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Concept Development Concept Development & Experimentation & Experimentation “COM as Shooter” Operational Planning using C2 for Confronting and Collaborating Captain Andy Baan Captain Andy Baan

Captain Andy Baan - dodccrp.org“Non-CCA Issues” (e.g. Logistics, Targeting) Systems Modeling (Causal Mapping) Immersive Briefing Wargaming C2CC Critical Thinking Plans (Resources

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  • Concept DevelopmentConcept Development& Experimentation& Experimentation

    “COM as Shooter”Operational Planning using C2

    for Confronting and Collaborating

    Captain Andy BaanCaptain Andy Baan

  • COM as Shooter

    TWO

    ANTENNAE

  • COM as Shooter

    Success

    ‘Wait. We should not have to answer these questions! We have never been asked

    for this information before.’- AFNORTH participant

  • COM as Shooter

    CCA supports EBOPurpose of EBO Mission is accomplished when behavior is shaped so that intentions are in compliance

  • COM as Shooter

    HistoryWellington Modern Warfare Peace Support Operations, COM is the Shooter. The COM determines the message

    Must know everythingCOM must ensure the message is consistent up and down the chain

    C2CC’s Purpose

  • COM as Shooter

    C2CC

    Internal CC System External CC System

    P1 P2 f

    CA Party

    option A

    option B

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    CA Party

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    CA Party

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    CA Party

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    P1 P2 f

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    TheaterCommander

    DivisionCommander

    DivisionCommander

    BrigadeCommander

    BrigadeCommander

    BrigadeCommander

    Secure e-mail perimeterP1 P2 f

    CA Party

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    P1 P2 f

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    NationalAgency

    RegionalAgency

    RegionalAgency

    LocalAgency

    LocalAgency

    LocalAgency

    NationalAgency

    RegionalAgency

    RegionalAgency

    LocalAgency

    LocalAgency

    LocalAgency

    NationalAgency

    RegionalAgency

    RegionalAgency

    LocalAgency

    LocalAgency

    LocalAgency

  • COM as Shooter

    CCA PROCESS

  • COM as Shooter

    Six Phases of an Interactive EpisodeScene-settingBuild-upIf positions agree, then Collaboration, Decision If positions disagree, then Confrontation then DecisionImplementation

  • COM as Shooter

  • COM as Shooter

    ExampleOptions Board showing ConfrontationTug of War for ConfrontationOptions Board showing CollaborationTug of War for Collaboration

  • COM as Shooter

    PI P+A f I

    PALESTINIANS

    stop terrorism

    recognize/accept Israel

    ARAB STATES

    fund terrorism

    recognize/accept Israel

    ISRAEL

    accept “viable” Palestinian state

    raid/suppress Palestinians

    accept minimal Palestinian state

    ??

    ??

    ??

    ??

    ??

    ??

    ??

    ??

    ??

  • COM as Shooter

    Palestinians

    Arabs

    Israel

    Israel blocks Palestinian state

    P/A do Terror

    Israeli position =Israeli domination without terrorism

    Israeli position =Israeli domination without terrorism

    f = Terror and suppression

    f = Terror and suppression

    Palestinian/Arab position =

    Palestinian state

    Palestinian/Arab position =

    Palestinian state

    P/A do Terror

    Palestinians

    ArabsArabs

    IsraelIsrael

    Israel blocks Palestinian stateIsrael blocks Palestinian state

    P/A do TerrorP/A do Terror

    Israeli position =Israeli domination without terrorism

    Israeli position =Israeli domination without terrorism

    f = Terror and suppression

    f = Terror and suppression

    Palestinian/Arab position =

    Palestinian state

    Palestinian/Arab position =

    Palestinian state

    P/A do TerrorP/A do Terror

  • COM as ShooterPI a r(P+A) r(I)

    PALESTINIANS

    stop terrorism

    recognize/accept Israel

    ARAB STATES

    fund terrorism

    recognize/accept Israel

    ISRAEL

    negotiate Palestinian state

    progressively abandon settlements

    expand settlements

    ??

    ??

    ??

    ??

    ??

    raid/suppress West Bank/Gaza

    ??

    ??

  • COM as Shooter

    Israel fails to negotiate Palestinian state or abandon settlements

    Palestinians and Arabs return to terrorism and cease to recognize Israel

    r(P+A) = Terror,no Palestinian

    State

    r(P+A) = Terror,no Palestinian

    State

    r(I) = Terror, no Palestinian

    State

    r(I) = Terror, no Palestinian

    State

    Agreement =Palestinian state

    and peace

    Agreement =Palestinian state

    and peace

    Israel fails to negotiate Palestinian state or abandon settlementsIsrael fails to negotiate Palestinian state or abandon settlements

    Palestinians and Arabs return to terrorism and cease to recognize IsraelPalestinians and Arabs return to terrorism and cease to recognize Israel

    r(P+A) = Terror,no Palestinian

    State

    r(P+A) = Terror,no Palestinian

    State

    r(I) = Terror, no Palestinian

    State

    r(I) = Terror, no Palestinian

    State

    Agreement =Palestinian state

    and peace

    Agreement =Palestinian state

    and peace

  • COM as Shooter

    AFNORTH TrialPart of Allied Action 03 Planning ProcessParticipants included 3-star General, staff including POLAD, LEGAL, CIMICTraining session preceded workThree models

  • COM as Shooter

    Parties We AnalyzedFriendsFoesNeutrals

    All three are required to agree to achieve compliance

  • COM as Shooter

    AFNORTH Trial OutcomesSuccess- Demonstrated need to create national/political problems as injectsSuccess- Demonstrated issues overlap Success- Demonstrated the benefit of COM’s participation, an intention of C2CC

  • COM as Shooter

    Insights GainedDon’t be too ambitiousAdequate training of facilitator and staff is important to get the most benefitNew processes need to be injected into the training process all along the career path i.e. difficult to do training andimmediately use system all at one

  • COM as Shooter

    The FutureWorking with JFCOM

    Appears that C2CC and ONA are mutually reinforcing

    Additional experimentsOngoing analysisSoftware and training manuals

  • COM as Shooter

    RedView

    “Green”View

    BlueView

    RedView

    “Green”View

    BlueView

    “Non-CCA Issues”(e.g. Logistics, Targeting)

    Systems Modeling(Causal Mapping)

    “Non-CCA Issues”(e.g. Logistics, Targeting)

    Systems Modeling(Causal Mapping)

    Immersive Briefing

    Wargaming

    C2CC

    Critical Thinking

    Plans(Resources to Effects)

    Decisive Points

    Desired Effects

    CCALegend

    Collaborativeenvironment

    Modelrepository

    LegendCollaborativeenvironment

    Modelrepository

    Formal analysis

    Formal analysis

    Formal analysis

  • COM as Shooter

    QUESTIONS?

    Captain Andy BaanCaptain Andy Baan

  • COM as Shooter

    PSO RemindersCOM needs to be fully informed and engagedGoal is to change intention of parties because mission does not end until parties realize that their desired end-state is the international community’s proclaimed end-state

  • COM as Shooter

    “COM as Shooter”Operational Planning using C2 for Confronting and CollaboratingCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as ShooterCOM as Shooter