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Interim Results Presentation August 2013 China Shanshui Cement Group Limited

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Page 1: China Shanshui Cement Group Limiteden.shandongshanshui.com/Static/attachment/2015-04-30/... · 2016-04-20 · This presentation has been prepared by China Shanshui Cement Group Limited

Interim Results Presentation

August 2013

China Shanshui Cement Group Limited

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Disclaimer

This presentation has been prepared by China Shanshui Cement Group Limited (“Shanshui” or “the Company”) and the Company is solely responsible for its contents.

The information presented or contained in these materials is subject to change without notice and its accuracy is not guaranteed.

Neither the presentation nor any of the information contained therein constitutes an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire or invitation to purchases or subscribe for any securities of the Company in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity, nor may it or any part of it form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract, commitment or investment decision whatsoever.

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Section

I

II

III

Agenda

Review of 2013 Interim Results

Future Outlook

Q & A

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2013 Interim Results Review

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Key Financial Results

1H 2013 1H 2012 YoY Growth

Sales Revenue (RMB MM) 7,068.7 7,378.0 (4.2%)

Cement 5,756.4 5,978.3 (3.7%)

Clinker 801.9 972.4 (17.5%)

Concrete 283.5 162.6 74.3%

Others 226.9 264.8 (14.3%)

Shandong Region 4,719.8 5,106.5 (7.6%)

Northeast Region 1,897.2 1,968.9 (3.6%)

Shanxi Region 318.0 294.7 7.9%

Xinjiang Region 133.8 7.9 1591.1%

Gross Profit (RMB MM) 1,601.6 1,835.9 (12.8%)

EBITDA (RMB MM) 1,655.9 2,015.6 (17.8%)

Net Profit (RMB MM) 360.3 758.4 (52.5%) Net Profit Attributable to the Equity Shareholders of the Company (RMB MM) 347.6 727.7 (52.2%)

Basic Earnings per Share (RMB) 0.12 0.26 (53.8%)

Gross Profit Margin (%) 22.7% 24.9%

Net Profit Margin (%) 5.1% 10.3%

5

Notes: (1)EBITDA = Net income + finance costs + tax expenses + fixed assets depreciation + amortization (2) Net Profit Margin = Net income before deduction of minority interests / Sales Revenue

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1H 2012 1H 2011 YoY Growth

Capacity (MM tonne)

Cement 92.6 85.8 7.9%

Clinker 40.4 39.0 3.7%

Sales Volume (MM tonne)

Cement and Clinker 27.2 25.2 7.8%

Cement 23.0 21.0 9.3%

Clinker 4.2 4.2 0.6%

Concrete (MM m3) 1.0 0.6 59.5%

Unit Selling Price (RMB / tonne or m3)

Cement 250.5 284.3 (11.9%)

Clinker 190.8 232.7 (18.0%)

Concrete 293.8 268.8 9.3%

Cement Regional Unit Selling Price (RMB/ tonne)

Shandong Region 243.7 280.1 (13.0%)

Northeast Region 274.0 301.4 (9.1%)

Shanxi Region 218.6 234.6 (6.8%)

Xinjiang Region 228.6 214.8 6.4%

Key Operating Results

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Financial Overview

11,854.1

16,862.0 16,161.0

7,378.0 7,068.7

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

2010 2011 2012 1H2012 1H2013

Sales revenue EBITDA (1)

Gross profit Net profit (2)

(RMB MM) (RMB MM)

(RMB MM) (RMB MM)

Notes: (1)EBITDA = Net income + finance costs + tax expenses + fixed assets depreciation + amortization (2)Net income before deduction of minority interests

7

1,004.9

2,311.71,603.8

758.4360.3

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

2010 2011 2012 1H2012 1H2013Net Profit Net Profit Margin

8.5% 13.7% 9.9% 10.3% 5.1%

2,533.7

4,801.4 4,264.6

2,015.6 1,655.9

0

3,000

6,000

9,000

2010 2011 2012 1H2012 1H2013EBITDA EBITDA Margin

21.4% 28.5% 26.4% 27.3% 23.4%

2,550.1

5,079.14,111.3

1,835.9 1,601.6

0

3,000

6,000

9,000

2010 2011 2012 1H2012 1H2013Gross Profit Gross Profit Margin

21.5% 30.1% 25.4% 24.9% 22.7%

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Shandong69.2%

Northeast26.7%

Shanxi4.0%

Xinjiang0.1%

Outstanding Performance in Shanxi & Xinjiang Regions

The proportion of sales contributed by Shanxi and Xinjiang Regions to total sales increased by 2.3 percentage points YoY. This is mainly due to:

