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First Congressional District Registered Voter Sample = 492Margin of Error = +/- 4.4%29% Cell Phones, 71% Landlines
This upcoming August, Brian Schatz and Colleen Hanabusa [candidate name order randomized] will face each other in the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate, and Neil Abercrombie and David Ige [candidate name order randomized] will run in the Democratic primary for Governor. In Hawaii, you can only vote in one party’s primary—you must choose between voting in the Democratic Primary, the Republican primary, or another party’s primary. What are you most likely to do on primary day in August?
DemScreenDemScreenDemScreen
Democratic 65% GOP 19%
Other/None 7%
Unsure 9%
Total 100%
Likely Democratic Primary Voter Sample = 323Margin of Error = +/- 5.4%
--The Democratic primary in August will also include a contest for the First District Congressional seat currently held by Colleen Hanabusa. The announced candidates include State Senator Will Espero; State Senator Donna Mercado Kim; State Representative Mark Takai; Honolulu Councilman Ikaika Anderson; and Honolulu Councilman Stanley Chang [candidate names presented in varied orders]. If you vote in this primary, what would you do?
CD1RepCD1RepCD1Rep
Chang 7% Anderson 5%
Takai 20%
Kim 25%
Espero 8%
Unsure 36%
Total 100%
2
--How do you feel about Barack Obama’s job performance as President?
ObamaObamaObama
Approve 71% Disapprove 25%
Unsure 4%
Total 100%
Demographics (Likely Democratic Primary Voters, First Congressional District)
SexSexSex
Male 44% Female 56%
Refused 0%
Total 100%
AgeAgeAge
Under 50 23% Fifty and over 77%
Total 100%
Race_EthnicityRace_EthnicityRace_Ethnicity
Caucasian 25% Japanese 36%
Filipino 11%
Hawaiian 5%
Chinese 8%
Hispanic 1%
Other/Mixed 14%
Total 100%
3
PoliticsPoliticsPolitics
Liberal/progressive 31% Moderate 40%
Conservative 17%
Unsure 12%
Total 100%
PartyPartyParty
Democrat 72% Republican 8%
Independent 17%
Unsure 3%
Total 100%
EducationEducationEducation
No degree 2% HS graduate 13%
College Graduate 24%
Some/Assoc/Voc 26%
Grad Degree 33%
Refused 2%
Total 100%
Military_FamilyMilitary_FamilyMilitary_Family
Yes 64% No 33%
Refused 3%
Total 100%
Union_FamilyUnion_FamilyUnion_Family
Yes 36% No 61%
Refused 3%
Total 100%
4
IncomeIncomeIncome
Under $50,000 20% $50,000 - $99,999 36%
$100,000 or more 27%
Refused 16%
Total 100%
Opinion Crosstabs
CD1Rep * Governor CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Governor CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Governor CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Governor CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Governor CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Governor Crosstabulation% within Governor% within Governor% within Governor% within Governor% within Governor% within Governor
GovernorGovernorGovernor
Abercrombie Ige Unsure
CD1Rep Chang 7% 6% 4%CD1RepAnderson 6% 6% 1%
CD1Rep
Takai 15% 29% 8%
CD1Rep
Kim 23% 30% 15%
CD1Rep
Espero 14% 4% 4%
CD1Rep
Unsure 36% 25% 68%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100%
Governor * CD1Rep CrosstabulationGovernor * CD1Rep CrosstabulationGovernor * CD1Rep CrosstabulationGovernor * CD1Rep CrosstabulationGovernor * CD1Rep CrosstabulationGovernor * CD1Rep CrosstabulationGovernor * CD1Rep CrosstabulationGovernor * CD1Rep CrosstabulationGovernor * CD1Rep Crosstabulation% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep
CD1RepCD1RepCD1RepCD1RepCD1RepCD1Rep
Chang Anderson Takai Kim Espero UnsureGovernor Abercrombie 36% 38% 23% 28% 60% 26%Governor
Ige 45% 56% 65% 53% 24% 26%Governor
Unsure 18% 6% 12% 18% 16% 48%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
5
CD1Rep * Senate CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Senate CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Senate CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Senate CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Senate CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Senate Crosstabulation% within Senate% within Senate% within Senate% within Senate% within Senate% within Senate
SenateSenateSenate
Schatz Hanabusa Unsure
CD1Rep Chang 10% 3% 4%CD1RepAnderson 6% 3% 4%
CD1Rep
Takai 15% 27% 9%
CD1Rep
Kim 25% 31% 9%
CD1Rep
Espero 10% 5% 7%
CD1Rep
