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BEFORE THE UNITED STATES
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
Comments of WPPI Energy
Carbon Pollution Emission Guidelines for Existing Stationary Sources: Electric Utility Generating Units
Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-060279 Fed. Reg. 34,830 (June 18, 2014)
Andy KellenVice President, Power Supply ResourcesWPPI Energy1425 Corporate Center DriveSun Prairie, WI 53590(608) [email protected]
November 28, 2014
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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TableofContentsI. Introduction ..........................................................................................................................1
II. Executive Summary..............................................................................................................3
III. Overall Impacts of the Proposed Rule..................................................................................4
A) The 2012 baseline does not recognize proactive measures taken to reduce emissions before 2012. ............................................................................................4
B) The proposed rule has the potential to severely impact utilities with load and generating resources in different states. ..................................................................6
C) The proposed rule does not promote a realistic multi-state approach. ....................7
D) The proposed rule’s emission reduction goals are improperly front-loaded. ..........7
E) The proposed rule will challenge the ability of utilities to maintain electric system reliability..................................................................................................................8
IV. Building Blocks as a System ................................................................................................8
A) The goal-setting formula’s use of 2012 as a baseline is problematic. .....................9
B) It is unlikely that Building Blocks 3 and 4 will meaningfully displace existing fossil fuel-fired generation.....................................................................................10
C) The four building blocks will likely operate together to decrease the efficiency of coal units................................................................................................................11
V. Building Block 1 (Heat Rate Improvements) .....................................................................12
A) The proposed rule does not account for heat rate improvements already undertaken. ............................................................................................................13
B) The proposed rule does not account for heat rate increases from compliance with other environmental regulations. ...........................................................................13
C) Heat rate improvements likely require longer time periods. .................................14
VI. Building Block 2 (Redispatch) ...........................................................................................15
A) Under the proposed rule, NGCC units would become baseload resources. ..........15
B) The proposed rule assumes a level of NGCC redispatch that is unlikely to be feasible by 2020.....................................................................................................16
C) EPA used the wrong rating for NGCC units to determine assumed output. .........16
D) The proposed rule does not account for increased duct firing as NGCC operations increase. .................................................................................................................18
VII. Building Block 3a (Renewables)........................................................................................18
A) EPA incorrectly accounts for baseline renewables in its goal-setting calculation.19
1. Out-of-State Renewables..............................................................................19
2. Behind-the-Meter Facilities..........................................................................19
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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3. Biomass Facilities.........................................................................................19
4. Green Pricing Programs ...............................................................................20
5. Summary and Suggested Approach..............................................................20
B) States should get credit for additional renewables that come on-line before 2020................................................................................................................................21
VIII. Building Block 3b (Nuclear) ..............................................................................................21
A) EPA should eliminate the at-risk nuclear provision from the goal-setting calculation..............................................................................................................22
B) EPA should account for the closing of nuclear units at the end of their operational lives........................................................................................................................23
IX. Building Block 4 (Energy Efficiency)................................................................................23
A) The proposed rule penalizes states with higher initial levels of energy efficiency during the interim period. ......................................................................................23
B) EPA should allow states to take full credit for in-state energy efficiency measures................................................................................................................................24
C) States should get credit for energy efficiency programs implemented before 2020................................................................................................................................24
X. Conversion of Rate-Based Goals to Mass-Based Goals.....................................................25
A) The proposed rule requires a state electing to use mass-based goals to commit to a projection of future electrical needs too far in advance.........................................25
B) The proposed rate-to-mass conversion formula does not accurately translate a state’s rate-based emissions goal to an equally-stringent mass-based emissions goal. .......................................................................................................................25
C) EPA should provide presumptive mass-based goals. ............................................26
XI. Compliance Options ...........................................................................................................26
A) EPA should clarify that the rule allows for full flexibility for compliance. ..........26
B) Out-of-sector offsets should be permitted to be used for compliance...................27
C) State plans should be able to provide a three-year compliance period under either a mass-based plan or a rate-based plan..................................................................27
XII. Conclusion..........................................................................................................................28
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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WPPI Energy (“WPPI”) appreciates the opportunity to provide input to the United States
Environmental Protection Agency (“EPA”) on its proposed rule, Carbon Pollution Emission
Guidelines for Existing Stationary Sources: Electric Utility Generating Units (“the proposed
rule” or “Clean Power Plan”).1
I. INTRODUCTION
WPPI is a regional, not-for-profit power company headquartered near Madison,
Wisconsin. WPPI serves 51 locally-owned electric utilities in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Iowa.
Through WPPI, these public power utilities own generation facilities and share resources to
provide reliable and affordable electricity to 200,000 homes and businesses in the three states. In
2013, WPPI’s peak load was 1,025 megawatts (“MW”) and annual energy sales to members
totaled 5,381 gigawatt-hours (“GWh”). WPPI is located in the Midcontinent Independent
System Operator, Inc. (“MISO”), a regional transmission organization (“RTO”). MISO is
regulated by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (“FERC”) and defined by the MISO
Tariff and contractual agreements. Among other things, MISO balances generation and load on
an instantaneous basis and plans for transmission expansion.2 WPPI utilizes a diversified power
supply portfolio to serve the needs of its member utilities. This includes “slice of system” power
purchases from Midwest investor-owned utilities (“IOUs”), where WPPI pays a fixed percentage
of the IOU’s costs in exchange for a fixed percentage of generation, as well as ownership in and
purchases from nuclear, coal, natural gas, and renewable generation sources. Figure 1 shows
WPPI’s power supply mix in 2013.
WPPI and its 51 member utilities, like most Midwestern utilities, have historically relied
on coal generation to meet a large portion of baseload energy needs, and for its 34-year history,
coal has been WPPI’s dominant fuel source to economically meet members’ needs. Coal has
kept the lights on and allowed members’ communities to grow and local industries to flourish.
1 Carbon Pollution Emission Guidelines for Existing Stationary Sources: Electric Utility Generating Units, 79 Fed. Reg. 34,830 (proposed June 18, 2014) (to be codified at 40 C.F.R. pt. 60) (“Clean Power Plan”).
2 Mack Thompson, Iowa Utilities Board, Understanding MISO 6, National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners 4th Armenia/Iowa Exch., http://www.naruc.org/international/Documents/MISO.pdf.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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Figure 1. WPPI’s overall power supply mix in 2013.
WPPI has not ignored the environmental impacts of the coal in its generation portfolio.
WPPI member utilities are not just in the energy business. They are integral parts of their
communities. This community focus includes a strong sense of environmental responsibility to
the cities and villages that they serve. Greenhouse gas (“GHG”) emissions monitoring and
reduction is not a new concept for WPPI; since 2005, WPPI has quantified and tracked GHG
emissions levels and factored the goal of emissions reduction into its power supply planning.
