 126 35 161 125 36 126 352660 - High Ongar Primary School C N 140 20 150 -10 140 140 0 144 -43239 - Matching Green Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 70 0 75 -5 70 69 1 70 03670 - Moreton Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 202 0 177 25 202 195 7 198 42840 - Shelley Primary School C N 180 0 76 104 175 111 64 111 645241 - St Andrew's Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, North Weald VA CE N 297 0 198 99 297 275 22 287 10Epping Forest Group 01 ( Ongar ) Total 1,260 61 962 298 1,255 1,093 162 1,119 136Epping Forest Group 02 ( Epping ) Forecast Planning Group: *

3123 - Coopersale and Theydon Garnon Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 204 0 168 36 204 205 -1 207 -33837 - Epping Primary School C N 420 0 419 1 420 480 -60 513 -933125 - Epping Upland Church of England Primary School VC CE N 168 0 137 31 210 197 13 199 112823 - Ivy Chimneys Primary School C N 315 0 277 38 315 312 3 314 1Epping Forest Group 02 ( Epping ) Total 1,107 0 1,001 106 1,149 1,194 -45 1,233 -84Epping Forest Group 03 ( Waltham Abbey ) Forecast Planning Group:

3124 - High Beech Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 105 0 104 1 105 100 5 133 -283256 - Hillhouse Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 280 0 233 47 315 278 37 278 375239 - The Leverton Infant and Nursery School F Y 180 14 175 5 180 180 0 181 -15242 - The Leverton Junior School F N 240 0 250 -10 240 235 5 236 45270 - Upshire Primary Foundation School F N 210 0 189 21 210 203 7 205 55246 - Waltham Holy Cross Infant School F N 270 0 265 5 270 270 0 272 -22617 - Waltham Holy Cross Junior School C N 360 0 336 24 360 358 2 361 -1Epping Forest Group 03 ( Waltham Abbey ) Total 1,645 14 1,552 93 1,680 1,624 56 1,666 14Epping Forest Group 04 ( Buckhurst Hill / Loughton South ) Forecast Planning Group:

2973 - Buckhurst Hill Community Primary School C N 435 0 362 73 420 420 0 422 -23122 - St John's Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School, Buckhurst Hill VC CE N 444 0 363 81 420 436 -16 441 -212503 - The White Bridge Community Infant School C N 210 30 188 22 189 191 -2 192 -32493 - The White Bridge Junior School C N 243 0 235 8 270 265 5 266 4Epping Forest Group 04 ( Buckhurst Hill / Loughton South ) Total 1,332 30 1,148 184 1,299 1,312 -13 1,321 -22Epping Forest Group 05 ( Chigwell / Lambourne ) Forecast Planning Group:

2303 - Chigwell Primary School C N 270 0 258 12 270 256 14 266 42323 - Chigwell Row Infant School C N 78 20 74 4 78 72 6 72 62690 - Lambourne Primary School C N 216 36 186 30 216 195 21 197 192707 - Limes Farm Infant School and Nursery C Y 166 30 124 42 166 130 36 133 332647 - Limes Farm Junior School C N 240 0 132 108 240 207 33 210 30Epping Forest Group 05 ( Chigwell / Lambourne ) Total 970 86 774 196 970 860 110 878 92Epping Forest Group 06 ( Loughton ) Forecast Planning Group:

2483 - The Alderton Infant School * C N 189 0 200 -11 180 270 -90 276 -962473 - The Alderton Junior School * C N 260 0 225 35 252 270 -18 278 -262655 - Hereward Primary School C Y 330 0 319 11 420 412 8 414 65255 - St John Fisher Catholic Primary School VA RC N 420 0 410 10 420 416 4 416 43841 - Staples Road Primary School * C N 525 0 521 4 525 533 -8 539 -14

Appendices





of 2012/13

Designated Nursery

Class


Temporary places


Number on Roll

May 2013


Future Net

Capacity


2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including



adj for new housing

5269 - Thomas Willingale School F Y 420 0 376 44 420 415 5 428 -8Epping Forest Group 06 ( Loughton ) Total 2,144 0 2,051 93 2,217 2,316 -99 2,351 -134Other - not grouped

2733 - Nazeing Primary School C N 300 60 260 40 300 245 55 249 512583 - Roydon Primary School [2035 - (Academy) in 2013/14] C N 210 60 189 21 210 198 12 199 113131 - Sheering Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 105 0 107 -2 105 109 -4 111 -62700 - Stapleford Abbotts Primary School C N 157 67 143 14 157 133 24 135 222873 - Theydon Bois Primary School C N 315 0 307 8 315 312 3 313 2

Epping Forest Total 9,545 378 8,494 1,051 9,657 9,396 261 9,575 82

Appendices





of 2012/13

Designated Nursery

Class


Temporary places


Number on Roll

May 2013


Future Net

Capacity


2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including



adj for new housing

West Essex Quadrant - Harlow District

Harlow Group 01 ( Potter Street / Old Harlow / Church Langley ) Forecast Planning Group: *

2082 - Church Langley Community Primary School C N 510 90 489 21 510 519 -9 519 -93501 - Churchgate Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, Harlow VA CE N 210 30 198 12 210 210 0 210 03128 - Fawbert and Barnard (UNDL) Primary School VC N 210 90 207 3 210 209 1 220 -102983 - Harlowbury Primary School C N 210 30 161 49 210 224 -14 491 -2813250 - The Henry Moore Primary School F N 570 150 555 15 570 570 0 570 02995 - Potter Street Primary School [2079 - (Academy) in 2013/14] F N 210 0 166 44 210 281 -71 290 -80Harlow Group 01 ( Potter Street / Old Harlow / Church Langley ) Total 1,920 390 1,776 144 1,920 2,013 -93 2,300 -380Harlow Group 02 ( Latton Bush / Tye Green ) Forecast Planning Group:

2803 - Abbotsweld Primary School C N 330 0 270 60 330 332 -2 332 -25278 - Holy Cross Catholic Primary Academy, Harlow * A RC N 218 0 209 9 218 225 -7 225 -72795 - Latton Green Primary School C N 210 0 211 -1 210 213 -3 213 -32785 - Pear Tree Mead Primary and Nursery School C Y 315 0 296 19 315 315 0 319 -42753 - Purford Green Primary School [2092 - (Academy) in 2013/14] C N 210 0 202 8 210 208 2 208 23133 - William Martin Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Infant and Nursery School, Harlow VC CE Y 180 0 179 1 180 182 -2 182 -23132 - William Martin Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Junior School, Harlow VC CE N 240 30 238 2 240 241 -1 242 -2Harlow Group 02 ( Latton Bush / Tye Green ) Total 1,703 30 1,605 98 1,703 1,716 -13 1,721 -18Harlow Group 03 ( Mark Hall / Netteswell ) Forecast Planning Group:

2675 - Broadfields Primary School [2033 - Freshwaters Primary Academy in 2013/14] C Y 270 0 246 24 300 306 -6 320 -202643 - Cooks Spinney Primary School [2094 - (Academy) in 2013/14] C Y 461 41 347 114 461 499 -38 499 -382833 - The Downs Primary School and Nursery * F Y 240 30 222 18 270 298 -28 308 -385234 - St Alban's Catholic Academy A RC N 210 0 208 2 210 210 0 210 02665 - Tany's Dell Community Primary School C Y 420 0 253 167 420 407 13 407 13Harlow Group 03 ( Mark Hall / Netteswell ) Total 1,601 71 1,276 325 1,661 1,720 -59 1,744 -83Harlow Group 04 ( Great Parndon ) Forecast Planning Group:

2853 - Jerounds Community Infant School C N 180 0 180 0 180 180 0 180 02843 - Jerounds Community Junior School C N 240 0 227 13 240 240 0 240 05205 - Katherines Primary School F Y 308 0 288 20 308 307 1 307 13493 - St Luke's Catholic Primary School [2046 - (Academy) in 2013/14] VA RC N 210 0 199 11 210 210 0 210 0Harlow Group 04 ( Great Parndon ) Total 938 0 894 44 938 937 1 937 1Harlow Group 05 ( Kingsmoor / Stewards ) Forecast Planning Group:

2031 - Kingsmoor Primary School A N 210 0 193 17 210 221 -11 221 -112019 - Longwood Primary School * C Y 277 0 229 48 270 286 -16 286 -162625 - Milwards Primary School and Nursery F Y 210 30 211 -1 210 216 -6 216 -63503 - St James' Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, Harlow VA CE N 208 0 184 24 208 209 -1 209 -13248 - Water Lane Primary School C N 189 0 180 9 189 199 -10 199 -10Harlow Group 05 ( Kingsmoor / Stewards ) Total 1,094 30 997 97 1,087 1,131 -44 1,131 -44Harlow Group 06 ( Hare Street / Little Parndon ) Forecast Planning Group: *

3254 - Hare Street Community Primary School and Nursery C Y 420 30 412 8 420 450 -30 450 -303249 - Little Parndon Primary School F N 420 0 390 30 420 590 -170 626 -206Harlow Group 06 ( Hare Street / Little Parndon ) Total 840 30 802 38 840 1,040 -200 1,076 -236Other - not grouped

Other New Housing Potential Pupils - Harlow 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 -14

Appendices





of 2012/13

Designated Nursery

Class


Temporary places


Number on Roll

May 2013


Future Net

Capacity


2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including



adj for new housing

Harlow Total 8,096 551 7,350 746 8,149 8,557 -408 8,923 -774

Appendices





of 2012/13

Designated Nursery

Class


Temporary places


Number on Roll

May 2013


Future Net

Capacity


2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including



adj for new housing

West Essex Quadrant - Uttlesford District

Uttlesford Group 01 ( Sampfords / Thaxted / Wimbish ) Forecast Planning Group:

3243 - Debden Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 161 14 145 16 161 151 10 151 102730 - Great Sampford Community Primary School C N 105 0 107 -2 105 101 4 101 43730 - Radwinter Church of England Primary School VA CE N 105 15 104 1 105 82 23 89 165248 - Thaxted Primary School F N 266 0 245 21 266 221 45 249 172770 - Wimbish Primary School C N 89 0 52 37 89 56 33 56 33Uttlesford Group 01 ( Sampfords / Thaxted / Wimbish ) Total 726 29 653 73 726 611 115 646 80Uttlesford Group 02 ( Saffron Walden ) Forecast Planning Group:

2717 - Katherine Semar Infant School C N 173 0 180 -7 173 172 1 181 -82687 - Katherine Semar Junior School C N 237 0 210 27 237 235 2 246 -95263 - R A Butler Infant School A N 225 0 223 2 225 219 6 246 -215264 - R A Butler Junior School A N 300 0 300 0 300 297 3 333 -333430 - St Mary's Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, Saffron Walden VA CE N 180 0 146 34 210 146 64 149 615223 - St Thomas More Catholic Primary School, Saffron Walden A RC N 210 0 209 1 210 208 2 208 2Uttlesford Group 02 ( Saffron Walden ) Total 1,325 0 1,268 57 1,355 1,277 78 1,363 -8Uttlesford Group 03 ( Stansted ) Forecast Planning Group:

2747 - Bentfield Primary School C Y 210 0 204 6 210 254 -44 293 -833241 - Birchanger Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 105 16 96 9 120 122 -2 122 -23244 - Elsenham Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) Primary School VC CE N 210 30 180 30 210 199 11 268 -582740 - Henham And Ugley Primary & Nursery School C Y 210 30 183 27 210 195 15 200 102750 - Manuden Primary School C N 95 0 104 -9 95 105 -10 107 -125229 - St Mary's Church of England (Foundation) Primary School, Stansted F CE N 290 0 209 81 315 306 9 345 -30Uttlesford Group 03 ( Stansted ) Total 1,120 76 976 144 1,160 1,181 -21 1,335 -175Uttlesford Group 04 ( Dunmow ) Forecast Planning Group:

5259 - Dunmow St Mary's Primary School F CE N 432 0 398 34 432 420 12 497 -655258 - Great Dunmow Primary School F N 420 0 403 17 420 427 -7 504 -843570 - Great Easton Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 140 20 154 -14 140 143 -3 144 -4Uttlesford Group 04 ( Dunmow ) Total 992 20 955 37 992 990 2 1,145 -153Uttlesford Group 05 ( Hatfield / Roding ) Forecast Planning Group:

2520 - Hatfield Heath Community Primary School C N 210 30 211 -1 210 213 -3 213 -33610 - Little Hallingbury Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 140 0 154 -14 140 132 8 132 85226 - Rodings Primary School F N 210 0 225 -15 210 209 1 216 -63580 - St Mary's Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School, Hatfield Broad Oak VA CE N 105 0 112 -7 105 98 7 98 7Uttlesford Group 05 ( Hatfield / Roding ) Total 665 30 702 -37 665 652 13 659 6Uttlesford Group 06 ( Clavering / Newport / Rickling ) Forecast Planning Group:

2720 - Clavering Primary School C N 175 0 170 5 175 180 -5 183 -82760 - Newport Primary School C N 168 0 129 39 175 171 4 187 -123247 - Rickling Church of England (Voluntary Aided) Primary School VA CE N 105 0 101 4 105 108 -3 108 -3Uttlesford Group 06 ( Clavering / Newport / Rickling ) Total 448 0 400 48 455 459 -4 478 -23Uttlesford Group 07 ( Felsted ) Forecast Planning Group:

2510 - Felsted Primary School C N 262 142 219 43 262 206 56 206 563832 - The Flitch Green Academy A N 210 0 207 3 240 256 -16 256 -16

Appendices





of 2012/13

Designated Nursery

Class


Temporary places


Number on Roll

May 2013


Future Net

Capacity


2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including



adj for new housing

2550 - Stebbing Primary School C N 105 15 129 -24 105 104 1 106 -1Uttlesford Group 07 ( Felsted ) Total 577 157 555 22 607 566 41 568 39Other - not grouped

2710 - Ashdon Primary School C N 105 15 110 -5 105 87 18 87 183795 - Chrishall Holy Trinity And St Nicholas Church of England Primary School VA CE N 105 0 103 2 105 95 10 95 103700 - Farnham Church of England Primary School VA CE N 54 30 29 25 54 21 33 21 333710 - Great Chesterford CE Primary Academy A CE N 210 0 209 1 210 198 12 209 15214 - Takeley Primary School * F N 318 0 256 62 420 414 6 528 -108Other New Housing Potential Pupils - Uttlesford 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 41 -41

Uttlesford Total 6,645 357 6,216 429 6,854 6,551 303 7,175 -321

West Essex Quadrant Total 24,286 1,286 22,060 2,226 24,660 24,504 156 25,673 -1,013

Essex Primary Total 115,770 4,477 105,741 10,029 117,574 113,240 4,334 118,653 -1,079

[Notes:* Further information relating to this school or planning group is given in the Commentary at Section B of this document.** School Types are A: Academy, C: Community, F: Foundation, VA: Voluntary Aided, VC: Voluntary Controlled with denomination CE: Church of England, RC: Roman Catholic, M: Multi, U: Undenominational*** Net Capacity - for a school this column shows net capacity and for an academy it shows the total number of pupil places available as recorded in the funding agreement.]

Appendices


Appendix 1a - Table 2: Primary Forecast Planning Group Summary - with NOR at May 2013 and Forecasts for 2013/14 to 2017/18

Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6

Total inc adj for new housing

Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Quadrant Mid EssexDistrict Braintree

Braintree Primary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Witham / Rivenhall

2015/16 357 355 329 334 306 274 306 2,261 2,294 1262,420 347

2016/17 347 357 355 329 334 306 274 2,302 2,360 602,420 3472017/18 347 347 357 355 329 334 306 2,375 2,473 -532,420 347

2012/13 334 306 274 306 274 256 250 2,000 2,000 2582,258 317

2013/14 329 334 306 274 306 274 256 2,079 2,083 3072,390 3472014/15 355 329 334 306 274 306 274 2,178 2,196 2242,420 347

Braintree Primary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Kelvedon / Feering

2015/16 128 117 115 122 143 127 125 877 881 14895 128

2016/17 120 128 117 115 122 143 127 872 877 18895 1282017/18 122 120 128 117 115 122 143 867 874 21895 128

2012/13 122 143 127 125 125 131 115 888 888 7895 128

2013/14 115 122 143 127 125 125 131 888 890 5895 1282014/15 117 115 122 143 127 125 125 874 876 19895 128

Braintree Primary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Halstead / Gosfield

2015/16 163 141 141 158 156 154 138 1,051 1,062 41,066 140

2016/17 137 163 141 141 158 156 154 1,050 1,067 -11,066 1402017/18 138 137 163 141 141 158 156 1,034 1,061 51,066 140

2012/13 158 156 154 138 140 155 138 1,039 1,039 271,066 145

2013/14 141 158 156 154 138 140 155 1,042 1,047 191,066 1452014/15 141 141 158 156 154 138 140 1,028 1,036 301,066 140

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Braintree Primary Forecast Planning Group 04 - Hedingham

2015/16 65 58 50 62 55 54 62 406 427 13440 65

2016/17 55 65 58 50 62 55 54 399 432 8440 652017/18 61 55 65 58 50 62 55 406 452 -12440 65

2012/13 62 55 54 62 63 56 55 407 407 33440 65

2013/14 50 62 55 54 62 63 56 402 404 36440 652014/15 58 50 62 55 54 62 63 404 412 28440 65

Braintree Primary Forecast Planning Group 05 - Finchingfield / Bardfield / Wethersfield

2015/16 37 32 34 37 38 39 40 257 261 67328 46

2016/17 36 37 32 34 37 38 39 253 258 70328 462017/18 36 36 37 32 34 37 38 250 255 73328 46

2012/13 37 38 39 40 32 41 30 257 257 69326 46

2013/14 34 37 38 39 40 32 41 261 264 64328 462014/15 32 34 37 38 39 40 32 252 256 72328 46

Braintree Primary Forecast Planning Group 06 - Braintree town and surrounds

2015/16 708 776 747 728 711 666 696 5,032 5,104 -25,102 723

2016/17 723 708 776 747 728 711 666 5,059 5,153 -515,102 7232017/18 729 723 708 776 747 728 711 5,122 5,237 -1355,102 723

2012/13 728 711 666 696 692 648 659 4,800 4,800 2225,022 705

2013/14 747 728 711 666 696 692 648 4,888 4,918 1555,073 7252014/15 776 747 728 711 666 696 692 5,016 5,062 405,102 723

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Braintree Primary Forecast Planning Group 07 - Earls Colne / Colne Engaine

2015/16 50 59 50 52 58 69 55 393 394 127521 76

2016/17 58 50 59 50 52 58 69 396 400 121521 762017/18 58 58 50 59 50 52 58 385 390 131521 76

2012/13 52 58 69 55 55 67 52 408 408 113521 76

2013/14 50 52 58 69 55 55 67 406 407 114521 762014/15 59 50 52 58 69 55 55 398 399 122521 76

Braintree Primary Forecast Planning Group 08 - Braintree rural north

2015/16 74 87 96 100 96 103 98 654 663 194857 122

2016/17 58 74 87 96 100 96 103 614 626 231857 1222017/18 73 58 74 87 96 100 96 584 598 259857 122

2012/13 100 96 103 98 97 104 85 683 683 174857 122

2013/14 96 100 96 103 98 97 104 694 697 160857 1222014/15 87 96 100 96 103 98 97 677 683 174857 122

Braintree Primary Forecast Planning Group 09 - Cressing / Silver End

2015/16 85 64 67 67 67 54 63 467 468 -2466 65

2016/17 79 85 64 67 67 67 54 483 487 -21466 652017/18 80 79 85 64 67 67 67 509 514 -48466 65

2012/13 67 67 54 63 64 54 53 422 422 44466 65

2013/14 67 67 67 54 63 64 54 436 436 30466 652014/15 64 67 67 67 54 63 64 446 447 19466 65

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Braintree Primary Forecast Planning Group 10 - Hatfield Peverel / Terling

2015/16 75 75 75 75 75 71 74 520 521 4525 75

2016/17 57 75 75 75 75 75 71 503 505 20525 752017/18 71 57 75 75 75 75 75 503 505 20525 75

2012/13 75 75 71 74 77 70 65 507 507 18525 75

2013/14 75 75 75 71 74 77 70 517 517 8525 752014/15 75 75 75 75 71 74 77 522 522 3525 75

Summary for Braintree District

2015/16 1,742 1,764 1,704 1,735 1,705 1,611 1,657 11,918 12,075 54512,561 1,7872016/17 1,670 1,742 1,764 1,704 1,735 1,705 1,611 11,931 12,165 45512,561 1,787

2017/18 1,715 1,670 1,742 1,764 1,704 1,735 1,705 12,035 12,359 26112,620 1,787

2012/13 1,735 1,705 1,611 1,657 1,619 1,582 1,502 11,411 11,411 96512,376 1,744

2013/14 1,704 1,735 1,705 1,611 1,657 1,619 1,582 11,613 11,663 89812,561 1,7942014/15 1,764 1,704 1,735 1,705 1,611 1,657 1,619 11,795 11,889 73112,561 1,787

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Quadrant Mid EssexDistrict Chelmsford

Chelmsford Primary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Leighs / Waltham / Ford End

2015/16 84 86 83 96 84 95 81 609 662 -42620 86

2016/17 66 84 86 84 96 84 95 595 658 -38620 862017/18 79 66 84 87 84 96 84 580 663 -43620 86

2012/13 95 83 94 81 76 84 80 593 593 27620 86

2013/14 83 95 83 95 81 76 84 597 597 23620 862014/15 86 83 95 84 95 81 76 600 627 -7620 86

Chelmsford Primary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Rettendon / West Hanningfield

2015/16 27 31 33 34 33 27 26 211 281 -50231 35

2016/17 28 28 31 33 34 33 27 214 322 -91231 352017/18 28 28 29 31 33 34 33 216 361 -130231 35

2012/13 34 33 27 24 31 34 25 208 208 23231 33

2013/14 32 34 33 27 25 32 34 217 227 4231 332014/15 31 33 34 33 27 26 32 216 254 -23231 35

Chelmsford Primary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Springfield

2015/16 504 450 463 455 460 484 439 3,255 3,347 -1653,182 450

2016/17 492 504 450 463 455 460 484 3,308 3,481 -2993,182 4502017/18 484 492 504 456 463 455 460 3,314 3,585 -4033,182 450

2012/13 449 453 477 438 424 394 384 3,019 3,019 1933,212 450

2013/14 463 449 453 483 439 426 395 3,108 3,113 1143,227 4502014/15 450 463 449 460 484 439 426 3,171 3,202 -203,182 450

