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CEEEconomic Data
Outlook for 2008 –2009Issue 1
A P R O D U C T O F U N I C R E D I T G R O U P N E W E U R O P E R E S E A R C H N E T W O R K
UniCredit Group New Europe Research Network
ImprintPublished by UniCredit Group/Bank Austria Creditanstalt Aktiengesellschafthttp://www.unicreditgroup.euhttp://www.ba-ca.com
Edited by CEE Economics [email protected] Sinhuber, Tel. +43 (0)50505-41964
Produced by BA-CA Public Relations ([email protected]),Tel. +43 (0)50505-56141
Layout: Miriam WeigelFront page: Skibar grafik designPrinted by GutenbergClosing Date: 2nd May 2007
DisclaimerThis document (the “Document”) has been prepared by “UniCredit Group”. The Document is for information pur-poses only and is not intended as (i) an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to sell or to buy any financial instrumentand/or (ii) a professional advice in relation to any investment decision. The Document is being distributed by elec-tronic and ordinary mail to professional investors and may not be redistributed, reproduced, disclosed or pub-lished in whole or in part. Information, opinions, estimates and forecasts contained herein have been obtainedfrom or are based upon sources believed by the UniCredit Group to be reliable but no representation or warranty,express or implied, is made and no responsibility, liability and/or indemnification obligation shall be borne by theUniCredit Group vis-à-vis any recipient of the present Document and/or any third party as to the accuracy, com-pleteness and/or correctness of any information contained in the Document. The UniCredit Group is involved inseveral businesses and transactions that may relate directly or indirectly to the content of the Document.Accordingly, the UniCredit Group may hold a position or act as market maker in any financial instrument men-tioned in the Document. Information, which is not reflected in the Document, may therefore be available to per-sons connected with the UniCredit Group. The Document has been approved for distribution in UK by the Londonbranch of UniCredit Banca Mobiliare S.p.A., regulated by the FSA for the conduct of investment business in theUK. It has not been approved for distribution to or for the use of private customers, as defined by the rules of theFSA. The Document may not be distributed in USA, Canada, Japan or Australia.
Debora Revoltella UniCredit CEE Chief Economist Network Coordinator
UniCredit Group, CEE Economic ResearchCarmelina Carluzzo, Matteo Ferrazzi,Sandor Gardo, Hans Holzhacker, FabioMucci, Lisa Perrin, Bernhard Sinhuber,Gerd Stiglitz
UniCredit Bulbank, Planning and Control Division, Economic Research UnitKristofor Pavlov, Chief EconomistElena Georgieva, Katerina Topalova
Zagrebacka banka, Macroeconomic ResearchZarko Miljenovic, Chief EconomistNenad Golac
Zivnostenska Banka, Financial Markets DivisionPatrik Rozumbersky, Chief Economist
Bank Pekao, Macroeconomic Research OfficeAndrzej Bratkowski, Chief Economist
UniCredit Tiriac Bank*, Economic ResearchRozalia Pal, Senior EconomistTiberiu Nita, Senior Relationship Manager
UniCredit Bank Slovakia, Macroeconomics & Market AnalysesViliam Patoprsty, Chief AnalystLubomir Korsnak
Yapı Kredi BankasıCevdet Akcay, Chief Economist Ahmet Cimenoglu, Head, StrategicPlanning and ResearchCemal Cenk Tarhan, Suzi Apalaci,Yelda Yucel, Veyis Fertekligil
International Moscow Bank TreasuryAlexander Morozov, General ManagerSergei Kondrashov, Valery Inyushin, Sergei Alenkin
UniCredit Bank HungaryMártha Szegő Bíróné, Chief Economist
UniCredit Group Research and Strategy Andrea Brasili
* new brand from June 2007
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CONTENTS
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Bulgaria
Croatia
Czech Republic
Estonia
Hungary
Latvia
Lithuania
Poland
Romania
Russia
Serbia
Slovakia
Slovenia
Turkey
Ukraine
Eurozone
Austria
Germany
Italy
Bosna i Hercegovina
��������
Hrvatska
âeská republika
Eesti
Magyarország
Latvija
Lietuva
Polska
Romania
����
Srbija
Slovensko
Slovenija
Turkiye
� �����
Euroland
Österreich
Deutschland
Italia
Structural IndicatorsStrukturni pokazatelji
51,129
3.9
NebojÂa Radmanovic
Nikola Spiric
9.2
2,380
39.0
UNICREDIT ZAGREBANCKA BANKAKARDINALA STEPINCA B.B. BIH-88 000 MOSTARTEL. (+387 36) 312 112WWW.ZABA.BA
BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006Bruto nacionalni prozvod po privrednim sektorima 2006
HVB CENTRAL PROFIT BANKA ZELENIH BERETKI 24BIH-71000 SARAJEVOTEL. (+387 33) 222 999WWW.HVB-CPB.BA
PovrÂina (km2)
StanovniÂtvo (u milionima)
Predsjednik
Premijer
BDP (za 2006. godinu, u milijardama EUR)
BDP po glavi stanovnika (BDP za 2006. godinu, u EUR)
Izvoz u % BDP-a (2006)
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
4
Agriculture and forestry Poljoprivreda i Âumarstvo 9.8
Industry Industrija 20.3
Construction Gradevinarstvo 4.2
Services Usluge 65.7
´
´
^
ˇ
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
5.5 6.2 5.7 6.0 6.3
– – – – –
10.5 11.2 10.7 10.6 10.3
3.8 7.4 2.0 3.6 3.0
44.6 43.0 42.5 41.0 40.3
2,087 2,687 3,323 4,090 4,857
6,093 6,093 6,902 7,925 8,948
–21.3 –11.4 –16.8 –17.6 –18.3
5.2 3.7 12.1 4.7 5.4
2.6 1.6 1.1 0.4 –0.2
57.9 57.1 58.4 59.7 61.2
1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96
2.25 3.50 4.00 4.00 3.75
27.3 23.2 19.7 17.0 15.0
23.4 28.8 21.0 18.5 16.1
IndicatorsPokazatelji
BOSNA I HERCEGOVINA
Bruto domaci proizvod (realno, godiÂna stopa, u %)
Bruto investicije u osnovna (realno, godiÂna stopa, u %)
Industrijska proizvodnja (realno, godiÂna stopa, u %)
PotroÂaãke cijene (godiÂnji prosjek)
Nezaposlenost (godiÂnji prosjek)
Izvoz robe (u mil. EUR)
Uvoz robe (u mil. EUR)
Tekuci bilans (u % BDP-a)
Direktne strane investicije (priliv u % BDP-a)
BudÏetska ravnoteÏa (u % BDP-a)
Bruto inostrani dug (u % BDP-a)
BAM/EUR (godiÂnji prosjek)
ECB REFI rate (rate stopa)
Ukupni krediti (godiÂna stopa, u %)
Ukupni depoziti (godiÂna stopa, u %)
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate : BAM/EUR
ECB REFI rate (end of December)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits, (yoy, in %)
5
NOVA BANJALUCKA BANKAMARIJE BURSAC 7BIH-78000 BANJA LUKATEL. (+387 51) 243 200WWW.NOVABLBANKA.COM
^
´
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UNICREDIT BULBANKSVETA NEDELYA SQ. 7BG–1000 SOFIA
BULGARIA
TEL. (+359 2) 923 2111WWW.UNICREDITBULBANK.BGWWW.BULBANK.BGWWW.BIOCHIM.COMWWW.HEBROS.BG
Agriculture and forestry ���� � ��� �������� 7.0
Industry ���������� 25.6
Construction ���������� 18.6
Services ������ 48.8
6
Structural Indicators��������� ������
110,994
7.7
Georgy Parvanov
Sergey Stanishev
25.1
3,270
63.6
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006 ����� �������� ������ �� ��������� ������ (� %) 2006
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
��� ( �. �)
��������� � ���.
