Cat 11 Future Trends Briefing Students 2

8/7/2019 Cat 11 Future Trends Briefing Students 2

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Future TrendsProjects Competition 2011

Meet the Futurists Session 2


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RECAP


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Inspiredby:

FPS: Future Problem Solving

The aim of Future Problem Solving is essentially to developcritical, creative and futuristic thinking skills. It challengesstudents to apply their imagination and thinking skills to

some of the significant issues facing both the world of today,and the future, equipping them with the skills and visionneeded to anticipate, comprehend and solve problemsassociated with these issues, helping them to have a positiveimpact in the society of the future. FPSP Australia

But there are critical differences between FPS and FutureTrends, which will be explained in the next few slides ofthebriefing.


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Working

Principles of

Cat 11: Future Trends

While divergent thinking is highly encouraged,

students must also be able to take on an evaluative

function, hence a balance between originality and

research is advocated.

Focus on both process (documented research) +

product (creatively-applied research).

creative activity is made possible by a critical assessment of the existing body ofknowledge K.P. Mohanan, 1997.

ideational flow must also be criticallycensored G. J. W. Smith, 2005.


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6-Step Future Trends Process

1 Identify Potential Problems

2 Identify Fundamental Problem3 Identify Potential Solutions

4 Select Best Solution

5 Design Action Plan

6 Evaluate Action Plan


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Projects Competition Prelims

Requirements for Students

Students will be presented with a

scenario set in the future

Complete Steps 1 2, with research,

in online portfolio.

Presentation:

Present Steps 1 2:

Select 5 most significant potentialproblems substantiated with current

and future trend research.

Present Fundamental Problem and

rationale.

6-Step Future Trends Process

1 Identify Potential Problems2 Identify Fundamental Problem

3 Identify Potential Solutions

4 Select Best Solution

5 Design Action Plan

6 Evaluate Action Plan


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STEP 1 IDENTIFY POTENTIALPROBLEMS

1. Brainstorm at least 15 potential problems

2. Perform research on the 15 potential problems

- Discard poorest 5

3. Phrase 10 best potential problems clearly

- Use FPSP approach

4. Update online portfolio

- Portfolio should be aesthetically pleasing, easy to navigate, easy toread. Each piece of research should be evaluated and summarised.Hyperlink evaluation of research to problem.

5. Select best 5 for presentation


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Categories

Business and commerce

Transportation

Social relationships

Environment

Education

Technology

Recreation

Government & Politics

Ethics and religion

Arts and aesthetics

Physical health

Basic Needs Defense

Economics

Law & Justice

Communication

Miscellaneous


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Good example:The widespread use of the WristLink device may

lead to a general decline in the communication

skills of the young generation.

Poor example:Whatproblem can the widespread use of the

WristLink device cause?

Writing Problems

You should write all problems as sentences, not as questions.


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Good example:

If forgetful owners like Geoff lose their WristLink, their

security maybe in peril.

Poor example:

If forgetful owners like Geoff lose their WristLink,

their security willbe in peril.

Writing Problems

You should also use words like may, might, could.

Never use definites like will!


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Writing Problems

Make sure you say exactly:

WHAT the problem is

Explain WHY it is a problem

HOW it relates to the future scene


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How do I write out the

PROBLEMSin FPSP?

The always available nature of WristLinkChat1 may lead to the development of a

generation of people who are unable to

communicate with others face-to-face2 due to

over-reliance on WristLink Chat3.

1. WHAT the problem is

2. Why it is a problem3. How the problem

relates to the future scene


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How do I write out the

PROBLEMSin Future Trends?

The always available nature of WristLink

Chat1 may lead to the development of a

generation of people who are unable to

communicate with others face-to-face2 due toover-reliance on WristLink Chat3. Research by

Bright Moonface (2005) states that social

distancing occurs even when social media

becomes more widespread, and this is likely to

be more pronounced in the years to come.


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STEP 2 IDENTIFY FUNDAMENTALPROBLEM

1. The Fundamental Problem should not simply be

one of the 10 potential problems identified, but

rather a rephrasing and amalgamation ofthemost significant problems.

2. Consider the impact of the problem, the

influence on the topic, and whether the FP allows

you to be imaginative.3. Express it in the form of a question


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A Sample Fundamental Problem

The Future Scene states that many problems with

the WristLink stem from the personal information

available on the Internet1.

In what ways might we2 minimise3 the potential for

abuse of personal information on the Internet allover the world4 so that our privacy is not impinged

upon5 in 2048 and beyond6?

1. Condition

3. KVP

5. Purpose6. Parameters

4. Stem2. Question Words


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Lets revisit the rubrics


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Resources (or how/where to find information this is not an

exhaustive list and should not be treated as such)

Best method: Always do a targeted search, e.g. teenage depression,stress from academia (as opposed to generic searches like mentalhealth). While current research can strengthen your argument, it willalways be better if you have evidence that current research can beextrapolated into the future.

Other potentially useful resources:

World Future Society http://www.wfs.org

Global Futurist - http://www.globalfuturist.com/

Future Takes (past magazine issues) -http://www.futuretakes.org/Magazine-Issues.html

Open Culture http://www.openculture.com

and the wealth of online resources available athttp://library.wiki.hci.edu.sg/Online+Resources

Documents

Cat 11 Future Trends Briefing Students 2