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Chelmsford Primary Forecast Planning Group 04 - Baddow / Moulsham / Galleywood

2015/16 618 540 540 589 492 490 454 3,723 3,807 1303,937 560

2016/17 571 618 540 542 589 492 490 3,842 3,963 -263,937 5602017/18 576 571 618 542 542 589 492 3,930 4,085 -1483,937 560

2012/13 587 490 488 454 504 477 472 3,472 3,472 2753,747 560

2013/14 540 587 490 490 454 505 477 3,543 3,566 1813,747 5602014/15 540 540 587 492 490 454 505 3,608 3,663 2743,937 560

Chelmsford Primary Forecast Planning Group 05 - Broomfield / Melbourne

2015/16 295 282 275 271 268 256 274 1,921 2,049 -352,014 283

2016/17 279 295 282 275 271 268 256 1,926 2,123 -1092,014 2832017/18 282 279 295 282 275 271 268 1,952 2,215 -2012,014 283

2012/13 271 268 256 274 259 256 222 1,806 1,806 2082,014 283

2013/14 275 271 268 256 274 259 256 1,859 1,876 1382,014 2832014/15 282 275 271 268 256 274 259 1,885 1,954 602,014 283

Chelmsford Primary Forecast Planning Group 06 - Danbury / Bicknacre / East Hanningfield

2015/16 85 86 95 103 99 115 115 698 709 109818 114

2016/17 94 85 86 95 103 99 115 677 689 129818 1142017/18 95 94 85 86 95 103 99 657 672 146818 114

2012/13 103 99 115 115 105 114 130 781 781 37818 114

2013/14 95 103 99 115 115 105 114 746 753 65818 1142014/15 86 95 103 99 115 115 105 718 728 90818 114

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Chelmsford Primary Forecast Planning Group 07 - South Woodham

2015/16 195 254 192 212 190 209 205 1,457 1,457 2171,674 239

2016/17 239 195 254 192 212 190 209 1,491 1,491 1831,674 2392017/18 233 239 195 254 192 212 190 1,515 1,515 1591,674 239

2012/13 212 190 209 205 223 211 235 1,485 1,485 1891,674 239

2013/14 192 212 190 209 205 223 211 1,442 1,442 2321,674 2392014/15 254 192 212 190 209 205 223 1,485 1,485 1891,674 239

Chelmsford Primary Forecast Planning Group 08 - Writtle / Roxwell / Highwood

2015/16 77 72 79 77 74 69 70 518 524 71595 85

2016/17 85 77 72 79 77 74 69 533 539 56595 852017/18 85 85 77 72 79 77 74 549 556 39595 85

2012/13 77 74 69 70 64 79 54 487 487 108595 85

2013/14 79 77 74 69 70 64 79 512 514 81595 852014/15 72 79 77 74 69 70 64 505 507 88595 85

Chelmsford Primary Forecast Planning Group 09 - Margaretting / Stock

2015/16 32 40 36 39 39 36 41 263 265 13278 40

2016/17 34 32 40 36 39 39 36 256 258 20278 402017/18 36 34 32 40 36 39 39 256 258 20278 40

2012/13 39 39 36 41 36 39 36 266 266 12278 40

2013/14 36 39 39 36 41 36 39 266 266 12278 402014/15 40 36 39 39 36 41 36 267 267 11278 40

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Chelmsford Primary Forecast Planning Group NO - Other - See note

2015/16 50 63 62 68 67 71 78 459 488 -26462 66

2016/17 70 50 63 62 68 67 71 451 492 -30462 662017/18 65 70 50 63 62 68 67 445 498 -36462 66

2012/13 68 67 71 78 70 62 62 478 478 -16462 66

2013/14 62 68 67 71 78 70 62 478 490 -28462 662014/15 63 62 68 67 71 78 70 479 499 -37462 66

Summary for Chelmsford District

2015/16 1,967 1,904 1,858 1,944 1,806 1,852 1,783 13,114 13,589 22213,666 1,9582016/17 1,958 1,968 1,904 1,861 1,944 1,806 1,852 13,293 14,016 -20513,666 1,958

2017/18 1,963 1,958 1,969 1,913 1,861 1,944 1,806 13,414 14,408 -59713,811 1,958

2012/13 1,935 1,796 1,842 1,780 1,792 1,750 1,700 12,595 12,595 1,05613,651 1,956

2013/14 1,857 1,935 1,796 1,851 1,782 1,796 1,751 12,768 12,844 82213,666 1,9562014/15 1,904 1,858 1,935 1,806 1,852 1,783 1,796 12,934 13,186 62513,666 1,958

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Quadrant Mid EssexDistrict Maldon

Maldon Primary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Tollesbury / Tolleshunt D'Arcy

2015/16 49 42 42 41 42 36 56 308 311 109420 60

2016/17 39 49 42 42 41 43 37 293 297 123420 602017/18 43 40 49 42 42 41 44 301 305 115420 60

2012/13 41 39 34 56 40 51 52 313 313 107420 60

2013/14 42 41 40 35 56 40 51 305 307 113420 602014/15 42 42 41 41 35 56 40 297 300 120420 60

Maldon Primary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Maldon / Heybridge

2015/16 231 233 238 224 234 230 264 1,654 1,676 1541,830 255

2016/17 227 231 233 238 224 234 230 1,617 1,642 1881,830 2552017/18 230 227 231 233 238 224 234 1,617 1,644 1861,830 255

2012/13 224 234 228 264 209 258 223 1,640 1,640 1901,830 255

2013/14 238 224 234 230 264 209 258 1,657 1,666 1641,830 2552014/15 233 238 224 234 230 264 209 1,632 1,648 1821,830 255

Maldon Primary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Burnham / Southminster

2015/16 97 106 99 108 107 99 114 730 735 207942 135

2016/17 96 97 106 99 108 107 99 712 717 225942 1352017/18 100 96 97 106 99 108 107 713 719 223942 135

2012/13 108 107 99 114 84 96 94 702 702 240942 135

2013/14 99 108 107 99 114 84 96 707 709 233942 1352014/15 106 99 108 107 99 114 84 717 721 221942 135

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

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Year 5

Year 6


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Net Capacity

Admission Number

Maldon Primary Forecast Planning Group 04 - Maylandsea / Purleigh / Latchingdon / Cold Norton

2015/16 112 90 105 98 99 110 105 719 728 114842 114

2016/17 94 112 90 105 98 99 110 708 720 122842 1142017/18 99 94 112 90 105 98 99 697 709 133842 114

2012/13 98 99 110 105 96 117 106 731 731 111842 121

2013/14 105 98 99 110 105 96 117 730 735 107842 1212014/15 90 105 98 99 110 105 96 703 711 131842 114

Maldon Primary Forecast Planning Group 05 - Bradwell / Tillingham

2015/16 30 49 44 33 37 45 52 290 292 36328 49

2016/17 34 30 49 44 33 37 45 272 274 54328 492017/18 40 34 30 49 44 33 37 267 269 59328 49

2012/13 33 37 45 52 47 35 27 276 276 52328 49

2013/14 44 33 37 45 52 47 35 293 293 35328 492014/15 49 44 33 37 45 52 47 307 309 19328 49

Maldon Primary Forecast Planning Group NO - Other - See note

2015/16 60 60 60 62 63 63 64 432 433 3436 60

2016/17 60 60 60 63 62 63 63 431 432 4436 602017/18 60 60 60 63 63 62 63 431 432 4436 60

2012/13 59 60 60 64 60 59 64 426 426 10436 60

2013/14 60 59 60 63 64 60 59 425 425 11436 602014/15 60 60 59 63 63 64 60 429 430 6436 60

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Summary for Maldon District

2015/16 579 580 588 566 582 583 655 4,133 4,175 6234,798 6732016/17 550 579 580 591 566 583 584 4,033 4,082 7164,798 673

2017/18 572 551 579 583 591 566 584 4,026 4,078 7204,798 673

2012/13 563 576 576 655 536 616 566 4,088 4,088 7104,798 680

2013/14 588 563 577 582 655 536 616 4,117 4,135 6634,798 6802014/15 580 588 563 581 582 655 536 4,085 4,119 6794,798 673

2015/16 4,288 4,248 4,150 4,245 4,093 4,046 4,095 29,165 29,839 1,39031,025 4,4182016/17 4,178 4,289 4,248 4,156 4,245 4,094 4,047 29,257 30,263 96631,025 4,418

2017/18 4,250 4,179 4,290 4,260 4,156 4,245 4,095 29,475 30,845 38431,229 4,418

2012/13 4,233 4,077 4,029 4,092 3,947 3,948 3,768 28,094 28,094 2,73130,825 4,380

2013/14 4,149 4,233 4,078 4,044 4,094 3,951 3,949 28,498 28,642 2,38331,025 4,4302014/15 4,248 4,150 4,233 4,092 4,045 4,095 3,951 28,814 29,194 2,03531,025 4,418

Summary for Mid Essex Quadrant

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

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Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Quadrant North East EssexDistrict Colchester

Colchester Primary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Colchester north and rural northeast

2015/16 588 571 554 537 503 526 470 3,749 3,890 -1083,782 541

2016/17 604 588 571 554 537 503 526 3,883 4,080 -2983,782 5412017/18 592 604 588 571 554 537 503 3,949 4,210 -4283,782 541

2012/13 537 503 526 470 482 434 376 3,328 3,328 3173,645 540

2013/14 554 537 503 526 470 482 434 3,506 3,552 2303,782 5412014/15 571 554 537 503 526 470 482 3,643 3,730 523,782 541

Colchester Primary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Stanway / rural northwest

2015/16 163 176 187 197 186 190 179 1,278 1,382 811,463 209

2016/17 179 163 176 188 197 187 190 1,280 1,441 221,463 2092017/18 175 179 163 177 188 198 187 1,267 1,498 -351,463 209

2012/13 196 185 188 179 210 189 190 1,337 1,337 1141,451 207

2013/14 187 196 185 189 179 210 189 1,335 1,359 1041,463 2092014/15 176 187 196 186 189 179 210 1,323 1,381 821,463 209

Colchester Primary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Tiptree

2015/16 95 100 102 94 117 110 120 738 772 2431,015 145

2016/17 93 96 101 103 95 118 110 716 773 2421,015 1452017/18 97 94 97 102 104 96 119 709 789 2261,015 145

2012/13 91 114 108 117 124 123 111 788 788 2271,015 145

2013/14 100 92 115 108 118 124 123 780 784 2311,015 1452014/15 99 101 93 116 109 119 124 761 777 2381,015 145

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

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Admission Number

Colchester Primary Forecast Planning Group 04 - Colchester rural southwest

2015/16 47 49 50 58 52 50 49 355 358 2360 50

2016/17 46 47 49 50 58 52 50 352 355 5360 502017/18 47 46 47 49 50 58 52 349 352 8360 50

2012/13 58 52 50 49 46 44 46 345 345 15360 50

2013/14 50 58 52 50 49 46 44 349 351 9360 502014/15 49 50 58 52 50 49 46 354 356 4360 50

Colchester Primary Forecast Planning Group 05 - Colchester southwest

2015/16 255 255 254 259 255 260 254 1,792 1,837 -961,741 255

2016/17 255 255 255 260 260 255 260 1,800 1,851 -1101,741 2552017/18 255 255 255 261 260 260 255 1,801 1,856 -1151,741 255

2012/13 253 249 255 254 262 261 258 1,792 1,792 -511,741 255

2013/14 254 253 249 259 254 262 261 1,792 1,814 -731,741 2552014/15 255 254 253 255 260 254 262 1,793 1,825 -841,741 255

Colchester Primary Forecast Planning Group 06 - Colchester east

2015/16 226 210 206 199 200 185 162 1,388 1,388 901,478 210

2016/17 222 226 210 206 199 200 185 1,448 1,448 301,478 2102017/18 222 222 226 210 206 199 200 1,485 1,485 -71,478 210

2012/13 199 200 185 162 163 166 141 1,216 1,216 2621,478 210

2013/14 206 199 200 185 162 163 166 1,281 1,281 1971,478 2102014/15 210 206 199 200 185 162 163 1,325 1,325 1531,478 210

Appendices



Academic Year

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Colchester Primary Forecast Planning Group 07 - Wivenhoe

2015/16 71 80 90 89 89 86 84 589 607 16623 90

2016/17 80 71 80 90 89 89 86 585 613 10623 902017/18 83 80 71 80 90 89 89 582 615 8623 90

2012/13 89 89 86 84 86 88 91 613 613 10623 90

2013/14 90 89 89 86 84 86 88 612 617 6623 902014/15 80 90 89 89 86 84 86 604 615 8623 90

Colchester Primary Forecast Planning Group 08 - Colchester south and southeast

2015/16 577 605 546 522 472 470 422 3,614 3,867 333,900 540

2016/17 607 577 605 546 522 472 470 3,799 4,128 -2283,900 5402017/18 593 607 577 605 546 522 472 3,922 4,301 -4013,900 540

2012/13 520 470 466 422 426 412 350 3,066 3,066 4253,491 540

2013/14 546 522 472 470 422 426 412 3,270 3,389 2163,605 5402014/15 605 546 522 472 470 422 426 3,463 3,647 2533,900 540

Colchester Primary Forecast Planning Group 09 - Colchester rural south

2015/16 110 124 138 131 112 112 139 866 883 5888 127

2016/17 127 110 124 138 131 112 112 854 880 8888 1272017/18 122 127 110 124 138 131 112 864 902 -14888 127

2012/13 131 112 112 139 100 105 102 801 801 33834 125

2013/14 138 131 112 112 139 100 105 837 843 9852 1272014/15 124 138 131 112 112 139 100 856 864 24888 127

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

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Year 3

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Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Summary for Colchester District

2015/16 2,132 2,170 2,127 2,086 1,986 1,989 1,879 14,369 14,984 26614,919 2,1672016/17 2,213 2,133 2,171 2,135 2,088 1,988 1,989 14,717 15,569 -31914,919 2,167

2017/18 2,186 2,214 2,134 2,179 2,136 2,090 1,989 14,928 16,008 -75815,250 2,167

2012/13 2,074 1,974 1,976 1,876 1,899 1,822 1,665 13,286 13,286 1,35214,638 2,162

2013/14 2,125 2,077 1,977 1,985 1,877 1,899 1,822 13,762 13,990 92914,919 2,1672014/15 2,169 2,126 2,078 1,985 1,987 1,878 1,899 14,122 14,520 73014,919 2,167

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

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Year 5

Year 6


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Net Capacity

Admission Number

Quadrant North East EssexDistrict Tendring

Tendring Primary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Little Clacton / Tendring / Thorpe / Weeley

2015/16 116 116 116 120 118 114 123 823 837 -29808 116

2016/17 116 116 116 117 120 118 114 817 836 -28808 1162017/18 116 116 116 117 117 120 118 820 845 -37808 116

2012/13 119 117 113 123 130 110 106 818 818 -10808 116

2013/14 116 119 117 114 123 130 110 829 830 -22808 1162014/15 116 116 119 118 114 123 130 836 842 -34808 116

Tendring Primary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Clacton

2015/16 590 540 550 545 549 508 455 3,737 3,865 343,899 555

2016/17 594 590 540 550 545 549 508 3,876 4,061 -1623,899 5552017/18 590 594 590 540 550 545 549 3,958 4,194 -2953,899 555

2012/13 544 549 505 452 515 489 486 3,540 3,540 3593,899 555

2013/14 550 544 549 508 453 516 490 3,610 3,649 2503,899 5552014/15 540 550 544 549 508 454 517 3,662 3,737 1623,899 555

Tendring Primary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Brightlingsea / Elmstead

2015/16 163 184 174 179 172 181 154 1,207 1,257 291,286 187

2016/17 184 164 184 177 180 173 182 1,244 1,316 -301,286 1872017/18 184 184 164 186 178 181 174 1,251 1,340 -541,286 187

2012/13 176 168 176 150 176 168 172 1,186 1,186 1001,286 184

2013/14 174 176 168 179 152 177 169 1,195 1,206 801,286 1842014/15 184 174 176 171 180 153 178 1,216 1,244 421,286 187

Appendices



Academic Year

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Tendring Primary Forecast Planning Group 04 - Frinton / Walton

2015/16 126 147 147 126 137 126 115 924 967 -27940 130

2016/17 130 127 147 147 126 137 126 940 1,001 -61940 1302017/18 130 130 128 147 147 126 137 945 1,026 -86940 130

2012/13 125 137 124 112 140 131 146 915 915 10925 130

2013/14 147 125 137 124 113 140 131 917 930 10940 1302014/15 147 147 125 137 125 114 140 935 962 -22940 130

Tendring Primary Forecast Planning Group 05 - Harwich and surrounds

2015/16 278 260 265 252 268 254 257 1,834 1,904 1782,082 303

2016/17 242 278 260 265 252 268 254 1,819 1,910 1722,082 3032017/18 260 242 278 260 265 252 268 1,825 1,939 1432,082 303

2012/13 252 268 254 257 277 244 267 1,819 1,819 2632,082 301

2013/14 265 252 268 254 257 277 244 1,817 1,842 2402,082 3032014/15 260 265 252 268 254 257 277 1,833 1,882 2002,082 303

Tendring Primary Forecast Planning Group 06 - Manningtree and surrounds

2015/16 103 126 120 103 113 99 106 770 801 54855 123

2016/17 125 103 126 120 103 113 99 789 835 20855 1232017/18 118 125 103 126 120 103 113 808 865 -10855 123

2012/13 103 113 99 106 116 101 101 739 739 116855 123

2013/14 120 103 113 99 106 116 101 758 768 87855 1232014/15 126 120 103 113 99 106 116 783 801 54855 123

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Tendring Primary Forecast Planning Group NO - Other - See note

2015/16 46 52 45 44 44 45 47 323 338 -23315 45

2016/17 45 46 52 45 44 44 45 321 348 -33315 452017/18 45 45 46 52 45 44 44 321 361 -46315 45

2012/13 44 44 45 47 38 43 40 301 301 14315 45

2013/14 45 44 44 45 47 38 43 306 309 6315 452014/15 52 45 44 44 45 47 38 315 325 -10315 45

Summary for Tendring District

2015/16 1,422 1,425 1,417 1,369 1,401 1,327 1,257 9,618 9,969 21610,185 1,4592016/17 1,436 1,424 1,425 1,421 1,370 1,402 1,328 9,806 10,307 -12210,185 1,459

2017/18 1,443 1,436 1,425 1,428 1,422 1,371 1,403 9,928 10,570 -38510,185 1,459

2012/13 1,363 1,396 1,316 1,247 1,392 1,286 1,318 9,318 9,318 85210,170 1,454

2013/14 1,417 1,363 1,396 1,323 1,251 1,394 1,288 9,432 9,534 65110,185 1,4562014/15 1,425 1,417 1,363 1,400 1,325 1,254 1,396 9,580 9,793 39210,185 1,459

2015/16 3,554 3,595 3,544 3,455 3,387 3,316 3,136 23,987 24,953 48225,104 3,6262016/17 3,649 3,557 3,596 3,556 3,458 3,390 3,317 24,523 25,876 -44125,104 3,626

2017/18 3,629 3,650 3,559 3,607 3,558 3,461 3,392 24,856 26,578 -1,14325,435 3,626

2012/13 3,437 3,370 3,292 3,123 3,291 3,108 2,983 22,604 22,604 2,20424,808 3,616

2013/14 3,542 3,440 3,373 3,308 3,128 3,293 3,110 23,194 23,524 1,58025,104 3,6232014/15 3,594 3,543 3,441 3,385 3,312 3,132 3,295 23,702 24,313 1,12225,104 3,626

Summary for North East Essex Quadrant

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Quadrant South EssexDistrict Basildon

Basildon Primary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Billericay

2015/16 363 419 445 433 420 440 416 2,936 2,960 833,043 420

2016/17 400 363 419 448 433 420 440 2,923 2,951 923,043 4202017/18 405 400 363 422 448 433 420 2,891 2,921 1223,043 420

2012/13 430 417 437 416 423 387 384 2,894 2,894 1183,012 420

2013/14 445 430 417 440 416 423 387 2,958 2,967 763,043 4202014/15 419 445 430 420 440 416 423 2,993 3,012 313,043 420

Basildon Primary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Wickford / Runwell

2015/16 408 370 390 389 394 383 365 2,699 2,826 -202,806 390

2016/17 395 408 370 390 389 394 383 2,729 2,881 -752,806 3902017/18 399 395 408 370 390 389 394 2,745 2,918 -1122,806 390

2012/13 389 394 383 365 374 364 347 2,616 2,616 1902,806 390

2013/14 390 389 394 383 365 374 364 2,659 2,723 832,806 3902014/15 370 390 389 394 383 365 374 2,665 2,755 512,806 390

Basildon Primary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Basildon central

2015/16 572 556 550 562 521 530 479 3,770 3,892 1604,052 585

2016/17 640 572 556 550 562 521 530 3,931 4,115 -634,052 5852017/18 585 640 572 556 550 562 521 3,986 4,225 -1734,052 585

2012/13 562 521 530 479 474 478 463 3,507 3,507 4213,928 566

2013/14 550 562 521 530 479 474 478 3,594 3,641 3664,007 5812014/15 556 550 562 521 530 479 474 3,672 3,755 2974,052 585

Appendices



Academic Year

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Admission Number

Basildon Primary Forecast Planning Group 04 - Laindon / Langdon Hills

2015/16 588 600 608 647 598 573 550 4,164 4,212 1414,353 620

2016/17 622 588 600 618 647 598 573 4,246 4,306 474,353 6202017/18 620 622 588 610 618 647 598 4,303 4,371 -184,353 620

2012/13 638 590 567 550 539 542 514 3,940 3,940 2354,175 590

2013/14 608 638 590 573 550 539 542 4,040 4,065 1104,175 6202014/15 600 608 638 598 573 550 539 4,106 4,142 2114,353 620

Basildon Primary Forecast Planning Group 05 - Pitsea / Bowers Gifford

2015/16 303 297 306 305 276 313 280 2,080 2,091 1972,288 315

2016/17 339 303 297 306 305 276 313 2,139 2,153 1352,288 3152017/18 315 339 303 297 306 305 276 2,141 2,156 1322,288 315

2012/13 305 276 313 280 292 246 262 1,974 1,974 3052,279 315

2013/14 306 305 276 313 280 292 246 2,018 2,023 2652,288 3302014/15 297 306 305 276 313 280 292 2,069 2,077 2112,288 315

