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This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
Final version V0.94 | 20.05.2020
Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase II
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
THE CRREM TEAM GRATEFULLY ACKNOWLEDGES THE SUPPORT AND ADVICE RECEIVED FROM THE EUROPEAN INVESTOR COMMITTEE IN THE COMPILATION OF THIS REPORT
INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS & CORPORATE PARTNERS
Aberdeen Standard Ruairi Revell (ESG Manager, Real Estate)
Land Securities Fernanda Amemiya (Sustainability Reporting Manager)
AEW Europe Hans Vrensen (Managing Director, Head of Research & Strategy)
Metro AG Olaf Schulze (Director Facility, Energy & Resource Management)
alstria Alexander Dexne (CFO)
Robert Kitel (Head of Sustainability & Future Research)
Nelson Group Carlos Morgado (Project Manager)
APG Asset Management Derk Welling (Senior Responsible Investment & Governance Specialist)
PGGM Mathieu Elshout (Senior Director Private Real Estate)
BNP Paribas Real Estate Consult Hermann Horster (Regional Director, Head of Sustainability)
RE-sponsibility Michael Ullmann (Managing Director)
ECE Projektmanagement Maria Hill (Director Sustainability & Internal Services)
Savills Investment Management Barbara Linnemann (Head of Asset Management Germany)
Gerhard Lehner (Managing Director, Head of Fund Management)
Grosvenor Emily Hamilton (Sustainability Manager)
Union Investment Jan von Mallinckrodt (Head of Sustainability, Head of Segment
Development)
ista International Hans Martin Hermann (Senior Manager Public Affairs)
Zurich Insurance Group Roger Baumann (COO Global Real Estate & Head Product Development)
INDUSTRY BODIES & ACADEMICS
BBP Better Buildings Partnership Christopher Botten (Programme Manager)
INREV European Association for Investors in Non-Listed Real Estate Vehicles
Federica Miano (Public Affairs Manager)
CDP Alberto Carrillo Pineda (Director Science Based Targets and
Renewable Energy)
ULI Greenprint Center for Building Performance Marta Schantz (Senior Vice President)
DGNB German Sustainable Building Council Anna Braune (Director Research and Development)
University of Cambridge Franz Fürst (Professor of Real Estate and Urban Economics)
DGBC Dutch Green Building Council Martin Mooij (Head of Certification and Project manager DGBC
Deltaplan sustainable renovation)
World Green Building Council Stephen Richardson (Technical Lead - Energy Efficiency Mortgages)
EPRA European Public Real Estate Association Gloria Duci (ESG Officer)
ZIA German Property Federation Philipp Matzke (Consultant Energy and Climate Protection, Facilities
Engineering)
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase III
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
Authors
Institut für Immobilienökonomie / Institute for Real Estate Economics (IIÖ, project coordinator, Austria)
Jens Hirsch, Julia Wein, Sven Bienert, Maximilian Spanner, Peter Geiger, Juan José Lafuente
University of Ulster (UU, United Kingdom)
Martin Haran, Peadar Davis, Michael McCord, Daniel Lo
GRESB BV (GRESB, Netherlands)
Erik Landry, Rik Recourt
Universidad de Alicante / University of Alicante (UA, Spain)
Paloma Taltavull, Raul Perez, Francisco Juárez, Ana Maria Martinez
TiasNimbas Business School BV, Tilburg University / Universiteit van Tilburg (TU, Netherlands)
Dirk Brounen
EDITOR: IIÖ Institut für Immobilienökonomie GmbH, Josef-Steinbacher-Straße 1, A-6300 Wörgl, Austria
CONTACT: [email protected]
DATE: May 2020
COPYRIGHT: The content of this study is the property of the CRREM consortium. Its use, copying, circulation, translation, microstorage, storage and processing using electronic systems for commercial or other purposes is only allowed within the frame of the applicable legal regulations.
ISSN: 2663-7634
TITLE PHOTO: Images: Creative Commons Zero CC0 | Digital Image Composing: Jens Hirsch
DISCLAIMER: The sole responsibility for the content of this publication lies with the authors. It does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the European Union. Neither the EASME nor the European Commission are responsible for any use that may be made of the information contained therein.
CITATION: Landry, Erik; Hirsch, Jens; Wein, Julia; Bienert, Sven; Spanner, Maximilian; Geiger, Peter; Lafuente, Juan José; Haran, Martin; Davis, Peadar; McCord, Michael; Lo, Daniel; Taltavull, Paloma; Perez, Raul; Juárez, Francisco; Martinez, Ana Maria; Brounen, Dirk (2020): CRREM Retrofit Harmonisation Roadmap. A Guide to Policy Formulation in the European Commercial Real Estate Industry. CRREM Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase, 2020, Wörgl, Austria.
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase IV
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
Table of Contents
A.1 Decarbonisation and Energy Reduction Pathways ..................................................................................... A.2
A.2 Asset-level Analytics .................................................................................................................................. A.3
A.3 Portfolio-level Analytics ............................................................................................................................. A.6
B.1 Institutional Investors, Pension Funds and Insurance Companies ............................................................... B.2
B.2 REITs, Property Companies and Other Asset Owners.................................................................................. B.2
B.3 Corporates ................................................................................................................................................. B.3
B.4 Certification Bodies .................................................................................................................................... B.3
B.5 Industry Bodies .......................................................................................................................................... B.3
B.6 Academia ................................................................................................................................................... B.3
B.7 Consultants ................................................................................................................................................ B.4
B.8 Fund-, Asset and Investment Managers ..................................................................................................... B.4
B.9 Separate Testing by the European Investor Committee (EIC) .................................................................... B.4
D.1 Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures .................................................................................. D.2
D.2 World Green Building Council (GBC) - Advancing Net Zero: Net Zero Carbon Buildings Commitment ......... D.4
D.3 EU Taxonomy for Sustainable Activities ..................................................................................................... D.5
D.4 Global Real Estate Sustainability Benchmark (GRESB) ............................................................................... D.6
D.5 Science-Based Targets Initiative (SBTi) ....................................................................................................... D.6
D.6 Global Reporting Intiative’s (GRI) Sustainability Reporting Standards ....................................................... D.7
D.7 European Real Estate Association (EPRA) Sustainability Best Practice Recommendations ......................... D.7
D.8 Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI)................................................................................................ D.8
E.1 CRREM Roll-Out: From EU Commercial Real Estate to the Global Building Sector ....................................... E.2
E.2 Integration with GRESB ............................................................................................................................... E.3
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase V
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase VI
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase VII
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
The Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor (CRREM) project has developed a science-based downscaling methodology to
derive decarbonisation pathways that are consistent with the goals of the Paris Climate Agreement. These pathways
have been derived at the level of specific building types in individual countries (for further details please see
www.crrem.org/pathways and https://www.crrem.eu/publications/reports). In order to make this information
immediately actionable by real estate portfolio managers and institutional investors, CRREM has constructed a freely
available and easy-to-use tool (to directly download the tool please visit www.crrem.eu/tool.
The CRREM Risk Assessment Tool offers the possibility for its users to evaluate the progress of a commercial real estate
portfolio’s carbon reduction performance against decarbonisation targets in line with the Paris Agreement (i.e.,
limiting global warming to 2°C or 1.5°C or individual target setting). The CRREM tool helps to identify which properties
will be at risk of stranding due to the expected increase in stringent building codes, regulation, shifting market
expectations and increasing carbon prices. It also enables an analysis of the effects of refurbishing single properties on
the total carbon performance of a company, including by assessing emissions related to embodied carbon.
The CRREM Risk Assessment Tool was designed in coordination with several scientific- and stakeholder committees and
was subjected to comprehensive moderated testing. The purpose of the pilot testing was to ensure three outcomes:
1
That the tool inputs are aligned with the types of information
available to its user
2
That the tool outputs and analysis functionalities addressing the
needs of its user base
3 That the tool is easy to use and
understandable and the calculations are correct
The heterogenous group of participants of the pilot test phase represented wide variety of the most relevant
stakeholders in the tool’s audience. This included institutional investors and asset owners; fund managers, REITs, and
property companies, asset operators, certification bodies, relevant industry bodies, and academia. To date investors
and asset managers responsible for more than 3,112 Bio. Euro Assets under Management made use of the tool.