For over ten years, WPPI members have recognized the value of maximizing the lowest
cost and lowest impact power supply resource: energy efficiency. WPPI’s aggressive energy
efficiency program has resulted in a total savings of approximately 350,000 megawatt-hours
(“MWh”) from 2005 through 2012. In addition to WPPI members’ full participation in
Wisconsin’s Focus on Energy program,3 WPPI has worked with its members to manage
complementary energy efficiency programs. Over the last seven years alone, these efforts have
resulted in a cumulative reduction in system demand of more than 50 MW.
As a system, WPPI has also embraced renewable energy and other carbon-free power
supply resources. As shown in Figure 1, renewables accounted for 13 percent of WPPI’s power
supply portfolio in 2013. Further, in 2011, WPPI entered into a long-term power purchase
agreement for approximately 160 MW of nuclear capacity.
These examples demonstrate the commitment of WPPI and its 51 members to proactively
reducing their GHG emissions. Some of these actions have been accompanied by an increase in 3 Focus on Energy, https://focusonenergy.com/ (last visited Nov. 26, 2014).
Coal, 54%Nuclear, 23%
Natural Gas, 10%
Renewables, 13%
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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the near-term cost to WPPI member ratepayers in the form of higher wholesale prices. Yet
members endorsed these actions, recognizing the long-term value to their communities, their
states, and the country, and the need to invest in responsible environmental measures.
II. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
WPPI has reviewed and analyzed the proposed rule and has a variety of concerns
regarding its potential impacts on WPPI’s operations. While WPPI supports—and has, in fact,
demonstrated through its actions its commitment to—the goal of reducing GHG emissions,
WPPI has some concerns with the proposed rule. WPPI aims to provide EPA with information
about the practical effects of the proposed rule on WPPI and similarly-situated entities, as well as
constructive feedback on the proposed rule. Wherever possible, WPPI has provided proposed
fixes to these identified problems in order to keep moving forward to address the ultimate goals
of the proposed rule.
WPPI has several overarching concerns:
Early Action. EPA’s use of 2012 as a baseline ignores the efforts and actions of
states and utilities, including WPPI, to reduce emissions since 2005 or earlier.
Reliability. WPPI is concerned that the proposed rule does not fully evaluate
reliability impacts and asks EPA to carefully consider the range of reliability
impacts that new regulations will have on communities.
State Equity. WPPI urges EPA to recognize that the impacts of regulation are
likely to disproportionately fall on some states and regions. In some states,
economics and geography (i.e., no natural gas deposits, no meaningful hydro,
historical transmission limitations) have driven significant investment in coal-
fired generation. However, it is often the states that have intentionally diversified
their generation portfolios that are hit the hardest, because they have significant
natural gas combined cycle (“NGCC”) capacity in their portfolios.
Cross-Jurisdictional Impacts. As a utility with electrical load and generation in
different states, WPPI would have significant problems complying with a state
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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plan that imposed emissions limits directly on affected electric generating units
(“EGUs”).
WPPI comments on the overall operation of the building blocks as a system and critiques
each building block individually. WPPI also addresses the conversion of rate-based goals to
mass-based goals and the proposed rule’s compliance options. WPPI believes that there are
changes EPA can make to the proposed rule to better balance GHG emission reductions with the
needs of communities and the past emission reduction efforts of states and utilities like WPPI.
Additionally, WPPI acknowledges that there is significant interest in the proposed rule,
and EPA will receive a plethora of comments from every perspective. WPPI is well-aware that
there are other commenters that advance legal arguments challenging the legal basis for the
proposed rule. In its comments, WPPI is not addressing these legal arguments, and this silence
should be construed as neither agreement nor disagreement with any such challenges.
III. OVERALL IMPACTS OF THE PROPOSED RULE
In this section, WPPI highlights some significant concerns with the proposed rule overall.
WPPI has also analyzed and is providing comments on the building blocks and other specific
issues in subsequent sections.
A) The 2012 baseline does not recognize proactive measures taken to reduce emissions before 2012.
EPA’s proposed rule purports that it would achieve an overall 30 percent reduction of
electric sector CO2 emissions from 2005 levels.4 EPA’s goal-setting mechanism and use of 2012
as a baseline for the purpose of setting state goals generally fails to recognize emission-reducing
actions taken by states prior to 2012. In many cases, these early acting states found those actions
built into their baseline assumptions, which resulted in more stringent goals for those states,
essentially penalizing them and their utilities for their proactive programs.
4 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,832.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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WPPI and its members have taken actions to reduce GHG emissions by over 23 percent
since 2005. Unfortunately, these actions simply made the relevant state goals more stringent, as
discussed below:
Action Effect on State GoalAggressive energy efficiency efforts by WPPI and other Wisconsin utilities, resulting in a high level of baseline energy efficiency in 2012.
Makes Wisconsin’s interim emission goal more stringent.
WPPI’s 2010 steam turbine upgrade project at Boswell Energy Center Unit 4 lowered Minnesota’s baseline emission rate for 2012.
Makes Minnesota’s interim and final emissions goals more stringent.
Extended power uprate at Point Beach Nuclear Plant, supported by a power purchase agreement with WPPI, increased Wisconsin’s “at-risk” nuclear capacity.
Makes Wisconsin’s interim and final emissions goals more stringent.
States and utilities have undertaken GHG emission reduction measures on their own initiative.
However, the proposed rule not only fails to give credit for these actions, but also penalizes
states by setting a baseline that ignores these pre-2012 efforts.
Another consequence of this failure to give credit for early action is the creation of
inequity between states. That is, the proposed rule often requires deeper cuts by states that took
early action to reduce GHG emissions than states that took little or no such action,
disproportionately distributing responsibility for what should be a shared goal. For example, the
proposed rule would require Wisconsin to reduce its CO2 emission rate by more than 34 percent
by 2020, and Minnesota by more than 40 percent. By contrast, North Dakota, a state with a
much higher reliance on coal generation than either Wisconsin or Minnesota, would be required
to make a reduction of less than 11 percent. This inequity demonstrates the impacts of the
proposed rule’s failure to give credit for pre-2012 actions to reduce CO2.
To give credit for these pre-2012 measures, EPA should change the baseline used to
calculate state goals. WPPI believes that a baseline using 2005 data is the best approach.
However, WPPI could also support EPA’s proposal to use a blend of multiple years as described
in EPA’s Notice of Data Availability (“NODA”),5 although WPPI continues to prefer the
5 Carbon Pollution Emission Guidelines for Existing Stationary Sources: Electric Utility Generating Units, Notice of Data Availability, 79 Fed. Reg. 64,543, 64,548 (Oct. 30, 2014) (“NODA”).
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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incorporation of earlier years into the baseline. The use of a three-year average for the baseline
would be consistent with the final goal calculation, which is measured on a three-year rolling
average basis (i.e., 2030-2032, 2031-2033, 2032-2034).
B) The proposed rule has the potential to severely impact utilities with load and generating resources in different states.