Basildon Primary Forecast Planning Group NO - Other - See note

2015/16 11 13 14 15 13 11 8 85 85 20105 15

2016/17 10 11 13 14 15 13 11 87 88 17105 152017/18 11 10 11 13 14 15 13 87 88 17105 15

2012/13 15 13 11 8 10 10 3 70 70 35105 15

2013/14 14 15 13 11 8 10 10 81 81 24105 152014/15 13 14 15 13 11 8 10 84 84 21105 15

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Summary for Basildon District

2015/16 2,245 2,255 2,313 2,351 2,222 2,250 2,098 15,734 16,066 58116,469 2,3452016/17 2,406 2,245 2,255 2,326 2,351 2,222 2,250 16,055 16,494 15316,469 2,345

2017/18 2,335 2,406 2,245 2,268 2,326 2,351 2,222 16,153 16,679 -3216,647 2,345

2012/13 2,339 2,211 2,241 2,098 2,112 2,027 1,973 15,001 15,001 1,30416,305 2,296

2013/14 2,313 2,339 2,211 2,250 2,098 2,112 2,027 15,350 15,500 92416,424 2,3562014/15 2,255 2,313 2,339 2,222 2,250 2,098 2,112 15,589 15,825 82216,469 2,345

Appendices



Academic Year

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Year 3

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Year 6


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Net Capacity

Admission Number

Quadrant South EssexDistrict Brentwood

Brentwood Primary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Brentwood Town

2015/16 650 604 578 610 596 586 577 4,201 4,273 -414,232 599

2016/17 626 650 604 581 610 596 586 4,253 4,354 -1224,232 5992017/18 627 626 650 607 581 610 596 4,297 4,408 -1764,232 599

2012/13 607 594 585 577 587 568 537 4,055 4,055 1774,232 599

2013/14 578 607 594 586 577 587 568 4,097 4,137 954,232 5992014/15 604 578 607 596 586 577 587 4,135 4,192 404,232 599

Brentwood Primary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Ingatestone / Mountnessing

2015/16 34 55 54 61 51 46 71 372 377 55432 60

2016/17 44 34 55 56 62 52 47 350 357 75432 602017/18 44 44 34 57 57 63 53 352 359 73432 60

2012/13 60 48 42 71 51 57 61 390 390 42432 60

2013/14 54 60 48 44 71 52 57 386 386 46432 602014/15 55 54 60 50 45 71 53 388 391 41432 60

Brentwood Primary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Doddinghurst / Kelvedon Hatch

2015/16 94 74 105 92 100 105 103 673 674 139813 115

2016/17 109 94 74 105 92 100 105 679 680 133813 1152017/18 100 109 94 74 105 92 100 674 676 137813 115

2012/13 92 100 105 103 104 105 101 710 710 103813 115

2013/14 105 92 100 105 103 104 105 714 714 99813 1152014/15 74 105 92 100 105 103 104 683 683 130813 115

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

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Year 3

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Year 6


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Net Capacity

Admission Number

Brentwood Primary Forecast Planning Group NO - Other - See note

2015/16 42 45 38 49 44 53 47 318 319 4323 45

2016/17 41 42 45 40 49 44 53 314 316 7323 452017/18 44 41 42 47 40 49 44 307 309 14323 45

2012/13 47 42 51 47 50 49 43 329 329 -6323 45

2013/14 38 47 42 53 47 50 49 326 327 -4323 452014/15 45 38 47 44 53 47 50 324 325 -2323 45

Summary for Brentwood District

2015/16 820 778 775 812 791 790 798 5,564 5,643 1575,800 8192016/17 820 820 778 782 813 792 791 5,596 5,707 935,800 819

2017/18 815 820 820 785 783 814 793 5,630 5,752 485,800 819

2012/13 806 784 783 798 792 779 742 5,484 5,484 3165,800 819

2013/14 775 806 784 788 798 793 779 5,523 5,564 2365,800 8192014/15 778 775 806 790 789 798 794 5,530 5,591 2095,800 819

Appendices



Academic Year

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Admission Number

Quadrant South EssexDistrict Castle Point

Castle Point Primary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Canvey Island

2015/16 414 420 399 427 380 408 410 2,858 2,874 942,968 420

2016/17 396 414 420 399 427 381 408 2,845 2,870 982,968 4202017/18 400 396 414 420 399 427 382 2,838 2,873 952,968 420

2012/13 427 378 408 410 391 386 403 2,803 2,803 1652,968 420

2013/14 399 427 378 408 410 392 386 2,800 2,803 1652,968 4202014/15 420 399 427 379 408 410 392 2,835 2,843 1252,968 420

Castle Point Primary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Thundersley

2015/16 208 155 168 194 170 194 178 1,267 1,270 2351,505 215

2016/17 155 208 155 168 194 170 194 1,244 1,255 2501,505 2152017/18 169 155 208 155 168 194 170 1,219 1,242 2631,505 215

2012/13 194 170 194 178 179 172 154 1,241 1,241 2641,505 215

2013/14 168 194 170 194 178 179 172 1,255 1,256 2491,505 2152014/15 155 168 194 170 194 178 179 1,238 1,239 2661,505 215

Castle Point Primary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Hadleigh

2015/16 98 112 87 107 115 113 90 722 764 128892 120

2016/17 113 98 112 87 107 115 113 745 805 87892 1202017/18 107 113 98 112 87 107 115 739 812 80892 120

2012/13 107 115 113 90 109 121 102 757 757 135892 120

2013/14 87 107 115 113 90 109 121 742 752 140892 1202014/15 112 87 107 115 113 90 109 733 760 132892 120

Appendices



Academic Year

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Admission Number

Castle Point Primary Forecast Planning Group 04 - Benfleet

2015/16 205 208 202 221 196 222 212 1,466 1,481 671,548 222

2016/17 222 205 208 202 221 196 222 1,476 1,506 421,548 2222017/18 212 222 205 208 202 221 196 1,466 1,510 381,548 222

2012/13 221 196 222 212 231 220 193 1,495 1,495 531,548 222

2013/14 202 221 196 222 212 231 220 1,504 1,506 421,548 2222014/15 208 202 221 196 222 212 231 1,492 1,500 481,548 222

Summary for Castle Point District

2015/16 925 895 856 949 861 937 890 6,313 6,389 5246,913 9772016/17 886 925 895 856 949 862 937 6,310 6,436 4776,913 977

2017/18 888 886 925 895 856 949 863 6,262 6,437 4766,913 977

2012/13 949 859 937 890 910 899 852 6,296 6,296 6176,913 977

2013/14 856 949 859 937 890 911 899 6,301 6,317 5966,913 9772014/15 895 856 949 860 937 890 911 6,298 6,342 5716,913 977

Appendices



Academic Year

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Year 6


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Admission Number

Quadrant South EssexDistrict Rochford

Rochford Primary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Rayleigh

2015/16 413 455 436 416 432 424 415 2,991 3,040 253,065 441

2016/17 389 413 455 436 416 432 424 2,965 3,027 383,065 4412017/18 415 389 413 455 436 416 432 2,956 3,028 373,065 441

2012/13 416 432 424 415 401 407 390 2,885 2,885 1593,044 438

2013/14 436 416 432 424 415 401 407 2,931 2,956 1093,065 4412014/15 455 436 416 432 424 415 401 2,979 3,017 483,065 441

Rochford Primary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Rochford

2015/16 185 162 177 161 143 150 139 1,117 1,225 141,239 177

2016/17 172 185 162 177 161 143 150 1,150 1,312 -731,239 1772017/18 174 172 185 162 177 161 143 1,174 1,383 -1441,239 177

2012/13 161 143 150 139 138 138 154 1,023 1,023 1801,203 174

2013/14 177 161 143 150 139 138 138 1,046 1,059 1801,239 1772014/15 162 177 161 143 150 139 138 1,070 1,121 1181,239 177

Rochford Primary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Hockley

2015/16 188 183 198 174 196 180 181 1,300 1,321 591,380 195

2016/17 158 188 183 198 174 196 180 1,277 1,300 801,380 1952017/18 176 158 188 183 198 174 196 1,273 1,300 801,380 195

2012/13 174 196 180 181 207 204 204 1,346 1,346 341,380 185

2013/14 198 174 196 180 181 207 204 1,340 1,349 311,380 1952014/15 183 198 174 196 180 181 207 1,319 1,329 511,380 195

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Rochford Primary Forecast Planning Group 04 - Barling / Gt Wakering

2015/16 79 76 80 86 82 72 81 556 559 36595 85

2016/17 70 79 76 80 86 82 72 545 553 42595 852017/18 79 70 79 76 80 86 82 552 569 26595 85

2012/13 86 82 72 81 84 67 69 541 541 54595 85

2013/14 80 86 82 72 81 84 67 552 553 42595 852014/15 76 80 86 82 72 81 84 561 564 31595 85

Rochford Primary Forecast Planning Group NO - Other - See note

2015/16 60 71 50 44 66 66 49 406 409 202611 82

2016/17 54 60 71 50 44 66 66 411 415 196611 822017/18 60 54 60 71 50 44 66 405 409 202611 82

2012/13 44 66 66 49 64 67 51 407 407 204611 82

2013/14 50 44 66 66 49 64 67 406 409 202611 822014/15 71 50 44 66 66 49 64 410 413 198611 82

Summary for Rochford District

2015/16 925 947 941 881 919 892 865 6,370 6,554 3366,890 9802016/17 843 925 947 941 881 919 892 6,348 6,607 2836,890 980

2017/18 904 843 925 947 941 881 919 6,360 6,689 2016,890 980

2012/13 881 919 892 865 894 883 868 6,202 6,202 6316,833 964

2013/14 941 881 919 892 865 894 883 6,275 6,326 5646,890 9802014/15 947 941 881 919 892 865 894 6,339 6,444 4466,890 980

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

2015/16 4,915 4,875 4,885 4,993 4,793 4,869 4,651 33,981 34,652 1,59836,072 5,1212016/17 4,955 4,915 4,875 4,905 4,994 4,795 4,870 34,309 35,244 1,00636,072 5,121

2017/18 4,942 4,955 4,915 4,895 4,906 4,995 4,797 34,405 35,557 69336,250 5,121

2012/13 4,975 4,773 4,853 4,651 4,708 4,588 4,435 32,983 32,983 2,86835,851 5,056

2013/14 4,885 4,975 4,773 4,867 4,651 4,710 4,588 33,449 33,707 2,32036,027 5,1322014/15 4,875 4,885 4,975 4,791 4,868 4,651 4,711 33,756 34,202 2,04836,072 5,121

Summary for South Essex Quadrant

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Quadrant West EssexDistrict Epping Forest

Epping Forest Primary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Ongar

2015/16 153 148 161 154 132 162 136 1,046 1,066 1891,255 183

2016/17 168 154 148 161 155 133 162 1,081 1,104 1511,255 1832017/18 170 168 155 149 161 156 134 1,093 1,119 1361,255 183

2012/13 151 130 162 134 130 132 123 962 962 2981,260 188

2013/14 160 152 130 162 134 130 132 1,000 1,008 2471,255 1832014/15 146 161 153 131 162 135 131 1,019 1,032 2231,255 183

Epping Forest Primary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Epping

2015/16 180 166 165 162 158 143 141 1,115 1,132 171,149 159

2016/17 180 180 166 165 162 158 143 1,154 1,182 -331,149 1592017/18 183 180 180 166 165 162 158 1,194 1,233 -841,149 159

2012/13 162 158 143 141 141 139 117 1,001 1,001 1061,107 159

2013/14 165 162 158 143 141 141 139 1,049 1,054 591,113 1592014/15 166 165 162 158 143 141 141 1,076 1,084 651,149 159

Epping Forest Primary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Waltham Abbey

2015/16 233 223 243 228 233 223 224 1,607 1,639 411,680 234

2016/17 230 233 223 243 228 233 223 1,613 1,651 291,680 2342017/18 234 230 233 223 243 228 233 1,624 1,666 141,680 234

2012/13 228 233 223 224 210 221 213 1,552 1,552 931,645 234

2013/14 243 228 233 223 224 210 221 1,582 1,591 741,665 2342014/15 223 243 228 233 223 224 210 1,584 1,605 751,680 234

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Epping Forest Primary Forecast Planning Group 04 - Buckhurst Hill / Loughton South

2015/16 185 189 202 178 192 171 149 1,266 1,272 271,299 180

2016/17 181 185 189 202 178 192 171 1,298 1,306 -71,299 1802017/18 185 181 185 189 202 178 192 1,312 1,321 -221,299 180

2012/13 178 192 171 149 165 148 145 1,148 1,148 1841,332 180

2013/14 202 178 192 171 149 165 148 1,205 1,207 1521,359 1802014/15 189 202 178 192 171 149 165 1,246 1,250 491,299 180

Epping Forest Primary Forecast Planning Group 05 - Chigwell / Lambourne

2015/16 128 124 134 126 128 104 122 866 874 96970 146

2016/17 102 128 124 134 126 128 104 846 856 114970 1462017/18 118 102 128 124 134 126 128 860 878 92970 146

2012/13 126 128 104 122 91 106 97 774 774 196970 141

2013/14 134 126 128 104 122 91 106 811 814 156970 1432014/15 124 134 126 128 104 122 91 829 834 136970 146

Epping Forest Primary Forecast Planning Group 06 - Loughton

2015/16 356 323 315 305 321 293 294 2,207 2,223 -62,217 315

2016/17 345 356 323 315 305 321 293 2,258 2,283 -662,217 3152017/18 351 345 356 323 315 305 321 2,316 2,351 -1342,217 315

2012/13 305 321 293 294 293 278 267 2,051 2,051 932,144 300

2013/14 315 305 321 293 294 293 278 2,099 2,106 1202,226 3152014/15 323 315 305 321 293 294 293 2,144 2,157 602,217 315

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Epping Forest Primary Forecast Planning Group NO - Other - See note

2015/16 137 140 141 147 175 132 133 1,005 1,013 741,087 155

2016/17 120 137 140 141 147 175 132 992 1,001 861,087 1552017/18 137 120 137 140 141 147 175 997 1,007 801,087 155

2012/13 147 175 132 133 140 138 141 1,006 1,006 811,087 155

2013/14 141 147 175 132 133 140 138 1,006 1,008 791,087 1552014/15 140 141 147 175 132 133 140 1,008 1,013 741,087 155

Summary for Epping Forest District

2015/16 1,372 1,313 1,361 1,300 1,339 1,228 1,199 9,112 9,219 4389,675 1,3722016/17 1,326 1,373 1,313 1,361 1,301 1,340 1,228 9,242 9,383 2749,675 1,372

2017/18 1,378 1,326 1,374 1,314 1,361 1,302 1,341 9,396 9,575 829,657 1,372

2012/13 1,297 1,337 1,228 1,197 1,170 1,162 1,103 8,494 8,494 1,0519,545 1,357

2013/14 1,360 1,298 1,337 1,228 1,197 1,170 1,162 8,752 8,788 8879,675 1,3692014/15 1,311 1,361 1,299 1,338 1,228 1,198 1,171 8,906 8,975 6829,675 1,372

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Quadrant West EssexDistrict Harlow

Harlow Primary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Potter Street / Old Harlow / Church Langley

2015/16 284 301 270 293 268 262 264 1,942 2,051 -1311,920 270

2016/17 299 284 301 270 293 268 262 1,977 2,165 -2451,920 2702017/18 298 299 284 301 270 293 268 2,013 2,300 -3801,920 270

2012/13 293 268 262 264 242 234 213 1,776 1,776 1441,920 300

2013/14 270 293 268 262 264 242 234 1,833 1,851 691,920 2702014/15 301 270 293 268 262 264 242 1,900 1,952 -321,920 270

Harlow Primary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Latton Bush / Tye Green

2015/16 246 239 255 252 234 236 240 1,702 1,705 -21,703 240

2016/17 250 246 239 255 252 234 236 1,712 1,717 -141,703 2402017/18 240 250 246 239 255 252 234 1,716 1,721 -181,703 240

2012/13 251 234 235 240 226 208 211 1,605 1,605 981,703 240

2013/14 255 251 234 236 240 226 208 1,650 1,650 531,703 2402014/15 239 255 251 234 236 240 226 1,681 1,684 191,703 240

Harlow Primary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Mark Hall / Netteswell

2015/16 241 248 288 269 207 176 165 1,594 1,611 501,661 230

2016/17 231 241 248 288 269 207 176 1,660 1,682 -211,661 2302017/18 236 231 241 248 288 269 207 1,720 1,744 -831,661 230

2012/13 269 207 176 165 169 141 149 1,276 1,276 3251,601 230

2013/14 288 269 207 176 165 169 141 1,415 1,424 2641,688 2302014/15 248 288 269 207 176 165 169 1,522 1,532 1291,661 230

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Harlow Primary Forecast Planning Group 04 - Great Parndon

2015/16 134 134 134 134 133 134 137 940 940 -2938 134

2016/17 134 134 134 134 134 133 134 937 937 1938 1342017/18 134 134 134 134 134 134 133 937 937 1938 134

2012/13 134 133 134 137 130 108 118 894 894 44938 134

2013/14 134 134 133 134 137 130 108 910 910 28938 1342014/15 134 134 134 133 134 137 130 936 936 2938 134

Harlow Primary Forecast Planning Group 05 - Kingsmoor / Stewards

2015/16 159 147 168 175 145 142 132 1,068 1,068 191,087 147

2016/17 177 159 147 168 175 145 142 1,113 1,113 -261,087 1472017/18 160 177 159 147 168 175 145 1,131 1,131 -441,087 147

2012/13 175 145 142 132 136 132 135 997 997 971,094 147

2013/14 168 175 145 142 132 136 132 1,030 1,030 571,087 1472014/15 147 168 175 145 142 132 136 1,045 1,045 421,087 147

Harlow Primary Forecast Planning Group 06 - Hare Street / Little Parndon

2015/16 172 148 122 118 142 113 112 927 943 -103840 120

2016/17 172 172 148 122 118 142 113 987 1,014 -174840 1202017/18 166 172 172 148 122 118 142 1,040 1,076 -236840 120

2012/13 118 142 113 112 114 102 101 802 802 38840 120

2013/14 122 118 142 113 112 114 102 823 823 17840 1202014/15 148 122 118 142 113 112 114 869 874 -34840 120

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Harlow Primary Forecast Planning Group NO - Other - See note

2015/16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 -80 0

2016/17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 11 -110 02017/18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 -140 0

2012/13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00 0

2013/14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -40 02014/15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 -60 0

Summary for Harlow District

2015/16 1,236 1,217 1,237 1,241 1,129 1,063 1,050 8,173 8,326 -1778,176 1,1412016/17 1,263 1,236 1,217 1,237 1,241 1,129 1,063 8,386 8,639 -4908,176 1,141

2017/18 1,234 1,263 1,236 1,217 1,237 1,241 1,129 8,557 8,923 -7748,149 1,141

2012/13 1,240 1,129 1,062 1,050 1,017 925 927 7,350 7,350 7468,096 1,171

2013/14 1,237 1,240 1,129 1,063 1,050 1,017 925 7,661 7,692 4848,176 1,1412014/15 1,217 1,237 1,240 1,129 1,063 1,050 1,017 7,953 8,029 1208,176 1,141

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Quadrant West EssexDistrict Uttlesford

Uttlesford Primary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Sampfords / Thaxted / Wimbish

2015/16 91 76 84 90 91 100 97 629 650 76726 106

2016/17 89 91 76 84 90 91 100 621 649 77726 1062017/18 90 89 91 76 84 90 91 611 646 80726 106

2012/13 90 91 100 97 94 85 96 653 653 73726 106

2013/14 84 90 91 100 97 94 85 641 644 82726 1062014/15 76 84 90 91 100 97 94 632 644 82726 106

Uttlesford Primary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Saffron Walden

2015/16 193 175 195 182 191 186 185 1,307 1,361 -61,355 195

2016/17 166 193 175 195 182 191 186 1,288 1,357 -21,355 1952017/18 175 166 193 175 195 182 191 1,277 1,363 -81,355 195

2012/13 182 191 186 185 195 165 164 1,268 1,268 571,325 195

2013/14 195 182 191 186 185 195 165 1,299 1,318 71,325 1952014/15 175 195 182 191 186 185 195 1,309 1,346 91,355 195

Uttlesford Primary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Stansted

2015/16 186 157 173 150 150 142 147 1,105 1,197 -371,160 160

2016/17 188 186 157 173 150 150 142 1,146 1,265 -1051,160 1602017/18 177 188 186 157 173 150 150 1,181 1,335 -1751,160 160

2012/13 150 150 142 147 144 113 130 976 976 1441,120 160

2013/14 173 150 150 142 147 144 113 1,019 1,053 871,140 1602014/15 157 173 150 150 142 147 144 1,063 1,124 361,160 160

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Uttlesford Primary Forecast Planning Group 04 - Dunmow

2015/16 155 152 137 132 143 144 140 1,003 1,091 -99992 140

2016/17 131 155 152 137 132 143 144 994 1,113 -121992 1402017/18 140 131 155 152 137 132 143 990 1,145 -153992 140

2012/13 132 143 144 140 130 128 138 955 955 37992 140

2013/14 137 132 143 144 140 130 128 954 974 18992 1402014/15 152 137 132 143 144 140 130 978 1,026 -34992 140

Uttlesford Primary Forecast Planning Group 05 - Hatfield / Roding

2015/16 94 85 100 97 115 98 89 678 681 -16665 95

2016/17 78 94 85 100 97 115 98 667 672 -7665 952017/18 83 78 94 85 100 97 115 652 659 6665 95

2012/13 97 115 98 89 110 100 93 702 702 -37665 95

2013/14 100 97 115 98 89 110 100 709 710 -45665 952014/15 85 100 97 115 98 89 110 694 696 -31665 95

Uttlesford Primary Forecast Planning Group 06 - Clavering / Newport / Rickling

2015/16 65 72 63 68 61 56 54 439 444 11455 65

2016/17 65 65 72 63 68 61 56 450 467 -12455 652017/18 65 65 65 72 63 68 61 459 478 -23455 65

2012/13 68 61 56 54 56 46 59 400 400 48448 65

2013/14 63 68 61 56 54 56 46 404 404 44448 652014/15 72 63 68 61 56 54 56 430 430 25455 65

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Uttlesford Primary Forecast Planning Group 07 - Felsted

2015/16 69 88 90 81 93 97 72 590 590 17607 75

2016/17 70 69 88 90 81 93 97 588 588 19607 752017/18 75 70 69 88 90 81 93 566 568 39607 75

