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City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan October 25, 2016

City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

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Page 1: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

City of Georgetown

Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan

October 25, 2016

Page 2: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Agenda

• Background• Project Outcomes• Process• Findings and Recommendations• Implementation/Next Steps

Page 3: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Background

• City Council Goal – Expand and diversify the (commercial) tax base

• Initiative to create a Comprehensive Strategy to attract quality retail to the community:– Generate a snapshot of existing retail conditions and

trends– Identify trade areas– Calculate Retail Sales Demand and Leakage– Identify Top Retail Sites/Centers

Page 4: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan

To identify targeted retail aimed to sustain and improve retail vitality in Georgetown, including: Attract quality infill development

Recruit anchors for active projects

Identify new growth along emerging nodes

Page 5: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Comprehensive Assessment

1 Downtown2 Wolf Ranch Town Center3 Wolf Lakes4 The Rivery5 Williams Dr6 Ronald Reagan Blvd at

Williams Dr & CR 2457 SH 29/University Ave &

SH130 Toll8 SH 195 & I-359 Longhorn Junction10 Lakeway Dr & I-35

12

34

5

6

7

8

9

10

Page 6: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Process1 Market Assessment2 Trade Area Analysis3 Market Analysis4 Competitive Assessment5 Property Analysis6 Potential Tenant Identification7 Merchandising Plan

Page 7: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

1 MARKET ASSESSMENT

Page 8: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Retail Market Assessment

Effective Marketing Tool1 Brief2 Focused for Retail3 Brand Awareness

Page 9: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

2 PRIMARY TRADE AREA

Page 10: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

134,031PTA POP

57,958City POP

Page 11: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Primary Trade Area

• Creates a statistical foundation for decision making• Enhances prospective retailers to understand

customer shed• Creates ability for existing retailers to understand

customer base• Establishes a baseline to measure changes and

factors that impact the PTA

Page 12: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

3 MARKET ANALYSIS

Page 13: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Stakeholder Interviews

• Commercial balance critical to the fiscal health of Georgetown

• Moment in time to activate key assets in Georgetown• Bring commercial “to the people”• Need to understand current capacity for retail• Strong potential to activate “Eastside” and Ronald

Reagan corridor and Williams Dr.• Anchor buy-in is soft – need to strengthen value

proposition

Page 14: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Demographic Highlights

1 Georgetown has 10% greater Baby Boomers than Texas average and 5% more 75+

2 Georgetown Household income is greater than both Texas and Austin

Page 15: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Demographics

1 City ownership rates are over 15% greater than the Texas average of 50%.

2 Current population is estimated at 57,958 with a growth rate of almost 40% (in 10 years)

3 Current housing growth rates will increase retail demand by 62,000 square feet per year (about the size of a grocery store)

Page 16: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Retail Leakage (“demand”)53

2,89

5

323,

409

268,

089

144,

639

137,

618

127,

786

127,

255

91,4

59

83,2

11

59,7

26

51,4

08

31,8

48

31,8

20

22,9

77

21,9

60

16,1

01

15,1

78

10,9

66

6,39

5

6,19

1

6,01

5

3,84

4

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

Total Demand 2016 - 2046

2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SFProjected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Page 17: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

4 COMPETITIVE ASSESSMENT

Page 18: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

NTS

Page 19: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF
Page 20: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

5 PROPERTY ANALYSIS

Page 21: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Emerging

Active

Market potential & property owner interested in developing in 12-24 months• Longhorn Junction• Wolf Lakes• The Rivery• Lakeway Dr and I-35

Market potential in the next 3 to 10 years• Ronald Reagan Blvd at Williams Drive and CR 245• SH 29 (University Ave) and SH 130 Toll• SH 195 and I-35

Available today• Williams Drive corridor• Downtown• Wolf Ranch Town Center

In-Fill

Page 22: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Longhorn Junction

Population 30,635

Households 10,342

Daytime Pop 10,516

MedianIncome

$69,230

Supportable SF 1.696M

Active

Page 23: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Active

Wolf Lakes

Population 26,665

Households 9,538

Daytime Pop 14,519

MedianIncome

$60,320

Supportable SF 1.29M

Page 24: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

The Rivery

Population 32,010

Households 11,569

Daytime Pop 16,447

MedianIncome

$62,384

Supportable SF 1.6M

Active

Page 25: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Lakeway Dr/I-35

Population 28,017

Households 10,046

Daytime Pop 14,271

MedianIncome

$73,991

Supportable SF 1.66M

Active

Page 26: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Williams Drive & Ronald Reagan Blvd

Population 6,347

Households 2,614

Daytime Pop 177

Median Income $85,999

Supportable SF 436k

Emerging

Page 27: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

University Ave/SH 130 Toll

Population 13,305

Households 4,923

Daytime Pop 4,092

Median Income $87,827

Supportable SF 934,830

Emerging

Page 28: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

I-35/SH 195

Population 13,305

Households 4,923

Daytime Pop 4,092

MedianIncome

$87,827

Supportable SF 934,830

Emerging

Page 29: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Williams Drive

Population 31,607

Households 11,562

Daytime Pop 16,192

MedianIncome

$69,087

Supportable SF 1.75M

In-Fill

Page 30: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

In-Fill

Downtown

Population 34,065

Households 11,875

Daytime Pop 15,836

MedianIncome

$60,730

Supportable SF 1.65M

Page 31: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Wolf Ranch Town Center

Population 26,665

Households 9,538

Daytime Pop 14,519

MedianIncome

$60,320

Supportable SF 1.29M

In-Fill

Page 32: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

6 TENANT ANALYSIS

Page 33: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Tenant Analysis

• Identified over 40 potential operators that align with Georgetown’s characteristics

• Categories include but not limited to:– Specialty food stores, – Specialty retail stores, – Sporting goods, – Book stores, – Department stores, and– Full-service restaurants

Page 34: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF
Page 35: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

IMPLEMENTATION/NEXT STEPSActivating the Plan

Page 36: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Implementation Scope of Work

1 Align merchandising targets to key properties2 Create targeted marketing for each prospect to support

locational factors and operational needs3 Continuous recruitment4 Track sales cycle for prospects “evaluating” market5 Attend trade shows to champion Georgetown (i.e.

ICSC, Retail Live, ICSC Recon)6 Ongoing measurement on pipeline, “net new” SF, # of

prospects, and conversions.7 Monthly review of all prospects

Page 37: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Implementation Approach

Brokers

DevelopersRetailers

Page 38: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Implementation: Brokers & Developers

• Continue developing relationships• Outreach to brokers and developers to share attributes

and opportunities within Georgetown• Have information online and readily available• Customizable reports

Page 39: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

Implementation: Retailers

• Directly target identified retailers with customized packages

• Continue to identify retailers• Attend relevant trade shows and recruitment trips• Include retailers in business retention program

Page 40: City of Georgetown Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan · 10/25/2016  · Total Demand 2016 - 2046. 2016 Total Unmet Demand: 1,015,721SF. Projected 2046 Total Demand: 2,403,952 SF

City of Georgetown

Retail Strategy and Recruitment Plan

October 25, 2016