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Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Carsten Hedemann Senior Vice President Supply Chain Management, Vestas Controls Systems A/S

Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

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Page 1: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers

Carsten Hedemann

Senior Vice President

Supply Chain Management, Vestas Controls Systems A/S

Page 2: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

What does the market expect from Vestas

Page 3: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

Wind Energy Market Evolution: Then and Now…

Seller’s Market to Buyer’s Market:

• More competition in all markets, global competition is replacing

regional competition

• More price pressure across the industry, at all levels

• More customer demands, more conditions

• More bigger, cheaper turbines

• More complexity overall

Teknologisk Institut 25 august 20113

Page 4: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

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What the market needs Vestas to Deliver

More intelligent IT-solutions, electronics and

controllers to reduce Cost of Energy.

Robust and reliable products and processes to

reduce Cost of Energy and improve Business

Case Certainty.

Market and customer focus to understand the

implications of driving the business from wind

turbines to wind power plants and secure

Easy to Work with.

Page 5: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

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Vestas also face rough climate conditions

Temperature range

• Extremely cold

• Extremely warm

High vibration level in nacelle & tower

High humidity

Electromagnetic noise environment

Life span of electronics, app. 20 years

Page 6: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

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Robustness optimizes maintenance needs

A Vestas turbine operates app. 8760 hours* per year with only two

scheduled visits each year

* 24/7/365

A standard car drives app. 500 hours* per year and needs two scheduled visits per year

* 40,000 km at 80 km/hour

A wind turbine has to be 10 times more robust than a car!

Page 7: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

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Competition has toughened up…and will only get tougher….

Chinese low cost players dominating their home market

Ambitious Korean entrants with

extensive heavy industry experience

Advanced wind power plant

offerings

… and 20-30 others

Offshore targeted by GE, REpower and

Asian players

Page 8: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

8

But competition also comes from..

Solar

Gas Power

Nuclear Power

Coal Power

Page 9: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

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“Is Vestas doing well in the market?”

“Is Vestas really able to withstand the pressure from its HUGE competitors?”

“Is Vestas at all here to stay…?”

Page 10: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

• We have more activity this year due to last years’ strongorder intake. That is good for earnings.

• Quarterly earnings are also impacted by the nature of projects we deliver to our customers. Contrary to Q1 this year, the mix of turbines handed over to customers are the profitable ones.

• The negative free cash flow is mainly due to our investments in new platforms. We are investing in our future growth.

• Going forward, Vestas will involve our suppliers much more when entering an emerging market, meaning we will need less investments as Vestas continues to grow.

Our income and our profits have improved- but our free cash flow can still be better - Why is that?

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Page 11: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

Reducing our inventories plays an important part in improving our free cash flow.

When our products are in stock, we have spent money producing but not received the large part of the payment yet. That will not happen until the turbines are being handed over to our customers on site.

Therefore, we need to reduce inventories to set cash free, and the global initiative Vestas Make-to-Order is key in making this happen.

Make-to-Order is looking into all operational activities that are directly linked to bringing turbines on site for a customer order.

The implementation is progressing in SBUs, PBUs and Spare Parts & Repair.

Bringing down our inventories is a success- we have found new ways together

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Page 12: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

6,6%

4,5%

5,8%

2,8%

2,3%

2007 2008 2009 2010 H1 - 2011

Warranty provisions have steadily gone DOWN

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- meaning that Quality and Reliability has gone UP

Warranty provisionsper cent of revenue

Quality and

Reliability

Page 13: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

Safety First!

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Safety firstIndustrial injuries per one million working hours

25,3

20,8

15,6

8,1

5,0

3,2

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 - H1

13

but our goal remains ZERO!

Page 14: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

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Global presenceis starting to kick in……

Page 15: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

We are a strong player in the market

• The lower the Lost Production Factor, the more power – and cash flow – the customer receives.

- with 21,220 turbines demonstrating good performance in the field

• Our turbines’ stable performance – with less than 2,5% Lost Production Factor – makes us a strong player in the market.