2012/13 81 93 97 72 73 66 73 555 555 22577 75

2013/14 90 81 93 97 72 73 66 572 572 35607 752014/15 88 90 81 93 97 72 73 594 594 13607 75

Uttlesford Primary Forecast Planning Group NO - Other - See note

2015/16 123 115 119 111 104 97 97 766 869 25894 128

2016/17 119 123 115 119 111 104 97 788 923 -29894 1282017/18 124 119 123 115 119 111 104 815 981 -87894 128

2012/13 111 104 97 97 103 96 99 707 707 85792 113

2013/14 119 111 104 97 97 103 96 727 779 28807 1132014/15 115 119 111 104 97 97 103 746 820 74894 128

Summary for Uttlesford District

2015/16 976 920 961 911 948 920 881 6,517 6,883 -296,710 9642016/17 906 976 920 961 911 948 920 6,542 7,034 -1806,710 964

2017/18 929 906 976 920 961 911 948 6,551 7,175 -3216,854 964

2012/13 911 948 920 881 905 799 852 6,216 6,216 4296,645 949

2013/14 961 911 948 920 881 905 799 6,325 6,454 2566,710 9492014/15 920 961 911 948 920 881 905 6,446 6,680 1746,710 964

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

2015/16 3,584 3,450 3,559 3,452 3,416 3,211 3,130 23,802 24,428 23224,561 3,4772016/17 3,495 3,585 3,450 3,559 3,453 3,417 3,211 24,170 25,056 -39624,561 3,477

2017/18 3,541 3,495 3,586 3,451 3,559 3,454 3,418 24,504 25,673 -1,01324,660 3,477

2012/13 3,448 3,414 3,210 3,128 3,092 2,886 2,882 22,060 22,060 2,22624,286 3,477

2013/14 3,558 3,449 3,414 3,211 3,128 3,092 2,886 22,738 22,934 1,62724,561 3,4592014/15 3,448 3,559 3,450 3,415 3,211 3,129 3,093 23,305 23,684 97624,561 3,477

Summary for West Essex Quadrant

Appendices



Academic Year

Year R

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Year 6


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

2015/16 16,341 16,168 16,138 16,145 15,689 15,442 15,012 110,935 113,872 3,702116,762 16,6422016/17 16,277 16,346 16,169 16,176 16,150 15,696 15,445 112,259 116,439 1,135116,762 16,642

2017/18 16,362 16,279 16,350 16,213 16,179 16,155 15,702 113,240 118,653 -1,079117,574 16,642

2012/13 16,093 15,634 15,384 14,994 15,038 14,530 14,068 105,741 105,741 10,029115,770 16,529

2013/14 16,134 16,097 15,638 15,430 15,001 15,046 14,533 107,879 108,807 7,910116,717 16,6442014/15 16,165 16,137 16,099 15,683 15,436 15,007 15,050 109,577 111,393 6,181116,762 16,642

Summary for Essex

[ Note: The totals shown under the "Other" category within each district are for schools which do not sit within any of the forecast planning groups, and for potential pupils from new housing where its location within the district is unspecified. As such, although the numbers on roll and forecasts are summarised together for the purpose of this report, there is no connection between any of the schools or the potential pupils from new housing. To see details of which schools are in this category for a given district, refer to Table 1 of this Appendix. ]

Appendices


Appendix 1b - Table 1: Secondary school number on roll and forecasts

Secondary School by Forecast Planning Group


of 2012/13


Temporary places


Number on Roll

Years 7-11 January

2013

Number on Roll

Sixth Form January

2013

Number on Roll Total

January 2013


Future Net

Capacity

Forecast Number on Roll Years 7-11

2017/18

Forecast Number on Roll Sixth Form

2017/18

Forecast Number on Roll Total

2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including



adj for new

housing

Mid Essex Quadrant - Braintree DistrictBraintree Secondary Group 01 ( Braintree ) Forecast Planning Group:4010 - Alec Hunter Academy A 1,143 0 1,069 0 1,069 74 1,143 999 0 999 144 1,004 1394420 - Notley High School & Braintree Sixth Form A 1,500 0 1,226 226 1,452 48 1,500 1,209 220 1,429 71 1,473 274470 - Tabor Academy A 1,050 0 1,029 0 1,029 21 1,050 1,017 0 1,017 33 1,041 9Braintree Secondary Group 01 ( Braintree ) Total 3,693 0 3,324 226 3,550 143 3,693 3,225 220 3,445 248 3,518 175Braintree Secondary Group 02 ( Witham ) Forecast Planning Group:6907 - Maltings Academy A U 1,100 0 792 184 976 124 1,100 901 211 1,112 -12 1,161 -616905 - New Rickstones Academy A U 1,100 0 525 123 648 452 1,100 493 65 558 542 564 536Braintree Secondary Group 02 ( Witham ) Total 2,200 0 1,317 307 1,624 576 2,200 1,394 276 1,670 530 1,725 475Braintree Secondary Group 03 ( Halstead / Hedingham ) Forecast Planning Group:4026 - Hedingham School and Sixth Form A 1,168 0 943 158 1,101 67 1,168 890 152 1,042 126 1,078 904025 - The Ramsey College [4008 - (Academy) in 2013/14] C 847 0 553 0 553 294 847 556 0 556 291 572 275Braintree Secondary Group 03 ( Halstead / Hedingham ) Total 2,015 0 1,496 158 1,654 361 2,015 1,446 152 1,598 417 1,650 365Braintree Secondary Group 04 ( Coggeshall ) Forecast Planning Group:4400 - Honywood Community Science School A 1,050 0 1,041 0 1,041 9 1,050 1,050 0 1,050 0 1,057 -7Braintree Secondary Group 04 ( Coggeshall ) Total 1,050 0 1,041 0 1,041 9 1,050 1,050 0 1,050 0 1,057 -7

Braintree Total 8,958 0 7,178 691 7,869 1,089 8,958 7,115 648 7,763 1,195 7,950 1,008

Mid Essex Quadrant - Chelmsford DistrictChelmsford Secondary Group 01 ( Chelmsford ) Forecast Planning Group:5416 - The Boswells School A 1,431 0 1,236 248 1,484 -53 1,431 1,314 246 1,560 -129 1,703 -2725429 - Chelmer Valley High School A 1,168 0 1,003 180 1,183 -15 1,168 1,012 171 1,183 -15 1,336 -1684390 - Great Baddow High School A 1,413 0 1,165 204 1,369 44 1,413 1,200 193 1,393 20 1,395 185455 - Hylands School A 1,100 0 667 81 748 352 1,060 789 61 850 210 965 954480 - Moulsham High School A 1,613 0 1,265 211 1,476 137 1,613 1,260 202 1,462 151 1,488 1255463 - The Sandon School A 1,253 0 1,075 166 1,241 12 1,253 1,081 182 1,263 -10 1,279 -26Chelmsford Secondary Group 01 ( Chelmsford ) Total 7,978 0 6,411 1,090 7,501 477 7,938 6,656 1,055 7,711 227 8,166 -228Chelmsford Secondary Group 02 ( South Woodham Ferrers ) Forecast Planning Group:5427 - William De Ferrers School A 2,076 0 1,566 397 1,963 113 2,076 1,497 392 1,889 187 1,889 187Chelmsford Secondary Group 02 ( South Woodham Ferrers ) Total 2,076 0 1,566 397 1,963 113 2,076 1,497 392 1,889 187 1,889 187Other - not grouped5410 - Chelmsford County High School for Girls A 900 0 600 290 890 10 900 600 295 895 5 895 55411 - King Edward VI Grammar School, Chelmsford A 890 0 559 331 890 0 890 600 334 934 -44 934 -444701 - St John Payne Catholic School VA RC 1,269 0 942 210 1,152 117 1,269 942 200 1,142 127 1,142 127Other New Housing Potential Pupils - Chelmsford 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 29 -29

Chelmsford Total 13,113 0 10,078 2,318 12,396 717 13,073 10,295 2,276 12,571 502 13,055 18

Appendices





of 2012/13


Temporary places


Number on Roll

Years 7-11 January

2013

Number on Roll

Sixth Form January

2013


January 2013


Future Net

Capacity


2017/18


2017/18


2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including



adj for new

housing

Mid Essex Quadrant - Maldon DistrictMaldon Secondary Group 01 ( Burnham ) Forecast Planning Group:4004 - Ormiston Rivers Academy A 1,050 0 675 107 782 268 1,050 617 97 714 336 727 323Maldon Secondary Group 01 ( Burnham ) Total 1,050 0 675 107 782 268 1,050 617 97 714 336 727 323Maldon Secondary Group 02 ( Maldon ) Forecast Planning Group:5402 - Plume School A 1,841 0 1,455 343 1,798 43 1,841 1,387 351 1,738 103 1,757 84Maldon Secondary Group 02 ( Maldon ) Total 1,841 0 1,455 343 1,798 43 1,841 1,387 351 1,738 103 1,757 84

Maldon Total 2,891 0 2,130 450 2,580 311 2,891 2,004 448 2,452 439 2,484 407

Mid Essex Quadrant Total 24,962 0 19,386 3,459 22,845 2,117 24,922 19,414 3,372 22,786 2,136 23,489 1,433

North East Essex Quadrant - Colchester DistrictColchester Secondary Group 01 ( Colchester ) Forecast Planning Group:5464 - Alderman Blaxill School * F 662 0 170 0 170 492 0 0 0 0 0 0 06911 - Colchester Academy A 1,200 0 754 0 754 446 1,200 832 0 832 368 837 3635441 - The Gilberd School A 1,350 0 1,350 0 1,350 0 1,500 1,463 0 1,463 37 1,587 -875404 - Philip Morant School and College A 1,602 0 1,403 210 1,613 -11 1,602 1,430 215 1,645 -43 1,680 -785448 - St Helena School A 1,000 0 923 0 923 77 1,000 938 0 938 62 1,176 -1765462 - The Stanway School A 1,115 0 1,116 0 1,116 -1 1,115 1,117 0 1,117 -2 1,246 -1314020 - The Thomas Lord Audley School A 840 0 716 0 716 124 840 836 0 836 4 872 -32Colchester Secondary Group 01 ( Colchester ) Total 7,769 0 6,432 210 6,642 1,127 7,257 6,616 215 6,831 426 7,398 -141Colchester Secondary Group 02 ( Tiptree ) Forecast Planning Group:5413 - Thurstable School Sports College and Sixth Form Centre A 1,275 0 971 167 1,138 137 1,275 883 136 1,019 256 1,068 207Colchester Secondary Group 02 ( Tiptree ) Total 1,275 0 971 167 1,138 137 1,275 883 136 1,019 256 1,068 207Other - not grouped5454 - Colchester County High School For Girls A 797 0 558 235 793 4 797 672 236 908 -111 908 -1115443 - Colchester Royal Grammar School A 777 0 493 349 842 -65 777 492 345 837 -60 837 -605466 - St Benedict's Catholic College VA RC 840 0 822 0 822 18 840 826 0 826 14 826 14

Colchester Total 11,458 0 9,276 961 10,237 1,221 10,946 9,489 932 10,421 525 11,037 -91

North East Essex Quadrant - Tendring DistrictTendring Secondary Group 01 ( Clacton ) Forecast Planning Group:5444 - Clacton County High School A 1,535 0 1,242 350 1,592 -57 1,535 1,147 299 1,446 89 1,486 496910 - Clacton Coastal Academy A 1,550 0 1,382 263 1,645 -95 1,550 1,058 208 1,266 284 1,383 1674006 - Tendring Enterprise Studio School A 300 0 67 38 105 195 300 112 83 195 105 195 1055432 - Tendring Technology College A 1,980 0 1,563 371 1,934 46 1,980 1,531 371 1,902 78 1,967 13Tendring Secondary Group 01 ( Clacton ) Total 5,365 0 4,254 1,022 5,276 89 5,365 3,848 961 4,809 556 5,031 334Tendring Secondary Group 02 ( Brightlingsea ) Forecast Planning Group:5460 - Colne Community School and College A 1,488 0 1,194 182 1,376 112 1,488 1,128 177 1,305 183 1,374 114Tendring Secondary Group 02 ( Brightlingsea ) Total 1,488 0 1,194 182 1,376 112 1,488 1,128 177 1,305 183 1,374 114

Appendices





of 2012/13


Temporary places


Number on Roll

Years 7-11 January

2013

Number on Roll

Sixth Form January

2013


January 2013


Future Net

Capacity


2017/18


2017/18


2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including



adj for new

housingTendring Secondary Group 03 ( Harwich ) Forecast Planning Group:5453 - Harwich and Dovercourt High School A 1,433 0 1,019 103 1,122 311 1,433 973 112 1,085 348 1,149 284Tendring Secondary Group 03 ( Harwich ) Total 1,433 0 1,019 103 1,122 311 1,433 973 112 1,085 348 1,149 284Tendring Secondary Group 04 ( Manningtree ) Forecast Planning Group:5470 - Manningtree High School A 870 0 834 0 834 36 870 801 0 801 69 837 33Tendring Secondary Group 04 ( Manningtree ) Total 870 0 834 0 834 36 870 801 0 801 69 837 33Other - not groupedOther New Housing Potential Pupils - Tendring 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -4

Tendring Total 9,156 0 7,301 1,307 8,608 548 9,156 6,750 1,250 8,000 1,156 8,395 761

North East Essex Quadrant Total 20,614 0 16,577 2,268 18,845 1,769 20,102 16,239 2,182 18,421 1,681 19,432 670

South Essex Quadrant - Basildon DistrictBasildon Secondary Group 01 ( Basildon ) Forecast Planning Group:6908 - Basildon Lower Academy A 1,350 0 651 0 651 699 1,350 907 0 907 443 988 3626909 - Basildon Upper Academy A 1,400 0 550 161 711 689 1,400 336 56 392 1,008 446 9544680 - De La Salle School VA RC 750 0 750 0 750 0 750 752 0 752 -2 752 -24007 - The James Hornsby School A 900 0 764 0 764 136 900 849 0 849 51 882 184431 - Woodlands School, Basildon C 1,500 0 1,480 0 1,480 20 1,500 1,500 0 1,500 0 1,529 -294012 - New Campus Basildon Studio School - opens in 2013/14 *Basildon Secondary Group 01 ( Basildon ) Total 5,900 0 4,195 161 4,356 1,544 5,900 4,344 56 4,400 1,500 4,597 1,303Basildon Secondary Group 02 ( Billericay ) Forecast Planning Group:5468 - The Billericay School A 1,683 0 1,411 304 1,715 -32 1,683 1,404 313 1,717 -34 1,732 -494471 - Mayflower High School A 1,452 0 1,211 291 1,502 -50 1,452 1,187 294 1,481 -29 1,487 -35Basildon Secondary Group 02 ( Billericay ) Total 3,135 0 2,622 595 3,217 -82 3,135 2,591 607 3,198 -63 3,219 -84Basildon Secondary Group 03 ( Wickford ) Forecast Planning Group:5406 - Beauchamps High School F 1,318 0 1,194 122 1,316 2 1,318 1,159 118 1,277 41 1,331 -135407 - The Bromfords School A 1,260 0 1,067 143 1,210 50 1,260 1,095 133 1,228 32 1,282 -22Basildon Secondary Group 03 ( Wickford ) Total 2,578 0 2,261 265 2,526 52 2,578 2,254 251 2,505 73 2,613 -35

Basildon Total 11,613 0 9,078 1,021 10,099 1,514 11,613 9,189 914 10,103 1,510 10,429 1,184

South Essex Quadrant - Brentwood DistrictBrentwood Secondary Group 01 ( Brentwood / Shenfield ) Forecast Planning Group:4005 - Becket Keys Church of England Free School A CE 1,050 0 123 0 123 927 1,050 719 80 799 251 799 2515459 - Brentwood County High School F 1,424 0 1,146 216 1,362 62 1,424 1,029 175 1,204 220 1,225 1995461 - Brentwood Ursuline Convent High School A RC 1,047 0 819 217 1,036 11 1,047 830 227 1,057 -10 1,057 -105467 - Shenfield High School A 1,620 0 1,126 320 1,446 174 1,620 656 224 880 740 906 7145433 - St Martin's School A 1,722 0 1,361 379 1,740 -18 1,722 1,394 381 1,775 -53 1,801 -79Brentwood Secondary Group 01 ( Brentwood / Shenfield ) Total 6,863 0 4,575 1,132 5,707 1,156 6,863 4,628 1,087 5,715 1,148 5,788 1,075Other - not grouped5442 - Anglo European School A 1,338 0 1,039 298 1,337 1 1,338 1,040 288 1,328 10 1,333 5

Brentwood Total 8,201 0 5,614 1,430 7,044 1,157 8,201 5,668 1,375 7,043 1,158 7,121 1,080

Appendices





of 2012/13


Temporary places


Number on Roll

Years 7-11 January

2013

Number on Roll

Sixth Form January

2013


January 2013


Future Net

Capacity


2017/18


2017/18


2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including



adj for new

housing

South Essex Quadrant - Castle Point DistrictCastle Point Secondary Group 01 ( Benfleet ) Forecast Planning Group:5418 - The Appleton School * A 1,200 0 1,197 0 1,197 3 1,200 1,200 0 1,200 0 1,211 -115424 - The Deanes School * F 1,018 0 793 0 793 225 1,018 461 0 461 557 491 5275403 - The King John School * A 2,000 0 1,592 320 1,912 88 2,000 1,600 420 2,020 -20 2,059 -59Castle Point Secondary Group 01 ( Benfleet ) Total 4,218 0 3,582 320 3,902 316 4,218 3,261 420 3,681 537 3,761 457Castle Point Secondary Group 02 ( Canvey Island ) Forecast Planning Group:5419 - Castle View School F 1,200 0 1,161 0 1,161 39 1,200 902 0 902 298 912 2885420 - Cornelius Vermuyden F 900 0 841 0 841 59 900 905 0 905 -5 915 -15Castle Point Secondary Group 02 ( Canvey Island ) Total 2,100 0 2,002 0 2,002 98 2,100 1,807 0 1,807 293 1,827 273

Castle Point Total 6,318 0 5,584 320 5,904 414 6,318 5,068 420 5,488 830 5,588 730

South Essex Quadrant - Rochford DistrictRochford Secondary Group 01 ( Rayleigh ) Forecast Planning Group:5422 - The Fitzwimarc School F 1,350 0 1,352 0 1,352 -2 1,350 1,351 0 1,351 -1 1,370 -204011 - The Sweyne Park School A 1,240 0 1,251 0 1,251 -11 1,240 1,233 0 1,233 7 1,340 -100Rochford Secondary Group 01 ( Rayleigh ) Total 2,590 0 2,603 0 2,603 -13 2,590 2,584 0 2,584 6 2,710 -120Rochford Secondary Group 02 ( Rochford ) Forecast Planning Group:5421 - The King Edmund School A 1,630 0 1,352 242 1,594 36 1,630 1,306 241 1,547 83 1,676 -46Rochford Secondary Group 02 ( Rochford ) Total 1,630 0 1,352 242 1,594 36 1,630 1,306 241 1,547 83 1,676 -46Rochford Secondary Group 03 ( Hockley ) Forecast Planning Group:6906 - Greensward Academy A U 1,650 0 1,318 260 1,578 72 1,650 1,037 253 1,290 360 1,306 344Rochford Secondary Group 03 ( Hockley ) Total 1,650 0 1,318 260 1,578 72 1,650 1,037 253 1,290 360 1,306 344

Rochford Total 5,870 0 5,273 502 5,775 95 5,870 4,927 494 5,421 449 5,692 178

South Essex Quadrant Total 32,002 0 25,549 3,273 28,822 3,180 32,002 24,852 3,203 28,055 3,947 28,830 3,172

West Essex Quadrant - Epping Forest DistrictEpping Forest Secondary Group 01 ( Loughton ) Forecast Planning Group:5426 - Davenant Foundation School A M 1,170 0 829 337 1,166 4 1,170 800 335 1,135 35 1,135 354001 - Debden Park High School A 900 0 885 0 885 15 900 900 0 900 0 917 -174499 - Roding Valley High School C 1,200 0 1,163 0 1,163 37 1,200 1,194 0 1,194 6 1,202 -25405 - West Hatch High School A 1,223 0 943 305 1,248 -25 1,223 959 310 1,269 -46 1,278 -55Epping Forest Secondary Group 01 ( Loughton ) Total 4,493 0 3,820 642 4,462 31 4,493 3,853 645 4,498 -5 4,532 -39Epping Forest Secondary Group 02 ( Epping ) Forecast Planning Group:4530 - St John's Church of England (Voluntary Controlled) School, Epping VC CE 1,036 0 749 0 749 287 900 850 0 850 50 886 14Epping Forest Secondary Group 02 ( Epping ) Total 1,036 0 749 0 749 287 900 850 0 850 50 886 14Epping Forest Secondary Group 03 ( Waltham Abbey ) Forecast Planning Group:5415 - King Harold Academy A 750 0 616 0 616 134 750 686 0 686 64 712 38Epping Forest Secondary Group 03 ( Waltham Abbey ) Total 750 0 616 0 616 134 750 686 0 686 64 712 38

Epping Forest Total 6,279 0 5,185 642 5,827 452 6,143 5,389 645 6,034 109 6,130 13

Appendices





of 2012/13


Temporary places


Number on Roll

Years 7-11 January

2013

Number on Roll

Sixth Form January

2013


January 2013


Future Net

Capacity


2017/18


2017/18


2017/18

Forecast Surplus /

Deficit 2017/18

Forecast including



adj for new

housing

West Essex Quadrant - Harlow DistrictHarlow Secondary Group 01 ( Harlow ) Forecast Planning Group: *4333 - Burnt Mill Academy A 1,200 0 1,125 0 1,125 75 1,200 1,181 0 1,181 19 1,214 -144263 - Mark Hall School [4009 - (Academy) in 2013/14] F 1,150 0 768 0 768 382 1,150 755 0 755 395 918 2324323 - Passmores Academy A 1,200 0 985 0 985 215 1,200 1,124 0 1,124 76 1,126 745458 - St Mark's West Essex Catholic School A RC 1,120 0 787 191 978 142 1,120 791 213 1,004 116 1,004 1164343 - Stewards Academy A 1,050 0 1,022 0 1,022 28 1,050 1,072 0 1,072 -22 1,076 -26Harlow Secondary Group 01 ( Harlow ) Total 5,720 0 4,687 191 4,878 842 5,720 4,923 213 5,136 584 5,338 382Other - not groupedOther New Housing Potential Pupils - Harlow 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 -9

Harlow Total 5,720 0 4,687 191 4,878 842 5,720 4,923 213 5,136 584 5,347 373

West Essex Quadrant - Uttlesford DistrictUttlesford Secondary Group 01 ( Dunmow ) Forecast Planning Group:5457 - The Helena Romanes School and Sixth Form Centre A 1,563 0 1,175 200 1,375 188 1,563 1,164 184 1,348 215 1,470 93Uttlesford Secondary Group 01 ( Dunmow ) Total 1,563 0 1,175 200 1,375 188 1,563 1,164 184 1,348 215 1,470 93Uttlesford Secondary Group 02 ( Stansted ) Forecast Planning Group:4360 - The Mountfitchet Mathematics and Computing College C 666 0 354 0 354 312 666 383 0 383 283 536 130Uttlesford Secondary Group 02 ( Stansted ) Total 666 0 354 0 354 312 666 383 0 383 283 536 130Uttlesford Secondary Group 03 ( Newport ) Forecast Planning Group:5436 - Newport Free Grammar School A 1,030 0 808 151 959 71 1,030 824 149 973 57 984 46Uttlesford Secondary Group 03 ( Newport ) Total 1,030 0 808 151 959 71 1,030 824 149 973 57 984 46Uttlesford Secondary Group 04 ( Saffron Walden ) Forecast Planning Group:5408 - Saffron Walden County High School A 1,882 0 1,477 557 2,034 -152 1,972 1,483 567 2,050 -78 2,111 -139Uttlesford Secondary Group 04 ( Saffron Walden ) Total 1,882 0 1,477 557 2,034 -152 1,972 1,483 567 2,050 -78 2,111 -139Other - not groupedOther New Housing Potential Pupils - Uttlesford 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 -25

Uttlesford Total 5,141 0 3,814 908 4,722 419 5,231 3,854 900 4,754 477 5,126 105

West Essex Quadrant Total 17,140 0 13,686 1,741 15,427 1,713 17,094 14,166 1,758 15,924 1,170 16,603 491

Essex Secondary Total 94,718 0 75,198 10,741 85,939 8,779 94,120 74,671 10,515 85,186 8,934 88,354 5,766

[Notes:* Further information relating to this school or planning group is given in the Commentary at Section B of this document.** School Types are A: Academy, C: Community, F: Foundation, VA: Voluntary Aided, VC: Voluntary Controlled with denomination CE: Church of England, RC: Roman Catholic, M: Multi, U: Undenominational*** Net Capacity - for a school this column shows net capacity and for an academy it shows the total number of pupil places available as recorded in the funding agreement.]