The major conclusions of the pilot testing include:
❖ The tool clearly provides an added value for the industry, for example enabling a transparent analysis of carbon
risks, calculation of abatement costs and evaluating the correct timing of future retrofit measures.
❖ The tool provides the perfect opportunity to start a very important dialogue between investors and fund
managers about the carbon performance of their assets and possible ways to reduce the carbon footprint.
❖ The tool is useful for setting science-based, Paris-aligned targets for individual commercial real estate properties
with regards to the carbon intensity of their assets.
❖ The tool provides a useful mechanism for the assessment of carbon related transition risks at both the asset
and portfolio level, as well as planning retrofit actions that would be required to mitigate those risks.
❖ The tool can help asset managers report carbon risks in line with other major reporting initiatives, including the
TCFD and the EU Taxonomy on Sustainable Finance.
Due to the high level of interest garnered over the course of the CRREM project and the utility of the tool for commercial
real estate in the European Union, the CRREM project has received follow-on funding from several investment partners
to expand its scope. Decarbonisation pathways are now developed not only for the commercial building sector in the
European Union, but also for all major developed real estate markets globally as well as for residential buildings. These
developments promise to make the tool an important resource for a still wider group of stakeholders.
CRREM and GRESB, the ESG benchmark for real assets, have partnered to make the CRREM tool even more accessible
to its expansive network of commercial real estate portfolios. By integrating the CRREM tool into the GRESB Portal,
GRESB members will have more information on the Paris alignment, performance, and transition risks of their assets
than ever before.
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase VIII
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
INTRODUCTION
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase IX
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
The Paris Agreement serves as an international target to limit the warming of the planet to no more than 2°C, with
aspirations toward 1.5°C. Such century-long temperature targets have come to be associated with specific global carbon
budgets and emissions pathways. These high-level, long-term goals, however, do not allocate the necessary reductions
in GHG emissions across economic sectors or countries, let alone across specific actors or assets.
As the global financial sector struggles to understand its role in the fight against climate change, the one method of
mobilising to do so includes aligning itself with the goals of the Paris Agreement. Thus, the major challenge for asset
owners has become how they might understand their assets in relation to the Paris Agreement.
Furthermore, as the effects of climate change are already increasingly being felt around the world in the form of
increasing frequency and severity of extreme weather events and troubling climatic patterns, the social impetus to
transition to a low-carbon economy is the highest it’s ever been. The large-scale economic rebalancing required to
mitigate the scenario of catastrophic climate change introduces what is called ‘transition’ risk, encompassing not only
the risk of rising costs due to the pricing-in of carbon emissions on various national and international scales, but also
market effects, technological disruptions, legal liabilities, and reputational risks. In the case of the commercial real
estate sector, the transition risks of carbon pricing and energy efficiency regulations loom large.
The Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor (CRREM) project provides an elegant solution to the challenges of the commercial
real estate sector with regard to aligning with Paris targets and mitigating transition risk. Funded by the European
Union under its Horizon 2020 programme for Research and Innovation, CRREM delivers a science-based, methodically
rigorous, industry supported, and framework aligned way for the commercial real estate sector to understand
international contexts, set science-based targets, benchmark specific real assets, and analyse portfolio performance.
Using the statistical framework of the Sectoral Decarbonisation Approach (SDA), a downscaling methodology also used
by the Science-Based Targets Initiative, CRREM has derived Paris-aligned decarbonisation pathways for commercial real
estate assets that can be used to benchmark the current and future performance of commercial real estate assets
against the long-term international targets.
Figure 1: Stranding of real estate assets
Figure 1 provides a summary of the fundamental principle of CRREM’s stranding risk analysis approach for single
properties:
Black line: The black line represents a building’s baseline and future carbon performance in terms of the so-called
greenhouse gas (GHG) intensity, which is calculated as the amount of annual greenhouse gas emissions per building
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase X
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
floor area. Emission figures include those directly generated by the on-site combustion of fossil fuels for heating and
indirect emissions (caused by the use of district heating and/or electricity consumption).
Green curve: The green curve represents the target decarbonisation pathway of a specific building that aligns with a
certain climate target (1.5°C/2°C) and must not be exceeded. If the emission intensity is above the target value,
‘stranding’ occurs. To be clear, this does not mean an instant and full loss of an investment’s value. Transition risk is an
insidious danger to value and potential future costs (for example due to fines for excess emissions above certain target
values) are anticipated early, resulting in a steadily increasing risk of economic obsolescence.
In Figure 1, the exemplary building fulfils the requirements only at the very beginning and faces stranding far before the
end of the observation period (2050). Only appropriate retrofit measures reducing the GHG emissions can ensure that
the building will meet the future emission ceilings.
This benchmarking exercise allows asset managers, institutional investors, and other stakeholders to estimate not only
when a particular asset might be stranded as a result of non-compliance with national carbon intensity and energy
efficiency regulations, but also, upon aggregation, what this means at the portfolio level.
Upon inputting specific information about particular assets in the CRREM Tool, real estate portfolio managers can
analyse their commercial real estate portfolios in a number of different ways, from alignment with Paris goals, to
identification of assets at risk of becoming stranded due to potential regionally-specific climate policy, to
understanding of costs of future energy consumption and carbon emissions, to design of retrofit strategies in an effort
to comply with future regulation.
This report concludes the successful Pilot Testing Phase of the CRREM project and outlines the main benefits of the
tool as demonstrated by the participants during testing.
Pilot testing was methodically structured as follows:
The pilot testing phase of the tool started with the launch of the pre-release tool, which was made available for
download on the crrem homepage. The launch of the pre-release tool was shared through various media channels in
mid-February 2020. A pre-filled and an empty version of the tool was available for the duration of three months for
testing. The final version of the tool was publicly announced with a press release on the 11th of May 2020.
As the tool can be downloaded free of charge and through the distribution of news, a wide range of user-types was
reached. In addition to the tool, a video tutorial, supplementary reports, a reference guide and general background
information is also published and accessible on website. Numerous large international real estate investors tested the
tool, which resulted in over 4 million lettable space analysed in the pilot phase. Consultation and feedback focused on
the general usability of the tool, speed and output generation. Further, testers were asked to place a focus on the
starting values and general pathway of the given decarbonisation and energy reduction pathways of their respective
country while testing and using the tool.
Due to larger investors participating, assets and portfolios covered a wider geographical range and asset-mix.
All feedback was implemented on an ongoing basis and continuously updated throughout the testing phase. The version
history is stated on the first page of the tool, the latest version was consistently updated online.
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase XI
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
THE RIGHT TOOL FOR THE JOB:
EXPERIENCE OF PARTICIPANTS
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase XII
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
THE RIGHT TOOL FOR THE JOB: EXPERIENCE OF PARTICIPANTS
“CRREM is a very insightful and practical tool that gives us very clear guidance on the environmental
performance of our portfolio and supports us in making future investment decisions for both new
acquisitions as capex projects.”
Ronald van der Waals, fund manager CBRE Dutch Office Fund, managed by CBRE Global Investors
“EVORA has already begun integrating the use of the CRREM tool into the climate resilience strategies of
our clients. The tool’s country and property type specific decarbonisation benchmarks for individual
assets has proved a significant step forward, enabling clients to prioritise energy consumption and emission
reduction efforts and budgets towards individual assets whilst ensuring overall portfolio
decarbonisation targets are met.”
Peter Willcocks, Sustainability Consultant, EVORA Global
“CRREM is a helpful tool that can support companies in assessing the required reduction in carbon
emissions at asset level.”
Fernanda Amemiya, Sustainability Reporting Manager, Landsec
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase XIII
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
“The CRREM tool certainly has a benefit for us as an investor.
Firstly, because it provides us with reduction pathways for properties, we have exposure to, based
on a specific property type.
Secondly, it clearly shows us which assets within a certain portfolio will likely be at risk in the near
future.
This type of information also allows for better understanding why certain assets are having higher
intensity rates, whether additional capex is needed or whether this is due to for example tenant behaviour,
or maybe even data gathering issues.”
