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1
Capital P
rote
ct
Cre
ate
Wealth
“Rule No 1: Never lose money Rule No 2: Never forget rule No 1.”
- Warren Buffet
2
“In the short run, the market is a voting machine, But in the long term,
it is a weighing machine”
- Ben Graham
“Successful investing is about owning businesses and reaping the huge
rewards provided by the dividends and earnings growth”
- John Bogle
We Protect Capital
3
• Unlevered portfolio • Continuous monitoring
of liquidity risk
Portfolio Liquidity
• Not averse to raise cash • Portfolio exposure increased
over a period
Staggered Approach
• Exposure limits to minimize risks o ≥ 50% in large cap USD1bn+ o ≤ 10% in one stock o ≤ 30% in one sector o ≤ 50% in the top 10 stocks o Minimum investments in 30 stocks
• Tactically switching to cash from time to time
Exposure Limits
• Diversification across industries • Diversification across Mcap with
focus on liquidity • Flexible investment style – Growth
as well as Value with focus on Margin of Safety
Investment Universe
A prudent risk management strategy is the core of our investment philosophy
• Sharp Price movement triggers review of stock
• Close eye on valuation with focus on Margin of Safety
Review Points
We Create Wealth
3 Tenets to Equity investing Believe in ‘Time in the
Market’ rather than ‘Timing the market’
Growth as well as Value with focus on Margin of Safety
Diversification across sectors helps us to play sectoral
over/underweight strategy
Long term investment approach
Flexible investment style
Sectoral diversification
3M Stock Selection Approach
Identify Size of Sector Opportunity
Identify top 5 (Profitable) players in the sector
Identify the stock for investment with
Reasonable Valuation
M: Market Size
M: Market Share
M: Margin of Safety
4
Size of the opportunity should be huge to generate significant investment returns
The company be consistently profitable and should be among the leading players in the industry
The company should provide reasonable growth opportunity at reasonable Margin of Safety
Wealth Creation – A Case Study
5
Global home textile segment of $74bn growing at 5% USA imports 17% made ups with imports growing at
~12% Huge opportunity to improve market share for Indian
players in USA and Europe
4th largest bed sheet exporter to USA & 13th largest globally
Capacity expansion from 36 to 68 mn meters in last 5 years and further expanding to 90 mn meters
Focus on improving value chain by entering premium bed linen segment leading to improved operating margins
No major investment in backward integration – leading to highest ROE of 44% in the industry
Reported healthy revenue and profit growth in last 5 years
Ongoing expansion will lead to healthy profit growth over next 2-3 years
Purchased at one year forward PE of ~6x significantly lower considering its net profit size (Rs 100 crs+ FY14) and 45% ROE
Indo Count Industries Ltd
India expected to become the 5th largest consumer durables market by 2025, reaching $400 Bn by 2020
Total Size of Indian A/C industry pegged at Rs.14750 Crs, with volume growth expectation of CAGR 13-15% over FY16-20E
At 3%, India is one of the lowest penetrated market, leading to significant headroom for growth
Market share of ~8% Entry into Tier 2&3 markets with sub premium product to
improve its market share Launched new products to reach mass consumer levels Strong parentage means access to new technology to
offer world class products to Indian consumers
Expect significant growth in profitability backed by operating efficiency and higher volume growth
Market cap at Rs 800 crs, i.e. PER of below 10x FY15E – lowest in the industry compared to all consumer MNC which trades at average PE of >20x
M1
M
arke
t si
ze
M2
M
arke
t Sh
are
M3
M
argi
n o
f sa
fety
Hitachi Home and Life Solutions Ltd
Investment Details
Purchase Price: Rs297 (19 Dec 2014) CMP: Rs984
Purchase Price: Rs300 (22 May 2014) CMP: Rs1400
The Investment Process….