The commencement of operations for operating companies in Shanxi and Xinjiang contributed to more production volume

Regional unit selling price of Cement in Xinjiang Region increased 6.4%

Unit selling price of Cement in Shandong and Northeast Regions fell due to the slowdown in growth of fixed asset investment and cement overcapacity of neighboring provinces

Sales breakdown by area – 1H 2012 Sales breakdown by area – 1H 2013

8

Shandong66.8%

Northeast26.8%

Shanxi4.5%

Xinjiang1.9%

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1H 2013 1H 2012

RMB MM %

Revenue RMB MM %

Revenue Percentage

point change

Total cost of sales 5,467.0 77.3% 5,542.2 75.1% 2.2 points

Raw materials 1,679.2 23.8% 1,660.3 22.5% 1.3 points

Coal 1,472.5 20.8% 1,802.0 24.4% -3.6 points

Power 928.5 13.1% 783.4 10.6% 2.5 points

Depreciation and amortisation 458.6 6.5% 463.8 6.3% 0.2 points

Others 928.3 13.1% 832.7 11.3% 1.8 points

Benefited by 17.5% year-on-year drop of average purchasing price of coal to 577.2 RMB/ton, coal cost reduced to 1.47 billion in the first half of 2013, representing 20.8% of the sale revenue.

As for cost reduction, output of residual heat power generation reached 498 million KWH in the first half of 2013, which has reduced the cost of clinker by RMB 133 million.

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Effective cost control due to strengthening internal management

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During the reporting period, the proportion of sales and marketing expenses to revenue increased by 0.8 percentage points compared with the corresponding period of 2012.

The proportion of administrative expenses to revenue increased by 3.0 percentage points compared with previous year mainly due to the production halts in the first three months of 2013.

The proportion of finance costs to revenue increased by 0.7 percentage points compared with the same period last year.

10

Steady Operating Efficiency

1H 2013 1H 2012

RMB MM %

Revenue RMB MM %

Revenue Percentage

point change

Sales and marketing expenses 177.9 2.5% 127.7 1.7% 0.8 points

Administrative expenses 530.4 7.5% 335.5 4.5% 3.0 points

Finance costs 469.0 6.6% 435.9 5.9% 0.7 points

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75.8%71.5%

77.8% 71.1%24.2%

28.5%22.2%

28.9%

7,399

11,465 13,466

15,182

50.4% 50.9%

56.9% 58.2%

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

2010 2011 2012 1H2013

Long-term borrowings Short-term borrowings

Leverage ratio

2.9x

2.4x

3.2x 3.3x

3.9x

2.5x

1.8x

2.9x

2.4x

3.5x

0

2

4

2010 2011 2012 1H2012 1H2013

Total Debt to EBITDA Net Debt to EBITDA

(RMB MM)

Debt Structure

(1) (1)

Healthy Capital Structure

Liquidity ratio

Notes: (1) Based on LTM EBITDA (2) Long-term Borrowings = Long-term interest-bearing borrowings, less current portion + corporate bond + shareholders loan, less current portion (3) Short-term Borrowings = Short-term and current portion of long-term interest-bearing borrowings + current portion of shareholders loan (4) Leverage ratio = Net Debt / (Net Debt + Equity attributable to Equity shareholders of the Company + minority interest), Net Debt = Total debt – cash and cash equivalent

(4)

(2) (3)

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1,789.1

1,549.3

1,930.1

1,314.7

228.3

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2010 2011 2012 1H2012 1H2013

Effective Working Capital Control

Working capital days (1)

(RMB MM)

38.8

47.4

56.3

67.8

60.3

11.6 9.3 11.7 14.5 16.6

64.7 65.7

73.9

81.9

90.4

0

20

40

60

80

100

2010 2011 2012 1H2012 1H2013

Inventory DaysDays of sales outstandingDays of purchase outstanding

Notes: (1) Inventory days = Average inventories / Cost of sales *182.5 days; Days of sales outstanding= Average trade receivables / Revenue *182.5 days; Days of purchase outstanding= Average trade and bill payables / Cost of sales *182.5 days

Operating cash flow

(Days)

12

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13

Future Outlook

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China’s Fixed Asset Investment Targeted to Growth Steadily(2)

(RMB Tn)

17.322.5

27.8 31.136.5

43.1

0

10

20

30

40

50

2008A 2009A 2010A 2011A 2012A 2013E

7.8% 7.8%

3.1% 3.1%

0%

2%

4%

6%

8%

10%

2012A 2013E

China Leads the Global Economic Recovery (1)

Total Cement Production in China (3)

(MM tonne)