���������
��������������������
��� (2006, � ����. ���)
��� �� ��� � ����������(2006, � ���)
!��� � % � ��� (2006)
��������
7
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
6.2 6.1 6.2 6.0 5.9
23.3 17.6 15.5 13.0 10.0
6.7 7.7 7.5 7.5 7.5
5.0 7.3 6.1 4.5 3.4
10.7 9.1 8.0 7.5 7.0
9,466 11,983 14,379 17,543 20,876
13,876 17,373 20,847 24,287 27,809
–12.0 –15.8 –15.5 –12.5 –10.0
14.2 16.4 14.0 10.5 9.0
2.3 3.6 2.3 1.5 1.0
69.0 78.4 82.0 86.0 89.0
1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96
2.7 3.7 4.3 4.2 4.0
32.3 24.3 17.5 15.8 13.9
31.9 33.8 13.5 14.9 14.1
Indicators�������
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate : BGN/EUR
1M SOFIBOR avg of Dec
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
����� ��� (���� ����� ����x����� �����, � %)
������ ������"�������� (������ ���� ���������x����� �����, � %)
�������� ��������� (������ ���� ���������x����� �����, � %)
!��� � �� ����"����� ��� #��� (����� �����)
�����"��#� (����� �����)
�� � ���� (� ��� ���)
�� � ��� (� ��� ���)
$� ��� ���� � (� % � ���)
��� � ��&��������� �������#��(���� , � % � ���)
�'�&���� ��*�#�� (–) / ������ (+) (� % � ���)
������ ������ ���� (� % � ���)
������ ������� ���: BGN/EUR
1� �-3N�-, ������ �� �� �����
-"� ������ (���� ����� ����x����� �����, � %)
-"� ������� (���� ����� ����x����� �����, � %)
Structural IndicatorsStrukturni pokazatelji
56,594
4.4
Stjepan Mesic
Ivo Sanader
34.2
7,700
49.6
CROATIA
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006Bruto domaci proizvod po djelatnostima 2006
Agriculture and forestry Poljoprivreda i Âumarstvo 6.2
Industry Industrija 20.5
Construction Gradevinarstvo 5.9
Services Usluge 67.4
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
8
ZAGREBACKA BANKAPAOMLINSKA 2HR–10000 ZAGREB
TEL. (+385 1) 3783 333 WWW.ZABA.HR
¯
PovrÂina (km2)
StanovniÂtvo u mio
Predsjednik republike
Predsjednik vlade
BDP (2006. u mld EUR)
BDP po glavi stanovnika (2006. u EUR)
Izvoz u % BDP (2006)
´
´
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
4.3 4.8 4.2 4.3 4.2
4.8 10.9 6.0 6.2 6.3
5.1 4.5 4.1 4.3 4.2
3.3 3.2 2.5 2.7 2.5
12.7 12.0 11.6 11.2 10.8
7,217 8,434 9,024 9,629 10,274
14,738 16,798 17,895 18,969 20,107
–6.3 –7.6 –7.6 –7.4 –7.2
4.6 8.3 6.3 4.3 4.5
–4.1 –3.0 –2.8 –2.5 –2.2
81.7 84.7 85.9 86.0 85.8
7.40 7.32 7.30 7.25 7.20
4.30 3.28 3.80 4.00 4.00
20.5 22.5 12.5 12.0 11.8
10.1 16.7 8.5 7.4 7.3
IndicatorsPokazatelji
HRVATSKA
9
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate : HRK/EUR
1W Zibor, avg
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Realni BDP (godiÂna stopa, u %)
Investicije u osnovna sredstva (realno, godiÂna stopa, u %
Industrijska proizvodnja (realno, godiÂna stopa, u %)
PotroÂaãke cijene (godiÂnji prosjek)
Nezaposlenost (godiÂnji prosjek)
Izvoz robe (u mio EUR)
Uvoz robe (u mio EUR)
Tekuci raãun (u % BDP)
Izravna inozemna ulaganja (neto priljev, u % BDP)
Proraãunska ravnoteÏa (u % BDP)
Bruto inozemni dug (u % BDP)
Prosjeãni devizni teãaj: HRK/EUR
1TJ ZIBOR, prosjeãno
Ukupni krediti (godiÂna stopa, u %)
Ukupni depoziti (godiÂna stopa, u %)
´
Structural IndicatorsStrukturální ukazatele
78,867
10.3
Václav Klaus
Mirek Topolanek
113.0
11,010
75.2
CZECH REPUBLIC
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006Hrub˘ domácí produkt podle hospodáfisk˘ch sektorÛ 2006
Agriculture and forestry Zemûdûlství a lesnictví 2.7
Industry PrÛmysl 32.6
Construction Stavebnictví 6.7
Services SluÏby 58.0
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
10
HVB BANK CZECH REPUBLIC NAM. REPUBLIKY 3ACZ-110 00 PRAGUE 1
TEL. (+420) 2 2111 2111WWW.HVB.CZ
Rozloha (km2)
Poãet obyvatel v mil.
