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A Business Plan On Raahat Ltd. Raahat Ltd. Submitted as an Internship Project Report In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Award of degree of Master of Business Administration 2009 – 2011 Submitted By Guided By Ms. Chinki Gupta Mr. L.K.Tyagi 1

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A Business Plan

On

Raahat Ltd.Raahat Ltd.

Submitted as an Internship Project Report

In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the

Award of degree of Master of Business Administration

2009 – 2011

Submitted By Guided ByMs. Chinki Gupta Mr. L.K.Tyagi

BHARATI VIDYAPEETH DEEMED UNIVERSITY INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT & RESEARCH, NEW DELHI

An ISO 9001:2008 Certified InstituteNAAC Accredited Grade “A” University

CRISIL Grading – MBA Programme

A * - National LevelA ** - State Level

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Certificate of Originality

This is to certify that the Business Plan entitled “Raahat Ltd.”

Submitted to Bharati Vidyapeeth Deemed University Institute of

Management & Research, New Delhi in partial fulfillment of the

requirement for the award of the degree of MBA is an original

work carried out by Ms. Chinki Gupta under the guidance of Mr.

L.K.Tyagi The matter embodied in this project is a genuine work done

by Ms. Chinki Gupta to the best of my knowledge and belief and has

been submitted neither to this University nor to any other University

for the fulfillment of the requirement of the course of study.

Ms. Chinki Gupta Mr. L.K.Tyagi

Lecturer

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 Certificate

This is to certify that the Business Plan titled “Raahat Ltd.” is an academic work done by “Chinki Gupta” under the guidance of Mr. L.K.Tyagi submitted in the partial fulfillment of the requirement for the award of the Degree of MBA from “Bharati Vidyapeeth Deemed University, Pune”. The authenticity of the Business plan will be verified by the viva examiner which includes the verification of data the contents therein and may be rejected due to non-fulfillment of quality standards.

 

Prof (Dr.) Sachin S. Vernekar(Director)

Acknowledgement

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 No small task however can be completed without proper guidance and encouragement. It gives me great pleasure to excess my deep sense of gratitude and reverence to every person who directly or indirectly has helped to create a congenial atmosphere for successful completion of this b-plan. I would like to extend my sincere thanks to Mr. L.K.Tyagi, my project guide for his guidance and support throughout my process of b-plan. His calm demeanor and willingness to teach has been a great help in successful completion of my b-plan. My learning has been immeasurable and working under him was a great experience. My heartfelt thanks are also towards the mentor, without his continuous help and enthusiasm the b-plan would not have been materialized in the present form.Finally, I also wish to thank the Dr. Sachin Vernekar, Director, Bharati Vidyapeeth Institute of Management &Research, New Delhi for making this experience of making b-plan possible. The learning from this experience has been immense and would be cherished throughout life.

Ms. Chinki Gupta

 

Preface

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Someone has rightly said that practical knowledge is far better than classroom teaching. During the course of this b-plan I actually realized how true it is when I analyzed the real world of this b-plan enabled us to know about the financial activities in the real world of starting new businesses.

My b-plan is titled “Raahat Ltd.”. The report contains at first, the brief introduction about the company. The third and fourth chapter contains products and services, Industry analysis respectively, and then the Marketing strategy followed by HR, operations plan and financial plan.

 

Ms. Chinki Gupta

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TABLE OF CONTENTSS. No Topic Page No