(%)

1,6481,870

2,085 2,210

994 1,096

0

600

1,200

1,800

2,400

3,000

2009 2010 2011 2012 1H20121H2013

Investment Plan - Shandong/Liaoning/Shanxi/Inner Mongolia/Xinjiang

China’s Continued Economy Growth Ensures Demand for Cement

China GDP Growth Rate World GDP Growth Rate

Notes: (1) IMF (2) NBS (3) NBS

Shandong 2013 Investment Plan 2013 government public investment: RMB15.42 Bn, including RMB1.0 Bn to be used in local railway construction,

and RMB12.44 Bn to be used in construction and maintenance of highways, passenger stations, ports and airports. 2013 water conservancy investment: RMB 34 Bn, with c,61,000 projects planned to be constructed, new affordable homes for “Twelfth Five-Year”: 700k units; for 2013, c.236k and 170k units will commence and complete construction respectively.

Liaoning 2013 Investment Plan Transportation infrastructure investment: RMB38.52 Bn, with total expressway mileage exceeding 4,000 km, 630 km

major roads to be upgraded and 3,000 km rural roads to be constructed; Bohai Channel passageway plan to be finalized, with total investment c.RMB260 Bn; water conservancy investment: over RMB20.0 Bn, with 6,309 projects in progress, new affordable homes for 2013: c.173k units

Shanxi 2013 Investment Plan 2013 highway construction investment: RMB30 Bn, including RMB23 Bn in expressways, RMB4 Bn in national and

provincial roads and RMB3.0 Bn in rural roads; 2,185 km highway will be constructed, including 685 km expressways; 2013 new affordable homes: 180k units to commence and complete construction, and RMB34 Bn to be invested

Inner Mongolia 2013 Investment Plan 2013 railway construction investment: RMB40 Bn, with 5,653 km of major railways to be constructed; highway

construction investment: RMB 60Bn (targeting at RMB65 Bn), with 15,000 km highway to be constructed, including 3,117 km expressway and 2,600 km first-class highway, new affordable homes for 2013, c.174,500 and 180,000 units will commence and complete construction respectively

Xinjiang 2013 Investment Plan 2013 transportation FAI: RMB35-40 Bn, including RMB16.8 Bn railway construction investment

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Cement Industry Benefits from the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”

I II

III IV

Robust Demand Driven by Investment in Fixed Assets Consolidation Encouraged by Industry Policy

Cement Demand Supported by China’s Urbanization Process

Vertical Integration and Better Utilization of Resources Supported by Government

The Chinese government encourages cement enterprises to extend upstream and downstream, produce and market downstream products such as cement products, premixed concretes, dry-mixed sand mortar, coarse and fine aggregates

Chinese government encourages cement enterprises to make comprehensive use of resources in order to promote energy conservation and emission reduction

In July 2013, China Cement Association published “Measures for Promoting Corporate Mergers and Reorganizations in Cement Industry,” advocating for the active policy and financial support for the energy-saving and environment friendly projects of companies undergoing restructuring

In 2012, Ministry of Environmental Protection issued drafts of two policies regarding environmental standard in cement industry for public review, indicating China will raise technical standards in environment protection in cement industry

At the beginning of 2013, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology published the “Opinions on Promoting Corporate Mergers and Reorganizations in Key Industries”, listing cement as one of the nine key industries in which M&A is strongly encouraged

In July 2013, China Cement Association published the “Measures for Promoting Corporate Mergers and Reorganizations in Cement Industry,” supporting the restructuring of large cement companies, with the targets of raising production concentration ratio of the top ten cement enterprises to over 35%, and developing 5 fully vertically integrated groups with capacity over 100 million tonnes

In July 2013, the State Council issued guidance mandating the differential treatment in financing policies for cement and other industries with severe overcapacity issues, including providing credit support for the acquisition activities of larger companies and putting stringent limit on loans to companies with obsolete capacity

In June 2013, the State Council approved the “National Highway Network Planning (2013-2030),” targeting to increase total mileage of national highway network to 400,000 km by 2030

In 2013, RMB690 Bn railway FAI is planned, RMB520 Bn of which will be spent on basic construction and infrastructures; 5,200 km of railway will be built (1)

According to the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”, another 36 million new affordable homes will be built in China

During 2013, another 6.3 million affordable homes will be built (2)

In November 2012, the 18th CPC National Congress clearly set out that China will promote its “new pattern” urbanization process

At the 2012 year end, the Central Economic Work Conference further stated that it will be one of China’s key economic focus areas in 2013 to accelerate the process of urbanization

In June 2013, the NDRC proposed to develop 10 new regional urban agglomerations other than Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, and Pearl River delta areas

