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Chinese Packet Transport Network Market Development Market Tracker April 2010 IT631002

Chinese Packet Transport Network Market · PDF fileChinese Packet Transport Network Market Development ... Ltd (Huawei) and ZTE Corporation ... PTN is able to connect IP multi-protocol

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© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 1

Chinese Packet Transport Network Market

Development

Market Tracker

April 2010

IT631002

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 2

Disclaimer

Frost & Sullivan shall be exempted from the responsibilities for any wrong information

provided by the manufacturers or users.

Information related to market data is not fixed, as it is mainly based on the result of

interview.

Frost & Sullivan would offer some valuable publications of market information to special

clients, based on their requirements, as a research service. In the reservation, the clients

should be aware that our research service is not targeted at public publications, but for

their internal use. Without written approval, no part of this report may be submitted,

leased, transferred, sold, or disclosed to any third party.

In addition, without approval from the publisher, no part of this report may be copied or

stored in any restorable system, or transferred through electronic or mechanic mode or

by photomechanical printing, recording, or any other means.

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 3

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary ................................................................................... 4

2. Status Analysis of the Chinese PTN Market ............................................ 6

2.1 PTN - Definition ...................................................................................... 6

2.2 Demand in the PTN Market .................................................................... 8

2.2.1 Fast Development of 3G Drives the PTN Market ............................. 8

2.2.2 IP Mobile Network Increases the Demand for PTN ......................... 8

2.2.3 Existing Network Unlikely to Meet the Demands of Group and

Family Customers ..................................................................................... 9

2.2.4 Development of Carriers Stimulates the Deployment of PTN .......... 9

2.3 Overview of Three Carriers’ PTN Deployment and Strategies ............. 10

2.3.1 China Mobile .................................................................................. 10

2.3.2 China Telecom ............................................................................... 12

2.3.3 China Unicom ................................................................................ 13

3. Competitive Landscape of the PTN Market in China ............................ 14

3.1 Market Share Analysis of Major PTN Vendors ..................................... 14

PTN Vendor Market Share (China) ......................................................... 14

3.2 Competitive Analysis of Major PTN Vendors ........................................ 15

Competitive Analysis of Major PTN Vendors .......................................... 16

4. PTN Market Forecasts ............................................................................. 19

4.1 PTN Market Drivers .............................................................................. 19

4.1.1 Demand for Services - Key Driver for the PTN Market .................. 19

4.1.2 Suitable Climate for PTN Deployment ........................................... 19

4.1.3 Scale Effect .................................................................................... 19

4.2 Key Market Trends ............................................................................... 20

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 4

1. Executive Summary

Challenges related to the deployment, organization, and cost of transport

networks faced by metropolitan area network (MAN) Internet protocol (IP)

solutions are more complicated than those faced by core networks. The

packet transport network (PTN) technology facilitates the development of IP

transmission network in many aspects, including high efficiency of bandwidth,

quality of service (QoS), safety of network environment, accuracy of clock

transmission, and so on.

The introduction of PTN represents a significant reform in MANs and the

merging process of transmission and data networks. With further development,

cost-saving advantages of the PTN technology are expected to be highlighted.

It will provide a comprehensive carrier network for services that have a high

QoS. With the support of other technologies, the PTN technology is likely to

improve MANs’ converging. In addition, deployment of PTN will drive service

networks and the rapid growth of IP and other new services.

In 2010, three domestic telecom carriers, including China Mobile, China

Unicom and China Telecom, are expected to invest more than RMB5.7 billion

in the PTN market. China Mobile Limited (China Mobile), for example, plans to

build up more than 80,000 Time Division-Synchronous Code Division Multiple

Access (TD-SCDMA) base stations and together with the existing 100,000 TD

base stations in its networks, the total number will exceed 180,000. This

implies that in 2010, for the first group of TD base stations, the investment of

China Mobile in PTN is likely to reach RMB3.6 billion.

With the increasing investment of carriers in building PTNs, vendors are

facing intense competition. Domestic providers of telecom equipment are

shifting from being followers to leaders. According to the statistics of domestic

carriers’ PTN collection in 2009, Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd (Huawei) and

ZTE Corporation (ZTE) constitute the first tier of the Chinese PTN market, and

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 5

they are expected to be the leading participants in the future. In the second

tier of the domestic PTN market, FiberHome, Alcatel-Lucent,

Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson (Ericsson), Tellabs (TLAB), and other

vendors possess distinctive advantages to increase their revenues. In addition,

owing to the global strategic adjustment, some vendors, such as Nortel

Networks (Nortel) and Nokia Siemens Networks (NSN), play a less significant

role in the Chinese market.

