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Chapter 7 Scatterplots and Correlation Scatterplots: graphical display of bivariate data Correlation: a numerical summary of bivariate data

Chapter 7 Scatterplots and Correlation Scatterplots: graphical display of bivariate data Correlation: a numerical summary of bivariate data

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  • Slide 1
  • Slide 2
  • Chapter 7 Scatterplots and Correlation Scatterplots: graphical display of bivariate data Correlation: a numerical summary of bivariate data
  • Slide 3
  • Objectives Chapter 7 Scatterplots Scatterplots Explanatory and response variables Interpreting scatterplots Outliers Categorical variables in scatterplots
  • Slide 4
  • Chapter 7 Basic Terminology Univariate data: 1 variable is measured on each sample unit or population unit e.g. height of each student in a sample Bivariate data: 2 variables are measured on each sample unit or population unit e.g. height and GPA of each student in a sample; (caution: data from 2 separate univariate samples is not bivariate data)
  • Slide 5
  • Basic Terminology (cont.) Multivariate data: several variables are measured on each unit in a sample or population. For each student in a sample of NCSU students, measure height, GPA, and distance between NCSU and hometown; Focus on bivariate data in chapter 7
  • Slide 6
  • Same goals with bivariate data that we had with univariate data Graphical displays and numerical summaries Seek overall patterns and deviations from those patterns Descriptive measures of specific aspects of the data
  • Slide 7
  • StudentBeersBlood Alcohol 150.1 220.03 390.19 470.095 530.07 630.02 740.07 850.085 980.12 1030.04 1150.06 1250.05 1360.1 1470.09 1510.01 1640.05 Here, we have two quantitative variables for each of 16 students. 1) How many beers they drank, and 2) Their blood alcohol level (BAC) We are interested in the relationship between the two variables: How is one affected by changes in the other one?
  • Slide 8
  • Scatterplots Useful method to graphically describe the relationship between 2 quantitative variables
  • Slide 9
  • StudentBeersBAC 150.1 220.03 390.19 470.095 530.07 630.02 740.07 850.085 980.12 1030.04 1150.06 1250.05 1360.1 1470.09 1510.01 1640.05 Scatterplot: Blood Alcohol Content vs Number of Beers In a scatterplot, one axis is used to represent each of the variables, and the data are plotted as points on the graph.
  • Slide 10
  • Focus on Three Features of a Scatterplot Look for an overall pattern regarding 1. Shape - ? Approximately linear, curved, up-and-down? 2. Direction - ? Positive, negative, none? 3. Strength - ? Are the points tightly clustered in the particular shape, or are they spread out? and deviations from the overall pattern: Outliers
  • Slide 11
  • Scatterplot: Fuel Consumption vs Car Weight. x=car weight, y=fuel cons. (x i, y i ): (3.4, 5.5) (3.8, 5.9) (4.1, 6.5) (2.2, 3.3) (2.6, 3.6) (2.9, 4.6) (2, 2.9) (2.7, 3.6) (1.9, 3.1) (3.4, 4.9)
  • Slide 12
  • Explanatory (independent) variable: number of beers Response (dependent) variable: blood alcohol content x y Explanatory and response variables response variable the variable of interest. explanatory variable explains changes in the response variable. Typically, the explanatory (or independent variable) is plotted on the x axis, and the response (or dependent variable) is plotted on the y axis.
  • Slide 13
  • SAT Score vs Proportion of Seniors Taking SAT NC 74% 1010 IW IL
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  • Correlation: a numerical summary of bivariate data when both variables are quantitative. Correlation The correlation coefficient r r does not distinguish x and y r has no units r ranges from -1 to +1 Influential points
  • Slide 15
  • The correlation coefficient is a measure of the direction and strength of the linear relationship between 2 quantitative variables. It is calculated using the mean and the standard deviation of both the x and y variables. The correlation coefficient "r" Correlation can only be used to describe quantitative variables. Categorical variables dont have means and standard deviations.
  • Slide 16
  • Correlation: Fuel Consumption vs Car Weight r =.9766
  • Slide 17
  • Example: calculating correlation (x 1, y 1 ), (x 2, y 2 ), (x 3, y 3 ) (1, 3) (1.5, 6) (2.5, 8)
  • Slide 18
  • Properties of Correlation r is a measure of the strength of the linear relationship between x and y. No units [like demand elasticity in economics (-infinity, 0)] -1 < r < 1
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  • Properties (cont.) r ranges from -1 to+1 "r" quantifies the strength and direction of a linear relationship between 2 quantitative variables. Strength: how closely the points follow a straight line. Direction: is positive when individuals with higher X values tend to have higher values of Y.
  • Slide 20
  • Properties of Correlation (cont.) r = -1 only if y = a + bx with slope b0 y = 1 + 2x y = 11 - x
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  • Properties (cont.) High correlation does not imply cause and effect CARROTS: Hidden terror in the produce department at your neighborhood grocery Everyone who ate carrots in 1920, if they are still alive, has severely wrinkled skin!!! Everyone who ate carrots in 1865 is now dead!!! 45 of 50 17 yr olds arrested in Raleigh for juvenile delinquency had eaten carrots in the 2 weeks prior to their arrest !!!
  • Slide 22
  • Properties (cont.) Cause and Effect There is a strong positive correlation between the monetary damage caused by structural fires and the number of firemen present at the fire. (More firemen-more damage) Improper training? Will no firemen present result in the least amount of damage?
  • Slide 23
  • Properties (cont.) Cause and Effect r measures the strength of the linear relationship between x and y; it does not indicate cause and effect correlation r =.935 x = fouls committed by player; y = points scored by same player (1,2) (24,75) (1,0) (18,59) (9,9) (3,7) (5,35) (20,46) (1,0) (3,2) (22,57) The correlation is due to a third lurking variable playing time