Chapter 2 High Speed Rail London to the West Midlands and Beyond A Report to Government by High Speed Two

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    High Speed RailLondon to the West Midlands and Beyond

    A Report to Government

    by High Speed Two Limited

    PART 2 of 11

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    While High Speed Two (HS2) Limited has made every effort to ensure the information in this document is accurate, HS2 Ltd does

    not guarantee the accuracy, completeness or usefulness of the information contained in this document and it cannot accept

    liability for any loss or damages of any kind resulting from reliance on the information or guidance this document contains.

    Copyright, High Speed Two (HS2) Limited, 2009.

    Copyright in the typographical arrangements rests with HS2 Limited.

    This publication, excluding logos, may be reproduced free of charge in any format or medium for non-commercial research,

    private study or for internal circulation within an organisation. This is subject to it being reproduced accurately and not used in

    a misleading context. The title must be acknowledged as copyright and the title of the publication specified.

    For any other use of this material please contact HS2 Limited on 020 7944 4908, or by email at [email protected],

    or by writing to HS2, 3rd Floor, 55 Victoria Street, London, SW1H 0EU.

    Further copies of this report can be obtained from www.hs2.org.uk.

    ISBN: 978-1-84864-072-6

    Unless specified, all maps, tables, diagrams and graphs in this report are a product of HS2 and its consultants.

    Chapter 1:

    ICE 3 high speed train on the Frankfurt-Cologne high-speed rail line, Sebastian Terfloth;

    Eurostar, Dave Bushell www.canbush.com/ppbfrontpage.htm;

    Gmmenen viaduct over the river Sarine with TGV 9288, Berne, Switzerland, Chriusha;

    Tunnelling, HS1 Ltd

    AVE Tarragona-Madrid, Fototrenes

    St. Pancras Station, HS1 Ltd

    Chapter 5:

    Matisa www.matisa.com/matisa_ang/matisa_produits.html

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    Chapter 2 Our Approach

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    Chapter 2: Our Approach

    27

    2.1 A basic model or British High Speed Rail Introduction

    2.1.1 As the brief survey of international high speed models in the rst section has made clear,

    high speed rail is a catch all term which can be used to describe what are in fact quite different

    approaches. In developing our proposals, we have aimed to tailor a high speed rail model that would

    t with the particular circumstances in Britain, but importantly allow it to develop and evolve over

    time. In this chapter we describe some of the fundamental principles of that model.

    A basic model or high speed rail in Britain2.1.2 There are several fundamental cornerstones in the basic framework for HS2 which are described

    below. Where these are not established a prioriby our remit, they are the product of our

    considerations during the course of the year and we explain here briey the reasoning that has led

    to them. Elsewhere in the report we expand in more detail on several of these arguments.

    2.1.3 A model for HS2 cannot be designed in isolation from the potential wider network that may develop

    around it. Although we have designed and appraised the railway as it would operate on Day One 8,

    we are mindful of the likelihood that HS2 would form the rst stage of a widespread programme of

    high speed line construction. As we explain in Chapter 6, there appears to be a positive case for the

    extension of HS2 beyond the West Midlands and, as a result, we have sought to create a model forhigh speed rail and design of HS2 that is compatible with future stages on the presumption that

    this becomes a stated aspiration.

    2.1.4 HS2 itself could be operational in around 16 years. Our

    modelling suggests that, by then, background growth in

    demand for travel, coupled with the additional passenger

    ows generated by high speed rail, would result in HS2s

    initial capacity being fully employed serving the West Midlands

    and other destinations further along the WCML. Furthermore, as we explain later in the report, a

    longer term network serving cities east and west of the Pennines is likely to rely on HS2 as its

    central trunk into London. Again, we expect a longer term network to make full use of HS2s

    available train paths.

    2.1.5 Given also the considerable capital costs of providing a high speed line, there is therefore a premium

    on ensuring that the capacity of HS2 is exploited for maximum benet. Many of the principles which

    follow are predicated on this fundamental proposition.

    High speed capacityshould be exploitedor maximum beneft.

    8 We use Day One throughout the report to refer to the rst day of operations on HS2, when the line will connect back onto the West Coast Main Line, as distinctfrom the longer term network of which HS2 would be a component part.

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    2.1.6 High speed lines should be principally for long distancetrips connecting major cities and in particular city centres,

    rather than serving commuter towns or other smaller

    intermediate population centres.

    2.1.7 City centres offer the densely populated markets to which high capacity, high speed lines are well

    suited, with ready access to business destinations. They also provide the hubs for local transport

    networks. High speed rail works best when it focuses on serving those markets directly. This has

    been the experience in France, where high speed rail has contributed to thriving growth in cities

    such as Lille and Lyon, but failed to succeed at smaller regional stations such as Haute Picardie.

    By running city to city, the maximum benet can be offered to the most people. The economics ofhigh speed rail are also dependent on an ability to offset the high costs of construction against the

    revenues and associated benets from running full trains. This can be only be achieved by non-stop

    connections between large markets.

    2.1.8 There are other strong reasons for focussing on longer distance trips and avoiding intermediate

    stations between cities where possible which we expand upon later in the report. Stopping trains can

    cut across the paths of faster non-stop trains behind it, so reducing the lines capacity. Intermediate

    stops also have an impact on the journey times of longer distance passengers. As Figure 2.1a below

    illustrates, stopping even the most modern high speed trains can impose a time penalty of at least 5

    minutes to through passengers. In this scenario, the train (modelled on a HS2 reference train) takes

    91minutes to stop (for two minutes) and regain top speed. In this time, the train travels just over

    25.3 km a distance that would have been covered in 41minutes at a constant 330kph.

    HS2 should be usedprimarily or longdistance trips.