1 About Raahat Ltd. 8

1.1 Objectives

1.2 Mission

1.3 Key Success Factors

2 Company Summary 14

2.1 Business

2.2 Company Ownership

2.3 Company Locations and facilities

2.4 Plant locations

3 Products and services 18

4 Industry analysis 20

4.1 Market Analysis Summary

4.2 Market Segmentation

4.3.1 Market Segment Analysis

4.4 Industry Growth Rate

4.4.1 Industry Participants

4.4.2 Distribution Pattern

4.5 Market Research

4.5.1 Strengths – Iodex

4.5.2 Weakness - Iodex

4.5.3 Strengths - Moov

4.5.4 Weakness- Moov

4.6 Need gaps

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4.7 Ideal Product

S. No Topic Page No

5 Associations with the brand 32

5.1 Iodex

5.2 Moov

5.3 Key Differentiating Factors

6 Marketing Strategy 346.1 Product Mix

6.2 Risks Associated

6.2.1 Competitor risk

6.2.2 Customer expectation

management risks

6.2.3 Performance gap risk

6.2.4 Commodity price risk

6.2.5 Brand erosion risk

6.3 Legal and environmental issues

7 Human Resource 38

8 Operations 38

9 Financial Plan 39

9.1 Key Financial Indicators

9.2 Financing of the Project

9.3 Break even Analysis

9.4 Projected Profit and Loss

7.4 Projected Cashflow

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CHAPTER 1

RAAHAT LTD.

Raahat Ltd. will manufacture and market a pain relieving ointment

for people in the age group of 25-45 years in SEC A2, B1, B2 and

C. The trade name "Happy Ointex" will serve as brand name and

identity name for the product. The product is intended to help

prevent pain from muscular pains, joint pains, sprains and

backaches. In India, due to increasing stressful lifestyle, there are

an increasing number of people who suffer from such pains.

Especially in the 25-45 yrs segment this is a result of day-to-day

physical activities. In other cases these may be chronic in nature.

In 25-45 yrs segment these pains are milder in nature. These can

be cured by self-medication. Their population at present is

estimated to be 152 million .Out of this 47% of the consumers

resort to self-medication depending on their trusted cures i.e.

ointments available in the market place. At present there are many

players in the, market catering to these consumers. Most popular

ones among these are the age old Iodex and Moov.

This business plan is part of our regular business planning

process. We revise this plan semi-annually.

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In the next full year we intend to produce and market initial

product. No sales have occurred to date.

Management predicts sales exceeding 17160 case would help the

company break even in the second year of its operation . The

company will start earning profits at the end of the second year.

Our keys to success and critical factors for the next year are, in order of importance: Initial product production on first one size.

Test marketing and basic research to determine product

acceptance.

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1.1 OBJECTIVES

Raahat Ltd. has set a modest goal for year one sales will be

8348 cases the projected sales for the sub sequent years

would be 22869 and 36913 cases for the years to follow

The targeted minimums when achieved will bring us close to

overall break even the second year and thus would provide a

platform for limited business expansion in year there of the

business.

Costs will be controlled to maintain projected margins at

these modest sales levels. If sales exceed these

goals,additional production and stepped-up marketing

activity can be implemented quickly, although additional

capital will be required on short notice in order to fully

implement growth. On the safe side, some sales may be

missed in order to gear up for year two.

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1.2 MISSION

We as in the past would be conducting our business in an

ethical way and in doing so would look forward to a

sustainable economic development.

We would also strive to maintain a friendly, fair and creative

work environment, which respects ideas, hard work, and the

dignity and worth of the individual.

We intend to make quality, tested products and to make

sufficient profit to generate a fair return for our investors.

We intend to grow the business and to establish our brand

as a product leader and innovator in its segment in a fraction

of 3 years.

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1.3 KEYS TO SUCCESS

The keys to success for Raahat Ltd. are:

Product Quality: The quality control department will do stringent

quality check . Suppliers will also be required to fulfil the minimum

quality standards as per TQM of all components. Research has

also shown that over product is at least better than 2 times than

the Raahat product available in the market.

Marketing: Once quality product is available, the success of the

Happy Ointex ointment will rest wholly in the marketing

department. The Happy Ointex is a new product and consumers

must be educated on the product benefits so that the consumers

themselves can decide upon the fact that which product is better

than the existing products. The product being an generic product

and the major off takes would take place from the chemist shops

and the retailers the company will be spending lot on the

advertising side so as to ensure that the product comes into the

awareness set of the consumers and at the same time create a

need for the product. The product would be made available to the

target audience by the existing Raahat India distribution network,

which has deeper penetration and thus would ensure the

availability of the product.

Management: While there is a temptation to grow a business

exponentially, it is critical that Raahat Ltd. concentrate first on

proving product saleability within certain price points, margin

requirements, distribution channels, and establish consumer

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acceptance. Once these answers are found, then controlled

expansion (which requires increased production and investment in

inventory) can be executed with confidence.