In July 2013, the Chinese government announced the plan to transform 10 million shantytown households

Notes: (1) Ministry of Railway (2) Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development

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61.7%

3.1%

-8.3% -7.9% -5.4% -9.5%-40.0%-20.0%

0.0%20.0%40.0%60.0%80.0%

2009 2010 2011 2012 1H20121H2013

1. Increasing Government Investment into Infrastructure – In 2013, China investments in fixed assets are expected

to increase 18% Y-o-Y, indicating FAI will likely reach RMB43 trillion for the year of 2013

2. Urbanization-related Constructions Will Pick Up Significantly – Urbanization will be one of the key focus areas in China’s

economic development in the year of 2013 and the next few years

– The transformation of 10 million shantytown households and the development of 10 metropolitan areas have been promoted as targets of the urbanization process

3. Key relevant themes of China’s “12th Five-Year Plan” − Affordable housing for RMB1.4 trillion − To strengthen rural infrastructure construction − Water-conservation projects for RMB4 trillion

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Source: China Building Material Website, China Cement Association Report, Digital Cement

China Cement Investment Declined Continuously

Source: NDRC, China Cement Association Report, Digital Cement

Increasing Demand Disciplined Supply

Cement Price Recovery Realized By Improved Supply/Demand Dynamics

250300350400450500550

1/2011 4/2011 6/2011 9/2011 12/2011 3/2012 6/2012 9/2012 12/2012 3/2013 7/2013

North Northeast Northwest East Central South Southwest Southeast

Well Positioned to Benefit from Favorable Market Dynamics

(%) Y-o-Y comparison of cement fixed asset investment

Source: Digital Cement

(RMB / tonne)

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4.9

20.7

5.4 5.4 4.08.3

1.4 1.4 1.8 1.8

8.7

14.2

16.316.312.6

12.8

2.0 2.2 1.6 1.6

37.6

41.9

2.98.0

24.323.1

5.2 5.6 2.9 2.9

51.1

76.7

24.629.7

40.944.2

8.6 9.26.3 6.3

0

20

40

60

80

2010 Actual Closure2010 Target Closure

2011 Target Closure 2011 Actual Closure

2012 Target Closure 2012 Actual Closure

139 140147 150 154

75 75

4147 48

57 57

24 2521 2533

3947

19 20

3443

5464

59

25 2617 20 24

3030

1520

0

50

100

150

200

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 1H2012 1H2013

Shandong Liaoning Shanxi Inner Mongolia Xinjiang

17 17

Capacity Closures Will Constrain Supply

Capacity Closures Will Constrain Supply Cement Production Under Effective Control

Shandong Liaoning Shanxi Inner Mongolia

Xinjiang

(1)

(MM tonne) (MM tonne)

Source: NDRC, Digital Cement Source: China Building Materials Industry Association, Digital Cement

Note: (1) 2012 target capacity closure is used as the proxy for 2012 actual closure since the actual closure data is not available

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Capex Plan

Notes: (1) Capex = Purchase of property, plant and equipment + Purchase of land use rights + Purchase of intangible assets + Purchase of other fixed assets + Acquisition of subsidiaries and associates (2) Capacity as of 2012 year end and June 30, 2013

(RMB MM)

Capital Expenditure (1) Cement Capacity (2)

2,901

3,409

4,380

1,560

0

1,500

3,000

4,500

6,000

2010 2011 2012 1H2013

(MM tonne)

89.6 92.6

0

30

60

90

120

2012 1H2013

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2013 Strategy Outlook

Take flexible marketing strategies based on market segmentation, consolidate core markets, explore new markets, enhance market dominance, and increase the proportion of high grade cement. Meanwhile, while fully leveraging on the port advantages, the Group will expand exports and to build itself up as an international brand.

Expand the scope of centralized procurement of general materials to minimize costs, highlight the operation cost appraisal to further reduce the production costs, gradually migrate the production, sales, purchasing, and other information into an integrated information management system

Continue to carry out strategic research in key provinces with the focus on consolidation and reorganization and strengthen the regional control advantage. Establishing itself first in Shandong, the Group will accelerate the development of the industrial product chain including aggregate and concrete to foster new profit growth points

Concentrate on building systemic mechanisms of talent recruitment, training, selection and assessment, put more emphasis on ethics education and skills training of staff and pay more attention to the training and breeding of knowledgeable, hardworking young talents, to build up a team that adapts to the future development of the Group

Highlight the "leading" role in sales

Reinforce internal control and company management

Improve the industrial strategic layout

Widen and deepen the talent pool

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Thank You Q&A