Unsure 35% 31% 67%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100%
Senate * CD1Rep CrosstabulationSenate * CD1Rep CrosstabulationSenate * CD1Rep CrosstabulationSenate * CD1Rep CrosstabulationSenate * CD1Rep CrosstabulationSenate * CD1Rep CrosstabulationSenate * CD1Rep CrosstabulationSenate * CD1Rep CrosstabulationSenate * CD1Rep Crosstabulation% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep
CD1RepCD1RepCD1RepCD1RepCD1RepCD1Rep
Chang Anderson Takai Kim Espero UnsureSenate Schatz 62% 53% 30% 39% 50% 32%Senate
Hanabusa 24% 27% 58% 52% 27% 30%Senate
Unsure 14% 20% 12% 9% 23% 38%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Obama * CD1Rep CrosstabulationObama * CD1Rep CrosstabulationObama * CD1Rep CrosstabulationObama * CD1Rep CrosstabulationObama * CD1Rep CrosstabulationObama * CD1Rep CrosstabulationObama * CD1Rep CrosstabulationObama * CD1Rep CrosstabulationObama * CD1Rep Crosstabulation% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep% within CD1Rep
CD1RepCD1RepCD1RepCD1RepCD1RepCD1Rep
Chang Anderson Takai Kim Espero UnsureObama Approve 68% 63% 65% 63% 67% 65%Obama
Disapprove 32% 38% 35% 31% 30% 21%Obama
Unsure 7% 4% 14%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
CD1Rep * Obama CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Obama CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Obama CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Obama CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Obama CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Obama Crosstabulation% within Obama% within Obama% within Obama% within Obama% within Obama% within Obama
ObamaObamaObama
Approve Disapprove Unsure
CD1Rep Chang 6% 7% CD1RepAnderson 4% 6%
CD1Rep
Takai 19% 23%
CD1Rep
Kim 23% 26% 21%
CD1Rep
Espero 8% 8% 4%
CD1Rep
Unsure 40% 30% 75%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100%
6
Demographic Crosstabs
CD1Rep * Sex CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Sex CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Sex CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Sex CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Sex CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Sex Crosstabulation% within Sex% within Sex% within Sex% within Sex% within Sex% within Sex
SexSexSex
Male Female RefusedCD1Rep Chang 7% 6% CD1Rep
Anderson 6% 3% CD1Rep
Takai 22% 17% 50%
CD1Rep
Kim 21% 27%
CD1Rep
Espero 9% 6%
CD1Rep
Unsure 36% 43% 50%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100%
CD1Rep * Age CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Age CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Age CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Age CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Age Crosstabulation% within Age% within Age% within Age% within Age% within Age
AgeAge
Under 50
Fifty and over
CD1Rep Chang 6% 6%CD1RepAnderson 2% 4%
CD1Rep
Takai 11% 21%
CD1Rep
Kim 23% 24%
CD1Rep
Espero 16% 5%
CD1Rep
Unsure 42% 39%TotalTotal 100% 100%
CD1Rep * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Race_Ethnicity CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Race_Ethnicity Crosstabulation% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity% within Race_Ethnicity
Race_EthnicityRace_EthnicityRace_EthnicityRace_EthnicityRace_EthnicityRace_EthnicityRace_EthnicityRace_Ethnicity
Caucasian
Japanese Filipino
Hawaiian Chinese
Hispanic
Other/Mixed
CD1Rep Chang 7% 5% 2% 11% 12%CD1RepAnderson
6% 2% 22% 4% 8%CD1Rep
Takai 17% 29% 12% 6% 11% 14%
CD1Rep
Kim 19% 19% 31% 33% 21% 100% 22%
CD1Rep
Espero 6% 3% 31% 0% 7% 4%
CD1Rep
Unsure 45% 44% 21% 39% 46% 41%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
7
CD1Rep * Politics CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Politics CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Politics CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Politics CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Politics CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Politics CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Politics Crosstabulation% within Politics% within Politics% within Politics% within Politics% within Politics% within Politics% within Politics
PoliticsPoliticsPoliticsPolitics
Liberal/progressive Moderate Conservative Unsure
CD1Rep Chang 8% 7% 4% 4%CD1RepAnderson 2% 6% 7% 0%