Appendices


Appendix 1b - Table 2: Secondary Forecast Planning Group Summary - with NOR at January 2013 and Forecasts for 2013/14 to 2017/18

Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Quadrant Mid EssexDistrict Braintree

Braintree Secondary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Braintree

2016/17 674 671 633 598 649 108 110 3,443 3,501 1923,693 6902017/18 649 674 671 633 598 107 113 3,445 3,518 1753,693 690

2012/13 649 653 646 662 714 102 124 3,550 3,550 1433,693 690

2013/14 598 649 653 646 662 123 107 3,438 3,454 2393,693 6902014/15 633 598 649 653 646 104 129 3,412 3,438 2553,693 690

3,2253,225

3,324

3,2083,179

2015/16 671 633 598 649 653 105 109 3,418 3,459 2343,693 690 3,204218220

226

230233

214

Braintree Secondary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Witham

2016/17 307 281 257 269 262 139 121 1,636 1,668 5322,200 3602017/18 280 307 281 257 269 141 135 1,670 1,725 4752,200 360

2012/13 262 258 237 290 270 156 151 1,624 1,624 5762,200 360

2013/14 269 262 258 237 290 136 151 1,603 1,606 5942,200 3602014/15 257 269 262 258 237 149 131 1,563 1,572 6282,200 360

1,3761,394

1,317

1,3161,283

2015/16 281 257 269 262 258 124 144 1,595 1,613 5872,200 360 1,327260276

307

287280

268

Braintree Secondary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Halstead / Hedingham

2016/17 286 283 305 274 280 80 70 1,578 1,614 4012,015 3462017/18 298 286 283 305 274 93 59 1,598 1,650 3652,015 346

2012/13 280 280 317 308 311 74 84 1,654 1,654 3612,015 346

2013/14 274 280 280 317 308 95 55 1,609 1,615 4002,015 3462014/15 305 274 280 280 317 93 70 1,619 1,631 3842,015 346

1,4281,446

1,496

1,4591,456

2015/16 283 305 274 280 280 95 68 1,585 1,608 4072,015 346 1,422150152

158

150163

163

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Braintree Secondary Forecast Planning Group 04 - Coggeshall

2016/17 210 210 210 210 210 1,050 1,056 -61,050 2102017/18 210 210 210 210 210 1,050 1,057 -71,050 210

2012/13 210 213 208 210 200 1,041 1,041 91,050 210

2013/14 210 210 213 208 210 1,051 1,052 -21,050 2102014/15 210 210 210 213 208 1,051 1,053 -31,050 210

1,0501,050

1,041

1,0511,051

2015/16 210 210 210 210 213 1,053 1,057 -71,050 210 1,05300

0

00

0

Summary for Braintree District

2017/18 1,437 1,477 1,445 1,405 1,351 341 307 7,763 7,950 1,0088,958 1,606

2012/13 1,401 1,404 1,408 1,470 1,495 332 359 7,869 7,869 1,0898,958 1,606

2013/14 1,351 1,401 1,404 1,408 1,470 354 313 7,701 7,727 1,2318,958 1,606

2014/15 1,405 1,351 1,401 1,404 1,408 346 330 7,645 7,694 1,2648,958 1,606

7,115

7,178

7,034

6,969

2015/16 1,445 1,405 1,351 1,401 1,404 324 321 7,651 7,737 1,2218,958 1,606 7,006

648

691

667

676

6452016/17 1,477 1,445 1,405 1,351 1,401 327 301 7,707 7,839 1,1198,958 1,606 7,079 628

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Quadrant Mid EssexDistrict Chelmsford

Chelmsford Secondary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Chelmsford

2016/17 1,347 1,351 1,306 1,256 1,235 560 513 7,568 7,885 537,938 1,3322017/18 1,396 1,347 1,351 1,306 1,256 566 489 7,711 8,166 -2287,938 1,332

2012/13 1,235 1,223 1,296 1,298 1,359 562 528 7,501 7,501 4777,978 1,332

2013/14 1,256 1,235 1,223 1,296 1,298 613 491 7,412 7,441 5377,978 1,3322014/15 1,306 1,256 1,235 1,223 1,296 591 534 7,441 7,541 3977,978 1,332

6,4956,656

6,411

6,3086,316

2015/16 1,351 1,306 1,256 1,235 1,223 587 515 7,473 7,674 2647,978 1,332 6,3711,0731,055

1,090

1,1041,125

1,102

Chelmsford Secondary Forecast Planning Group 02 - South Woodham Ferrers

2016/17 293 297 302 295 296 207 200 1,890 1,890 1862,076 3192017/18 310 293 297 302 295 193 199 1,889 1,889 1872,076 319

2012/13 296 317 318 313 322 193 204 1,963 1,963 1132,076 319

2013/14 295 296 317 318 313 214 187 1,940 1,940 1362,076 3192014/15 302 295 296 317 318 204 198 1,930 1,930 1462,076 319

1,4831,497

1,566

1,5391,528

2015/16 297 302 295 296 317 207 196 1,910 1,910 1662,076 319 1,507407392

397

401402

403

Chelmsford Secondary Forecast Planning Group NO - Other - See note

2016/17 430 430 430 422 419 422 405 2,958 2,981 783,059 4302017/18 430 430 430 430 422 421 408 2,971 3,000 593,059 430

2012/13 419 420 416 423 423 419 412 2,932 2,932 1273,059 422

2013/14 422 419 420 416 423 426 406 2,932 2,938 1213,059 4222014/15 430 422 419 420 416 423 410 2,940 2,951 1083,059 430

2,1312,142

2,101

2,1002,107

2015/16 430 430 422 419 420 420 407 2,948 2,964 953,059 430 2,121827829

831

832833

827

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Summary for Chelmsford District

2017/18 2,136 2,070 2,078 2,038 1,973 1,180 1,096 12,571 13,055 1813,073 2,081

2012/13 1,950 1,960 2,030 2,034 2,104 1,174 1,144 12,396 12,396 71713,113 2,073

2013/14 1,973 1,950 1,960 2,030 2,034 1,253 1,084 12,284 12,319 79413,113 2,073

2014/15 2,038 1,973 1,950 1,960 2,030 1,218 1,142 12,311 12,422 65113,113 2,081

10,295

10,078

9,947

9,951

2015/16 2,078 2,038 1,973 1,950 1,960 1,214 1,118 12,331 12,548 52513,113 2,081 9,999

2,276

2,318

2,337

2,360

2,3322016/17 2,070 2,078 2,038 1,973 1,950 1,189 1,118 12,416 12,756 31713,073 2,081 10,109 2,307

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Quadrant Mid EssexDistrict Maldon

Maldon Secondary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Burnham

2016/17 140 110 120 123 123 52 53 721 732 3181,050 1402017/18 124 140 110 120 123 56 41 714 727 3231,050 140

2012/13 123 113 144 127 168 64 43 782 782 2681,050 140

2013/14 123 123 113 144 127 76 53 759 763 2871,050 1402014/15 120 123 123 113 144 58 61 742 750 3001,050 140

616617

675

630623

2015/16 110 120 123 123 113 66 46 701 710 3401,050 140 589105

97

107

129119

112

Maldon Secondary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Maldon

2016/17 296 251 295 280 289 182 171 1,764 1,781 601,841 2952017/18 265 296 251 295 280 179 172 1,738 1,757 841,841 295

2012/13 289 294 291 284 297 183 160 1,798 1,798 431,841 295

2013/14 280 289 294 291 284 184 174 1,796 1,801 401,841 2952014/15 295 280 289 294 291 176 174 1,799 1,809 321,841 295

1,4111,387

1,455

1,4381,449

2015/16 251 295 280 289 294 180 167 1,756 1,770 711,841 295 1,409353351

343

358350

347

Summary for Maldon District

2017/18 389 436 361 415 403 235 213 2,452 2,484 4072,891 435

2012/13 412 407 435 411 465 247 203 2,580 2,580 3112,891 435

2013/14 403 412 407 435 411 260 227 2,555 2,564 3272,891 435

2014/15 415 403 412 407 435 234 235 2,541 2,559 3322,891 435

2,004

2,130

2,068

2,072

2015/16 361 415 403 412 407 246 213 2,457 2,480 4112,891 435 1,998

448

450

487

469

4592016/17 436 361 415 403 412 234 224 2,485 2,513 3782,891 435 2,027 458

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Summary for Mid Essex Quadrant

2017/18 3,962 3,983 3,884 3,858 3,727 1,756 1,616 22,786 23,489 1,43324,922 4,122

2012/13 3,763 3,771 3,873 3,915 4,064 1,753 1,706 22,845 22,845 2,11724,962 4,114

2013/14 3,727 3,763 3,771 3,873 3,915 1,867 1,624 22,540 22,610 2,35224,962 4,1142014/15 3,858 3,727 3,763 3,771 3,873 1,798 1,707 22,497 22,675 2,24724,962 4,122

19,414

19,386

19,04918,992

2015/16 3,884 3,858 3,727 3,763 3,771 1,784 1,652 22,439 22,765 2,15724,962 4,122 19,003

3,372

3,459

3,4913,505

3,4362016/17 3,983 3,884 3,858 3,727 3,763 1,750 1,643 22,608 23,108 1,81424,922 4,122 19,215 3,393

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Quadrant North East EssexDistrict Colchester

Colchester Secondary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Colchester

2016/17 1,329 1,365 1,274 1,186 1,247 105 111 6,617 7,052 2057,257 1,3812017/18 1,462 1,329 1,365 1,274 1,186 105 110 6,831 7,398 -1417,257 1,381

2012/13 1,247 1,250 1,259 1,373 1,303 96 114 6,642 6,642 1,1277,769 1,381

2013/14 1,186 1,247 1,250 1,259 1,373 105 107 6,527 6,634 1,1357,769 1,3812014/15 1,274 1,186 1,247 1,250 1,259 105 110 6,431 6,628 6297,107 1,381

6,4016,616

6,432

6,3156,216

2015/16 1,365 1,274 1,186 1,247 1,250 105 111 6,538 6,845 4127,107 1,381 6,322216215

210

212215

216

Colchester Secondary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Tiptree

2016/17 191 175 183 174 168 72 80 1,043 1,078 1971,275 2102017/18 160 191 175 183 174 69 67 1,019 1,068 2071,275 210

2012/13 168 176 210 206 211 84 83 1,138 1,138 1371,275 210

2013/14 174 168 176 210 206 86 78 1,098 1,101 1741,275 2102014/15 183 174 168 176 210 84 80 1,075 1,085 1901,275 210

891883

971

934911

2015/16 175 183 174 168 176 86 78 1,040 1,060 2151,275 210 876152136

167

164164

164

Colchester Secondary Forecast Planning Group NO - Other - See note

2016/17 404 404 408 366 375 284 298 2,539 2,539 -1252,414 4042017/18 404 404 408 408 366 283 298 2,571 2,571 -1572,414 404

2012/13 372 367 376 376 382 283 301 2,457 2,457 -432,414 376

2013/14 362 372 373 376 376 285 300 2,444 2,444 -302,414 3762014/15 404 362 375 373 376 284 299 2,473 2,473 -592,414 404

1,9571,990

1,873

1,8591,890

2015/16 404 404 366 375 373 284 298 2,504 2,504 -902,414 404 1,922582581

584

585583

582

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Summary for Colchester District

2017/18 2,026 1,924 1,948 1,865 1,726 457 475 10,421 11,037 -9110,946 1,995

2012/13 1,787 1,793 1,845 1,955 1,896 463 498 10,237 10,237 1,22111,458 1,967

2013/14 1,722 1,787 1,799 1,845 1,955 476 485 10,069 10,179 1,27911,458 1,967

2014/15 1,861 1,722 1,790 1,799 1,845 473 489 9,979 10,186 76010,796 1,995

9,489

9,276

9,108

9,017

2015/16 1,944 1,861 1,726 1,790 1,799 475 487 10,082 10,409 53710,796 1,995 9,120

932

961

961

962

9622016/17 1,924 1,944 1,865 1,726 1,790 461 489 10,199 10,669 27710,946 1,995 9,249 950

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Quadrant North East EssexDistrict Tendring

Tendring Secondary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Clacton

2016/17 727 788 749 776 789 503 525 4,857 5,020 3455,365 8412017/18 787 727 788 770 776 488 473 4,809 5,031 3345,365 841

2012/13 768 798 918 901 869 551 471 5,276 5,276 895,365 861

2013/14 755 768 798 936 901 538 534 5,230 5,258 1075,365 8612014/15 749 755 768 819 936 522 509 5,058 5,118 2475,365 841

3,8293,848

4,254

4,1584,027

2015/16 788 749 755 789 819 555 492 4,947 5,054 3115,365 841 3,9001,028

961

1,022

1,0721,031

1,047

Tendring Secondary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Brightlingsea

2016/17 204 248 221 237 221 89 93 1,313 1,366 1221,488 2482017/18 223 204 248 216 237 85 92 1,305 1,374 1141,488 248

2012/13 226 238 245 241 244 82 100 1,376 1,376 1121,488 248

2013/14 242 226 238 240 241 91 87 1,365 1,372 1161,488 2482014/15 221 242 226 233 240 90 94 1,346 1,366 1221,488 248

1,1311,128

1,194

1,1871,162

2015/16 248 221 242 221 233 90 93 1,348 1,384 1041,488 248 1,165182177

182

178184

183

Tendring Secondary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Harwich

2016/17 184 214 181 211 185 72 41 1,088 1,139 2941,433 2602017/18 193 184 214 171 211 67 45 1,085 1,149 2841,433 260

2012/13 195 208 196 208 212 47 56 1,122 1,122 3111,433 260

2013/14 221 195 208 189 208 73 30 1,124 1,136 2971,433 2602014/15 181 221 195 198 189 72 46 1,102 1,126 3071,433 260

975973

1,019

1,021984

2015/16 214 181 221 185 198 66 45 1,110 1,147 2861,433 260 999113112

103

103118

111

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Tendring Secondary Forecast Planning Group 04 - Manningtree

2016/17 160 174 163 149 157 803 831 39870 1742017/18 155 160 174 163 149 801 837 33870 174

2012/13 157 171 165 173 168 834 834 36870 174

2013/14 149 157 171 165 173 815 821 49870 1742014/15 163 149 157 171 165 805 816 54870 174

803801

834

815805

2015/16 174 163 149 157 171 814 833 37870 174 81400

0

00

0

Tendring Secondary Forecast Planning Group NO - Other - See note

2016/17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -40 02017/18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 -40 0

2012/13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00 0

2013/14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 -10 02014/15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -20 0

00

0

00

2015/16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -30 0 000

0

00

0

Summary for Tendring District

2017/18 1,358 1,275 1,424 1,320 1,373 640 610 8,000 8,395 7619,156 1,523

2012/13 1,346 1,415 1,524 1,523 1,493 680 627 8,608 8,608 5489,156 1,543

2013/14 1,367 1,346 1,415 1,530 1,523 702 651 8,534 8,588 5689,156 1,543

2014/15 1,314 1,367 1,346 1,421 1,530 684 649 8,311 8,428 7289,156 1,523

6,750

7,301

7,181

6,978

2015/16 1,424 1,314 1,367 1,352 1,421 711 630 8,219 8,421 7359,156 1,523 6,878

1,250

1,307

1,353

1,333

1,3412016/17 1,275 1,424 1,314 1,373 1,352 664 659 8,061 8,360 7969,156 1,523 6,738 1,323

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Summary for North East Essex Quadrant

2017/18 3,384 3,199 3,372 3,185 3,099 1,097 1,085 18,421 19,432 67020,102 3,518

2012/13 3,133 3,208 3,369 3,478 3,389 1,143 1,125 18,845 18,845 1,76920,614 3,510

2013/14 3,089 3,133 3,214 3,375 3,478 1,178 1,136 18,603 18,767 1,84720,614 3,5102014/15 3,175 3,089 3,136 3,220 3,375 1,157 1,138 18,290 18,614 1,48819,952 3,518

16,239

16,577

16,28915,995

2015/16 3,368 3,175 3,093 3,142 3,220 1,186 1,117 18,301 18,830 1,27219,952 3,518 15,998

2,182

2,268

2,3142,295

2,3032016/17 3,199 3,368 3,179 3,099 3,142 1,125 1,148 18,260 19,029 1,07320,102 3,518 15,987 2,273

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Quadrant South EssexDistrict Basildon

Basildon Secondary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Basildon

2016/17 877 902 805 757 709 27 44 4,121 4,273 1,6275,900 1,0802017/18 1,003 877 902 805 757 29 27 4,400 4,597 1,3035,900 1,080

2012/13 709 832 897 875 882 92 69 4,356 4,356 1,5445,900 1,080

2013/14 757 709 832 899 873 60 90 4,220 4,261 1,6395,900 1,0802014/15 805 757 709 832 899 56 59 4,117 4,189 1,7115,900 1,080

4,0504,344

4,195

4,0704,002

2015/16 902 805 757 709 832 45 55 4,105 4,211 1,6895,900 1,080 4,0057156

161

150115

100

Basildon Secondary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Billericay

2016/17 520 520 520 511 525 315 295 3,206 3,224 -893,135 5202017/18 520 520 520 520 511 317 290 3,198 3,219 -843,135 520

2012/13 525 522 533 520 522 308 287 3,217 3,217 -823,135 520

2013/14 511 525 522 533 520 316 292 3,219 3,224 -893,135 5202014/15 520 511 525 522 533 315 289 3,215 3,226 -913,135 520

2,5962,591

2,622

2,6112,611

2015/16 520 520 511 525 522 322 289 3,209 3,223 -883,135 520 2,598610607

595

608604

611

Basildon Secondary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Wickford

2016/17 464 464 458 404 436 129 134 2,489 2,579 -12,578 4642017/18 464 464 464 458 404 126 125 2,505 2,613 -352,578 464

2012/13 436 442 472 462 449 155 110 2,526 2,526 522,578 464

2013/14 404 436 442 472 462 131 150 2,497 2,529 492,578 4642014/15 458 404 436 442 472 135 127 2,474 2,524 542,578 464

2,2262,254

2,261

2,2162,212

2015/16 464 458 404 436 442 138 131 2,473 2,545 332,578 464 2,204263251

265

281262

269

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Summary for Basildon District

2017/18 1,987 1,861 1,886 1,783 1,672 472 442 10,103 10,429 1,18411,613 2,064

2012/13 1,670 1,796 1,902 1,857 1,853 555 466 10,099 10,099 1,51411,613 2,064

2013/14 1,672 1,670 1,796 1,904 1,855 507 532 9,936 10,014 1,59911,613 2,064

2014/15 1,783 1,672 1,670 1,796 1,904 506 475 9,806 9,939 1,67411,613 2,064

9,189

9,078

8,897

8,825

2015/16 1,886 1,783 1,672 1,670 1,796 505 475 9,787 9,979 1,63411,613 2,064 8,807

914

1,021

1,039

981

9802016/17 1,861 1,886 1,783 1,672 1,670 471 473 9,816 10,076 1,53711,613 2,064 8,872 944

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Quadrant South EssexDistrict Brentwood

Brentwood Secondary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Brentwood / Shenfield

2016/17 943 932 919 889 894 552 545 5,674 5,737 1,1266,863 9562017/18 945 943 932 919 889 570 517 5,715 5,788 1,0756,863 956

2012/13 894 875 921 951 934 567 565 5,707 5,707 1,1566,863 1,059

2013/14 889 894 875 921 951 599 532 5,661 5,683 1,1806,863 1,0672014/15 919 889 894 875 921 608 558 5,664 5,698 1,1656,863 956

4,5774,628

4,575

4,5304,498

2015/16 932 919 889 894 875 585 566 5,660 5,705 1,1586,863 956 4,5091,0971,087

1,132

1,1311,166

1,151

Brentwood Secondary Forecast Planning Group NO - Other - See note

2016/17 210 210 210 210 197 150 147 1,334 1,338 01,338 2102017/18 200 210 210 210 210 141 147 1,328 1,333 51,338 210

