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Sample: Statewide Registered Voters = 1,003Margin of Error = +/- 3.1%February 12 – 15, 201429% Cell Phones, 71% Landlines
All voters1) First, how do you feel things are going in Hawaii—are they generally going in the right direction or the wrong direction?
DirectionDirectionDirection
Right 38% Wrong 48%
Unsure 14%
Total 100%
Likely Democratic Primary voters = 643Margin of Error = +/- 3.9%2) Now I would like to ask your opinion of several political figures in Hawaii…First, do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Governor Neil Abercrombie?
AbercrombieAbercrombieAbercrombie
Positive 42% Negative 46%
Unsure 12%
Likely Democratic Primary voters[Qs 3 & 4 order randomized]3) Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Senator Brian Schatz?
SchatzSchatzSchatz
Positive 51% Negative 27%
Unsure 22%
2
Likely Democratic Primary voters4) Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of First District Congresswoman Colleen Hanabusa?
HanabusaHanabusaHanabusa
Positive 58% Negative 29%
Unsure 13%
Likely Democratic Primary voters5) And do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of State Senator David Ige?
IgeIgeIge
Positive 31% Negative 13%
Unsure 56%
3
Oahu registered voters = 685Margin of Error = +/- 3.7%6) Do you generally have a positive or negative opinion of Honolulu Mayor Kirk Caldwell?
CaldwellCaldwellCaldwell
Positive 52% Negative 35%
Unsure 13%
Total 100%
Oahu registered voters7) And do you have a positive or negative opinion of former Honolulu Mayor Mufi Hannemann?
HannemannHannemannHannemann
Positive 32% Negative 59%
Unsure 9%
Total 100%
Oahu registered voters8) If Mufi Hannemann were to run for a political office in the 2014 election, how likely would you be to vote for him?
VoteHannemannVoteHannemannVoteHannemann
Very likely 20% Somewhat likely 23%
Somewhat unlikely
20%
Very unlikely 28%
Unsure 9%
Total 100%
4
All voters9) This upcoming August, Brian Schatz and Colleen Hanabusa [candidate name order randomized] will face each other in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, and Neil Abercrombie and David Ige [candidate name order randomized] will run in the Democratic primary for Governor. In Hawaii, you can only vote in one party’s primary—you must choose between voting in the Democratic Primary, the Republican primary, or another party’s primary. What are you most likely to do on primary day in August?
DemScreenDemScreenDemScreen
Democratic 64%GOP 19%Other/None 7%Unsure 10%
Likely Democratic Primary voters10) And if you do vote in the Democratic Senate primary between Brian Schatz and Colleen Hanabusa [candidate name order randomized], what would you do?
SenateSenateSenate
Schatz 40% Hanabusa 40%
Unsure 20%
Likely Democratic Primary voters11) And if you vote in the Democratic primary for Governor between Neil Abercrombie and David Ige [candidate name order randomized], what would you do?
GovernorGovernorGovernor
Abercrombie 37% Ige 37%
Unsure 26%
5
Likely CD 1 Democratic Congressional Primary Voters = 323Margin of Error = +/- 5.4%12) The Democratic primary in August will also include a contest for the First District Congressional seat currently held by Colleen Hanabusa. The announced candidates include State Senator Will Espero; State Senator Donna Mercado Kim; State Representative Mark Takai; Honolulu Councilman Ikaika Anderson; and Honolulu Councilman Stanley Chang [candidate names presented in different orders]. If you vote in this primary, what would you do?
CD1RepCD1RepCD1Rep
Chang 7% Anderson 5%
Takai 20%
Kim 25%
Espero 8%
Unsure 36%
Total 100%
6
All voters13) Now I have a few quick questions about some important issues in Hawaii…The Hawaii Legislature is considering allowing marijuana dispensaries to open in order to supply medical marijuana patients. However, marijuana is still an illegal drug under federal law. What do you think – do you think Hawaii should allow medical marijuana dispensaries to open?
MedMarijuanaMedMarijuanaMedMarijuana
Yes 45% No 47%
Unsure 9%
Total 100%
All voters14) In Colorado and Washington State, they have gone a step further, legalizing marijuana not just for medical use, but also for recreational use. Do you think Hawaii should do the same, and legalize recreational marijuana use?
RecreationalMarijuanaRecreationalMarijuanaRecreationalMarijuana
Yes 33% No 59%
Unsure 8%
Total 100%
7
All voters15) Hawaii lawmakers are also considering increasing the state’s minimum wage, from $7.25 an hour to at least $9.25 an hour, and perhaps over $10 by 2017. What do you think about raising the minimum wage in Hawaii?
MinimumWageMinimumWageMinimumWage
Yes 68% No 23%
Unsure 8%
Total 100%
All voters16) And if Hawaii does raise the minimum wage, what effect do you think it would have on the state’s economy – overall, would it be good for the economy, or bad for the economy?
MinWageEconomyMinWageEconomyMinWageEconomy
Good 62% Bad 25%
Unsure 13%
Total 100%
All voters17) And what effect do you think raising the minimum wage have on business owners in Hawaii – overall, would it be good for business owners, or bad for business owners?
MinWageBusinessMinWageBusinessMinWageBusiness
Good 41% Bad 40%
Unsure 19%
Total 100%
8
All voters18) How do you feel about Barack Obama’s job performance as President?
ObamaObamaObama
Approve 59 Disapprove 36
Unsure 5
Total 100
Demographics—all votersSexSexSex
Male 48%
Female 52%
Refused 0%
Total 100%
AgeAgeAge
Under 50 29% Fifty and over 71%
Total 100%
Race_EthnicityRace_EthnicityRace_Ethnicity
Caucasian 35% Japanese 26%
Filipino 10%
Hawaiian 9%
Chinese 5%
Hispanic 1%
Other/Mixed 14%
Refused 0%
Total 100%
9
County_CDCounty_CDCounty_CD
Oahu_CD1 50% Oahu_CD2 19%
Hawaii 14%
Maui 11%
Kauai 6%
Total 100%
PoliticsPoliticsPolitics
Liberal/progressive 29% Moderate 34%
Conservative 22%
Unsure 15%
Total 100%
PartyPartyParty
Democrat 55% Republican 20%
Independent 20%
Unsure 6%
Total 100%
EducationEducationEducation
No degree 3% HS graduate 13%
College Graduate 24%
Some/Assoc/Voc 32%
Grad Degree 26%
Refused 3%
Total 100%
Military_FamilyMilitary_FamilyMilitary_Family
Yes 62% No 34%
Refused 4%
Total 100%
10
Union_FamilyUnion_FamilyUnion_Family
Yes 33% No 61%
Refused 6%
Total 100%
IncomeIncomeIncome
Under $50,000 24% $50,000 - $99,999
32%
$100,000 or more 21%
Refused 23%
Total 100%