Mathieu Elshout, Senior Director Private Real Estate, PGGM
“The tool has benefits to us and clients in starting to assess low carbon transition risks for assets and
portfolios.
Highlighting those assets which are most at risk currently and likely to be in the near future is useful as a screening for further investigation of potential measures to reduce
GHG emission intensity and improve portfolio performance.
[The tool is] useful in setting near-term targets to align with the benchmark target… as well in giving clarity to the action required and feeding
into financial planning cycles.”
Matthew Brundle, Director, EVORA Global
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase XIV
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
“The climate crisis is the defining crisis of our time and it’s
happening even faster than we expected. The transition to a
low carbon world must accelerate in every corner of the world
to meet the commitments made in the Paris Climate
Agreement.
The transition pathways for the real estate sector is an
important addition to address the challenges in our sector.
The pathways will help us understand and mitigate the
climate risks and the requirement for retrofit investment on
asset level in our real estate portfolio.”
Filip Elland, Head of Sustainability, Castellum
“An introduction of a carbon pricing, preferred in a
market scheme similar to ETS, will lead also in the
Real Estate market to a significant and fast
decarbonisation, either in the commercial or in the
residential buildings.
And it will push the architecture and building
technologies to reduce greenhouse gases, during
construction and the whole life cycle.”
Olaf Schulze, Director Energy Management METRO +
Member of the Task Force for Carbon Pricing in Europe
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase XV
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
“BREEAM is proud to be working with CRREM to bring
forward clearer guidance to the real estate sector on
what a trajectory to a truly decarbonized real estate
sector looks like.
The insights from the CRREM research will provide a
strong evidence based upon which building certification
systems can adopt to further enhance holistic
approaches like BREEAM.”
Dr. Shamir Ghumra, BREEAM Director, BRE Global
“The CRREM tool will allow us to measure, through
GRESB, to what extent our global portfolio is aligned
with a 1.5 degree scenario. It will also inform our
investment decisions going forward and it can be used
as an engagement tool.
We would like to encourage all investment managers,
listed real estate companies but also green certification
schemes to use these pathways as the common
language to measure Paris Alignment.
This is also the reason we have decided to fund the
development of these pathways outside Europe and include
also non-commercial real estate.”
Derk Welling, Senior Responsible Investment &
Governance Specialist, APG
SECTION A: PILOT TESTING USE CASES A.1
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
CRREM
A SELECTION OF PILOT TESTING
USE CASES
A
SECTION A: PILOT TESTING USE CASES A.2
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
A SELECTION OF PILOT TESTING USE CASES
A.1 DECARBONISATION AND ENERGY REDUCTION PATHWAYS
Perhaps the most fundamental use of the tool is to find the
decarbonisation or energy reduction pathway that is relevant to
a particular real asset according to the CRREM science-based
downscaling methodology. Critically, these pathways have been
derived not only for decarbonisation, but also energy
intensities, and can be specified for either 2C or 1.5C
temperature targets, any country in the EU, and a variety of
commercial property types (office, retail, high-street, retail,
shopping centre, retail, warehouse, industrial, distribution
warehouse, hotel, healthcare, lodging, leisure & recreation, data
centres).
This capability serves as the foundation upon which the other analysis functionalities are built and provides an important
target-setting function for specific assets.
Figure 2: Global warming target-, country-, and property type-specific science-based decarbonisation and energy
reduction pathways
“I’m glad to see energy intensity on the Target tab… I think this is vital.”
Ruairi Revell, ESG Manager, Real Estate, Aberdeen Standard
SECTION A: PILOT TESTING USE CASES A.3
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
A.2 ASSET-LEVEL ANALYTICS
The asset-level analytics in the CRREM tool allows the user to map how a particular asset performs against a specific
decarbonisation and/or energy reduction pathway. The baseline performance of an asset is projected, and the
estimated date of when that asset could become stranded is identified.
Figure 3: Asset-level stranding analysis using 2°C decarbonisation pathway
In Figure 3 above, the greenhouse gas (GHG) intensity of a particular asset is mapped against the CRREM derived 2C
decarbonisation pathway for its particular region and property type (green line). The hollow and solid black diamonds
show how the tool can track past data, here representing data entered for both 2018 and 2019. The dotted black line
projects the baseline asset performance, in this instance, for GHG intensity. The solid black line projects the climate
and grid corrected asset performance.
BOX 1. VASAKRONAN REAL ESTATE COMPANY
A case study with Vasakronan highlighted how the Swedish market looked at carbon risk differently. What was seen as critical here, was not reducing operational carbon emissions, which were already low (due to low emissions factors in the region), but rather promoting building-use intensity, and ensuring buildings were located in areas that were easily accessible through public transport. Energy intensity targets and additional guidance on corporate strategies were seen as potential areas that could widen the applicability of the CRREM methodology for Sweden and other countries that (will) have electricity grids with low carbon intensities.
The tool made it immediately clear that many assets in Sweden-based portfolios were already well-positioned with respect to carbon intensity reduction pathways. As such, it served as a way to reorient management focus toward those other areas in which a greater marginal impact could be achieved.
SECTION A: PILOT TESTING USE CASES A.4
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
This projection takes into account not only how much more (or, in some
cases, less) energy an asset will use in the future given changes in the
temperature patterns. It also takes into account the projected evolution of
the electricity grid for the region in which the asset is located. Should the grid
from which the asset sources its electricity become much cleaner over time,
the grid corrected asset performance will correspondingly improve (decrease
in GHG intensity) over time. The red circle emphasises the year at which the
adjusted asset performance is projected to become non-compliant with the
2C decarbonisation pathway. Critically, the shaded blue area represents the
excess emissions. These emissions are then associated with the
corresponding carbon price for that year discounted to the present year, and
compared to the value of the asset (if provided by the user) to estimate what
is called the Carbon Value at Risk (VaR).
Carbon VaR is an important metric, as it can be used to facilitate comparison
of not only the relative risk exposures of specific assets, but also those of portfolios and even those of separate asset
classes.
Figure 4: Asset-level stranding analysis using user-defined decarbonisation target
For those cases in which the user has a view of future regulation other than those associated with the 2C and 1.5C
scenarios, or simply wants to explore other decarbonisation scenarios, the tool also allows for user-defined target
setting (see Figure 4) – in general most assumptions and settings can be overwritten manually to allow maximal
flexibility and transparency for the user. Targets and energy prices are just two fields in which default values are
provided for the user, but that can be overwritten at any time to allow for more customized analyses.
The asset-level capabilities of the tool extend beyond benchmarking against various pathways. It also allows users to
test out various retrofitting options so that an appropriate retrofitting option (or options) may be found to mitigate the
risk of stranding risk. Figure 5 illustrates how a retrofitting action taken in 2022 keeps the asset in compliance with the
modelled decarbonisation pathway until 2032, whereas without the retrofitting action, risk of stranding appeared as
early as 2023.
“Having a single metric as well, carbon VaR, is
also useful to be able to begin to compare assets
and portfolios.” – Matthew Brundle,
EVORA Global
SECTION A: PILOT TESTING USE CASES A.5
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
Figure 5: Asset stranding analysis with planned retrofits
Additional retrofit analyses capabilities include the calculation of emissions budget depletion, ecological payback, and
economic payback times.
Figure 6: Ecological and economic payback analyses for retrofit actions
SECTION A: PILOT TESTING USE CASES A.6
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
A.3 PORTFOLIO-LEVEL ANALYTICS
Carrying our carbon assessments in the real estate industry needs to take into account that investors usually face
challenges regarding the aggregation of asset level data via portfolio data to company level information. CRREM tool is
working bottom-up but also aggregates data on portfolio level to derive meaningful insights for strategic planning. The
asset analytics described in the previous section are automatically aggregated into useful portfolio-level analyses. One
of the primary functions is the ability to project the evolution of stranding within a portfolio over time. This can be
modified to illustrate the share of stranded assets (see Figure 7), the number of stranded assets, or, if the gross asset
value (GAV) for each asset is provided, the share of portfolio value stranded. The example below illustrates a portfolio
in which the share of assets exposed to stranding risk increases from 0% in 2020 to 100% over the course of the next 20
years.