2012/13 197 210 211 209 212 142 156 1,337 1,337 11,338 210

2013/14 210 197 210 211 209 151 140 1,328 1,328 101,338 2102014/15 210 210 197 210 211 149 148 1,335 1,336 21,338 210

1,0371,040

1,039

1,0371,038

2015/16 210 210 210 197 210 150 146 1,333 1,336 21,338 210 1,037297288

298

291297

296

Summary for Brentwood District

2017/18 1,145 1,153 1,142 1,129 1,099 711 664 7,043 7,121 1,0808,201 1,166

2012/13 1,091 1,085 1,132 1,160 1,146 709 721 7,044 7,044 1,1578,201 1,269

2013/14 1,099 1,091 1,085 1,132 1,160 750 672 6,989 7,011 1,1908,201 1,277

2014/15 1,129 1,099 1,091 1,085 1,132 757 706 6,999 7,034 1,1678,201 1,166

5,668

5,614

5,567

5,536

2015/16 1,142 1,129 1,099 1,091 1,085 735 712 6,993 7,041 1,1608,201 1,166 5,546

1,375

1,430

1,422

1,463

1,4472016/17 1,153 1,142 1,129 1,099 1,091 702 692 7,008 7,075 1,1268,201 1,166 5,614 1,394

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Quadrant South EssexDistrict Castle Point

Castle Point Secondary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Benfleet

2016/17 631 665 654 625 679 220 200 3,674 3,729 4894,218 7402017/18 686 631 665 654 625 220 200 3,681 3,761 4574,218 740

2012/13 679 678 722 731 772 175 145 3,902 3,902 3164,218 740

2013/14 625 679 678 722 731 220 159 3,814 3,819 3994,218 7402014/15 654 625 679 678 722 220 200 3,778 3,797 4214,218 740

3,2543,261

3,582

3,4353,358

2015/16 665 654 625 679 678 220 200 3,721 3,753 4654,218 740 3,301420420

320

379420

420

Castle Point Secondary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Canvey Island

2016/17 366 355 351 366 373 1,811 1,825 2752,100 4202017/18 369 366 355 351 366 1,807 1,827 2732,100 420

2012/13 374 352 431 393 452 2,002 2,002 982,100 420

2013/14 366 373 355 431 394 1,919 1,921 1792,100 4202014/15 351 366 373 355 431 1,876 1,880 2202,100 420

1,8111,807

2,002

1,9191,876

2015/16 355 351 366 373 355 1,800 1,808 2922,100 420 1,80000

0

00

0

Summary for Castle Point District

2017/18 1,055 997 1,020 1,005 991 220 200 5,488 5,588 7306,318 1,160

2012/13 1,053 1,030 1,153 1,124 1,224 175 145 5,904 5,904 4146,318 1,160

2013/14 991 1,052 1,033 1,153 1,125 220 159 5,733 5,740 5786,318 1,160

2014/15 1,005 991 1,052 1,033 1,153 220 200 5,654 5,677 6416,318 1,160

5,068

5,584

5,354

5,234

2015/16 1,020 1,005 991 1,052 1,033 220 200 5,521 5,561 7576,318 1,160 5,101

420

320

379

420

4202016/17 997 1,020 1,005 991 1,052 220 200 5,485 5,554 7646,318 1,160 5,065 420

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Quadrant South EssexDistrict Rochford

Rochford Secondary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Rayleigh

2016/17 518 518 518 512 517 2,583 2,679 -892,590 5182017/18 518 518 518 518 512 2,584 2,710 -1202,590 518

2012/13 517 520 517 520 529 2,603 2,603 -132,590 518

2013/14 508 517 520 518 520 2,583 2,601 -112,590 5182014/15 518 509 517 520 518 2,582 2,622 -322,590 518

2,5832,584

2,603

2,5832,582

2015/16 518 518 510 517 520 2,583 2,648 -582,590 518 2,58300

0

00

0

Rochford Secondary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Rochford

2016/17 259 254 254 269 272 134 106 1,548 1,641 -111,630 2702017/18 270 259 254 254 269 135 106 1,547 1,676 -461,630 270

2012/13 272 271 271 269 269 130 112 1,594 1,594 361,630 270

2013/14 269 272 271 271 269 133 103 1,588 1,595 351,630 2702014/15 254 269 272 271 271 133 105 1,575 1,602 281,630 270

1,3081,306

1,352

1,3521,337

2015/16 254 254 269 272 271 134 105 1,559 1,617 131,630 270 1,320240241

242

236238

239

Rochford Secondary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Hockley

2016/17 187 220 216 210 241 136 132 1,342 1,356 2941,650 2402017/18 204 187 220 216 210 122 131 1,290 1,306 3441,650 240

2012/13 241 270 272 266 269 131 129 1,578 1,578 721,650 270

2013/14 210 241 270 272 266 136 126 1,521 1,525 1251,650 2402014/15 216 210 241 270 272 134 131 1,474 1,480 1701,650 240

1,0741,037

1,318

1,2591,209

2015/16 220 216 210 241 270 137 129 1,423 1,434 2161,650 240 1,157268253

260

262265

266

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Summary for Rochford District

2017/18 992 964 992 988 991 257 237 5,421 5,692 1785,870 1,028

2012/13 1,030 1,061 1,060 1,055 1,067 261 241 5,775 5,775 955,870 1,058

2013/14 987 1,030 1,061 1,061 1,055 269 229 5,692 5,721 1495,870 1,028

2014/15 988 988 1,030 1,061 1,061 267 236 5,631 5,704 1665,870 1,028

4,927

5,273

5,194

5,128

2015/16 992 988 989 1,030 1,061 271 234 5,565 5,699 1715,870 1,028 5,060

494

502

498

503

5052016/17 964 992 988 991 1,030 270 238 5,473 5,676 1945,870 1,028 4,965 508

Summary for South Essex Quadrant

2017/18 5,179 4,975 5,040 4,905 4,753 1,660 1,543 28,055 28,830 3,17232,002 5,418

2012/13 4,844 4,972 5,247 5,196 5,290 1,700 1,573 28,822 28,822 3,18032,002 5,551

2013/14 4,749 4,843 4,975 5,250 5,195 1,746 1,592 28,350 28,486 3,51632,002 5,5292014/15 4,905 4,750 4,843 4,975 5,250 1,750 1,617 28,090 28,354 3,64832,002 5,418

24,852

25,549

25,01224,723

2015/16 5,040 4,905 4,751 4,843 4,975 1,731 1,621 27,866 28,280 3,72232,002 5,418 24,514

3,203

3,273

3,3383,367

3,3522016/17 4,975 5,040 4,905 4,753 4,843 1,663 1,603 27,782 28,381 3,62132,002 5,418 24,516 3,266

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Quadrant West EssexDistrict Epping Forest

Epping Forest Secondary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Loughton

2016/17 783 769 769 737 750 339 312 4,459 4,483 104,493 7692017/18 795 783 769 769 737 335 310 4,498 4,532 -394,493 769

2012/13 750 771 758 777 764 324 318 4,462 4,462 314,493 769

2013/14 737 750 772 759 777 336 298 4,429 4,435 584,493 7692014/15 769 737 750 774 761 341 308 4,440 4,451 424,493 769

3,8083,853

3,820

3,7953,791

2015/16 769 769 737 750 774 341 312 4,452 4,468 254,493 769 3,799651645

642

634649

653

Epping Forest Secondary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Epping

2016/17 180 173 165 152 132 802 829 71900 1802017/18 180 180 173 165 152 850 886 14900 180

2012/13 132 147 141 173 156 749 749 2871,036 180

2013/14 152 132 147 141 173 745 752 148900 1802014/15 165 152 132 147 141 737 748 152900 180

802850

749

745737

2015/16 173 165 152 132 147 769 788 112900 180 76900

0

00

0

Epping Forest Secondary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Waltham Abbey

2016/17 139 135 134 138 108 654 676 74750 1802017/18 140 139 135 134 138 686 712 38750 180

2012/13 108 132 126 128 122 616 616 134750 150

2013/14 138 108 132 126 128 632 636 114750 1502014/15 134 138 108 132 126 638 649 101750 180

654686

616

632638

2015/16 135 134 138 108 132 647 664 86750 180 64700

0

00

0

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Summary for Epping Forest District

2017/18 1,115 1,102 1,077 1,068 1,027 335 310 6,034 6,130 136,143 1,129

2012/13 990 1,050 1,025 1,078 1,042 324 318 5,827 5,827 4526,279 1,099

2013/14 1,027 990 1,051 1,026 1,078 336 298 5,806 5,823 3206,143 1,099

2014/15 1,068 1,027 990 1,053 1,028 341 308 5,815 5,848 2956,143 1,129

5,389

5,185

5,172

5,166

2015/16 1,077 1,068 1,027 990 1,053 341 312 5,868 5,920 2236,143 1,129 5,215

645

642

634

649

6532016/17 1,102 1,077 1,068 1,027 990 339 312 5,915 5,988 1556,143 1,129 5,264 651

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Quadrant West EssexDistrict Harlow

Harlow Secondary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Harlow

2016/17 1,034 1,001 917 918 922 112 99 5,003 5,139 5815,720 9402017/18 1,053 1,034 1,001 917 918 116 97 5,136 5,338 3825,720 940

2012/13 922 901 940 976 948 89 102 4,878 4,878 8425,720 970

2013/14 918 922 901 940 976 113 77 4,847 4,862 8585,720 9702014/15 917 918 922 901 940 114 98 4,810 4,849 8715,720 940

4,7924,923

4,687

4,6574,598

2015/16 1,001 917 918 922 901 114 99 4,872 4,952 7685,720 940 4,659211213

191

190212

213

Harlow Secondary Forecast Planning Group NO - Other - See note

2016/17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 -70 02017/18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 -90 0

2012/13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00 0

2013/14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -20 02014/15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -30 0

00

0

00

2015/16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 -50 0 000

0

00

0

Summary for Harlow District

2017/18 1,053 1,034 1,001 917 918 116 97 5,136 5,347 3735,720 940

2012/13 922 901 940 976 948 89 102 4,878 4,878 8425,720 970

2013/14 918 922 901 940 976 113 77 4,847 4,864 8565,720 970

2014/15 917 918 922 901 940 114 98 4,810 4,852 8685,720 940

4,923

4,687

4,657

4,598

2015/16 1,001 917 918 922 901 114 99 4,872 4,957 7635,720 940 4,659

213

191

190

212

2132016/17 1,034 1,001 917 918 922 112 99 5,003 5,146 5745,720 940 4,792 211

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Quadrant West EssexDistrict Uttlesford

Uttlesford Secondary Forecast Planning Group 01 - Dunmow

2016/17 240 240 215 213 225 96 100 1,329 1,419 1441,563 2402017/18 256 240 240 215 213 99 85 1,348 1,470 931,563 240

2012/13 225 218 255 223 254 95 105 1,375 1,375 1881,563 270

2013/14 213 225 218 255 223 112 84 1,330 1,343 2201,563 2702014/15 215 213 225 218 255 99 100 1,325 1,359 2041,563 240

1,1331,164

1,175

1,1341,126

2015/16 240 215 213 225 218 113 87 1,311 1,375 1881,563 240 1,111196184

200

196199

200

Uttlesford Secondary Forecast Planning Group 02 - Stansted

2016/17 79 83 55 80 54 351 471 195666 1122017/18 86 79 83 55 80 383 536 130666 112

2012/13 54 65 73 67 95 354 354 312666 112

2013/14 80 54 65 73 67 339 377 289666 1122014/15 55 80 54 65 73 327 388 278666 112

351383

354

339327

2015/16 83 55 80 54 65 337 427 239666 112 33700

0

00

0

Uttlesford Secondary Forecast Planning Group 03 - Newport

2016/17 168 168 156 164 168 72 73 969 977 531,030 1682017/18 168 168 168 156 164 85 64 973 984 461,030 168

2012/13 168 143 164 167 166 78 73 959 959 711,030 168

2013/14 164 168 143 164 167 84 69 959 959 711,030 1682014/15 156 164 168 143 164 84 74 953 953 771,030 168

824824

808

806795

2015/16 168 156 164 168 143 83 74 956 959 711,030 168 799145149

151

153158

157

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Uttlesford Secondary Forecast Planning Group 04 - Saffron Walden

2016/17 305 306 280 294 291 291 286 2,053 2,097 -1251,972 2902017/18 298 305 306 280 294 291 276 2,050 2,111 -1391,972 290

2012/13 291 291 301 296 298 274 283 2,034 2,034 -1521,882 290

2013/14 294 291 291 301 296 298 260 2,031 2,042 -701,972 2902014/15 280 294 291 291 301 296 283 2,036 2,058 -861,972 290

1,4761,483

1,477

1,4731,457

2015/16 306 280 294 291 291 301 281 2,044 2,077 -1051,972 290 1,462577567

557

558579

582

Uttlesford Secondary Forecast Planning Group NO - Other - See note

2016/17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 19 -190 02017/18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 25 -250 0

2012/13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00 0

2013/14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 -50 02014/15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 -90 0

00

0

00

2015/16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 -140 0 000

0

00

0

Summary for Uttlesford District

2017/18 808 792 797 706 751 475 425 4,754 5,126 1055,231 810

2012/13 738 717 793 753 813 447 461 4,722 4,722 4195,141 840

2013/14 751 738 717 793 753 494 413 4,659 4,726 5055,231 840

2014/15 706 751 738 717 793 479 457 4,641 4,767 4645,231 810

3,854

3,814

3,752

3,705

2015/16 797 706 751 738 717 497 442 4,648 4,852 3795,231 810 3,709

900

908

907

936

9392016/17 792 797 706 751 738 459 459 4,702 4,983 2485,231 810 3,784 918

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Summary for West Essex Quadrant

2017/18 2,976 2,928 2,875 2,691 2,696 926 832 15,924 16,603 49117,094 2,879

2012/13 2,650 2,668 2,758 2,807 2,803 860 881 15,427 15,427 1,71317,140 2,909

2013/14 2,696 2,650 2,669 2,759 2,807 943 788 15,312 15,413 1,68117,094 2,9092014/15 2,691 2,696 2,650 2,671 2,761 934 863 15,266 15,467 1,62717,094 2,879

14,166

13,686

13,58113,469

2015/16 2,875 2,691 2,696 2,650 2,671 952 853 15,388 15,729 1,36517,094 2,879 13,583

1,758

1,741

1,7311,797

1,8052016/17 2,928 2,875 2,691 2,696 2,650 910 870 15,620 16,117 97717,094 2,879 13,840 1,780

Appendices



Academic Year

Year 7

Year 8

Year 9

Year 10

Year 11

Year 12

Year 13


Surplus / Deficit

Net Capacity

Admission Number

Years 7 to 11

Sixth Form

Summary for Essex

2017/18 15,501 15,085 15,171 14,639 14,275 5,439 5,076 85,186 88,354 5,76694,120 15,937

2012/13 14,390 14,619 15,247 15,396 15,546 5,456 5,285 85,939 85,939 8,77994,718 16,084

2013/14 14,261 14,389 14,629 15,257 15,395 5,734 5,140 84,805 85,276 9,39694,672 16,0622014/15 14,629 14,262 14,392 14,637 15,259 5,639 5,325 84,143 85,110 9,01094,010 15,937

74,671

75,198

73,93173,179

2015/16 15,167 14,629 14,267 14,398 14,637 5,653 5,243 83,994 85,604 8,51694,010 15,937 73,098

10,515

10,741

10,87410,964

10,8962016/17 15,085 15,167 14,633 14,275 14,398 5,448 5,264 84,270 86,635 7,48594,120 15,937 73,558 10,712

[ Note: The totals shown under the "Other" category within each district are for schools which do not sit within any of the forecast planning groups, and for potential pupils from new housing where its location within the district is unspecified. As such, although the numbers on roll and forecasts are summarised together for the purpose of this report, there is no connection between any of the schools or the potential pupils from new housing. To see details of which schools are in this category for a given district, refer to Table 1 of this Appendix. ]

Appendices


Appendices


Appendix 2: Special Education Data

Appendix 2 Table 1: Mainstream schools with SEN unit or resourced provision

Quadrant School by Quadrant SEN Unit or resourced provision/

Age Range NOR Jan 2013 Specific area(s) of SEN catered for

Mid Mildmay I & N Resourced provision / Hearing Impairment 3-7 10

Mildmay J, Chelmsford Resourced provision / Hearing Impairment 7-11 8

Powers Hall I & N, Witham Resourced provision / Speech & Language 5-7 7

Powers Hall J, Witham Resourced provision / Speech & Language 7-11 5

Trinity Road P, Chelmsford SEN Unit / Speech & Language 5-11 18

Gt Baddow High, Chelmsford Resourced provision / Hearing Impairment 11-16 15

Notley High, Braintree SEN Unit / Speech & Language 11-16 20

Mid Essex total 83

North East Cherry Tree P & SLU, Colchester SEN Unit / Speech & Language 5-11 16

Lexden P with Unit for HI Pupils & N Resourced provision / Hearing Impairment 3-11 21

Philip Morant, The, Colchester SEN Unit / Hearing Impairment 11-16 16

North East Essex total 53

South Ghyllgrove Cmty J, Basildon Resourced provision / Hearing Impairment 3-11 4

Glebe I & UHI, Rayleigh SEN Unit / Hearing Impairment 3-7 10

Glebe J & UHI, Rayleigh SEN Unit / Hearing Impairment 7-11 9

Mayflower High, Billericay SEN Unit / Specific Learning Difficulties 11-16 20

Sweyne Park, The, Rayleigh SEN Unit / Hearing Impairment 11-16 17

West Horndon P SEN Unit / Speech & Language 5-11 15

Woodlands, Basildon Resourced provision / Speech & Language 11-16 9

South Essex total 84

West Bentfield P, Stansted Resourced provision/ Severe Learning Difficulties 3-11 11

Harlowbury P, Harlow SEN Unit / Speech & Language 5-11 20

Tany's Dell Cmty P, Harlow SEN Unit / Hearing Impairment 7-11 6

Forest Hall School, Stansted Mountfitchet SEN Unit / Specific Learning Difficulties 11-16 25

West Essex total 62

Essex total 282

Appendices


[Source: School Census, January 2013. SEN Units or special classes are provisions within a mainstream school where the children are taught wholly or mainly within separate classes. Resourced provisions are where places are reserved at a mainstream school for pupils with a specific type of SEN, taught mainly within mainstream classes, who would require a base and some specialist facilities around the school.]

Appendices


Appendix 2 Table 2: Essex Special schools

Quadrant School Type

Age Range

NOR (Jan 2013)

Places 2012/13

Places 2013/14

Mid The Edith Borthwick, Braintree SLD/ ASD 3-19 186 165 186

Columbus, Chelmsford SLD/ ASD 3-19 213 225 215

Thriftwood, Chelmsford MLD 5-19 132 134 157

Southview, Witham PD 3-19 57 62 60

Ramsden Hall, Billericay BESD (RES) 11-16 118 128 128

Mid Essex Total 706 714 746 North East Shorefields, Clacton SLD/ ASD 3-19 114 120 120

Kingswode Hoe, Colchester MLD 5-16 120 121 120

Lexden Springs, Colchester SLD 3-19 119 113 119

Market Field, Elmstead MLD/ ASD 3-16 185 180 185

North East Essex Total 538 534 544 South The Pioneer, Basildon SLD 3-19 132 125 140

Cedar Hall, Benfleet MLD 5-16 151 141 151

Glenwood, Benfleet SLD/ ASD 3-19 116 112 120

Castledon, Wickford MLD/ ASD 3-16 145 149 144

The Endeavour, Brentwood MLD 5-16 110 108 120

South Essex Total 654 635 675 West Wells Park, Chigwell BESD (RES) 7-11 39 40 50

Harlow Fields SLD/ ASD/ MLD 3-19 102 100 105

Oak View, Loughton SLD/ MLD 3-19 74 75 80

West Essex Total 215 215 235 Essex Total 2,113 2,098 2,200

[Source: NOR from School Census, January 2013. Number of Places provided by SEN Planning and Provision for Autumn/Spring term places.] Abbreviations: ASD Autistic Spectrum Disorder BESD Behavioural, Emotional and Social Difficulties MLD Moderate Learning Difficulties PD Physical Difficulties RES Residential SLD Severe Learning Difficulties

Appendices


Appendix 3: Housing development data

The table shows the housing sites that are included in the forecasts. Inclusion of a site does not indicate planning approval or Essex County Council support for any given site or level of development.