Stock Identification
Analysis & Decision making Process
Portfolio Construction Monitoring & Nurturing
Exiting & Realizing Value
• Identify emerging trends and opportunities from a universe of 450 companies • Filter approach – using variety of valuation parameters • Strong intermediary relationship
• Initial screening • Corporate meeting and detailed due diligence • Presentation to investment committee seeking recommendation and approval
• Constant evaluation of valuation metrics to decide optimum return potential • Intrinsic value V/s Current Market Price to evaluate Margin of Safety • Change in underlying assumptions of investment thesis
• Combination of Top Down and Bottom Up approach with a benchmark agnostic strategy to achieve Long term investment objective
• Continuous portfolio monitoring ensures prudent risk management • Regular interaction to provide strategic inputs to strengthen systems, controls and CG
in line with best practices
6
Leading To Multibagger Returns
7 Note: Purchase price adjusted for any corporate action like split/bonus Gain % indicates return since purchase, *Stock sold as per price mentioned
Stock Purchase
Date Purchase Price (Rs)
Price (Rs) 30-Jun-2016
Motherson Sumi 28-Jan-10 41 240
Eicher Motors* 08-Aug-13 3343 15249
Hitachi Life* 22-May-14 300 1360
Shree Cement 12-Nov-11 3983 14546
Indo Count Industries 19-Dec-14 297 967
Eveready* 29-Sep-14 102 302
Ramco Cements 28-Mar-14 213 554
Maruti Suzuki 29-Jan-14 1659 4187
Bayer Cropscience* 05-May-14 1427 3547
Welspun India* 09-Jan-14 80 198
Atlas Copco* 28-Jun-10 1115 2750
Timken India 22-May-14 233 567
Mannapuram Finance 16-Dec-15 29 69
ITD Cementation 23-Feb-15 65 135
KNR Construction* 03-Dec-14 304 608
3M India 24-Nov-14 6475 12823
CARE* 25-Mar-14 732 1447
HDFC 10-Dec-10 669 1253
Siyaram Silk Mills 01-Aug-14 604 1128
HDFC Bank 28-Oct-10 670 1176
Capital Trust 29-Jun-15 253 443
L&T 11-Apr-13 869 1496
Alfa Laval India* 17-Nov-11 2246 3856
Capital First* 06-Nov-13 218 372
Gabriel India 01-Aug-14 55 94
Honeywell Automation 30-Jun-14 5790 9529
Balrampur Chini Mills 19-Nov-15 77 126
SQS india* 11-Apr-14 366 587
Bajaj Finance 14-Sep-15 5142 7997
ABB India 09-May-15 831 1224
Cholamandalam Investments 01-Mar-16 654 948
485%
356%
353%
265%
226%
196%
160%
152%
149%
148%
147%
143%
135%
108%
100%
98%
98%
87%
87%
76%
75%
72%
72%
71%
71%
65%
62%
60%
56%
47%
45%
Gain (%)
8
Exit Strategy As Important As Entry Strategy
Fundamental Consistency check No. of BSE 500 Stocks
PAT growth 20%+ every year during FY06-FY15 0
Revenue growth of 10%+ every year with ROE 15%+ during FY06-15
16
Exit Strategy When target price of the stock is reached and the risk rewards
seems unfavorable
When change in business fundamentals resulting in negative earnings expectations
When weightage of the stock is higher than the desired allocation
When the other stock has better risk-reward
Exit from Sensex 01 Jan 2011 Vs
01 Jan 2001
Exit from Sensex 30 May 2016 vs
01 Jan 2011
ACC DLF
Ambuja Cement Hindalco
Bajaj Holdings Jaiprakash Associates
Castrol India JSPL
GSK Pharma Reliance Communication
Grasim Sterlite
HPCL Tata Power
MTNL
Novartis
Ranbaxy
Reliance Infra
Reliance Petro
Satyam
Zee
Market Outlook
9
Round Up – June 2016
If BrExit event was a negative surprise then bounce back of world equity markets to pre BrExit levels in just 5 trading session was equally a positive surprise. While a section of market compares BrExit with Lehman Brother event and its aftermath crisis in the world market, we do not think that its effect will be as bad as the pessimism prevails due to:
• It is likely to be a two year process
• To counter the negative effect, central banks across the world are likely to act swiftly to ensure lower volatility with joint
coordinated efforts
• Higher probability of US Fed postponing interest rate hike
• EU and other members of EU likely to take balanced approach to ensure that citizens do not press leave button
• Some probability of BrExit not going through in parliament
• There is always half in-half out possibility for Britain like Norway and Switzerland which means no major negative impact for UK.
Elsewhere globally, the USA GDP data for the Q1 grew at 1.1% up from earlier estimate of 0.8%. China’s manufacturing continue to be slow and in june it was in line with estimates. Overall economic conditions continue to remain weak in Q2.
