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Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A JUPITER Trial Update Percent Reduction in LDL Cholesterol Following High Intensity Statin Therapy: Potential Implications for Guidelines and for the Prescription of PCSK9 Inhibitors Paul M Ridker, MD, MPH Samia Mora, MD, MPH Lynda Rose, MPH On behalf of the JUPITER Trial Study Group AHA Clinical Trial Updates 2015 November 10, 2015

Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A ...wcm/@sop/...Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes. A JUPITER Trial ... Number Needed to Treat (NNT 5) = 25

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Page 1: Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A ...wcm/@sop/...Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes. A JUPITER Trial ... Number Needed to Treat (NNT 5) = 25

Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical OutcomesA JUPITER Trial Update

Percent Reduction in LDL Cholesterol Following High Intensity Statin Therapy:

Potential Implications for Guidelines and for the Prescription of PCSK9 Inhibitors

Paul M Ridker, MD, MPHSamia Mora, MD, MPH

Lynda Rose, MPHOn behalf of the JUPITER Trial Study Group

AHA Clinical Trial Updates 2015 November 10, 2015

Page 2: Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A ...wcm/@sop/...Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes. A JUPITER Trial ... Number Needed to Treat (NNT 5) = 25

ESC - 2012Low Risk LDL < 3 mmol/L (115 mg/dL)High Risk LDL < 2.5 mmol/L (100 mg/dL)Very High Risk LDL < 1.8 mmol/L (70 mg/dL) or a

>50% LDL reduction when the target level cannot be reached

CCS - 2012Low Risk > 50% reduction in LDLCInt/High Risk LDL < 2.0 mmol/L (80 mg/dL) or a

> 50% LDL reduction when the target level cannot be reached

ACC/AHA 2013 Lower Risk Moderate-Intensity Statin (30-50% LDL reduction) Higher Risk High-Intensity Statin ( > 50% LDL reduction)

LDL Cholesterol Treatment Targets Following Statin Therapy

Page 3: Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A ...wcm/@sop/...Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes. A JUPITER Trial ... Number Needed to Treat (NNT 5) = 25

How variable is the percent reduction in LDLC on high-intensity statin therapy?

Might greater awareness of this variation be useful for clinical care and have potential relevance as PCSK9 inhibitors are emerging as a major new class of lipid lowering drugs?

LDL Cholesterol Treatment Targets Following Statin Therapy

Page 4: Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A ...wcm/@sop/...Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes. A JUPITER Trial ... Number Needed to Treat (NNT 5) = 25

We sought to address the variability in percent reduction in LDLC in the contemporary multinational, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled JUPITER trial inclusive of 17,802 initially healthy men and women who were allocated to rosuvastatin 20 mg daily and followed for up to 5 years.

(a) waterfall plots to assess the inter-individual variability in LDLC;

(b) evaluate the impact of reaching the ACC/AHA target of a >50 percent reduction in LDLC on rates of first ever cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, stroke, hospitalization for unstable angina requiring coronary intervention, or cardiovascular death);

Percent Reduction in LDLC Following Hi-Intensity Statins: Methods

Page 5: Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A ...wcm/@sop/...Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes. A JUPITER Trial ... Number Needed to Treat (NNT 5) = 25

On an a priori basis, multivariable adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals were computed after adjusting for those variables found on regression analysis to have a significant impact on on-treatment LDLC levels (baseline lipid level, gender, smoking status, age, HTN, BMI, family history of CAD)

All analyses were repeated separately for non-HDLC and apolipoprotein B.

Sensitivity analyses: tertiles of percent lipid reduction rather than the ACC/AHA specified > 50 % threshold.

Percent Reduction in LDLC Following Hi-Intensity Statins: Statistical Approach

Page 6: Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A ...wcm/@sop/...Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes. A JUPITER Trial ... Number Needed to Treat (NNT 5) = 25

Rosuvastatin 20 mg (N=8901) MIStroke

UnstableAngina

CVD DeathCABG/PTCA

4-week run-in

No Prior CVD or DMMen >50, Women >60

LDL <130 mg/dLhsCRP >2 mg/L

JUPITERTrial Design

Placebo (N=8901)

Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Bulgaria, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Denmark, El Salvador, Estonia, Germany, Israel, Mexico, Netherlands, Norway, Panama, Poland, Romania, Russia, South Africa, Switzerland,

United Kingdom, Uruguay, United States, Venezuela

Mean LDLC 104 mg/dL, Mean HDLC 50 mg/dL, hsCRP 4 mg/L

JUPITERMulti-National Randomized Double Blind Placebo Controlled Trial of

Rosuvastatin in the Prevention of Cardiovascular EventsAmong Individuals With Low LDL and Elevated hsCRP

NEJM 2008;359:2195-2207

6

Page 7: Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A ...wcm/@sop/...Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes. A JUPITER Trial ... Number Needed to Treat (NNT 5) = 25