Appendix 3 Table 1: Housing sites included in the forecasts

Site ref

Site name Town / village Site progress

Total units

Plan period trajectory

total

of which qualifying

units

Mid Essex Quadrant

Braintree District

10563 Blandford House Braintree NS 14 6 2 10648 Bocking End (Land rear of 19-21) Braintree NS 6 6 6 5152 Braintree Clinic & Bridgend Cottage Braintree NS 16 16 8 9712 Braintree Road (Land at) Braintree NS 12 12 10 4736 Christy House and Chantry House Braintree NS 20 13 13 10676 Church Lane (Land rear of 49-57) Braintree NS 9 9 9 5448 Clare Road (Land Rear Of 37-43) Braintree NS 12 12 11 5498 Exchange Building (Telephone Exchange) Braintree NS 14 14 12 5830 Francis Road and 275 Rayne Road (ATS site) Braintree NS 9 9 9 1543 Mill Hill (Land south of) Braintree PI 280 127 124 4018 Rayne Road (Land r/o 305) Braintree PI 7 7 7 1073 Riverside Centre (Braintree Swimming Pool) Braintree S 121 75 58 10807 Rose and Crown PH Braintree NS 10 10 10 10823 South Street (Land rear of 180) Braintree NS 6 6 6 4695 South Street Service Station Braintree NS 24 24 12 5656 Station Approach (Builder's Yard) Braintree S 64 64 57 5751 Station Approach (Crossman House) Braintree NS 10 10 10 10844 Tabor Ave (Ex garage court land S. of 83) Braintree NS 6 6 6


Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

10847 Tenter Close Braintree NS 6 6 6 3689 William Julian Courtauld Hospital Braintree NS 29 29 27 4867 Williams Drive (Land off) Braintree PI 14 9 8 10804 Church Street (Redundant builders yard) Colne Engaine NS 8 8 8 6243 Ashes Garage Cressing NS 9 9 9 5819 Greenways Gosfield NS 9 9 9 5759 Fenn Road (The Old Wood Yard site) Halstead NS 30 30 30 1562 Land off Stanstead Road / Balls Chase / Tidings Hill Site Halstead PI 184 26 26 10763 Market Hill (5-7) Halstead NS 6 6 6 10815 Senior Citizens Centre site Halstead NS 10 10 10 10832 Stanstead Road (Land off) Halstead NS 9 9 9 10710 Garage Court Rayne NS 7 7 7 10661 Braintree Road (Builders yard) Shalford NS 9 9 9 4777 Coopers Yard and adjoining land Sible Hedingham NS 12 12 12 10788 Park Court Sible Hedingham NS 7 7 7 5435 Premdor Site 2 (Former) Sible Hedingham NS 192 180 172 10849 Sible Hedingham Village Hall (land adj) Sible Hedingham NS 8 7 7 10711 Garage Court Silver End NS 7 7 7 10826 Spinning Wheel, The Sturmer NS 9 9 9 10654 Braintree Road (64) Witham NS 8 8 8 10668 Cerine Witham NS 6 6 6 5292 Dorothy Sayers Drive (Land off) Witham NS 23 23 13 10706 Forest Road Community Hall (Former) Witham NS 15 15 15 10542 Iceni House Witham NS 13 13 13 3512 Lodge Farm (south east Witham growth location) Witham NS 700 100 100 714 Maltings Lane (Benton Park) Witham PI 1,062 213 212

Appendix 3 Table 1 Appendices


Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

1571 Sunday Market Site (Former) / Land between Constance Close & A12 Witham By-pass

Witham S 94 70 66

Chelmsford District 4790 The Cock Inn (Land adj) Boreham NS 28 25 13 5472 North West Chelmsford - Broomfield Primary School Broomfield NS 223 223 209 5476 North West Chelmsford - Land north of Hospital Approach Broomfield NS 178 178 142 1629 Ambulance Depot Chelmsford NS 58 58 46 1624 Anglia Ruskin University Site (Former APU) Chelmsford S 507 507 235 5638 Asda Car Park Chelmsford NS 10 10 10 3729 Atlantic Hotel (Land r/o) Chelmsford NS 22 22 22 5052 Beach's Drive (Land r/o 17 to 37) Chelmsford NS 29 29 23 3794 Beaulieu Park II (Greater) Chelmsford NS 3,600 1,000 1,000 1604 British Gas Site (land west of Essex Record Office) Chelmsford NS 135 135 135 4989 Byron Road (Land r/o 71 to 81) Chelmsford NS 13 13 13 10475 Car Park at 1 Navigation Road Chelmsford NS 18 18 18 1619 Car Park at corner of Rainsford Road and Rainsford Lane Chelmsford NS 24 24 24 5530 Car Wash Centre Chelmsford NS 37 37 17

5728 Channels Golf Course / Belsteads Farm Lane (Land north south & east of)

Chelmsford NS 650 348 344

1594 Cooper Hirst Auction Room (Former Egg Packing Factory) Chelmsford NS 25 25 20 1775 Coval Works Chelmsford S 14 12 8 4136 Defra / MAFF Buildings Chelmsford NS 46 15 15 9749 Dukes Nightclub Chelmsford NS 58 58 44 1591 Eckersley Road Car Park Chelmsford NS 9 9 9 4346 Essex County Cricket Ground (South of Central Park) Chelmsford S 369 369 364 1605 Essex Record Office (Land east of) Chelmsford NS 350 225 180



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

10472 Former Megazone Chelmsford NS 8 8 6 10481 Garages rear of 44 St Nazaire Road Chelmsford NS 12 12 12 1636 Hall Street (9) Chelmsford NS 14 10 10 1583 High Chelmer Shopping Centre and Service Yards Chelmsford NS 50 50 40 9743 King's Road Allotment Gardens Chelmsford S 27 27 14 1602 Lockside Industrial Area Chelmsford NS 100 100 80 1587 M&G Car Park on Victoria Road Chelmsford NS 18 18 14

4469 Marconi Athletic & Social Club (BAE Systems) / Clarion Gate

Chelmsford PI 193 13 12

1612 Marconi Site New Street Chelmsford NS 437 437 326 1631 New London Road (105) Chelmsford NS 15 15 12

5478 North West Chelmsford - Land east of Patching Hall Lane / Saxon Gate

Chelmsford S 135 135 135

5477 North West Chelmsford - Land north of Copperfield Road Chelmsford NS 330 330 330 10471 Old Lodge Farm Chelmsford NS 9 8 8 5382 Parks Depot Chelmsford NS 34 34 27 1635 Parkway Car Park Chelmsford NS 15 15 12 4057 Pathology Unit (Former Public Health Laboratory) Chelmsford S 50 50 46 5175 Rectory Lane (1) Chelmsford NS 14 14 8 1589 Royal Mail Sorting Office (Waitrose) Chelmsford NS 92 92 72 5327 Smiths Yard, 7-9 Wharf Road Chelmsford NS 14 14 13 5643 Springfield Medical Centre (Land north of) Chelmsford NS 11 11 11 3234 St John's Hospital Site Chelmsford S 228 228 202 10479 St Peter's College and rear of 1-15 Christy Avenue Chelmsford NS 122 122 122 9740 The Nest (Land at) Chelmsford NS 19 18 17 3956 The Vineyards former Post Office block (Marrable House) Chelmsford NS 58 58 46



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

1600 Waterfront Place Chelmsford NS 52 30 18 4333 Danbury Park Conference Centre / Danbury Palace Danbury NS 46 46 45 10477 Back Lane (Land at) East Hanningfield NS 10 10 10 10480 Garage site to rear of Cherry Garden Road Great Waltham NS 14 14 14 761 Runwell Hospital Runwell NS 624 624 624 6251 Morelands Industrial Estate South Hanningfield NS 14 14 14 10476 Brookmans Road Garages Stock NS 8 8 8 5839 Wykeham Road (Land to rear of and including 11 and 12) Writtle NS 10 10 10 Maldon District 5688 Bardwells Yard Cold Norton NS 10 10 10 1530 Chalet Site, Hall Road Heybridge PI 124 10 10 5459 Heybridge Hall Site Heybridge S 8 8 8 5064 Triangle Garage, Goldhanger Road Heybridge PI 14 14 12 5309 Sadds Wharf Maldon NS 93 93 79 3817 Teal Avenue (Land off) Mayland PI 34 17 17 5470 Thatchers Arms and adjacent land Tolleshunt D'arcy PI 9 3 3 North East Essex Quadrant Colchester District 5824 Angel Court Colchester NS 9 9 3 9970 Bell Inn, The Colchester NS 6 6 6 5080 Berechurch Hall Road (90) Colchester NS 10 10 9 5381 Betts Factory Colchester NS 128 68 68 3291 Britannia Works site Colchester NS 200 40 40 5736 Brook Street (land rear of) Colchester S 110 110 109 5836 Cannock Mill House Colchester NS 25 25 25 5215 Cannon Street (20) Colchester PI 10 10 10



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

3731 Cedric's Bus Garage Colchester NS 24 12 12 5156 Cherry Tree Garage Colchester NS 13 13 13 4003 Clarendon Way East (Land at) Colchester NS 24 24 24 9963 Crouch Street (22) Colchester NS 9 9 6 4198 ECC Park Road Depot (North East Area Offices) Colchester NS 76 76 76 4151 Essex University Research Park Colchester NS 150 150 130 9755 Factory Hill (land north of) Colchester NS 130 130 115 5731 Fiveways Fruit Farm Colchester NS 500 150 150 4675 Football Ground/Oyster Place Colchester S 58 58 58 1092 Garrison (The) Colchester PI 2,609 1,192 1,166 9945 Greengates Colchester NS 7 7 7 4622 Grogans site (former petrol station) Colchester NS 7 7 7 6084 High Street (97) Colchester NS 9 9 1 9728 Ilex Close Colchester NS 43 43 43 9718 International Farm Camp Colchester S 10 10 10 6138 Ipswich Road (491) Colchester NS 7 7 7 4674 Jarmin Road Depot / Pavilions Colchester NS 57 57 57 5344 London Road (33-37) Colchester NS 33 33 22 6143 London Road (land at 79) Colchester NS 35 35 35 3716 Lordswood Road (Land adj ) / Fortuna Park Colchester PI 261 17 16 4845 Mersea Road (127) Colchester PI 17 15 14 5694 North Colchester Growth Area Greenfield - NGAUE Colchester NS 1,600 350 328 6081 Queensland Drive (land at 103 to 109) Colchester NS 7 7 7 9961 Rawston Road (1), and Manor Road (35) Colchester PI 8 5 3 9959 Rectory Road (61-67) Colchester PI 9 9 9 10585 Seven Acres (land adjacent to) Colchester NS 6 6 6



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

764 Severalls Hospital / Rosewood Colchester S 1,250 450 414 4199 St Albrights (ECC Rose House) Colchester PI 64 49 43 5734 St Botolphs Cultural Quarter Colchester NS 121 40 33 5200 St Paul's Hospital (land south of) Colchester NS 12 12 12 6208 Ten Acres, land at Colchester NS 8 7 6 4276 Top Spot Snooker Club Colchester PI 12 8 7 9950 Tubswick (site of) Colchester NS 9 8 7 3525 Turner Village Hospital - Land East of NAR (Northfields) Colchester PI 369 234 210 9747 Wilkins and Son Jam Factory Colchester NS 128 80 80 6085 Williams Walk (10 and land rear of) Colchester NS 7 7 7 3633 Woods Factory (Flakt Woods Air Movement Ltd) Colchester PI 690 10 10 3587 Co-op Dairy Colchester - The Hythe PI 7 7 7 4931 Jewsons the Hythe (Hawkins Wharf) Colchester - The Hythe PI 221 170 129 4076 Paxman's Factory Site (MAN B&W) / Vega Colchester - The Hythe PI 224 67 67 9716 Escape Nightclub Copford NS 9 9 9 1008 All Saints Church (Land adj ) Eight Ash Green PI 15 3 3 1054 Tilehouse Farm (Land at) Great Horkesley PI 160 29 29 3711 Rowhedge Port Development (Rowhedge Wharf) Rowhedge NS 275 150 150 1133 Dyer's Road / Warren Lane (Stanway Growth Area) Stanway NS 200 40 40 1052 Lakelands, ARC Stanway Pit, Churchfields Stanway PI 817 375 375 1091 Stanway Railway Sidings Stanway NS 123 120 120 5769 Wyverns Farm (Stanway Growth Area) Stanway NS 400 320 320 3517 Grange Road (Colchester United Training Ground) Tiptree NS 140 140 140 4065 Newbridge Road (Land adj 11) Tiptree NS 16 16 16 368 Cooks Shipyard and Gasworks Site (Former) Wivenhoe PI 98 18 17 Tendring District



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

4505 Cockaynes Lane (Land south of) Alresford NS 50 50 50 373 James & Stone Shipyard Site (Former) / Waterside Marina Brightlingsea PI 203 55 44 6216 Robinson Road (Land south of) Brightlingsea NS 120 120 120 5146 Sydney Street (Land r/o 121-127) Brightlingsea NS 37 37 37 10888 Abigail Gardens (Land off) Clacton-on-Sea NS 20 20 20 4196 Abigail Gardens (Site off) Clacton-on-Sea PI 27 3 3 10886 Bluehouse Avenue (Land off) Clacton-on-Sea NS 10 10 10 10878 Centenary Way (Land south of) Clacton-on-Sea NS 70 50 50 10885 Clacton Coastal Academy (Land south of) Clacton-on-Sea NS 100 75 75 4216 Clacton Garden Centre Clacton-on-Sea NS 16 4 4 10887 Coppins Court (Land at) Clacton-on-Sea NS 30 30 30 4377 Gainsford Avenue (Land off) Clacton-on-Sea NS 50 50 50 1065 Highlands Chalet Park Clacton-on-Sea PI 113 25 25 4399 Lotus Way (Land off) Clacton-on-Sea NS 100 100 100 5455 Marine Parade East (3), The Light House Clacton-on-Sea NS 14 13 9 4397 Oakwood Park (land east of Thorpe Road) Clacton-on-Sea NS 250 150 150 4292 Rouses Farm (Land at) Clacton-on-Sea NS 350 200 200 4591 Royal Hotel, 1 Marine Parade East Clacton-on-Sea NS 47 47 47 4383 Rush Green Road (Land east of) Clacton-on-Sea NS 60 45 45

4223 St John's Road and to the west of Little Clacton Road (Land to the north of)

Clacton-on-Sea PI 392 235 217

10896 Holly Way (Land off) Elmstead Market NS 40 40 40 9730 Former Reservoir Site (Land at) Frinton-on-Sea NS 38 30 30 4921 Frinton Park Court Frinton-on-Sea NS 13 13 7 5826 Glenmore (Land at) Frinton-on-Sea NS 11 11 10 6235 Harold Road (21-23) Frinton-on-Sea NS 10 10 10



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

10492 Holland Road (7) Frinton-on-Sea NS 10 10 10 6259 St Joseph's Convent Frinton-on-Sea NS 12 11 11 4448 Turpins Farm (Land at) Frinton-on-Sea NS 50 40 40 9762 Bold Venture (Land rear of) Great Bentley NS 22 20 20 10897 Sturricks Lane (Land east of) Great Bentley NS 20 20 20 1067 Capital House, Main Road Harwich PI 152 59 57

4226 Car park adjacent Harwich Football Club and Isolation Hospital

Harwich NS 40 40 40

4195 Harwich County Primary (Former Site) Harwich NS 39 39 35 5532 High Street (121-123) Harwich NS 10 10 6 3337 Iconfield Park (Plot 2 Stanton Euro Park) Harwich PI 227 38 34 4424 Main Road (Land adj 360) Harwich NS 30 30 30 5869 Pond Hall Farm (Land east of) Harwich NS 150 84 84 6238 Kings Parade (143-145) Holland-on-Sea NS 10 10 9 10893 Bromley Road (Land east of) Lawford NS 100 75 75 4470 Dale Hall (Land at) Lawford NS 150 100 100 4482 Montana Roundabout (Land north-east of the) Little Clacton NS 35 17 17 10898 Springfield Meadows (Land off) Little Clacton NS 20 5 5 6234 Harwich Road (Land adj 142) Mistley NS 15 15 13 10890 Mayes Lane (Land east of) Ramsey NS 90 51 51 4431 Mayes Lane (Land west of) Ramsey NS 60 40 40 10899 Clacton Road (Land south of) St Osyth NS 20 20 20 10900 Clacton Road and Rochford Road (Land rear of) St Osyth NS 50 20 20 10901 Rochford Road (Land off) St Osyth NS 20 20 20 10216 Abbey Street (Land north of) Thorpe-le-Soken NS 40 40 40 4454 Martello Caravan Park Walton-on-the-Naze NS 250 132 132



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

4789 Old Town Hall Site off Mill Lane Walton-on-the-Naze NS 10 8 8 4232 Southcliff Trailer Park Walton-on-the-Naze NS 15 6 6 4234 Station Yard and Avon Works Walton-on-the-Naze NS 40 20 20 5581 The Parade (47) Walton-on-the-Naze NS 11 10 6 10902 Ash Farm (Land at) Weeley NS 20 15 15 10903 St Andrew's Road (Land at) Weeley NS 10 10 10 4502 Willow Farm (Land at) Weeley Heath NS 10 10 10 South Essex Quadrant Basildon District 5169 Ashtons, High Road Basildon NS 10 10 8 4247 Ballards Walk (Land east of) Basildon NS 135 20 20 4932 Basildon Zoo Basildon NS 7 7 6 5667 Burnt Mills Road (Land adj Lympstone) Basildon NS 20 4 4 5681 Car Park 14 Basildon NS 104 21 21 5202 Car Park 3, Southernhay Basildon PI 70 70 49 4763 Cherrydown Car Park Basildon NS 300 30 30 5342 Cranes Court (Land at) Basildon PI 28 28 16 5366 Cranes Farm Road (Land south of) / Oakwood Grange Basildon PI 164 154 154 3254 Craylands Estate & Former Fryerns School Site Basildon PI 1,400 686 368 5255 Eastfield Road (Land on the east side of) Basildon PI 10 10 10 4611 Essex Ford Site (Garage Premises) Basildon PI 425 379 190

5357 Former Pioneer School (Moat House Campus) / Church Park

Basildon PI 58 58 58

3637 Gardiners Lane South Basildon NS 500 500 333 3255 Laindon 14 & 14b Basildon PI 112 60 60 5462 Laindon Link (Phase 3) Basildon S 186 141 110



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

7759 Long Riding (Land at) Basildon NS 6 6 6 5369 Markhams Chase (Land at) / Hawks Park Basildon PI 73 46 46 7754 New Century Road (Adjacent 15) Basildon NS 8 8 8 5363 Phillip Morris House Basildon NS 6 6 6 3932 Radford Park Phase I (former Laindon School Site) Basildon PI 184 5 4 10468 Riverton Hall & Bardfield Open Space Basildon NS 8 2 2 5017 Roberts Road (22) Basildon NS 10 10 4 4330 Robins Cinema (Former) Basildon NS 20 20 20 10310 Russell Close (Land at) Basildon NS 6 6 6 10333 Site of 70-77 Bockingham Green Basildon NS 6 6 6 5679 Southwood Court (Land adj) Basildon NS 30 6 6 3750 Station Lane (Land at) Basildon PI 121 121 80 5367 Tesco (Land to the north of) Basildon NS 20 20 20 4762 Trafford House (Ford building by train station) Basildon NS 359 64 45 4731 Winston Social Club, 1 Northumberland Avenue Basildon NS 20 20 19

4580 Billericay School Farm Site (The Former) / Cherry Tree Park

Billericay PI 51 51 51

5040 Elizabeth Cottages Billericay NS 6 3 3 3841 Heath Close (Land at) Billericay NS 8 6 6 7687 High Street (Land r/o 69) Billericay NS 9 9 9

3248 Highland Grove and Jacksons Lane (Land between) / Britannia Close

Billericay PI 24 12 12

10275 Stock Road (5) Billericay NS 6 5 4 5526 Walman House Billericay PI 24 24 18 4250 Barnhall Education Centre, Open Space & Car Park Wickford NS 25 5 5 10465 Holmans Car Park Wickford NS 40 4 4



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

5154 Irvon Cottage Wickford NS 8 7 6

6217 Market Avenue Phase 2 and 3 (former Health Centre, Pool and Cranfield Court)

Wickford NS 51 11 4

4703 Riverside Place, Lower Southend Road Wickford PI 173 121 113 3267 Riverside Walk off Elizabeth Drive Wickford PI 22 1 1 4193 Runwell Road (3-31) Wickford NS 84 84 80 10467 Runwell Road (69-71) Wickford NS 20 4 4 10466 Scrap Yard r/o 34 Runwell Road Wickford NS 14 2 2 5126 Southend Road (Land south of A129) Wickford NS 50 50 48 4665 Station Avenue (61) Wickford NS 6 6 6 4017 Station Avenue (Land north of) / east of Barnhall Wickford PI 152 152 152 4769 The Arcade, 23-25 The Broadway Wickford NS 12 12 9 4820 The Broadway (2-12) Wickford NS 10 10 10 1079 The Wick Wickford PI 3,480 305 305 4765 Town Centre Car Park Wickford NS 50 10 10 5279 Willow Court (Land at) / Market Avenue Phase 1 Wickford PI 30 30 24 Brentwood District 11004 57-61 High Street Brentwood NS 8 4 3 4176 Brindles Close & east of Sylvia Avenue (Land r/o) Brentwood NS 33 32 23 5817 Culyers Yard Brentwood NS 10 9 7 3857 Dytchleys, Coxtie Green Road Brentwood NS 11 10 10 3668 Essex County Fire Brigade HQ Brentwood NS 100 100 100 4628 Fairholme Brentwood NS 10 9 6 5322 High Street (63-65) Brentwood NS 10 10 5 3670 High Wood and Little Highwood Hospitals / Highwoods Brentwood PI 205 103 98 3376 Ingrave Road (43-53) Brentwood NS 15 11 11



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

11009 Land adj 1 Fairfield Road Brentwood NS 9 9 9 7792 Queen's Road (31) Brentwood NS 6 5 4 5208 Queen's Road (46-52) Brentwood S 10 7 6 7794 Rose Valley (29) Brentwood NS 9 8 7 4612 St Charles Youth Treatment Centre (Former) / Weald Park Brentwood PI 120 4 3 629 Transco Gasworks Site (St James Road nr Railway) / Base Brentwood PI 403 53 35 3672 Warley Hospital Core Buildings Brentwood PI 230 50 50 5075 Willowbrook Primary School / The Clovers Brentwood NS 55 55 46 7812 High Street (Land r/o 118A) Ingatestone NS 8 8 8 10108 Stocks Bar Ingatestone NS 8 4 3 5174 Trueloves House and the gardens Ingatestone NS 30 30 21 5870 Glanthams House Shenfield NS 14 13 6 7807 St Ninian Shenfield NS 7 6 5 4357 Station Road (122 and 124) West Horndon NS 13 11 6 Castle Point District 12276 Benfleet Police Station Benfleet NS 10 10 10 5085 Claydon's Farm/Rayleigh Road (land east of) Benfleet NS 450 100 100 12463 Essex Way (land south of) Benfleet NS 31 30 30 10544 Felstead Road (land east of) and Catherine Road Benfleet NS 160 40 40 5783 Focus Benfleet NS 55 11 9 5727 High Road (18-32) Benfleet NS 8 8 8 9998 Jotmans Hall (Land South of)/Jotmans Farm Benfleet NS 265 100 100 7027 Kiln Road (166-168) Benfleet NS 6 6 5 4846 London Road (396-408) Benfleet NS 51 50 44 4023 The Chase (Land off Kiln Road)/Ashcroft Place Benfleet S 600 150 149 5773 Admiral Jellico Canvey Island NS 19 4 4