Prezident
Pfiedseda vlády
HDP (2006, v mld. EUR)
HDP na jednoho obyvatele (2006, v EUR)
V˘voz v % HDP (2006)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
6.1 6.1 4.5 4.2 4.0
1.3 7.3 7.5 7.0 6.5
6.7 9.7 6.0 5.5 6.0
1.9 2.5 2.3 3.0 2.8
8.9 8.1 6.9 6.7 6.7
62,738 75,645 85,265 94,946 103,442
61,441 74,078 83,569 93,321 101,630
–2.6 –4.2 –4.5 –4.6 –4.7
9.4 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.6
–3.5 –3.0 –4.6 –3.5 –3.0
38.5 38.0 37.3 37.0 36.7
29.8 28.3 28.3 27.7 27.6
2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 3.50
14.3 17.4 16.1 14.0 12.2
8.9 8.8 6.0 5.7 5.5
IndicatorsUkazatele
CZECH REPUBLIC
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate : CZK/EUR
2-week repo rate, eop
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
11
Reáln˘ HDP (meziroãní rÛst, v %)
Tvorba hrubého fixního kapitálu (reálná, meziroãní rÛst, v %)
PrÛmyslová v˘roba (reálná, meziroãní rÛst, v %)
Spotfiebitelské ceny (roãní konec období)
Nezamûstnanost (roãní prÛmûr)
V˘voz zboÏí (v mil. EUR)
Dovoz zboÏí (v mil. EUR)
BûÏn˘ úãet (v % HDP)
Pfiímé zahraniãní investice (pfiiliv, hrubá vyÂe v % HDP)
Bilance rozpoãtu (v % HDP)
Hrubá zahraniãní zadluÏenost (v % HDP)
PrÛmûrn˘ smûnn˘ kurz: Kã/EUR
2-t˘denní repo sazba (konec obodobí)
Celkové úvûry (meziroãní rÛst, v %)
Celková depozita (meziroãní rÛst, v %)
ZIVNOSTENSKÁ BANKANA PRIKOPE 858/20 CZ-113 80 PRAGUE 1
TEL. (+420) 2 2412 1111WWW1.ZIVNOBANKA.CZ
^
Structural IndicatorsStruktuurilised tegurid
45,227
1.3
Toomas Hendrik Ilves
Andrus Ansip
13.1
9,720
79.6
ESTONIA
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006Sisemajanduse koguprodukt majandussektorite lõikes (%) 2006
Agriculture and forestry Põllumajandus ja metsandus 3.2
Industry Tööstus 21.1
Construction Ehitus 8.0
Services Teenindus 67.7
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
12
HVB BANK TALLINNLIIVALAIA STREET 13/15EST-10118 TALLINN
TEL. (+372) 668 8300WWW.HVB.EE
Pindala (km2)
Rahvastik, mln
President
Peaminister
Sisemajanduse koguprodukt (SKP) (2006 a. mlr EUR)
Sisemajanduse koguprodukt (SKP) elaniku kohta (2006 a. EUR)
Eksport % SKP (2006)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
10.5 11.4 9.5 8.8 8.2
12.7 19.7 13.9 9.7 9.0
9.2 7.0 6.0 6.5 7.0
4.1 4.4 5.0 4.9 4.8
7.9 5.9 5.1 5.1 5.0
6,273 7,644 8,944 10,375 11,827
7,762 9,779 11,735 13,260 14,851
–10.5 –14.8 –16.0 –13.4 –12.4
21.2 9.7 8.0 7.0 8.0
1.6 3.8 1.5 1.0 2.0
86.0 95.8 101.8 106.2 108.6
15.65 15.65 15.65 15.65 15.65
2.38 3.16 4.05 4.26 4.13
34.5 41.6 26.0 18.2 14.0
43.4 28.0 18.0 17.0 15.0
IndicatorsTegurid
EESTI
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, net in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate : EEK/EUR
3M Talibor, eop
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
13
Reaalne SKP (võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)
Kapitali kogumahutus põhikapital (tegelik, võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)
Tööstustoodang (tegelik, võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)
Tarbijahinnaindeks (aasta keskmine)
Töötus (aasta keskmine)
Kauba eksport (mln EUR)
Kauba import (mln EUR)
Jooksevkonto (% SKP)
Välismaised otseinvesteeringud (neto % SKP)
Eelarve tasakaal (% SKP)
Koguvälisvõlg (% SKP)
Keskmine vahetuskurss: EEK/EUR
3 kuu Talibor (aasta lõpu seisuga)
Laenude kogumaht (võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)
Deposiitide kogumaht (võrreldes eelmise aastaga, %)
Structural IndicatorsAlapadatok
93,033
10.1
László Sólyom
Ferenc Gyurcsány
89.2
8,850
77.5
HUNGARY
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006Bruttó hazai össztermék hozzáadott értéke 2006
Agriculture and forestry Mezogazdaság és erdogazdálkodás 4.1
Industry Ipar 26.1
Construction Építoipar 4.6
Services Szolgáltatások 65.2
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
14
UNICREDIT BANK HUNGARYSZABADSÁG TÉR 5–6H-1054 BUDAPEST
TEL. (+36 1) 269 0812WWW.UNICREDITBANK.HU
´́
´́´́
´́ ´́
Terület (km2)
Népesség (millióban)
Köztársasági elnök
Miniszterelnök
Bruttó hazai össztermék (2006-ban, mrd EUR-ban)
Egy fore eso bruttó hazai össztermék(2006-ban, EUR-ban)
Kivitel a GDP %-ában (2006)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
4.2 3.9 2.9 3.4 4.0
5.6 0.9 4.0 6.9 7.3
7.0 10.1 9.2 8.5 9.3
3.6 3.9 7.0 3.2 3.0
7.2 7.5 7.6 7.3 7.2
50,151 58,428 68,994 75,978 84,098
51,607 58,848 69,462 76,149 84,287
–6.9 –5.8 –5.1 –4.4 –4.0
6.9 5.4 5.8 5.9 5.5
–7.8 –9.2 –6.6 –4.2 –3.8
78.4 89.8 89.4 88.7 87.6
248.1 264.3 251.0 253.0 256.0
6.00 8.00 6.50 5.50 5.00
19.4 18.5 10.8 13.5 14.4
12.4 13.8 5.5 6.9 7.4
IndicatorsGazdasági mutatók
MAGYARORSZÁG
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, net in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate : HUF/EUR
2-week repo rate, eop
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
15
Reál bruttó hazai össztermék (év/év, %-ban)
Bruttó felhalmozás (reál, év/év, %-ban)
Ipari termelés (reál, év/év, %-ban)
Fogyasztói árindex (éves átlag)
Munkanélküliségi ráta (éves átlag)
Áruexport (millió EUR–ben)
Áruimport (millió EUR–ben)
Folyó fizetési mérleg egyenlege (a GDP %-ában)
Külföldi muködotoke (beáramlás, nettó, a GDP %-ában)
Költségvetési egyenleg (a GDP %-ában)
Bruttó külföldi adósság (a GDP %-ában)
Átlagos árfolyam: HUF/EUR
Kéthetes jegybanki betétkamat
Teljes hitelállomány
Teljes betétállomány
´́ ´́ ´́
Structural IndicatorsStrukturas radıtaji
64,589
2.3
Vaira Vike–Freiberga
Aigars Kalvitis
16.0
7,020
43.3
LATVIA
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006IKP pa sektoriem 2006
Agriculture and forestry Lauksaimniecıba un meÏsaimniecıba 4.0
Industry Rupniecıba 15.2
Construction Celtniecıba 6.8
Services Pakalpojumi 74.0
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
16
UNICREDIT BANK (LATVIA) ELIZABETES IELA 63LV-1050 RIGA
TEL. (+371) 708 5500WWW.UNICREDITBANK.LV
¯Platıba (km2)
Iedzıvotaju skaits. milj.