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CHAPTER 2

COMPANY SUMMARY

2.1 Business

Raahat is India’s premier ayurvedic products company. Sales

include manufactured (61%) and traded goods (39%). Raahat has

a wide distribution network of over 5500 distributors and a retail

reach of 1300000 outlets. Popular brands are health tonic

Chyawanprash, Hajmola digestive tablets & candy, Lal Dant

Manjan, Raahat Amla hair oil. Vatika became the fifth largest

brand of Raahat in FY99, recording a strong 54% yoy growth

during the year.

Turnover from top five Raahat brands is as follows

Rs mn FY99 FY98 % yoy

Raahat Amla hair oil 1409 1408 0.0

Lal Dant Manjan 1137 1201 (5.4)

Chyawanprash 1051 944 11.4

Hajmola 492 443 11.0

Vatika hair oil 472 307 54.0

Others 4587 3810 20.4

Total sales 9148 8114 12.7

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Raahat in a major restructure initiative has revamped its core

businesses as under:

Day to day management has been overtaken by a group of

professional managers. The promoters have been confining

themselves to strategic decision-making

The company has streamlined operations and implemented

corrections in supply chain. The marketing strategy has been

revised from trade push to consumer pull, thereby reducing spend

on trade schemes and higher investments in brand building.

Businesses such as Herbal intermediates, Merchant Exports and

Genetic Pharmaceuticals (Rs130mn in FY99 against Rs440mn in

FY98) have been discontinued

Trade margin rationalization has been undertaken in

Chyawanprash and Hajmola brands leading to improved

profitability of these brands.

The Real and the Homemade range of products have been hived

off to a 100% subsidiary Raahat Foods Limited wef April ‘99.

2.2 Company Ownership

The company is owned by 4 people who are professionally sound

in their respective fields. The directors have not been involved in

any kind of unfair trade practices in the past and have a good

character

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The owners are

1. Gautam Miglani who has 15 years of experience in I.T

industry and has served as the vice president of Polaris

Software

2. Anurag Rana has 24 years of experience in various FMCG

companies. He has worked as General Manager in HLL and

was the vice president marketing at Britannia

3. Chinki Gupta has 22 years of experience in the financial

sector .She had been in the board of directors of companies

like Associates, PNB Gilts and was the vice president

finance at Dabur India limited and ICICI.

4. Chinki Gupta has 20 years of experience in various

organisations in the field of HRM. She had been the vice

president HRD at Dabur India Limited, Indian Airlines

2.3 Company Locations and Facilities

A company head office is presently situated at Kaithal, Haryana

136027. The company has branch offices in all the major

metropolitan cities.. This corporate office space is big office, which

is spread in nine floors, and all the department are situated the

office. The company has 7 factories in India all of them situated in

the industrial areas. The major production units are in Kaithal,

Delhi, Kerala etc .The company has a system of having mother

depots and service depots which store the finished goods.

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2.5 Plant locations

Kaithal, Delhi, Kerala, Raahat’s 100% EOU manufactures hair oils,

cosmetics, herbal tooth paste, glucose and honey. An integrated

facility has been designed at Kerala to produce ayurvedic

veterinary products. The new Kerala plant has 5 years tax holiday.

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CHAPTER 3

PRODUCTS AND SERVICES

Hair care products: Raahat Amla hair oil is one of the leading

brands with around 28% market share in the perfumed hair oil

segment. The Vatika brand recorded an impressive growth in

FY99. Raahat has also successfully extended the brand equity of

Vatika hair oil to Vatika Henna Cream Conditioning shampoo with

herbal ingredient and has garnered significant market share in

urban markets.

Oral care products: Raahat ’s red tooth powder, Lal Dant Manjan

is the leading coloured tooth powder brand. Sales in FY99

recorded a sharp 19% yoy decline in volumes, with a shift in

consumption towards white toothpowder, which are marketed

aggressively by MNC players.