The proposed rule would allow, among other things, a state plan to impose emissions
limitations directly on affected EGUs. Such an approach would be extremely problematic for a
utility, such as WPPI, that has load and generating resources in different states. EPA should
require states to accommodate utilities that do not have in-state “outside the fence” options.
As shown in Figure 2, WPPI has load, affected EGUs, renewables, and other generating
resources across five states.
State Electric Load
GenerationCoal Natural Gas Renewable Nuclear
Illinois XIowa X XMichigan XMinnesota X XWisconsin X X X X X
Figure 2. WPPI load and generation resources by state.
The prospect of having to comply with multiple state plans that impose emissions limitations on
affected EGUs―without accounting for the load WPPI and its members serve because the load
is not in the same state―presents a serious problem for WPPI and many other utilities in a
similar position. Because WPPI does not have mechanisms to reduce emissions—e.g., NGCC
units (which can be redispatched) or electrical load (to which energy efficiency measures can be
applied)—in all states where it has generation, WPPI would have additional issues complying
with a state plan imposing emissions limitations on affected EGUs.
Ultimately, any state plan that imposes limits on affected EGUs must have some way for
utilities, such as WPPI, to comply without the possibility of energy efficiency or demand
reduction measures in that state to offset generation. WPPI suggests that a trading mechanism
could make compliance with such a plan possible in these cases. Additionally, this problem
highlights the importance of a multi-state approach as the primary means by which WPPI and
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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other utilities with load and generation in multiple, and different, states could most likely be
accommodated.6
C) The proposed rule does not promote a realistic multi-state approach.
WPPI believes that a properly constructed multi-state compliance scheme could be the
most cost effective approach, and as noted above, could accommodate utilities such as WPPI
with load and generation in different states. While the proposed rule contemplates such multi-
state solutions, EPA’s concept of a multi-state approach—under which participating states
average their emissions rate goals to create a single multi-state goal—is unrealistic. There is
little reason to expect that a state with an emission rate goal that is less stringent than that of a
potential multi-state group would be willing to join such a group, since doing so would require
them to meet a more stringent goal.
EPA should permit and promote a more realistic multi-state approach that allows states to
retain their individual goals, while providing for trading of credits (representing tons of CO2
emissions or MWh of generation) between states. EPA or a third party entity could provide a
credit-tracking system to be used by states that decide to participate. For example, EPA
administers a trading program for NOx and SO2 allowances. A similar approach could be
appropriate for CO2.
D) The proposed rule’s emission reduction goals are improperly front-loaded.
The proposed rule sets an overly strenuous pace to achieve emission reduction goals.
Although states have until 2030 to comply with the rule’s final emission goals, Wisconsin’s
interim goal would effectively require the state to be over 87 percent of the way toward its final
goal in the decade beginning in 2020. While compliance with the interim goal would be
measured on a ten-year average basis between 2020 and 2029,7 any under-compliance in the
early years of this period would have to be compensated for by over-compliance in the later
years. Since any given state plan may not be approved by EPA until as late as the middle of
2019, requiring such a significant emission reduction beginning only half a year later in 2020 is
6 While a multi-state approach is the first step in accommodating a utility with load and generation in different states, it is not a guaranteed fix, because it is possible that WPPI’s states would be in different multi-state groupings.
7 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,838.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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not realistic. Even if it is possible to comply with the interim goal, this timeline may present
technical challenges that will prevent the use of the most cost effective strategies.8
E) The proposed rule will challenge the ability of utilities to maintain electric system reliability.
Significant changes to the composition and operation of the nation’s electric system
would be necessary to comply with the requirements in the proposed rule. Making these changes
in the relatively short time period provided for in the proposed rule has the potential to adversely
impact system reliability, as noted by the North American Electric Reliability Corporation
(“NERC”).9 Changing the operating characteristics of units—e.g., operating coal units as load-
following resources (discussed in Section VI.A)—will likely affect reliability. Many of the
reliability enhancements that would be necessary to promote system reliability given EPA’s
proposal take time, including the need to plan, site, permit, construct, and begin to operate new
infrastructure.10
NERC has recommended a set of reliability provisions to maintain system reliability.11
WPPI agrees and suggests that EPA include a “reliability safety valve” mechanism to provide
additional compliance and/or enforcement flexibility to ensure electric system reliability. This
might include exception periods or off ramps for local reliability events. WPPI recognizes that
multiple entities may need to be involved with a reliability safety valve or the implementation of
other tools to ensure reliability because of the scope of the issue, and WPPI does not take a
position on the appropriate entitie(s) for this role.
IV. BUILDING BLOCKS AS A SYSTEM
WPPI finds the use of 2012 as the sole source of baseline data problematic in the overall
operation of the building blocks. Further, EPA’s suggestion that renewables and energy
8 NODA, 79 Fed. Reg. at 64,545-46.
9 North American Electric Reliability Corporation, Potential Reliability Impacts of EPA’s Proposed Clean Power Plan 17 (Nov. 2014), http://www.nerc.com/pa/RAPA/ra/Reliability%20Assessments%20DL/Potential_Reliability_Impacts_of_EPA_Proposed_CPP_Final.pdf (“NERC CPP Report”).
10 NERC CPP Report at 10.
11 NERC CPP Report at 22.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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efficiency might displace fossil fuel-fired generation is not realistic. WPPI is also concerned that
the four building blocks proposed by EPA do not work together as a concerted system and are, in
fact, sometimes in tension with one another.
A) The goal-setting formula’s use of 2012 as a baseline is problematic.
EPA used 2012 emissions and generation data as a baseline to set the emission rate goals
in the proposed rule. However, this use of 2012 data fails to recognize emission-reducing
actions taken by states and utilities before 2012, such as WPPI’s actions discussed in Section
III.A). Additionally, 2012 was not a representative year for Wisconsin and thus presents an
inaccurate picture of the baseline for Wisconsin.
2012 was a remarkable year in several respects. During the period between 2005 and
2013, 2012 had the lowest natural gas prices and the greatest percentage of electric generation
from natural gas, as shown in Figure 3.
Figure 3. Wisconsin electric sector natural gas price12 and percent of electric generation in Wisconsin from natural gas13 from 2005 to 2013.
12 Graph derived from U.S. Energy Information Administration, Wisconsin Natural Gas Price Sold to Electric Power Consumers (Oct. 31, 2014), available at http://www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/hist/n3045wi3a.htm.
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
10.0%
12.0%
14.0%
16.0%
18.0%
20.0%
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
$8.00
$9.00
$10.00
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Year
NG Price ($/thousand cubic feet)
Percent of Electric Generation from NG
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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The year 2012 also saw the highest level of renewable generation over this time period,
as shown in Figure 4. As suggested above in Section III.A, these issues would be addressed by
the use of 2005 as the source for baseline data, or alternatively (but less preferably), an average
of 2010-2012 data.
Year Generation (MWh)2005 1,181,6532006 1,265,6232007 1,329,5182008 1,753,9352009 2,340,2952010 2,473,9562011 2,765,0112012 3,223,178
Figure 4. Renewable generation in Wisconsin (wind and biomass only).14
B) It is unlikely that Building Blocks 3 and 4 will meaningfully displace existing fossil fuel-fired generation.