Prezidente
Premjerministrs
IKP (2006, miljardos EUR)
IKP uz vienu iedzıvotaju (2006, EUR)
Eksports % no IKP (2006)
¯ ¯
¯ ¯
¯ ¯
¯ ¯
¯
¯ ¯¯ ¯
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
10.6 11.9 9.0 8.0 7.0
18.6 17.0 15.0 12.5 10.5
5.7 4.9 6.0 5.5 5.0
6.7 6.5 7.3 5.5 4.5
8.9 6.9 6.5 6.2 6,0
4,313 4,813 5,549 6,403 7,257
6,753 8,729 10,316 12,094 13,873
–12.6 –21.1 –22.5 –19.7 –17.2
4.5 8.1 5.3 4.0 3.0
–0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.4
99.4 112.8 117.6 119.9 122.2
0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70
4.00 5.00 6.00 6.00 5.50
63.7 57.3 32.2 24.2 19.5
39.6 43.1 29.8 21.0 18.2
IndicatorsRadıtaji
LATVIJA
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, net in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate : LVL/EUR
3M Rigibor, eop
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
17
Realais IKP (salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)
Kopeja pamatkapitala veidoÂanas(reala, salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)
Rupniecıbas produkcija (reala, salıdzinot ar iepriekÂejo gadu, %)
Paterina cenas (gada videjas)
Bezdarbs (gada videjais)
Preãu eksports (milj. EUR)
Preãu imports (milj. EUR)
TekoÂais konts (% no IKP)
Arvalstu tieÂas investıcijas (iepludums, neto % no IKP)
BudÏeta atlikums (% no IKP)
Kopejais arejais parads (% no IKP)
Videjais valutas mainas kurss: LVL /EUR
3-meneÂu Rigibor likme (perioda beigas)
Kopejie aizdevumi (gada laika, %)
Kopejie noguldıjumi (gada laika, %)
¯
¯¯ ¯ ¯
¯ ¯
¯ ¯
¯ ¯ ¯¯
¯ ¯
¯ ¯ ¯¸
¯ ¯ ¸
- - -
¯ ¯
¯ ¯¯
Structural IndicatorsBendrieji rodikliai
65,301
3.4
Valdas Adamkus
Gediminas Kirkilas
23.7
6,990
58.4
LITHUANIA
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006Bendras vidaus produktas pagal ekonominius sektorius 2006
Agriculture and forestry ˚emes ukis ir miÂkininkyste 5.3
Industry Pramone 26.6
Construction Statyba 8.6
Services Paslaugos 59.4
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
18
HVB BANK VILNIUSVILNIAUS GATVE 35/3LT-01119 VILNIUS
TEL. (+370 5) 2745 300WWW.HVB.LT
Plotas (km2)
Gyventoju skaiãius, mln
Prezidentas
Ministras pirmininkas
Bendras vidaus produktas (BVP, 2006, bil. Euras)
BVP tenkantis 1 gyventojui (2006, Euras)
Eksportas % nuo BVP (2006)
¸
˙ ˙
˙
IndicatorsRodikliai
LIETUVA
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, net in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate : LTL/EUR
3M Vilibor, eop
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
19
BVP (metinis, %)
Bendro pagrindinio kapitalo sudarymas (grynas, metinis, %)
Pramones apimtis (grynas, metinis, %)
Vartojimo prekiu kainos (vidutines metines)
Nedarbo lygis (vidutinis metinis)
Prekiu eksportas (mln. Euras)
Prekiu importas (mln. Euras)
Einamoji saskaita (% lyginant su BVP)
Tiesiogines uÏsienio investicijos (TUI) (grynosiplaukos % nuo BVP)
BiudÏeto balansas (% lyginant su BVP)
Bendra uÏsienio skola (% nuo BVP)
Vidutinis valiutos kursas: LTL/ Euras
3 menesiu Vilibor palukanu norma (procentais, laikotarpio pabaiga)
IÂ viso paskolu (palyginti su tuo paciu laikotarpiupries metus, procentais)
IÂ viso depozitu (palyginti su tuo paciu laikotarpiupries metus, procentais)
˙
˙˙¸
˙¸
¸
¸
¸
¸
¸
¸
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
7.6 7.5 7.4 6.4 6.3
9.2 11.7 8.2 8.4 7.5
7.1 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2.7 3.8 4.4 3.8 3.2
8.2 5.9 5.5 5.3 5.3
9,490 11,200 – – –
11,849 14,477 – – –
–7.2 –10.8 –9.6 –8.9 –8.7
4.0 5.9 5.5 4.3 4.3
–0.5 –0.3 –0.3 –0.5 0.0
51.3 60.7 63.2 64.8 –
3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45 3.45
2.53 3.72 4.50 4.25 4.00
62.5 38.1 29.0 24.4 21.6
36.2 23.2 19.8 17.7 17.0ˇ
ˇ
Structural IndicatorsWskazniki strukturalne
POLAND
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006Produkt Krajowy Brutto z podzialem na sektory gospodarki 2006
Agriculture and forestry Rolnictwo i lesnictwo 4.5
Industry Przemysl 24.9
Construction Budownictwo 6.6
Services Uslugi 64.0
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
20
Obszar (km2)
Ludnosã w mln
Prezydent
Premier
Produkt Krajowy Brutto (PKB w 2006 roku, w bln EUR)
PKB na jednego mieszkanca (w 2006 roku, w EUR)
Udzial eksportu w PKB (2006)–
–
–
BANK PEKAOUL. GRZYBOWSKA 53/57 PL-00-950 WARSAWTEL. (+48 42) 6838232WWW.PEKAO.COM.PL
´
´
ı
312,685
38.1
Lech Kaczynski
Jaroslaw Kaczynski
271.5
7,120
40.4
´
´
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
3.6 6.1 5.5 4.7 4.3
6.5 16.5 15.1 8.5 7.0
3.7 11.8 9.5 7.6 5.8
2.1 1.0 2.6 3.1 2.3
17.6 14.9 13.3 12.1 11.3
77,497 93,259 104,260 113,219 123,409
79,737 97,154 110,753 122,044 134,126
–1.7 –2.3 –2.5 –2.8 –3.0
3.1 4.1 4.4 4.4 4.5
–2.5 –1.7 –3.1 –2.8 –2.9
44.0 45.9 46.4 45.3 42.7
4.03 3.90 3.89 3.90 3.81
4.50 4.00 4.75 4.50 4.00
11.6 22.4 17.7 11.9 11.2
10.5 14.0 8.6 6.6 6.2
IndicatorsWskazniki
POLSKA
21
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, net in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate : PLN/EUR
Reference rate, eop
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
PKB realny (rok do roku, w %)
Naklady brutto na srodki trwale (realna, rok do roku, w %)
Produkcja sprzedana przemyslu (realna, rok do roku, w %)
Srednioroczne ceny produktów konsumpcyjnych
Bezrobocie (srednie w ciagu roku)
Eksport towarów (w mln EUR)
Import towarów (w mln EUR)
Saldo rachunku biezacego (udzial w PKB w %)
Bezposrednie inwestycje zagraniczne (wplywy netto w % PKB)
Saldo budzetu (w % PKB)
Dlug zagraniczny (w % PKB)
Sredni kurs: PLN do EUR
Stopa podstawowa NBP, koniec okresu
Kredyty ogólem (rok do roku, w %)
Depozyty ogólem (rok do roku, w %)
–
– –
¸
¯
¸ –
–
–
˙
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BANK BPHAL. POKOJU 1PL-31-548 CRACOWTEL. (+48 12) 618 68 88WWW.BPH.PL
BANK BPHTOWAROWA 25APL-00-958 WARSAWTEL. (+48 22) 531 86 00
´
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Structural IndicatorsIndicatori de structura
238,391
21.6
Nicolae Vacaroiu (interim)
Calin Popescu-Tariceanu
97.2
4,500
32.3
ROMANIA
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006Produsul Intern Brut pe sectoare 2006
Agriculture and forestry Agricultura si silvicultura 9.1
Industry Industrie 27.0
Construction Constructii 7.9
Services Servicii 56.0
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
22
HVB TIRIAC BANKCHARLES DE GAULLE SQ. 15 RO-011857 BUCHAREST
TEL. (+40 21) 203 2222WWW.HVBTIRIAC.RO
˘ ˘
ˇ
ˇ
Suprafata (km2)
Populatia, ın mil.