Healthcare products: Raahat ‘s leading healthcare brands

include herbal Tonics – Chyawanprash and Restora, Digestives

Pudin Hara and Hajmola tablets and candy, Hingoli, Laxative

Nature Cure (Psyllium husk), baby care products Janam Ghunti,

Lal Tail and Gripe Water and Madhuvanni cough syrup and

lozenges. In value terms the brand recorded 11.4% yoy growth.

Hajmola sales grew by 2% in volume terms and 11% in value

terms. A new 18lavour Hajmola Imli was launched in FY99.

Pharmaceuticals: Over 300 ayurvedic medicines are sold

ethically through ayurvedic practitioners. All ayurvedic products

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are outside the purview of price control (DPCO). Ayurvedic

specialties recorded 42% yoy growth in FY99.

Food products: Starting with branded honey, Raahat has fast

expanded its product range. Raahat has launched a range of items

viz Lemoneez (lemon juice concentrate), Real fruit juices, a range

of ethnic Indian food like Hommade pastes and sauces (eg of

garlic, ginger, onion etc for Indian style cooking), Capsico chilli

sauce, etc. The company launched Real fruit juices in small packs

to expand consumption. The Hommade product range (Turnover

Rs184mn) has been expanded with launch of new 19lavours like

onion and mustard. The Foods business has been hived off as a

100% subsidiary wef April ‘99. An independent nationwide

distribution set-up is being built up for the foods business.

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CHAPTER 4

INDUSTRY ANALYSIS

4.1 Market Analysis Summary

Iodex and Moov are the most popular products in this segment

with Iodex recalled by 45% of the population followed by Moov,

which was marginally less at 44%. Iodex also commands highest

market share (46%) in this segment followed by Moov (36%).

Iodex is the market leader in the south and west zone. The east

zone is dominated by Moov and in the north the market is shared

equally by Iodex and Moov.

Market Share of Different Brands

Iodex Moov Iodex

Power

Volini Rest

All India 46 36 3 8 7

North 41 41 3 9 6

East 30 42 2 13 13

West 56 30 2 6 7

South 48 33 5 9 6

Moov has seen maximum growth in West at 19.8 % per annum

followed by South (11.1%) whereas Iodex has encountered

declining growth in all the regions. Overall growth rate of Iodex

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stands at –16.7%per annum. The Loss of Market of Iodex is

associated with the Market capitalisation of Moov and Volini

Growth rate in volume in percentage

Iodex Moov Iodex

power

Volini

All India -16.7 11.8 .4 14.4

North -27.5 7.2 21.9 12.2

East -16.4 10.2 -38.5 20.5

West -12.5 19.8 -9.8 10.6

South -8.2 11.1 10.7 15.1

In terms of value of sales in the country as a whole Iodex has

marginally grown by 3.1% whereas Moov has grown really fast

with an increase in 29.7%in its sales value. Volini has increased in

terms of value in all the four zones.

Zone wise Performance of Different brands

Iodex Moov Iodex power Volini

All India 3.8 29.7 -4.1 15.4

North -9 24.2 23.3 13.1

East 4.7 27.9 -46 21.6

West 9.5 39.6 -9.9 11.9

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South 11.5 29.9 2.4 16.1

4.2 Market Segmentation

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4.3 Target Market Segment Strategy

Sec A2/B, Housewives,

Age Group - 25 - 45 Yrs

Users Of Competitors Product

Those Who Get Backaches Atleast Once / Week

4.3.1 Market Segment Analysis

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Since the market for backache is increasing on a year to year

basis the company sees the opportunity for it to grow in the sector

on the strengths of its strong brand equity a, distribution network,

product attributes and financial strengths and last not but not the

least able man power to back it up.

4.4 Industry growth rate

Today this is a Rs. 140 crore industry. Major players in this industry are Iodex, Iodex Power, Moov & Volini. Industry is estimated to be growing at the rate of 12%per annum.

Total

Market

Iodex Moov Iodex

Power

Volini Rest

MT MT MT MT MT MT

All India 1282 587 457 37 108 93

North 393 161 163 11 34 24

East 10 55 76 3 24 23

West 416 232 123 9 23 28

South 293 139 95 14 27 17

North (393 MT) and West (416MT) zones account for maximum

consumption of these products.