    00:00:00

    00:02:00

    00:04:00

    00:06:00

    00:08:00

    00:10:00

    00:12:00

    Speed(

    kph)

    350

    300

    250

    200

    150

    100

    50

    0

    Effects of stopping a high speed train at max speed

    Figure 2.1a Effects of stopping a high speed train (Based on HS2 Reference Train)

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    Chapter 2: Our Approach

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    2.1.9 The penalties for stopping become less severe on the approaches to cities, where train speedstend to have already reduced. Where a portion of the city market can also be effectively served

    by parkway or interchange stations in the outskirts there may well be a case for such stations,

    especially where other transport connections can also be made for example with airports or urban

    transport systems.

    2.1.10 To achieve the best journey times, clearly the ideal situation

    for a high speed line is for the trains to be able to run at as

    high-a-speed as possible for as long as possible, thereby

    exploiting the full potential of the technology. A high speed

    network in the Britain would supplement the comprehensivenetwork that already exists, on which slower trains including freight services could continue to

    run. As a result, a high speed line can instead be used exclusively by high speed trains.

    2.1.11 This is important not only because of the greater benets of faster journeys, but also because of

    the impact of slower trains on the lines overall capacity. Figure 2.1b below gives an example from

    the TGV Atlantique route in France, illustrating how mixing different train speeds prevents high

    frequency services from following closely behind each other. The slower train (in red) cuts across

    six paths of the faster train - in other words, running a single train at 200 kph consumes the same

    capacity as running six successive TGVs at 300 kph.

    HS2 should be usedexclusively by highspeed trains.

    Paris - Montparnasse

    Conventional Train at 200kph (80mins)

    TGV High Speed Train at 300kph (53mins)

    Tours - Montlouis 53 mins Source: UIC

    Figure 2.1b Effects of a slower train on high speed line capacity

    (Source: UIC)

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    2.1.12 In the example above the full capacity of the line can only be exploited when the high speed trainsare closely ighted together, each following the preceding train at the same speed with the

    minimum headway. Where possible this is the model we have sought to employ on the HS2 route

    between London and the West Midlands, since the effect of a non-high speed train (notionally one

    capable of speeds up to 230kph) would be to consume at least four high speed paths. With an even

    interval service this would effectively reduce HS2 capacity from 14 trains per hour to just three

    high speed and three conventional trains per hour, eliminating many of the benets of the Day One

    service.

    2.1.13 Adopting this principle has other implications for the design and specication of HS2, particularly

    where differences in service patterns occur and/or trains leave the high speed network. For examplewhere a train may need to slow down to call at an intermediate station, a deceleration lane would be

    needed in order to limit the impact on following services. Even then there is likely to be some impact

    on the capacity of the line.

    2.1.14 If a future network was to include lightly used stretches of route, there might be value in adopting

    the German model of mixed use in order to gain maximum benet from the line.

    2.1.15 Although the stretch of high speed line between London

    and the West Midlands would carry only high speed services, it

    must be integrated with the wider nationalrail network on Day One if it is to achieve the widespread

    benets that are possible. Running solely a segregated

    shuttle service between London and the West Midlands would not generate sufcient benets to

    justify the costs - there is not the scale of demand for journeys between these two places alone.

    Instead trains should be able to continue off the high speed line and on to the classic network to

    destinations beyond the West Midlands, following the French and German model. This would allow

    the benets of high speed to be spread further aeld and the capacity of the line to be fully exploited.

    2.1.16 Under this model, most long-distance

    passenger services which have hitherto run

    on the WCML to and from destinations

    north of Birmingham would transfer onto

    the high speed line, freeing up paths on the

    existing network for additional shorter

    distance passenger services and freight.

    2.1.17 This is a model of high speed rail which may

    continue even if, over time, HS2 is expanded

    to become part of a much wider national

    network. Even under those conditions the

    ability to run on to the classic network may

    be valuable in connecting some cities to the

    HS2 should beconnected to the

    classic rail network...

    HS2

    Birmingham

    London

    To other

    destinations

    North

    WCML

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    Chapter 2: Our Approach

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    high speed line, especially where the level of demand from those places does not justify the expenseof a wholly new high speed connection. This is similar to the French model, where for example a

    TGV is able to run off the central high speed line to serve places such as Dijon and St Etienne.

    2.1.18 However, integration with the classic network comes at a price.

    Reliability is poorer on the classic lines and some of this

    performance risk is imported onto the high speed line, with a

    resultant loss of train paths in the planned timetable. The very high

    frequency service and exceptional performance level which

    characterise the Japanese Shinkansen network both depend on an ability to exclude risks from

    elsewhere. A further cost is the classic-compatible train eet. The bespoke design makes thesetrains more expensive than the off-the-shelf, dedicated train which runs solely on a segregated

    network and which is in generic use on high speed lines in Europe.

    2.1.19 Therefore as a British high speed network grows, the aim should be to increase the level of

    segregation as much as possible, commensurate with the requirement to serve locations which are

    not part of the core network.

    2.1.20 Inter city journeys do not, of course, exist in isolation

    people are trying to get to their homes, businesses and

    friends. These journeys invariably rely on the local transportnetworks to deliver them to a nal destination. Building a

    brand new network presents an opportunity to tailor its

    design to enable efcient links with these networks through effective interchanges, for example with

    the use of modern people-mover systems, and to create station spaces which aid the free-ow of

    large numbers of people.

    Summary and key recommendations

    2.1.21 We have identied the basic cornerstones which we recommend as a model for high speed

    rail in Britain:

    Exploiting maximum benet from high speed capacity.

    Long distance, city-to-city journeys.

    High speed trains only.

    Integration with the classic network to spread the benets more widely.

    Greater segregation over time.

    Integration with other networks.

    2.1.22This is a model for Day One operation between London and the West Midlands, which also has aneye to the future development of a national network of high speed lines.

    ... but over time,become moresegregated.

    HSR must be wellintegrated with othertransport networks.

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    2.2 Establishing the case our approach2.2.1 The rst sections of the report have described the objectives for HS2; the remit of HS2 Ltd; the

    context in which that remit has been set; and the basic model for high speed rail in Britain with

    which we have been working during 2009. This section sets out in more detail how we have

    approached the task before us: to establish and examine the case for a new line, and to develop

    buildable proposals for its design and construction.

