7/27/2019 Comments on the SWS June 2013 Survey on the GPH-MILF Talks

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6/F, Agustin 1 Bldg F. Ortigas Jr. Road, OrtigasCenter, Pasig City Tel. No.: 6360701 Fax No. 6382216

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Office of the President of the Philippines

Office of the Presidential Adviser on the Peace Process

Comments on the SWS June 2013 Survey on the GPH-MILF TalksBy Prof. Miriam Coronel Ferrer, Chair of the GPH Negotiating Panel

1 October 2013

In all, we are pleased to find that 7 of 10 Filipinos remain hopeful that a peace deal willbe reached between the Government and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front. We alsonote that this hope is most enduring among our brothers and sisters in Mindanao whoare most affected by the violence and its negative short- and long-term consequences.Equally important, based on the survey results, it appears that both Muslim and non-

Muslim Filipinos share and nurture this hopefulness.

The highest point in Filipino hopefulness under the present administration was 83% inJune 2011; the lowest point was 58% percent in May 2012. Although manifesting adecline from the March 2013 results, June 2013s 70% hopeful and somewhat hopefulwas not the lowest point of hopefulness and in all, still a good indicator.

It is expected that hopes rise and fall with developments in the peace process. Thedecline from March 2013s 80 percent to that of June 2013 can be attributed to the timelag from the first Annex signed in February 2013 to the second Annex that waseventually signed in July 2013.

Now, it is true that the hope is not matched by the belief that a comprehensiveagreement with the MILF can be reached within the term of President Benigno AquinoIII. In Sept 2011, only 52% believed this could be done. Since then, the expectationdeclined significantly until March 2013 with 49% of respondents expectant the deal canbe completed before or by 2016. That the assessment again declined in June 2013 to35% can be attributed similarly to the delay between the signing of the first and that ofthe second Annex.

The challenge for the GPH and the MILF panels of course remains, and that is, to closethe gap between the hope and the actual expectation that we will have a comprehensive

agreement under this President.

For this reason, the two panels are working exhaustively to come to terms with theremaining issues in the Annexes on Power Sharing and Normalization. Despite theviolence instigated by other groups such as the BIFF, the Khilafah Islamiya Movement,the ASG and the Misuari-faction, the GPH and the MILF have continuously met formallyand informally or through intermediaries in order to reach common ground.

7/27/2019 Comments on the SWS June 2013 Survey on the GPH-MILF Talks

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6/F, Agustin 1 Bldg F. Ortigas Jr. Road, OrtigasCenter, Pasig City Tel. No.: 6360701 Fax No. 6382216

www.opapp.gov.ph

Charts from SWS website