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What is sensitivity? The percent of patient with gastric CA that have a positive test; a highly sensitive test misses few pts with disease What is a true positive? What is the formula for sensitivity?
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Clinical Lab Testing Problems Highlights
T. Davis 9-2-2014
Problem 1 Statistics
• New test for gastric CA• 180/200 pts with gastric CA have a (+)
test• 40/160 pts w/o gastric CA have a (+) test• In your clinical practice 1/200 pts have
gastric CA• Calculate: sensitivity, specificity, PV+• How do you improve PV+?
What is sensitivity?
• The percent of patient with gastric CA that have a positive test; a highly sensitive test misses few pts with disease
• What is a true positive?• What is the formula for sensitivity?
True Positive (TP) = gastric CA plus a (+) test
• Sensitivity% = TP/TP+FN x100• FN= gastric CA but a (-) test
• 180/180+20= 90%
How about specificity? How often does it call a (-) a (+)?
• TN- pts without gastric CA and a (-) test• FP- pts without gastric CA and a (+) test
SpecificityTN/TN+FP
• TN= 120• FP= 40
• Specificity%= 120/120+40 x100• Specificity= 75%
Predictive Value**(population-sensitive)
• What % of (+) tests are really positive• What % of (-) tests are really negative
• PV(+)% = TP/TP+FP x100• PV(-)% = TN/TN+FN x100
Prevalence and Incidence• Prevalence- # of people
in the population with disease currently
• Cummulative (total)
• Diabetes has high prevalence and low incidence
• Incidence- annual # of people who get disease
• Annual (new cases)
• Common cold has high incidence and low prevalence
Prevalence:# pts in the study with the
disease/total population studied
• TP+FN/TP+FP+TN+FN
• In this population it is 1/200• If you see 10,000 pts and run the test, 9,950
do not have gastric CA and 50 have gastric CA
PPV continued
• TP= 90% x 50= 45• FN= 10% x 50= 5• TN= 75% x 9,950= 7,462• FP= 25% x 9,950= 2,488
• PV+%= TP/TP+FP x100• = 45/45+2,488 x 100• = 1.8%
If the prevalence is 10% what is the PPV+?
• 1000 of 10,000 have the disease• 1000/1000+2488 x 100• About 28%
Prevalence and Tests
• A higher prevalence increases the PV+• A lower prevalence decreases the PV+
Case 1• 68-y.o.male with wt loss, anorexia, nausea and constipation.
Mucous membranes and sclera are icteric. A 5 cm-mass is palpated in the RUQ.
• Bili (tot)= 7.1 mg/dL (<1.0)• Bili(d)= 3.4 mg/dL (<0.2)• AST= 102 U/L (<40U/L)• ALT= 88 U/L (<40 U/L)• AlkPhos= 506 U/L (115 U/L)• gammaGT= 258 U/L (35 U/L)
Case1 (cont.)
• d/tot Bili= >4• Transaminases are slightly elevated• Alk phos and gamma GT are markedly
elevated, suggesting obstruction• Pt had CA of the head of the pancreas
Case 2• 6 y.o. male with fever, anorexia, vomiting and recent
onset of abdominal pain and lassitude. Sclera were icteric and the spleen was palpable.
• Bili (tot)= 6.8 mg/dL• Bili (d)= 0.6 mg/dL• Plasma-Free Hb= 26 mg/dL (<10 mg/dL)• Haptoglobin= 0 mg/dL (35-200 mg/dL)
Case 2 (cont.)
• Hemolysis suspected- d/tot bili< .2• Plasma HB is elevated and haptoglobin is
decreased, both c/w hemolysis
• Pt had hereditary eliptocytosis
• Why was the spleen palpable?
How would a case of hepatitis present?
• d/totBili?• Transaminases?• Alk Phos?• Plasma free-Hb and Haptoglobin?
Case 3
• 53-y.o. male presents to the ER (ED) with chest pain for 16 hours.
• EKG c/w MI• Myo 358 (<110ng/mL)• CK-MB 12.9 (<5 ng/mL)• TnI 32.8 (<0.5ng/mL)
Case 3 is an acute MI
• Myoglobin positive at 2 hrs post infarct; it offers the least specificity
• TnI positive at 4 hrs (3-6) post infarct• CK-MB positive at 6 hrs (3-6) post infarct
• Would this patient be a candidate for clot busters or angioplasty?
Case 4
• 75-y.o. male presented to the ER (ED) after MVA with chest pain. EKG is nondiagnostic. MI vs contusion
• 6 hrs: Myo= >1000; CK-MB= 2.1; TnI= 0.3• 16 hrs: Myo= >1000; CK-MB= 0.9; TnI= 0.3
Case4
• Myoglobin elevation due to skeletal muscle injury