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CASE STUDY: SRI LANKA AID FOR TRADE EXPERT DIALOGUE
BANGKOK, 18th Nov. 2013
Outline
1. Preparation Stage
2. Implementation Stage
3. Preliminary Results
4. Verdict
2
Research Team
1. Preparation stage
Chandana Karunaratne Research Officer, IPS
Ashani Abayasekara Research Officer, IPS
Tharaka Hettiarachchi Project Intern, IPS
3
1. Preparation stage
Literature Review
Performance Reviews
Foreign Aid Reviews
Logical Frameworks
Budgets Environmental
Monitoring Reports
OECD QWIDS Database
Debt Statistics
4
Stakeholder Mapping
1. Preparation stage
Department of Commerce
Department of External Resources
Joint Apparel Association
Forum
Ceylon Chamber of Commerce
Export Manufacturing
Firms
Sri Lanka Ports
Authority
Export Manufacturing
Firms
Logistics Providers
Attendees of Workshops
and Trainings
Delegation of the European
Union
Asian Development
Bank
5
Overview of AfT in Sri Lanka Figure 1: Aid-for-Trade Flows into Sri Lanka, 2006 – 2011
Source: OECD-DAC, Aid activity database (CRS), 2012.
-
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
USD
tho
usan
ds, 2
011
cons
tant
pri
ces
Year
Total AfT Flows
Economic Infrastructure
Building Productive Capacity
Trade Policy and Regulations
2. Implementation stage
6
Overview of AfT in Sri Lanka
67%
23%
3% 3% 2% 2%
Japan
World Bank
Denmark
EU Institutions
France
Spain
Figure 2: Contribution of Top AfT Donors (2008-09 average)
Source: OECD/WTO, 2011, Aid for Trade at a Glance 2011: Showing Results, available: [http://browse.oecdbookshop.org/oecd/pdfs/free/4311141e.pdf].
2. Implementation stage
7
Project Selection: Average Scores
34%
40%
63%
71%
76%
77%
86%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Small and Micro Industries Promotion Project (JBIC)
Trade Negotiation Workshop in Agriculture (FAO)
Increased Competitiveness in the Global Marketplace (USAID)
SME Regional Development Project (ADB)
Sri Lanka Port Management and Maritime Safety Training (KOICA)
Sri Lanka Trade Development Project (EU)
Colombo Port Expansion Project (ADB)
Source: Authors’ own calculations based on evaluation criteria given in Adhikari and Bajracharya (2013).
2. Implementation stage
8
Project Selection: Sri Lanka Trade Development Project
Avg. Score: 77%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Category Objectives Time-frame Availabilityof
Information
Modality ofDelivery
PrivateSector
Willingnessto
Cooperate
2. Implementation stage
9
Project Selection: Colombo Port Expansion Project
Score: 86%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Category Objectives Time-frame Availabilityof
Information
Modality ofDelivery
PrivateSector
Willingnessto
Cooperate
2. Implementation stage
10
Data Gathering Method
2. Implementation stage
Qualitative Approach
Face-to-face Interviews Phone Interviews Email Questionnaires
11
Five Pillars of Evaluation
3. Preliminary Results
Relevance
Efficiency
Effectiveness
Impact
Sustainability
12
PROJECT 1:
SRI LANKA TRADE DEVELOPMENT PROJECT
3. Preliminary Results
13
Increase Export Potential in Garments and Gems &
Jewelry Sectors
Strengthen Capacity for WTO Negotiations
3. Preliminary Results
Sri Lanka Trade Development Project
14
Relevance
3. Preliminary Results
Sri Lanka Trade Development Project
Stimulating trade and investment flows
Integrating into the world economy
Strengthening institutional capacity
15
3. Preliminary Results
Sri Lanka Trade Development Project
Efficiency
Consultations with stakeholders
Needs assessment analysis
Monitoring visits
16
Effectiveness
3. Preliminary Results
Sri Lanka Trade Development Project
Capacity enhanced in DOC, CCC, and EDB
Training of 50 national WTO experts
17
Sri Lanka Trade Development Project
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Perc
enta
ge
US$
Mill
ion Exports to the EU
Total Exports
Exports as a % of GDP
Figure 3: Sri Lanka’s Exports, 2005-2012
Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka, Annual Report, Various Issues
3. Preliminary Results
18
Sri Lanka Trade Development Project Figure 4: FDI Inflows to Sri Lanka, 2005-2012
Source: Board of Investment of Sri Lanka, 2013
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
US$
Mill
ion
Total FDI
EU FDI
3. Preliminary Results
19
3. Preliminary Results
Sri Lanka Trade Development Project
Impact
Increased competence in
WTO negotiations
Significant knowledge and
experience gained
Minimal negative impact on social
environment 20
Sustainability
3. Preliminary Results
Sri Lanka Trade Development Project
Lack of institutional memory
Need to redevelop WIC
21
3. Preliminary Results
Sri Lanka Trade Development Project
Verdict
Regular monitoring
Strengthened institutional capacity
Problem of sustainability
22
PROJECT 2:
COLOMBO PORT EXPANSION PROJECT
3. Preliminary Results
23
Relevance
3. Preliminary Results
Colombo Port Expansion Project
Primary transshipment hub port
Increase competitiveness
Strengthen container-handling capacity
24
3. Preliminary Results
Colombo Port Expansion Project
Efficiency
Stringent monitoring and
evaluation
Project Implementation
Unit
25
Impact
3. Preliminary Results
Colombo Port Expansion Project
Lower freight costs
Increased container-handling capacity
Increased transshipment traffic
26
3. Preliminary Results
Colombo Port Expansion Project
Sustainability
Significant role for private sector
Increased demand for port facilities
27
Colombo Port Expansion Project
Figure 11: Projected Annual Income and Expenditure Streams for Sri Lanka Ports Authority
Source: ADB 2007.
(150,000)
(100,000)
(50,000)
-
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
Inco
me-
Expe
nditu
re S
trea
m ($
'000
)
Year
3. Preliminary Results
28
3. Preliminary Results
Colombo Port Expansion Project
Verdict
Strict monitoring and evaluation framework
Potential to be highly successful
29
THANK YOU
30
