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Citi Global Financial Conference Hong Kong, 19 November 2013
Hanse Ringström, Chairman SEB Asia
Ulf Grunnesjö, Head of Investor Relations
1
London
S:t Petersburg
Geneva
Hong Kong Shanghai New Delhi Beijing
Kiev
Dublin
Moscow Denmark
Norway
Finland
Sweden
New York
São Paulo
Singapore
Lithuania
Latvia
Estonia
Germany Warsaw
Luxemburg
SEB – the Nordic corporate bank with a global reach
Income distribution per country Income distribution per segment
Private
Corporate
2012 2012
Sweden RoW
Baltics
Germany
Norway Denmark
Finland
SEK 39bn SEK 39bn
2
…operating in a stable region
Source: Eurostat Graphics: Stefan Rothmaier, Dagens Nyheter
3
London
S:t Petersburg
Geneva
Hong Kong Shanghai New Delhi Beijing
Kiev
Dublin
Moscow Denmark
Norway Finland
Sweden
New York
São Paulo
Singapore
Lithuania Latvia
Estonia
Germany Warsaw
Luxembourg
A Nordic bank with global reach Following in our customers’ footprint
Northern Europe 25.5%
RoW 14.5%
Asia 14%
Nordics 28%
Note: Sales of 120 largest listed Swedish corporates Source: Annual reports 2011
SEB Asia • 35 years presence • 600 clients • 200 staff on the ground
4
Emerging market exposure
1
1) Based on assets (not sales) Source: Annual reports, APEA analysis and estimates. 2010 except Finnish cos 2012
Kone 30%
Wärtsilä 38%
Cargotec 39%
Nokia 45%
5
Singapore (branch) – 115 staff • Established 1978
• Offer: Lending, Trade Finance, Cash Management, Foreign Exchange, Shipping, PAEF to corporates and financial institutions in SE Asia.
• Private Banking to individuals in Asia
Shanghai (branch) – 46 staff • Established 2005
• Offer: Lending, Trade Finance, Cash Management and Foreign Exchange to corporates in China
Asia sites development
Beijing (rep) – 4 staff • Established 1983
• Assist SEB Shanghai by covering northern China
New Delhi (rep) – 4 staff • Established 2008
• Focus on assisting SEB corporate clients in India
Hong Kong (branch) – 35 staff • Established in 2011
• Offer: Lending, Trade Finance, Cash Management, Foreign Exchange, Capital Markets, Futures, Securities Finance and DMA Equities to corporates and financial institutions in Hong Kong, Korea, Taiwan and the rest of Asia.
Enhanced offer
“Close co-operation with home markets and between Asia sites,
offers clients a seamless customer experience across
Asia.”
Strong presence in Asia 5 Sites and 200 staff
6
SEB’s main markets Economic fundamentals remain relatively robust
Lithuania
Denmark
Norway Finland
Sweden Latvia Estonia
Germany
Nordic GDP development *
Eurozone GDP development *
-20-15-10-505
1015
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013E 2014E
Germany Estonia Latvia Lithuania
German and Baltic GDP development *
* Source: SEB Nordic Outlook, August 2013
%
%
Lithuania
%
7
8
Profitable growth of customer franchise
Long-term stability
Financial targets
1 2 3
8
Creating customer value!
*Source: Loyalty study 2010. SEB, McKinsey & Co, TNS-SIFO **Source: Loyalty study 2012. SEB
Committed facilities
Trust & focus on customer needs
Execution & advisory
Large corporates Sweden* Private individuals Sweden*
31%
19%
16%
Brand
Customer knowlegde
Service Brand & image
Relationship and accessibility
High
Low (hygiene factor)
Customer knowledge
SME 50-200 Sweden**
High
Low (hygiene factor)
Products & services
Offering 11%
11%
Tailor made offerings
Price
Daily support & interaction
Price
Profitability
9
Increased customer satisfaction
Best Large Corporate bank Nordics
Corporate Bank Sweden Swedish Quality Index
Baltic Corporate Net Promoter Score (avg.)
Avg. Swedish peers SEB
#2
SEB SEB SEB SEB
Private Banking Net Promoter Score
#3 #4
Profitability
10
Continued building of customer franchise
Large Corporate Nordics & Germany
SME Sweden
Private Sweden
2013 Sep YTD
New customers
Since 2010
New full-service customers
Since 2010
Commodities
FX Custody
M&A
Cash Mgmt.
DCM
Trade Fin.
Lending
Equities +74 +28%
+7,400 +44%
New full-service customers
Since 2010 +13,200
+16%
Profitability
11
Merchant Banking franchise New clients supporting income Contribution in % of MB total customer income 2010-2012 cash management
trade finance
foreign exchange
relationship lending leasing
corporate finance
fixed income commodities
structured finance
corporate cards life
custody
fund services
equities
asset management
debt capital markets
Average product penetration 2010-12
2010 Now 2010 2011 2012
2%
5%
7%
Clients: 84 Clients: 209 Clients: 305 2011 2012
5
4
3
2
1
0
New clients 2010 2011 2012
Note: New clients are shown cumulative
Profitability
12
Germany – Executing on strategic plan
EUR 4,500m Bookrunner/MLA
EUR 1,750m Joint Bookrunner
GBP 650m Bookrunner/MLA
EUR 145m Underwriter/ Bookrunner
EUR 400m Bookrunner/MLA
EUR 475m MLA
+160 New
customers Since 2010
Preferred bank for targeted German Corporates
Continued customer acquisition and uptiering of existing customers
Strengthened capital markets competence and offering
Leverage international capabilities through SEB’s international network
Key activities going forward
FX Custody
M&A
Cash Mgmt.
