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Climate change, grass invasions, and woody plant dynamics in semi- arid savannas Jake Weltzin Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology University of Tennessee

Climate change, grass invasions, and woody plant dynamics in semi- arid savannas Jake Weltzin Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology University

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Climate change, grass invasions, and woody plant

dynamics in semi-arid savannas

Jake Weltzin

Department of Ecology and Evolutionary BiologyUniversity of Tennessee

NASA

Clay - Pleistocene Sand - Holocene

-20

-40

-60

-100

-80

20

40

60

>100

80

0 %

CGCM1 HadCM2

Precipitation regimes: wither the future?

NAST 2000

Seed

Seedlingemergence

Seedlingsurvival

Mature plant

• Climate-precipitation-temperature-[CO2]

• Microclimate

• Soil-water-texture-nutrients

• Fire

• Grass neighbors-identity-interactions-density

• Herbivory-direct-indirect

• Seed availability-production-predation-dispersal

Recruitment of woody plants

Recruitment of woody plants

Seed

Seedlingemergence

Seedlingsurvival

Mature plant

• Climate-precipitation-temperature-[CO2]

• Microclimate

• Soil-water-texture-nutrients

• Fire

• Grass neighbors-identity-interactions-density

• Herbivory-direct-indirect

• Seed availability-production-predation-dispersal

Experimental design

• Grass neighborhood- No grass (bare)- Native grass (Heteropogon contortus)- Non-native, invasive grass (Eragrostis lehmanniana)

• Summer precipitation- Wet (LTM + 50%)- Dry (LTM - 50%)

• Soil texture- Sand (Holocene)- Clay (Pleistocene)

Mesquite (Prosopis velutina) demography- Seeds planted August 2002- Seedlings monitored through June 2004

Annual409 mm

34 events

Irrigation mimics intra-annual variation (daily, seasonal)

Soil types respond differently to irrigation

Clay

Sand

Irrigation controls seasonal soil moisture

Clay

Grass presence and identity control soil moisture

Clay

Eragrostis depletes soil moisture faster than Heteropogon

Time since pulse (days)

June 2002

Huxman et al.

ClaySand

Emergence facilitated by grasses, esp. in wet plots

Sand & Clay

Under grasses, soil moisture inversely related to emergence

Bare

Eragrostis

Heteropogon

Sand & Clay

Grasses do not reduce soil temperature

English et al.

Sand: grass identity not important, irrigation not important

ns 0

Sand

ns 0

Clay: grass identity not important, irrigation is important

WxP: P = 0.008

Clay

Seedlings in bare plots largest on wet, clay soil

ClaySand

Low

Wate

r stress H

igh

Seedlings in summer less water-stressed on clay than on sand

Fravolini et al.

ClaySand

Most summer rain events are smallS

um

mer

rai

n e

ven

ts

Summer rain event size class (mm)Fravolini et al.

Small rain events are transparent to mature mesquite on clay soil

Fravolini et al.

Use

of

iso

top

e-la

bel

ed w

ater

(%

)

Time since pulse (days)

Sand

Clay

Recruitment ultimately depends on soil moisture

• Seed-seedling conflict mediated by grassesFacilitation ---> Competition

• Presence/absence of grass most importantUltimately, identity of grass unimportant

• Importance of summer precipitation depends on soil type

• Seedling dem./phys. inconsistent with landscape patterns

• Seedling-adult conflict mediated by ppt regime and soil

Landscape pattern controlled by interactions between life-history stage and environment

AcknowledgmentsUSDANSFUniversity of Tennessee

Santa Rita Experimental RangeJosh AveyColeen BrownDeborah Angell

David WilliamsTravis Huxman

Nathan EnglishMike MasonBill Cable

Steve ArcherBrian EnquistMitch McClaranGuy McPhersonDon PostSusan Schwinning

NCEAS PrecipNet Participants

Alessandra FravoliniLeigh Thomas

Daniel Potts

Philip AllenMichael Andregg

Enrico BrugnoliDayna BurnsJessica Cable

Janet ChenAlex Eilts

Rico GazalRobbie Hannawacker

Kevin HultineDanielle Ignace

Dan KoepkeCharles Price

Josh PolacheckLara Souza

Lisa SturdivantSam Waskow

PrecipNet

Improving understanding of precipitation effectson ecosystems through cross-disciplinary research networks

http://precipnet.ucsc.edu/index.html

PrecipNet

Improving understanding of precipitation effectson ecosystems through cross-disciplinary research networks

•Research coordination, communication, and integration

•Regional comparisons of precipitation change and its effects

•Fostering multidisciplinary activities

•Promoting skill development and technology transfer

•Participants

PrecipNet Goals

Dennis Baldocchi  UC Berkeley  [email protected]

Dave Breshears  University of Arizona  [email protected]

Dave Evans  Washington State University  [email protected]

John Harte  UC Berkeley  [email protected]

Travis Huxman  University of Arizona  [email protected]

William Lauenroth  Colorado State University  [email protected]

Yiqi Luo  University of Oklahoma  [email protected]

Russ Monson  Colorado State University  [email protected]

Lindsey Rustad  USDA Northeastern Lab.  [email protected]

Whendee Silver  UC Berkeley  [email protected]

Stan Smith  University Nevada, Las Vegas  [email protected]

Jake Weltzin  University Tennessee  [email protected]

Claus Beier  RISOE National Lab., Norway  [email protected]

Todd Dawson  UC Berkeley  [email protected]

Philip Fay  University of Minnesota, Delouth  [email protected]

Claus Holzapfel  University of Massachusetts  [email protected]

Robert Jackson  Duke University  [email protected]

Michael Loik  UC Santa Cruz  [email protected]

Hafiz Maherali   University of Guelph  [email protected]

Ronald Neilson  Pacific Northwest Forestry  [email protected]

Osvaldo Sala  University Buenos Aires, Argentina  [email protected]

Marcelo Sternberg  [email protected]

David Tissue  Texas Tech University  [email protected]

David Williams  University of Wyoming  [email protected]

Jayne Belnap  USGS Moab, Utah  [email protected]

Evan Delucia  University of Illinois  [email protected]

Brent Haddad  UC Santa Cruz  [email protected]

Bruce Hungate  Northern Arizona University  [email protected]

Alan Knapp  Colorado State University  [email protected]

Steve Long  University of Illinois  [email protected]

Greg Masters  CABI Biosciences  [email protected]

William Pockman  University New Mexico  [email protected]

Susan Schwinning  Texas State University, San Marcos  [email protected]

Eric Small  University of Colorado  [email protected]

Enrique Vivoni  New Mexico Tech  [email protected]

John Zak  Texas Tech University  [email protected]

Participants

25 sites

9 sites (VULCAN / CLIMOOR)

5 sites (GLOWNET Network)Osvaldo Sala

CABI Bioscience (3 sites)

Participating sites and networks

http://eeb.bio.utk.edu/weltzin/