    Programme o work

    2.2.2 Figure 2.2a below sets out the way in which we have structured the year, charting the development

    of the project from the initial brief and remit, agreed with DfT at the beginning of March, to the nal

    report submission at the end of the December. Our approach throughout the year has been to run

    option development and appraisal as almost concurrent workstreams, using the emerging appraisal

    results to rene and sift our options, with a greater degree of detail applied at each stage of the

    process.

    2009

    End of April

    DEFINE

    Prepare Project Plan

    Review previousmaterial

    Confirm requirements

    Define approach

    Resourcing

    Initial view onimplications of longer

    term options

    Identify long list ofoptions and narrowdown

    Develop, review,shortlist, refine

    options

    Test and assessoptions

    Options for released capacity

    Business case development

    Finalise Options

    EnvironmentalAssessment

    Finalise businesscase

    Finaliseimplementation

    plans

    Prepare final report

    Reportapprovals and

    production

    Deliver by31/12/09

    REFINE ASSESS FINALISE DELIVER

    End of June

    External Challenge (technical, analytical, strategic)

    End of Sept End of Nov

    Figure 2.2a Programme of work during 2009

    2.2.3 In developing and testing options throughout the year, we have sought to arrive at a preferred

    overall scheme and then to appraise the standalone business case for building a new high speed

    line between London and the West Midlands. This has addressed the lines value for money, deliveryprospects and the appropriate environmental and sustainability considerations.

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    2.2.4 We have undertaken the work to a demanding timetable. Inevitably this has limited our abilityto conduct wholly new research or, for example, to design bespoke demand modelling tools

    from scratch. However we have been able to adapt and build upon work that already exists and

    nonetheless conduct a substantial amount of new analysis.

    Establishing the case

    2.2.5 HS2 Ltd was established to provide Government with advice on which it could base important

    decisions about the future of the UKs national infrastructure. We have accordingly developed our

    plans and the assessment of the lines business case to a sufcient level of detail to enable durable

    and condent decision making.

    2.2.6 Where it has been necessary to make assumptions and dene scenarios, we have adopted a

    conservative approach so that options are not presented in an unduly favourable light.

    2.2.7 The case for high speed rail rests in part on its relativemerits when compared against other options

    for achieving similar goals. Therefore, as an alternative, we have examined the case for building a new

    line to alleviate congestion, but at conventional speeds. This examination has been conducted on a

    more hypothetical basis. There may be other options for increasing capacity and lowering journey times

    on the London West Midlands corridor. The assessment of these alternatives for example further

    upgrades to the existing railway or intervention on the road network has been taken forward by DfT,

    with whom we have shared assumptions and analysis so as to create a consistent basis for comparison.It will be for DfT to consider the relative merits of the various options open to Government.

    2.2.8 The balance of objectives for a wider, national network of high speed lines beyond the West Midlands

    may vary from that for HS2. Over the longer term, the focus may come to fall less on the increase of

    capacity and correspondingly more on shortening journey times, creating modal shift and boosting

    productivity. For this reason allied to the fact that we have not been asked to produce specic

    proposals for a wider network we have not sought to analyse the possible alternatives to a wider

    network of high speed lines. Such consideration may be necessary as part of any more detailed work

    on plans for going beyond the West Midlands.

    External input and challenge

    2.2.9 We have sought to ensure a proper process of quality assurance is in place to validate our approach

    and results. This has been particularly important given the UKs relative inexperience in appraising

    and delivering domestic high speed rail projects although we have been able to draw on the UKs

    growing experience in the delivery of other major projects.

    2.2.10 We set up three external challenge groups to provide independent expert scrutiny on different

    elements of our work. There is no intention that any of the three groups should be seen as

    accountable for the conclusions that, ultimately, we alone have reached. However, their advice has

    been invaluable as we formulated our approach and ndings. The membership and remit of eachgroup is set out below.

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    Strategic Challenge Group

    Focused on offering an overallview and sense check of theprogramme as a whole andon providing an independentperspective on our overallapproach.

    Kate Barker CBEMonetary Policy CommitteeMember, Bank of England

    Pro. David BeggChair of the Northern WayTransport Compact

    Richard Brown CBEChief Executive,Eurostar UK Ltd

    Tony CollinsChief Executive,Virgin Trains

    Iain Coucher

    Chief Executive,Network Rail

    Stephen Joseph OBEExecutive Director,Campaign for Better Transport

    David LeederVice Chair,Commission for IntegratedTransport

    Sir Michael Lyons

    Chairman of the BBC Trust

    Sir Roy McNultyChairman,Advantage West Midlands(from Sept 09)

    Anthony SmithChief Executive,Passenger Focus

    Tony TraversDirector,

    Greater London Group, LSE

    Technical Challenge Group

    Focused largely on peer reviewand challenge of the engineeringand environmental specicationsand assumptions, including costsand mitigation.

    Ted AllettFormerly Planning Director ofUnion Railways

    Keith BerrymanEngineering Advisor, Crossrail

    Clive Burrows FREngDirector of Engineering,First Group

    Pro Andy CollopHead of Civil Engineering,Nottingham University

    Alan DykeFormer Chief Engineer and MD,

    Channel Tunnel Rail Link Project(HS1), now an IndependentConsultant

    Pro Robert MairCBE FREng FRSCambridge University

    Hugh Norrie OBE FREngGovernments Agent for ChannelTunnel Rail Link

    Pro Roderick Smith FREng

    Chair, Future Rail Studiesat Imperial College and VicePresident of the IMechE

    Analytical Challenge Group

    Focused on the appraisal andmodelling of options, scrutinisingthe relevant evidence base, aswell as providing technical adviceon key methodologies.