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

4343 Eastern Esplanade (Site adj 1-3) Canvey Island PI 24 24 24 10212 Long Road (35) Canvey Island NS 33 33 33 5777 Long Road Out patient Centre Canvey Island NS 12 3 3 4009 Lubbins Car Park Canvey Island NS 32 32 16 6241 Monico Club and Car Park Canvey Island NS 8 2 2 3785 Thorney Bay Caravan Park Canvey Island NS 600 100 100 748 Hadleigh Junior School Hadleigh NS 20 20 20 7363 Hadleigh Town Centre (2011/26) Hadleigh NS 120 30 30 4415 London Road (325-339) Hadleigh NS 28 6 4 12549 Oak Tree Farm Hadleigh NS 90 30 30 4170 Park Chase (4 - 12) Hadleigh NS 25 21 20 4022 Scrub Lane (Land south of) Hadleigh NS 44 44 44 12467 Solby Wood Farm Hadleigh NS 30 30 30 10523 Brickfields Thundersley NS 13 13 13 Rochford District 5489 East Ashingdon (land east of Spencer Gardens) Ashingdon S 100 100 100 5676 Little Wakering Hall Lane (York Bungalow) Great Wakering NS 13 13 12 5744 Star Lane Great Wakering NS 140 81 78 5326 Hawkwell Nursery (Land at)/Clements Gate Hawkwell S 176 175 174 5487 Folly Chase (Land to the north and east of) Hockley NS 50 50 50 5415 Glencroft Hockley PI 43 20 20 11000 Land adjacent Hockley Train Station (north east) Hockley NS 16 8 8 7927 Ferry Road (299) Hullbridge NS 7 7 7 7955 Crystal House (1 The Approach) Rayleigh NS 18 18 15 7882 Downhall Road (89) Rayleigh NS 8 7 7 6229 E-ON/Kingley Grange Rayleigh S 101 62 62



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

3241 Fairview and Homestead Rayleigh S 86 86 74 5256 High Street (162-168) Rayleigh NS 14 14 14 5436 High Street (89) Rayleigh NS 12 12 12 10357 High Street Rayleigh (113-115) Rayleigh NS 8 8 8 7933 Lancaster Road (Site of 4 & 6) Rayleigh NS 6 3 2 5349 Lower Lambricks (Land at) Rayleigh NS 10 10 10 10987 Old Fire Station Rayleigh NS 9 9 9 10988 Recycling Centre Rayleigh NS 13 6 6 5812 Springfield Court Rayleigh NS 6 6 6 10363 The Approach (36) Rayleigh NS 6 6 6 7367 Timber Grove (Elizabeth Fitzroy Homes) Rayleigh NS 15 15 15 5486 Hall Road (West Rochford allocation) Rochford NS 600 600 600 5373 Jewson's Builder's Merchant Rochford PI 21 11 11 3901 Stambridge Mills Rochford NS 96 64 53 West Essex Quadrant Epping Forest District 11065 49 Epping New Road Buckhurst Hill NS 6 5 4 5453 BPI Poly Site (former factory site) / Montague Place Buckhurst Hill PI 14 14 14 5822 Bald Hind PH / Silverhind Court Chigwell PI 14 14 14 5287 Grange Crescent (113 & 115) Chigwell NS 14 12 10 3749 Grange Farm Site Chigwell S 45 45 45 5359 Manor Road (109-111) Chigwell NS 13 11 8 5096 Manor Road (114, 116 & 118) Chigwell S 11 8 6 9281 Hemnall Street (76) Epping PI 6 5 4 4876 High Street (208-212) Epping NS 8 8 8 4282 St John's CE (VC) School Epping NS 149 149 149



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

3343 St Margaret's Hospital / Kingswood Park Epping PI 178 22 18 9277 High Laver Hall Farm High Laver NS 7 7 7 5795 Burton Road East Loughton NS 12 12 12 5793 Burton Road North Loughton NS 14 14 14 5794 Burton Road South Loughton NS 27 27 27 4629 Diggins Court and Vanryne House (Land r/o) Loughton NS 12 12 8 3354 Epping Forest College / The Rodings Loughton PI 265 63 56 5792 Vere Road Loughton NS 41 41 41 9278 The Mead (1) Nazeing PI 7 6 5 1113 Parade Ground, North Weald Airfield North Weald PI 126 48 48 4259 Station Approach (Land at) / Meadow View Ongar PI 49 7 5

3975 The Limes and White Lodge (Gilwell Hill / Sewardstone Road)

Sewardstone PI 119 118 117

9273 The Maltings (Land at) Sheering NS 9 9 9 5245 Sun Street (20) Waltham Abbey NS 10 9 4 9276 Sun Street (28) Waltham Abbey NS 7 7 7 9272 Sun Street (6, 8 and 8A) Waltham Abbey NS 9 9 9 Harlow District 5345 Clifton Hatch Harlow NS 28 28 20 1062 Faircroft / Little Bays Harlow PI 43 36 33 5433 Gilden Way (Land north of) Harlow NS 1,100 875 795 1059 Harlow Sports Centre (aka Harlow Gateway) Harlow PI 553 108 84 5841 Linkway Car Park (adjacent Joseph Rank House) Harlow NS 170 170 92 7369 Lutheran Church Harlow NS 14 14 8 1063 New Hall Farm (Newhall) Harlow PI 2,871 550 549 5505 Prentice Place Harlow NS 63 63 40



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

404 Ram Gorse Playing Field (Harlow Rugby Club) Harlow NS 110 110 110 5461 Southern Way Playground Site Harlow NS 27 27 25 3784 Swimming Pool (Park Lane) Harlow PI 65 65 51 5149 Walfords Close (1 & 1a) Harlow NS 12 12 10 Uttlesford District 10536 Chickney Road (north of) and east of Lodge Cottages Bishops Stortford NS 10 10 10 9763 Newlands, Woodside Cottage, Oakside Bishops Stortford NS 6 3 2 9991 Takeley Primary School (land rear of) Bishops Stortford NS 80 80 80 10538 Takeley Service Station (former) Bishops Stortford NS 15 15 15 9753 Oxleys Close (land rear of) Clavering NS 14 14 14 9987 Hall Road (West of) Elsenham NS 115 115 115 5719 Station Road (Land off) / The Orchard Elsenham S 53 51 47 10215 Station Road (Land west of) Elsenham NS 155 155 143 9751 London Road (adj Ash Green) Great Chesterford NS 40 20 15 5873 Council Offices (former) Great Dunmow NS 10 10 9 7227 Haolmans Yard, Land Adj Great Dunmow NS 6 6 6 9992 North View and The Warren Great Dunmow NS 46 40 36

9720 Ongar Road (Land south of) Bounded by Clapton Hall Lane (to the east)

Great Dunmow NS 100 100 100

10534 Parkside and Garden Fields (Land east of) Great Dunmow NS 10 10 10 7403 Riverside, off Great Dunmow NS 8 8 8 9986 Sampford Road Great Dunmow NS 60 60 55 5837 Smiths Farm Great Dunmow NS 370 100 85 1040 Springfields (land South of) Great Dunmow PI 25 25 24 5576 Stortford Road (14) Great Dunmow NS 12 12 11 9764 Stortford Road (9) Great Dunmow NS 6 6 6



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

10539 The Olivias and New Cambridge House (Land between) Great Dunmow NS 30 30 30 868 Woodlands Park inc Buildings Farm Great Dunmow PI 1,606 476 435 3942 Brocks Mead (Land off) Great Easton PI 20 4 4 10513 Vernon Close (Land adj Henham and Ugley Primary) Henham NS 20 20 20 5528 Meadow House Nursery (Land at) High Roding NS 31 25 22 5813 The Sidings Littlebury PI 14 12 12 5721 The Street (Land off) Manuden NS 14 14 14 5675 Maltings, The Newport NS 11 11 9

1104 Newport (Land at) Newport, Saffron Walden

NS 70 70 70

9982 Willis and Gambier (former) Saffron Walden NS 60 60 60 4268 Ashdon Road (Opposite Commercial Centre) Saffron Walden NS 130 130 124 5529 Bell Language School (former) Saffron Walden PI 89 27 15 5423 Bell Language School (land east of) Saffron Walden PI 86 37 35 10874 Bentfield Road (68-70) Saffron Walden NS 9 9 9 9752 Chesterford House (land adj) Saffron Walden NS 60 30 30 10533 Debden Road (land west of) Saffron Walden NS 20 20 20 9766 Emson Close Saffron Walden NS 9 9 9 4797 Friends School Saffron Walden PI 76 74 51 3999 Goddards Yard (aka Paxtons Depot) Saffron Walden NS 12 12 12 4102 Hillview, Southgate House and Kilncourt Saffron Walden PI 83 23 23 7244 King Street (8-10) Saffron Walden NS 8 8 2 4269 Little Walden Road Saffron Walden NS 15 15 11 7330 Station Street (8) Saffron Walden NS 10 10 8 10535 Walden Road (land north of) Saffron Walden NS 40 40 40 9727 Gas Works (former) Saffron Walden NS 9 9 9



Site ref


Total units


total

of which qualifying

units

9988 Cambridge Road (land at 10) Stansted NS 14 14 14 6246 Cambridge Road (Land at 14) Stansted NS 14 11 11 10537 St Mary's School Stansted NS 35 35 35 4843 Water Lane (land w/o 8) Stansted NS 8 8 8 558 Rochford Nurseries (Now known as Foresthall Park) Stansted Mountfitchet PI 635 231 205 7147 Almont House Stansted North NS 7 7 6 10530 Brewers End (land at) Takeley NS 41 38 34 1051 Priors Green Takeley PI 722 264 254 6260 Wedow Road (Land off) Thaxted NS 55 55 55

[Notes: Total housing units may contain both qualifying housing units and discounted housing units (units unlikely to house children, such as single bedroom properties and retirement flats). Only sites with 6 or more units are shown.

Qualifying housing units are those expected to be completed between 2012/13 and 2017/18 using the housing trajectories provided for each local planning area by the district and borough planning authorities for Essex.

Site ref refers to the site reference in our internal referencing system.

Site progress is shown as NS (Not Started), S (Started) or PI (Partially Inhabited).]


Appendices


Appendix 4: Forecasting methodology and forecast accuracy

Methodology used to prepare pupil forecasts As part of the forecasting process, forecasts are shared with schools annually and forecasts may be adjusted where appropriate following school feedback before the final forecasts as published in this document are set.

Primary school forecasts

The forecasts are prepared using information on historical trends in admissions, current numbers on roll, the historic birth rate and current GP registrations in schools’ admissions areas.

Numbers on roll are taken from the School Census pupil counts at May. The number of births and numbers of children in other age groups are obtained from GP registrations as collected from Essex Health Authorities and sorted into school admissions areas. Admissions factors are calculated as the percentage of admissions compared with the overall number of children in the admissions area. An average admissions factor, generally taken over the past three years, is then applied to GP registration numbers for the 0 to 3 year olds in the admissions area to predict future intakes to the Reception year. This is done at school level, forecast planning group level and district level.

School level forecasts within the forecast planning group may then be adjusted as necessary to tie up with the group level forecast. Forecast admissions for popular schools are set at published admissions number (PAN). In some cases forecasts are revised to minimise the impact of unusually high or low intakes in previous years or to reflect the rising intake shown in the allocation for next year, or in the light of known circumstances at the school such as changes to admissions arrangements or the provision of new accommodation. For each school, the one year ahead reception forecast is adjusted to reflect the current allocation of places as held in the co-ordinated admissions system, to make use of the very latest information. Then the current numbers on roll and forecast reception numbers are rolled forward a year group to provide forecasts for the next year ahead and so on for later years, to produce forecasts of pupil numbers for the next five years.

Secondary school forecasts

Pupil forecasts for secondary schools are constructed using current numbers on roll and historic trends in admissions from Year 6 in primary schools.

Numbers on roll are taken from the School Census pupil counts at January. Admissions factors are calculated as the percentage of Year 7 admissions into the secondary school compared to the number in Year 6 the previous academic year in the ‘feeder’ primary schools; (for forecasting purposes, feeder primaries are those schools where a significant proportion of pupils normally transfer to the particular secondary

Appendices


school). An average admissions factor, usually over 3 years, is then applied to the total in each year group of pupils attending the feeder primary schools to provide Year 7 forecasts. This is done at school level and at district level and for some forecast planning groups.

In a similar way as for primary schools, school level Year 7 forecasts within a district may then be adjusted as necessary to tie up with the district and group level forecasts. Forecast admissions for popular schools are set at published admissions number (PAN). In some cases forecasts are revised to minimise the impact of unusually high or low intakes in previous years or to reflect the rising intake shown in the allocation for next year, or in the light of known circumstances at the school such as changes to admissions arrangements or the provision of new accommodation. For each school, the one year ahead Year 7 forecast is adjusted to reflect the current allocation of places as held in the co-ordinated admissions system, as this provides the very latest information. Then, current numbers on roll and forecast Year 7 numbers are rolled forward a year group to provide forecasts for the next year ahead and so on for later years.

For schools with sixth forms, two further admissions factors are calculated using historical information comparing the number of pupils in Year 11 staying on to Year 12 and likewise from Year 12 to Year 13. Average sixth form admission factors are then applied to pupil numbers in Year 11 or Year 12 to forecast future sixth form numbers.

New housing element of forecasts

The housing trajectory figures published by the Local Planning Authorities in their Annual Housing Monitoring Reports are used to provide the estimated phasing of housing developments. It must be recognised, however, that the actual developments and the rate at which new houses are built depends on a mixture of economic and social factors. House builders may prove unwilling to develop all the sites identified and may likewise apply for permission to construct dwellings on alternative pieces of land.

A detailed database of all housing developments planned within schools’ catchment areas has been built up by the Pupil Place Planning team and is used to estimate the mix of houses and flats in a development. Together with the housing trajectory figures, these are used to generate projections of new housing by catchment area.

The likely number of pupils that will move into a development and require an additional place at the local school is calculated using factors for houses and flats. These are multiplied by the forecast number of new dwellings to estimate the number of pupils that will be produced by a particular development overall. One bedroomed units and certain other types of dwellings that are unlikely to house children are discounted from the calculation. The factors currently used are for primary pupils 0.3 additional pupils per new house and 0.15 additional pupils per new flat and for secondary pupils 0.2 additional pupils per new house and 0.1 additional pupils per new flat. Finally, the gradual build up of pupils from new housing over a number of years is modelled through additional factors that produce a staggered effect rather than the full pupil product being added in from the first year of the new housing.

Appendices


The additional pupils that have been forecast from new housing are added in to schools’ forecasts. In effect, where it is considered that schools are likely to be affected by housing developments, the forecasts show a range of possibilities for pupil numbers, from the baseline projection of historical trend data to a potential maximum including the adjustment for new housing.

Accuracy of forecasts

As stated in the DfE Pupil Projection Guide (2005), it is good practice to review the accuracy of previous projections as a starting point for the production of a new series of projections. In this way, inconsistencies or problems can be identified and corrected for. Accuracy can be measured both for the overall authority forecast and for school-level forecasts. The guide suggests a range of accuracy tests that can be undertaken and used to ensure the accuracy of projections in the future, which have been incorporated in this section.

In general, the accuracy of forecasts

reduces when looking at individual schools;

improves when the overall numbers in an area or larger district are considered; and

reduces the further ahead the forecasts are for.

Accuracy of forecasts at Local Authority level

According to the Audit Commission Trading Places management handbook, the one-year ahead forecast of total pupil numbers for both primary and secondary schools should differ from the actual numbers by no more than one percent above or below. The last national comparison was for forecasts of 1999/00, published in Value for Money Indicators: Planning School Places, PricewaterhouseCoopers 2001. Essex had a one percent percentage error in forecasting primary school places (near the median when compared with other similar authorities) and a less than one percent percentage error in forecasting secondary school places (near the upper quartile when compared with other similar authorities). So the forecasts were within acceptable parameters of accuracy.

The tables that follow show the accuracy of the overall forecasts of total primary and secondary numbers on roll for Essex in 2010/11 to 2012/13, when forecasting one, two or three years ahead. The accuracy of the authority level one year ahead forecasts are within the Audit Commission one percent standard.

Appendices


Measures of accuracy

There are various measures of accuracy and accuracy error used in the tables of forecast accuracy that follow. Definitions of the measures of accuracy are shown below.

Accuracy error – the difference between the projection and the actual number of pupils, expressed as a percentage of the actual pupil count. An over-forecast is shown as a positive percentage whilst an under-forecast is shown as a negative percentage. For example, if the number on roll at a school had been forecast at 190, but the actual number on roll proved to be 200, this would equate to an under-forecast of 10 and the accuracy error would be given as -5%.

Average accuracy error – the average accuracy error taken over all schools. This identifies whether school projections overall are under-projecting or over-projecting pupil numbers. Averages have been taken over all primary and secondary schools, for the whole local authority, and for each district.

Absolute average accuracy error – the scale of the accuracy error across all schools, ignoring whether they were over-forecasts or under-forecasts. This has been measured both in percentage terms and in terms of actual pupil numbers.

Degree of accuracy – the percentage of schools with an accuracy error within 3%, 5% or 10%. Comparing sets of forecasts, the higher the percentage of schools having forecasts within 3% of the actual number of pupils, the more accurate the forecasts were.

Appendices


Appendix 4 Table 1.1:

Accuracy of Local Authority level forecast of total primary number on roll

Total Essex Primary NOR

Forecast to Actual NOR, Accuracy Error % Forecast (inc adjustment for new housing) to Actual NOR,

Accuracy Error %

Academic Year 1-year ahead 2-year ahead 3-year ahead 1-year ahead 2-year ahead 3-year ahead

2010/11 0.0% -1.0% -2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

2011/12 -0.3% -0.6% -2.1% -0.1% 0.1% -0.3% 2012/13 -0.2% -0.9% -1.3% 0.1% -0.1% 0.0%


Accuracy of Local Authority level forecast of total secondary number on roll

Total Essex Secondary NOR

Forecast to Actual NOR, Accuracy Error % Forecast (inc adjustment for new housing) to Actual NOR,

Accuracy Error %

Academic Year 1-year ahead 2-year ahead 3-year ahead 1-year ahead 2-year ahead 3-year ahead 2010/11 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.5% 0.7% 1.4%

2011/12 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 0.9% 1.6%

2012/13 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.5%

Appendices


Accuracy of forecasts at school level

The accuracy of forecasts for 2012/13 number on roll at school level are summarised in the tables below, with definitions of the measures of accuracy shown at a previous page within this appendix.


Accuracy of school-level forecasts to number on roll in 2012/13 for primary schools

Essex - Primary Schools

Average accuracy error(%)

Absolute average accuracy error

(%)

Absolute average error (pupil

count)

% Schools accurate to

within +/- 3%


within +/- 5%


within +/- 10%

1-year ahead -0.1% 2.5% 5 72% 86% 97% 2-year ahead -0.9% 4.4% 8 54% 70% 88%

3-year ahead -0.9% 6.1% 12 45% 61% 82%


Accuracy of school-level forecasts (including adjustments for new housing) to number on roll in 2012/13 for primary schools

Essex - Primary Schools

Average accuracy error(%)


(%)


count)


within +/- 3%


within +/- 5%


within +/- 10% 1-year ahead 0.1% 2.6% 5 71% 84% 97%

2-year ahead -0.2% 4.6% 9 53% 69% 88% 3-year ahead 0.4% 6.5% 12 42% 60% 80%

Appendices



Accuracy of school-level forecasts for primary schools summarised by district 2012/13

Essex Quadrant

Primary schools by district

Average accuracy error % of school-level forecasts Average accuracy error % of school-level forecasts

(inc adjustments for new housing)

1-year ahead 2-year ahead 3-year ahead 1-year ahead 2-year ahead 3-year ahead Mid Braintree 0.1% -0.2% -0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4%

Chelmsford -0.5% -1.4% -0.5% -0.3% -0.7% 0.6%

Maldon 0.2% 0.4% 1.2% 0.5% 1.3% 1.9% North East Colchester 0.7% -0.4% 0.9% 1.4% 1.0% 2.9%

Tendring -0.2% -0.9% -0.9% 0.0% -0.6% 0.2% South Basildon 0.2% 0.6% -0.2% 0.5% 1.0% 0.6%

Brentwood -1.5% -3.1% -5.5% -1.3% -2.5% -4.9% Castle Point -1.2% -2.0% -3.4% -1.1% -1.5% -2.9%

Rochford 0.1% -1.3% -2.2% 0.2% -0.3% 1.5% West Epping Forest 0.2% -0.6% -0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.8%

Harlow 0.2% -1.1% -0.3% 0.6% -0.3% 1.0%

Uttlesford -1.4% -3.0% -3.1% -1.0% -2.0% -0.5%

Appendices



Accuracy of school-level forecasts to number on roll in 2012/13 for secondary schools

Average accuracy

error(%)


(%)


count)


within +/- 3%


within +/- 5%


within +/- 10% 1-year ahead 0.2% 1.4% 14 92% 96% 99% 2-year ahead 0.7% 2.7% 31 64% 84% 96%

3-year ahead 1.1% 4.1% 45 49% 72% 91%


Accuracy of school-level forecasts (including adjustments for new housing) to number on roll in 2012/13 for secondary schools

Average accuracy

error(%)


(%)


count)


within +/- 3%


within +/- 5%


within +/- 10% 1-year ahead 0.4% 1.5% 15 91% 96% 99% 2-year ahead 1.3% 2.9% 34 62% 80% 95%

3-year ahead 2.2% 4.7% 50 53% 72% 88%

Appendices



Accuracy of school-level forecasts for secondary schools summarised by district 2012/13

Essex Quadrant

Secondary schools by

district

Average accuracy error % of school-level forecasts Average accuracy error % of school-level forecasts

(inc adjustments for new housing)

1-year ahead 2-year ahead 3-year ahead 1-year ahead 2-year ahead 3-year ahead Mid Braintree 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.5%

Chelmsford 1.1% 1.4% 2.6% 1.2% 1.8% 3.5%

Maldon -0.4% -2.3% 1.1% -0.2% -1.5% 1.8% North East

Colchester -0.3% -1.2% -0.8% 0.2% -0.3% 0.5% Tendring 0.5% 1.3% 1.1% 0.7% 1.6% 1.7%

South Basildon 0.1% 0.8% 2.1% 0.4% 1.2% 2.7%

Brentwood -2.8% 2.8% 2.8% -2.8% 3.2% 3.2% Castle Point 0.1% -1.3% -0.9% 0.2% -1.1% -0.5%

Rochford -0.5% -0.3% -1.7% -0.4% 0.0% -1.0% West Epping Forest 0.2% -0.3% -1.5% 0.2% 0.2% -0.5%

Harlow 2.3% 3.0% 3.2% 2.5% 3.6% 4.2%

Uttlesford 1.3% 3.7% 5.2% 2.0% 6.4% 10.8%

This web document is issued byEssex County Council, Pupil Place Planning You can contact us in the following ways:

By post:Pupil Place Planning,

Essex County CouncilPO Box 4261, County Hall, Chelmsford, Essex CM1 1GS

By email: [email protected]

Visit our website: www.essex.gov.uk

The information contained in this document can be translated, and/or made available in alternative formats, on request. Published K_paf 2014

http://www.essex.gov.uk/Pages/Default.aspx

mailto:[email protected]