23
CLSI Guidelines on CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Epidemiological Cutoff Values Values National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infectious Diseases Mycotic Diseases Branch Values Values Shawn Lockhart, PhD D(ABMM) Mycotic Diseases Branch Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    5

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

CLSI Guidelines onCLSI Guidelines onEpidemiological CutoffEpidemiological Cutoff

ValuesValues

National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infectious DiseasesMycotic Diseases Branch

CLSI Guidelines onCLSI Guidelines onEpidemiological CutoffEpidemiological Cutoff

ValuesValuesShawn Lockhart, PhD D(ABMM)

Mycotic Diseases BranchCenters for Disease Control and Prevention

Page 2: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

Breakpoints vs EpidemiologicalBreakpoints vs EpidemiologicalCutoff Values (ECVs)Cutoff Values (ECVs)Breakpoints vs EpidemiologicalBreakpoints vs EpidemiologicalCutoff Values (ECVs)Cutoff Values (ECVs)

Page 3: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

BreakpointsBreakpoints

Based upon a number of factors:◦ MIC distributions (species specific) Including both wild type and molecularly proven

resistant isolates

◦ Pharmacokinetics/Pharmacodynamics◦ Outcome data

Allow us to determine whether a givenbug/drug combination is likely to work

Based upon a number of factors:◦ MIC distributions (species specific) Including both wild type and molecularly proven

resistant isolates

◦ Pharmacokinetics/Pharmacodynamics◦ Outcome data

Allow us to determine whether a givenbug/drug combination is likely to work

Page 4: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

Epidemiological Cutoff Values (ECVs)Epidemiological Cutoff Values (ECVs)

Based upon the MIC distribution alone

Do not allow us to determine whether agiven bug/drug combination is likely towork only whether a particular MIC valueis “normal” (wild type) or “not normal”(non-wild type)

Based upon the MIC distribution alone

Do not allow us to determine whether agiven bug/drug combination is likely towork only whether a particular MIC valueis “normal” (wild type) or “not normal”(non-wild type)

Page 5: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

What is an ECV?What is an ECV?

CLSI working definition-◦ the minimal inhibitory concentration/minimal

effective concentration value that separatesfungal populations into those with andwithout acquired and/or mutational resistancebased on their phenotypes (minimal inhibitoryconcentration)

CLSI working definition-◦ the minimal inhibitory concentration/minimal

effective concentration value that separatesfungal populations into those with andwithout acquired and/or mutational resistancebased on their phenotypes (minimal inhibitoryconcentration)

Page 6: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

Phenotype as a definition of wildPhenotype as a definition of wildtype…type…We make an assumption of wild type

based on MICWild type is determined based on the

MIC value to the specific drug◦ A Candida albicans isolate with an FKS

mutation and a micafungin MIC of 4 µg/mlwould be non-wild type for micafungin

◦ The same isolate, with a fluconazole MIC of0.125 µg/ml would be considered wild typefor fluconazole

We make an assumption of wild typebased on MICWild type is determined based on the

MIC value to the specific drug◦ A Candida albicans isolate with an FKS

mutation and a micafungin MIC of 4 µg/mlwould be non-wild type for micafungin

◦ The same isolate, with a fluconazole MIC of0.125 µg/ml would be considered wild typefor fluconazole

Page 7: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

How are ECVs determined?How are ECVs determined?

Visual method 95% rule Normalized resistance interpretation Multimodal analysis Iterative statistical method

Visual method 95% rule Normalized resistance interpretation Multimodal analysis Iterative statistical method

Page 8: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

How are ECVs determined?How are ECVs determined?

Visual method◦ View the distribution histogram◦ Look for the population at the lower end of

the distribution

Page 9: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

How are ECVs determined?How are ECVs determined?

1400

1600

1800

2000

Num

ber

of is

olat

es

ECV?

ECV?

Candida albicans and fluconazole MIC distribution

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

0.06 0.12 0.25 0.5 1 2 4 8 16

MIC values µg/ml

Num

ber

of is

olat

es

ECV?

5,265 isolates

Page 10: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

How are ECVs determined?How are ECVs determined?

95% rule◦ This is essentially an MIC95

◦ The ECV is the MIC the encompasses ≥95%of the wild type population

Page 11: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

How are ECVs determined?How are ECVs determined?

1400

1600

1800

2000

Num

ber

of is

olat

es

ECV?

Candida albicans and fluconazole MIC distribution

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

0.06 0.12 0.25 0.5 1 2 4 8 16

MIC values µg/ml

Num

ber

of is

olat

es

ECV?

5,265 isolates

Page 12: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

How are ECVs determined?How are ECVs determined?

Iterative statistical method◦ This method utilizes a program that models

the log-transformed MICs at the lower end ofthe distribution and calculates the mean andstandard deviation of the modeleddistribution

◦ The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% ofthe modeled distribution

◦ Allows an ECV to be determined even with apopulation with many non-wild type isolates

Iterative statistical method◦ This method utilizes a program that models

the log-transformed MICs at the lower end ofthe distribution and calculates the mean andstandard deviation of the modeleddistribution

◦ The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% ofthe modeled distribution

◦ Allows an ECV to be determined even with apopulation with many non-wild type isolates

Turnidge et al (2006) Clin Microbiol Infect 12:418-425.