    Pro. Robert CochraneTransport planner and visitingProfessor,

    Imperial College LondonPro. Stephen Glaister CBEDirector,Royal Automobile ClubFoundation and Professor ofTransport and Infrastructure,Imperial College London

    Pro. Peter MackieResearch Professor,Institute for Transport Studies,Leeds University

    Pro. Henry OvermanDirector, Spatial EconomicsResearch Centre, LSE

    Dr. David SimmondsDirector, David SimmondsConsultancy Ltd

    Pro. Roger VickermanDirector,Centre for European, Regionaland Transport Economics,

    University of Kent

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    2.2.11 We also established an Appraisal of Sustainability Reference Group, comprising relevantGovernment Departments and other (eventual) statutory consultees, and throughout the year

    convened several ad hoc groups to seek views and validate our approach to specic issues, namely:

    Project Funding and Delivery, Climate Change and Noise. We intend also to subject the consultation

    strategy to peer review.

    2.2.12 On a more regular basis our work particularly on the consideration of geographic options has

    been informed and guided by location-specic working groups, comprising representatives of

    relevant organisations whose regional knowledge and experience has been an important input

    to the option sifting and, ultimately, selection process. The specic terms of reference for each

    group have varied according to membership and subject, but broadly speaking the working groupspurpose has been to: collate and review existing data and analysis; identify gaps in that information

    and make recommendations as to how they should be lled; identify key issues relating to the

    existing proximate transport networks, in particular capability/congestion and the investment

    required; identify and oversee resolution of local development issues, where appropriate; consider

    environmental implications of proposals; and assist with the initial sifting of options and nal

    shortlisting. In addition to representatives of HS2 the group membership was as follows:

    London Terminals HeathrowInterchange

    West Midlands Line o Route

    CrossrailNetwork Rail

    TfL

    BAACrossrail

    Network Rail

    TfL

    Advantage West MidlandsBirmingham City Council

    Centro

    Highways Agency

    Network Rail

    Internal to HS2

    2.2.13 The working group to consider line of route options was limited to HS2 and our advisers, in view of

    the particularly sensitive nature of the discussions. However, we held condential discussions with

    individual or small groups of county and local planning authorities about relevant specic options

    and these informed the working groups deliberations.

    2.2.14 In addition to the groups above, we held a series of discussions with rolling stock manufacturers andoperators, as well as relevant local authorities, on the proposed maintenance and stabling strategy,

    including depot locations.

    2.2.15 We have also held regular discussions with Arup in their capacity as promoters of a scheme to

    create a multi modal interchange station, including high speed rail, in the Heathrow area. This

    scheme pre-dates HS2 Ltd. In recognition of the potential conict of interest arising from Arups

    separate roles as consultant to HS2 Ltd and promoter of their interchange scheme, a number of

    assurances were secured from Arup, as a condition of their appointment, on the separation of

    their own proposal for Heathrow and HS2 work. These assurances included the establishment of

    a completely independent team for the HS2 work.

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    Wider stakeholders2.2.16 Our approach to consultation with stakeholders has been guided by the need to be as open and

    inclusive as possible, in order to maximise the value of others input and ensure that our ideas and

    ndings are well tested. As well as external challenge and location-specic working groups, we had

    meetings with a very wide range of stakeholders. These included (on a more formal basis) specic

    London, West Midlands, North of England, Scotland and Industry stakeholder groups. In addition

    to the established groups, we have also held a number of ad hoc meetings with other interested

    parties, for example London (Heathrow) Airlines Consultative Committee (LACC), the Ofce of Rail

    Regulation, the Association of Train Operating Companies, Manchester City Council, the Chilterns

    Conservation Board and the National Trust.

    2.2.17 Notwithstanding our open approach, throughout the year we have needed to protect certain

    information on the development of specic geographic options, so as to avoid causing unnecessary

    blight. In some cases it has been prudent to share this information on a condential basis, but

    generally we have avoided disclosing details of specic options to our wider stakeholders. A fuller

    report on our interaction with stakeholders throughout the year has been submitted alongside this

    report as part of the suite of supporting documents.

    Summary and key recommendations

    2.2.18 Our work during the course of 2009 has been guided by the need to produce robust and durableproposals and advice in which Government can have condence. To this end we have tended towards

    conservative assumptions and also investigated the case for HS2 against a classic rail alternative.

    We have also adopted an open and inclusive approach to stakeholder involvement and subjected our

    approach to rigorous and independent expert challenge.

    2.2.19 If HS2 were to progress through further stages of development, we strongly recommend that

    this external challenge process be retained, and that consultation and collaboration with key

    organisations continue, building on the structures we have established and which are described

    above.

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    2.3 Design and appraisal: specifcation and assumptionsIntroduction

    2.3.1 This section explains our more detailed assumptions and specication that we used in the design,

    development and appraisal of the options. It covers three key aspects of our approach: the Project

    Specication, comprising the main technical, operational and environmental requirements; our

    demand-led approach to ensuring that HS2 serves areas where people travel to and from; and our

    approach to achieving value for money.

    Project specifcation2.3.2 We developed a Project Specication that sets out in more detail the main technical, operational and

    environmental requirements that governed our approach to the denition and subsequent initial

    design of our options.

    2.3.3 The fundamental building blocks in section 2.1 inuence the way in which we approached our

    design. Beyond these, the main driving factors in the design of HS2 were:

    Providing a safe and secure network for passengers, those who operate and maintain it and third

    parties who may otherwise come into contact with it.

    Ensuring compliance with the EU Directive and Specications for Interoperability to benet fromstandard, proven, competitively sourced high speed rail equipment, systems and trains.

    Providing internationally recognised levels of availability, reliability and speed

    with capacity maximised to allow as many as possible to benet.

    Ensuring that high speed trains can run onto the classic network.

    Harnessing the principles of sustainable development, where possible avoiding or otherwise

    minimising, and then mitigating, environmental impacts. We focus in particular on the effects of

    effects of tunnelling.

    A safe and secure network2.3.4 Firstly, and most importantly, we have sought to design a secure high speed rail system to protect

    passengers, those who operate and maintain it and those who may otherwise come into contact with it.