JUPITERPrimary Trial Endpoint : MI, Stroke, UA/Revascularization, CV Death

Placebo 251 / 8901

Rosuvastatin 142 / 8901

HR 0.56, 95% CI 0.46-0.69P < 0.00001

Number Needed to Treat (NNT5) = 25

- 44 %

0 1 2 3 4

0.00

0.02

0.04

0.06

0.08

Cum

ulat

ive

Inci

denc

e

Number at Risk Follow-up (years)RosuvastatinPlacebo

8,901 8,631 8,412 6,540 3,893 1,958 1,353 983 544 1578,901 8,621 8,353 6,508 3,872 1,963 1,333 955 534 174

NEJM 2008;359:2195-2207

Page 8: Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A ...wcm/@sop/...Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes. A JUPITER Trial ... Number Needed to Treat (NNT 5) = 25

0

2

4

6

8

10

12Pe

rcen

t Cha

nge

in L

DLC

Even

t Rat

e / 1

000

pers

on y

ears

0 720036001200 2400 4800 6000

Individual Observations (N = 7,856)

LDL Cholesterol(median reduction 50%)

Placebo No Reduction < 50% Reduction > 50% Reduction

11.2

9.2

6.7

4.8

Page 9: Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A ...wcm/@sop/...Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes. A JUPITER Trial ... Number Needed to Treat (NNT 5) = 25

0

2

4

6

8

10

12Pe

rcen

t Cha

nge

in L

DLC

Even

t Rat

e / 1

000

pers

on y

ears

0 720036001200 2400 4800 6000

Individual Observations (N = 7,856)

LDL Cholesterol(median reduction 50%)

Placebo No Reduction < 50% Reduction > 50% Reduction

11.2

9.2

6.7

4.8

1.0

0.86

0.61

0.41

P-trend < 0.00001

Page 10: Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A ...wcm/@sop/...Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes. A JUPITER Trial ... Number Needed to Treat (NNT 5) = 25

0

2

4

6

8

10

12Pe

rcen

t Cha

nge

in N

on-H

DLC

Even

t Rat

e / 1

000

pers

on y

ears

0 720036001200 2400 4800 6000

Individual Observations (N = 7,910)

Placebo No Reduction < 50% Reduction > 50% Reduction

11.1

10.0

6.0

5.2

Non-HDL Cholesterol(median reduction 44%)

P-trend < 0.00001

1.0

1.04

0.53

0.44

Page 11: Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A ...wcm/@sop/...Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes. A JUPITER Trial ... Number Needed to Treat (NNT 5) = 25

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14Pe

rcen

t Cha

nge

in A

po B

Cho

lest

erol

Even

t Rat

e / 1

000

pers

on y

ears

0 720036001200 2400 4800 6000

Individual Observations (N = 7,827)

Apo B Cholesterol(median reduction 40%)

Placebo No Reduction < 50% Reduction > 50% Reduction

11.0

11.9

5.7

4.7

P-trend < 0.00001

1.0 1.14

0.51

0.43

Page 12: Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A ...wcm/@sop/...Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes. A JUPITER Trial ... Number Needed to Treat (NNT 5) = 25

PCSK9 InhibitorGreatest Theoretical

Benefit

PCSK9 InhibitorLeast Theoretical

Benefit

PCSK9 InhibitorIntermediate Theoretical

Benefit

No reduction in LDLC

< 40 % reduction in LDLC

40-60 % reduction in LDLC

> 60 % reduction in LDLC

N = 2,734 (34.8%) N = 3,549 (45.2%) N = 1,573 (20.0%)

Perc

ent C

hang

e in

LDL

C (H

igh

Inte

nsity

Sta

tin)

0 1200 2400 3600 4800 6000 7200

Individual Observations (N = 7,856)

Percent Reduction in LDL Response to High-Intensity Statin Therapy:Potential Implications for PCSK9 Prescription

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In a contemporary placebo-controlled trial of high-intensity statin therapy, we found exceptionally wide variability in percent reduction of LDLC, non-HDLC, and apo B, yet that the magnitude of percent cholesterol reduction directly related to the magnitude of risk reduction observed.

These effects were robust to multivariable adjustment for characteristics associated with greater lipid response to statin therapy, and were minimally impacted when tertile reductions in on-treatment lipid levels were used instead of the pre-specified > 50 percent threshold.

Percent Reduction in LDLC Following Hi-Intensity Statins: Conclusions

Page 14: Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A ...wcm/@sop/...Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes. A JUPITER Trial ... Number Needed to Treat (NNT 5) = 25

Boekholdt et al; JACC 2014;64:485-94.

Confirm Meta-Analyses Inclusive of Several Lower Intensity Statin Regimens

Page 15: Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes A ...wcm/@sop/...Cholesterol Treatment Targets and Clinical Outcomes. A JUPITER Trial ... Number Needed to Treat (NNT 5) = 25

These data provide general support for the concepts of introducing percent reduction in LDLC into broader clinical practice, an approach consistent with that being advocated by current European, Canadian, and U.S. guidelines.

Further consideration of percent LDLC reduction while on statin therapy might also provide a method to thoughtfully allocate PCSK9 inhibitors should these agents prove effective for cardiovascular event reduction. This process will be assisted if ongoing trials of PCSK9 inhibitors report results stratified by the percent reduction in LDLC achieved by background statin therapy.

Percent Reduction in LDLC Following Hi-Intensity Statins: Clinical Implications