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Coming to Terms with our Autonomic Future Mike Amundsen API Academy / CA Technologies @mamund

Coming to Terms with our Autonomic Futuremamund.com/talks/2016-12-apidays-autonomic/2016-12... · 2016-12-13 · The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress & Prosperity in a time of Brilliant

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Page 1: Coming to Terms with our Autonomic Futuremamund.com/talks/2016-12-apidays-autonomic/2016-12... · 2016-12-13 · The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress & Prosperity in a time of Brilliant

Coming to Terms with our

Autonomic Future

Mike Amundsen

API Academy / CA Technologies

@mamund

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Prologue

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Prologue

“Don’t worry, be happy!”

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”The automation of factories has

already decimated jobs in

traditional manufacturing, and

the rise of artificial intelligence is

likely to extend this job

destruction…”

Stephen Hawking, 2016

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The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress & Prosperity in a time of Brilliant Technologies —Erik Brynjolfsson, Andrew McAfee.

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Autonomic, not Autonomous

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“The autonomic nervous system is

a control system that acts largely

unconsciously and regulates

bodily functions such as the heart

rate, digestion, respiratory rate…”

Wikipedia

OpenStax College - Anatomy & Physiology, Connexions Web site.

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“Ok, let’s get started…”

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rrational

ears

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“A new world has arisen:

the Rule of the Robots!”

-- Rossums’ Universal Robots, Karel Capek

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http://observer.com/2015/08/stephen-hawking-elon-musk-and-bill-gates-warn-about-artificial-intelligence/

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Karel Capek is best known for

his science fiction including the

play R.U.R. (Rossum's

Universal Robots), which

introduced the word robot.

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We fear what we don’t understand.

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“We are swift to attribute mental

states to entities with eyes and

movement patterns that look

goal directed…”

Eric Schwitzgebel

“Cute Ai an the ASIMO problem” -- http://schwitzsplinters.blogspot.fr/2015/07/cute-ai-and-asimo-problem.html

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Robot-as-Menace [stories]

palled dreadfully and I

couldn't stand them.

Issac Asimov, 1982

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Asimov’s Three Laws of Robotics

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“Should we be afraid of robots?”

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ild

nthusiasm

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“Everybody will live only to

perfect themselves.”

-- Rossums’ Universal Robots, Karel Capek

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“So, we’re good, right?”

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aunting

ealities

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“Terrible things may happen,

but that cannot be avoided.”

-- Rossums’ Universal Robots, Karel Capek

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“Operatives” in the US (assembly, drivers, mining)

“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006

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“Operatives” in the US (assembly, drivers, mining)

“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006

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Clerical workers in the US (1900-2000)

“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006

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Clerical workers in the US (1900-2000)

“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006

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Clerical workers in the US (1900-2000)

“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006

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“We are entering a new phase in

human history - one in which

fewer and fewer workers will be

needed to produce the goods and

services for the global

population.”

Jeremy Rifkin, 1995

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“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006

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“Occupational changes during the 20th century”, Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2006

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That’s the past, what about the future?

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One factory has "reduced

employee strength from

110,000 to 50,000 thanks to the

introduction of robots", a

government official told the

South China Morning Post.

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Epilogue

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Epilogue

“So, now what?”

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“What do I see

in our future?

I see pitchforks.”

Nick Hanauer, VC Investor

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“You build it, you run it.”

Werner Vogels, Amazon CTO

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Get past irrational fear of technologicial expansion

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Recognize the robots around us

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In your thinking, separate “Jobs” from “Work”

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Stop measuring progress via employment rate

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Be mindful of the effects of new technology

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Get involved with projects that improve people’s lives

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Consider working on “the big problems” facing us all

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Think of the problem as autonomic & balancing

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Think of the problem as autonomic & balancing

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Think of the problem as autonomic & balancing

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“One thing I've learned over these

last 30 or 40 years is that

people make history.”

Jeremy Rifkin

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“One thing I've learned over these

last 30 or 40 years is that

people make history.”

Jeremy Rifkin

Page 109: Coming to Terms with our Autonomic Futuremamund.com/talks/2016-12-apidays-autonomic/2016-12... · 2016-12-13 · The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress & Prosperity in a time of Brilliant

“One thing I've learned over these

last 30 or 40 years is that

people make history.”

Jeremy Rifkin

Page 110: Coming to Terms with our Autonomic Futuremamund.com/talks/2016-12-apidays-autonomic/2016-12... · 2016-12-13 · The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress & Prosperity in a time of Brilliant

“One thing I've learned over these

last 30 or 40 years is that

people make history.”

Jeremy Rifkin

Page 111: Coming to Terms with our Autonomic Futuremamund.com/talks/2016-12-apidays-autonomic/2016-12... · 2016-12-13 · The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress & Prosperity in a time of Brilliant

Coming to Terms with our

Autonomic Future

Mike Amundsen

API Academy / CA Technologies

@mamund

http://g.mamund.com/2016-12-apidays/