• A solid Lost Production Factor comes from careful design, careful production and effective construction and service.

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Page 16: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

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Having been appointed

supplier to Vestas

equals competence and

quality-consciousness.

Do keep

this in mind!

Message

Page 17: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

Safety and Quality are Top priorities

Page 18: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

� between Vestas and supplier „How do WE control quality?“

� at the supplier:

„How do YOU control your quality?“

Quality Management …

… in all steps of the value chainDesign Supplier • Factory

• Spare partsOperations

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Page 19: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

VESTAS Customer base their decisions on:

Cost of Energy Q Development Quality• Price (Cost) Q Cost of poor quality• Performance to Specifications Q Product performance - LPF

Business Case Certainty• Revenue Predictability Q Product performance - LPF• Cost Predictability Q Product reliability

VESTAS Product Quality is based on:

Design to meet reliability targets• Design Margins Q: Development quality• Test to PROVE fulfillment of expectations Q: Advanced quality planning

• Validation in Prototypes

Control in Supply Chain Q Preventive Quality • Safe Launch - New Products Q Quality Assurance/Control• Series Production Q Process Improvements

Key Success Factor:Leadership

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Page 20: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

Our Customers are your Customers too!How were WE performing?

6,6%

4,5%

5,8%

2,8%2,3%

2007 2008 2009 2010 H1 - 2011

Warranty provisionper cent of revenue

Lost Production Factorper cent

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

20

< 2.5%

Root Cause 2011 • Vestas 30%• Supplier: 70%

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Page 21: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

Quality Alphabet Soup – How does it fit together?

VWtM

PPAP

VestasAudits

CTQ 2.0

Launch - > Serial Production

LPF

0-defectQBD

Less reactive

Partnership

Design Supplier FactorySpare parts

OperationsSite

Quality agreemen

t

Improve-ments QIP

CIM cost

5 sigma

Control of Quality

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Page 22: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

CTQ – “Backbone” of OUR quality journey will mature!

22

What are we working on?

VoC

Product CTQs

Design/Tech

Process CTQs

Supplier/Factory

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Today

- Learning curve - Structured approach

• Are the right CTQs selected?

• How do CTQs relate to design specifications and VoC?

• Are there too many CTQ requested?

• Which CTQs are more important?

• What are the consequences for supplier and factories?

• Transparency

- CTQs based on design characteristics and VoC

• Levels

� Critical CTQs - high severity

� Significant CTQs – medium severity, high RPN (risk)

• Defined criteria to manage CTQs at Vestas factory& supplier:

• Six sigma target?

• Process capability?

Voice of process

Voice of customer

Page 23: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

PPAP – Backbone of OUR safe launch

WHY: Ensure Vestas customer requirements are understood and met by supplier

How: Several activities to determine: • Vestas´ product requirements incl. CTQs have been understood• The process (including sub suppliers) is capable of producing conforming

product• The product will continuously meet those requirements• The control plan and the quality management system will prevent non-

conforming product reaching Vestas and its customers

WHEN:Main trigger for PPAP is Change

Change

Production Location

Material Supplier

Production Process

V112

V164

Mk, …Break In

Production

Engineering

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Page 24: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

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24

Do YOU agree with the benefits of a PPAP?

• It is about a common sense tool

• All about ensuring good product from the supply chain

• 90% of the PPAP process already exists

Critical Characteristics

Transparency

Managing

Supplier

Capable Process Documentation

CTQ

Dialog

Page 25: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

Shift in Mindset required for many suppliers

SUPPLIER

2011 supplier maturity

5% Fully Utilized

15% Comply

80% Paper Exercise

“we prevent not fix”:

• Launch Quality

• FMEA/CTQ

• PPAP

• 8D

• ….