India’s position surely is much better compared to many other economies, being it is less dependent on exports to UK (3.4% of total exports) and with comfortable forex reserves of USD 360 bn which is at all time high. While IIP data continues to remain volatile from last 4 months, clear trend shows that few sectors like consumer durables & electricity continues to remain in uptrend. Government approved Seventh pay commission and has recommended an 23.6% increase in salaries and pensions. The total amount to be paid, including the arrears, is expected to be approx. Rs85,900crs. This move is estimated to benefit nearly 10 mn employees and will boost consumption. Government sees some ray of hope for the GST bill to be passed in the forthcoming monsoon session of the parliament. Indian market has bounced back sharply in last four days on the above reforms.
While we remain positive on market with 2-3 years view, we expect it to remain volatile due to global factors. We are positive on consumer centric business – cement, consumer finance, consumer durable, consumer staple. The revival in capex is still some time away as capacity utilisation is ~72%, hence we prefer to be selective in infra/cap goods space. Slowdown in EU may adversely impact IT industry at least in the short term as BFSI contribution to IT revenue is 25-40% for most IT companies. Net-net we continue our stock specific approach and increasing equity allocation with each decline in market.
10
Drivers of Growth – Investment By Government
11
Source: MORTH, AAA Research
Source: IDFC Research, AAA Research Source: Emkay Research , AAA Research
Source: Emkay Research, AAA Research
9900
2000 3621
7980 10000
25000
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17E
MORTH Project Awards
42
17
6
21
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16
Railways Plan Expenditure growth Apr - Mar 2016(%)
Plan Capital Expenditure ahead of budgeted rate
Expenditure Head *FY16
(Rs.Tn) Growth(%)
%Budgeted Expenditure
(achievement in FY16YTD)
Total 17.7 7.8 99.3
Total Plan 4.7 3.8 98.7
Plan Revenue 3.2 -8.5 69.9
Plan Capital 1.4 49.7 101.2
Total Non - Plan 13.0 9.3 99.5
Non-Plan Revenue 12.1 10.1 99.8
Non-Plan capital 0.9 0.5 95.6
FY16 is from 01 Apr 2015 – 31 Mar 2016
Order inflow trend saw jump of 39% YoY
Drivers of Growth – Consumption
12
Source: Elara Research, AAA Research
Improving Macro Economic Factors
13
2.8 4.5
3.6
8.6 9.9
7.2 6.6
-3.1
2.8 4.3
5.5
10.0
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1Q
FY1
4
2Q
FY1
4
3Q
FY1
4
4Q
FY1
4
1Q
FY1
5
2Q
FY1
5
3Q
FY1
5
4Q
FY1
5
1Q
FY1
6
2Q
FY1
6
3Q
FY1
6
4Q
FY1
6
Cement Volume Growth (%)
Source: Antique Research, AAA Research
-3.0
-22.0 -25.0 -25.0
-21.0
-4.0
4.0 5.0 3.6
9.7 11.1
19.6
-30-25-20-15-10
-505
10152025
1Q
FY1
4
2Q
FY1
4
3Q
FY1
4
4Q
FY1
4
1Q
FY1
5
2Q
FY1
5
3Q
FY1
5
4Q
FY1
5
1Q
FY1
6
2Q
FY1
6
3Q
FY1
6
4Q
FY1
6
Total CV Growth (%)
Source: Antique Research, AAA Research
1.4
-0.3
0.8 1.6
4.4 4.6 3.5
5.4 6.6
11.0 11.1
14.7
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1Q
FY1
4
2Q
FY1
4
3Q
FY1
4
4Q
FY1
4
1Q
FY1
5
2Q
FY1
5
3Q
FY1
5
4Q
FY1
5
1Q
FY1
6
2Q
FY1
6
3Q
FY1
6
4Q
FY1
6
Fuel Consumption Growth(%)
Source: Antique Research, AAA Research Source: Elara Research, AAA Research
