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Climate Change and
Conservation Planning
Elsewhere in the West:
Starting Points
and Pretty Pictures
Steve Zack
Plunging in: confronting climate change
Identify a Goal
Develop a simple Conceptual Model
Beaver Groundwater
Add Climate Change (Assess key projection and its effect)
Prevalence
of Drought
Conceptual
Model
Identify Management Actions
“Tools in the Toolbox”
Evaluate Actions relative to Goal
From Cross et al., in Review
Wildlife as
“Indicators”
Wildlife as
“Drivers”
Changing Arctic Climate . . .
The political landscape
The physical landscape
. . . from every continent, from every ocean
Spectacled Eider (Bering Sea)
Bar-tailed Godwit (New Zealand)
Parasitic Jaeger (Tropical Oceans)Yellow-billed Loon
(Korea East Sea)
Yellow Wagtail
(East Africa)Red Phalarope
(Upwellings in Oceans)
Arctic Tern
(Antarctica)
Pectoral Sandpiper
(Southern South America)Semipalmated Sandpiper
(Northern South America)Tundra Swan
(Oregon)
White-fronted Goose
(California)
Hoary Redpoll
(Boreal Alaska)
Photo: Mark Maftei, WCS
Shoreline Erosion, Salt water inundation
Boreal animal invasion
Risk of drying in the Arctic wetlands . . .
. . . with drying and shrub encroachment . . .
+ -
Conservation of Wildlife in the Changing Arctic:
“Tools in the Toolbox”?
Birds as “Indicators” of the
Ecological Recovery of Bison
The changing
Great Plains:
Hotter everywhere,
Wetter North,
Drier South
(likely evap > precip)
Grazing and Grassland Bird Habitats
Work with interested stakeholders . . .
. . . To help recover declining wildlife species
Main Trends of the Changing Climate and its Effects in Oregon:
Precipitation variable in West; less falls as snow
(winter flooding; less spring runoff; less summer flow)
“Tools already in the Toolbox” for managing
with the changing climate . . .
Manage watersheds as water cachements . . .
Main Trends of the Changing Climate and its Effects in Oregon:
Hotter, drier Interior
“Tools already in the Toolbox” for managing
with the changing climate . . .
Managing with fire and wildlife for forests . . .
Main Trends of the Changing Climate and its Effects in Oregon:
Sea Level Rise and Coastal Erosion
Bigger Waves . . .
. . . the fallacy of “Riprap”
“Tools already in the Toolbox” for managing
with the changing climate . . .
Sea Level Rise: Purchase/Protection for Estuary Growth
Many eyes are on you:
•Clarity of Goal,
Clarity of “Indicators”
•Always need more
information
•Avoid paralysis by
analysis
•Weigh “do nothing”
vs.
learn by doing