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Michigan Transportation Planning Association August 2, 2012 Jim Thorne Climate Change and Transportation Planning

Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

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Page 1: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Michigan Transportation Planning AssociationAugust 2, 2012

Jim Thorne

Climate Change and

Transportation Planning

Page 2: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Overview

Climate Change and Transportation

Addressing climate change in the planning process

(mitigation and adaptation)

Co-benefits and Communication

Resources

Page 3: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Transportation: Mitigation and Adaptation

Transportation ActivityDriving, shipping, transit, rail, operations,

maintenance, etc.

GHG EmissionsCO2, CH4, N2O, etc.

Changes to ClimateSea levels (lakes and streams), temperature,

precipitation, storms

Impacts on TransportationInfrastructure, operations, users, suppliers,

services, travel demand

GHG MitigationSlow rate of change and reduce impacts

Climate Change AdaptationPlan for and deal with expected impacts

Page 4: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Transportation Strategies to Reduce GHG

• Vehicles: Raise vehicle energy efficiency

• Fuels: Reduce carbon content of fuels

• Amount of Travel: Reduce VMT

• Vehicle and System Operations:

Improve system and operational efficiencies

• Construction, Maintenance, and Agency Operations

Page 5: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Transportation System Efficiencies

• Traffic flow improvements

–ITS/Management and Operations

–Improved Intermodal connections

Travel (by SOV) Activity Reduction

• Reducing VMT

–Land Use strategies

–Bike/ped

–Transit

–Pricing

Connections to Transportation Planning

Page 6: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

23 U.S.C.134 and 49 U.S.C. 5303

. . .national policy that the MPO designated for

each urbanized area is to carry out a continuing,

cooperative, and comprehensive multimodal

transportation planning process, including the development

of a metropolitan transportation plan and a transportation

improvement program (TIP), that encourages and promotes

the safe and efficient development, management, and

operation of surface transportation systems to serve the

mobility needs of people and freight (including accessible

pedestrian walkways and bicycle transportation facilities)

and foster economic growth and development, while

minimizing transportation-related fuel

consumption and air pollution; 23CFR450.300

Page 7: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Transportation Planning Factors

a) Support economic vitality

b) Increase safety

c) Increase security

d) Increase accessibility and mobility

e) Protect and enhance the environment

f) Enhance connectivity across and between modes

g) Promote efficient system management and operation

h) Preserve the existing transportation system

Page 8: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation

Energy and environmental concerns

Integrated transportation system, system

preservation, safety and security

Transportation demand and system

management strategies

Consultation

Integrating Climate Change into the Transportation Planning Process, FHWA, 2008

Page 9: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Vision and Goals

Trends and Challenges

Strategies and Improvement Projects

Performance Measures

Where Climate Change May Show Up in Plans:

Page 10: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,
Page 11: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Actions from One MPO Plan

Baltimore: Transportation Outlook 2035, 2007

Environmental Stewardship Section of Plan

Specific strategies that will reduce GHG emissions include:

Truck stop electrification

Incident management

Alternative fuel vehicle purchases

Park-and-ride lot improvements

Rideshare coordination

Telework promotion

Page 12: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Climate Change – Model Language in

Transportation Plans, FHWA, 2010

State and Regional Transportation Plans

What is climate change?

How does transportation contribute to climate change?

Why should transportation plans address climate change?

How does the plan address climate change?

Page 13: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

TRR 2219, TRB

Incorporating Climate Change

Considerations into Transportation Planning

Page 14: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Incorporating Climate Change

Considerations into Transportation Planning

Vision

GHG emissions, mitigation, adaptation

Climate change facts

Goals, Objectives, and Performance Measures

Current goals that support GHG reduction

GHG mitigation (with policy approval)

Likely effects of climate change on existing goals

GHG reduction targets

Performance measures

TRR 2219, TRB

Page 15: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Incorporating Climate Change

Considerations into Transportation Planning

Analysis

Incorporate GHG analysis into process

Long term urban form/land use effects on GHG

Collect data related to assessing vulnerability

Cost effectiveness of mitigation strategies

Identify Strategies

Identify potential adaptation strategies

Scenario Planning – climate change scenario

GHG Reduction Strategies in existing process (CMP)