EPA’s NODA provides another approach to the goal setting calculation that would
further include accounting for displacement of fossil generation by renewable energy (“RE”)
generation (Building Block 3) and energy efficiency (“EE”) (Building Block 4).15 The NODA
seeks comment on alternative approaches whereby incremental renewables and energy efficiency
would (1) be assumed to displace 2012 fossil steam generation and NGCC generation levels on a
pro-rata basis (i.e., in proportion to each generation type’s historical generation) or (2) be
assumed to displace fossil steam generation below 2012 levels first and then utilize any
remaining RE and EE to displace NGCC generation.16
13 Graph derived from U.S. Energy Information Administration, Net Generation by State by Type of Producer by Energy Source (Nov. 12, 2013), available at http://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/state/; Graph derived from U.S. Energy Information Administration, Form EIA-923 Detailed Data (Oct. 27, 2014), available athttp://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia923/.
14 Table derived from U.S. Energy Information Administration, Table 5. Electric Power Industry Generation by Primary Energy Source, 1990-2012, Wisconsin (May 1, 2014), available athttp://www.eia.gov/electricity/state/wisconsin/ (follow link to Table 5).
15 NODA, 79 Fed. Reg. at 64,552.
16 NODA, 79 Fed. Reg. at 64,552-53.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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WPPI believes it would be inappropriate to adjust the EPA’s proposed goal calculation to
assume the displacement of fossil fuel generation with energy provided by Building Blocks 3 and
4. Little, if any, of the Building Block 3 and 4 energy would be available to displace fossil fuel
generation, as most or all of the energy would likely be required to meet the growth in electrical
load after 2012. This can be demonstrated using EPA’s goal calculation spreadsheet and the data
file provided with EPA’s Technical Support Document “Translation of the Clean Power Plan
Emission Rate-Based CO2 Goals to Mass-Based Equivalents,” released on November 6, 2014.17
As of 2029, the EPA’s goal calculation spreadsheet shows a nationwide total of approximately
313.6 million MWh of incremental RE generation and 380.6 million MWh of EE avoided
generation, for a total of 694.2 million MWh of energy from Building Blocks 3 and 4. The
analysis in the EPA’s rate-to-mass translation data file shows an increase in the need for annual
generation of approximately 577.1 million MWh between 2012 and 2029. This is equivalent to
over 83 percent of the energy assumed to be provided by Building Blocks 3 and 4. However,
this comparison understates the amount of additional generation that would actually be required,
since the Annual Energy Outlook (“AEO”) forecast on which it is based is net of the effect of
energy efficiency measures. Since the Building Block 4 calculation determines the total, rather
than incremental, potential for energy efficiency, existing energy efficiency measures must be
removed from the AEO forecast, resulting in higher load growth than assumed by EPA. As a
result, it is likely that most or all of the energy from Building Blocks 3 and 4 will be required to
serve new load, leaving little or no energy available to displace existing fossil fuel generation.
C) The four building blocks will likely operate together to decrease the efficiency of coal units.
EPA considered the effects of each building block strictly on a stand-alone basis, rather
than examining how the building blocks would integrate and operate together as a system. In
fact, several aspects of the proposed rule’s building blocks will lead to decreased efficiency for
coal units.
17 U.S. E.P.A. Office of Air & Radiation, Technical Support Document, Translation of the Clean Power Plan Emission Rate-Based CO2 Goals to Mass-Based Equivalents, Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602 (Nov. 6, 2014), available at www2.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2014-11/documents/20141106tsd-rate-to-mass.pdf (“Rate-to-Mass TSD”).
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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Specifically, the redispatch of NGCC units described in Building Block 218 and the
increase in the use of renewable energy described in Building Block 319 will likely increase the
cycling of coal units, thus pushing coal units to operate more often at less efficient points on their
load curves, increasing their average heat rates. The efficiency difference between low load and
optimum efficiency (usually near full load) can be significant. EPA did not consider these issues
when determining the level of heat rate improvement achievable by coal units in Building
Block 1.
Unless EPA evaluates the effects of the building blocks in an integrated manner, it cannot
conclude that its evaluation of the Best System of Emission Reduction (“BSER”) is adequate. In
particular, EPA should consider the impacts of the operating assumptions prescribed by Building
Blocks 2 and 3 on coal unit operating heat rate improvements. EPA should then use its corrected
analysis to review the appropriate heat rate improvement assumption in Building Block 1.
V. BUILDING BLOCK 1 (HEAT RATE IMPROVEMENTS)
EPA’s first proposed strategy for reducing CO2 emissions from EGUs consists of changes
to individual EGUs.20 In particular, Building Block 1 assesses improving the efficiency with
which EGUs convert fuel heat input to electricity output, or heat rate improvements. WPPI has
identified several issues with Building Block 1:
The assumed 6 percent heat rate improvement capability,
The effects of other environmental regulations on heat rate, and
The time period needed to implement heat rate improvements.
WPPI discusses these concerns and some proposed solutions herein.
18 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,862-63.
19 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,866-71.
20 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,856.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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A) The proposed rule does not account for heat rate improvements already undertaken.
The proposed rule uses a standard assumption of a 6 percent heat rate improvement and
applies this assumption to all coal units.21 This results in more stringent goals for states whose
coal units have already undergone heat rate improvement projects in comparison to states whose
coal units are unimproved. Further, many utilities have already implemented ongoing heat rate
improvement programs to capture the efficiency gains that EPA is assuming would be possible in
the “best practices” portion of the Building Block 1 assumption,22 making a further 4 percent
improvement unlikely to be achievable. The ability to achieve a 2 percent improvement through
equipment upgrades will vary from plant to plant. New coal units and coal units that have
already implemented heat rate improvement projects will have more difficulty achieving further
heat rate reductions than older units that have not previously undertaken these projects or
programs.
WPPI proposes that instead of assuming across-the-board heat rate improvements for all
coal units, EPA should allow states to evaluate the potential for, and cost effectiveness of, heat
rate improvement projects at individual EGUs on a case-by-case basis. This would allow states
with units where such projects have already been undertaken to not be penalized for the
proactive investment in emissions-reducing technology. At a minimum, EPA should exclude
from the goal-setting calculation heat rate improvements at new units as well as at units that have
previously undertaken significant heat rate improvement projects.
B) The proposed rule does not account for heat rate increases from compliance with other environmental regulations.
As EPA is well aware, other environmental regulations, such as the Mercury and Air
Toxics Standards and the Cross-State Air Pollution Rule, required many existing coal plants to
implement emissions reduction projects. These projects frequently result in a decrease in the
unit’s gross output and/or an increase in the unit’s auxiliary load: both of which increase the
unit’s net heat rate.
21 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,861.