Presedinte
Prim Ministru
PIB (2006, ın mrd. EUR)
PIB / cap de locuitor (2006, ın EUR)
Exporturi ın % din PIB (2006)
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
¸
¸
¸
¸
¸
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
4.1 7.7 6.0 5.5 5.0
12.6 16.1 14.0 13.1 12.0
2.0 7.1 7.5 7.5 7.5
9.0 6.6 4.3 4.4 4.0
5.8 5.4 5.3 5.2 5,2
22,255 25,851 31,135 36,233 41,626
30,061 37,609 45,883 52,307 57,276
–8.7 –10.3 –11.5 –11.2 –10.0
6.6 9.3 5.2 4.6 4.1
–0.8 –1.7 –2.3 –2.4 –2.4
31.0 28.5 27.0 26.7 26.6
3.62 3.52 3.38 3.38 3.40
7.50 8.75 7.00 6.75 6.25
43.7 52.0 34.0 25.7 19.4
34.2 28.1 22.0 9.5 16.5
IndicatorsIndicatori
ROMANIA
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, net in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: RON/EUR
Policy rate, eop
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
23
PIB real (an curent/an precedent, ın %)
Formarea bruta de capital (reala, an curent/an precedent, ın %)
Productia industriala (reala, an curent/an precedent, ın %)
Preturi de consum (media anuala)
Rata somajului (media anuala)
Exportul de bunuri (ın mil. EUR)
Importul de bunuri (ın mil. EUR)
Cont curent (ın % din PIB)
Investitiile straine directe (net ın % din PIB)
Soldul bugetar (ın % din PIB)
Datoria externa bruta (ın % din PIB)
Cursul mediu de schimb: RON/EUR
Rata dobanzii de politica monetara, la sfarsitul perioadei
Total Credite (an curent/an precedent, ın %)
Total Depozite (an curent/an precedent, ın %)
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ
¸
¸
¸
¸
¸
ˇ
UNICREDIT ROMANIA23–25 GHETARILOR STR. RO-014106 BUCHAREST
TEL. (+40 21) 200 2000WWW.UNICREDIT.RO
˘ ˘
˘
˘
˘
˘
˘ ˘
˘ ˘
˘
Structural Indicators����������� ���������
16,995,800
142.8
Vladimir Putin
Mikhail Fradkov
785.0
5,500
33.9
RUSSIA
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006������� ��������� ������ �� �������� ������� 2006
Agriculture and forestry ���4� � � ����� x��5��� 4.2
Industry ���7�������4 25.3
Construction �������4��� 5.1
Services �*��� ����� 65.4
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
24
INTERNATIONAL MOSCOW BANKPRECHISTENSKAYA EMB. 9 RF-119034 MOSCOW
TEL. (+7 095) 258 7200 WWW.IMB.RU
�����4 ( �2)
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���������
����4��-�������
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��� �� ���� ��������� (2006 ., � 9��)
-"��� ; ����� � % � ��� (2006)
s
s
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
6.4 6.7 6.6 6.2 6.0
8.3 13.9 14.0 11.0 10.0
4.0 3.9 5.0 5.0 5.4
12.7 9.7 8.0 7.2 6.5
7.5 6.9 6.3 5.8 5.2
196,305 241,751 257,576 294,153 310,919
100,999 131,000 159,125 203,295 239,812
11.0 9.6 7.4 5.4 3.5
1.7 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.3
7.7 10.8 5.0 3.0 1.5
33.7 31.4 31.0 32.0 32.0
35.2 34.1 34.7 33.3 31.6
6.54 5.71 5.60 5.50 5.40
41.3 46.3 38.1 28.9 23.0
36.5 41.2 34.1 24.9 19.9
Indicators���������
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25
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: RUB/EUR
1-M Mosprime eop
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
���4�75 ��� ��� (%)
���4�75 ��� �������#�5 (%)
���4�75 ��� ���������� (%)
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����7� ��������7� �������#�� (���� , � % ���)
����� *��������� "'�&��� (� % ���)
-"��� ������� ���� (� % ���)
������5 ��� RUB/EUR
1-� �����u�
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YAPI KREDI MOSCOWGONCHARNAYA EMB 2 RF-115172 MOSCOW
TEL. (+7 495) 234 9889WWW.YKB.RU
˘
Structural IndicatorsStrukturalni indikatori
88,361
7.4
Boris Tadic
Vojislav Kostunica
24.3
3,280
28.1
UNICREDIT BANK SERBIARAJICEVA 27-29SCG-11000 BELGRADE
SERBIA
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006Bruto nacionalni proizvod po privrednim sektorima 2006
TEL. (+381-11) 3204 500WWW.UNICREDITBANK.CO.YU
Agriculture and forestry Poljoprivreda i Âumarstvo 12.9
Industry Industrija 20.8
Construction Graêevinarstvo 3.5
Services Usluge 62.8
PovrÂina (km2)
StanovniÂtvo (u milionima)
Predsednik
Premijer
Bruto nacionalni proizvod (za 2006. godinu, u milijardama EUR)
Bruto nacionalni proizvod po glavi stanovnika (za 2006. godinu u EUR)
% izvoza u bruto nacionalnom proizvodu (2006)
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
26
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
6.2 5.7 5.2 5.4 5.6
– – – – –
0.8 4.7 6.0 7.0 7.5
16.2 11.7 5.4 6.3 5.9
20.8 20.9 21.2 20.7 20.3
4,003 5,172 6,027 7,059 7,964
8,264 10,140 11,677 13,561 15,022
–8.5 –12.0 –12.6 –11.9 –11.0
5.9 14.4 5.9 6.1 6.3
1.9 1.5 0.3 0.5 0.7
59.2 64.2 64.3 63.0 61.9
83.2 84.4 80.3 77.5 75.00
19.2 14.0 9.0 7.0 6.0
49.5 15.1 26.0 23.0 19.3
46.9 40.6 29.4 24.3 19.6
IndicatorsIndikatori
SRBIJA
Realni bruto nacionalni proizvod (godina za godinu, u %)
Bruto stalna akumulacija kapitala (realna, godina za godinom, u %)
Industrijski proizvod (realan, godina za godinom, u %)
PotroÂaãke cene (godiÂnji prosek)
Nezaposlenost (godiÂnji prosek)
Izvoz robe (u milionima EUR)
Uvoz robe (u milionima EUR)
Platni bilans (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)
Direktne strane investicije (priliv, u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)
Bilans budÏeta (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)
Bruto inostrani dug (u % bruto nacionalnog proizvoda)
Proseãni kurs razmene: CSD/EUR
Medubankarska kamatna stopa (u %, dekurzivno)
Ukupno krediti (na godiÂnjem nivou, u %)
Ukupno depoziti (na godiÂnjem nivou, u %)
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: CSD/EUR
Interbank rate, eop
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
27
¯
Structural IndicatorsZákladné údaje
49,034
5.4
Ivan GaÂparoviã
Robert Fico
43.9
8,150
85.6
SLOVAKIA
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006Hrub˘ domáci produkt a hrubá pridaná hodnota v ekonomick˘ch sektoroch 2006
Agriculture and forestryPol’nohospodárstvo a lesné hospodárstvo 3.6
Industry Priemysel 25.4
Construction Stavebníctvo 6.2
Services SluÏby 64.8
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
28
UNICREDIT BANK SLOVAKIASANCOVÁ 1/A SK-813 33 BRATISLAVA
TEL. (+42 1) 547 6870WWW.UNICREDITBANK.SK
Rozloha (km2)
Obyvatel’stvo (v mil.)