Evaluation

GHG emissions mitigation and adaptation as criteria

TRR 2219, TRB

Page 16: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Key Role for MPOs in CC&E Planning

a) Shaping a consistent vision

b) Providing forum for collaboration

c) Funding climate/energy strategies

d) Implementing climate/energy strategies

e) Providing technical assistance to others

66

86

33

46

65

AMPO webinar: Climate Change and Energy Planning for MPOS, 1/10/12

%

Page 17: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

CLIMATE CHANGE AND ENERGY USE –Decrease the use of fossil fuels through reduced

travel demand, technology advancements, and a

transition to renewable energy sources.

Objectives:

Reduce regional transportation‐related greenhouse

gas emissions.

Reduce regional transportation‐related energy use

derived from fossil fuels.

Select Strategies:

Include CC&E considerations in planning and programming

Improvement management of existing system

Land Use Integration

Implement Trails and Greenways system

MARC

Page 18: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Planning for:

• Grid street patterns, short blocks, streetscapes

• Transit and transit supportive land use

• Planning for bike and pedestrian travel

• Land use (as it supports transportation and vice versa)

• System efficiencies

• Travel Demand Management

Opportunities to Address Climate ChangeOpportunities to Address Livability

Page 19: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Co-benefits of Strategies

Most transportation strategies have benefits that

go well beyond GHG reductions:

Energy savings

Reductions in other air pollutants

Congestion relief

Alternative modes

Land conservation

Safety

Page 20: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Produced by the U.S. DOT Climate Change

Center

Analyzes:

• Transportation greenhouse gas (GHG)

emissions levels and trends

• Strategies for reducing these emissions

Scope:

• Full range of strategies

• All transportation modes

• Primarily synthesis

• GHG reduction, costs, co-benefits, impact on

DOT goals, key interactions

Mandated by the Energy

Independence and Security Act

of 2007

DOT Report to Congress

http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/32000/32700/32779/DOT_Climate_Change_Report_-_April_2010_-_Volume_1_and_2.pdf

Page 21: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Energy and Emissions Reduction Policy Analysis

Tool (EERPAT) and GHG Mitigation Reference

Handbook for Estimating GHG Emissions in the

Transportation Planning Process (Late 2012)

Potential GHG Reductions from Highway Operation and

Management Strategies (Late 2012)

Planning-Level Assessment of Construction and

Maintenance Emissions (2013)

Peer Exchanges- Mitigation & Adaptation

FHWA/AMPO Climate Change Webinars

FHWA Mitigation Activities

Page 22: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Sea level rise and storm surge

Precipitation changes

More intense precipitation events

Flooding

Snowpack changes

Increase in hurricane intensity

Increase in very hot days

Permafrost thawing

What Climate Changes Will Impact Transportation?

Adaptation

Page 23: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Gulf Coast Studies

Vulnerability/Risk Assessment Models and Pilots

Regional Climate Change Effects

Framework for Considering Climate Change in

Transportation and Land Use Planning (Cape Cod)

Assessing Criticality in Transportation Adaptation

Planning

Use of Climate Information in Vulnerability

Assessments

www.fhwa.dot.gov/environment/climate_change/

FHWA Adaptation Activities

Page 24: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Communication:

TRB/National Academies Resources

TRB Modal Primer on Greenhouse Gas and Energy

Issues for the Transportation Industry

• Good introduction to transportation GHG issues

America’s Climate Choices series (NAS)

• Four reports summarizing the state of climate science,

mitigation, and adaptation approaches

• Very concise and understandable fact sheets available

• http://americasclimatechoices.org/

Page 25: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Communication: FHWA Resources

Educating the Public on CC Issues: DOT and

MPO Best Practices• Summary of outreach activities conducted by DOTs and

MPOs

Climate Change: Model Language in

Transportation Plans• Climate change excerpts from actual transportation planning

documents

These reports, and others posted at

www.fhwa.dot.gov/hep/climate/resources.htm

Page 26: Climate Change and Transportation Planning · Linkage Opportunities in Planning Regulation Energy and environmental concerns Integrated transportation system, system preservation,

Jim Thorne

FHWA Resource Center

[email protected]

708-283-3538