    Measures to protect high speed trains from risk or disruption through interference and trespass have

    been based on the experience gained in operation of HS1. By designing generally to internationally

    accepted practice and established European specications, albeit modied where necessary to control

    UK-specic risks, HS2 is expected to match the exemplary safety record of other high speed lines.

    This is a high standard - the Shinkansen in Japan have not seen a single fatal incident since operation

    rst commenced in 1964.

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    2.3.5 The valuable lessons learnt from these experiences have been incorporated in recent Europeanregulations for the safety of high speed services (the Technical Specications for Interoperability

    - TSIs). These have taken precedence in our design criteria. The primary aim is to prevent risks

    materialising in the rst place where reasonably practical and then ensuring that any residual

    effects are as limited as possible. Those services that run on to the classic line will also benet

    from new classic-compatible trains. Listed below is a selection of the key safety aspects of both new

    infrastructure and new rolling stock:

    No level crossings so as to avoid derailments and improve safety for pedestrians and vehicle

    trafc.

    Use of European standard train control systems which incorporate full automatic train protection(European Rail Trafc Management System - ERTMS).

    Specic structure specications such as the use of grade separated junctions to eliminate the

    risk of collision through conicting train movements.

    Appropriate fencing alongside the railway to prevent people and vehicles gaining access to the

    infrastructure, including active monitoring systems.

    Separation of maintenance activity from train operations, and the automation of inspection and

    mechanisation of maintenance activities as far as possible.

    2.3.6 We have also considered the potential impact of a changing climate. We expect that HS2 would beengineered to withstand extreme weather events and this will be achieved by detailed work in the

    subsequent design stages.

    Ensuring Interoperability

    2.3.7 Our specication complies fully with the EU Technical Specications for Interoperability. There are a

    number of reasons why we have followed this approach:

    The specications are based on, and in turn have promoted, standard and proven technology,

    providing condence that the components and systems will achieve the levels of security and

    reliability required.

    The international high speed rail supply industry provides for competitive sourcing of these

    standard components and systems, minimising the need to develop one-off British solutions

    wherever possible.

    Through benetting from such standard components and systems the cost, time and uncertainty

    of undertaking UK specic testing evaluation and safety approval will be avoided.

    The TSIs maximise the potential for cross European services by establishing common technical

    standards for new railway infrastructure and trains. If an HS1 to HS2 link was constructed it

    would allow trains from other countries to run through the Channel Tunnel and onto our network

    and vice versa.

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    The specications are built on the expectation of the future growth in rail demand. Adopting themallows us to future-proof HS2 by providing an affordable means of further upgrading to benet

    from continuing international advances. This will be particularly important in maximising the

    future capacity of HS2 if it becomes the basis of a longer term network.

    The TSIs, brought into legal force through the Interoperability Directive, have been adopted by UK

    Government.

    2.3.8 Following consultation with industry, the DfT has adopted an approach of progressively upgrading

    the classic network over time and building new lines (of which HS2 is one) in accordance with the

    TSIs. Full adoption is subject to the cost not being disproportionate to the benet achieved; the TSIs

    allow for use of certain parameters, known as British Specic Cases, where full application ofthe European norms cannot be achieved without incurring costs disproportionate to the benets

    realised. Such parameters include platform height, platform length, stabling track length, structure

    gauge and the distance between track centres. These are all particularly relevant to the migration of

    the existing classic rail network. In developing the new HS2 options we have not found that adopting

    the TSIs fully would introduce costs disproportionate to the benets achievable by this project.

    2.3.9 The design of HS1 preceded the introduction of many of the EU high speed TSI requirements. It was,

    however, designed to established French high speed practice and standards which were a major

    source of evidence in drafting the TSIs. So, in respect of principal parameters such as train size and

    platforms and route horizontal and vertical geometry, HS1 permits the access of trains from otherEuropean high speed networks.

    Available, reliable and fast journeys

    2.3.10 High speed trains require certain infrastructure criteria to be met in order to achieve and maintain

    their maximum speeds:

    High speeds can only be achieved on relatively straight routes. We have designed to vertical and

    horizontal geometry values derived from the requirements in the TSIs appropriate to the ultimate

    maximum speed required at any location on the HS2 route.

    We designed the infrastructure to accommodate an ultimate maximum speed of 400kph onroute sections where train performance (through acceleration and braking) or other factors

    such as environmental impact could permit. We have been assisted by members of the

    train manufacturing industry in modelling the attainable speeds, acceleration and braking

    performance and energy consumption of a Reference Train for our Day One service. This

    Reference Train is based on the performance in tests of trains currently being manufactured for

    introduction on the European high speed network with a maximum speed of 360kph. In order to

    calculate journey times we have adopted standard European high speed practice of assuming a

    service speed of 90% of the maximum for any route section in order to secure on-time reliability

    whilst making allowance for minor day to day perturbation.

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    Achieving an appropriate speed is about striking the right balance between maximising the useof the line and the environmental effects. For example, where the line approaches city centres we

    recognised the need to follow existing transport corridors to minimise disruption and the need to

    travel at speeds appropriate to the area. Also there are practical limits for speeds through long

    tunnels due to aerodynamic resistance and the additional energy required to overcome it.

    We have designed to a maximum gradient of 2.5% (1 in 40) at which the Reference Train could

    still maintain maximum speed. This was also the value adopted during the design of HS1. We

    have however used up to the maximum gure of 3.5% (1 in 28.5) allowed by the TSIs in some of

    the options for access to Heathrow, and approaching Birmingham, where speeds would be lower

    than those on the HS2 main line.

    Infrastructure maintenance would only be carried out on tracks closed to rail trafc. The route

    would be congured to permit closure of one track whilst the adjacent track remains open

    for trafc at sufcient (reduced) speed to maintain published journey times. Normal planned

    inspection maintenance and renewal would be carried out in the closed periods overnight

    between midnight and 5am Monday to Saturday (and until 8am on Sunday).