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
(10)
0
10
20
30
40
50
Mar
-12
Jun
-12
Sep
-12
De
c-1
2
Mar
-13
Jun
-13
Sep
-13
De
c-1
3
Mar
-14
Jun
-14
Sep
-14
De
c-1
4
Mar
-15
Jun
-15
Sep
-15
De
c-1
5
Mar
-16
Ind
ex
(% Y
oY)
Naukri Employment Index
YoY Change (LHS) Index (RHS)
Improving Macro Economic Factors
14
Source: Emkay Research, AAA Research Source: Elara Research, AAA Research
Source: Elara Research, AAA Research
-0.5
6.0
1.3
3.5
5.6
11.4
9.0
0.7
3.1
6.6
9.6
11.8
14.6
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Ap
r-1
5
May
-15
Jun
-15
Jul-
15
Au
g-1
5
Sep
-15
Oct
-15
No
v-1
5
De
c-1
5
Jan
-16
Feb
-16
Mar
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Power Generation Volumes (%)
8.9
1.1
3.5
0.6 1
13.1
5.9
10.3
2.9 3.1 2.6
4.7
1.1
9.4
2.8
9.9
3.5
-3.6
1.6 0.9 1.9
7.5
13
4.4
9.5
-5
-3
-1
1
3
5
7
9
11
13
15
Ap
r-1
4
Jun
-14
Au
g-1
4
Oct
-14
De
c-1
4
Feb
-15
Ap
r-1
5
Jun
-15
Au
g-1
5
Oct
-15
De
c-1
5
Feb
-16
Ap
r-1
6
Port Volumes (%)
2
19
32
39
7 9
12 11 9
6 9
14
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Q1
FY1
4
Q2
FY1
4
Q3
FY1
4
Q4
FY1
4
Q1
FY1
5
Q2
FY1
5
Q3
FY1
5
Q4
FY1
5
Q1
FY1
6
Q2
FY1
6
Q3
FY1
6
Q4
FY1
6
Traffic Growth (%)
India Economy Recovery: Likely Repeat of FY03-08
15
Source: RBI, AAA Research
Source: CSO,MOSL, AAA Research
4.2
5.4
3.8
8.0 7.1
9.5 9.6 9.3
6.7
8.6 8.9
6.7
4.5 4.7
7.3 7.6 7.7
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17E
GDP Growth (%)
Average GDP: 7.0%
5.0
2.7
5.7 7.0
11.7
8.6
12.9
15.5
2.5
5.3
8.2
2.9
1.1
-0.1
2.8 2.4
5.0
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
FY01 FY02 FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17E
IIP Growth (%)
Average IIP: 5.9%
Dissecting the economic recovery of FY03-08
27%
40% 39.7%
16%
31%
47.9%
26%
90%
47.3%
23%
11%
26.1%
53%
65%
45.8%
33%
60%
72.3%
43%
62%
22.0%
32%
73%
54.4%
17.6%
15.6%
52.2%
21% 21%
26.6% 25%
38.7%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Re
ven
ue
PA
T
Mca
p
Re
ven
ue
PA
T
Mca
p
Re
ven
ue
PA
T
Mca
p
Re
ven
ue
PA
T
Mca
p
Re
ven
ue
PA
T
Mca
p
Re
ven
ue
PA
T
Mca
p
Re
ven
ue
PA
T
Mca
p
Re
ven
ue
PA
T
Mca
p
Re
ven
ue
PA
T
Mca
p
Re
ven
ue
PA
T
Mca
p
PA
T
Mca
p
Auto Banking Cement ConsumerFMCG
ConsumerDurables
Engineering IT Mining &Metal
Oil & Gas Pharma Sensex
Sectoral CAGR FY03-08 (%)
Source: BSE, AAA Research
Sensex Net profit CAGR: 25.0% Sensex Returns CAGR : 38.7%
Market Cap Returns > Net Profit Growth
16
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
BSE Auto BSE Banking BSEConsumer
Durable
BSE CapitalGoods
BSE FMCG BSEHealthcare
BSE IT BSE Metal Sensex
5.3x
6.6x
3.3x 3.2x 2.7x
8.7x
15x
7x
5.1x
Source: BSE
Sensex went up by 5.1x Cyclical indices went up by 5-15x
Dissecting The Economic Recovery Of FY03-08
17
Focus on Stock Earnings Growth - Earnings Growth To Bounce Back
18
81 129 181
250 266 291 278 280 216 236 272
348 450
523
718 833 820 834
1,024 1,124
1,183
1,340 1,355 1,340
1,580
1,864
FY93
FY94
FY95
FY96
FY97
FY98
FY99
FY00
FY01
FY0
2
FY03
FY04
FY05
FY06
FY07
FY08
FY09
FY10
FY11
FY12
FY13
FY14
FY15
FY16
FY1
7E
FY18
E
FY93-96 EPS CAGR 45%
FY96-03: EPS CAGR 1%
FY03-08 25% CAGR
FY08-16 6.1% CAGR
FY16E-18E 18% CAGR
Sensex CAGR -1.4%
Sensex CAGR 38.7%
Sensex CAGR
5%
Sensex CAGR
??