Prezident
Predseda vlády
HDP (2006 v mld. EUR)
HDP (2006 v EUR) na 1 obyvatel’a
V˘voz v % HDP (2006)
^
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
6.0 8.3 9.0 7.1 5.9
17.5 7.3 8.0 5.9 5.1
3.9 9.9 10.0 7.5 6.0
2.7 4.5 2.7 2.3 2.7
11.6 10.4 8.3 7.8 7.3
25,743 33,273 47,513 58,227 66,872
27,713 35,733 48,417 58,689 66,558
–8.6 –8.3 –3.5 –2.3 –0.7
4.4 7.6 3.1 3.2 3.1
–2.8 –3.4 –2.9 –2.3 –1.8
58.7 51.7 45.9 42.5 41.1
38.59 37.25 33.50 32.60 EUR
3.00 4.75 4.00 4.00 EUR
23.9 20.1 19.5 17.4 15.5
–1.9 12.2 9.6 8.1 8.0
IndicatorsUkazovatele
SLOVENSKO
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: SKK/EUR
2W repo rate, eop
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
29
Reálny HDP (medziroãne, v %)
Hrubé hmotné investície (v stálych cenách,medziroãne, v %)
Priemyselná v˘roba (v stálych cenách, medziroãne, v %)
Spotrebitel’ské ceny (roãn˘ priemer)
Nezamestnanost’ (roãn˘ priemer)
Export tovarov (v mil. EUR)
Import tovarov (v mil. EUR)
BeÏn˘ úãet platobnej bilancie (v % z HDP)
Priame zahraniãné investície (prílev, netto v % z HDP)
Saldo rozpoãtu (v % z HDP)
Celkové zahraniãné zadlÏenie (v % z HDP)
Priemern˘ v˘menn˘ kurz (SKK/EUR)
dvojt˘Ïdnová Repo sadzba NBS (koniec obdobia)
Celcové úvery (medziroãne, v %)
Celcové vklady (medziroãne, v %)
Structural IndicatorsStrukturni kazalci
20,273
2.0
Janez DrnovÂek
Janez JanÂa
29.7
14,810
69.2
SLOVENIA
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006Bruto domaãi proizvod po gospodarskih panogah 2006
Agriculture and forestry Kmetijstvo in gozdarstvo 2.6
Industry Industrija 31.9
Construction GradbeniÂtvo 5.6
Services Storitve 59.9
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
30
BANK AUSTRIA CREDITANSTALTLJUBLJANASMARTINSKA CESTA 140SI-1000 LJUBLJANA
TEL. (+386 1) 5876 600WWW.BA-CA.SI
povrÂina (km2)
prebivalstvo v mio
predsednik republike
predsednik vlade
BDP (2006 v mlrd EUR)
BDP na prebivalca (2006 v EUR)
izvoz v % od BDP (2006)
ˇ
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
4.0 5.2 4.6 4.9 4.5
1.5 11.9 5.0 7.0 7.5
3.4 7.0 6.7 7.2 5.9
2.5 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.1
6.5 6.0 5.7 5.5 5.3
14,599 17,032 18,300 20,000 21,750
15,625 18,153 19,600 21,500 23,400
–2.0 –2.5 –2.4 –2.5 –2.1
1.6 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.6
–1.5 –1.4 –1.6 –1.8 –1.5
71.0 80.3 86.5 91.1 96.5
239.6 239.6 EUR EUR EUR
3.75 3.75 4.00 4.00 3.75
24.2 24.8 17.2 14.7 12.8
9.3 9.2 8.9 5.4 5.1
IndicatorsKazalci
SLOVENIJA
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: SIT/EUR
3M Interbank, eop
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
31
realni BDP (v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)
investicije v osnovna sredstva (realno, v primerjavis prejÂnjim letom, v %)
industrijska proizvodnja (realno, v primerjavis prejÂnjim letom, v %)
cene Ïivljenjskih potrebÂãin (letno povpreãje)
nezaposlenost (letno povpreãje)
izvoz blaga (v mio EUR)
uvoz blaga (v % od BDP)
tekoãi raãun (v % od BDP)
neposredne tuje naloÏbe (neto priliv, v mio EUR)
proraãunsko ravnoteÏje (v % od BDP)
bruto zadolÏenost v tujini (v % od BDP)
povpreãni menjalni teãaj: SIT/EUR
Obrestna mera refinanciranja
totalna posojila (v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)
totalni depoziti (v primerjavi s prejÂnjim letom, v %)
Structural IndicatorsYapisal Gostergeler
780,580
73.0
Ahmez Nacdet Sezer
Recep Tayyip Erdogan
318.5
4,370
29.7
YAPI KREDIYAPI KREDI PLAZA D BLOKTR-80620 ISTANBUL
TURKEY
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006GSYIH, Iktisadi faaliyet kollarina gore (2006, %)
TEL. (+90 212) 339 7000WWW.YAPIKREDI.COM.TR
Agriculture and forestry Tarim 11.2
Industry Sanayi 29.8
Construction Insaat 4.8
Services Hizmetler 54.2
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP
32
Yuzolcumu (km2)
Nufus (milyon)
Cumhurbaskani
Basbakan
GSYIH (2006, miljar EURO)
Kisi basina GSYIH (2006, EURO)
Ihracat, GSYIH’ye % oran olarak
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
7.4 6.1 5.4 6.4 6.2
24.0 10.0 10.0 10.0 9.5
5.4 6.0 – – –
8.2 9.6 8.1 5.9 4.9
10.3 9.7 9.3 9.0 8.5
61,833 72,796 79,600 91,405 108,392
–88,764 –104,550 –110,356 –128,261 –149,180
–6.3 –7.9 –7.0 –7.7 –7.6
2.7 5.0 3.3 3.0 2.7
–2.0 –0.7 –2.5 –2.0 –1.5
46.7 51.5 – – –
1.68 1.81 1.92 1.97 1.99
13.50 17.50 16.50 14.00 12.50
50.7 40.4 23.5 21.3 20.3
27.1 22.1 16.3 16.0 14.8
IndicatorsMakroekonomik senaryo
TURKIYE
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment (in %)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: YTL/EUR
Reference rate (O/N simple), eop
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
GSYIH, sabit fiyatlarla yillik % degisim
Yatirim, yillik % degisim
Sanayi uretimi (sabit fiyatlarla yillik % degisim)
Enflasyon (TUFE) yillik ortalama
Issizlik (%)
Mal Ihracati (milyon EURO)
Mal Ithalati (milyon EURO)
Cari Islemler Dengesi (% GSYIH)
Dogrudan Yatirimlar (% GSYIH)
Butce Dengesi (% GSYIH)
Brut Dis Borclar (% GSYIH)
Doviz kuru: YTL/EURO, ortalama
MB Borclanma Orani (O/N, basit), donem sonu
Toplam Krediler (yillik % degisim)
Toplam Mevduat (yillik % degisim)
33
Structural Indicators���������i �������
603,700
46.9
Victor Yushchenko
Victor Yanukovich
84.8
1,810
47.2
UKRAINE
Gross domestic product by economic sectors (in %) 2006������ ���������� ������ �� �����!" �������� (� %) 2006
Agriculture and forestry�=�4�4 � ��������� �� �=���#�� 7.7
Industry �������=��4 24.9
Construction ���=���#�� 4.4
Services ������ 63.0
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
34
���� ( �2)
��������� � ���.