“we improve

continuously”:

• CTQ Targets

• Quality Improvement Plans

• Six-Sigma Projects

• …

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Page 26: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

Lessons learned

26

- Aligning better during development phase

Partnership

Strategic Relationship

Relationship

Arms length / Standard Relationship

• Arm length/stand. relationship• Standard products• Commodity• 550 - 2000 suppliers

• Simple relationship• Standard or modified products • A&B-cost component • 250 - 550 suppliers

• Critical & A-cost components

� Close integration� Customized products

• Specialized, main components

� Managed integration� Joint development

TODAY +2800 suppliers

10 – 30suppliers

30 – 150suppliers

Vestas

Current Situation

Supplier

Vestas

Target Situation

Partner/Strategic Supplier

Time&

resources

Time&

resources

Teknologisk Institut 25 august 2011

Page 27: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

Summary and Expectation:

August 22., 2011

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Continue to invest in quality with us.

Page 28: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

Further Supply Chain focus

Page 29: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

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Vestas’ Supply Chain focus

• Heading towards supply chain agilityAgile Supply Chain Planning is one of two work streams of the Supply Chain Agility. The other work stream is Vestas Material Process (VMP) Launch.

• The 4 objectivesᅳ Secure component quality to 5 Sigma

ᅳ Bring down cost pr. MW

ᅳ Bring down customer lead time to 3 months

ᅳ Strengthen delivery performance

• Main project sub streamsᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness

ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes, systems & tools

ᅳ Sourcing processes, systems, tools and Product cost out

ᅳ Lead Time transparency and reduction

ᅳ Agility metrics, SCM Daily Management

Improving component quality, lead time, delivery performance & cost per MW

Common understanding

Agility meansThe ability to have the same cost,

quality, and customer

service given at every level of

demand variability.

Quality is a mustIf our supply chain senses and

responds quickly, easily, and

predictably, but with poor quality in

orders or products, it doesn’t qualify

as agile.

Page 30: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

What does this mean to you?

Page 31: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

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Principles of Attention:

• Vision: 0 injuries

• Plan your work and your actions

- think before you act

• Use things according to their function

• Everything has its own place

• No solution must be temporary

• You are responsible for your own and

your colleagues’ safety

• Safety walks performance

Safety is ALWAYS no 1: What does this mean for Suppliers?

Page 32: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

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Delivery Performance: What does this mean for Suppliers?

Global representation / regional setup

Delivery performance. 2010 target is 99%

Short lead time and initiatives to reduce lead time

MOQ reduction: equal to approximately one week production or less

Pull systems..ᅳ Short lead time with Kanban setup for direct deliveries

ᅳ Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI) where relevant

Dual Sourcing:ᅳ Reduces risk

ᅳ Increases capacity capabilities

ᅳ Enables competitionVestas

Suppl.A

Suppl.B

Page 33: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

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Cost: What does this mean for Suppliers?

Competitive value proposition (cost & innovation competitiveness)ᅳ Global Key Account Management

ᅳ Efficient communication on all levels

ᅳ Open mind looking ahead

Price transparency: cost models, index-linked pricing (sharing the risk)

Development and execution of joint total cost reduction

Ideas and challenging the value chain: out of the box ideas.

15%

3-5%

3-5%

3-5%

3-5%

Continuous improvementsContinuous improvements with Category Management

Kaizen cost

Target cost

Innovation

Target cost: Stepwise savings with Technology, Integrated

Product Development

Page 34: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

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Have high focus on safety internally as well as externally

Have a high focus on the quality in everything they do. ᅳ Zero defects must be the mindset. ᅳ The tool box is there, open up and use it!ᅳ It is all about Processes, Performance and MINDSET!

Have a global mindset and a customer oriented approach - Easy to work with !

Be proactive and bring forward your ideas and challenge the current setup

Differentiate your value proposition and focus on what your company can do e.g. in terms of reliability, speed, flexibility, service and know how

Reduce the Total Cost of Ownership for Vestas, with a high quality performance and an efficient production and logistics setup

Opportunities for Danish sub suppliers in the Global market place

Page 35: Challenges for Vestas = challenges for suppliers Hedemann...• Main project sub streams ᅳ Supply Chain Agility concepts and awareness ᅳ Forecasting, planning and transport processes,

Thank you for listening