Sensex CAGR 13.9%
After reporitng single digit earnings growth (FY08-16), Sensex is expected to report healthy double digit growth (FY16-18E)
Source: Bloomberg , AAA Research
Market Valuations
Source: Bloomberg, AAA Research
19
Sensex @26999 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17E FY18E EPS (Rs) 833 821 826 1,013 1,123 1,185 1,340 1,355 1,340 1,580 1,864
EPS G(%) 16% -1% 1% 23% 10% 6% 13% 1% -1% 18% 18%
BV (Rs) 3,787 4,441 5,101 5,944 6,842 7,790 8,862 9,540 10,143 10,775 11,521
P/E(x) 24.8 23.5 20.1 19.9 20.1 17.1 14.5
P/BV(x) 3.7 3.8 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.3
ROE(%) 22.0% 18.5% 16.2% 17.0% 16.4% 15.2% 15.1% 14.2% 13.2% 14.7% 16.2%
Source: AAA Research Source: AAA Research
7
12
17
22
27
Jun
-06
Jun
-07
Jun
-08
Jun
-09
Jun
-10
Jun
-11
Jun
-12
Jun
-13
Jun
-14
Jun
-15
Jun
-16
P/E Fwd (x)
P/E Fwd(x)
1.3
1.8
2.3
2.8
3.3
3.8
4.3
4.8
5.3
Jun
-06
Jun
-07
Jun
-08
Jun
-09
Jun
-10
Jun
-11
Jun
-12
Jun
-13
Jun
-14
Jun
-15
Jun
-16
P/B Fwd (x)
P/B Fwd(x)
Mean 2.7x Mean 16.7x
The people running the show at AlfAccurate Advisors
20
The AlfAccurate Advisors Team
21
Rajesh Kothari Govind Agrawal
Founder and Managing Director Director
Bhushan Koli
Head Operations and Compliance
Bhushan Koli
Award Winning Investment Team
Mr. Rajesh Kothari – Managing Director (Grad CWA, MBA)
Rich experience of more than 20 years in Indian capital market
Expertise in both Long Only & Long Short investment strategy
Former Director with Voyager Investment Advisors (US$500m) – USA based India dedicated
fund for two and half years
During his tenure, fund Outperformed the benchmark indices significantly
Former Fund Manager with DSP Merrill Lynch (now DSP Blackrock) Fund Managers Ltd for
more than four years
During his tenure equity assets under management grew from USD100m to USD1.5bn
The schemes delivered annualized return of 55% (Equity Fund) & 62% (Top100 Fund) outperforming
benchmark indices by more than 20% & 10% respectively
The equity schemes maintained its “1st Quartile Ranking” consistently during his tenure
22
Achievements:
Rated as “Platinum Fund Manager” by Economic Times for DSP ML Equity Fund on a risk-adjusted return
basis in July 2006
Rated as “Gold Fund Manager” by Economic Times for DSP ML Balanced Fund on a risk-adjusted return
basis in July 2006
Received CMA Young Achiever Award 2014
CNBC TV18 - CRISIL Mutual Fund of the Year Award 2006 for DSPML Equity Fund
Lipper India Fund Awards 2006 for best equity fund group for 3 years
DSPML Technology.com Fund - best fund in the equity sector in the IT category (5 years, 8 eligible schemes)
He was invited at Maharashtra Economic Summit to present views on Indian Infrastructure
(http: //maharashtrasummit.mieda.in/Program.aspx)
Invited by Institute of Directors to present views on Governance Deficit
Invited by World Council for Corporate Governance to present views on Governance
Elected on the advisory panel of World CSR forum.