DCM
Trade Fin.
Lending
Equities
SEB coverage model
Profitability
13
Large Corporate financing
Headline transactions Q3 2013
SEK league table – Corporate bonds 12 month rolling (SEK bn)
SEK 500m Sole bookrunner
EUR 750m Joint bookrunner
EUR 685m Joint Bookrunner
EUR 150m Joint Bookrunner
Credit portfolio FX-adjusted, SEK bn
14
Retail Sweden franchise: Corporates
Number of customers (thousands) Corporate – income (SEK bn)
Note: Only active cash management corporate customers
Tailored solutions Advisory International/FX More complex financing Insurance Occupational insurance (corporate paid)
Standardised solutions Solutions, not products Directly covers 70 per cent of
the customers need
annualized
Profitability
15
Retail Sweden franchise: Private individuals
SEB’s customer base Growth private market Full-service customers (thousands)
Source: SCB/Swedish statistics
>70% conversion to
full-service customers
Households in the major three cities Principal age group of borrowers is 25-44
years High income households Dual income with kids Personal savings above average in Sweden Stronger credit rating vs.market average
13.0% 13.3% 13.5% 15.1% 16.0% 16.2% Market share
Profitability
16
Asset gathering franchise: Coordination Full range of savings products through bancassurance model
Unit-linked AuM (SEK bn)
+15% CAGR
Private Banking AuM (SEK bn)
+22% CAGR
Household deposits (SEK bn)
+7% CAGR
Profitability
17
Baltic Banking franchise: Wheels start turning
Source: Macrobond
EUs sentiment indicator
Full-service customers Number of customers 2010=Index 100
SEK m Baltics – total income per quarter Index (100 = historical average) SEK m
Profitability
Source: Macrobond
18
Strategic actions to reduce volatility…
19
Divestment of non-core businesses
Reduced size of investment portfolios
Secured funding and liquidity reserves
Maintained high asset quality
Growth in areas of strength
Source: Nordea Equity Research, August 2013
Volatility, Q2 2009 – Q2 2013 (per cent)
Net financial income
Net profit
Stability
19
A balanced approach to cost management SEK bn
Average quarterly income
Average quarterly expenses
Average quarterly profit before credit losses
Notes: Excluding one-offs (restructuring in 2010, and bond buy-back and IT impairment in 2012) Estimated IAS 19 costs in 2010
Stability
20
Nordics continue to support high asset quality
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
05
101520253035
Q3-03
Q3-04
Q3-05
Q3-06
Q3-07
Q3-08
Q3-09
Q3-10
Q3-11
Q3-12
Q3-13
Non-performing loans Total bad debt coverage ratio
-0.4%-0.2%0.0%0.2%0.4%0.6%0.8%1.0%1.2%
Q3-03
Q3-04
Q3-05
Q3-06
Q3-07
Q3-08
Q3-09
Q3-10
Q3-11
Q3-12
Q3-13
(negative = reversals)
SEB Group Nordic countries Net credit losses in % Net credit losses in %
Credit quality Loan loss ratio, Group
SEK bn
Stability
21
A liquid balance sheet based on a solid funding base
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
Sep-08 Mar-09 Sep-09 Mar-10 Sep-10 Mar-11 Sep-11 Mar-12 Sep-12 Mar-13 Sep-13
Liquid assets to short-term funding
1. Liquid assets = trading assets excluding derivatives + central bank holdings + bond portfolios in Treasury + bank lending. 2. Short-term funding = central bank funding + CP/CD + bank funding 3. Core Gap = Core Gap Ratio is an SEB defined internal measure similar to the regulatory-defined NSFR but based on internal behavioural modelling. It measures the amount of more than 1 year funding in relation to more than 1 year assets.
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
Sep-08 Mar-09 Sep-09 Mar-10 Sep-10 Mar-11 Sep-11 Mar-12 Sep-12 Mar-13 Sep-13
Core Gap Ratio
Structural liquidity – Stable funding to long-term assets3 has been stable
Short-term liquidity – Liquid assets1 to short-term funding2 has structurally improved
Stability
22
Basel 2.5 Core Tier 1 ratio (per cent)
Strong capital situation
17.4 Strong capital formation
Basel III leverage ratio 4.1% (US FDIC 5.3%)
Maintain buffer to minimum regulatory levels
- In Sweden CET 12% (+ countercyclical buffer?)
Significantly more capital attributed to divisions to support capital rationalisation and pricing dynamics
8.6
Basel III fully implemented 13.1 15.0
Stability
23
Jan-Sep 2013 Long-term target
CET1 Basel III 15.0% Vs. 13%
RoE 12.8% Vs. 13-15%
Dividend pay-out ratio
52% (FY 2012)
Vs. >40%
Financial targets
Targets
24
Managing views of other stakeholders
1. SEB 2. Shareholders 3. Debt investors 4. Rating agencies 5. Regulators 6. Media/Public
perception
Targets
25
The road map to further profit growth and RoE Key priorities
The Relationship bank in our part of the world
Enhance customer satisfaction and increase share of wallet
Use strategic window to expand franchise in:
– Nordic large corporates – Selected German
Mittelstand – Retail Sweden
Continued cost efficiency
Maintain high asset quality
Maintain strong balance sheet
26
The relationship bank in our part of the world
27