Page 13: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

How are ECVs determined?How are ECVs determined?

1200

1400

1600

1800

2000

Num

ber

of is

olat

esECV

Encompasses ≥ 97.5% of wild type population

Candida albicans and fluconazole MIC distribution

Espinel-Ingroff, et al. (2014) AAC, 58:2006-2012

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

0.06 0.12 0.25 0.5 1 2 4 8 16

MIC values µg/ml

Num

ber

of is

olat

es

Breakpoint

Page 14: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

Rules for establishing an ECVRules for establishing an ECV

Species identification must be molecular(for molds and yeasts) or MALDI-TOF(for yeasts) The data must be generated by a

minimum of 3 different laboratories There is a method for weighing the data if a

preponderance comes from one laboratory

More than 100 independent isolates mustbe tested

Species identification must be molecular(for molds and yeasts) or MALDI-TOF(for yeasts) The data must be generated by a

minimum of 3 different laboratories There is a method for weighing the data if a

preponderance comes from one laboratory

More than 100 independent isolates mustbe tested

Page 15: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

Do ECVs identify nonDo ECVs identify non--wild typewild typeisolates?isolates?

600

700

800

900

1000

C. glabratamicafungin MIC distribution

Wild type

Num

ber

of is

olat

es

ECV

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

0.008 0.015 0.03 0.06 0.12 0.25 0.5 1 2 4 8

Num

ber

of is

olat

es

MIC in µg/ml

ECV

1,380 isolates

Page 16: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

Do ECVs identify nonDo ECVs identify non--wild typewild typeisolates?isolates?

600

700

800

900

1000

C. glabratamicafungin MIC distribution

Wild type

FKS mutations

Num

ber

of is

olat

es

ECV

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

0.008 0.015 0.03 0.06 0.12 0.25 0.5 1 2 4 8

Num

ber

of is

olat

es

MIC in µg/ml

ECV

Page 17: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

Do ECVs identify nonDo ECVs identify non--wild typewild typeisolates?isolates?

10

12

14

16

C. glabratamicafungin MIC distribution

Wild type

FKS mutations

Num

ber

of is

olat

esECV

0

2

4

6

8

10

0.03 0.06 0.12 0.25 0.5 1 2 4 8

Num

ber

of is

olat

es

MIC in µg/ml

Page 18: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

Do ECVs identify nonDo ECVs identify non--wild typewild typeisolates?isolates?

120

140

A. fumigatus itraconazole MICdistribution

No mutation

TR34/L98H

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

0.015 0.03 0.06 0.125 0.25 0.5 1 2 4 8 16

TR34/L98H

ECV

Jacques Meis, personal communication

Num

ber

of is

olat

es

MIC in µg/ml

Page 19: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

Do ECVs identify nonDo ECVs identify non--wild typewild typeisolates?isolates?

60

70

A. fumigatus voriconazole MICdistribution

No mutation

TR34/L98H

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

0.015 0.03 0.06 0.125 0.25 0.5 1 2 4 8 16

ECV

Jacques Meis, personal communication

Num

ber

of is

olat

es

MIC in µg/ml

Page 20: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

Published ECVs vs CLSI breakpointsPublished ECVs vs CLSI breakpoints

Species ECV µg/ml Breakpoint (S) µg/ml

C. albicans 0.03 0.25

C. glabrata 0.03 0.06C. glabrata 0.03 0.06

C. guilliermondii 2 2

C. krusei 0.25 0.25

C. parapsilosis 4 2

C. tropicalis 0.06 0.25

Page 21: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

Some final thoughts…Some final thoughts…

ECVs will only be established for speciesand antifungal combinations for whichthere is thought to be clinical efficacy◦ For example, no ECVs for Cryptococcus and

echincandins

ECVs can be established for any speciesas long as there are enough isolates tootest

ECVs will only be established for speciesand antifungal combinations for whichthere is thought to be clinical efficacy◦ For example, no ECVs for Cryptococcus and

echincandins

ECVs can be established for any speciesas long as there are enough isolates tootest

Page 22: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

Some final thoughts…Some final thoughts…

ECVs may promote more susceptibilitytesting because they will allow MIC valuesto be put into context◦ Right now, too many times we have to say

“We can test that, but we won’t know whatthe numbers mean”

ECVs may promote more susceptibilitytesting because they will allow MIC valuesto be put into context◦ Right now, too many times we have to say

“We can test that, but we won’t know whatthe numbers mean”

Page 23: CLSI Guidelines on Epidemiological Cutoff Values€¦ · The ECV is the MIC that captures ≥97.5% of the modeled distribution Allows an ECV to be determined even with a population

AcknowledgementsMDB Staff

Ana Espinel-IngroffMahmoud GhanoumJohn TurnidgeMaiken ArendrupMary Motyl

Clinical and Laboratory Standards InstituteCLSI Antifungal Susceptibility Subcommittee

National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infectious DiseasesMycotic Diseases Branch

MDB Staff

Ana Espinel-IngroffMahmoud GhanoumJohn TurnidgeMaiken ArendrupMary Motyl

Clinical and Laboratory Standards InstituteCLSI Antifungal Susceptibility Subcommittee

The views and conclusions of this talk are those of the author and do not necessary represent theviews of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.