BOX 2. CASTELLUM, REAL ESTATE COMPANY
Castellum is a real estate developer and investor and undertaking its own property management. Castellum want to reduce the carbon emissions of their portfolio and aim to already reach net-zero emissions within the portfolio by 2030. Castellum analysed 634 properties and over 4 million m2 lettable space via the CRREM tool in order to benchmark individual assets of the portfolio against the Swedish pathways.
For Castellum, the most important output was to see the portfolio alignment with the Paris targets, the GHG intensity of individual assets and the requirement for retrofit investment. Filip Elland stated that the pathways will help determine the requirement for a retrofit investment on the asset level for their real estate portfolio.
BOX 3. EVORA GLOBAL, ENVIRONMENTAL CONSULTANCY
As a leading environmental consultancy and engineering services firm, EVORA Global showed a particular interest in the asset-level capabilities of the CRREM Risk Assessment Tool. Specifically, the asset-level retrofitting functionality of the tool allows EVORA to demonstrate how specific retrofitting actions affect the projected performance of an asset.
The detail of the CRREM tool is important for the analysis of detailed engineering options. For instance, it is important that the tool can evaluate future retrofit actions. It is also important that there be the option for user-defined energy savings and user-defined retrofit costs. The tool incorporates all of these essential features. This flexibility allows EVORA to project the impacts of their specific projects, a critical feature for the applicability of the tool to real world building improvement projects.
Many of our clients are now making commitments for “net-zero” emissions by 2050. Using the tool in formulating “net zero” strategies has highlighted the significant near-term requirements in emissions reductions to keep
portfolios and assets aligned with international ambitions for 2°C or below of global warming. However, using the tool’s retrofit and scenario analysis functions has begun to demonstrate the economic benefits of action now in
mitigating risk, preserving asset value and reducing the medium to long-term costs of achieving “net-zero”.
Peter Willcocks, EVORA Global
SECTION A: PILOT TESTING USE CASES A.7
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
Stranding events, or the point in time at which an asset becomes exposed to stranding risk relative to a given
decarbonisation or energy reduction pathway, can also be visualised to quickly identify which assets are at future risk.
In Figure 8, height on the y-axis corresponds to the gross asset value of the asset, while the size of the red circles
corresponds to the relative floor areas of the assets. This emphasises the added value by providing gross asset values
per asset; the most valuable assets are not always those with the largest floor area.
Figure 7: Share of stranded assets
Figure 8: Stranding events diagram
SECTION A: PILOT TESTING USE CASES A.8
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
The ability to benchmark the GHG intensity of a portfolio benchmarked against Paris-aligned pathways is an essential
feature (see Figure 9). These Paris-aligned pathways are floor-area-weighted combinations of the decarbonisation
pathways derived for each asset. Furthermore, the retrofits of the individual assets are imported into the portfolio-level
analysis to illustrate the scale of impact that individual retrofitting projects can have on portfolio’s exposure to stranding
risk.
Figure 9: Portfolio alignment with Paris targets
Finally, as in the asset-level analyses, the costs of excess emissions is calculated at the portfolio level, which are then
translated into a portfolio carbon VaR estimate (see Figure 10).
Figure 10: Cost of excess emissions of a portfolio
SECTION A: PILOT TESTING USE CASES A.9
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
BOX 4. PGGM, PENSION FUND
For PGGM, the most important portfolio outputs were the share of stranded assets and the costs of excess emissions. These outputs put the portfolios squarely in the financial context, requiring no extra translation to make the outputs relevant to its investor users.
The functionalities embedded in the share of stranded assets diagram provide an essential level of flexibility for the user. The choice to weigh the share of assets at risk of stranding by GAV, floor area, or to simply provide the count of assets, facilitates quick comparisons between the exposure levels of various portfolios.
The costs of excess emissions in particular form the basis for discussions on how best to manage the risk of such costs. Purchasing GHG offsets, buying renewable energy credits (RECs), and engaging in efforts to promote ‘negative emissions’ (e.g., planting trees) each serve as potential management solutions. Although such options are out of scope for the current tool, the tool has progressed the conversation from identification of risks and the assessment of their potential financial impacts on a portfolio, to the management of those risks.
A.1
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION B: WHO PARTICIPATED IN PILOT TESTING?
CRREM
WHO PARTICIPATED IN PILOT
TESTING
B
B.2
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION B: WHO PARTICIPATED IN PILOT TESTING?
WHO PARTICIPATED IN PILOT TESTING?
Testing was carried out by a heterogeneous group of stakeholders from across the industry. Just focussing on the
Assets under Management (AuM) owned and/or managed by the testers is over 3,112 billion euros with over 4 million
m2 of space analysed via the CRREM tool. This included:
B.1 INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS, PENSION FUNDS AND INSURANCE
COMPANIES
This group is represented by ESG (Environmental, social and corporate governance) and real estate specialists from
companies like APG, PGGM, Zurich Insurance Group, Allianz Real Estate, Seta Network, BVV and Nordea Life and Pension.
These parties typically enter real estate investments as Limited Partners
(LPs), using external fiduciaries, to manage a global real estate portfolio.
Both, APG and PGGM, fall within the top 15 real estate investors globally,
often taking a leading role in promoting sustainability practices. Tailoring
the tool in accordance to their feedback is seen critical as they can
influence other large institutional investors and have significant market
power to influence market adoption of the CRREM framework and risk
assessment tool amongst the various real estate funds and REITs they
invest in.
B.2 REITS, PROPERTY COMPANIES AND OTHER ASSET OWNERS
This group is represented by parties such as Aberdeen Standard, Union Investment, Grosvenor, and AEW Europe, DWS,
GPT, Landsec, Vonovia, LEG, ECE, Vasakronan, Land Securities and Castellum and typically represents general partners
in real estate investment vehicles. As such, they are closer to real estate assets and will be able to provide data to the
CRREM Risk Assessment tool during the pilot testing phase.
Land securities, for example, have reviewed the project
outcomes and provided feedback regarding the tool and the
corporate reporting templates. Feedback consisted in linking
the templates with the tool and limiting disclosure to only the
CRREM scope.
A wide range of property companies and asset owners
included in the pilot phase enabled a broad span of different
asset classes to be included into the testing. An example is
ECE, an asset owner and centre manager that was enabled to
incorporate wide expertise due to the specialization on retail.
SECTION B
“We think that the
explanation given for each of
the individual sheets is really
good and easy to interpret.”
– Stan Bertram, PGGM
“The pathways will help us understand
and mitigate the climate risks and the
requirement for retrofit investment on
asset level in our real estate portfolio.”
Filip Elland, Head of Sustainability,
Castellum
B.3
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION B: WHO PARTICIPATED IN PILOT TESTING?
B.3 CORPORATES
This group is represented for example by companies such as METRO. These parties own and use/operate the assets and
provide valuable perspective on the implementational challenges regarding the correct timing, costs and availability
of retrofitting properties as well as general data issues, such as normalisation of carbon intensity data due to own
operation and use of large portfolios.
B.4 CERTIFICATION BODIES
This group is represented by bodies such as DGNB, Dutch Green Building Council (DGBC), Sweden GBC (SGBC), Norwegian
GBC, GBCI, DFINI and BRE Global. These parties represent certification bodies that certify projects at an asset level.
Particularly the DGBC is developing a decarbonisation pathway methodology similar to CRREM’s for the Netherlands,
called ‘Deltaplan Duurzame Renovatie: Paris Proof’, intended to be a specific certification for buildings that meet the
2050 target. They represent a wealth of expertise on building standards and can possibly include the CRREM
decarbonisation pathways as a metric for operational certificates – something which is encouraged by the institutional
investors.
B.5 INDUSTRY BODIES
This group is represented by parties such as CDP, ULI, INREV, EPRA, UKGBC, WorldGBC and BBP. Their large stakeholder
base supports CRREM in the dissemination of public reports. EPRA has for instance included the report in their
sustainability library, while both ULI and RICS have shared the report with relevant stakeholders. Additionally, industry
bodies bring considerable expertise to the topic of carbon risk, particularly in the area of sustainability reporting and
real estate (sustainability) research. EPRA and INREV will also provide feedback regarding the corporate reporting
templates linked to the tool on the alignment of disclosure initiatives.