4.4.1 Industry Participants

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There are many players in this segment the list shows the various

companies in this segment and their brand names

COMPANY BRAND

Himani Fast Relief

MentholatumPharmaceuticals Deep Heat

Paras Pharma. Moov

Smithkline Iodex

Ranbaxy Volini

Dabur Rheumatil

Sanat Products Nopane

Novartis Voveran

It is expected that Raahat Ltd.. will have a defendable patent

position in its product but that cannot be assured at this time.

4.4.2 Distribution Patterns

The distribution will be carried through the existing Raahat

network. it has been seen that these kind of products sell the most

from chemist shops in the urban areas followed by the grocers.

The rest in sold by the general store and the pan shops whereas in

the rural market the similar products are sold from the chemist

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shops followed by the pan shops and the rest of the market is

divided between the grocers and the pan shops

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4.5 Market research

To find the out the strengths and weakness of the competitors an

research was carried out to judge the competitors offering and the

consumers opinion of the product which had given the company a

lead weather to go in for the product or not for the same. This was

done to understand the consumers’ proposition for switching over

from a particular brand. On the basis of these discussions the

individual strengths and weakness of different brands were gauged

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Iodex users who have shifted to moov sited the following reason in

the favour/ against Iodex

4.5.1 Strengths of Iodex

Avery effective cream

Gives relief to a large extent

Specialist for sprains and bruises

Established brand

4.5.2 Weakness

Stains clothes

Very thick

Smell not pleasant

Seen as outdated as no product modification have been

incorporated

Very sticky

Burning sensation too much

Does not give quick relief

Pain is reinforced after some time

Colour not good

Product form of distribution (want in tube so that it becomes easy

to apply)

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Does not absorbe easily

Does not give complete relief

4.5.3 Strengths of moov

Very effective

Does not stain

Cooling sensation which depicts that it works

Distributed in tube

Easy to apply

Colour soothing (white symbolises purity)

Less sticky

Gives quick relief in about 15-20 min

Smell is good

Specialist for back

4.5.4 Weakness of Moov

Stings a lot

Very strong

Possibly allopathic

Does not give long lasting relief

Does not spread readily

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Absorbes after some time

4.6 Need gaps

An ointment that gives complete relief as in completely relief

Assured relief as in the pain should go away

Quick relief as in 10-15 minutes

Should be very less sticky

A little sting

Smell should not be too strong

Easy to apply

Should not spread

Should absorbe spontaneously

4.7 Ideal product

Should start working within minutes

An ointment that gives complete, assured, quick relief

Should be very less sticky

Should not be thick

Easy to apply

Should not smell medicinal

Smell should not be floral-cosmetic risks

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Smell should not be too strong

Ideally should be white or off white in colour

Should give a cooling sensation

A little sting

Should not harm skin

Should be from a reputed company

Should be economical

No side effects

Should be absorbed readily

Should not spread

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CHAPTER 5

THE ASSOCIATIONS WITH THE EXISTING

BRANDS

5.1 Iodex

For backaches

Black in colour

For injuries and sprains

Well established

Sticky and stains

Effective

On personification the maximum consumers said that it was a male

and they personified it as Sunil shetty

5.2 MOOV

Specialist for back

Very easy to apply

Not sticky

New but understands the pain better

Heals better than other

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On personification the maximum consumers said that it was a

female and they personified it as Aishwarya rai

5.3 Key differentiation factors

Unique gel format – spreads easily & fast!

Beautiful white colour – no stains!

Weather proof – does not liquefy even in peak summers.

The ingredients – contains Diclofenac derivatives that have been

clinically proven to give quick relief.

Contains SPA / DPA that help the active ingredients to penetrate

faster.

Instant Relief - starts acting in 2 minutes!!!

The fastest acting pain reliever in the OTC market.

The only ointment that spreads easily and does not stain

These attributes the characteristics of the ideal pain reliever as

mentioned by the consumers and therefore the product can be

said to be developed in a manner that it becomes a delight for the

consumers

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CHAPTER 6

MARKETING STRATEGY

6.1 Product mix

PRODUCT: White gel. Proven efficacy

PRICE: Rs 14 (Rs 2 /- less than Moov which happens to

be the largest growing brand!!)