Actively involved with Arham Yuva Group - a philanthropic initiative
Award Winning Investment Team
23
Glimpses Of Superior Performance To Benchmark Index
24
*(FY10 is from 23 Nov 2009 - 31 Mar 2010) #(1 April 2016 – 30 Jun 2016)
Note: Past performance may or may not be sustained in future
Consistent Superior returns to Benchmark Index
0200400600800
100012001400160018002000220024002600
FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 Jun06-Dec08
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17YTD#
Funds managed by Rajesh(%) BSE 500 Index(%)
27.9% CAGR
13.2% CAGR
-50
0
50
100
150
FY03 FY04 FY05 FY06 Jun06-08 FY10* FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17YTD#
DSP MerillLynch MF Voyager AlfAccurate Advisors
Funds Managed by Rajesh Benchmark Index
Mr. Govind Agrawal – Director (FCA – Chartered Accountant, LLB)
Rich experience of 28 years in finance out of which last 21 years in Indian capital market
Former Fund Manager with Reliance Capital Asset Management Company (USD 20bn) for
over four years.
Reliance Emergent India Fund (USD 100m offshore fund) outperformed benchmark indices by 35%
since its inception.
Travelled intensely across globe to meet the investors and presented the firm for India and Emerging
Market as Investment Theme
Played instrumental role in setting up Macro Economic Research desk
Former Executive Director with UBS Securities India P Ltd, a Swiss Bank subsidiary, for 4 years
Responsible for India Account Manager for large FIIs
Guided the portfolio managers for right country, sectors and stocks weightings
Award Winning Investment Team
25
Former Senior VP – Equity Sales with Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd for 10 years
Played key role in establishing institutional equity broking business, systems and processes
Was account manager for major institutional domestic and foreign accounts advising the clients on sectoral allocation
and stock selection
Achievements
Represented Reliance AMC on international platforms and panel discussion on Emerging Markets and Indian
Equity Market
Addressed investors’ meet and the private banking teams of large banks in Middle East, Asia, London,
Europe and in India
At UBS, was voted as the “Best Equity Sales Person‐Mega Funds category, Asia Money 2006”
Won several awards at Motilal Oswal for consistently contributing to Institutional Equity Sales
26
Award Winning Investment Team
The AlfAccurate Advisors philosophy
27
AlfAccurate Advisors
To be the world’s most admired investment advisor
We are specialists in Indian capital markets with combined experience of 70+ years
Protect Capital , Create Wealth
28
Our Guiding Principles
Ambition
Entrepreneurship
Accountability
Passion
Excellence
Commitment
Teamwork
Integrity
Meritocracy
29
Investment Philosophy...
30
Fundamental Research core of our investment management
Long Term Horizon
Constant endeavor to be ahead of the Market
Emphasis on value research Vs commodity research
Benchmark aware but not driven
Flexible investment style
Focus on margin safety
Combined With Investment Discipline...
Parameter Rules Current Position
Cap Exposure At least 50% in large cap(More than USD1bn) 55% invested in large cap
Sector Weightage Not more than 30% in one sector Maximum exposure in a given sector is 22.1%
Stock Weightage Not more than 10% in a given stock and not more than 50% in the top 10 Stocks
Maximum Exposure in a given stock is 5.0%. Top 10 stocks as percentage of portfolio is 27.8%
Number of Stocks Minimum 30 Stocks 60 stocks
Stock Universe 450 Corporates 450 Corporates
Number of Stocks :60, Number of Sectors :16 Top 10 Stocks as % of portfolio : 28.3% Data as on 30 Jun 2016 31
55%
25%
16%
4%
Portfolio Allocation
Large Mid Small Cash
Sectoral Allocation
Auto Auto Ancillary Banking CementChemicals Construction Consumer EngineeringOil & Gas Others Pharma PowerSoftware Sugar Textiles Cash & Cash Equivalent
Leading To Superior Performance
Performance (%) FY17YTD# FY16 FY15 FY14 FY13 FY12 FY11 Since Inception*
AAA India Opp. Plan 10.3 2.8 71.9 29.0 11.7 9.7 18.2 285.9
BSE 500 Index 8.3 (7.8) 33.2 17.1 4.8 (9.1) 7.5 65.6
BSE Sensex 6.5 (9.4) 24.9 18.8 8.2 (10.5) 10.9 57.2
S&P CNX NIFTY 7.1 (8.9) 26.7 17.9 7.3 (9.2) 11.1 62.4