CD1Rep
Takai 22% 17% 20% 18%
CD1Rep
Kim 15% 24% 33% 21%
CD1Rep
Espero 9% 7% 7% 5%
CD1Rep
Unsure 43% 38% 28% 52%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100%
CD1Rep * Party CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Party CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Party CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Party CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Party CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Party CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Party Crosstabulation% within Party% within Party% within Party% within Party% within Party% within Party% within Party
PartyPartyPartyParty
Democrat Republican Independent Unsure
CD1Rep Chang 6% 7% 9% 4%CD1RepAnderson 5% 3% 4%
CD1Rep
Takai 22% 23% 14% 8%
CD1Rep
Kim 21% 37% 23% 16%
CD1Rep
Espero 11% 7%
CD1Rep
Unsure 36% 23% 49% 72%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100%
CD1Rep * Education CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Education CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Education CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Education CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Education CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Education CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Education CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Education CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Education Crosstabulation% within Education% within Education% within Education% within Education% within Education% within Education% within Education% within Education% within Education
EducationEducationEducationEducationEducationEducation
No degree
HS graduate
College Graduate Some/Assoc/Voc
Grad Degree Refused
CD1Rep Chang 9% 5% 8% CD1RepAnderson 2% 4% 6% 5%
CD1Rep
Takai 11% 18% 24% 13% 19% 71%
CD1Rep
Kim 33% 30% 21% 29% 14% 0%
CD1Rep
Espero 9% 5% 4% 13%
CD1Rep
Unsure 56% 41% 37% 42% 41% 29%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
8
CD1Rep * Military_Family CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Military_Family CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Military_Family CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Military_Family CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Military_Family CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Military_Family Crosstabulation% within Military_Family% within Military_Family% within Military_Family% within Military_Family% within Military_Family% within Military_Family
Military_FamilyMilitary_FamilyMilitary_Family
Yes No RefusedCD1Rep Chang 6% 7% CD1Rep
Anderson 6% 2% CD1Rep
Takai 22% 14% 31%
CD1Rep
Kim 23% 21% 19%
CD1Rep
Espero 6% 12%
CD1Rep
Unsure 38% 45% 50%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100%
CD1Rep * Union_Family CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Union_Family CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Union_Family CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Union_Family CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Union_Family CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Union_Family Crosstabulation% within Union_Family% within Union_Family% within Union_Family% within Union_Family% within Union_Family% within Union_Family
Union_FamilyUnion_FamilyUnion_Family
Yes No RefusedCD1Rep Chang 8% 6% CD1Rep
Anderson 4% 4% 0%CD1Rep
Takai 26% 16% 20%
CD1Rep
Kim 26% 20% 7%
CD1Rep
Espero 6% 8% 13%
CD1Rep
Unsure 30% 45% 60%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100%
CD1Rep * Income CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Income CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Income CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Income CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Income CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Income CrosstabulationCD1Rep * Income Crosstabulation% within Income% within Income% within Income% within Income% within Income% within Income% within Income
IncomeIncomeIncomeIncome
Under $50,000
$50,000 - $99,999
$100,000 or more Refused
CD1Rep Chang 3% 5% 12% 4%CD1RepAnderson 3% 7% 2% 1%
CD1Rep
Takai 10% 23% 24% 17%
CD1Rep
Kim 29% 26% 18% 16%
CD1Rep
Espero 13% 7% 9% 1%
CD1Rep
Unsure 43% 32% 34% 60%TotalTotal 100% 100% 100% 100%