PLACE: Northern and Western India (for the first years)

POSITION: ‘Anti – Moov’

Fast acting, convenient.

PACK: 10gms Lami tube (company plans to lauch the

25 gm and 5 gm tubes in the next year

based on the results of the first year)

6.2 Risks associated

6.2.1 Competitor risk

• Stiff competition from Iodex and Moov

• Difficulty in retaining market share

• Threat from unorganised sector

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6.2.2 Customer expectation management risks

• Expectations of the customers are not adequately met

• Competitors are more proactive in their approach

• Chances of customer switching arises if desired quality is

not met

6.2.3 Performance gap risk

• Gap in performance level amongst competitors

• In terms of quality, cost, and cycle time performance

Partnering risk

• Finding a suitable partner

• Fear of selection of a wrong partner

6.2.4 Commodity price risk

• Arising due to fluctuations in commodity prices

• Causing lower product margins and trading losses

Product pricing risk

• Substitute products available in lower rates

• Reason may be advancement of technology by mnc’s or

cheaper raw materials used by unorganised sector

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6.2.5 Brand erosion risk

• Power brands in the line of fire

• Chances of death of the brands

• Brand erosion ultimately is going to affect the profitability

the company

6.3 Legal and environmental issues

While great care has been taken in the preparation of the material,

medicine is a rapidly changing field. As new research and

experience broaden our knowledge, changes in the approach to

diagnosis and therapy become necessary and appropriate.

Recommended dosage, method, and duration of administration, as

well as contraindications to use, evolve over time for all drugs.

Diagnostic and therapeutic choices must always be tailored to the

individual patient's circumstances, and consultation with a

physician should be undertaken before following any of the

treatment strategies suggested in this web site.

Physicians are particularly reminded that consultation with a

specialist in Infectious Diseases may be warranted in complex or

life-threatening situations. Consultation with a knowledgeable

physician or pharmacist is warranted if you are unfamiliar with a

drug or do not have a good understanding of the proper dosage

and possible side effects. Interactions between drugs are also

always possible and are particularly prominent for some of the

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antifungal agents. Review of the manufacturer's product

information or consultation with a pharamacist is advised if you are

uncertain about the potential drug-drug interactions of an agent.

The results of therapy with any drug can be both positive and

negative in different people depending upon particular facts and

circumstances regarding the person's age, health, medical history,

other drug use and physical condition. The therapies suggested

here will not ensure successful treatment in every situation. In

addition, these therapies are not inclusive of all proper methods of

care, nor does their use preclude use of other methods of care.

Neither Doctor Fungus Corporation, nor its editorial staff, can be

held responsible for errors or for any consequences arising from

the use of the information in this website. Decisions regarding the

propriety of any specific procedure, treatment, or drug dosage

must be made by the patient's physician after consideration of all

of the relevant facts regarding the individual patient.

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CHAPTER 8

HUMAN RESOURCE

The existing policies of the company would be applicable for the

employees involved in new product development. No new

recruitments is being done for the same.

CHAPTER 9

OPERATIONS

Work would be carried out in one shift involving the existing

employees of the organisations.

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CHAPTER 7

FINANCIAL PLAN

Raahat Ltd.. desires to finance growth (diversification into the pain

removal industry) through a combination of equity/debt investment

and internally generated cash flow. As the cost of initial tooling

and inventory and marketing costs of establishing a market

presence, the business will be financed primarily by investment in

the early stages and is expected to burn cash . The target of break-

even is in second year.

7.1 Key Financial Indicators

The most important indicator in our case is inventory

turnover . We have to make sure that turnover stays above 5

on all production subsequent to test marketing, or we will be

clogged with inventory.

Collection days are very important. We do not want to let our

average collection days to get above 45 days under any

circumstances. This could cause a serious problem with

cash flow, because working capital will be tight. Retail

distribution entails 30 to 60 day billing cycles . Every effort

will be made to collect on time and to offer billing term

discounts. Even when sales are for cash, this plan assumes

45-day payments on all sales in order to be conservative on

cash flow demands.