    Maximising capacity

    2.3.11 In order to assess the initial and potential ultimate capacity of HS2 we have used the modelled

    performance of the Reference Train in conjunction with the current reported functionality of

    ERTMS. With the assistance of British and European train control experts in the railway and railsupply sectors, we have also assessed the likely development trajectory of ERTMS over the period

    to the possible opening of HS2 and beyond. This work has informed our decision to base the

    modelled initial capacity, conservatively, upon existing ERTMS Level 2 capability and make prudent

    assumptions about the ultimate capacity at a time a longer term network could be brought into use.

    From this activity we have developed an operational availability and capacity specication, the main

    elements of which include:

    A seven day availability for full service operation on all sections of HS2 from 5am to midnight

    (except on Sundays where an 8am start is assumed).

    Maximum initial utilisation of the line on Day One of up to 14 trains per hour during peak periods,

    with a typical utilisation of 10 trains per hour at quieter times. In the longer term, if more cities

    were to be served by dedicated new lines and a high degree of segregation from the classic rail

    network was achieved, then the capacity of the line could be increased to 18 trains per hour. This

    would also depend upon improvements in rolling stock and signalling technology.

    Platforms would be capable of accepting up to two 200m-long trains, either separately or joined

    together to run in multiple. For demand modelling purposes, the assumed seating capacity was

    550 per 200m set, giving a maximum 400m-long (two-train) capacity of 1,100 seats.

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    Standard European TSI compliant GC structure gauge as illustrated in Figure 2.3a.This species the minimum clearance outline for structures such as tunnels, bridge heights

    and the interaction with the platform height. The GC structure gauge would allow European

    interoperable double deck trains to run on this network if future demand required them.

    The actual structure gauge is greater in tunnels where the cross-sectional area is dictated

    by aerodynamic effects on air pressure and resistance.

    GC(HS2 and HS1)

    UK1: (Existinginfrastructure in

    the UK)

    Typical BRplatform

    3965mm

    4650mm

    Figure 2.3a Structure gauge comparison

    Ensuring high speed trains can run onto the classic network

    2.3.12 To make effective use of capacity from Day One, in advance of any wider network, it would be

    necessary to run some services beyond the new high speed line on to the existing WCML. Standard

    European gauge high speed trains cannot simply run onto existing classic lines, because they

    are taller and wider, and are designed for a lower platform height, as illustrated in Figure 2.3a.

    Moreover, stations on the classic network cannot accommodate two 200m trains connected together

    and running in multiple.

    2.3.13 Through running onto the classic network could be achieved in two ways. First there could be a

    mixed eet of trains. One set would be standard off-the-shelf trains dedicated to the new high

    speed line and a second set would be specially designed, smaller, classic-compatible trains

    capable of running at high speed on the new line and then travelling at conventional speeds on the

    classic network. This was the approach adopted for the design of Eurostar trains to allow operation

    partially on the classic network prior to the opening of HS1.

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    2.3.14 A second approach would be to gauge clear classic lines to particular destinations. Thiswould require alterations to stations, bridges, tunnels and track spacing for sufcient tracks to

    accommodate standard high speed trains as well as classic ones. Where station platforms are

    altered to accommodate the HS2 trains, they could not also be used by existing UK trains because

    of the changed platform height and stepping distances. The degree of work required in the vicinity

    of stations would be considerable, with bypass lines being required at some locations. Ideally the

    capability to accommodate 400m long trains would also be created to operate such services to

    destinations where demand justied them.

    2.3.15 Of the two options, we consider that adopting a specially designed classic-compatible train

    (although, in itself, relatively expensive) would be the more cost effective. However, further work isneeded to identify whether there are classic routes or route sections where gauge clearance might

    be more economic, especially if a longer term network is created.

    2.3.16 Curves on the WCML in a number of route sections are sufciently severe to restrict speeds of

    classic trains, so Pendolino tilting trains have been introduced to improve journey times. The latest

    Japanese Shinkansen train has a system whereby the suspension provides 1 degree of inclination

    to improve passenger comfort, allowing the trains to take 250kph curves at 270kph on dedicated

    high speed line. There are currently no high speed trains in service which tilt by rotating the actual

    vehicle body in the way conventional speed trains such as Pendolinos do to allow higher speeds

    around sharp curves on existing railway lines. After discussion with train manufacturers and rolling

    stock experts, we have assumed that such trains would not be designed especially for our high

    speed classic-compatible eet. We have compared the effect of operating classic-compatible high

    speed trains over the WCML in place of Pendolinos. The assessment concluded that, given the

    installed power and performance of a high speed classic-compatible train and the extent of WCML

    route which would not be limited on speed due to curvature, the time lost north of HS2 on Day One

    in comparison to conventional tilting trains would be small. Classic-compatible trains would, of

    course, save signicant journey time on HS2 itself.

    2.3.17 A further approach that has been suggested, pending the construction of a wider network, was to

    create an interchange station at the northern end of HS2 and avoid through running by requiring

    all passengers to change (cross platform) from high speed trains to classic ones for their onward

    journeys and vice versa. This has not been examined in any detail as the time and inconvenience

    would negate the benets of the high speed portion of the journey.

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    Designing a sustainable service2.3.18 The four sustainability priorities listed below have underpinned our approach to both designing and

    assessing the options and then ultimately deciding which should be recommended as our preferred

    choices. We also used these to frame our assessment of the preferred package to demonstrate the

    overall sustainability impact of the new line. The four priorities as set out in the 2005 UK sustainable

    development strategy Securing the Future are:

    Reducing greenhouse gas emissions and combating climate change.

    Natural resource protection and environmental enhancement (adapted by us to include the

    cultural as well as natural environment).

    Creating sustainable communities.

    Sustainable consumption and production.

    2.3.19 In following the four priorities in the design of the infrastructure, we have sought where possible to

    Avoid or, where this is not practicable, to mitigate direct or indirect harm to landscape, water and

    ecological resources and to maximise opportunities to enhance such features where possible.

    Avoid or, where this is not practicable, to mitigate direct or indirect harm to historic cultural

    resources and to maximise opportunities to enhance such features where possible.