22 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,860.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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EPA failed to consider heat rate increases from these emission reduction projects when
determining the heat rate improvement that can be achieved by the implementing coal units.
EPA should revise its assumptions about heat rate improvement potential to account for the
effects on heat rate of compliance with other environmental regulations.
C) Heat rate improvements likely require longer time periods.
In setting interim goals, EPA assumes that heat rate improvement projects can be
implemented by 2020.23 However, it is unlikely that that a state’s utilities would begin to
implement heat rate improvement projects prior to EPA’s approval of their state’s plan.24 Given
that a state plan may not be approved until 2018, and a multi-state plan may not be approved
until 2019, it is unlikely that heat rate improvement projects could be planned and completed by
2020.
Longer time periods for compliance would provide more flexibility in project
management and cost control. The projects that offer the greatest potential to improve heat rate
are often long lead-time projects. Further, the logistics of many coal units implementing similar
projects in the same, short time period may lead to cost increases and scheduling issues due to
supply chain bottlenecks in obtaining equipment. A recent project at the Boswell Energy Center
Unit 4, of which WPPI is a part owner, illustrates the time required to implement a significant
heat rate improvement project. At this unit, a steam turbine retrofit project, initiated in 2007,
required approximately three years for design, procurement, permitting and scheduling of a
lengthy plant outage for installation, and was completed in 2010.
To address these issues, EPA should not finalize any interim goal and should allow states
to determine and set their own reasonable schedules for implementing heat rate improvement
projects. In the event that EPA includes a mandatory interim goal, then at the very least, EPA
should assume a ramp-up period for the implementation of these projects (as suggested in the
NODA) similar to what EPA has proposed for renewables and energy efficiency.25
23 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,837.
24 If a heat rate improvement project were economical in the absence of a regulatory requirement like the Clean Power Plan, the project would likely have already been completed.
25 NODA, 79 Fed. Reg. at 64,548.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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VI. BUILDING BLOCK 2 (REDISPATCH)
In the proposed rule, EPA assumes that NGCC units will be redispatched to a capacity
factor of 70 percent.26 Building Block 2 raises several issues that WPPI addresses:
Operation of NGCC units as baseload units,
Timeline for achievement of NGCC redispatch at the assumed level,
The capacity rating used by EPA, and
Changes in NGCC operations at higher capacity factors.
A) Under the proposed rule, NGCC units would become baseload resources.
NGCC units that operate as load-following, intermediate resources would become, in
essence, baseload resources under the proposed rule’s redispatch assumption. This assumption
has multiple ramifications, particularly when considered in conjunction with the other building
blocks. First, the need for load-following resources will increase because of the increase in
renewable penetration that is assumed in Building Block 3. Intermittent renewable resources
such as wind and solar place different kinds of stresses on the grid, due to the variability of their
fuel supply and their tendency to all come online or go offline together. This intermittency
causes very fast ramps on the system and the need for other, very flexible generators to
counterbalance them. Second, if NGCCs become baseload resources, coal units operating at
reduced loads and simple cycle peaking units operating at increased capacity factors will likely
replace NGCCs as intermediate, load-following units in many parts of the country. This type of
operation reduces coal unit efficiency and would tend to worsen their emissions rates. This
replacement could result in higher emissions than was assumed by EPA as a result of the
redispatch step.
In analyzing the proposed rule, EPA failed to consider the effect of increased coal unit
ramping and simple cycle peaking unit utilization when determining the level of emission
reduction achievable by NGCC redispatch. EPA should also analyze the need for increased
load-following generation that will likely occur as renewable generation increases.
26 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,851.
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B) The proposed rule assumes a level of NGCC redispatch that is unlikely to be feasible by 2020.
In setting interim goals, EPA assumes that NGCC redispatch can be accomplished by
2020. However, there are obstacles to increased NGCC operation that will make this unlikely, if
not impossible.27 For example, increased NGCC operation at individual units may require
upgrades to natural gas pipelines for increased fuel supplies to NGCC units and electric
transmission facilities or air permit amendments, as well as changes to the operation of the
electrical grid. NERC has recommended that regions, states, and RTOs consider the time
required to plan and build infrastructure as it relates to the potential of the proposed rule to
impact reliability.28
WPPI is concerned that neither EPA nor regulated entities fully understand the extent of
new construction and upgrades that will be necessary to comply with the proposed rule, and
encourages relevant parties to undertake studies to ascertain what may be required, the associated
costs, and the timeline to properly comply. WPPI believes that an industry group and/or NERC
are the appropriate entities to conduct such a study, and EPA’s role should be to set a timeline
that will accommodate it.
To address these issues, EPA should not finalize any interim goal and should allow states
to determine and set reasonable schedules for implementing NGCC redispatch. At a minimum,
in the event that EPA includes a mandatory interim goal, then, as suggested in the NODA, EPA
should assume a ramp-up period for redispatch implementation, similar to EPA’s treatment of
renewables and energy efficiency.29
C) EPA used the wrong rating for NGCC units to determine assumed output.
In calculating the energy that would be produced by the operation of NGCCs at a
capacity factor of 70 percent, EPA used the nameplate rating of the NGCCs, rather than the net
capacity at which the units can actually operate.
As Figure 5 shows for Wisconsin NGCC units, the nameplate capacity can vary
significantly from a unit’s actual net capacity. The total average net capacity of Wisconsin’s
27 NODA, 79 Fed. Reg. at 64,548.
28 NERC CPP Report at 23.
29 NODA, 79 Fed. Reg. at 64,548.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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NGCC units is approximately 9 percent lower than the total nameplate rating used by EPA in its
calculation.
Utility Name Plant NameGenerator
ID
Nameplate Capacity
(MW)
Summer Capacity
(MW)
Winter Capacity
(MW)
Madison Gas & Electric CoWest Campus Cogeneration Facility 1 54.0 29.9 29.9
Madison Gas & Electric CoWest Campus Cogeneration Facility CT2 54.0 32.5 32.5
Madison Gas & Electric CoWest Campus Cogeneration Facility STG1 61.3 63.9 63.9
Rock River Energy LLC Riverside Energy Center CTG1 198.0 167.0 185.0
Rock River Energy LLC Riverside Energy Center CTG2 198.0 167.0 185.0
Rock River Energy LLC Riverside Energy Center STG1 299.7 261.0 279.0
Wisconsin Electric Power CoPort Washington Generating Station 1CT1 167.9 165.0 165.0
Wisconsin Electric Power CoPort Washington Generating Station 1CT2 167.9 165.0 165.0
Wisconsin Electric Power CoPort Washington Generating Station 2CT1 167.9 165.0 165.0
Wisconsin Electric Power CoPort Washington Generating Station 2CT2 167.9 165.0 165.0
Wisconsin Electric Power CoPort Washington Generating Station ST1 268.6 215.0 245.0
Wisconsin Electric Power CoPort Washington Generating Station ST2 268.6 215.0 245.0
GE Energy Services Fox Energy Center CTG1 185.0 160.8 211.0
GE Energy Services Fox Energy Center CTG2 185.0 151.7 211.0
GE Energy Services Fox Energy Center STG 250.0 233.4 213.0Whitewater Operating Services LLC LSP-Whitewater LP CTG1 177.3 162.0 175.0Whitewater Operating Services LLC LSP-Whitewater LP STG1 106.2 99.0 97.0
2977.3 2618.2 2832.3
Average Net Capacity 2725.25
Figure 5. Wisconsin NGCC capacity—shows nameplate capacity, summer capacity, and winter capacity.30 The total nameplate capacity and the average of the total summer and winter capacities are shaded.