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We must maintain gross margins of 70% and hold marketing

costs to 30% of sales in all direct sales channels.

In retail channels gross margins based on wholesale pricing

must be 40% and marketing costs held to 15% of sales.

Volumes must be significant to support these numbers. An

accurate forecast of retail sales potential can only be made

after significant product acceptance by consumers.

Subsequent plan revisions will have a higher degree of

accuracy.

7.2 Financing of the project

We plan to raise Rs.8 crores in initial capital, against Rs. 10

crores as initially planned, remaining 2 crores would be raised as

and when required.

Out of 8 crores that would be spent in the development of the new

product we plan to raise the above money in the following way:

Rs. 2 crores would be utilised from the existing reserves and

surplus with the company (audited balance sheet would be

provided if required).

Rs. 3 crores each would be raised from ICICI and IDBI

respectively.

7.3 Break-even Analysis

The break-even analysis shows that our company has a good

balance of fixed costs and sufficient sales strength to remain

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healthy. Our break-even point is 17,160 cases, while our sales

forecast for the coming years is as follows:

Particulars 2001-

2002

2002-2003 2003-

2004

2004-2005

Sales (cases of 10

gram bottle) 8348 22869 36913 45421

In the year 2001-2002 a low production will be carried out as this

is the test year and further sales will be carried out depending

upon the acceptability of the product.

Some costs included in the plan may be trimmed if necessary.

Thus, there is room to cut the gap to break-even in year two with

interim plan revision on the cost side, particularly by limiting ad

and promotion expense and some fixed expense. The break even

number of 17,160 units is an extremely conservative break-even

number since it assumes full marketing and media expenditures as

called for by the plan . The initial production run will be to test

market the product that will be 8,348 units.

Break-even Analysis:

Break-even units 17,160

Break-even sales Rs. 2,40,240

Assumptions:

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Per unit revenue: Rs. 14

Per unit variable cost: Rs. 4.75

Estimated fixed costs: Rs. 765 lakhs

7.4 Projected Profit and Loss

All expenses estimated in this initial plan are considered to be

accurate but not firm. Flexibility is assumed as the plan

progresses through execution. Also, the assumption here is that

we only raise Rs.8, 00,000 in initial capital, whereas the

assumption was to raise Rs. 10,00,000 as initially planned. In the

first year the project would not yield any revenues, as the break-

even would be achieved in second year. This will be considered

very acceptable when considered against the need to spend to

introduce a new product. In fact, it is achievable only since we are

pursuing low-cost existing channels of distribution.

We are thus forecasting a profit inflow from the year 2002-2003.

These are realistic targets.

7.5 Projected Cash Flow

Cash flow in year two, 2002-2003, needs a closer look on a month-

to-month basis. Since this will be entirely a function of actual sales

vs. inventory turns it will be addressed in detail in subsequent plan

revisions. Subsequent revisions of this plan in years two and three

will switch to a full inventory, payables, and receivables model.

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Fixed costs

Amount in Rs lacs

HEADS 2001

Distribution 30

Tv Ad Spends 500

Radio 20

Production And Research 15

Machinery 200

Total Fixed Cost 765

Variable costs

Amount in Rs

VARIABLE COST

Raw material 1.71

Packing material 1.726

1. Bottle 0.698

2. Cap 0.220

3. Shrink sleeve./ Label 0.260

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4. Carton / Dispenser 0.370

5. Others 0.178

RM+PM 3.436

Conversion cost 0.515

Assessable value 3.951

Excise Duty 0.632

Purchase value 4.584

Freight 0.12

Addl . Sales tax 0.05

Total Variable Cost 4.75

We have not added labour costs and administrative costs, as this

is an irrelevant cost because this is an existing company and we

are using the already employed labour.

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Product pricing

In Rs. Per unit

10 GMS

M.R.P 14.0

Ptr 11.67

(-) Trade Disc. 1.06

PTS 10.61

(-) Addl. Trade Disc 0.88

Net PTS 9.73

Net PTS 9.73

Total Variable Cost 4.75

Gross Contribution 4.98

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