Furthermore, a continuous exchange is also established with the risk assessment initiative MSCI Climate Risk Center and
further investor initiatives such as the UN FI Net-Zero Asset Owners Alliance and UNEP FI Property Working Group for
alignment of the CRREM targets and their global status reports.
B.6 ACADEMIA
Academic research is represented by Prof. Franz Fürst on behalf of the University of Cambridge. Prof. Fürst has a long
track record of publications and research projects on sustainable real estate. Feedback will be directed towards the
corporate reporting templates and the incorporation of the CRREM tool with these. Further feedback regarding the
European as well as the global pathways has been provided from Prof. Andy van den Dobbelsteen from Delft University
of Technology who is a member of the Scientific Advisory Committee of the CRREM II project, representing the European
region. Dr. Paul Mathew from the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and Dr. Georgia Warren-Myers from the
Melbourne School of Design also provide ongoing feedback regarding the methodology and the global downscaling
targets.
B.4
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION B: WHO PARTICIPATED IN PILOT TESTING?
B.7 CONSULTANTS
There are many consulting companies providing special advice for
data collection and analysis when it comes to carbon assessments,
companies include EVORA Global, Verco, PwC and KPMG. Auditors such
as PwC and KPMG have reviewed and provided feedback in regards to
the corporate reporting templates that will be linked to the tool. Both
companies have provided feedback and input regarding transparently
disclosing boundaries and data assumptions.
The CRREM consortium has actively engaged with consultants
especially since the pilot version of the Risk Assessment tool has been
ready, so they could test the tool with their clients and provide CRREM
with structured feedback.
B.8 FUND-, ASSET AND INVESTMENT MANAGERS
Already in advance of the finalisation of the CRREM tool pilot version, the consortium analysed by funds such as CBRE
Global Investors, Union Investment, Nuveen as well as Savills Investment Management LLP based on CRREM
decarbonisation pathways and developed methodology of stranding risk analysis.
Providing management for funds and larger portfolios, these companies are typically advanced in reporting and
controlling of large portfolios. Additionally, they have expertise in tailoring information that is requested from their
investors. Therefore, with regards to the tool feedback and input can be provided in various asset classes as they have
experience in a range of real estate use-types. In-depth analysis is provided as they are able to challenge the underlying
assumptions within the tool regarding carbon intensities and retrofitting cost/abatement costs.
B.9 SEPARATE TESTING BY THE EUROPEAN INVESTOR COMMITTEE (EIC)
The European Investor Committee (EIC), established to advise on strategy, provide feedback, and test the pilot tool,
was a critical part of the pilot testing phase. Over the past 24 months, this group has expanded to a diverse and engaged
society of industry experts, actively providing periodic input on the CRREM project. For a list of the EIC members, please
refer to Annex 1: EIC Members.
Avenues for targeted feedback were built into the pilot testing process. Feedback was provided on the entirety of the
tool, including:
❖ identification of ‘must have’ and ‘nice to have’ features
to ensure successful adoption by the market,
❖ suggestion of potential improvements,
❖ discovery of bugs at edge cases,
❖ presentation and layout,
among other topics.
“This is a very good and useful
tool and we will continue to
feedback to help its
development!”
- Matthew Brundle, EVORA
Global
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
B.1
SECTION C: USING THE CRREM TOOL
CRREM
START NOW! – FIRST STEPS
USING THE CRREM TOOL
C
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
C.2
SECTION C: USING THE CRREM TOOL
START NOW! – FIRST STEPS USING THE CRREM TOOL
The CRREM Risk Assessment Tool is an Excel-based tool designed to strike a critical balance between ease-of-use and
functionality for a wide range potential user types. Eight tabs – Start, Targets, Input, Asset, Portfolio, Settings, Unit
Converter, Back-end – provide the basic structure of the user experience. Each sheet is accompanied by an explanation,
and each analysis sheet is designed to be completely accessible through point-and-click interactions with drop-down
menus.
The CRREM tool leverages the universality and adaptability of an Excel spreadsheet to make it as accessible as possible
to the widest spectrum of users. In the asset input sheet (see Figure 11), each row refers to an individual real asset. Each
column refers to a specific variable that the user will input. These are divided into six categories: general information
(green), building characteristics (blue), energy consumption (grey), fugitive emissions/ refrigerant losses (red),
renewable energy generation (dark blue), and retrofit actions (light green) [not shown].
Figure 11: CRREM tool input sheet
Out of 50+ indicators available to customise the input for enhanced accuracy and analysis functionality, the minimum
number of inputs can be as low as 10-20 inputs depending on the asset characteristics. This allows users to quickly get
an overview of their assets and identify where more specific data would be most valuable. Users at Landsec and EVORA
Global found this to be a rapid process, especially due to the care taken to align the mandatory inputs as closely as
possible to the asset information required by the GRESB asset-level template.
SECTION C
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
C.3
SECTION C: USING THE CRREM TOOL
INTRODUCTORY VIDEO & REFERENCE GUIDE – AVAILABLE ONLINE:
For a detailed description of each input, please
refer to the CRREM Risk Assessment Reference
Guide, available at
https://www.crrem.eu/reference-guide/.
An introductory video for the tool is also
available at
https://www.crrem.eu/tool/.
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION D: ALIGNMENT OF CRREM WITH MAJOR INITIATIVES C.1
CRREM
ALIGNMENT OF CRREM WITH
MAJOR INITIATIVES
D
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION D: ALIGNMENT OF CRREM WITH MAJOR INITIATIVES D.2
ALIGNMENT OF CRREM WITH MAJOR INITIATIVES
The CRREM methodology and tool have been carefully designed to comply and align with many other major initiatives.
Input variables for the tool are largely based upon existing frameworks, such as the those of EPRA’s sustainability Best
Practice Recommendations (sBPR), GRESB, GRI, and the GHG Protocol Corporate Standard. With feedback from key
stakeholders in the industry ranging from commercial real estate asset managers, to non-governmental organisations,
and industry coalitions, the production of the CRREM Risk Assessment tool was not an isolated academic exercise.
The process of alignment with other major reporting and disclosing initiatives is currently ongoing. It is important that
the information extracted from the CRREM tool can be easily incorporated into climate-related and resilience
reporting according to the most relevant initiatives.
D.1 TASK FORCE ON CLIMATE-RELATED FINANCIAL DISCLOSURES
Missing operational carbon data usually involves: periodic data gaps due to a new acquisition, a lack of information on
energy consumed and paid for by tenants, no data on ‘unregulated carbon emissions’, or inaccurate normalisation if
occupation/use rates of buildings are incorrectly reported. If not appropriately reported, missing critical data can
erroneously build the profile of an efficient building. The transposition of NDCs applied to the built environment will
need to target all energy consumed by the assets, regardless whether or not they are ‘regulated’.
The Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) is an international task force established by the Financial
Stability Board, itself established by the G20. The TCFD was called upon to provide guidance to public companies on
how to clearly, consistently, and reliably disclose climate-related risks, opportunities, and their financial impacts. In
2017, the TCFD released its final report, which outlines disclosure recommendations and guidance for different
financial and non-financial sectors, including real estate. Its structure follows four core business elements, outlined in
the figure below.
Figure 12: Core Elements of Recommended Climate-Related Financial Disclosures.
Source: TCFD (2017)
SECTION D
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION D: ALIGNMENT OF CRREM WITH MAJOR INITIATIVES D.3
The output variables produced by the CRREM tool are intended to assist with reporting in accordance with the
recommendation of the Financial Stability Board’s Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD).
Table 1: CRREM alignment with TCFD recommended disclosures
TCFD Recommendation
TCFD
Recommended Disclosure CRREM Element
Governance:
Disclose the
organization’s
governance around
climate-related risks
and opportunities.
(a) Describe the board’s oversight of
climate-related risks and opportunities.
(b) Describe management’s role in
assessing and managing climate-related
risks and opportunities.
Strategy:
Disclose the actual and
potential impacts of
climate-related risks
and opportunities on
the organisation’s
businesses, strategy,
and financial planning
where such information
is material.
(a) Describe the climate-related risks and
opportunities the organisation has
identified over the short, medium, and
long term.