EPA should use an average of the summer and winter net capacity ratings rather than the
nameplate capacity to obtain a more reasonable estimate of average annual net capacity of an
NGCC unit. The same EIA-860 database that EPA used to find nameplate capacities also
30 Table derived from U.S. Energy Information Administration, Form EIA-860 Detailed Data (Dec. 4, 2013), available at www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia860.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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provides summer and winter net capacity ratings, as reflected in EPA’s NGCC Capacity by Age
spreadsheet.31 For Wisconsin, making this switch and using the average of the summer and
winter net capacity ratings in the goal-setting calculation makes the state’s interim and final
goals approximately 3 percent less stringent.
D) The proposed rule does not account for increased duct firing as NGCC operations increase.
In its goal-setting calculation, EPA assumes that the CO2 emission rate of the
redispatched NGCC units will be equal to their 2012 emission rate.32 However, this is unlikely
to be a reasonable assumption, because EPA failed to consider the implications of its building
blocks on unit operations. All Wisconsin NGCC units have duct-fired peaking capacity that
generally comprises at least 10-20 percent of the total capacity of the units. The duct-fired
capacity has a significantly higher incremental heat rate—and emission rate—than the unfired
capacity, so the duct-fired capacity has historically been operated fairly infrequently. However,
in order to achieve a capacity factor of 70 percent, additional duct firing will likely be required at
some units.
When determining the appropriate emission rate to use for redispatched NGCCs in
calculating state goals, EPA must consider the fact that redispatched NGCCs operating under the
assumptions in Building Block 2 will likely operate with increased duct firing—thus at a higher
emission rate—than they did in 2012.
VII. BUILDING BLOCK 3a (RENEWABLES)
The proposed rule’s Building Block 3a encompasses the increased use of renewable
generation. WPPI sees several issues with this building block, including calculation of the
baseline and the need for credits for renewables before 2020.
31 U.S. E.P.A., NGCC Capacity by Age in Supporting & Related Material, Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602 (June 18, 2014), Regulations.gov ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602-0252.
32 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,857-58; U.S. E.P.A., State Goal Data and Computation in Supporting & Related Material, Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602 (June 18, 2014), Regulations.gov ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602-0255.
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A) EPA incorrectly accounts for baseline renewables in its goal-setting calculation.
WPPI has identified multiple problems with the baseline renewables used by EPA in its
goal-setting calculation.
1. Out-of-State Renewables
The proposed rule creates a disconnect in the accounting of renewable energy between
goal-setting and compliance. For the purpose of determining state goals, EPA assigned existing
renewables to the state in which they are physically located, rather than the state whose utilities
own or purchase the output from these facilities. However, for compliance purposes, EPA
proposes that “consistent with existing state RPS policies, a state could take into account all of
the CO2 emission reductions from renewable energy measures implemented by the state, whether
they occur in the state or in other states.”33 As a result, some existing renewable facilities will be
applied to one state for goal-setting purposes, but to another state for compliance purposes.
2. Behind-the-Meter Facilities
It is not clear whether Wisconsin utilities will be able to take credit for behind-the-meter
facilities. A significant portion of the renewable energy in Wisconsin’s baseline is from behind-
the-meter facilities owned by industrial customers—primarily black liquor recovery and wood-
waste-fired boilers owned by paper mills. Wisconsin utilities typically do not purchase
renewable energy credits (“RECs”) from these facilities. If those RECs are sold to entities in
other states, those states, rather than Wisconsin, would be able to take credit for these behind-
the-meter facilities for compliance purposes, although the RECs are counted against Wisconsin
in setting the baseline.
3. Biomass Facilities
WPPI is concerned about how EPA will treat biomass facilities. Over half of the
renewable energy in Wisconsin’s baseline is from biomass facilities. While EPA considered
these facilities to be carbon-free for the purpose of setting the state’s goal, EPA has not yet
determined in the proposed rule how to treat these facilities for compliance purposes.34 EPA’s
November 19, 2014 guidance memorandum on biogenic CO2 emissions appears to support the
33 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,922.
34 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,927.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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treatment of certain biomass feedstocks as being carbon neutral, implying that CO2 emissions
may be assigned to biomass facilities utilizing other feedstocks, contrary to the assumption in the
goal-setting calculation.35 In addition, the revised Framework for Assessing Biogenic CO2
Emissions from Stationary Sources,36 on which the guidance memorandum is based, remains a
draft document subject to revision.
4. Green Pricing Programs
WPPI notes that there are currently, and will continue to be, certain percentages of
renewable generation purchased under green pricing programs. In these programs, customers
choose to pay a premium above their retail rate for electricity from renewable resources. WPPI
does not believe that this renewable generation should be included in the baseline as existing
renewables or assumed to be available for compliance, since it is being purchased by customers
with the intent that it be in excess of what is required to meet regulatory requirements
5. Summary and Suggested Approach
WPPI realizes that it will be difficult for EPA to resolve all of these issues with existing
renewables as part of its calculation of state goals for the final rule. A better approach that EPA
should adopt is to exclude existing renewables from the goal-setting calculation and recalculate
state goals based on the appropriate level of incremental renewables to be added by each state.
Thus, while state goals would be higher (and seemingly less stringent) than under the method in
the proposed rule due to the exclusion of existing renewables from the goal-setting formula,
existing renewables would not be eligible to be used for compliance purposes. As a result, the
stringency of the target would not actually be affected. In effect, existing non-hydro renewables
would be treated the same way as existing hydro and the non-at-risk portion of existing nuclear
facilities. While these existing facilities would be expected to continue operating and providing
carbon-free generation, only new renewable and nuclear facilities could be credited for
compliance purposes.
35 Memorandum from Janet G. McCabe, Acting Assistant Administrator, U.S. E.P.A. Office of Air & Radiation to Air Div. Dirs. Regions 1-10 re: Addressing Biogenic Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Stationary Sources (Nov. 19, 2014), available at http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/downloads/Biogenic-CO2-Emissions-Memo-111914.pdf.
36 U.S. E.P.A. Office of Air & Radiation, Framework for Assessing Biogenic CO2 Emissions from Stationary Sources (Nov. 2014), http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/downloads/Framework-for-Assessing-Biogenic-CO2-Emissions.pdf.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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In conjunction with the exclusion of existing renewables from the goal setting
calculation, a method to provide states with partial credit for early action would be to allow
states to take credit for a portion of their existing renewables for compliance purposes in
achieving the state’s goal. For example, states could be allowed to take credit for generation
from renewable facilities that are in excess of the state’s renewable portfolio standard
requirements.