    Avoid or ensure appropriate mitigation of any new noise, vibrations or localised air pollutioncaused by HS2.

    Use, where practicable, land with planning designations appropriate to the development for high

    speed rail and its infrastructure.

    Minimise land take and avoid demolitions of

    properties where possible, particularly residential

    properties.

    Maintain the health and amenity of residential

    communities potentially affected by the scheme,

    including where practicable the maintenance of

    access to services and shops.

    Ensure no net loss of ood storage capacity.

    Minimise waste production.

    2.3.20 The Appraisal of Sustainability examines in depth the

    impact of the preferred scheme on the four sustainability

    priorities and how well our design meets the criteria

    above. As more detailed design is progressed we

    would expect, and have made provision in our costestimates for, the development of visual solutions for

    Measures used to helpmitigate the impacts o HS2

    To limit noise in surface sections we

    used the following measures:

    Lowering vertical alignments to put

    track in cutting.

    Noise barriers to limit noise in

    surface route sections.

    Bunding (low embankments)

    running parallel to the track.

    To limit ground borne noise in both

    surface and tunnel sections we used

    the following measures:

    Resilient track support systems.

    Embedded track systems.

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    HS2 infrastructure elements such as bridges, tunnel portals and overhead power line supportingstructures to blend them into existing built and natural landscapes. Tunnels are often presented as

    the best way to minimise the impact of new routes. We therefore focus on their effects in particular

    below. Chapter 4 explains in more detail the schemes impact on greenhouse gas emissions and the

    implications for design.

    2.3.21 We have sought where possible to follow best practice guidance when carrying out our sustainability

    assessments. We consulted the relevant statutory bodies, including the Environment Agency,

    Natural England and English Heritage on our approach and emerging conclusions. We have sought

    to apply the principles of Strategic Environmental Assessment, so that the work we have undertaken

    will be transferable to any subsequent stages of appraisal required for scheme approval.

    The effects of tunnelling

    2.3.22 When approaching the design of the route, we considered the use of tunnels to avoid environmental

    impacts, primarily impacts on landscape and major property demolitions. Where necessary, we also

    considered tunnels for topographical reasons. There are two types of tunnel that we considered:

    Twin bore, single track tunnels with

    cross passages at regular intervals to

    allow evacuation from one tunnel to

    the other in the event of an incident

    (as per Figure 2.3b).

    Single bore, twin track tunnels for

    shorter tunnels.

    2.3.23 Both types of tunnel would accommodate

    the GC gauge trains. The aim for the

    new line would be to allow speeds of

    400kph where practicable. However,

    we acknowledge that the design for

    such speeds in tunnels would be very

    expensive as much larger tunnels would

    be required. Therefore we designed the

    tunnels for HS2 to allow up to 320kph

    and in some cases 400kph. Tunnels

    cost about 5-6 times more per km than

    building through open countryside.

    2.3.24 Safety regulations, aerodynamics and ventilation are the key drivers in deciding the size and

    space requirements within the tunnels. Long tunnels, greater than 2km, require cross-passages

    and intervention shafts, providing emergency exits, ventilation or access for emergency services.

    From an aerodynamic point of view natural ventilation is required to relieve pressure in thetunnel and avoid passenger discomfort or excessive noise when a train emerges from the tunnel.

    xx xxxx xxxx

    xxx xxxx x

    xx xxxx xx

    xxxx x

    xx

    xxx

    x xxxx

    xxxx x

    xxx xx

    xxxxxxxxxxx

    xxxxxxxx

    xxxx

    x

    xxxx

    xxxxx

    xxxxxx

    xxxxx

    xxxxx

    xxxxx

    Door to outsideat Surface Level

    Interventionshaft

    Cross-passagelinking tunnels

    Non-Incidenttunnel

    Direction ofPassengerEvacuation Incident tunnel

    Figure 2.3b Section view of a twin bore tunnel

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    The intervention shafts could be required every 2km in long tunnels and could be up to 20m indiameter at the surface. Two different tunnelling techniques would be used on HS2 -

    Tunnel Boring Machine (TBM). A standard tunnel construction method, a TBM can be used

    through most types of ground conditions. Once launched from a shaft or cutting, they remain

    below ground and so avoid many of the environmental issues that affect surface works. Ground

    settlement on the surface can also be limited to small amounts. For longer tunnel lengths

    intermediate construction shafts may be necessary.

    Sprayed Concrete Lining (SCL). The prevalent ground conditions on the HS2 route would mean

    that excavations could be used for this technique. Instead of drills, progress is made through

    excavating short sections before putting in support for the roof.

    2.3.25 Using the TBM method, precast concrete segments are manufactured outside the tunnel and

    installed behind the machine whereas in the SCL method the lining is created in-situ. Both

    construction methods require a signicant amount of building materials and there is a huge amount

    of spoil produced with a sizeable logistics effort required to remove it.

    2.3.26 The construction of the tunnels may cause some ground movement and therefore the potential

    degree and impact of any settlement must be understood when designing the route and choosing

    the tunnelling methodology. Mitigation measures to minimise the impact of tunnelling on surface

    buildings and utilities include: reinforcing the ground by injecting grout; moving and then reinstating

    the structures post construction of the tunnel; and providing additional support for building

    foundations.

    2.3.27 During operation of the railway, property on the surface may experience ground-borne noise, a

    rumbling sound created by trains passing through the tunnels underneath. The noise levels heard

    in a property would depend on their proximity to the tunnel and the geology of the area. Mitigation

    measures can be used but add extra cost to the construction and maintenance of the tunnels.

    A demand led approach

    2.3.28 Our station designs and locations are inuenced by where people will start their journey and where

    they want to nish. Getting this right determines whether enough people will want to use the service

    to make it viable. We built on existing transport models, known as PLANET, to create a forecasting

    model to test the impact of what we proposed. The HS2 Demand and Appraisal Report explains in

    more detail our modelling approach. It combined three elements:

    An updated Long Distance Model with rail, car and air demand for journey purposes (leisure,

    business and commuting).