The Chinese PTN market was in the infant stage until 2009. However,

China Mobile has led the market into the development stage, and China

Telecom Corporation Limited (China Telecom) and China Unicom Limited

(China Unicom) are preparing to participate in it at present. In 2010, rapid

development of these three carriers’ 3G data services will liberalize the

business use of PTN, which implies that the PTN market is likely to witness

further development in the future. China’s PTN market is expected to achieve

rapid growth from 2011 to 2015. In 2010, the investment of domestic carriers

in the PTN market is expected to reach RMB5.7 billion.

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 6

2. Status Analysis of the Chinese PTN Market

2.1 PTN - Definition

As it supports various bi-directional point-to-point connection paths based

on PAC services, packet transport network (PTN) is able to support all kinds

of services and organize the end-to-end network, which provides special “soft”

transmission paths that are more suitable for Internet protocol (IP) services;

the protection switch between point-to-point paths can be done in 0.05

seconds, which means services are protected and recovered at the degree of

transmission. PTN inherits the operation, administration and maintenance

(OAM) system of synchronous digital hierarchy (SDH), which is able to

support point-to-point connection and equip the network with protection switch,

fault check, and path supervision. PTN is able to connect IP multi-protocol

label switching (MPLS) in several ways and bear core IP services flawlessly.

Network management system can control the design and settings of

information connection paths, separate and guarantee QoS, and provide

service-level agreement (SLA) when it is required.

As PTN has the OAM system and is able to locate fault with accuracy, as

well as separate services with strictness, it manages and makes full use of

fiber resources and guarantees the security of services. Moreover, the

combination with generalized multi-protocol label switching (GMPLS) enables

PTN to accomplish automatic allocation of resources.

There are two main types of technical standards - MPLS-TP and PBB-TE.

The MPLS-TP standard evolves from the T-MPLS standard, which was

first mentioned by the ITU-T (International Telecom Union's

Telecommunication Standard) in 2005, aiming to use MPLS to make packet

transport simple but highly efficient. T-MPLS shares the same retransmission

system with MPLS, but cut off its tree technologies irrelevant to transport,

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 7

improve OAM and protection systems, and be able to support transport

networks. The T-MPLS control plane can deploy both GMPLS and static

configuration, which implies that T-MPLS can separate data control planes

and work without control plane.

In February 2008, IETF’s MEAD (MPLS interoperability design team)

cooperated with the ITU-T’s T-MPLS ad hoc group. It formed a JWT to

research the T-MPLS/MPLS-TP standards and renamed T-MPLS as MPLS-

TP. With the legacy of T-MPLS’ conception and requirements, MPLS-TP is

also compatible with the existing MPLS technologies, and it enables transport

networks to support packet service in a simple but efficient manner.

PBB-TE, once called provider backbone transport (PBT), is constructed

under the Ethernet architecture for connection. It was first mentioned by BT,

Nortel Networks (Nortel) and is expected to become the main technology for

21 century network solutions. In November 2006, Nortel’s proposal about the

PBT program was supported in the Dallas conference held by the IEEE

(Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers) standard organization.

MPLS-TP and PBB-TE are based on different technologies. Both MPLS

and Ethernet network technologies aim to exploit the packet technology to

connect through PTN. These technologies are expected to separate

retransmission and control planes and improve the OAM and protection

systems, in order to facilitate the operation, administration, and management

of services and maintain high reliability.

In terms of standards, MPLS-TP has developed rapidly, and it receives

significant attention from carriers and vendors, as it released its structure

standard for requirements in the second quarter of 2009. However, the PBB-

TE standard received less attention because of its slow development.

In terms of technical choice, MPLS-TP is supported by many vendors than

PBT. Among the main vendors, PBT is now supported only by Nortel, Ciena

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 8

Corporation (CIENA), and Nokia Siemens and the rest are supporting MPLS-

TP. As most of the carriers adopt the IP MPLS core network, MPLS-TP is

expected to be used largely in the market.

2.2 Demand in the PTN Market

Once IP RAN is allowed for business use, it will have four main solutions

- the adoption of layer 2 switches, router, combination of PTN and router, and

complete end-to-end PTN. For carriers, the last two solutions offer the

advantages of reliability, security, and low cost.