���������
����’>�-�=�=���
��� (� 2006 �. � ����. >��)
��� �� ���� ���������(� 2006 �. � >��)
9 ���� � % �=� ��� (2006 �.)
HVB BANK UKRAINE14-A, YAROSLAVIV VALUA-01034 KIEV
TEL. (+380 44) 230 3300WWW.HVB.COM.UA
���4��5 ��� (��=�� �� �= , � %)
����=�� ����� ��=����(����4��5, ��=�� �� �= , � %)
-"��� �������� ���"��#��� (����4��5, ��=�� �� �= , � %)
��&���= #=�� (� ������4�� �� �= )
����"=��� (� ������4�� �� �= )
9 ���� ����=� (���. >��)
?���� ����=� (���. >��)
������ �����x �����&=� (� % �=� ���)
����= =�����= =������#=� (� % �=� ���)
������ "'�&��� (� % �=� ���)
@��=��=5 "�� (� % �=� ���)
������=5 ��� "�=��: ������/>��
A������� ���� � (�� � �=��= �, =��#4 ���=��, � %)
�� ���= ��5�� (��=�� �� �= , � %)
�� ���= "�� =��4 = � ���� (��=�� �� �= , � %)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
2.7 7.1 5.5 5.5 4.9
–0.3 18.7 9.4 7.3 6.8
3.1 6.2 8.2 8.0 8.1
13.5 9.1 10.0 8.8 7.7
7.2 6.8 6.5 6.2 6.0
28,152 31,020 33,729 37,932 43,757
29,064 35,157 40,586 47,412 55,490
3.1 –1.5 –3.5 –5.5 –6.5
9.1 5.0 4.9 4.5 4.2
–2.0 –0.7 –4.0 –5.0 –4.0
50.2 49.7 50.8 53.1 53.5
6.39 6.34 6.70 6.60 6.40
9.2 8.9 8.2 8.0 8.0
61.9 69.2 33.2 23.2 20.9
60.0 39.8 31.7 24.0 20.8
Indicators�������
������
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: UAH/EUR
Interest rate (benchmark, end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
35
UNICREDIT BANK UKRAINE14, D. GALITSKOGO ST. UA-43016 LUTSK
TEL. (+380 332) 776 210WWW.UNICREDIT.COM.UA
Structural IndicatorsStrukturindikatoren
2,520,000
311
8,370
26,600
40.2
EUROZONE
Gross domestic product by economic sectors 2006Bruttoinlandsprodukt nach Wirtschaftssektoren 2006
Agriculture and forestry Land- und Forstwirtschaft 2.0
Industry Industrie 20.3
Construction Bauwirtschaft 6.4
Services Dienstleistungen 71.2
Fläche (km2)
Bevölkerung in Mio.
BIP (2006 in Mrd. EUR)
BIP pro Kopf (2006 in EUR)
Exporte in % des BIP
Area (km2)
Population in mn
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP
36
EUROLAND
37
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
1.4 2.6 2.3 1.9 1.5
2.5 4.5 3.1 1.6 2.8
1.3 4.0 3.3 2.4 2.0
2.3 2.2 2.1 1.8 1.8
8.6 7.8 7.2 7.2 7.3
3,046,100 3,384,000 – – –
2,927,200 3,287,700 – – –
0.0 –0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
– – – – –
–2.5 –2.0 –1.5 –1.3 –1.3
– – – – –
1.24 1.26 1.33 1.29 1.26
2.25 3.50 4.00 4.00 3.75
8.7 9.6 8.1 – –
8.6 8.8 5.0 – –
IndicatorsIndikatoren
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: USD/EUR
ECB Refi rate (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Reales BIP (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Bruttoanlageinvestitionen (real,Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Industrieproduktion (real, Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Verbraucherpreisentwicklung(Jahresdurchschnitt)
Arbeitslosenquote (Jahresdurchschnitt)
Warenexporte (in Mio. Euro)
Warenimporte (in Mio. Euro)
Leistungsbilanzsaldo (in % des BIP)
Ausländische Direktinvestitionen (Zuflüsse, % des BIP)
Budgetsaldo (in % des BIP)
Bruttoauslandsverschuldung (in % des BIP)
Wechselkurs (Jahresdurchschnitt): USD/EUR
Refinanzierungstender, Jahresendwert
Kredite gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Einlagen gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Structural IndicatorsStrukturindikatoren
83,871
8.3
Heinz Fischer
Alfred Gusenbauer
256.4
31,000
54.3
BANK AUSTRIA CREDITANSTALTAM HOF 2A-1010 VIENNA
AUSTRIA
Gross domestic product by economic sectors 2006Bruttoinlandsprodukt nach Wirtschaftssektoren 2006
TEL. +43 (0) 50505 0WWW.BA-CA.COM
Agriculture and forestry Land- und Forstwirtschaft 1.8
Industry Industrie 22.9
Construction Bauwirtschaft 7.9
Services Dienstleistungen 67.4
Fläche (km2)
Bevölkerung in Mio.