    Two regional models Midland and South mainly for detailed short distance local rail

    movements and high level impacts on car trafc.

    Heathrow spreadsheet model including both surface and air access to Heathrow.

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    And two stand alone models: International spreadsheet model identifying the scope of international travel from key British

    cities.

    Station Location modelling station accessibility in London and the West Midlands.

    2.3.29 Together these models provide long-range forecasts using data, behavioural assumptions and

    trafc and rail modelling parameters. We used the data to determine our preferred options and

    understand the impact of our proposals not only on travellers choices but also on train crowding,

    road congestion and emissions.

    2.3.30 In understanding the choices that people would be likely to make there are a variety of reasons whypeople would travel by high speed rail rather than road, air or classic rail:

    A faster journey time.

    A more reliable journey.

    Higher quality trains.

    Convenience of overall door-to-door journeys.

    2.3.31 The rst two are easier to measure and are included in the modelling results, with reliability or

    punctuality modelled as an adjusted journey time (one minute improvement in average minutes

    lateness is equivalent to an improvement of three minutes journey time). The third assumes some

    further inherent attractiveness of high speed services over classic rail. Given the limited evidence to

    support an exact measurement of this, we have taken a conservative approach and not treated high

    speed rail as a different mode. It is possible therefore that there would be additional demand and

    further benets associated with high speed rail that we have not captured.

    2.3.32 In considering the demand for high speed rail services, we recognised that it would be but one

    part of a complete journey. The overall journey will have other sections involving private or public

    transport or possibly both. If high speed rail is to deliver the full benets predicted we recognised

    that the specic location and detailed design of our stations would be critical to making the

    interchange with complementary transport modes effective, convenient and attractive. We also

    recognised the likely future capabilities of local transport networks, particularly the Underground in

    central London. We reviewed regional and local strategies that map future plans, and we discussed

    our potential proposals with bodies best placed to understand future travel patterns the Highways

    Agency, Local Authorities, TfL and others - in our working groups.

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    Approach to value or money2.3.33 Achieving value for money is about getting the right balance between costs and the design aims.

    Two areas where decisions have a signicant bearing on costs are station locations and the parts

    of the route to tunnel.

    2.3.34 City centre stations and their allied approach routes are invariably more expensive to build. High

    land costs, intensive land use and the potential impact on existing property and services all

    contribute. Building at city edges substantially avoids many of these problems. However most people

    want to travel to the centre of cities to access other modes of transport, businesses and facilities.

    2.3.35 Tunnels are much more expensive than open surface routes and their construction can be

    disruptive. Nevertheless, we included them in the design where it was necessary to meet our

    sustainability aims for example where we propose to cross built up areas or particularly sensitive

    natural features and where there was a need to reduce major property demolitions or noise.

    Appraising value for money for the business case

    2.3.36 DfT has a standard approach to appraisal (WebTAG) which ensures consistency and comparability

    across transport schemes. We have appraised our proposals as far as possible, using this approach.

    Our assumptions

    We had to make some assumptions about what would happen between now and possible opening

    of the high speed line. We called this our reference case. We assumed that by the time HS2

    opens, the following would also be in place:

    Any highways, rail and local transport schemes that the Government has committed to build

    before 2015.

    Continued investment in the roads programme and London transport beyond 2015, consistent

    with the National Transport Model, which is unlikely to be affected by the building of a new high

    speed line.

    Investment in specic rail schemes beyond 2015 Thameslink, Crossrail and the IntercityExpress Programmes (now known as Superexpress), which are unlikely to be in competition

    with a new high speed line. This is consistent with DfTs Network Modelling Framework. There

    are some specic rail schemes which may directly impact on the degree of detail which we

    have not included in our reference case. These include Evergreen III, a proposed new fast

    service between London and Oxford, and Airtrack, a proposed new rail line between Heathrow

    Airport Terminal 5 and the existing rail network to the south and west, including Reading,

    Guildford and Waterloo.

    A third runway at Heathrow Airport. We also reviewed the difference which the absence of a

    third runway would make to the business case.

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    2.3.37 We have assumed a central case which uses assumptions about the methods used in future togenerate electricity and the likely growth in GDP. These forecasts are in line with the National

    Transport Model and other Government forecasts. A key assumption is the demand growth forecast.

    Growth in road and air trafc was based on the DfTs most recently published forecasts. For air, this

    involves a 178% increase in domestic aviation from 2008 to 2033, and for road this is a 43% increase

    in trips from 2008 to 2033.

    2.3.38 Growth in rail demand was calculated using the standard industry and Government recommended

    approach. This assumes that growth is driven by changes in rail fares, population and employment

    and in particular peoples propensity to make more rail trips as they become more afuent. Unlike

    for road and air forecasts, the approach for rail produces a demand forecast that grows indenitely.Therefore as a proxy for market maturity and given the long term uncertainty in the forecasting

    methodology, DfT recommends forecasting no further growth beyond 2026. Because of the longer

    term nature of HS2, we have extended this cap to 2033. This therefore amounts to a 150% increase

    in long distance rail to and from London between 2008 and 2033.

    2.3.39 Our assumption on GDP growth follows the latest Treasury forecasts. Given the uncertainties in

    forecasting rail growth, we tested different levels of growth to understand the robustness of the

    business case to different scenarios.

    Summary and key recommendations

    2.3.40 In our approach to the design and specication of HS2 we have sought to achieve a balance

    between a number of factors. We have aimed to realise the potential of high speed technology

    and maximising its benets with a demand-led approach. The design has carefully considered

    and, where possible, sought to address the impacts on landscape and on those who may live near

    the proposed route. At the same time we have striven to achieve value for money and apply the

    standards and technology proven in use around the world.

    2.3.41 We believe the proposals for HS2 that follow in the next chapter achieve an appropriate balance

    between these factors. If HS2 proceeds to further design stages we would expect that its

    performance could be further enhanced.