2.2.1 Fast Development of 3G Drives the PTN Market

The rapid development of and increase in the need for 3G services

demand higher quality of bandwidth. Owing to the low efficiency of traditional

TDM-based transport networks, it is very difficult to fulfill the fast-increasing

requirements for 3G bandwidth. Furthermore, in China, MANs comprise

several networks, such as SDH/MSTP, Ethernet switches, routers, and so on,

each of which is responsible for providing different services and self-

maintenance. The status cannot meet the demand for unified bearing and

cost saving.

PTN is appropriate for carriers to ensure compatibility between 3G and

2G services. The advantage of service bearing enables PTN to support MANs

for swifter, more efficient, and low-cost packet transport and, thus, lead to the

convergence of networks and unified bearing for services provided by carriers.

The development of 3G will further stimulate the construction and expansion

of PTN.

2.2.2 IP Mobile Network Increases the Demand for PTN

ALL IP has become the emerging trend for the development of

communications services. IP mobile network requires higher standards for the

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 9

services provided by bearing networks, including not only traditional services,

but also clock, network delay, reliability, and security. The traditional transport

technology of MSTP could not meet the requirements for IP RAN’s

development, such as capability, expansion, cost, and others, which implies

that a new type of packet-based bearing technology is needed to replace

MSTP; PTN is appropriate for the same.

2.2.3 Existing Network Unlikely to Meet the Demands of Group and

Family Customers

The period 2011-2013 is likely to witness the rapid growth among two

groups of customers - groups and families. Their demand for bandwidth, high

reliability, high QoS, and less delay cannot be met by carriers’ existing

networks.

2.2.4 Development of Carriers Stimulates the Deployment of PTN

In telecom networks, services based on Time Division Multiplexing (TDM)

are no longer demanded, and packet service is demanded by nearly 60-70

percent of the users. 3G has been allowed for business use. Although MSTP

can deal with 3G in the initial stages, it cannot do so in the later stage. With

the significant investment on bearing and transmission networks, MSTP is not

likely to survive for a long time. Carriers need a network to support their

service development for a long time. The development of mobile and wireless

broadband increases the demand for mobile bearing transport largely. The

deadline to meet carriers’ requirements for functions will not be fixed in the

near future, as it will take some time to transform MSTP or routers for IP

service, which does not bode well for carriers’ long-term development and

investment. On the other hand, PTN is deployed to fulfill the long-term

requirement of carriers.

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 10

2.3 Overview of Three Carriers’ PTN Deployment and

Strategies

PTNs have progressed to the deployment stage, after the significant

efforts to construction 3G base station and for the application of ALL IP

services by three domestic carriers. Currently, they focus on IP transport

network. China Mobile has taken the first step to make PTN tests, and it is

followed by China Telecom and China Unicom.

These three carriers are expected to invest more than RMB5.7 billion in

the PTN market in 2010.

Chart 2.1

Total PTN Market: Budgets of Three Domestic Carriers (China), 2010

Note: All figures are rounded; the base year is 2009.”

2.3.1 China Mobile

China Mobile lacks fixed network resources, and its existing MSTP

transport network has to handle 2G IP and TD-SCDMA IP services. Once 3G

data services begin to be used rapidly, the deployment of PTN is likely to

become inevitable.

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 11

China Mobile’s TD-SCDMA network is based on TDM. The deployment of

PTN is essential to prevent any potential safety hazards created by global

positioning system (GPS). China Mobile is the first carrier in China that

focused on the PTN technology and completed the comprehensive tests for

PTN equipment. Therefore, it has a complete knowledge of PTN. China

Mobile has been focusing on PTN since April 2007, and it started laboratory

tests in September 2007.

China Mobile carried out a series of researches about PTN, including

laboratory tests, existing network test, model price inquiry, collection,

deployment of existing networks, and so on, which resolved the problems of

the PTN market’s value chain, including the supply of chips, instruments, and

so on. It made first collection in November 2009, and the total are about

50,000 PTN equipments (not including the statistics from all provinces).

Chart 2.2

Total PTN Market: China Mobile’s PTN Tests and Business Applications (China), 2007-2009

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 12

China Mobile develops its packet networks through the adoption of PTN.