*(23 Nov 2009 – 30 Jun 2016)(Management fees adjusted); #(1 April 2016 – 30 Jun 2016)
AAA India Opp. plan consistently not only outperformed but also generated Positive return in volatile markets
Note: Returns of individual clients may differ depending on time of entry in the Strategy. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future and should not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments
32
18.2 9.7 11.7
29
71.9
2.8 10.3 7.5
-9.1
4.8
17.1
33.2
-7.8
8.3
-20
0
20
40
60
80
FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17YTD#
AAA India Opportunity Plan - Equity Vs BSE 500 Index (%)
AAA India Opportunity Plan - Equity BSE 500 Index
Leading To Superior Performance
33
Leading To Superior Performance
34
AAA India Opp Plan ranks # 1 compared with 141 diversified funds of each reputed fund house Since Inception of AAA: *(23 Nov 2009 – 30 Jun 2016 )(Management fees adjusted)
Performance Vs leading Mutual Funds Since Inception(%)
Note: Returns of individual clients may differ depending on time of entry in the Strategy. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future and should not be used as a basis for comparison with other investments
Source: Bloomberg
Compounded Annual Returns (%)
1 YEAR 2 YEARS 3 YEARS 5 YEARS Since Inception*
AAA India Opp. Plan 8.3 22.9 35.0 24.6 23.1
BSE 500 Index 1.2 6.1 15.5 8.7 8.1
BSE Sensex (2.8) 3.1 11.7 7.5 7.2
S&P CNX NIFTY (1.0) 4.3 12.4 8.0 7.7
285.9
158.8
110.5 87.5
48.3 65.6 57.2 62.4
AAA India Opp.Plan*
Quartile 1 Quartile 2 Quartile 3 Quartile 4 BSE 500 Index BSE Sensex S&P CNX Nifty
Note: Equity return scenarios are assumed expected returns.
The Power Of Compounding – A Scenario Analysis
35
Scenarios based on investment of Rs 5 Crores
The real power of compounding is seen only over the long term
12% CAGR 15% CAGR 20% CAGR
30Yrs
150 Cr
9 Cr
20Yrs 5Yrs 10Yrs
16 Cr
48 Cr
331 Cr
20 Cr
5Yrs
82 Cr
20Yrs 30Yrs 10Yrs
10 Cr
10Yrs 30Yrs
717 Cr
20Yrs
137 Cr
26 Cr
5Yrs
11 Cr
30Yrs 20Yrs
1,187 Cr
5Yrs
31 Cr
192 Cr
10Yrs
12 Cr
18% CAGR
Why We Should Be Your Choice Of Investment Advisory
36
Strong domain knowledge in Indian Capital markets
Expertise in both – Long Only and Long Short Investment Strategy
Sound Research capabilities
Award winning investment team and track record Process driven organization
Adequate infrastructure to support scalability
Integrity and ethics as the core of the business
Access to Founders – founders are fund managers
Staggered investment approach
Client centric business model
No conflict of interest
Product Features
37
Name of plan AAA India Opportunity Equity PMS Plan
Objective Long Term Capital Appreciation
Investment Theme To invest in listed companies with combination of high growth stocks as well as value stocks
Principal Officer Rajesh Kothari
Director Govind Agrawal
Custodians Deutsche Bank, India
Fund Accountant Deutsche Bank, India
Depository Participant IL&FS, India
Mode of payment Fund transfer/cheque/stock transfer
Awards and Recognitions
38
Dr. Jitendra Singh, Union Minister of State (I/C), Prime Minister Office, giving Certificate of Merit – CMA Young Achiever Award – 2014.
Lipper Fund Award – India 2007
39
Thank You Rajesh Kothari T: +91 22 42360301 M:+91 98200 09226 [email protected]
Govind Agrawal T: +91 22 42360 311 M: +91 93208 51013 [email protected]
AlfAccurate Advisors Pvt. Ltd 503, B Wing, Naman Midtown, Elphinstone Road, Mumbai - 400 013, India T: +91 22 42360300; F: +91 22 42360333 [email protected] www.alfaccurate.com
Disclaimer: Equity Investments are subject to market risks , read all plan related documents carefully. This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient. The material is based upon publicly available information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied upon. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without AlfAccurate Advisors Pvt Ltd.'s prior written consent. In so far as this report includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable, although its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. Alfaccurate Advisors Pvt. Ltd and any person connected with the firm, does not accept any liability arising from the use of this document.
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