The CRREM tool targets
stranding risk due to non-
compliance with regional energy
efficiency and GHG intensity
regulations.
(b) Describe the impact of climate-related
risks and opportunities on the
organisation’s businesses, strategy, and
financial planning.
Carbon Value-at-Risk is
estimated at the asset and
portfolio level.
(c) Describe the resilience of the
organisation’s strategy, taking into
consideration different climate-related
scenarios, including a 2°C or lower
scenario.
The CRREM tool leverages two
scenarios: 2C (based on IEA 2DS
scenario) and
1.5C (based on Friends of the
Earth scenario).
Risk Management:
Disclose how the
organisation identifies,
assesses, and manages
climate-related risks.
(a) Describe the organization’s processes
for identifying and assessing climate-
related risks.
Asset-level performance
projection and benchmarking of
energy and GHG intensities
against science-based pathways.
(b) Describe the organization’s processes
for managing climate-related risks.
The retrofit functionalities in the
asset sheet allow for planning of
actions to mitigate stranding risk.
(c) Describe how processes for identifying,
assessing, and managing climate-
related risks are integrated into the
organisation’s overall risk management.
Metrics and Targets:
Disclose the metrics and
(a) Disclose the metrics used by the
organisation to assess climate-related
GHG emissions intensity
[kgCO2e/m2]; Energy intensity
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION D: ALIGNMENT OF CRREM WITH MAJOR INITIATIVES D.4
targets used to assess
and manage relevant
climate-related risks
and opportunities
where such information
is material.
risks and opportunities in line with its
strategy and risk management process.
[kWh/m2]; Costs of excess
emissions [EUR]; etc.
(b) Disclose Scope 1, Scope 2, and, if
appropriate, Scope 3 greenhouse gas
(GHG) emissions, and the related risks.
While the disclosure of emissions
is not on output of the CRREM
tool, emissions information is
required to run the tool, and
thus incentivizes its
measurement, collection, and
standardization.
(c) Describe the targets used by the
organisation to manage climate-related
risks and opportunities and
performance against targets.
The decarbonisation pathways
developed by the CRREM project
serve as science-based, widely
recognized, easily
understandable, and actionable
targets.
D.2 WORLD GREEN BUILDING COUNCIL (GBC) - ADVANCING NET ZERO:
NET ZERO CARBON BUILDINGS COMMITMENT
The World Green Building Council (WGBC) launched the Net Zero Carbon Buildings Commitment (NZCBC) as part of the
Advancing Net Zero (ANZ) initiative, the WorldGBC’s global project which aims to promote and support the
acceleration of net zero carbon buildings to 100% by 20501. The Net Zero Carbon Building Commitment challenges
companies, cities, states and regions to reach Net Zero operating emissions in their portfolios by 2030, and advocates
for all buildings to be Net Zero in operation by 2050. The commitment sets ambitious absolute targets aiming to
maximise the chances of limiting global warming.
This voluntary disclosure commitment aims for the same objective than CRREM: also focusing on the built environment,
the initiative aims to meet the sector’s decarbonising responsibility and the global commitments defined by the Paris
Agreement. The commitment focuses on the disclosure of targets, performance and the strategy to meet these targets
of real estate assets. The NZCBC defines requirements for owners, tenants and developers. In principle the WGBC
developed the initiative to report at corporate level (buildings that an organisation owns, develops and occupies).
However, NZCBC can be used to disclose emissions at asset and aggregated portfolio level, depending on the boundary
that the user defines for reporting purposes.
The NZCBC initiative works in the same direction than CRREM. However, even though both initiatives are compatible,
the targets and the tools to meet them differ slightly. The ANZ initiative seeks to reach zero carbon by 2050 regardless
of building type and location, while CRREM has downscaled available carbon budgets to define specific targets for
different types of assets, which do not necessarily need to meet zero. Besides, many buildings will not be able to meet
net zero carbon without importing green electricity from the grid or purchasing offsets, which are outside the scope of
CRREM’s boundaries. Figure 13 illustrates these differences and how both initiatives can be coordinated. Both initiatives
aim to reduce both regulated and unregulated carbon emissions. However, it is critical to understand whether the
1 World GBC, 2020.
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION D: ALIGNMENT OF CRREM WITH MAJOR INITIATIVES D.5
disclosure boundaries relate to the corporate level (Scope 1, 2 and 3 of the organisation) or the building level (asset and
portfolio level).
As part of the consultancy process with other reporting and disclosure frameworks, CRREM is discussing these
differences with the World GBC and EU local GBCs to ensure that both initiatives communicate these differences, to
clarify how they can complement each other and ensure mutual endorsement.
Figure 13: Comparison between ANZ and CRREM emissions scope
Source: CRREM (2020)
D.3 EU TAXONOMY FOR SUSTAINABLE ACTIVITIES
In June 2019, the European Union Technical Expert Group on Sustainable Finance (TEG) completed the ’Taxonomy
Technical Report, which was updated in March 20202. The taxonomy defines the common language and suggests
quantitative thresholds that any economic activity needs to meet to be considered sustainable. The taxonomy defines
specific thresholds for four types of activities related to construction and real estate: Construction of new buildings;
building renovations; individual measures and professional services; and acquisition and ownership.
The taxonomy adopts a best-in-class approach that transposes the top performing 15% of the existing national stock
into absolute energy or carbon thresholds. These thresholds rely on the application of the Energy Performance of
Buildings Directive (EPBD) and the definition of nearly zero-energy buildings (NZEB) requirements defined by each EU
Member Estate.
The Taxonomy for sustainable activities is the most recent and important policy framework within the EU defining long
term decarbonisation quantitative targets and a decarbonisation pathway for the real estate sector. Every five years,
the performance level of buildings will be lowered to reflect a pathway reaching net-zero operational carbon in 2050.
2 European Commission, 2020.
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION D: ALIGNMENT OF CRREM WITH MAJOR INITIATIVES D.6
The latest report refers to CRREM, with the decarbonisation pathway and timeline defined by the taxonomy being
aligned with CRREM’s proposed decarbonisation timelines. Both CRREM project and the Taxonomy aim to minimise
energy use and carbon emissions throughout the lifecycle of buildings. However, there are discrepancies between
CRREM and the Taxonomy’s approach in the definition of quantitative thresholds. The Taxonomy focuses on the
reduction of primary energy demand, and the adopted metric to track progress is kWh/m2. Due to the varying carbon
intensity factors of electricity grid and other fuels, CRREM encourages users to adopt kgCO2e/m2 as the main metric
to improve accurate distribution of carbon budgets. Besides, the Taxonomy’s thresholds are based on ‘nearly zero-
energy building’ (NZEB) requirements, which are defined in national regulations. For example, the net primary energy
demand of new buildings must be at least 20% lower than the primary energy demand resulting from the relevant
NZEB requirements. Member States are therefore responsible to define their own decarbonisation targets, which
makes difficult the EU-wide coordination of the decarbonisation of the existing building stock. Furthermore, the scope
of the EPBD directive only includes part of the energy demand and carbon emissions of buildings – so called
“regulated”. To quantify and assess the climate risk of real estate assets, all energy consumed and carbon emitted
within the building should be targeted, which is CRREM project’s approach. This limitation is acknowledged by the
Taxonomy, which refers to CRREM project to define appropriate criteria and thresholds to address carbon emissions
arising from unregulated energy.
CRREM aims to transpose the decarbonisation pathways into energy demand metrics to ensure full alignment with
the Taxonomy. Besides, the team aims to split the decarbonisation pathways into “regulated” and “unregulated” to
facilitate the alignment of both initiatives.
D.4 GLOBAL REAL ESTATE SUSTAINABILITY BENCHMARK (GRESB)
GRESB is the leading Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) benchmark for real estate and infrastructure
investments across the world. Established in 2009 by a group of large pension funds who wanted to have access to
comparable and reliable data on the ESG performance of their investments, GRESB membership now boasts more than
100 institutional investors, with over USD 22 trillion assets under management. These investors use GRESB data to
monitor their investments, engage with their managers, and make decisions that lead to a more sustainable real asset
industry.