The detailed steps include the shift of main packet networks from using TDM

to IP/ETH, development of the service ports from E1 to FE, expansion of

services from 2M to 10M/100M, and so on. In addition, with the deployment of

next-generation networks, IP technology can help reduce the investment and

cost of comprehensive operation, enhance the quality and benefit of networks,

satisfy the demand for High Speed Downlink Packet Access (HSDPA)

bandwidth, reduce the E1 bundle quantity, and raise the efficiency of data

services.

In 2010, the main challenges for China Mobile are likely to be the

deployment and application of the PTN bearing network. For example, during

the deployment, selection of the appropriate methods to prevent traffic jam by

differentiating services in PTN bearing networks, report an emergency at the

right time, administrate PTNs, plan the management of PTNs, and assess and

control network environment is likely to pose a significant challenge. However,

the application of PTN in large scale is expected to help carriers to find the

appropriate solutions.

2.3.2 China Telecom

China Telecom’s PTN bearing services are access to the CN2MPLSVPN

service, metropolitan Ethernet special line and L2VPN service, data service

bearing between 3G base station controller, and service bearing of softswitch,

Internet protocol television (IPTV), z IP Multimedia Subsystem (IMS), and so

on. After the adoption of the CDMA2000 network, China Telecom decided to

improve quick-exchange rather than transform the network architecture. As a

result, PTN is likely to be deployed later.

Currently, China Telecom has largely reduced the promotion of 3G data

cards. It is mainly due to the reason that after the promotion of 3G data cards,

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 13

the data service increased rapidly and, thus, the optical metropolitan network,

which originally connected base stations, could not meet the increasing

requirement for transmission. As a result, China Telecom is keen to

participate in testing the existing PTNs and is expected to start the

deployment of new PTN in 2010.

2.3.3 China Unicom

Recently, China Unicom adopted strengthened MSTP for its backhaul

instruction as well as focused on the PTN technology. Placement tests of PTN

are likely to start in the near future. By the end of 2009, China Unicom had

built 97,000 Wideband Code Division Multiple Access (WCDMA) base

stations, 50 percent of which are now scattered in Southern China, which

lacks fixed networks. PTN equipment, which are deployed only in 30 percent

of base stations, will reach 15,000 sets in number, and the investment in 2010

in PTN equipment is estimated to reach RMB900 million.

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 14

3. Competitive Landscape of the PTN Market in

China

With the development of 3G network and all relative services, carriers’

next responsibility is to build a high-speed data transmission network.

This is likely to be a long process, as 2G networks need to undergo

several years of construction and expansion. The Chinese packet transport

network (PTN) market has a significant potential. PTN is the initial stage in the

process of transforming to 3G and full-service metropolitan network; this has

to be considered by vendors when forecasting the development of this market.

3.1 Market Share Analysis of Major PTN Vendors

China Mobile’s first period of PTN collection CFB ended at the end of

2009. The bill, which amounted to around 3 billion, was shared by ZTE (35

percent), Huawei (35 percent), FiberHome (15 percent), Alcatel-Lucent (10

percent), and Ericsson (5 percent). Domestic vendors accounted for around

90 percent of the market share, which shows their dominance.

Chart 3.1

PTN Vendor Market Share (China)

Total PTN Market: Vendor Market Share by China Mobile’s Investment (China), 2009

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 15

Note: All figures are rounded; the base year is 2009.

The chart above shows the increasing investment on PTN networks and

competition among vendors. In the Chinese PTN market in 2009, Huawei and

ZTE constituted the first tier of vendors in terms of the comprehensive

assessment about their technologies, existing networks, advantages of

products, and so on. In the second tier, FiberHome, Alcatel-Lucent, and

Ericsson have strong competitive abilities as well.

3.2 Competitive Analysis of Major PTN Vendors

Domestic telecom equipment vendors are changing their role from being

followers to leaders. Every technological development provides opportunities

for domestic vendors, such as ZTE, Huawei, and so on, to outperform each

other. PTN, the next generation of optical transport technology, also provides

such opportunities for domestic vendors of bearing networks.

In the Chinese PTN market in 2009, Huawei and ZTE constituted the first

tier of vendors in terms of the comprehensive assessment about their

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 16

technologies, existing networks, advantages of products, and so on. In the

second tier, FiberHome, Alcatel-Lucent, and Ericsson have strong competitive

abilities as well.

Chart 3.2

Competitive Analysis of Major PTN Vendors

Total PTN Market: Competitive Analysis of Major Vendors (China), 2009

Note: All figures are rounded; the base year is 2009.