B) States should get credit for additional renewables that come on-line before 2020.
Many states and utilities, such as WPPI, have already taken steps to incorporate
renewables and would do so irrespective of the proposed rule. This behavior should be
encouraged. However, the proposed rule provides no incentive for states to add renewables prior
to 2020, because the energy produced by these facilities before 2020 will not provide any
compliance benefit. Further, the rule provides no incentive for adding renewables or taking other
measures that go beyond what is required to meet a state’s goal during a specific compliance
period.
EPA should allow states to bank credits for new renewable generation added prior to
2020.37 States should be able to bank credits representing the energy generated by these facilities
and use these credits for compliance purposes beginning in 2020. Similarly, EPA should also
allow credits for renewable generation that exceeds what is required to meet a state’s goal during
a compliance period to be banked for use in a subsequent compliance period. For example,
excess credits from the 2020-2029 compliance period could be banked for the 2030-2032
compliance period.
VIII. BUILDING BLOCK 3b (NUCLEAR)
In the proposed rule, EPA recognizes nuclear generation as a zero CO2 emissions
resource and proposes to include 5.8 percent of a state’s 2014 nuclear capacity in calculating
state goals.38 WPPI requests that EPA eliminate the at-risk nuclear provision from the goal-
37 EPA discusses this option in the NODA. NODA, 79 Fed. Reg. at 64,545-46. EPA should include banked credits, particularly in the event it retains the interim goal.
38 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,871.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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setting calculation. In the event that EPA retains the at-risk nuclear provision, EPA should
recognize the impacts of the retirement of a nuclear unit at the end of its operational license on a
state’s goal.
A) EPA should eliminate the at-risk nuclear provision from the goal-setting calculation.
The proposed rule’s “at-risk” nuclear provision results in more stringent goals for states
with existing nuclear capacity than for states with no nuclear generation. Further, states in which
nuclear plants increased their output prior to 2012 are penalized rather than rewarded for this
investment.
EPA should eliminate the at-risk nuclear provision from the goal-setting calculation and
should instead provide an incentive for nuclear units to continue to operate and increase their
capacity factor and output, if possible. The at-risk nuclear provision in the goal does not
incentivize nuclear plants to maintain operations; once constructed, nuclear plants are relatively
cheap to operate. Excluding existing nuclear from the goal-setting calculation, but allowing
states with existing nuclear to take credit for a portion of their nuclear generation for compliance
purposes would provide this incentive. Otherwise, states are penalized for having nuclear that
shuts down, when oftentimes there may be little states can do to keep nuclear generation
operating. States have little to no input on the decisions of nuclear plant operators to continue
operations or shut down, and no input on the dispatch of nuclear units.
Additionally, EPA should recognize the early action that utilities have taken to increase
nuclear plant output, such as the 2011 extended power uprate of 160 MW at the Point Beach
Nuclear Plant, discussed in Section III.A). Yet, rather than getting any credit for this additional,
zero-CO2 generation, the additional 160 MW only serves to increase the stringency of
Wisconsin’s goal by increasing the at-risk nuclear factor in the goal-setting calculation. If EPA
retains the inclusion of at-risk nuclear capacity in setting state goals, WPPI believes that at least
the capacity from recent (post-2005) uprates should be excluded from determining the amount of
at-risk nuclear generation.
If EPA does retain a provision in the goal-setting calculation to account for at-risk
nuclear capacity, EPA should distinguish units that are truly at-risk and recalculate the
percentage of “at-risk nuclear” used in setting state goals. WPPI suggests that a non-regulated
merchant plant could be considered at-risk, whereas a utility-owned plant in a rate-regulated state
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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or a plant with a long-term power purchase agreement, such as Point Beach, would not be “at-
risk.”
B) EPA should account for the closing of nuclear units at the end of their operational lives.
Even if a nuclear unit is not shut down prematurely, it will still be required to shut down
at the expiration of its operating license, a decision under the exclusive jurisdiction of the
Nuclear Regulatory Commission. For example, the licenses for the two Point Beach units will
expire in 2030 and 2033, after being renewed in 2005. When the units begin to shut down,
Wisconsin will have to add additional CO2-free generation or implement other emission
reduction measures in order to replace the sizable loss of generation and maintain emissions
relative to the state’s goal.
If EPA does retain the at-risk nuclear provision in the final goal-setting calculation, EPA
should allow state goals to be adjusted upon the expiration of nuclear plant operating licenses to
remove the at-risk nuclear generation from the denominator of the goal-setting calculation. Any
other result would penalize a state that currently has nuclear generation over a state that has no
nuclear generation.
IX. BUILDING BLOCK 4 (ENERGY EFFICIENCY)
The proposed rule’s Building Block 4 analyzes how demand reduction and energy
efficiency can support reducing generation at affected EGUs.39 WPPI notes several concerns
with this proposal:
Inequities created by the ramping up period,
Credit for in-state measures, and
Credit for pre-2020 programs.
A) The proposed rule penalizes states with higher initial levels of energy efficiency during the interim period.
The proposed rule’s goal-setting calculation assumes that all states will ramp up from
2012 levels of energy efficiency to 1.5 percent of the 2012 level at the same rate.40 Thus, states
39 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,871.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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with higher initial levels of energy efficiency will have more stringent goals during the interim
period than states with lower initial levels of energy efficiency.
EPA should assume that all states begin with an initial level of energy efficiency
achievement of zero in the goal-setting calculation to avoid this inequity and penalty on states
that have already achieved higher levels of energy efficiency.
B) EPA should allow states to take full credit for in-state energy efficiency measures.
The proposed rule would require states that are net electricity importers to discount the
emission reduction impacts of energy efficiency measures so that only the in-state portion of
such emission reductions is counted.41 Under this approach, a utility would not know the value
of potential energy efficiency measures until after the fact, since the emission reduction value of
these energy efficiency measures might be discounted by a factor not known until the end of the
compliance period. Further, the utility generally has no control over this discount factor.
EPA should allow states to take credit for the full emission reduction impact of energy
efficiency measures undertaken within the state.
C) States should get credit for energy efficiency programs implemented before 2020.
The proposed rule provides no incentive for states to implement energy efficiency
programs prior to 2020, because energy efficiency savings do not provide compliance benefits
until 2020. Additionally, the proposed rule provides no incentive to implement energy efficiency
programs or take other, similar measures to go beyond what is required to meet a state goal
during a given compliance period.
Similar to WPPI’s earlier recommendation about renewables in Section VII.B, WPPI
suggests that EPA allow states to bank credits generated by pre-2020 energy efficiency savings
to use for compliance purposes beginning in 2020. States should also be allowed to bank excess
credits generated during a compliance period for use during a subsequent compliance period.
