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SENATOR DAN SULLIVAN CASE STUDY: ELECTING THE CHALLENGE An incumbent democrat who many believed was running the best senate campaign in the country. Outside liberal special interest groups, including Harry Reid’s Super PAC and organized labor. An extremely competitive three-way primary against the popular Lt. Governor and the 2010 GOP senate nominee. THE SOLUTION TARGET Contact Analyze i360’s database, which includes hundreds of variables on each individual, as well as a full suite of predictive models, formed the core of the campaign’s data and targeting operation. Our analytics team worked closely with the Sullivan campaign to develop a custom “Deep Dive” analysis of the race. Our predictive dialer and mobile canvassing applications provided real-time access to voter data via the campaign’s database. On November 12th, 2014, news networks confirmed what i360 and the Sullivan campaign had known for days – that Dan Sullivan had defeated Mark Begich and would be Alaska’s next Senator. THE RESULTS

CASE STUDY: ELECTING · CASE STUDY: ELECTING THE CHALLENGE An incumbent democrat who many believed was running the best senate campaign in the country. Outside liberal special interest

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Page 1: CASE STUDY: ELECTING · CASE STUDY: ELECTING THE CHALLENGE An incumbent democrat who many believed was running the best senate campaign in the country. Outside liberal special interest

SENATOR DAN SULLIVANCASE STUDY: ELECTING

T H E C H A L L E N G E

A n i n c u m b e n t d e m o c r a t w h o m a n y b e l i e v e d w a s r u n n i n g t h e b e s t s e n a t e c a m p a i g n i n t h e c o u n t r y .

O u t s i d e l i b e r a l s p e c i a l i n t e r e s t g r o u p s , i n c l u d i n g H a r r y R e i d ’ s S u p e r P A C a n d o r g a n i z e d l a b o r .

A n e x t r e m e l y c o m p e t i t i v e t h r e e - w a y p r i m a r y a g a i n s t t h e p o p u l a r L t . G o v e r n o r a n d t h e 2 0 1 0 G O P s e n a t e n o m i n e e .

T H E S O L U T I O N

T A R G E T C o n t a c t A n a l y z e

i 3 6 0 ’ s d a t a b a s e , w h i c h i n c l u d e s h u n d r e d s o f v a r i a b l e s o n e a c h i n d i v i d u a l , a s w e l l a s a f u l l s u i t e o f p r e d i c t i v e m o d e l s , f o r m e d t h e c o r e o f t h e c a m p a i g n ’ s d a t a a n d t a r g e t i n g o p e r a t i o n .

O u r a n a l y t i c s t e a m w o r k e d c l o s e l y w i t h t h e S u l l i v a n c a m p a i g n t o d e v e l o p a c u s t o m “ D e e p D i v e ” a n a l y s i s o f t h e r a c e .

O u r p r e d i c t i v e d i a l e r a n d m o b i l e c a n v a s s i n g a p p l i c a t i o n s p r o v i d e d r e a l - t i m e a c c e s s t o v o t e r d a t a v i a t h e c a m p a i g n ’ s d a t a b a s e .

O n N o v e m b e r 1 2 t h , 2 0 1 4 , n e w s n e t w o r k s c o n f i r m e d w h a t i 3 6 0 a n d t h e S u l l i v a n c a m p a i g n h a d k n o w n f o r d a y s – t h a t D a n S u l l i v a n h a d d e f e a t e d M a r k B e g i c h a n d w o u l d b e A l a s k a ’ s n e x t S e n a t o r .

T H E R E S U LT S

Page 2: CASE STUDY: ELECTING · CASE STUDY: ELECTING THE CHALLENGE An incumbent democrat who many believed was running the best senate campaign in the country. Outside liberal special interest

SENATOR DAN SULLIVANCASE STUDY: ELECTING

T H E C H A L L E N G E

A n i n c u m b e n t d e m o c r a t w h o m a n y b e l i e v e d w a s r u n n i n g t h e b e s t s e n a t e c a m p a i g n i n t h e c o u n t r y .

O u t s i d e l i b e r a l s p e c i a l i n t e r e s t g r o u p s , i n c l u d i n g H a r r y R e i d ’ s S u p e r P A C a n d o r g a n i z e d l a b o r .

A n e x t r e m e l y c o m p e t i t i v e t h r e e - w a y p r i m a r y a g a i n s t t h e p o p u l a r L t . G o v e r n o r a n d t h e 2 0 1 0 G O P s e n a t e n o m i n e e .

T H E S O L U T I O N

O n N o v e m b e r 1 2 t h , 2 0 1 4 , n e w s n e t w o r k s c o n f i r m e d w h a t i 3 6 0 a n d t h e S u l l i v a n c a m p a i g n h a d k n o w n f o r d a y s – t h a t D a n S u l l i v a n h a d d e f e a t e d M a r k B e g i c h a n d w o u l d b e A l a s k a ’ s n e x t S e n a t o r .

T H E R E S U LT S

T A R G E T C o n t a c t A n a l y z e

i 3 6 0 ’ s d a t a b a s e , w h i c h i n c l u d e s h u n d r e d s o f v a r i a b l e s o n e a c h i n d i v i d u a l , a s w e l l a s a f u l l s u i t e o f p r e d i c t i v e m o d e l s , f o r m e d t h e c o r e o f t h e c a m p a i g n ’ s d a t a a n d t a r g e t i n g o p e r a t i o n .

O u r a n a l y t i c s t e a m w o r k e d c l o s e l y w i t h t h e S u l l i v a n c a m p a i g n t o d e v e l o p a c u s t o m “ D e e p D i v e ” a n a l y s i s o f t h e r a c e .

O u r p r e d i c t i v e d i a l e r a n d m o b i l e c a n v a s s i n g a p p l i c a t i o n s p r o v i d e d r e a l - t i m e a c c e s s t o v o t e r d a t a v i a t h e c a m p a i g n ’ s d a t a b a s e .