Chart 3.3

Huawei

Product Features

Mature technology and ample experience in organizing networks Reliability, protection, quick fault positioning, high-accuracy

synchronism, visualized network management, and so on

Deployment Provides more than 30,000 PTN equipment for several carriers for

commercial use, including France Telecom and Spain Telecom, which established the company as the leader in the domestic PTN market

Helped build more than 30 PTNs in China in 2009

Technical Since 2005, Huawei has been participating in the organization, whose

responsibility is to formulate the standards of T-MPLS, and occupying more than half of its Editor positions.

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 17

Capabilities Huawei’s core members are present in the MPLS-TP standard organization. They are the most experienced professors, whose responsibility is to check the standards of the packed transport architecture, OAM, and protection of packet transmission.

Huawei integrated the IP and transmission technologies dynamically. It applies IP routers to the bearing of multi-services, including QoS,

statistic multiplexing, flexibility, and PWE3. It built the first mobile IP network, supporting the business use of

IEEE1588v2.

It understands the requirements of carriers for IP accurately.

Chart 3.4

ZTE

Product Features

Has distinctive features such as excellent performance and environment friendly

First to complete the replacing tests of GPS in August 2008 First to achieve high accuracy synchronism with the G.8261+1588v2

technology First to finish the tests of jointing TD base stations Able to provide protection of looped network based on T-MPLS/MPLS-

TP; it has easy deployment, high efficiency, security, reliability, and so on.

Deployment

In China, commercial ports of PTN are over 10,000 in number. ZTE applied business-used PTN to domestic carriers, such as

Guangdong Mobile, Jiangsu Mobile, Jiangxi Mobile, Shanxi Telecom, Zhejiang Telecom, Guangdong Telecom, Fujian Unicom, and so on.

Make breakthroughs in several multinational carriers in Europe and Americas.

ZTE took only 5 days to finish the construction of 100 stations in PTNs around Guangdong and Shenzhen and 10 days to accomplish the equipment tests and acceptance check.

Technical Capabilities

ZTE is the member of more than 70 international standard organizations and forums, and it has submitted more than 100 proposals about PTN to those organizations.

IPTN of new generation uses packed technology as the core, develops multi-service bearing, and integrates synchronized clock, protection, and OAM for telecom, which satisfies the requirement for mobile backhaul and Fixed Mobile Convergence (FMC).

With five types of PTN products, ZTE has the most number of PTN equipment in the market; it is, thus, able to meet the requirements for urban networks in different sizes.

ZTE underwent several tests of China Mobile, including laboratory tests with and without services, confirmatory tests, IOT, collective tests, and so on, the results of which show that ZTE’s PTN equipment is in the first tier.

Its creative solution of adopting “G.8261+1588 V2”GPS becomes the main deployment solution for the synchronism between PTN equipment and TD base stations in the market.

Chart 3.5

FiberHome

Product Features

It has been promoting several series of CiTRANS600 products for different types of networks since 2008, including CiTRANS660, 620, 640, and 680.

The products have high compatibility and reliable protection.

Deployment Its products satisfy distinctive requirements of carriers CiTRANS600 products have been used in many local networks,

including that in Jiangsu Mobile, Yichang of Hubei Mobile, Jining of

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 18

Shangdong Mobile, Huanggang of Hubei Mobile, Zhangzhou of Fujian Unicom, and so on.

Technical Capabilities

Have looped network protection and support wrapping and steering Have the ability to connect 2.5G ports of MSTP equipment Achieve the E1 and TPS of FE protection simultaneously Have the compatibility of PTN and PON

Chart 3.6

Alcatel-Lucent

Product Features

Alcatel-Lucent is one of the early vendors that focus on solutions for GPS transport replacement. It has several proprietary technologies for Ethernet and 1588v2 solutions, which are able to satisfy the demand for the applications of existing networks.

Deployment

It has successfully deployed end-to-end PTNs based on T-MPLS in the networks of TD-SCDMA for Taiyuan branch of China Mobile. Its PTNs passed the function and performance tests of service bearing in 3G base stations and have been put into business application.

Its products are deployed in Shanghai Mobile, Jilin Mobile, Shandong Mobile, Guangdong Mobile, Shanxi Mobile, Shandong Unicom, Heilongjiang Unicom, Liaoning Unicom, Jiangsu Unicom, Sichuan Telecom, Jiangsu Telecom, and so on.