40 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,872-73.
41 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,896.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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X. CONVERSION OF RATE-BASED GOALS TO MASS-BASED GOALS
A) The proposed rule requires a state electing to use mass-based goals to commit to a projection of future electrical needs too far in advance.
The proposed rule requires a state that chooses to use mass-based goals rather than rate-
based goals to produce a “reference case” forecast of generation by affected EGUs through
2030.42 The state would complete this forecast at the time it prepares its plan, and this forecast
would determine the state’s mass-based compliance goals for all compliance periods. Preparing
an accurate forecast that far in advance, however, would be extremely problematic. For
example, a future breakthrough in battery technology that markedly increases the adoption of
electric vehicles could result in significant additional electrical load that could not be anticipated
at the time the forecast is prepared.
EPA should allow states to adjust their mass-based goals based on changes that occur
after the generation projection is originally made. This would make a mass-based approach
more attractive as an alternative to a rate-based approach.
B) The proposed rate-to-mass conversion formula does not accurately translate a state’s rate-based emissions goal to an equally-stringent mass-based emissions goal.
To set a mass-based emissions goal, a state’s projection of generation by affected EGUs
under a reference case scenario would be multiplied by the state’s rate-based goal for the
applicable compliance period. This method does not accurately translate the rate-based goal to
an equally-stringent mass-based goal.
For example, a state’s existing nuclear generation will already be fully accounted for in
the reference case scenario. The nuclear plants will not be able to increase their output by 5.8
percent for compliance purposes, as would be presumed by the proposed formula. Similarly,
since existing renewables will be included in the reference case scenario, they would not be
available to offset generation by affected EGUs for compliance purposes, as would also be
presumed by the proposed calculation.
42 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,919, 34,922.
Comments of WPPI Energy in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2013-0602
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EPA’s Rate-to-Mass TSD proposes an alternative formula for converting rate-based goals
to mass-based goals.43 In the formula provided in the TSD, a state’s mass-based goal would be
determined by multiplying its rate-based goal by a quantity referred to as the “Mass Equivalent
Generation Level.” The Mass Equivalent Generation Level, as defined in the TSD, includes at-
risk nuclear generation and generation by existing renewables, as well as projected generation by
affected EGUs. The use of this formula appears to accurately translate a rate-based goal to an
equally-stringent mass-based goal. However, since the text of the proposed regulation itself
specifies the use of the incorrect formula,44 the proposed regulation must be revised to
incorporate the corrected conversion formula.45 Although WPPI appreciates the guidance
provided in the Rate-to-Mass TSD, WPPI is concerned that EPA is using this TSD to correct an
apparent error in the original proposal without a clear indication to commenters and stakeholders
that there was an error or that the TSD is substantively revising this aspect of the proposal.
C) EPA should provide presumptive mass-based goals.
As suggested in the proposed rule,46 EPA should provide “presumptive” translations of
rate-based goals to mass-based goals for each state. States should be allowed to either adopt this
presumptive translation or propose an alternative mass-based goal as part of the state plan
process.
XI. COMPLIANCE OPTIONS
A) EPA should clarify that the rule allows for full flexibility for compliance.
Although the proposed rule states that “the affected EGUs, to comply with the applicable
standards of performance in the state plan, may rely on any efficacious means of emission
reduction, regardless of whether the EPA identifies those measures as part of the BSER[,]”47
43 Rate-to-Mass TSD at 7-8.
44 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,953 (40 C.F.R. § 60.5770(a)(3)).
45 If EPA adopts WPPI’s recommendations to exclude from the goal-setting calculation both existing renewables (Section VII.A.5) and the at-risk nuclear component (Section VIII.A), then the conversion formula in the proposal will not require correction.
46 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,912.
47 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,853.
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other sections of the proposed rule confuse the issue of how much flexibility is permitted. For
example, elsewhere in the proposed rule, EPA lists a number of measures such as partial carbon
capture and sequestration and transmission and distribution system efficiency improvements,
stating: “[t]he agency solicits comment on whether these measures are appropriate to include in a
state plan to achieve CO2 emission reductions from affected EGUs.”48
WPPI requests that EPA clarify that states and EGUs may rely on any efficacious means
of emission reduction to comply with the state’s goal.
B) Out-of-sector offsets should be permitted to be used for compliance.
The proposed rule appears to give conflicting guidance regarding the use of offsets for
compliance, initially stating that “the EPA is not proposing that out-of-sector GHG offsets could
be applied to demonstrate CO2 emission performance by affected EGUs in a state plan.”49 Then,
in the next sentence, the proposed rule states: “emission limits for affected EGUs that are
included in state plans could still include provisions that provide the ability to use GHG offsets
for compliance with the emission limits, provided those emission limits would achieve the
required level of emission performance for affected EGUs.”50 This generates confusion in
understanding the proposed rule and will likely cause problems in implementation.
WPPI requests clarification on this issue. Specifically, EPA should clarify that out-of-
sector offsets may be used for compliance. At a minimum, if unrelated out-of-sector offsets are
not allowed, EPA should allow the use of offsets that are directly related to generating units,
such as methane destruction credit for generators utilizing landfill gas or biogas from anaerobic
digesters.
C) State plans should be able to provide a three-year compliance period under either a mass-based plan or a rate-based plan.
The proposed rule provides that, beginning in 2032, states will be required to demonstrate
compliance with their final emission goal on a rolling three-year basis.51 However, EPA
proposes that the appropriate averaging time for affected EGUs or other affected entities to
48 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,923.
49 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,910.
50 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,910.
51 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,906.
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demonstrate compliance with state plan requirements should be no more than 12 months for a
rate-based emission standard and no more than three years for a mass-based standard.52 It is not
clear why an affected entity’s compliance period should be shorter than a state’s compliance
period, or why the compliance period should be shorter under a rate-based emission standard
than under a mass-based standard. EPA should allow state plans to provide a compliance period
of up to three years regardless of whether the state selects a rate-based approach or a mass-based
approach.
XII. CONCLUSION
WPPI appreciates the opportunity to submit comments on the proposed rule. WPPI has
long seen the importance of environmental responsibility and in particular, reducing GHG
emissions from EGUs. WPPI respectfully requests that EPA consider the above comments and
implement WPPI’s suggested changes in formulating any final rule stemming from the proposed
rule. WPPI recognizes that many of the issues raised in its comments require additional study
and planning, and WPPI asks EPA to undertake this work in collaboration with other federal,
state, and regional entities with particular expertise in reliability, the operation of the electric
grid, the operation of RTO markets and other energy issues.
SUBMITTED BY:
/s/ Andy Kellen
Andy KellenVice President, Power Supply ResourcesWPPI Energy1425 Corporate Center DriveSun Prairie, WI 53590(608) [email protected]
November 28, 2014
52 Clean Power Plan, 79 Fed. Reg. at 34,956 (proposed definition of “Compliance period” at 40 C.F.R. § 60.5820).