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Carbon Sequestration Methods: the State of the Art
Daniel “J.” Leistra
GCCS Final Presentation
August 8, 2002
Strategies for Addressing Climate Change
For many, the debate is polarized between mitigation and adaptation
Climate change policies don’t have to be monolithic
Carbon sequestration is the ‘third path’ Sequestration shouldn’t be excluded from any
serious discussion of policy options
Carbon Sequestration: What It Is Stores CO2 removed from the atmosphere or
captured from emissions and stores it in another form somewhere else (a ‘carbon sink’)
Occurs naturally: oceans and plants are already absorbing much of what we emit
We can speed the process along or deposit CO2 in sinks that it wouldn’t have entered before
Possible sinks: plants and soils, carbonate minerals, geologic formations, ocean
Ocean Fertilization Plankton photosynthesis creates
45 Gt organic carbon per year Most carbon gets recycled to
atmosphere, but some is drawn down into deep ocean
Iron is the limiting factor for phytoplankton growth in 20% of the world’s oceans (HNLC zones)
Fertilization with iron could enhance growth, fix more carbon
NOAA/NESDIS SeaWiFS satellite image of 1997 Bering Sea plankton bloom
(http://www.sfos.uaf.edu/npmr/projects)
Studies Show…
Geologic record suggests phytoplankton growth may have substantially decreased atmospheric CO2 in the past
Numerous experiments have shown huge (30-40x) increases in primary production, lower CO2 levels
If it is successful, there will be virtually no limit on how much CO2 the oceans can hold
Problems All of these studies were short-term: unknown how
much CO2 is being carried into the deep ocean Public perception, especially concerning Antarctic
waters Fishing Industry???
Fertilizing every HNLC zone would sequester 76 Gt C by 2100, but would require 300,000 ships and 1.6 billion kg iron annually
Injection into Deep Saline Aquifers Saline aquifers are
underground layers of porous sediment filled with brackish water
If they are deep enough and hydrologically separated from other aquifers, they can safely hold CO2
U.S. is already dumping 75 million cubic meters of industrial waste into deep saline aquifers each year
CO2 injection process is similar to EOR; one commercial venture
The Future is Now
already in place and running smoothly Preliminary geologic data available, compiled by Hovorka et al. (2000)
The Good Deep saline aquifers are widespread: 2/3 of U.S. power
plants and industrial centers could inject without constructing pipelines
Unlike oil and gas fields, they don’t need special geometries to sequester CO2 – wide structures confined only by a horizontal layer of rock can hold it for thousands of years
A large amount of CO2 would be incorporated into rocks and remain stable on a geologic time scale
If there was a natural leak, it wouldn’t pose any danger
The Bad
No incentive to sequester without a carbon tax or a permit system
Injection well failure =
horrible, horrible death
…and the Unknown
Estimates of worldwide sequestration potential range from 320 - 10,000 Gt CO2
Environmentalists and the NIMBY effect More site-specific information needed before
injection can begin
Conclusions
Though no single option is perfect, carbon sequestration has potential for great societal benefits
Continuing research is sure to bring about further breakthroughs, particularly in the field of carbon capture
Climate change policies shouldn’t be all or nothing: while carbon sequestration isn’t the answer, it is an answer
And they all lived happily ever after. THE END
Cropland Retirement 20 – 50% of soil organic
carbon (SOC) lost within first few decades of cultivation
Worldwide estimates of loss = 41 to 55 Gt C
As farms face increasing ecological and economic challenges, many are being abandoned
Cropland Retirement (cont.)
Governments or NGOs can buy back failing farms and attempt to reestablish natural ecosystems
This regeneration can be active or passive Temporary set-asides also a possibility
Predictions
Regenerating forests across eastern U.S. demonstrate that it can work, even without much effort
Removing 15% of land in countries with surpluses would sequester 1.5 – 3 Gt C
Conversion will increase biodiversity, provide habitat for endangered species, protect watersheds, reduce erosion and salinization
Reestablishing grasslands more difficult than forests, but CRP is a well-proven alternative
My Analysis Lower sequestration potential than other options,
but simpler, more environmentally friendly Provides a good way out for struggling farmers,
reduces need for government subsidies Lower food supply helps those farmers that stay in
business, but could hurt the developing world Resulting ecosystems may not be ‘natural,’ but a
managed forest is better than a farm