Technical Capabilities

Support the standards of PTN transport and Ethernet functions at the degree of telecom

Accomplish the unified bearing of TDM and E- Line/E-LAN/E-Tree services

Support network protection, QoS, and OAM Support synchronic transport between Ethernet and 1588 Support management of networks at the degree of telecom

Chart 3.7

Chart 3.7 Ericsson

Product Features

PTN solutions belong to the category of end-to-end IP solutions, in which Ericsson has advanced expertise.

It provides end-to-end IP/MPLS solutions for 2G, 3G, and LTERAN services and the pass-back of fixed network services.

Its products have QoS protection, which can be applied in the deployment of new networks, upgrade of the existing voice over Internet protocol (VoIP) networks, evolution to mobile bandwidth, and so on.

Deployment It has built up more than 130 mobile softswitch networks worldwide. It has about 50 VoIP networks. It has the second-largest share in the China Mobile 40G program.

Technical Capabilities

As the prominent supporting technology for IP bearing MANs, PTN can highlight Ericsson’s expertise in comprehensive IP solutions.

The company provides router solutions for mobile station and multi-services. They are the comprehensive solutions for MANs.

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 19

4. PTN Market Forecasts

4.1 PTN Market Drivers

4.1.1 Demand for Services - Key Driver for the PTN Market

Mobile services are shifting from using 3G to HSPA+ and Long Term

Evolution (LTE), which increases the demand for bandwidth. It requires packet

transport network (PTN) products to be able to deal with the growing packet

service and reduce the transport cost of Internet protocol (IP) service. On the

other hand, the long-time co-existence of several mobile standards demands

PTN equipment to compact both TDM and ATM services. In addition to mobile

services, PTN technologies have to deal with the demand for capacity of fixed

networks. It can be achieved through multicast communication and virtual

private network (VPN), which are able to provide better fixed services. Overall,

the convergence of mobile and fixed networks is the key driver for the PTN

market.

4.1.2 Suitable Climate for PTN Deployment

With domestic carriers starting to rearrange themselves, the Chinese PTN

market is growing. In addition, the 3G market is developing in the country as

well. These factors create a suitable climate for PTN to be deployed in a large

and appropriate application environment in China.

4.1.3 Scale Effect

China has many communications users and well-expanded networks.

According to the plans mentioned in “the advice for building the third

generation mobile communication networks”, 3G networks are likely to cover

all the cities (cities over prefecture level and prefectures), most of the county

towns and villages, main highways and scenery areas, and so on by 2011.

The total investment in the construction of 3G networks will reach RMB400

billion, the number of base stations will exceed 400,000, and the users of 3G

will be up to 150 million. The fast development and promotion of 3G will

produce a significant scale effect, which is a good opportunity for the PTN

market.

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 20

4.2 Key Market Trends

It is acknowledged in the market that PTN can help carriers to blend 3G

and 2G for domestic carriers. PTN is the combination of SDH and IP, a

technology to transform SDH with IP technology. However, the transformation

involves some of SDH’s features, including network management, protection,

and so on, as desired by carriers.

Compared to SDH, which is the traditional transmission technology, PTN

has apparent advantages in terms of bearing new services, and it is expected

to replace SDH networks in the long term. Currently, with the support of

mature technologies, SDH networks are stable and bear many TDM services

that constitute the primary part of its operation. TDM is witnessing

development. IP trend is a long process thus; SDH will not be replaced by

PTN in a short period.

The development of the PTN market is anticipated to facilitate the growth

of other optical networks. In the near future, the PTN market is likely to

possess a significant growth potential. The Multi-Service Transfer Platform

(MSTP) market has been increasing by RMB5 billion annually in the near past.

The increasing demand for packet transport is most likely to encourage

carriers to shift their investment from MSTP to PTN.

Before 2010, the Chinese PTN market was in the infancy stage. Currently,

China Mobile opens the PTN market, and China Telecom and China Unicom

are preparing to participate in it. In 2010, the three largest carriers in China will

develop their services, which will accelerate the commercialization of PTN that

has huge potential to size more domestic market. From 2011 to 2015, the

Chinese PTN market is expected to achieve rapid growth. The three domestic

carriers are estimated to invest more than RMB5.7 billion in the PTN

technology.

© Frost & Sullivan, 2010 Page 21

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