The required and optional parameters to the CRREM tool are largely based on the asset-level data that GRESB asks of
its participant members. As a CRREM consortium member, GRESB has offered CRREM support in the form of advisory
feedback and exposure to its expansive network of potential users. For more information on GRESB’s support for
CRREM, please refer to the section, Integration with GRESB, below.
D.5 SCIENCE-BASED TARGETS INITIATIVE (SBTI)
The Science-Based Targets Initiative (SBTi) is an initiative established to help companies set “clearly defined pathway[s]
to future-proof growth by specifying how much and how quickly they need to reduce their greenhouse gas emissions.”3
Launched by CDP (formerly the Carbon Disclosure Project), the United Nations Global Compact (UNGC), the World
Resources Institute (WRI), and the World Wide Fund for Nature (WWF), it is a widely recognized main goal is to help
companies set operational targets that align with the Paris Agreement. SBTi sets forth three main approaches to target
3 SBT, 2020.
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION D: ALIGNMENT OF CRREM WITH MAJOR INITIATIVES D.7
setting: sector-based, absolute-based, and economic based.4 The Sectoral Decarbonisation Approach (SDA) is arguably
the most robust, taking into consideration the capacity of each sector to take on reductions in carbon emissions,
requiring an assessment of carbon intensity data as well as present and predicted data on economic activity.
The SBTi recommends the application of the SDA method especially for energy and carbon intensive industries like real
estate, and it is the methodology that CRREM uses as the basis for its decarbonisation pathway derivation process.5
D.6 GLOBAL REPORTING INTIATIVE’S (GRI) SUSTAINABILITY REPORTING
STANDARDS
The Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) is an independent international organisation that encourages businesses and other
organisations to report and communicate their impact on issues such as climate change and carbon emissions. GRI
developed the GRI Sustainability Reporting Standards (GRI Standards), a modular, interrelated structure, for reporting
on a range of economic, environmental and social impacts.
GRI is the most widely adopted framework for reporting and disclosure sustainability impact at corporate level. The GRI
Standards are developed to ensure that every economic sector can disclose their material impact, including the real
estate sector. The GRI framework requests the disclosure of past and present data and the evolution of metrics against
future targets. However, these targets do not necessarily comply with the Paris Agreement. Besides, the disclosure of
energy consumption and carbon emissions at corporate level requires further data collection and analysis to ensure
that the climatic risk at portfolio and asset level is properly assessed: for example, the Scope 1 and 2 carbon emissions
of a real estate asset manager will need to be complemented with data from tenants (Scope 3) to complete the
assessment of assets and portfolios.
CRREM will approach GRI to disseminate the project’s outputs, collect their feedback and ensure as much as possible
alignment amongst both initiatives. Besides, the project’s outputs are also under consultation with relevant auditing
networks to further and promote the alignment of GRI and CRREM. These efforts focus on the clear definition of
boundaries between scopes and transparent disclosure of assumptions and normalization procedures.
D.7 EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE ASSOCIATION (EPRA) SUSTAINABILITY BEST
PRACTICE RECOMMENDATIONS
The European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA) is an organisation seeking to promote the European public real
estate sector through, amongst others, the provision of better information to investors and stakeholders and the
promotion of best practice, including sustainability reporting. EPRA’s Sustainability Best Practices Recommendations
(sBPR) guidelines provide a consistent way of measuring sustainability performance in real estate. They are largely based
on the latest GRI guidelines (see above) and cover environmental, social and corporate governance impact categories.
CRREM has approached EPRA and is discussing the alignment between both initiatives. EPRA has committed to endorse
and disseminate CRREM’s outputs.
4 SBT, 2020. 5 For more information on using science-based targets to downscale global targets to property-level decarbonisation targets, please
refer to the CRREM Stranding Risk & Carbon report available at: https://www.crrem.eu/publications
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION D: ALIGNMENT OF CRREM WITH MAJOR INITIATIVES D.8
D.8 PRINCIPLES FOR RESPONSIBLE INVESTMENT (PRI)
The Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI) is a global independent organisation promoting responsible investment.
They work to understand and report the investment implications of ESG factors and to support their international
network of investor signatories in incorporating these factors into their investment decisions. PRI encourages investors
to use responsible investment to enhance returns and better manage risk. PRI has developed real estate specific tools
for investors to incorporate ESG factors within their decision-making framework and promote responsible investment.
CRREM will approach PRI seeking endorsement and adoption of CRREM’s pathways and reporting templates as part of
their real estate framework to promote sustainable investments.
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION E: THE GLOBAL IMPACT OF CARBON RISK ON CORPORATE STRATEGIES
D.1
CRREM
THE GLOBAL IMPACT OF CARBON
RISK ON CORPORATE
STRATEGIES
E
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION E: THE GLOBAL IMPACT OF CARBON RISK ON CORPORATE STRATEGIES
E.2
THE GLOBAL IMPACT OF CARBON RISK ON CORPORATE
STRATEGIES
E.1 CRREM ROLL-OUT: FROM EU COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE TO THE
GLOBAL BUILDING SECTOR
The CRREM project, as funded under the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme, has
generated significant interest among industry stakeholders.
Limited Partners (LPs) with global real estate portfolios, such as APG and PGGM, expressed a strong interest to expand
the scope of the CRREM project beyond the European Union. They stress the need for a global sector decarbonisation
pathway framework, covering several additional markets, as to be able to reduce the carbon risk in their entire
portfolio. The derivation of these additional pathways (see Figure 14) has been finalised and will undergo additional
inspection by a ‘Scientific Advisory Committee’ (SAC) with proven expertise in the research field of decarbonisation.
Besides the 28 EU member states, the additional pathways have been calculated for the following countries: Australia,
Brazil, Canada, China, Hong Kong, India, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Norway, Philippines, Singapore, South
Korea, Switzerland, United States (Country-level as well as on city-level for New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Dallas,
Washington D.C., Boston, San Francisco.
These same institutional investors stressed the need to develop similar decarbonisation pathways for multi-family
residential real estate so that CRREM covers their complete real estate investment universe. A similar need has been
expressed by residential real estate managers. In the course of extending the regional focus of CRREM pathways, IIÖ
further derived pathways for multi-family buildings for all 28 EU member states as well as the aforementioned expanded
set of countries and cities. In addition to the positive reception of the carbon intensity pathway model, a specific need
was identified to also have energy intensity pathway targets incorporated into the tool. This was seen as especially
relevant for markets such as Sweden, where grid intensity levels are already low (see Error! Reference source not
found.). Energy reduction pathways have been derived for all countries and property types covered by the scope
expansion (see Figure 14).
The CRREM Consortium looks very favourably at this expansion, as it exemplifies that there is a demand for the
carbon risk methodologies developed by the project. The expansion of scope (i.e. “roll-out”) has been finalised by
active negotiations of CRREM consortium partners IIÖ and GRESB with Dutch pensions funds APG and PGGM as well as
Norges Bank Investment Management (NBIM), which manages the Norwegian Government Pension Fund Global on
behalf of the central bank of Norway (Norges Bank). In the course of this roll-out, the covered sub-sectors of the
commercial real estate sector have been further aligned with GRESB as the sector’s leading sustainability benchmarking
initiative.
SECTION E
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION E: THE GLOBAL IMPACT OF CARBON RISK ON CORPORATE STRATEGIES
E.3
Figure 14: CRREM roll-out regarding geographic scope, covered building types and performance indicator.
Source: CRREM (2020)
E.2 INTEGRATION WITH GRESB
CRREM is undergoing an integration process with GRESB. This serves a number of mutually beneficial goals:
1. The CRREM methodology and tool will be exposed to GRESB’s network of real estate portfolios globally.
2. GRESB members (both asset managers and investors) will be able to take advantage of the significant risk
assessment and alignment analysis benefits afforded by CRREM.
3. The ‘barrier to entry’ to using the tool will be significantly lowered for GRESB Members.
One of the main themes of feedback to CRREM over the course of pilot
testing has been that the CRREM decarbonisation pathways should be
integrated into GRESB in order to increase its exposure and availability to
different stakeholders.
Similarly, the commercial real estate market is in need of a legitimate,
credible, and salient transition risk methodology and tool. As GRESB
membership represents a significant share of that market, integrating
CRREM into GRESB will directly serve that need.
