China Capital Markets - PE in China

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    Ahmed Tariq

    Ameya PatkarPeidong Qiu

    Syed Ibad

    PRIVATEEQUITYI NCHINA

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    China PE Market and its Regulatory Aspects

    Opportunities & Challenges

    VIE and Issues related to it in the Chinese PE Market

    Precedents Shaping the Future of PE in China

    INTRODUCTION

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    Deal Origination

    - Deal flow and supply of capital

    - Lower fundraising and investments for 2012

    Issues:

    - Exemplary Management

    - Proper Accounting Standards

    - Multiple Set of books

    CHINAPEMARKET

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    PE funds:

    - Affiliated Funds

    - Princeling Funds

    - Independent Funds

    - Foreign Funds

    Foreign v/s Domestic PE firms

    - Partnerships with local Firms/Governments

    - Access to cheaper debt markets

    PE Deal potential = US $43 billion

    PESTRUCTUREANDCOMPETITION

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    OPPORTUNITIES

    Population of 1.34 billion

    Consistently increasing per capita Gross National Income at $4,940

    Growing middle class with discretionary income and an appetite for varied goods and

    services

    First Generation companies established in late 1970s - in need of growth capital and

    professional management services

    $-

    $1,000

    $2,000

    $3,000

    $4,000

    $5,000

    $6,000

    1993

    1994

    1995

    1996

    1997

    1998

    1999

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    GNI per capita (cur rent US$)

    GNI per capita (current US$)

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    Global Macroeconomic conditions have been volatile

    GDP growth rates have been tapering off

    Volatility in stock market has brought down valuations

    Expect greater returns in the future by allowing firms to deploy capital in a prudent

    manner

    OPPORTUNITIES

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    Not only have falling multiples affected Chinese stock exchanges, but other exchanges

    as well

    Puts pressure on prices, hence incentivizing companies to de-list their stock

    Shanghai based Focus Media was taken private for US $3.1 billion

    2005 - Listed on the NASDAQ with a forward earnings multiple of 35

    2012 - Forward earnings multiple was down to 8.3

    2012 - Distressed companies recieved PE injection of US $4.6 billion

    2010 - Insurance companies allowed to invest 5% of their assets in China based PE

    funds, hence providing PE funds access to a potential pool of US $ 1 trillion

    2012 - Regulation was eased to include foreign PE funds. Cap increased to 10%

    National Social Security Fund increases investment in PE funds from US $3.1 billion

    to US $3.7 billion.

    OPPORTUNITIES

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    China Securities Regulatory Commission halted IPO approval process in October 2012

    The process was stopped to reform and support the growing PE domestic market

    The cessation of process made it impossible for PE firms to exit via an IPO

    Since 2000, over 7,500 PE deals are Un-exited

    PE firms that solely focused on IPO eligible companies were immediate victims

    Firms such as Kunwu Jiuding Capitalpromised investors redemptions within a 4 to

    6 year time periodhalf the usual cycle and a mismatch of asset and liabilities

    Mid-tiered PE firms found it difficult to raise funds in light of the IPO cessation

    Possible regulations that would treat PE funds like securities - require additionaldisclosure agreements

    Repatriation of exit proceeds are subject to review by SAFE

    Delay in repatriation may risk funds being disguised as foreign loans

    CHALLENGES

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    Sectors that cater to the upcoming middle class should warrant more attention

    Private equity industry professionals should consider chanelling funds into:

    - Energy, mining and utilities

    - Consumer goods

    - Technology, media and telecommunications

    Hony Capitalraised 3 billion RMB (US $489 million) to invest in the entertainment

    segment

    National Film Capitalraised 1.5 billion RMB to build movie theatres across mainland

    China

    CVC Capital Partners invested in Hong Kong Broadband Network - providing highspeed internet and telephony services

    ATTRACTIVEINVESTMENTSEGMENTS

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    Help Foreign Investors while dealing with regulatory restrictions on certain industry

    sectors

    Help Foreign Investors avoid complicated government approval procedures with

    respect to foreign direct investment

    A TYPICALVIESTRUCTURE(SINA)

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    May 2011 - Without notifying Alibabas board,Alipay was transferred to a domestic

    Chinese company that was controlled by Jack Ma

    July 2012 - Michael Yu restructured his VIE ownership to 100%. SEC launched aninvestigation over possible accounting irregularities

    RECENTISSUESWITHVIES

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    Regulatory risk

    Contractual Arrangement risk

    Procedural accounting standards

    Control issues - Tax & Foreign exchange

    RISKSWITHVIES

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    Formalize VIE structures by clearly defining

    regulations - help reduce uncertainty

    Enhance local PE firm practices

    - Provide training platforms

    - Provide policy support

    FUTUREVIE&PEMARKET

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    Chinese Whispers over valuations

    Shortened IPO durations

    Pending approvals

    Kunwu Jiuding Capital

    - Perfectly adapted or traditionally developed ?

    Gold mine and CSRC scapegoat ?

    PRECEDENCEFUTUREOFPE

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    TRENDS

    Sexy market ! A decade of opulence

    2001 - 2012

    Losing steam and statistical anomalies

    CSRC bossing and economic woes

    Fuel to the fire - On and Off shore

    Russian Roulette ?

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    Cocktail of prospects and mixed

    sentiments

    Eternal thumb rules of investing

    GP and LP ideals

    Quintessential private equity

    model ?

    Unchartered territory..

    MOVINGAHEAD

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    Q & A