Präsident
Bundeskanzler
BIP (2006 in Mrd. EUR)
BIP pro Kopf (2006 in EUR)
Exporte in % des BIP
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP
38
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
2.0 3.2 2.8 2.3 1.9
0.3 4.9 4.3 2.8 2.5
4.4 8.4 6.0 4.5 4.5
2.3 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.8
5.2 4.8 4.3 4.1 4.0
94,520 104,141 110,493 117,012 122,278
91,638 97,847 103,229 109,629 114,891
2.1 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9
2.8 0.0 1.1 1.2 1.7
–1.5 –1.1 –1.0 –0.9 –0.7
214.4 236.2 255.9 274.4 292.0
1.24 1.26 1.33 1.29 1.26
2.25 3.50 4.00 4.00 3.75
5.7 5.8 3.5 5.5 4.2
5.6 2.8 4.3 3.4 2.8
ÖSTERREICH
39
IndicatorsIndikatoren
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: USD/EUR
ECB Refi rate (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Reales BIP (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Bruttoanlageinvestitionen (real,Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Industrieproduktion (real, Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Verbraucherpreisentwicklung (Jahresdurchschnitt)
Arbeitslosenquote (Jahresdurchschnitt)
Warenexporte (in Mio. Euro)
Warenimporte (in Mio. Euro)
Leistungsbilanzsaldo (in % des BIP)
Ausländische Direktinvestitionen(Zuflüsse, in % des BIP)
Budgetsaldo (in % des BIP)
Bruttoauslandsverschuldung (in % des BIP)
Wechselkurs (Jahresdurchschnitt): USD/EUR
Refinanzierungstender, Jahresendwert
Kredite gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Einlagen gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
357,093
82.4
Horst Köhler
Angela Merkel
2,307
28,000
44.9
HYPOVEREINSBANK AM TUCHERPARK 12 D-80538 MÜNCHEN
GERMANY
Gross domestic product by economic sectors 2006Bruttoinlandsprodukt nach Wirtschaftssektoren 2006
TEL: (+49 89) 378 0 WWW.HYPOVEREINSBANK.DE
Agriculture and forestry Land- und Forstwirtschaft 1.0
Industry Industrie 26.0
Construction Bauwirtschaft 4.0
Services Dienstleistungen 69.1
40
Structural IndicatorsStrukturindikatoren
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP (2006)
Fläche (km2)
Bevölkerung in Mio.
Präsident
Bundeskanzler
BIP (2006 in Mrd. EUR)
BIP pro Kopf (2006 in EUR)
Exporte in % des BIP (2006)
DEUTSCHLAND
41
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
0.9 2.7 2.1 1.9 1.5
6.5 8.0 4.1 2.4 2.4
2.8 5.9 4.3 2.3 2.1
1.9 1.7 2.1 1.6 1.6
11.7 10.8 10.6 10.4 10.4
789,660 904,920 961,438 1.003,159 1.077,346
633,360 741,540 772,851 809,997 867,033
4.1 4.2 4.0 3.7 3.5
1.2 3.0 2.3 2.1 1.9
–3.2 –2.5 –2.0 –1.7 –1.6
– – – – –
1.24 1.26 1.33 1.29 1.26
2.25 3.50 4.00 4.00 3.75
–0.4 –0.1 2.6 2.3 1.8
3.5 5.2 4.6 3.9 4.2
IndicatorsIndikatoren
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: USD/EUR
ECB Refi rate (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
Reales BIP (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Bruttoanlageinvestitionen (real,Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Industrieproduktion (real, Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Verbraucherpreisentwicklung(Jahresdurchschnitt)
Arbeitslosenquote (Jahresdurchschnitt)
Warenexporte (in Mio. Euro)
Warenimporte (in Mio. Euro)
Leistungsbilanzsaldo (in % des BIP)
Ausländische Direktinvestitionen (Zuflüsse, in % des BIP)
Budgetsaldo (in % des BIP)
Bruttoauslandsverschuldung (in % des BIP)
Wechselkurs (Jahresdurchschnitt): USD/EUR
Refinanzierungstender, Jahresendwert
Kredite gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Einlagen gesamt (Veränderung zum Vorjahr in %)
Structural IndicatorsIndicatori strutturali
301,336
58.5
Giorgio Napolitano
Romano Prodi
1,475
25,100
27.8
UNICREDIT GROUP VIA S. PROTASO 3 I-20121 MILAN
ITALY
Gross domestic product by economic sectors 2006PIL per settori produttivi (in %) 2006
TEL: (+39 02) 88621 WWW.UNICREDITGROUP.EU
Agriculture and forestry Agricoltura 2.4
Industry Industria 20.4
Construction Construzioni 6.1
Services Servizi 71.2
Area (km quadrati)
Popolazione in milioni
Presidente della Repubblica
Presidente del Consiglio
PIL (2006, in mld di euro)
PIL pro capite
Esportazioni (in % del PIL)
Area (km2)
Population in mn
President
Prime Minister
GDP (2006 in EUR bn)
Per capita GDP (2006 in EUR)
Exports in % of GDP
42
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
0.1 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.4
-0.5 2.3 2.7 2.4 2.5
-0.8 2.3 1.7 1.9 1.8
2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9
7.7 6.8 6.4 6.3 6.2
299,090 331,479 348,854 371,612 395,481
298,709 341,129 357,317 371,779 392,323
–1.6 –1.4 –1.0 –0.9 –0.8
1.1 1.3 1.6 1.3 1.4
–4.1 –4.4 –2.3 –2.0 –1.8
– – – – –
1.24 1.26 1.33 1.29 1.26
2.25 3.50 4.00 4.00 3.75
8.8 10.8 7.9 6.8 5.9
7.5 5.1 4.6 4.3 3.9
ITALIA
43
IndicatorsScenario macroeconomico
GDP real (yoy, in %)
Gross fixed capital formation (real, yoy, %)
Industrial output (real, yoy, in %)
Consumer prices (yearly average)
Unemployment rate (yearly average)
Merchandise exports (in EUR mn)
Merchandise imports (in EUR mn)
Current account (in % of GDP)
FDI (inflow, in % of GDP)
Budget balance (in % of GDP)
Gross foreign debt (in % of GDP)
Average exchange rate: USD/EUR
ECB Refi rate (end of period, in %)
Total Loans (yoy, in %)
Total Deposits (yoy, in %)
PIL reale (var. % a/a)
Investimenti (reali, var. % a/a)
Produzione industriale (reale, var. %, a/a)
Inflazione, prezzi al consumo (media annua)
Tasso di disoccupazione (media annua)
Esportazione di manufatti (mln EUR)
Importazioni di manufatti (mln EUR)
Saldo di parte corrente/PIL (%)
IDE / PIL (%)
Saldo bilancio pubblico/PIL (%)
Debito estero/PIL (in %)
Tasso di cambio medio: USD/EUR
Tasso di interesse (fine periodo, %)
Totale Impieghi (var. %, a/a)
Totale Depositi (var. %, a/a)
44
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