Irrespective of the relatively small number of mandatory inputs needed per
asset to run the core analyses, if an investor is attempting to get an overview
of a portfolio with several hundred of assets, or perhaps multiple portfolios,
inputting the required data, let alone collecting it from disparate asset managers in a reliable and standardized way,
becomes a major barrier to using the tool. Integrating the tool into the GRESB Portal will solve this challenge for those
users already reporting their asset data to GRESB.
“Ideally we would like to
see the tool automatically
filled with data
originating from the
GRESB assessment.” –
Stan Bertram, PGGM
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
SECTION E: THE GLOBAL IMPACT OF CARBON RISK ON CORPORATE STRATEGIES
E.4
The CRREM Risk Assessment tool will be made available for download from the GRESB Portal. After all asset-level data
is uploaded and all consistency warnings are resolved, the user may download a pre-filled CRREM Tool, that is already
loaded with all of the assets in a given fund.
Figure 15: Mock-up of download the CRREM tool from the GRESB Portal.
Source: GRESB/CRREM (2019)
Further developments may include a CRREM Results Page within the GRESB Asset Portal, which will provide an overview
of assets with key outputs from the tool such as stranding date (per pathway), remaining carbon budget, and percentile
performance within property type and country. Finally, a further integration of CRREM and GRESB will enable users to
benchmark own assets or portfolios with peers.
The CRREM decarbonisation pathways, stranding diagrams, and remaining carbon budget per portfolio, which is useful
as an engagement tool for (limited partners) LPs, can be displayed in the Energy or Climate Risk Sections of the GRESB
Benchmark Report. These may be based on: 1.5°C or 2°C scenarios, asset count, floor area, possibly GAV, per property
type, or multiple portfolios. Such aggregation will be particularly useful for LPs. The approach for illustrating the
remaining carbon budget may also include statistics on how quickly carbon budget will be depleted at current emission
rate.
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
I
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase
ANNEX
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
II
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase
LIST OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Stranding of real estate assets ............................................................................................................................ IX
Figure 2: Global warming target-, country-, and property type-specific science-based decarbonisation and energy
reduction pathways ......................................................................................................................................................... A.2
Figure 3: Asset-level stranding analysis using 2°C decarbonisation pathway.................................................................. A.3
Figure 4: Asset-level stranding analysis using user-defined decarbonisation target ....................................................... A.4
Figure 5: Asset stranding analysis with planned retrofits ................................................................................................ A.5
Figure 6: Ecological and economic payback analyses for retrofit actions ....................................................................... A.5
Figure 7: Share of stranded assets ................................................................................................................................... A.7
Figure 8: Stranding events diagram ................................................................................................................................. A.7
Figure 9: Portfolio alignment with Paris targets .............................................................................................................. A.8
Figure 10: Cost of excess emissions of a portfolio ........................................................................................................... A.8
Figure 11: CRREM tool input sheet .................................................................................................................................. C.2
Figure 12: Core Elements of Recommended Climate-Related Financial Disclosures. ..................................................... D.2
Figure 13: Comparison between ANZ and CRREM emissions scope ............................................................................... D.5
Figure 14: CRREM roll-out regarding geographic scope, covered building types and performance indicator. ............... E.3
Figure 15: Mock-up of download the CRREM tool from the GRESB Portal. .................................................................... E.4
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1. CRREM alignment with TCFD recommended disclosures .................................................................................. D.3
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
III
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase
REFERENCES
European Commission (2020): EU Taxonomy for Sustainable Activities. Online:
https://ec.europa.eu/info/publications/sustainable-finance-teg-taxonomy_en (Last accessed: 10.04.2020).
Hirsch, J., Lafuente, J. J., Recourt, R., Spanner, M., Geiger, P., Haran, M., McGreal, S., Davis, P., Taltavull, P., Perez, R., Juárez, F., Martinez, A. M. and Brounen, D. (2019): Stranding Risk & Carbon. Science-based decarbonising of the EU commercial real estate sector. CRREM report No. 1, Wörgl, Austria.
Science Based Targets (2020): What is a Science-based Target? Online: https://sciencebasedtargets.org/what-is-a-
science-based-target (Last accessed: 09.04.2020).
Science Based Targets (2020): Methods – Approaches and Methods. Online:
https://sciencebasedtargets.org/methods/ (Last accessed: 09.04.2020).
Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (2017): Core Elements of Recommended Climate-Related Financial
Disclosures.
World Green Building Council (2020): Advancing Net Zero. Online: https://worldgbc.org/advancing-net-zero (Last
accessed: 10.04.2020).
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
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CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase
EIC MEMBERS
ORGANISATION NAME POSITION
Aberdeen Standard Ruairi Revell ESG Manager, Real Estate
AEW Europe Hans Vrensen Managing Director, Head of Research & Strategy
alstria Alexander Dexne /
Robert Kitel
CFO /
Head of Sustainability & Future Research
APG Derk Welling Senior Responsible Investment & Governance
Specialist
BBP Better Building
Partnership Christopher Botten Programme Manager
BNP Paribas Real
Estate Consult Hermann Horster Regional Director, Head of Sustainability
CDP Alberto Carrillo Pineda Director Science Based Targets and Renewable
Energy
DGBC Dutch Green
Building Council Martin Mooij
Head of Certification and Project manager DGBC
Deltaplan sustainable renovation
DGNB German
Sustainable Building
Council
Anna Braune Director Research and Development
ECE
Projektmanagement Maria Hill Director Sustainability & Internal Services
EPRA Gloria Duci ESG Officer
Grosvenor Emily Hamilton Sustainability Manager
INREV Mathieu Elshout Investor Advisory Council
ista International
GmbH Hans Martin Hermann Senior Manager Public Affairs
LandSecurities Fernanda Amemiya Sustainability Reporting Manager
METRO AG Olaf Schulze Director Facility, Energy & Resource Management
Nelson Group Carlos Morgado /
Marny Di Pietrantonio Project Manager
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
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CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase
PGGM Mathieu Elshout Senior Director Private Real Estate
RE-sponsibility Michael Ullmann Managing Director
Savills Investment
Management LLP
Gerhard Lehner /
Barbara Linnemann
Managing Director, Head of Fund Management /
Head of Asset Management Germany
ULI Greenprint Marta Schantz Senior Vice President
Union Investment Jan von Mallinckrodt Head of Sustainability, Head of Segment
Development
University of
Cambridge Franz Fürst Professor of Real Estate and Urban Economics
WGBC World Green
Building Council Stephen Richardson Technical Lead - Energy Efficiency Mortgages
ZIA German
Property Federation Philipp Matzke
Consultant Energy and Climate Protection,
Facilities Engineering
Zurich Insurance
Group Roger Baumann
COO Global Real Estate & Head Product
Development
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
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CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase
ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS
ABBREVIATION MEANING
ANZ Advancing Net Zero
AUM Assets under Management
CDP Carbon Disclosure Project
CO2 Carbon dioxide
CO2e(q) Carbon dioxide equivalent. The unit is used to make the Global Warming Potential
(GWP) of Green House Gases (GHG) comparable to the GWP of CO2
CRREM Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor
Carbon VaR Carbon Value-at-Risk
EIC European Investors Committee
ESG Environmental, Social, and Governance
EPBD Energy Performance Building Directive
EPRA sBPR European Public Real Estate Association Sustainability Best Practices
Recommendations
EU European Union
EU TEG European Union Technical Expert Group on Sustainable Finance
EUR Euro
FSB Financial Stability Board
GHG Greenhouse Gas
GRI: Global Reporting Initiative
INREV European Investors in Non-Listed Real Estate
Kg Kilogram
kWh Kilowatt hour
LP Limited Partner
This project has received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement no. 785058.
VII
CRREM - Carbon Risk Real Estate Monitor Report on Completion of Pilot Testing Phase
m2 Square meters
NZCBC Net Zero Carbon Building Commitment
PRI Principles for Responsible Investment
REIT Real Estate Investment Trust
SBTi Science-Based Targets Initiative
SDA Sectoral Decarbonisation Approach
TCFD Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures
UNGC United Nations Global Compact
USD: US-Dollar
WRI World Resources Institute
WWF World Wide Fund for Nature